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#REDIRECT ] {{Short description|Elections for the 18th Legislative assembly of Bihar}}
{{Use Indian English|date=November 2023}}

{{Use dmy dates|date=November 2023}}
{{Redirect category shell|
{{Infobox election
{{R from move}}
| election_name = Bihar Legislative Assembly election
| type = Legislative
| ongoing = yes
| election_date = By October–November 2025
| country = India
| seats_for_election = All 243 seats in the ]
| majority_seats = 122
| previous_year = 2020
| previous_election = 2020 Bihar Legislative Assembly election
| next_year = 2030
| next_election = 2030 Bihar Legislative Assembly election
| outgoing_members = 17th Bihar Assembly#Members of Legislative Assembly
| elected_members = <!--18th Bihar Assembly#Members of Legislative Assembly-->
| opinion_polls = Next Bihar Legislative Assembly election#Opinion polls
| image_size = 120px
<!--RJD-->| image2 = {{CSS image crop|Image=Tejaswi Yadav 2023.jpg|bSize=100|cWidth=100|cHeight=120|oLeft=0|oTop=0}}
| leader2 = ]
| party2 = Rashtriya Janata Dal
| alliance2 = Mahagathbandhan (Bihar)
| leader_since2 = 2017
| leaders_seat2 = ]
| last_election2 = 23.11%, 75 seats
| seats_before2 = 74
| seats_needed2 = {{increase}} 49
<!--BJP-->| image1 = {{CSS image crop|Image=Lotus flower symbol.svg|bSize=110|cWidth=110|cHeight=120|oLeft=0|oTop=0}}
| leader1 = ]
| party1 = Bharatiya Janata Party
| alliance1 = National Democratic Alliance
| leader_since1 = 2024
| leaders_seat1 = ]
| last_election1 = 19.46%, 74 seats
| seats_before1 = 85
| seats_needed1 = {{increase}} 38
<!--JD(U)-->| image3 = {{CSS image crop|Image=Nitish Kumar with JDU functionaries (cropped).jpg|bSize=120|cWidth=100|cHeight=120|oLeft=10|oTop=3}}
| leader3 = ]
| party3 = ]
| alliance3 = National Democratic Alliance (India)
| leader_since3 = 2005
| leaders_seat3 = ]
| last_election3 = 15.39%, 43 seats
| seats_before3 = 45
| seats_needed3 = {{increase}} 78
<!--INC-->| image4 = {{CSS image crop|Image=The Union Minister of Consumer Affairs, Food and Public Distribution and Agriculture, Dr. Akhilesh Prasad Singh addressing at the National Productivity Awards Ceremony for the Agriculture Sector, in New Delhi on May 24, 2007 (cropped).jpg|bSize=135|cWidth=100|cHeight=120|oLeft=0|oTop=0}}
| leader4 = ]
| party4 = Indian National Congress
| alliance4 = Mahagathbandhan (Bihar)
| leader_since4 = 2023
| leaders_seat4 = ]
| last_election4 = 9.48%, 19 seats
| seats_before4 = 19
| seats_needed4 = {{increase}} 103
<!--CPI(ML)L-->| image5 = {{CSS image crop|Image=|bSize=100|cWidth=100|cHeight=120|oLeft=0|oTop=0}}
| leader5 = ]
| party5 = ]
| alliance5 = Mahagathbandhan (Bihar)
| leader_since5 = 2020
| leaders_seat5 =
| last_election5 = 3.16%, 12 seats
| seats_before5 = 12
| seats_needed5 = {{increase}} 110
<!--AIMIM-->| image6 = {{CSS image crop|Image=Indian Election Symbol Kite.svg|bSize=120|cWidth=100|cHeight=120|oLeft=5|oTop=0}}
| leader6 = ]
| party6 = All India Majlis-e-Ittehadul Muslimeen
| alliance6 =
| leader_since6 = 2015
| leaders_seat6 = ]
| last_election6 = 1.24%, 5 seats
| seats_before6 = 1
| seats_needed6 = {{increase}} 117
| leader7 = ]
| party7 = Jan Suraaj Party
| alliance7 =
| leader_since7 =
| leaders_seat7 =
| last_election7 =
| seats_before7 = new party
<!--Map-->| map_image = Wahlkreise zur Vidhan Sabha von Bihar.svg
| map_size = 300px
| map_caption = Bihar Legislative Assembly seats
| title = ]
| before_election = ]
| before_party = ]
| posttitle = ] after election
| after_election =
| after_party =
}} }}

