Revision as of 22:59, 21 April 2008 editWilliam M. Connolley (talk | contribs)Autopatrolled, Extended confirmed users, Pending changes reviewers, Rollbackers66,032 edits rv: you're close to a consensus in your own mind if nowhere else. Peiser was, alas, wrong. Thats the real world for you. Please stop the whitewash.← Previous edit | Revision as of 23:04, 21 April 2008 edit undoGrazen (talk | contribs)100 edits You are not being helpful William - you need to generate a consensus before changing things that we have had a previous consensus on. Relax and calm down.Next edit → | ||
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In the essay she reported an analysis of “928 abstracts, published in refereed scientific journals between 1993 and 2003 and published in the ] database with the keywords ‘climate change’”.<ref></ref><ref></ref> The essay stated the analysis was to test the hypothesis that the drafting of reports and statements by societies such as the ], ] and ] might downplay legitimate dissenting opinions on ]. After the analysis, she concluded that 75 percent of the examined abstracts either explicitly or implicitly backed the consensus view, while none directly dissented from it. The essay received a great deal of media attention from around the world. | In the essay she reported an analysis of “928 abstracts, published in refereed scientific journals between 1993 and 2003 and published in the ] database with the keywords ‘climate change’”.<ref></ref><ref></ref> The essay stated the analysis was to test the hypothesis that the drafting of reports and statements by societies such as the ], ] and ] might downplay legitimate dissenting opinions on ]. After the analysis, she concluded that 75 percent of the examined abstracts either explicitly or implicitly backed the consensus view, while none directly dissented from it. The essay received a great deal of media attention from around the world. | ||
Oreskes' conclusions were also ] by ], a social anthropologist who repeated her search, but specifying "all document types." This led to a different result than obtained by Oreskes; he enumerated the figure of backing the consensus view at closer to only 30% <ref name="Peiser"></ref>. Peiser's letter to ''Science'' on the subject was rejected by the editors, on the grounds that he already had disseminated his results widely on the internet. | |||
Oreskes's study has been criticized by social anthropologist ] in an unpublished manuscript.<ref> '']''</ref> Peiser's main objection was to the claim of an unanimous consensus, as opposed to a majority consensus.<ref></ref><ref> {{date|17-03-2006}}</ref>. Peisers analysis was shown to be wrong <ref></ref>. | |||
In 2007, Oreskes expanded her analysis, stating that approximately 20 percent of abstracts explicitly endorsed the consensus on climate change that: "Earth's climate is being affected by human activities". In addition, 55 percent of abstracts "implicitly" endorsed the consensus by engaging in research to characterize the ongoing and/or future impact of climate change (50 percent of abstracts) or to mitigate against predicted changes (5 percent). The remaining 25 percent either focused on paleoclimate (10) or developing measurement techniques (15) and Oreskes considered these to be agnostic on the reality of climate change.<ref>{{cite book | In 2007, Oreskes expanded her analysis, stating that approximately 20 percent of abstracts explicitly endorsed the consensus on climate change that: "Earth's climate is being affected by human activities". In addition, 55 percent of abstracts "implicitly" endorsed the consensus by engaging in research to characterize the ongoing and/or future impact of climate change (50 percent of abstracts) or to mitigate against predicted changes (5 percent). The remaining 25 percent either focused on paleoclimate (10) or developing measurement techniques (15) and Oreskes considered these to be agnostic on the reality of climate change.<ref>{{cite book |
Revision as of 23:04, 21 April 2008
Naomi Oreskes | |
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Alma mater | Imperial College, University of London Stanford University |
Scientific career | |
Fields | Science History, Economic geology |
Institutions | Stanford University U.S. Environmental Protection Agency U.S National Academy of Sciences Dartmouth College Harvard University New York University University of California San Diego |
Naomi Oreskes is a Professor of History and Science Studies at the University of California San Diego.
Background
Oreskes received her Bachelor of Science in Mining Geology from the Royal School of Mines of Imperial College, University of London in 1981, and worked as a Research Assistant in the Geology Department and as a Teaching Assistant in the departments of Geology, Philosophy and Applied Earth Sciences at Stanford University starting in 1984. She received her PhD in the Graduate Special Program in Geological Research and History of Science at Stanford in 1990. She received a National Science Foundation's Young Investigator Award in 1994.
