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{{Short description|Israel's deterrence strategy of massive retaliation with nuclear weapons}} | |||
'''The Samson Option''' is a term used to describe the most controversial of the strategies alleged to underlie ]'s development of a ]. This is a "last resort" ] of massive retaliation with ]s should the state of Israel be substantially damaged or destroyed. Such retaliation might involve targeting Arab or other nations considered enemies, including in response to massive conventional attacks. Israel officially maintains a policy of ] as to whether it has nuclear weapons, but it is estimated it has as many as 400 atomic and hydrogen nuclear weapons.<ref></ref> | |||
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{{for|the 1991 book |The Samson Option: Israel's Nuclear Arsenal and American Foreign Policy}} | |||
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| footer = According to the biblical narrative, ] died when he grasped two pillars of the Temple of Dagon, and "bowed himself with all his might" (Judges 16:30, ]). This has been variously interpreted as Samson pushing the pillars apart (''top'') or pulling them together (''bottom''). | |||
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| alt1 = Pushing | |||
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The '''Samson Option''' ({{langx|he|ברירת שמשון|b'rerat shimshon}}) is ]'s ] of ] with ]s as a "last resort" against a country whose military has invaded and/or destroyed much of Israel.<ref name=doctrine>{{cite web|url=http://www.globalsecurity.org/wmd/world/israel/doctrine.htm|title=Strategic Doctrine|publisher=Global Security|date=April 28, 2005}}</ref> Commentators also have employed the term to refer to situations where non-nuclear, non-Israeli actors have threatened ]s retaliation.<ref>{{Citation|first=Herb |last=Keinon |url=http://www.jpost.com/Editions/2002/01/31/News/News.42612.html |title=Selling the 'Samson option' |newspaper=The Jerusalem post |date=January 31, 2002 |url-status=dead |archiveurl=https://web.archive.org/web/20040623065523/http://www.jpost.com/Editions/2002/01/31/News/News.42612.html |archivedate=2004-06-23 }}</ref> | |||
The name is a reference to the ] Israelite ] ] who pushed apart the pillars of a ] temple, bringing down the roof and killing himself and thousands of Philistines who had captured him.{{Sfn | Hersh | 1991 | pp = 137}}<ref>{{cite web |last1=Beres |first1=Louis René |title=Israel and the "Samson Option" in an Interconnected World |url=https://mwi.westpoint.edu/israel-samson-option-interconnected-world/ |website=Modern War Institute |access-date=July 4, 2023 |date=November 16, 2018}}</ref> | |||
==Nuclear ambiguity== | |||
Additionally, some writers misidentify Israel’s whole nuclear weapons program as the "Samson Option".<ref>Examples include: Chris Hedges , Monday, October 9, 2006; George Perkovich, , a review of Michael Karpin’s book “The Bomb in the Basement” in the ''Washington Post'', February 19, 2006, BW03; , July 2, 2006.</ref> And in recent years the phrase has been applied to various situations where non-nuclear actors, such as Saddam Hussein, Yassir Arafat and Hezbollah threaten massive retaliation, and even to ] President ]'s foreign policy.<ref> Examples include: Herb Keinon, (used regarding Yassir Arafat’s conventional arms options); Tom Holsinger, "Staying Alive - Saddam's Samson Option," http://www.strategypage.com/strategypolitics/articles/20020620.asp | |||
{{see|Nuclear weapons and Israel}} | |||
June 20, 2002; Michael Young, Slate Magazine, Monday, August 7, 2006; Stephen Lendman, , March 12, 2007.</ref> | |||
Israel refuses to confirm or deny it has nuclear weapons or to describe how it would use them, a ] known as "nuclear ambiguity" or "nuclear opacity." This has made it difficult for anyone outside the Israeli government to describe the country's true nuclear policy definitively, while still allowing Israel to influence the perceptions, strategies and actions of other governments.{{Sfn | Cohen | 1998 | pp = 1–3, 7, 341}}<ref>{{Citation | first = Avner | last = Cohen | chapter-url = http://www.geocities.com/alabasters_archive/nuclear_opacity.html | chapter = Israel's Nuclear Opacity: a Political Genealogy | title = The Dynamics of Middle East Nuclear Proliferation | pages = 187–212 | editor1-first = Steven L | editor1-last = Spiegel | editor2-first = Jennifer D | editor2-last = Kibbe | editor3-first = Elizabeth G | editor3-last = Matthews | series = Symposium | volume = 66 | location = ] |publisher= ] | year = 2001}}.</ref> However, over the years, some Israeli leaders have publicly acknowledged their country's nuclear capability: ] in 1974, ] in 1981, ] in 1998, and ] in 2006.<ref name="nword">{{cite news |author=Katz |first=Yaakov |date=December 15, 2006 |title=Mum's the N-word |page=14 |work=] |publisher= |url=https://www.jpost.com/features/security-and-defense-mums-the-n-word |access-date=July 16, 2022}}</ref> | |||
During his 2006 confirmation hearings before the ] regarding his appointment as ]'s Secretary of Defense, ] admitted that Israel had nuclear weapons,<ref name=nword/> and two years later, in 2008, former US president ] stated the number of nuclear weapons held by Israel to be "150 or more".<ref name="reuters-idCAL2673174120080526">{{Cite news |title=Israel has at least 150 atomic weapons: Carter |last= |first= |website=] |date=May 26, 2008 |access-date=May 29, 2021 |url= https://www.reuters.com/article/instant-article/idCAL2673174120080526 |quote=Former President Jimmy Carter has said Israel holds at least 150 nuclear weapons, the first time a U.S. president has publicly acknowledged the Jewish state’s atomic arsenal. }}</ref> | |||
==Doctrine== | |||
Israel’s deterrence doctrine is shaped by its small size, concentrated population, strategic vulnerability, and the abundance of opponents and enemies within the ] and beyond. They seek either to push it back to much smaller borders or replace it with another state, using both diplomatic and military means. The threat of massive nuclear retaliation is seen as a credible deterrence able to prevent ] attacks against Israel. Some consider such retaliation a variation on the ] strategy. However, unlike that strategy, it could be applied against non-nuclear Arab nations and against nations which had not attacked it. | |||
