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Opinion polling for the 2008 Russian presidential election

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Opinion polling for the Russian presidential election, 2008
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This is a collection of scientific, public opinion polls that have been conducted relating to the 2008 Russian presidential election.

Opinion polls by "Levada-center"

Sources: https://web.archive.org/web/20071130210431/http://www.levada.ru/vybory2008.html Russia votes

First round

2004 polls

Opinion polling
Candidate 13-16 August 2004
Vladimir Putin 49 -
Sergei Ivanov - 2
Gennady Zyuganov 5 6
Vladimir Zhirinovsky 6 9
No preference 26 -
Other 15 46
Undecided 8 23
Wouldn't vote 12 15

2005 polls

Opinion polling
Candidate 15–18 July 2005 19–22 August 2005 26–29 September 2005 14−17 October 2005 11−14 November 2005 9−12 December 2005 16−19 December 2005
Vladimir Putin 36 37 35 35 - 36 - 36 - -
Sergei Ivanov - - - - - - - 1 - 8
Gennady Zyuganov 6 4 6 4 12 3 15 4 13 17
Vladimir Zhirinovsky 4 3 3 3 8 3 9 3 8 9
No preference 45 47 48 51 - 49 - 51 - -
Other 10 9 8 8 45 10 47 6 47 37
Undecided 24 23 22 30 24 24 23 24 23 21
Unsure if I will vote 8 7 11 7 - 9 - 10 - -
Wouldn't vote 10 13 10 8 12 10 15 10 13 17

2006 polls

Opinion polling
Candidate 20-24 January 2006 10–14 February 2006 10–13 March 2006 20–25 April 2006 19–22 May 2006 10–14 June 2006 14–17 July 2006 18–21 August 2006 15–18 September 2006 13–16 October 2006 10–13 November 2006 8–12 December 2006
Vladimir Putin 33 - 34 - 31 - 33 - 32 - - 40 - 40 - 39 - 37 - 38 - 36 -
Sergei Ivanov 0 25 1 25 2 26 - 23 2 25 21 1 22 1 23 1 27 1 29 1 23 2 30
Dmitry Medvedev - - - - 2 - 2 8 2 10 11 2 12 2 10 2 14 2 11 2 14 3 19
Gennady Zyuganov 3 9 4 7 3 7 4 7 4 7 6 3 7 3 8 3 9 5 9 4 9 2 5
Vladimir Zhirinovsky 3 8 3 7 3 8 2 8 3 7 10 3 9 4 10 3 8 3 10 4 8 2 6
No preference 53 - 52 - 53 - 52 - 50 - - 47 - 45 - 48 - 50 - 46 - 51 -
Other 8 37 7 36 6 36 7 30 7 28 30 5 26 6 12 5 10 3 8 4 9 4 9
Unsure if I will vote 9 - 9 - 12 - 8 - 11 - - 6 - 9 - 14 - 7 - 11 - 10 -
Wouldn't vote 31 15 25 18 27 17 30 15 27 16 17 27 16 22 29 10 26 29 25 22 28 27 18

2007 polls

January–June
Opinion polling
Candidate January 2007 19-22 January 2007 February 2007 16-19 February 2007 March 2007 16-19 March 2007 April 2007 13-16 April 2007 May 2007 11-14 May 2007 June 2007 15-18 June 2007
Vladimir Putin - 34 - - 32 - - 33 - - 31 - - 41 - - 44 -
Sergei Ivanov 21 3 11 27 3 16 25 3 14 31 4 18 31 3 12 31 5 19
Dmitry Medvedev 33 5 17 32 5 19 31 6 17 29 6 18 34 5 15 27 3 17
Gennady Zyuganov 14 5 7 13 5 8 15 4 7 17 5 9 12 3 2 14 4 9
Vladimir Zhirinovsky 14 2 7 13 3 8 14 3 6 11 3 10 13 3 3 14 3 9
Sergey Glazyev 5 - - 5 - - 6 - - 5 - - 3 - - 5 - -
"Liberal Candidate"* 11 - - 8 - - 8 - - 6 - - 6 - - 7 - -
Dmitry Rogozin 1 - - 2 - - 4 - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 - -
No preference - 46 - - 46 - - 47 - - 45 - - 41 - - 35 -
Other - 10 10 - 11 9 - 9 8 - 6 9 - 8 9 - 6 8
Undecided - 25 28 - 25 20 - 25 27 - 25 23 - 25 44 - 19 20
Unsure if I will vote - 8 8 - 5 4 - 9 8 - 11 8 - 7 6 - 8 10
Wouldn't vote - 10 20 - 11 21 - 9 13 - 6 10 - 8 8 - 6 11
July–December
Opinion polling
Candidate 13—16 July 2007 August 2007 10—13 August 2007 September 2007 14—17 September 2007 October 2007 12—15 October 2007 November 2007 9—12 November 2007 December 2007 21—24 December 2007
Vladimir Putin 48 - - 40 - 32 - 35 - - - - - - -
Sergei Ivanov 4 22 36 5 19 34 6 18 25 5 14 25 16 21 -
Dmitry Medvedev 3 17 34 5 18 30 5 16 26 5 14 24 13 35 79
Viktor Zubkov - - - - - 4 - - 19 - 10 20 11 17 -
Gennady Zyuganov 4 8 12 4 7 15 4 8 12 4 7 15 9 11 9
Vladimir Zhirinovsky 3 6 12 2 6 11 3 7 13 2 7 8 6 11 9
Sergey Glazyev - - 1 - - 4 - - 3 - - 4 - - -
"Liberal Candidate"* - - 3 - - 3 - - 2 - - 4 - 3 2
Dmitry Rogozin - - 1 - - <1 - - - - - - - - -
No preference 34 - - 41 - 46 - 44 - - - - - - -
Other 4 5 - 3 3 - 3 4 - 5 3 - 4 - -
Undecided 18 22 - 22 23 - 28 27 - 28 26 - 22 - -
Unsure if I will vote 7 6 - 10 10 - 11 7 - 10 7 - 9 - -
Wouldn't vote 8 14 - 7 14 8 - 7 12 - 11 - 10 - -