She has worked as a consultant for the U.S. Environmental Protection Agency and U.S National Academy of Sciences, and has also taught at Dartmouth, Harvard and New York University (NYU). She is also a member of the History of Science Society. She is the author or has contributed to a number of essays and technical reports in economic geology and science history in addition to three books:
- Plate Tectonics: An Insider’s History of the Modern Theory of the Earth, Edited with Homer Le Grand) (2003) Westview Press, ISBN 0-8133-4132-9
- The Rejection of Continental Drift: Theory and Method in American Earth Science (1999) Oxford University Press, ISBN 0-19-511733-6
- Perspectives on Geophysics, Special Issue of Studies in the History and Philosophy of Modern Physics, 31B, Oreskes, Naomi and James R. Fleming, eds. 2000.
Sixth College
On February 5, 2008, it was announced that Oreskes would become the second Sixth College Provost effective July 1, 2008.
Science and society essay
Oreskes wrote an essay on science and society Beyond the Ivory Tower: The Scientific Consensus on Climate Change in the journal Science in December 2004.
In the essay she reported an analysis of “928 abstracts, published in refereed scientific journals between 1993 and 2003 and published in the ISI database with the keywords ‘climate change’”. The essay stated the analysis was to test the hypothesis that the drafting of reports and statements by societies such as the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, American Association for the Advancement of Science and National Academy of Sciences might downplay legitimate dissenting opinions on anthropogenic climate change. After the analysis, she concluded that 75 percent of the examined abstracts either explicitly or implicitly backed the consensus view, while none directly dissented from it. The essay received a great deal of media attention from around the world.
Oreskes' conclusions were also challenged by Benny Peiser, a social anthropologist who repeated her search, but specifying "all document types." This led to a different result than obtained by Oreskes; he enumerated the figure of backing the consensus view at closer to only 30% . Peiser's letter to Science on the subject was rejected by the editors, on the grounds that he already had disseminated his results widely on the internet.
In 2007, Oreskes expanded her analysis, stating that approximately 20 percent of abstracts explicitly endorsed the consensus on climate change that: "Earth's climate is being affected by human activities". In addition, 55 percent of abstracts "implicitly" endorsed the consensus by engaging in research to characterize the ongoing and/or future impact of climate change (50 percent of abstracts) or to mitigate against predicted changes (5 percent). The remaining 25 percent either focused on paleoclimate (10) or developing measurement techniques (15) and Oreskes considered these to be agnostic on the reality of climate change.
Oreskes responded to some criticisms, including those from Richard Lindzen, with an editorial in The Washington Post.
Selected Awards, Honors, and Fellowships
- George Sarton Award Lecture, American Association for the Advancement of Science, 2004
- American Philosophical Society Sabbatical Fellowship, 2001-2002.
- National Science Foundation Young Investigator Award, 1994-1999.
- National Endowment for the Humanities Fellowship for University Teachers, 1993-94.
- Society of Economic Geologists Lindgren Prize for outstanding work by a young scientist, 1993.
- Ritter Memorial Fellowship in History of Marine Sciences, Scripps Institution of Oceanography, 1994.
- Listed, Who’s Who in American Science and Engineering, Who’s Who in the West.
References
- historyweb.ucsd.edu
- Naomi Oreskes (December 3, 2004). "Beyond the Ivory Tower: The Scientific Consensus on Climate Change". Science. 306 (5702): 1686. doi:10.1126/science.1103618. (see also for an exchange of letters to Science)
- sciencemag.org
- washingtonpost.com
- Benny Peiser’s critique of Oreske’s essay on climate change consensus
- Oreskes, Naomi (2007). "The scientific consensus on climate change: How do we know we're not wrong?". In Joseph F. DiMento, Pamela Doughman (ed.). Climate Change. MIT Press. ISBN 026204241X.
- Oreskes, Naomi (December 26, 2004). "Undeniable Global Warming". Washington Post: B07.
External links
- Oreskes page at UCSD
- Naomi Oreskes, 2007, The Scientific Consensus on Climate Change: How Do We Know We’re Not Wrong? Climate Change: What It Means for Us, Our Children, and Our Grandchildren, edited by Joseph F. C. DiMento and Pamela Doughman, MIT Press, pp. 65-99.