In his 2008 book ''The Culture of War'', ], a professor of military history at Israel's ], wrote that since Gates admitted that Israel had nuclear weapons, any talk of Israel's nuclear weapons in Israel can lead to "arrest, trial, and imprisonment." Thus Israeli commentators talk in euphemisms such as "doomsday weapons" and the Samson Option.<ref>{{Citation | first = Martin | last = Van Creveld | title = The Culture of War | publisher = Random House Digital | year = 2008 | url = https://books.google.com/books?id=ytyMD5hxyRMC&q=Martin+van+Creveld+Samson+Option&pg=PA284 | page = 284 | isbn = 978-0-345-50540-8}}</ref> | |||
According to historian Avner Cohen, at least limited use of nuclear weapons might be triggered by successful ] penetration of populated areas, destruction of the ], massive air strikes or chemical/biological strikes on Israeli cities, and Arab use of nuclear weapons.<ref>Avner Cohen, ''Israel and the Bomb'', Columbia University Press, 1998); 273-274.</ref> | |||
Seymour Hersh writes that during the ] two major uses of the weapons were to convince the ] to support Israel with conventional weapons and to discourage the former ] from arming and aiding Arab nations. Israel went on nuclear alert during the 1973 ] to accomplish both goals. Hersh states that before Israel launched its own satellites it engaged in ] against the United States to obtain nuclear targeting information on Soviet targets.<ref>Hersh, 17, 40, 66, 174-75, 177, 216, 220, 223-230, 286, 291-296.</ref> | |||
Nevertheless, as early as 1976, the ] believed that Israel possessed 10 to 20 nuclear weapons.<ref>In March 1976 the CIA accidentally publicly admitted that Israel had 10–20 nuclear weapons "ready to use." Arthur Kranish, "CIA: Israel Has 10–20 A-Weapons," ''The Washington Post'', March 15, 1976, p. 2 and David Binder, "C.I.A. says Israel has 10–20 A-bombs," ''The New York Times'', March 16, 1976, p. 1.</ref> By 2002, it was estimated that the number had increased to between 75 and 200 ], each in the multiple-megaton range.<ref>{{Citation | last1 = Norris | first1 = Robert S | first2 = William | last2 = Arkin | author3-link = Hans M. Kristensen | first3 = Hans M | last3 = Kristensen | first4 = Joshua | last4 = Handler | title = Israeli nuclear forces, 2002 | journal = Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists | volume = 58 | number = 5 |date=September–October 2002 | pages = 73–5 | url = http://www.accessmylibrary.com/coms2/summary_0286-25888562_ITM | type = excerpt | doi=10.2968/058005020| bibcode = 2002BuAtS..58e..73N | s2cid = 145154481 }}</ref> Kenneth S. Brower has estimated as many as 400 nuclear weapons.<ref>{{Citation | first = Kenneth S | last = Brower | title = A Propensity for Conflict: Potential Scenarios and Outcomes of War in the Middle East | journal = Jane's Intelligence Review | type = special report | number = 14 |date=February 1997 | pages = 14–5}}.</ref> These can be ].<ref>{{Citation|first=Douglas |last=Frantz |publisher=Common dreams |url=http://www.commondreams.org/headlines03/1012-02.htm |title=Israel Adds Fuel to Nuclear Dispute, Officials confirm that the nation can now launch atomic weapons from land, sea and air |newspaper=The ] |date=October 12, 2003 |url-status=dead |archiveurl=https://web.archive.org/web/20071021000445/http://commondreams.org/headlines03/1012-02.htm |archivedate=October 21, 2007 }}.</ref> This gives Israel a ] option even if much of the country is destroyed.<ref>{{cite news |url=https://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/content/article/2006/08/24/AR2006082401050.html |newspaper=] |first=Ramit |last=Plushnick-Masti |title=Israel Buys 2 Nuclear-Capable Submarines |date=August 25, 2006}}</ref> | |||
Israel did not use the nuclear option after ] attacked Israel with ]s during the 1991 ], but it did go on full-scale nuclear alert and mobile nuclear missile launchers were deployed.<ref>Hersh, 318.</ref> During the build up to the United States ], and after discussions with President George W. Bush, then Prime Minister Ariel Sharon warned of possible massive retaliation should Iraq attack Israel. It is believed Bush gave Sharon the green-light to attack Baghdad, including with nuclear weapons, but only if attacks came before the American military invasion.<ref>Ross Dunn, "Sharon eyes 'Samson option' against Iraq," http://www.news.scotsman.com/international.cfm?id=1223502002, November 3, 2002.</ref> | |||
In 1991, American investigative journalist and ] winning political writer ] authored the book ''Samson Option: Israel's Nuclear Arsenal & American Foreign Policy''.<ref>published by Random House, 1991 ({{ISBN|0-394-57006-5}})</ref> In the preface of the book he writes: "This is a book about how Israel became a nuclear power in secret. It also tells how that secret was shared, sanctioned, and, at times, willfully ignored by the top political and military officials of the United States since the Eisenhower years." | |||
Israel's nuclear doctrine has become increasingly preemptive in recent years against any possible attack with conventional, chemical, biological or nuclear weapons, or even a potential conventional attack on Israel's weapons of mass destruction.<ref>Warner D. Farr, LTC, US Army, ; Louis Rene Beres, , 2003.</ref> Preemption is seen as a means of protecting ]s, of redrawing the map of the Middle East to increase Israel’s security and of ensuring an Israeli nuclear monopoly in the Middle East.<ref>Hersh, 288-289; Warner D. Farr article.</ref>{{verifysource}} ], who contributed to ], urges Israel to pursue a doctrine that mirrors the preemptive nuclear policies of the United States, as revealed in the ].<ref>Louis Rene Beres, Parameters, Spring 2007, pp. 37-54.</ref> | |||
==Deterrence doctrine== | |||
==Samson Option controversies== | |||
{{main|Nuclear strategy|Deterrence theory|Assured destruction}} | |||
The Israeli Samson Option is controversial because Israeli leaders have stated or implied that if Israel was destroyed it would retaliate with nuclear weapons against the cities of Arab and other enemy nations which did not directly attack it.{{cn}} Speculation from prominent Israeli supporters, Jewish and Christian, on how Israel might wreak revenge continue to fuel this controversy.{{cn}} | |||