== Background ==
The ] elections were held in October{{ndash}}November 2020. After the election, ] formed the state government, with ] becoming Chief Minister. Later, In August 2022 ] led JD(U) snap ties with NDA and formed government with RJD led Mahagathbandhan. Later, In January 2024 ] led JD(U) snap ties with RJD led Mahagathbandhan and again formed government with BJP led NDA. ], a political strategist, claimed his prediction scared them, leading to their exit from Mahagathbandhan. His next forecast is that JD(U) won't secure over 20 seats in the state election. He declared retirement if ] exceeds 20 seats.<ref>{{cite web | url=https://www.livemint.com/politics/news/bihar-politics-prashant-kishore-calls-nitish-kumar-sardar-of-palturams-predicts-jd-u-fate-in-2025-elections-11706437341779.html | title=Bihar politics: Prashant Kishor predicts JD(U) fate in 2025 elections | date=28 January 2024 }}</ref>

==Schedule==

{| class="wikitable"
|-
! Poll Event
! Schedule
|-
| Notification Date
| '''TBD'''
|-
| Last Date for filing nomination
| '''TBD'''
|-
| Scrutiny of nomination
| '''TBD'''
|-
| Last Date for Withdrawal of nomination
| '''TBD'''
|-
| Date of Poll
| '''TBD'''
|-
| Date of Counting of Votes
| '''TBD'''
|}

==Parties and Alliances==
=== {{legend2|{{party color|National Democratic Alliance}}|]}} ===
{| class="wikitable" width="50%" style="text-align:center;
! colspan="2" | Party
!Flag
!Symbol
!Photo
!Leader
!Seats contested
|-
|{{party color cell|Janata Dal (United)}}
|]
|]
|]
|]
|]
|TBD
|-
|{{party color cell|Bharatiya Janata Party}}
|]
|]
|]
|
|]
|TBD
|-

|{{party color cell|Lok Janshakti Party (Ram Vilas)}}
|]
|]
|]
|]
|]
|TBD
|-
|{{party color cell|Hindustani Awam Morcha}}
|]
|]
|
|]
|]
|TBD
|-
|bgcolor="#999966"|
|]
|]
|]
|]
|]
|TBD
|-
|}

=== {{legend2|{{party color|Mahagathbandhan (Bihar)}}|]}} ===
{| class="wikitable" width="50%" style="text-align:center;
! colspan="2" | Party
!Flag
!Symbol
!Photo
!Leader
!Seats contested
|-
|{{party color cell|Rashtriya Janata Dal}}
|]
|]
|]
|
|]
|TBD
|-
|{{party color cell|Indian National Congress}}
|]
|]
|]
|]
|]
|TBD
|-
|{{party color cell|Vikassheel Insaan Party}}
|Colspan=1| ]
||]
||]
|
|]
|TBD
|-
|{{party color cell|Communist Party of India (Marxist–Leninist) Liberation}}
|]
|]
|]
|]
|]
|TBD
|-
|{{party color cell|Communist Party of India}}
|]
|]
|]
|]
|]
|TBD
|-
|{{party color cell|Communist Party of India (Marxist)}}
|]
|]
|]
|]
|]
|TBD
|}

