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'''William Michael Connolley ''' (], ] - ) is a ]. Connolley is serving as the Physical Sciences Division's Senior Scientific Officer in the ] (]) of the ]. '''William Michael Connolley ''' (], ] - ) is a ]. Connolley is a Senior Scientific Officer in the Physical Sciences Division in the ] (]) project at the ].


==Biography== ==Biography==


Connolley holds a ] in ] and earned a ] from the ] for his work on ]. Connolley has published many articles in the field of ] and has expressed that it is ] that there is a ] {{ref|realclimate}} in the scientific community about ] topics such as ], and favors the various reports from the ] (IPCC) summarise this consensus (irrespective of accusation that the IPCC is biased). Connolley holds a ] in mathematics and D. Phil. from the ] for his work on ]. Connolley has published many articles in the field of ] and it is his view that there is a ] in the scientific community about ] topics such as ]; and believes that the various reports from the ] (IPCC) summarise this consensus.


===Sea ice=== ===Sea ice===

One of Connolley's current research interests is ], its observations and modelling, in ]s (GCM) and especially ]. Around Antarctica, direct observations of sea ice are sparse and even the most easily observable quantity, ice fraction, is not directly available; satellite ] (SSMI) based observations are used instead. However, different ]s produce somewhat different results, sufficiently so that verification of GCM output becomes difficult. Hence he has studied the validation of the SSMI products against more direct observations from ] observations in the ] area. In his investigation, the result indicate the the Bootstrap product appears to "''fit better''" than the ] Team product, and is it indicated that the GCM results are more relaistic than previously results. {{ref|mustelidblogspot}} One of Connolley's current research interests is ], its observations and modelling, in ]s (GCM) and especially ]. Around Antarctica, direct observations of sea ice are sparse and even the most easily observable quantity, ice fraction, is not directly available; satellite ] (SSMI) based observations are used instead. However, different ]s produce somewhat different results, sufficiently so that verification of GCM output becomes difficult. Hence he has studied the validation of the SSMI products against more direct observations from ] observations in the ] area. In his investigation, the result indicate the the Bootstrap product appears to "''fit better''" than the ] Team product, and is it indicated that the GCM results are more relaistic than previously results .


=== Activities === === Activities ===


Connolley believes the Earth is to be in ''global warming'' (and has spoken out against individuals and groups that do not fully this theory (including NASA){{ref|NoGlobalWarming}}). Connolley has long had an interest in confronting the notion that "all scientists were predicting an ice age in the ]" (known as ]). Connolley maintains a webpage analysing papers relevant to this. He actively posts to newsgroups such as ], writes for ] and a personal blog, and contributes to ]. According to Connolley, his activities in various outlets are to support his belief that scientists can and should participate in the public understanding of science. Connolley has long had an interest in confronting the notion that "all scientists were predicting an ice age in the ]" (known as ]). Connolley maintains a webpage analysing papers relevant to this. He actively posts to newsgroups such as ], writes for ] and a personal blog, and contributes to ]. According to Connolley, his activities in various outlets are to support his belief that scientists can and should participate in the public understanding of science.


== Publications == == Publications ==


* Connolley, W. M. . GRL 32 (7): art. no. L07501 ] ]. * Connolley, W. M. . GRL 32 (7): art. no. L07501 ] ]; see also ] for a popular expostion
* Connolley, W.M., J.M. Gregory, E. Hunke and A.J. Mclaren (2004), On The Consistent Scaling Of Terms In The Sea - Ice Dynamics Equation, ''J . Phys . Oceangr.'' 34 (7): 1776-1780 July ] * Connolley, W.M., J.M. Gregory, E. Hunke and A.J. Mclaren (2004), On The Consistent Scaling Of Terms In The Sea - Ice Dynamics Equation, ''J . Phys . Oceangr.'' 34 (7): 1776-1780 July ]
* Marshall, G.J., P.A. Stott, J. Turner, W.M. Connolley, J.C. King and T.A. Lachlancope (2004), Causes Of Exceptional Atmospheric Circulation Changes In The Southern Hemisphere, ''Geophys. Res. Lett.'' 31(14): Art . No. L14205 ] ] * Marshall, G.J., P.A. Stott, J. Turner, W.M. Connolley, J.C. King and T.A. Lachlancope (2004), Causes Of Exceptional Atmospheric Circulation Changes In The Southern Hemisphere, ''Geophys. Res. Lett.'' 31(14): Art . No. L14205 ] ]
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* W. M. Connolley and S. A. Harangozo, A comparison of five numerical weather prediction analysis climatologies in southern high latitudes, ''J. Climate'', v14, ] ], pp 30-44. * W. M. Connolley and S. A. Harangozo, A comparison of five numerical weather prediction analysis climatologies in southern high latitudes, ''J. Climate'', v14, ] ], pp 30-44.
* Turner, J, W Connolley, D Cresswell and S A Harangozo (2001). The simulation of Antarctic sea ice in the Hadley Centre climate model (HadCM3). ''Ann. Glaciol.'', 33, 585-591. * Turner, J, W Connolley, D Cresswell and S A Harangozo (2001). The simulation of Antarctic sea ice in the Hadley Centre climate model (HadCM3). ''Ann. Glaciol.'', 33, 585-591.

==References==
* {{note|realclimate}} "''''". realclimate.org.
* {{note|mustelidblogspot}} "''''". mustelid.blogspot.
* {{note|NoGlobalWarming}} "''''". sci.environment.