Although nuclear weapons were viewed as the ultimate guarantor of Israeli security as early as the 1960s, the country avoided building its military around them, instead pursuing absolute conventional superiority so as to forestall a last resort nuclear engagement.<ref>{{Citation |url=http://www.globalsecurity.org/wmd/world/israel/doctrine.htm |contribution=Israel's Strategic Doctrine |publisher=Global Security |title=Weapons of mass destruction}}.</ref> The original conception of the Samson Option was only as deterrence. According to American journalist ] and Israeli historian ], Israeli leaders like ], ], ] and ] coined the phrase in the mid-1960s. They named it after the ] figure ], who pushed apart the pillars of a ] temple, bringing down the roof and killing himself and thousands of Philistines who had captured him, mutilated him, and gathered to see him further humiliated in chains as retribution for his massacres of their people.<ref>Singer, Isidore; et al., eds. (1901–1906), </ref><ref>Comay, Joan; Brownrigg, Ronald (1993). Who's Who in the Bible: The Old Testament and the Apocrypha, The New Testament. New York: Wing Books. pp. Old Testament, 318. {{ISBN|0-517-32170-X}}.</ref><ref>Rogerson, John W. (1999). </ref> They contrasted it with ancient siege of ] where 936 Jewish ] committed ] rather than be defeated and enslaved by the ].{{Sfn|Hersh|1991|pp=136–7}}{{Sfn|Cohen|1998|p=236–237}} | |||
In an article titled "Last Secret of the Six-Day War" the '']'' reported that in the days before the 1967 ] Israel planned to insert a team of paratroopers by helicopter into the ]. Their mission was to set up and remote detonate a nuclear bomb on a mountaintop as a warning to belligerent surrounding states. While outnumbered, Israel effectively eliminated the ] and occupied the Sinai, winning the war before the test could even be set up. Retired Israeli brigadier general Itzhak Yaakov referred to this operation as the Israeli Samson Option.<ref>{{Cite news|url=https://www.nytimes.com/2017/06/03/world/middleeast/1967-arab-israeli-war-nuclear-warning.html|title='Last Secret' of 1967 War: Israel's Doomsday Plan for Nuclear Display|last1=Broad|first1=William J.|date=June 3, 2017|work=The New York Times|access-date=2019-04-14|last2=Sanger|first2=David E.|language=en-US|issn=0362-4331}}</ref> | |||
===Quotes and citations=== | |||
In his book "The Samson Option", Seymour Hersh shares quotes from Israeli officials. A "''former Israeli govt official''" with "''first hand knowledge of his government’s nuclear weapons program''" told him: "''We can still remember the smell of Auschwitz and Treblinka. Next time we’ll take all of you with us.''" In 1982 when the United States refused to provide sufficient diplomatic cover for Israel’s invasion of Lebanon, Ariel Sharon said: "''We are much more important than (Americans) think. We can take the middle east with us whenever we go.''"{{Fact|date=November 2007}} Hersh quotes at length from a 1976 article by leading ] ] in ] entitled "The Abandonment of Israel": "''the Israelis would fight...with convention weapons for as long as they could, and if the tide were turning decisively against them, and if help in the form of resupply from the United States or any other guarantors were not forthcoming, it is safe to predict that they would fight with nuclear weapons in the end.''"<ref> Hersh, 42, 137, 289; also see http://www.commentarymagazine.com/cm/main/viewArticle.html?id=5685.</ref> | |||
In the 1973 ], Arab forces were overwhelming Israeli forces and Prime Minister ] authorized a nuclear alert and ordered 13 atomic bombs be readied for use by missiles and aircraft. The Israeli Ambassador informed President Nixon that "very serious conclusions" may occur if the United States did not airlift supplies. Nixon complied. This is seen by some commentators on the subject as the first threat of the use of the Samson Option.{{Sfn|Hersh|1991|pp=225–7}}{{Sfn|Cohen|1998|p=236}}<ref>{{Citation |first=Mark |last=Gaffney |title=Dimona, The Third Temple: The Story Behind the Vanunu Revelation |year=1989 |publisher=Amana Books |page=147}}.</ref><ref>{{Citation |first=Warner D |last=Farr |url=http://www.au.af.mil/au/awc/awcgate/cpc-pubs/farr.htm |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20000914203946/http://www.au.af.mil/au/awc/awcgate/cpc-pubs/farr.htm |url-status=dead |archive-date=September 14, 2000 |title=The Third Temple's Holy of Holies: Israel's Nuclear Weapons |series=Counterproliferation Paper |number=2 |publisher=USAF Counterproliferation Center, ] |date=September 1999}}.</ref><ref>], , '']'', October 6, 2003.</ref> | |||
Some quotes are widely circulated by news, pro-Israel, ] and even ] sites. One is former Israeli Prime Minister Ariel Sharon’s comment: "''Arabs may have the oil, but we have the matches.''"<ref>Mark Gaffney, ''Dimona: The Third Temple? The Story Behind the Vanunu Revelation'', Amana Books, 1989; 165.</ref> | |||
Seymour Hersh writes that the "surprising victory of ]'s ] in the May 1977 national elections ... brought to power a government that was even more committed than Labor to the Samson Option and the necessity of an Israeli nuclear arsenal."{{Sfn|Hersh|1991|p=259}} | |||
Also widely circulated are lurid rhetoric by some Israel supporters.{{Fact|date=November 2007}} One example is a 2002 quote from ], a professor of military history at the ] in ]: "''We possess several hundred atomic warheads and rockets and can launch them at targets in all directions, perhaps even at Rome. Most European capitals are targets for our air force. Let me quote General Moshe Dayan: ‘Israel must be like a mad dog, too dangerous to bother.’...We have the capability to take the world down with us. And I can assure you that that will happen before Israel goes under.''"<ref>David Hirst, , The Observer Guardian, September 21, 2003.</ref> | |||
], a professor of ] at ], chaired ], a group advising Prime Minister ]. He argues in the Final Report of Project Daniel and elsewhere that the effective deterrence of the Samson Option would be increased by ending the policy of nuclear ambiguity.<ref>{{Citation |publisher=ACPR |url=http://www.acpr.org.il/ENGLISH-NATIV/03-ISSUE/daniel-3.htm |title=Daniel Project final report |place=]}}.</ref> In a 2004 article he recommends Israel use the Samson Option threat to "support conventional preemptions" against enemy nuclear and non-nuclear assets because "without such weapons, Israel, having to rely entirely upon non-nuclear forces, might not be able to deter enemy retaliations for the Israeli ]."<ref>{{Citation |publisher=Jerusalem summit |url=http://www.jerusalemsummit.org/eng/razdel.php?article_id=101&id=15 |title=Israel and Samson. Biblical Insights on Israeli Strategy in the Nuclear Age}}.</ref> | |||