2008 polls

Opinion polling
Candidate January 2008 February 2008
Dmitry Medvedev 82 80
Gennady Zyuganov 9 10.5
Vladimir Zhirinovsky 8 9
"Liberal Candidate"* 1 -
Andrey Bogdanov <1 0,5

Second-round

Two-way contest
Date 1st candidate % vs % 2nd candidate
December 2007 Sergei Ivanov 44 -------> 56 Dmitry Medvedev
December 2007 Sergei Ivanov 58 <------- 42 Viktor Zubkov
December 2007 Dmitry Medvedev 63 <------- 37 Viktor Zubkov
November 2007 Sergei Ivanov 53 <------- 47 Dmitry Medvedev
November 2007 Sergei Ivanov 57 <------- 43 Viktor Zubkov
November 2007 Dmitry Medvedev 57 <------- 43 Viktor Zubkov
October 2007 Sergei Ivanov 53 <------- 47 Dmitry Medvedev
October 2007 Sergei Ivanov 59 <------- 41 Viktor Zubkov
October 2007 Dmitry Medvedev 56 <------- 44 Viktor Zubkov
September 2007 Sergei Ivanov 59 <------- 41 Dmitry Medvedev
August 2007 Sergei Ivanov 54 <------- 46 Dmitry Medvedev
June 2007 Sergei Ivanov 55 <------- 46 Dmitry Medvedev
May 2007 Sergei Ivanov 49 -------> 51 Dmitry Medvedev
April 2007 Sergei Ivanov 55 <------- 45 Dmitry Medvedev
March 2007 Sergei Ivanov 52 <------- 48 Dmitry Medvedev
February 2007 Sergei Ivanov 48 -------> 52 Dmitry Medvedev
January 2007 Sergei Ivanov 46 -------> 54 Dmitry Medvedev

Polls by FOM

2007 polls

Opinion polling
Dates November 24—25 November 27—28 December 11—12 December 15—16 December 22—23
Vladimir Putin 57 57 60 54 - -
Dmitry Medvedev 3 3 3 9 32 46
Gennady Zyuganov 3 3 4 4 5 6
Vladimir Zhirinovsky 4 4 4 5 7 7
Boris Gryzlov 0 0 0 0 1 -
Sergei Ivanov 1 1 2 2 5 -
Sergey Mironov 1 1 2 1 2 -
Sergey Shoygu 1 1 2 2 4 -
Viktor Zubkov 1 1 1 1 2 -
Other 2 2 2 1 3 -
Will not participate 10 10 8 9 10 9
Don't know 16 16 12 12 28 25

2008 polls

Opinion polling
Dates January 12—13 January 19—20 January 26—27 February 2—3 February 9—10 February 16—17 February 20 February 23—24 March 2
Dmitry Medvedev 50 50 54 52 49 49.6 67.8 50 70.0 50
Gennady Zyuganov 6 6 5 7 9 9.1 16.3 9 15.8 9
Vladimir Zhirinovsky 7 7 7 7 8 8.7 13.7 9 12.4 8
Andrey Bogdanov 0 0 0 0 1 0.6 1.3 1 0.7 0
Will make ballot invalid - 0 1 1 0 0.6 0.9 1 — 1
Will not participate 10 9 10 9 11 9.3 — 9 — 10
Don't know 26 26 23 24 22 22.1 — 22 — 22

Exit polls

Agency Medvedev Zyuganov Zhirinovsky Bogdanov
POF 67.4% 19.5% 10.5% 1.4%

References

  1. (in Russian) Левада-Центр > ВЫБОРЫ 2008 Archived 2007-11-30 at the Wayback Machine
  2. "База данных ФОМ > Индикаторы".
  3. "База данных ФОМ > Индикаторы".
  4. "База данных ФОМ > Индикаторы".
  5. "База данных ФОМ > Индикаторы".
  6. "База данных ФОМ > Индикаторы".
  7. ^ "База данных ФОМ > Индикаторы".
  8. Preliminary forecast of the results of the election of the President of the Russian Federation on March 2, 2008 (according to a poll from February 16-17)
  9. "База данных ФОМ > Индикаторы".
  10. ^ Elections of the President of the Russian Federation: FOM forecast, exit-poll results and election results (CEC) FOM
  11. "База данных ФОМ > Индикаторы".
  12. Election of the President of the Russian Federation on March 2, 2008. Poll at the exit from polling stations (exit-poll). Final results FOM
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