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Chilaw Polling Division

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Polling Division in Sri Lanka
Chilaw
Polling Division
Coordinates: 7°44′18″N 79°50′40″E / 7.738379°N 79.844546°E / 7.738379; 79.844546
CountrySri Lanka
ProvinceNorth Western Province, Sri Lanka
Electoral DistrictPuttalam Electoral District
Area
 • Total838.31 km (323.67 sq mi)
Population
 • Total231,705
 • Density276/km (710/sq mi)
ISO 3166 codeEC-16C

The Chilaw Polling Division is a Polling Division in the Puttalam Electoral District, in the North Western Province, Sri Lanka.

Presidential Election Results

Summary

The winner of Chilaw has matched the final country result 6 out of 8 times. Hence, Chilaw is a Weak Bellwether for Presidential Elections.

Year Chilaw Puttalam Electoral District MAE % Sri Lanka MAE %
2019 SLPP SLPP 3.65% SLPP 2.07%
2015 UPFA NDF 1.52% NDF 2.82%
2010 UPFA UPFA 0.94% UPFA 1.64%
2005 UNP UNP 0.44% UPFA 1.75%
1999 PA PA 0.63% PA 0.91%
1994 PA PA 2.02% PA 1.81%
1988 UNP UNP 2.48% UNP 1.75%
1982 UNP UNP 1.45% UNP 5.69%
Matches/Mean MAE 6/8 7/8 1.64% 8/8 2.30%

2019 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

Party Chilaw Puttalam Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
SLPP 51,233 54.57% 230,760 50.83% 6,924,255 52.25%
NDF 37,512 39.96% 199,356 43.91% 5,564,239 41.99%
NMPP 2,977 3.17% 12,912 2.84% 418,553 3.16%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 2,163 2.30% 10,948 2.41% 345,452 2.61%
Valid Votes 93,885 98.96% 453,976 99.02% 13,252,499 98.99%
Rejected Votes 984 1.04% 4,478 0.98% 135,452 1.01%
Total Polled 94,869 77.15% 458,454 76.53% 13,387,951 83.71%
Registered Electors 122,963 599,042 15,992,568

2015 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

Party Chilaw Puttalam Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UPFA 43,928 50.50% 197,751 48.97% 5,768,090 47.58%
NDF 42,187 48.50% 202,073 50.04% 6,217,162 51.28%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 870 1.00% 4,026 1.00% 138,200 1.14%
Valid Votes 86,985 98.88% 403,850 98.95% 12,123,452 98.85%
Rejected Votes 985 1.12% 4,300 1.05% 140,925 1.15%
Total Polled 87,970 74.44% 408,150 72.50% 12,264,377 78.69%
Registered Electors 118,171 562,984 15,585,942

2010 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

Party Chilaw Puttalam Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UPFA 45,617 59.65% 201,981 58.70% 6,015,934 57.88%
NDF 29,541 38.63% 136,233 39.59% 4,173,185 40.15%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 1,312 1.72% 5,899 1.71% 204,494 1.97%
Valid Votes 76,470 99.28% 344,113 99.17% 10,393,613 99.03%
Rejected Votes 558 0.72% 2,886 0.83% 101,838 0.97%
Total Polled 77,028 71.16% 346,999 68.97% 10,495,451 66.70%
Registered Electors 108,244 503,106 15,734,587

2005 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

Party Chilaw Puttalam Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UNP 37,372 50.25% 169,264 50.71% 4,706,366 48.43%
UPFA 36,115 48.56% 160,686 48.14% 4,887,152 50.29%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 891 1.20% 3,833 1.15% 123,521 1.27%
Valid Votes 74,378 99.09% 333,783 98.95% 9,717,039 98.88%
Rejected Votes 685 0.91% 3,536 1.05% 109,869 1.12%
Total Polled 75,063 72.89% 337,319 70.56% 9,826,908 69.51%
Registered Electors 102,987 478,032 14,136,979

1999 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

Party Chilaw Puttalam Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
PA 31,998 52.13% 141,725 51.47% 4,312,157 51.12%
UNP 26,708 43.51% 121,615 44.17% 3,602,748 42.71%
JVP 1,813 2.95% 7,876 2.86% 343,927 4.08%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 864 1.41% 4,123 1.50% 176,679 2.09%
Valid Votes 61,383 97.91% 275,339 97.94% 8,435,754 97.69%
Rejected Votes 1,309 2.09% 5,778 2.06% 199,536 2.31%
Total Polled 62,692 71.33% 281,117 68.85% 8,635,290 72.17%
Registered Electors 87,891 408,331 11,965,536