Another widely cited statement is from ] ] in an April, 2002 OpEd article in the ]: "''Israel has been building nuclear weapons for 30 years. The Jews understand what passive and powerless acceptance of doom has meant for them in the past, and they have ensured against it. ] was not an example to follow--it hurt the Romans not a whit, but Sampson in Gaza? With an H-bomb? What would serve the Jew-hating world better in repayment for thousands of years of massacres but a Nuclear Winter. Or invite all those tut-tutting European statesmen and peace activists to join us in the ovens? For the first time in history, a people facing extermination while the world either cackles or looks away--unlike the Armenians, Tibetans, World War II European Jews or Rwandans--have the power to destroy the world. The ultimate justice?''" Two pro-Israel web sites and promote Israel's use of the Samson Option. | |||
==Authors' opinions == | |||
Also controversial are quotes from ], many of whom encourage Israeli attacks on nations like ].<ref>Yitzak Benhoin, , July 18, 2007.</ref> It is believed that the goal of some may be to bring about ] and the ] of ].<ref>Gary North, , July 19, 2003.</ref> ], best-selling author of a number of books on the topic, recently wrote on a pro-Israel website: "''Israel will not just meekly fade away into destruction. And it certainly won't die alone, even if it has to destroy itself in the process of nuking the Middle East...I once encountered Ariel Sharon in the Knesset in the late 1970s. I asked him if Israel still had a ]. He boldly announced, "No longer 'Masada Option' - now 'Samson Option.'''"<ref>Hal Lindsey, , July 14, 2007.]</ref> Lindsey later wrote on a conservative web site: "''In the event of its impending destruction, Israel's retaliatory plan involves taking the Middle East along with it.''"<ref>Hal Lindsey, , WorldNetDaily.Com, September 21, 2007.</ref> ] repeated the refrain in a 2004 article: "''When Israel picked the name, the Samson Option, she was notifying the world that, if she goes down, she will take her enemies down with her.''"<ref>, Nov./Dec. 2004.</ref> | |||
Some have written about the "Samson Option" as a retaliation strategy. | |||
===Ari Shavit=== | |||
Israel supporters' claims it could "take down the world" are based on its ability to strike ] cities, thereby starting a world nuclear war.{{Fact|date=November 2007}} As Seymour Hersh revealed in "The Samson Option", Israel considered the former Soviet Union as its biggest enemy because of its diplomatic and military support for the Arabs. It developed the ability to hit Russian targets as early as 1971. Before launching its own spy satellites, Israel engaged in espionage on the United States in order to get accurate nuclear targeting information for cities in Western Russia.<ref>Hersh, 17, 66, 174-75, 177, 216, 220, 286.</ref> | |||
Israeli reporter ] writes of Israel's nuclear strategy:<ref>''My Promised Land'', by ], (London 2014), page 191</ref> | |||
Today Russia provides diplomatic and military ] and for the ].<ref>Herb Keinon, , ''The Jerusalem Post'', August 20, 2007; Michael Jasinski, ; Nasser Karimi, , Associated Press, September 16, 2007.</ref> In January 2007 Israeli officials voiced "extreme concern" over Russia's sale of advanced anti-aircraft missiles to Iran. Their statement, "''We hope they understand that this is a threat that could come back to them as well''", could be read as a threat against Russia itself.<ref>Yaakov Katz and Herb Keinon, , ''Jerusalem Post'', January 16, 2007</ref> Israel has blamed tensions with Syria on Russia.<ref>, Agence France Presse (AFP), August 31, 2007</ref> | |||
{{Quote|Concerning anything and everything nuclear, Israel would be much, much more cautious than the United States and NATO. Concerning anything and everything nuclear, Israel would be the responsible adult of the international community. It would well understand the formidable nature of the demon and keep it locked in the basement"}} | |||
], in a article entitled "Big, bad Israel?" explicitly states that the United States also might be destroyed: "''For if the day should ever arrive that Israel is destroyed by its enemies, the U.S. will surely and shortly thereafter meet its own demise.''"<ref>Tom Ambrose, September 2, 2003.</ref> This may refer to likely Russian retaliation on Israel's allies in Europe and on the United States for any Israeli nuclear attack on Russia. The United States, of course, would ].<ref>*</ref> | |||
===David Perlmutter=== | |||
In 2002, the '']'' published an opinion piece by ] professor ]. | |||
{{quote |Israel has been building nuclear weapons for 30 years. The Jews understand what passive and powerless acceptance of doom has meant for them in the past, and they have ensured against it. ] was not an example to follow—it hurt the Romans not a whit, but Samson in Gaza? What would serve the Jew-hating world better in repayment for thousands of years of massacres but a ]. Or invite all those tut-tutting European statesmen and peace activists to join us in the ovens? For the first time in history, a people facing extermination while the world either cackles or looks away—unlike the Armenians, Tibetans, World War II European Jews or Rwandans—have the power to destroy the world. The ultimate justice?<ref>{{Citation | first = David | last = Perlmutter | type = opinion piece | title = Israel: Dark Thoughts and Quiet Desperation | newspaper = The ] | date = April 7, 2002 | url = https://www.latimes.com/archives/la-xpm-2002-apr-07-op-perlmutter-story.html | url-status = live | archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20180728195841/http://articles.latimes.com/2002/apr/07/opinion/op-perlmutter | archive-date=July 28, 2018}}.</ref>}} | |||
In his 2012 book ''How the End Begins: The Road to a Nuclear World War III'', the American Jewish author ] described this opinion piece as "goes so far as to justify a Samson Option approach".{{Sfn | Rosenbaum | 2012 | pp = }}<br> | |||
In that book, Rosenbaum also opined that in the "aftermath of a second Holocaust", Israel could "bring down the pillars of the world (attack Moscow and European capitals for instance)" as well as the "holy places of Islam." and that the "abandonment of proportionality is the essence" of the Samson Option.{{Dubious|date=January 2016}}{{Sfn | Rosenbaum | 2012 | pp = 21–2, 141–2}} | |||
===Martin van Creveld=== | |||
In 2003, a military historian, ], thought that the ] then in progress threatened Israel's existence.<ref>{{Citation | url = http://books.guardian.co.uk/extracts/story/0,,1046646,00.html | place = UK | title = We have the capability to take the world down with us | newspaper = The Guardian | date=September 21, 2003}}.</ref> Van Creveld was quoted in David Hirst's ''The Gun and the Olive Branch'' (2003) as saying: | |||
{{quote |We possess several hundred atomic warheads and rockets and can launch them at targets in all directions, perhaps even at Rome. Most European capitals are targets for our air force. Let me quote General ]: 'Israel must be like a mad dog, too dangerous to bother.' I consider it all hopeless at this point. We shall have to try to prevent things from coming to that, if at all possible. Our armed forces, however, are not the thirtieth strongest in the world, but rather the second or third. We have the capability to take the world down with us. And I can assure you that that will happen before Israel goes under.<ref>{{Citation | url = https://www.theguardian.com/world/2003/sep/21/israelandthepalestinians.bookextracts | title= Extract: The Gun and the Olive Branch | newspaper = ] | place = UK | date = 20 September 2003}}.</ref>}} | |||
However, according to ] ], who was the mastermind behind the "Samson Option",<ref>{{Cite news|url=https://www.ynetnews.com/articles/0,7340,L-4971018,00.html|title=Israel planned to detonate nuclear device in Sinai during Six-Day War|date=April 6, 2017|website=Ynetnews|language=en|access-date=2019-04-14|last1=Bergman|first1=Ronen|last2=Shmilovitz|first2=Tzipi}}</ref> it was unlikely Israel could have even targeted Europe{{Citation needed|date=May 2024}}, as Israel did not yet have other measures like bombs or missiles to carry the nuclear payload. | |||
===Günter Grass=== | |||
In 2012, ] published the poem "Was gesagt werden muss" ("]") which criticized Israel's nuclear weapons program. | |||
Israeli poet and ] survivor ] published a poem entitled "The Right to Exist: a Poem-Letter to the German Author" which addresses Grass by name. It contains the line: "If you force us yet again to descend from the face of the Earth to the depths of the Earth—let the Earth roll toward the Nothingness". | |||
Israeli '']'' journalist ] saw this poem as referring to the Samson Option, which he described as the strategy of using Israel's nuclear weapons for "taking out Israel's enemies with it, possibly causing irreparable damage to the entire world."<ref>{{Citation | first = Gil | last = Ronen | url = http://www.israelnationalnews.com/News/News.aspx/154608#.T4H4MtXAE14 | title = Israeli Letter-poem to Grass: If We Go, Everyone Goes | newspaper = ] | date = April 8, 2012}}.</ref> | |||
== Use of the Samson story for other controversial tactics == | |||
{{see also|Jewish insurgency in Mandatory Palestine}} | |||
When the ] were discussing ways to assassinate ], the British Army commander in ], a ] to do the assassination as a ].<ref name="Samson (en)" /><ref name="ansheim 2002" /><ref name="Margalit" /> She said "{{ill|Let my soul die with the Philistines|he|תמות נפשי עם פלשתים}}" as a reference to the Samson story in the ].<ref name="Samson (en)" /><ref name="ansheim 2002" /><ref name="Margalit" /> Other members of the group rejected her offer.<ref name="Samson (en)" >{{cite web | title= Raskin, Fania – Freedom Fighters of Israel Heritage Association | url= https://lehi.org.il/en/raskin-fania/ | archive-url= https://web.archive.org/web/20220707020736/https://lehi.org.il/en/raskin-fania/ | archive-date= 7 July 2022 | quote= "Fania then spoke up and volunteered herself. She was sure that for an operation such as this, she would find the strength to stand and walk. “My life is no life anyway” she added. This was a “Let my soul die with the Philistines” proposal, the Samson option. Of course, her suggestion was rejected. Fania Raskin passed away on July 20, 1947, in Jerusalem. She was thirty-one."}}</ref><ref name="Margalit" >{{cite web | script-title= he: רסקין פַניה – “מרגלית” – העמותה להנצחת מורשת לח״י | url= https://lehi.org.il/he/%d7%a8%d7%a1%d7%a7%d7%99%d7%9f-%d7%a4%d6%b7%d7%a0%d7%99%d7%94/ |language=he-IL}}</ref><ref name="ansheim 2002" >{{cite book | title= Lehi People | script-title= he: לח''י אנשים | date= 2002 | location= Tel Aviv |page=800| url= https://books.lehi.org.il/wp-content/uploads/2018/03/%D7%9C%D7%97%D7%99-%D7%90%D7%A0%D7%A9%D7%99%D7%9D-2-%D7%93%D7%99%D7%92%D7%99%D7%98%D7%9C%D7%99.pdf | access-date= 21 December 2024 | archive-url= https://web.archive.org/web/20241221184320/https://books.lehi.org.il/wp-content/uploads/2018/03/%D7%9C%D7%97%D7%99-%D7%90%D7%A0%D7%A9%D7%99%D7%9D-2-%D7%93%D7%99%D7%92%D7%99%D7%98%D7%9C%D7%99.pdf | archive-date= 21 December 2024 |format=pdf| quote= כאשר תוכננה התנקשות בגנרל בארקר, מפקד הצבא הבריטי בארץ־ישראל, הועלה רעיון, שבחורה תטייל עם עגלת תינוק, שתתפוצץ כאשר הגנרל יעבור לידה. נשאלה השאלה איך הבחורה תצליח להסתלק לפני ההתפוצצות. כאן התפרצה פניה והציעה את עצמה. בשביל פעולה כזאת, אמרה, היא תמצא כוחות לעמוד וללכת. ״ממילא חיי אינם חיים״, הוסיפה היא התכוונה לפעולת ״תמות נפשי עם פלשתים״. הצעתה נדחתה, כמובן. פניה רסקין הלכה לעולמה ב־-20.7.1947ג׳ מנחם אב תש״ז, בירושלים והיא בת 31 |language=he-IL}}</ref> | |||
==See also== | ==See also== | ||
* {{ill|Let my soul die with the Philistines|he|תמות נפשי עם פלשתים}} | |||
* ] | |||
* {{annotated link|Dahiya doctrine}} | |||
* ] | |||
* {{annotated link|Hannibal Directive}} | |||
* ] | |||
* {{annotated link|Israel and weapons of mass destruction}} | |||
* ] | |||
* {{annotated link|Massive retaliation}} | |||
* ] | |||
* {{annotated link|Mutual assured destruction}} | |||
* {{annotated link|No first use}} | |||
* {{annotated link|Nuclear weapons and Israel}} | |||
* {{annotated link|Pre-emptive nuclear strike}} | |||
* {{annotated link|Preventive war}} | |||
* {{annotated link|Project Daniel}} | |||
==References== | ==References== | ||
{{ |
{{Reflist}} | ||
==Bibliography== | |||
* {{Citation | first = Avner | last = Cohen | title = Israel and the Bomb | publisher = Columbia University Press | year = 1998}}. | |||