===Others===
{| class="wikitable" width="50%" style="text-align:center;
! colspan="2" | Party
!Flag
!Symbol
!Photo
!Leader
!Seats contested
|-
|{{party color cell|Jan Suraaj Party}}
|]
|]
|]
|]
|]
|243
|-
|{{party color cell|Aam Aadmi Party}}
|]<ref>{{Cite web|title=Another jolt to INDIA bloc? Arvind Kejriwal's AAP to contest Bihar Assembly polls |url=https://www.indiatoday.in/india/story/aap-to-contest-bihar-assembly-election-india-bloc-mumbai-meet-kejriwal-nitish-kumar-2427318-2023-08-27|access-date=2023-08-27|website=India Today|language=en}}</ref>
|]
|]
|]
| Sushil Kumar
|TBD
|-
|{{party color cell|Aap Sabki Aawaz}}
|]
|]
|]
|]
|]
|140<ref>https://ndtv.in/india/bihr-rcp-singh-announces-his-own-party-asha-aap-sabki-awaz-will-fight-2025-bihar-assembly-elections-6914149</ref>
|-
|{{party color cell|All India Majlis-e-Ittehadul Muslimeen}}
|]
|]
|]
|
|]
|TBD
|-
|{{party color cell|Plurals Party}}
|]
|]
|]
|]
|]
|TBD
|-
|{{party color cell|Rashtriya Lok Janshakti Party}}
|]
|]
|
|]
|]
|TBD
|-
|}

==Surveys and polls==

===Opinion polls===
{|class="wikitable" style="text-align:center;font-size:95%;line-height:16px;"
|+Vote Share Projections
!rowspan="2"|Polling agency
!rowspan="2"|Date published
!rowspan="2"|Sample size
!rowspan="2"|Margin of Error
|bgcolor="{{party color|Mahagathbandhan (Bihar)}}"|
|bgcolor="{{party color|National Democratic Alliance}}"|
|style="background:grey;"|
!rowspan="2"|Lead
|-
!]
!]
!Others
|-
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|-
|}

{|class="wikitable" style="text-align:center;font-size:95%;line-height:16px;"
|+Seat Projections
!rowspan="2"|Polling agency
!rowspan="2"|Date published
!rowspan="2"|Sample size
!rowspan="2"|Margin of Error
|bgcolor="{{party color|Mahagathbandhan (Bihar)}}"|
|bgcolor="{{party color|National Democratic Alliance}}"|
|style="background:grey;"|
!rowspan="2"|Lead
|-
!]
!]
!Others
|-
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|-
|}

===Exit polls===

{|class="wikitable" style="text-align:center;font-size:95%;line-height:16px;"
!rowspan="2"|Polling agency
!rowspan="2"|Date published
!rowspan="2"|Sample size
!rowspan="2"|Margin of Error
|bgcolor="{{party color|Mahagathbandhan (Bihar)}}"|
|bgcolor="{{party color|National Democratic Alliance}}"|
|style="background:grey;"|
!rowspan="2"|Lead
|-
!]
!]
!Others
|-
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|-
|}

==See also ==

* ]
* ]

==References==
{{reflist}}
{{Bihar elections}}

]
]

Revision as of 10:49, 5 December 2024

Elections for the 18th Legislative assembly of Bihar

Bihar Legislative Assembly election
← 2020 By October–November 2025 2030 →
← outgoing members
All 243 seats in the Bihar Legislative Assembly
122 seats needed for a majority
Opinion polls
  Lotus flower symbol.svg Tejaswi Yadav 2023.jpg Nitish Kumar with JDU functionaries (cropped).jpg
Leader Dilip Jaiswal Tejashwi Yadav Nitish Kumar
Party BJP RJD JD(U)
Alliance NDA MGB NDA
Leader since 2024 2017 2005
Leader's seat MLC Raghopur MLC
Last election 19.46%, 74 seats 23.11%, 75 seats 15.39%, 43 seats
Current seats 85 74 45
Seats needed Increase 38 Increase 49 Increase 78
  The Union Minister of Consumer Affairs, Food and Public Distribution and Agriculture, Dr. Akhilesh Prasad Singh addressing at the National Productivity Awards Ceremony for the Agriculture Sector, in New Delhi on May 24, 2007 (cropped).jpg Indian Election Symbol Kite.svg
Leader Akhilesh Prasad Singh Rajaram Singh Kushwaha Akhtarul Iman
Party INC CPI(ML)L AIMIM
Alliance MGB MGB
Leader since 2023 2020 2015
Leader's seat Kadwa Amour
Last election 9.48%, 19 seats 3.16%, 12 seats 1.24%, 5 seats
Current seats 19 12 1
Seats needed Increase 103 Increase 110 Increase 117
 