1994 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

Party Chilaw Puttalam Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
PA 35,415 60.62% 165,795 62.65% 4,709,205 62.28%
UNP 22,240 38.07% 95,211 35.98% 2,715,283 35.91%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 766 1.31% 3,629 1.37% 137,040 1.81%
Valid Votes 58,421 98.42% 264,635 98.26% 7,561,526 98.03%
Rejected Votes 936 1.58% 4,689 1.74% 151,706 1.97%
Total Polled 59,357 71.47% 269,324 69.80% 7,713,232 69.12%
Registered Electors 83,057 385,854 11,158,880

1988 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

Party Chilaw Puttalam Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UNP 27,932 53.55% 125,339 55.89% 2,569,199 50.43%
SLFP 23,485 45.02% 94,823 42.28% 2,289,857 44.95%
SLMP 748 1.43% 4,093 1.83% 235,701 4.63%
Valid Votes 52,165 98.62% 224,255 98.70% 5,094,754 98.24%
Rejected Votes 731 1.38% 2,965 1.30% 91,499 1.76%
Total Polled 52,896 74.95% 227,220 70.70% 5,186,256 55.87%
Registered Electors 70,574 321,387 9,283,143

1982 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

Party Chilaw Puttalam Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UNP 30,142 60.75% 128,877 59.12% 3,450,815 52.93%
SLFP 17,553 35.38% 80,006 36.70% 2,546,348 39.05%
JVP 1,525 3.07% 7,001 3.21% 273,428 4.19%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 397 0.80% 2,096 0.96% 249,460 3.83%
Valid Votes 49,617 99.04% 217,980 99.09% 6,520,156 98.78%
Rejected Votes 479 0.96% 1,995 0.91% 80,470 1.22%
Total Polled 50,096 81.95% 219,975 81.41% 6,600,626 80.15%
Registered Electors 61,128 270,207 8,235,358

Parliamentary Election Results

Summary

The winner of Chilaw has matched the final country result 7 out of 7 times. Hence, Chilaw is a Perfect Bellwether for Parliamentary Elections.

Year Chilaw Puttalam Electoral District MAE % Sri Lanka MAE %
2015 UNP UNP 1.40% UNP 3.26%
2010 UPFA UPFA 1.11% UPFA 3.92%
2004 UPFA UPFA 0.38% UPFA 5.01%
2001 UNP UNP 0.98% UNP 4.20%
2000 PA PA 1.76% PA 3.15%
1994 PA PA 1.70% PA 2.84%
1989 UNP UNP 1.67% UNP 6.65%
Matches/Mean MAE 7/7 7/7 1.28% 7/7 4.15%

2015 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

Party Chilaw Puttalam Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UNP 38,482 50.21% 180,185 51.81% 5,098,916 45.77%
UPFA 34,701 45.27% 153,130 44.03% 4,732,664 42.48%
JVP 3,077 4.01% 12,211 3.51% 544,154 4.88%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 387 0.50% 2,263 0.65% 82,383 0.74%
Valid Votes 76,647 94.12% 347,789 91.37% 11,140,333 95.35%
Rejected Votes 4,710 5.78% 23,124 6.08% 516,926 4.42%
Total Polled 81,433 68.91% 380,632 68.83% 11,684,111 77.66%
Registered Electors 118,171 553,009 15,044,490

2010 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

Party Chilaw Puttalam Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UPFA 38,073 66.11% 167,769 64.84% 4,846,388 60.38%
UNP 17,555 30.48% 81,152 31.36% 2,357,057 29.37%
DNA 1,759 3.05% 8,792 3.40% 441,251 5.50%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 203 0.35% 1,028 0.40% 33,372 0.42%
Valid Votes 57,590 93.06% 258,741 92.29% 8,026,322 96.03%
Rejected Votes 4,288 6.93% 21,562 7.69% 581,465 6.96%
Total Polled 61,884 57.17% 280,354 55.67% 8,358,246 59.29%
Registered Electors 108,244 503,635 14,097,690

2004 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

Party Chilaw Puttalam Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UPFA 31,124 48.77% 142,784 49.31% 4,223,126 45.70%
UNP 29,934 46.91% 135,152 46.67% 3,486,792 37.73%
JHU 2,352 3.69% 10,000 3.45% 552,723 5.98%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 404 0.63% 1,652 0.57% 62,157 0.67%
Valid Votes 63,814 93.82% 289,588 93.06% 9,241,931 94.52%
Rejected Votes 4,169 6.13% 21,431 6.89% 534,452 5.47%
Total Polled 68,018 69.13% 311,194 69.15% 9,777,821 75.74%
Registered Electors 98,394 450,057 12,909,631

2001 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

Party Chilaw Puttalam Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UNP 32,254 49.63% 146,873 50.61% 4,086,026 45.62%
PA 27,821 42.81% 120,981 41.69% 3,330,815 37.19%
JVP 3,888 5.98% 18,095 6.24% 815,353 9.10%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 1,023 1.57% 4,260 1.47% 116,969 1.31%
Valid Votes 64,986 95.39% 290,209 95.20% 8,955,844 94.77%
Rejected Votes 3,142 4.61% 14,638 4.80% 494,009 5.23%
Total Polled 68,128 73.22% 304,847 71.53% 9,449,878 76.03%
Registered Electors 93,040 426,193 12,428,762

2000 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

Party Chilaw Puttalam Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
PA 30,124 47.91% 138,747 48.40% 3,899,329 45.33%
UNP 28,110 44.70% 118,566 41.36% 3,451,765 40.12%
JVP 2,558 4.07% 11,256 3.93% 518,725 6.03%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 1,256 2.00% 5,809 2.03% 236,331 2.75%
NUA 833 1.32% 12,317 4.30% 185,593 2.16%
Valid Votes 62,881 N/A 286,695 N/A 8,602,617 N/A

1994 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

Party Chilaw Puttalam Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
PA 31,999 51.91% 150,587 53.64% 3,887,805 48.94%
UNP 29,076 47.17% 127,671 45.48% 3,498,370 44.04%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 567 0.92% 2,453 0.87% 158,616 2.00%
Valid Votes 61,642 95.77% 280,711 95.52% 7,943,688 95.20%
Rejected Votes 2,723 4.23% 13,144 4.47% 400,395 4.80%
Total Polled 64,365 77.49% 293,873 76.19% 8,344,095 74.75%
Registered Electors 83,057 385,690 11,163,064

1989 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

Party Chilaw Puttalam Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UNP 30,573 61.53% 139,309 62.62% 2,838,005 50.71%
SLFP 17,456 35.13% 71,687 32.22% 1,785,369 31.90%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 957 1.93% 5,226 2.35% 211,176 3.77%
SLMC 699 1.41% 6,253 2.81% 202,016 3.61%
Valid Votes 49,685 94.61% 222,475 94.40% 5,596,468 93.87%
Rejected Votes 2,832 5.39% 13,205 5.60% 365,563 6.13%
Total Polled 52,517 75.30% 235,680 73.94% 5,962,031 63.60%
Registered Electors 69,743 318,755 9,374,164

Demographics

Ethnicity

The Chilaw Polling Division has a Sinhalese majority (76.7%) and a significant Moor population (13.5%) . In comparison, the Puttalam Electoral District (which contains the Chilaw Polling Division) has a Sinhalese majority (73.6%) and a significant Moor population (19.4%)

Ethnicity in Chilaw

  Sinhalese (76.7%)  Moor (13.5%)  Sri Lankan Tamil (9.3%)  Other (0.5%)

Religion

The Chilaw Polling Division has a Buddhist plurality (46.9%), a significant Roman Catholic population (30.6%) and a significant Muslim population (13.8%) . In comparison, the Puttalam Electoral District (which contains the Chilaw Polling Division) has a Buddhist plurality (43.2%), a significant Roman Catholic population (31.5%) and a significant Muslim population (19.7%)

Religion in Chilaw

  Buddhist (46.9%)  Roman Catholic (30.6%)  Muslim (13.8%)  Hindu (6.9%)  Other Christian (1.9%)  Other (0.0%)

References

  1. ^ "Census of Population and Housing 2012". statistics.gov.lk. Department of Census and Statistics, Sri Lanka. 2012.
  2. The mean absolute error, between the percentages of votes each party got in Chilaw and the Puttalam Electoral District. It is a measure of the difference in voting behaviour between the two regions.
  3. The mean absolute error, between the percentages of votes each party got in Chilaw and the country. It is a measure of the difference in voting behaviour between the two regions.
  4. "2019 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2019. Archived from the original on 2019-12-19. Retrieved 2020-06-10.
  5. "2015 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2015. Archived from the original on 2019-12-19. Retrieved 2020-06-10.
  6. "2010 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2010. Archived from the original on 2019-12-19. Retrieved 2020-06-10.
  7. "2005 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2005. Archived from the original on 2019-12-19. Retrieved 2020-06-10.
  8. "1999 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 1999. Archived from the original on 2019-12-19. Retrieved 2020-06-10.
  9. "1994 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 1994. Archived from the original on 2019-12-19. Retrieved 2020-06-10.
  10. "1988 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 1988. Archived from the original on 2019-12-19. Retrieved 2020-06-10.
  11. "1982 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 1982. Archived from the original on 2019-12-19. Retrieved 2020-06-10.
  12. The mean absolute error, between the percentages of votes each party got in Chilaw and the Puttalam Electoral District. It is a measure of the difference in voting behaviour between the two regions.
  13. The mean absolute error, between the percentages of votes each party got in Chilaw and the country. It is a measure of the difference in voting behaviour between the two regions.
  14. "2015 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2015.
  15. "2010 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2010.
  16. "2004 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2004.
  17. "2001 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2001.
  18. "2000 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2000.
  19. "1994 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 1994.
  20. "1989 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 1989.
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