== External articles == == External articles ==
* (''ed''. Personal website / vanity pages) * (''ed''. Personal website / vanity pages)
** Connolley's webpage . ** Connolley's webpage .
* "''; Taking science by the throat ...''". mustelid.blogspot.com. (Connolley's personal blog) * "''; Taking science by the throat ...''". scienceblogs.com/stoat. (Connolley's personal blog)
* ]
* : Opinions and commentaries on climate science by some climate scientists for the interested public and journalists. It is stated that the site tries to be restricted to scientific topics and not to engage political or economic subjects. Contributors to this site ''do so in a personal capacity''.
* *
* Natural Environment Research Council - British Antarctic Survey (Work website) * Natural Environment Research Council - British Antarctic Survey (Work website)

Revision as of 19:37, 6 March 2006

File:Dscn1245-w-and-mr-w.jpg
2000/06 near Lescun

William Michael Connolley (April 12, 1964 - ) is a climate modeller. Connolley is a Senior Scientific Officer in the Physical Sciences Division in the Antarctic Climate and the Earth System (ACES) project at the British Antarctic Survey.

Biography

Connolley holds a Bachelor of Arts in mathematics and D. Phil. from the University of Oxford for his work on numerical analysis. Connolley has published many articles in the field of climatological research and it is his view that there is a consensus Just what is this Consensus anyway? in the scientific community about climate change topics such as global warming; and believes that the various reports from the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) summarise this consensus.

Sea ice

One of Connolley's current research interests is sea ice, its observations and modelling, in Global climate models (GCM) and especially HadCM3. Around Antarctica, direct observations of sea ice are sparse and even the most easily observable quantity, ice fraction, is not directly available; satellite Special Sensor Microwave/Imager (SSMI) based observations are used instead. However, different algorithms produce somewhat different results, sufficiently so that verification of GCM output becomes difficult. Hence he has studied the validation of the SSMI products against more direct observations from upward looking sonar observations in the Weddell Sea area. In his investigation, the result indicate the the Bootstrap product appears to "fit better" than the NASA Team product, and is it indicated that the GCM results are more relaistic than previously results .

Activities

Connolley has long had an interest in confronting the notion that "all scientists were predicting an ice age in the 1970s" (known as global cooling). Connolley maintains a webpage analysing papers relevant to this. He actively posts to newsgroups such as sci.environment, writes for RealClimate and a personal blog, and contributes to Misplaced Pages. According to Connolley, his activities in various outlets are to support his belief that scientists can and should participate in the public understanding of science.

Publications

  • Connolley, W. M. Sea ice concentrations in the Weddell Sea: A comparison of SSM/I, ULS, and GCM data. GRL 32 (7): art. no. L07501 2 April 2005; see also for a popular expostion
  • Connolley, W.M., J.M. Gregory, E. Hunke and A.J. Mclaren (2004), On The Consistent Scaling Of Terms In The Sea - Ice Dynamics Equation, J . Phys . Oceangr. 34 (7): 1776-1780 July 2004
  • Marshall, G.J., P.A. Stott, J. Turner, W.M. Connolley, J.C. King and T.A. Lachlancope (2004), Causes Of Exceptional Atmospheric Circulation Changes In The Southern Hemisphere, Geophys. Res. Lett. 31(14): Art . No. L14205 July 30 2004
  • J. C. King, J. Turner, G. J. Marshall, W. M. Connolley, and T. A. Lachlan-Cope. Antarctic Peninsula climate variability and its causes as revealed by instrumental records. Antarctic Research Series v79, pp17-30.
  • J. Turner, S. A. Harangozo, J. C. King, W. Connolley, T. Lachlan-Cope, and G. J. Marshall. 2003. An exceptional winter sea ice retreat/advance in the Bellingshausen Sea, Antarctica. Atmos. Ocean 41 (2) 2003, 171-185.
  • D. G. Vaughan, G. J. Marshall, W. M. Connolley, C. L. Parkinson, R. Mulvaney, D. A. Hodgson, J. C. King, C. J. Pudsey, and J. Turner. Recent rapid regional climate warming on the Antarctic Peninsula. Climatic Change, 60 (3): 243-274 October 2003
  • Translation of Fourier 1827: MEMOIRE sur les temperatures du globe terrestre et des espaces planetaires
  • Connolley, W. M., 2002, Long-term variation of the Antarctic Circumpolar Wave, Connolley, W. M., doi:10.1029/2000JC000380, JGR 108(C4)
  • Vaughan, D.G., G.J. Marshall, W.M. Connolley, J.C. King and R. Mulvaney. 2001. Climate change - devil in the detail. Science, 293, 1777-1779. Abstract: 7 September 2001
  • Tom A. Lachlan-Cope, William M. Connolley, and John Turner, The Role of the Non-Axisymmetric Antarctic Orography in Forcing the Observed Pattern of Variability of the Antarctic Climate, Geophysical Research Letters, 2001, v28 no 21, pp 4111-4114.
  • W. M. Connolley and S. A. Harangozo, A comparison of five numerical weather prediction analysis climatologies in southern high latitudes, J. Climate, v14, 1 January 2001, pp 30-44.
  • Turner, J, W Connolley, D Cresswell and S A Harangozo (2001). The simulation of Antarctic sea ice in the Hadley Centre climate model (HadCM3). Ann. Glaciol., 33, 585-591.

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