* {{Citation | first = Seymour | last = Hersh | title = The Samson Option: Israel's Nuclear Arsenal and American Foreign Policy | publisher = Random House | year = 1991}}. | |||
* {{Citation | first = Ron | last = Rosenbaum | title = How the End Begins: The Road to a Nuclear World War III | publisher = ] | year = 2012 | isbn = 978-1-4165-9422-2}}. | |||
==External links== | ==External links== | ||
*], {{Webarchive|url=https://web.archive.org/web/20080117171515/http://www.jerusalemsummit.org/eng/razdel.php?article_id=101&id=15 |date=January 17, 2008 }}, . | |||
* | |||
*Ross Dunn, , , November 3, 2002. | |||
* | |||
*Ross Dunn, , , September 20, 2002. | |||
* | |||
*], , The Observer Guardian, September 21, 2003. | |||
* | |||
* {{Citation | url = http://www.fas.org/nuke/guide/israel/doctrine/ | contribution = Strategic Doctrine | title = Israel | publisher = Federation of American Scientists}}. | |||
{{Samson}} | |||
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Latest revision as of 18:26, 13 January 2025
Israel's deterrence strategy of massive retaliation with nuclear weaponsFor the 1991 book, see The Samson Option: Israel's Nuclear Arsenal and American Foreign Policy. Samson OptionAccording to the biblical narrative, Samson died when he grasped two pillars of the Temple of Dagon, and "bowed himself with all his might" (Judges 16:30, KJV). This has been variously interpreted as Samson pushing the pillars apart (top) or pulling them together (bottom).
The Samson Option (Hebrew: ברירת שמשון, romanized: b'rerat shimshon) is Israel's deterrence strategy of massive retaliation with nuclear weapons as a "last resort" against a country whose military has invaded and/or destroyed much of Israel. Commentators also have employed the term to refer to situations where non-nuclear, non-Israeli actors have threatened conventional weapons retaliation.
The name is a reference to the biblical Israelite judge Samson who pushed apart the pillars of a Philistine temple, bringing down the roof and killing himself and thousands of Philistines who had captured him.
Nuclear ambiguity
Further information: Nuclear weapons and IsraelIsrael refuses to confirm or deny it has nuclear weapons or to describe how it would use them, a policy of deliberate ambiguity known as "nuclear ambiguity" or "nuclear opacity." This has made it difficult for anyone outside the Israeli government to describe the country's true nuclear policy definitively, while still allowing Israel to influence the perceptions, strategies and actions of other governments. However, over the years, some Israeli leaders have publicly acknowledged their country's nuclear capability: Ephraim Katzir in 1974, Moshe Dayan in 1981, Shimon Peres in 1998, and Ehud Olmert in 2006.
During his 2006 confirmation hearings before the United States Senate regarding his appointment as George W. Bush's Secretary of Defense, Robert Gates admitted that Israel had nuclear weapons, and two years later, in 2008, former US president Jimmy Carter stated the number of nuclear weapons held by Israel to be "150 or more".
In his 2008 book The Culture of War, Martin van Creveld, a professor of military history at Israel's Hebrew University, wrote that since Gates admitted that Israel had nuclear weapons, any talk of Israel's nuclear weapons in Israel can lead to "arrest, trial, and imprisonment." Thus Israeli commentators talk in euphemisms such as "doomsday weapons" and the Samson Option.
Nevertheless, as early as 1976, the CIA believed that Israel possessed 10 to 20 nuclear weapons. By 2002, it was estimated that the number had increased to between 75 and 200 thermonuclear weapons, each in the multiple-megaton range. Kenneth S. Brower has estimated as many as 400 nuclear weapons. These can be launched from land, sea and air. This gives Israel a second strike option even if much of the country is destroyed.
In 1991, American investigative journalist and Pulitzer Prize winning political writer Seymour Hersh authored the book Samson Option: Israel's Nuclear Arsenal & American Foreign Policy. In the preface of the book he writes: "This is a book about how Israel became a nuclear power in secret. It also tells how that secret was shared, sanctioned, and, at times, willfully ignored by the top political and military officials of the United States since the Eisenhower years."
Deterrence doctrine
Main articles: Nuclear strategy, Deterrence theory, and Assured destructionAlthough nuclear weapons were viewed as the ultimate guarantor of Israeli security as early as the 1960s, the country avoided building its military around them, instead pursuing absolute conventional superiority so as to forestall a last resort nuclear engagement. The original conception of the Samson Option was only as deterrence. According to American journalist Seymour Hersh and Israeli historian Avner Cohen, Israeli leaders like David Ben-Gurion, Shimon Peres, Levi Eshkol and Moshe Dayan coined the phrase in the mid-1960s. They named it after the biblical figure Samson, who pushed apart the pillars of a Philistine temple, bringing down the roof and killing himself and thousands of Philistines who had captured him, mutilated him, and gathered to see him further humiliated in chains as retribution for his massacres of their people. They contrasted it with ancient siege of Masada where 936 Jewish Sicarii committed mass suicide rather than be defeated and enslaved by the Romans.
In an article titled "Last Secret of the Six-Day War" the New York Times reported that in the days before the 1967 Six-Day War Israel planned to insert a team of paratroopers by helicopter into the Sinai. Their mission was to set up and remote detonate a nuclear bomb on a mountaintop as a warning to belligerent surrounding states. While outnumbered, Israel effectively eliminated the Egyptian Air Force and occupied the Sinai, winning the war before the test could even be set up. Retired Israeli brigadier general Itzhak Yaakov referred to this operation as the Israeli Samson Option.
In the 1973 Yom Kippur War, Arab forces were overwhelming Israeli forces and Prime Minister Golda Meir authorized a nuclear alert and ordered 13 atomic bombs be readied for use by missiles and aircraft. The Israeli Ambassador informed President Nixon that "very serious conclusions" may occur if the United States did not airlift supplies. Nixon complied. This is seen by some commentators on the subject as the first threat of the use of the Samson Option.
Seymour Hersh writes that the "surprising victory of Menachem Begin's Likud Party in the May 1977 national elections ... brought to power a government that was even more committed than Labor to the Samson Option and the necessity of an Israeli nuclear arsenal."
Louis René Beres, a professor of political science at Purdue University, chaired Project Daniel, a group advising Prime Minister Ariel Sharon. He argues in the Final Report of Project Daniel and elsewhere that the effective deterrence of the Samson Option would be increased by ending the policy of nuclear ambiguity. In a 2004 article he recommends Israel use the Samson Option threat to "support conventional preemptions" against enemy nuclear and non-nuclear assets because "without such weapons, Israel, having to rely entirely upon non-nuclear forces, might not be able to deter enemy retaliations for the Israeli preemptive strike."
Authors' opinions
Some have written about the "Samson Option" as a retaliation strategy.
Ari Shavit
Israeli reporter Ari Shavit writes of Israel's nuclear strategy:
Concerning anything and everything nuclear, Israel would be much, much more cautious than the United States and NATO. Concerning anything and everything nuclear, Israel would be the responsible adult of the international community. It would well understand the formidable nature of the demon and keep it locked in the basement"
David Perlmutter
In 2002, the Los Angeles Times published an opinion piece by Louisiana State University professor David Perlmutter.
Israel has been building nuclear weapons for 30 years. The Jews understand what passive and powerless acceptance of doom has meant for them in the past, and they have ensured against it. Masada was not an example to follow—it hurt the Romans not a whit, but Samson in Gaza? What would serve the Jew-hating world better in repayment for thousands of years of massacres but a Nuclear Winter. Or invite all those tut-tutting European statesmen and peace activists to join us in the ovens? For the first time in history, a people facing extermination while the world either cackles or looks away—unlike the Armenians, Tibetans, World War II European Jews or Rwandans—have the power to destroy the world. The ultimate justice?
In his 2012 book How the End Begins: The Road to a Nuclear World War III, the American Jewish author Ron Rosenbaum described this opinion piece as "goes so far as to justify a Samson Option approach".
In that book, Rosenbaum also opined that in the "aftermath of a second Holocaust", Israel could "bring down the pillars of the world (attack Moscow and European capitals for instance)" as well as the "holy places of Islam." and that the "abandonment of proportionality is the essence" of the Samson Option.
Martin van Creveld
In 2003, a military historian, Martin van Creveld, thought that the Second Intifada then in progress threatened Israel's existence. Van Creveld was quoted in David Hirst's The Gun and the Olive Branch (2003) as saying:
We possess several hundred atomic warheads and rockets and can launch them at targets in all directions, perhaps even at Rome. Most European capitals are targets for our air force. Let me quote General Moshe Dayan: 'Israel must be like a mad dog, too dangerous to bother.' I consider it all hopeless at this point. We shall have to try to prevent things from coming to that, if at all possible. Our armed forces, however, are not the thirtieth strongest in the world, but rather the second or third. We have the capability to take the world down with us. And I can assure you that that will happen before Israel goes under.
However, according to Aluf Yitzhak Yaakov, who was the mastermind behind the "Samson Option", it was unlikely Israel could have even targeted Europe, as Israel did not yet have other measures like bombs or missiles to carry the nuclear payload.
Günter Grass
In 2012, Günter Grass published the poem "Was gesagt werden muss" ("What Must Be Said") which criticized Israel's nuclear weapons program.
Israeli poet and Holocaust survivor Itamar Yaoz-Kest published a poem entitled "The Right to Exist: a Poem-Letter to the German Author" which addresses Grass by name. It contains the line: "If you force us yet again to descend from the face of the Earth to the depths of the Earth—let the Earth roll toward the Nothingness".
Israeli Jerusalem Post journalist Gil Ronen saw this poem as referring to the Samson Option, which he described as the strategy of using Israel's nuclear weapons for "taking out Israel's enemies with it, possibly causing irreparable damage to the entire world."
Use of the Samson story for other controversial tactics
See also: Jewish insurgency in Mandatory PalestineWhen the Lehi militant group were discussing ways to assassinate General Barker, the British Army commander in Mandatory Palestine, a young woman volunteered to do the assassination as a suicide bombing. She said "Let my soul die with the Philistines [he]" as a reference to the Samson story in the Hebrew Bible. Other members of the group rejected her offer.
See also
- Let my soul die with the Philistines [he]
- Dahiya doctrine – Doctrine of total leveling of civilian buildings
- Hannibal Directive – Controversial Israeli military protocol
- Israel and weapons of mass destruction
- Massive retaliation – Military doctrine focusing on using more force in retaliation to an attack
- Mutual assured destruction – Doctrine of military strategy
- No first use – Refrainment from using weapons of mass destruction unless attacked with them first
- Nuclear weapons and Israel – Israel's possible control of nuclear weapons
- Pre-emptive nuclear strike – Preemptive attack using nuclear weaponsPages displaying short descriptions of redirect targets
- Preventive war – Military action to prevent an enemy from acquiring attack capabilities in the medium term
- Project Daniel – An Israeli threat assessment of other Middle Eastern countries
References
- "Strategic Doctrine". Global Security. April 28, 2005.
- Keinon, Herb (January 31, 2002), "Selling the 'Samson option'", The Jerusalem post, archived from the original on June 23, 2004
- Hersh 1991, pp. 137.
- Beres, Louis René (November 16, 2018). "Israel and the "Samson Option" in an Interconnected World". Modern War Institute. Retrieved July 4, 2023.
- Cohen 1998, pp. 1–3, 7, 341.
- Cohen, Avner (2001), "Israel's Nuclear Opacity: a Political Genealogy", in Spiegel, Steven L; Kibbe, Jennifer D; Matthews, Elizabeth G (eds.), The Dynamics of Middle East Nuclear Proliferation, Symposium, vol. 66, Lewiston, New York: Edwin Mellen Press, pp. 187–212.
- ^ Katz, Yaakov (December 15, 2006). "Mum's the N-word". The Jerusalem Post. p. 14. Retrieved July 16, 2022.
- "Israel has at least 150 atomic weapons: Carter". Reuters. May 26, 2008. Retrieved May 29, 2021.
Former President Jimmy Carter has said Israel holds at least 150 nuclear weapons, the first time a U.S. president has publicly acknowledged the Jewish state's atomic arsenal.
- Van Creveld, Martin (2008), The Culture of War, Random House Digital, p. 284, ISBN 978-0-345-50540-8
- In March 1976 the CIA accidentally publicly admitted that Israel had 10–20 nuclear weapons "ready to use." Arthur Kranish, "CIA: Israel Has 10–20 A-Weapons," The Washington Post, March 15, 1976, p. 2 and David Binder, "C.I.A. says Israel has 10–20 A-bombs," The New York Times, March 16, 1976, p. 1.
- Norris, Robert S; Arkin, William; Kristensen, Hans M; Handler, Joshua (September–October 2002), "Israeli nuclear forces, 2002", Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists (excerpt), 58 (5): 73–5, Bibcode:2002BuAtS..58e..73N, doi:10.2968/058005020, S2CID 145154481
- Brower, Kenneth S (February 1997), "A Propensity for Conflict: Potential Scenarios and Outcomes of War in the Middle East", Jane's Intelligence Review (special report) (14): 14–5.
- Frantz, Douglas (October 12, 2003), "Israel Adds Fuel to Nuclear Dispute, Officials confirm that the nation can now launch atomic weapons from land, sea and air", The Los Angeles Times, Common dreams, archived from the original on October 21, 2007.
- Plushnick-Masti, Ramit (August 25, 2006). "Israel Buys 2 Nuclear-Capable Submarines". The Washington Post.
- published by Random House, 1991 (ISBN 0-394-57006-5)
- "Israel's Strategic Doctrine", Weapons of mass destruction, Global Security.
- Singer, Isidore; et al., eds. (1901–1906), "Samson"
- Comay, Joan; Brownrigg, Ronald (1993). Who's Who in the Bible: The Old Testament and the Apocrypha, The New Testament. New York: Wing Books. pp. Old Testament, 318. ISBN 0-517-32170-X.
- Rogerson, John W. (1999). Chronicle of the Old Testament Kings: The Reign-By-Reign Record of the Rulers of Ancient Israel.
- Hersh 1991, pp. 136–7.
- Cohen 1998, p. 236–237.
- Broad, William J.; Sanger, David E. (June 3, 2017). "'Last Secret' of 1967 War: Israel's Doomsday Plan for Nuclear Display". The New York Times. ISSN 0362-4331. Retrieved April 14, 2019.
- Hersh 1991, pp. 225–7.
- Cohen 1998, p. 236.
- Gaffney, Mark (1989), Dimona, The Third Temple: The Story Behind the Vanunu Revelation, Amana Books, p. 147.
- Farr, Warner D (September 1999), The Third Temple's Holy of Holies: Israel's Nuclear Weapons, Counterproliferation Paper, USAF Counterproliferation Center, Air War College, archived from the original on September 14, 2000.
- Avner Cohen, The Last Nuclear Moment, The New York Times, October 6, 2003.
- Hersh 1991, p. 259.
- Daniel Project final report, IL: ACPR.
- Israel and Samson. Biblical Insights on Israeli Strategy in the Nuclear Age, Jerusalem summit.
- My Promised Land, by Ari Shavit, (London 2014), page 191
- Perlmutter, David (April 7, 2002), "Israel: Dark Thoughts and Quiet Desperation", The Los Angeles Times (opinion piece), archived from the original on July 28, 2018.
- Rosenbaum 2012, pp. 22–3.
- Rosenbaum 2012, pp. 21–2, 141–2.
- "We have the capability to take the world down with us", The Guardian, UK, September 21, 2003.
- "Extract: The Gun and the Olive Branch", The Observer, UK, September 20, 2003.
- Bergman, Ronen; Shmilovitz, Tzipi (April 6, 2017). "Israel planned to detonate nuclear device in Sinai during Six-Day War". Ynetnews. Retrieved April 14, 2019.
- Ronen, Gil (April 8, 2012), "Israeli Letter-poem to Grass: If We Go, Everyone Goes", Israel National News.
- ^ "Raskin, Fania – Freedom Fighters of Israel Heritage Association". Archived from the original on July 7, 2022.
Fania then spoke up and volunteered herself. She was sure that for an operation such as this, she would find the strength to stand and walk. "My life is no life anyway" she added. This was a "Let my soul die with the Philistines" proposal, the Samson option. Of course, her suggestion was rejected. Fania Raskin passed away on July 20, 1947, in Jerusalem. She was thirty-one.
- ^ Lehi People לחי אנשים (PDF) (in Hebrew). Tel Aviv. 2002. p. 800. Archived from the original (pdf) on December 21, 2024. Retrieved December 21, 2024.
כאשר תוכננה התנקשות בגנרל בארקר, מפקד הצבא הבריטי בארץ־ישראל, הועלה רעיון, שבחורה תטייל עם עגלת תינוק, שתתפוצץ כאשר הגנרל יעבור לידה. נשאלה השאלה איך הבחורה תצליח להסתלק לפני ההתפוצצות. כאן התפרצה פניה והציעה את עצמה. בשביל פעולה כזאת, אמרה, היא תמצא כוחות לעמוד וללכת. ״ממילא חיי אינם חיים״, הוסיפה היא התכוונה לפעולת ״תמות נפשי עם פלשתים״. הצעתה נדחתה, כמובן. פניה רסקין הלכה לעולמה ב־-20.7.1947ג׳ מנחם אב תש״ז, בירושלים והיא בת 31
{{cite book}}
: CS1 maint: location missing publisher (link) - ^ רסקין פַניה – “מרגלית” – העמותה להנצחת מורשת לח״י (in Hebrew).
Bibliography
- Cohen, Avner (1998), Israel and the Bomb, Columbia University Press.
- Hersh, Seymour (1991), The Samson Option: Israel's Nuclear Arsenal and American Foreign Policy, Random House.
- Rosenbaum, Ron (2012), How the End Begins: The Road to a Nuclear World War III, Simon & Schuster, ISBN 978-1-4165-9422-2.
External links
- Louis René Beres, Israel and Samson. Biblical Insights on Israeli Strategy in the Nuclear Age Archived January 17, 2008, at the Wayback Machine, JerusalemSummit.Org.
- Ross Dunn, Sharon eyes 'Samson option' against Iraq, Scotsman.Com news, November 3, 2002.
- Ross Dunn, In war, Israel retains the Samson option, Sydney Morning Herald, September 20, 2002.
- David Hirst, The War Game, a controversial view of the current crisis in the Middle East, The Observer Guardian, September 21, 2003.
- "Strategic Doctrine", Israel, Federation of American Scientists.
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