Leader Prashant Kishore
Party JSUP
Current seats new party
Bihar Legislative Assembly seats
Incumbent Chief Minister

Nitish Kumar
JD(U)



Background

The previous assembly elections were held in October–November 2020. After the election, National Democratic Alliance formed the state government, with Nitish Kumar becoming Chief Minister. Later, In August 2022 Nitish Kumar led JD(U) snap ties with NDA and formed government with RJD led Mahagathbandhan. Later, In January 2024 Nitish Kumar led JD(U) snap ties with RJD led Mahagathbandhan and again formed government with BJP led NDA. Prashant Kishor, a political strategist, claimed his prediction scared them, leading to their exit from Mahagathbandhan. His next forecast is that JD(U) won't secure over 20 seats in the state election. He declared retirement if Janata Dal (United) exceeds 20 seats.

Schedule

Poll Event Schedule
Notification Date TBD
Last Date for filing nomination TBD
Scrutiny of nomination TBD
Last Date for Withdrawal of nomination TBD
Date of Poll TBD
Date of Counting of Votes TBD

Parties and Alliances

  National Democratic Alliance

Party Flag Symbol Photo Leader Seats contested
Janata Dal (United) Nitish Kumar TBD
Bharatiya Janata Party Dilip Kumar Jaiswal TBD
Lok Janshakti Party (Ram Vilas) Chirag Paswan TBD
Hindustani Awam Morcha Jitan Ram Manjhi TBD
Rashtriya Lok Morcha Upendra Kushwaha TBD

  Mahagathbandhan

Party Flag Symbol Photo Leader Seats contested
Rashtriya Janata Dal Tejashwi Yadav TBD
Indian National Congress Akhilesh Prasad Singh TBD
Vikassheel Insaan Party Mukesh Sahani TBD
Communist Party of India (Marxist–Leninist) Liberation File:Mahboob Alam.jpg Mahbub Alam TBD
Communist Party of India Ram Naresh Pandey TBD
Communist Party of India (Marxist) Ajay Kumar TBD

Others

Party Flag Symbol Photo Leader Seats contested
Jan Suraaj Party Prashant Kishor 243
Aam Aadmi Party Sushil Kumar TBD
Aap Sabki Aawaz RCP Singh 140
All India Majlis-e-Ittehadul Muslimeen Akhtarul Iman TBD
The Plurals Party Pushpam Priya Choudhary TBD
Rashtriya Lok Janshakti Party Pashupati Kumar Paras TBD

Surveys and polls

Opinion polls

Vote Share Projections
Polling agency Date published Sample size Margin of Error Lead
MGB NDA Others
Seat Projections
Polling agency Date published Sample size Margin of Error Lead
MGB NDA Others

Exit polls

Polling agency Date published Sample size Margin of Error Lead
MGB NDA Others

See also

References

  1. "Bihar politics: Prashant Kishor predicts JD(U) fate in 2025 elections". 28 January 2024.
  2. "Another jolt to INDIA bloc? Arvind Kejriwal's AAP to contest Bihar Assembly polls". India Today. Retrieved 27 August 2023.
  3. https://ndtv.in/india/bihr-rcp-singh-announces-his-own-party-asha-aap-sabki-awaz-will-fight-2025-bihar-assembly-elections-6914149
Elections in Bihar
General elections
Legislative Assembly
Local elections
Municipal
Panchayat
See also: Elections in India
Categories: