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Revision as of 19:20, 30 November 2016 editTheTimesAreAChanging (talk | contribs)Extended confirmed users23,391 edits Arabic Misplaced Pages: new section← Previous edit Revision as of 10:06, 23 December 2016 edit undoTheTimesAreAChanging (talk | contribs)Extended confirmed users23,391 editsm I've decided to slightly tone down some of my more inflammatory language. (And honestly, there may be some far-Rightists promoting this claim, too...though not in the academy.) Plus some minor additions and Ce.Next edit →
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== Were the U.S./U.K. really involved, or is that a far-left hoax? == == Were the U.S./U.K. really involved? ==
Large parts of the text in this article (and every other article discussing the topic) are partly based on a thesis by an undergraduate student and blogger who promotes easily debunked conspiracy theories about the JFK assassination in his spare time, which caused me to reexamine the record. At first, I thought the Komer to Kennedy memo is not conclusive, as at least one former senior CIA official (Ed Kane) is on record stating that the coup was a complete surprise to the U.S. government and that Komer was likely talking out of his hat. In addition, the relevant portion of the Komer memo ("CIA had") was redacted; making assumptions regarding the redacted text would constitute ] in lieu of a reliable source. Some find the notion that either the U.S. or the U.K. would have supported the early rise of the Ba'ath Party implausible on its face, due to the Party's anti-Israel and anti-Western stance. However, reevaluating many of the now-declassified documents (and Little's ''American Orientalism'' pp. 198-206, which presents the best history of the coup from the U.S. perspective that I've seen in an academic text) presents a clearer picture, revealing that the truth lies somewhere in the middle. To be sure, the U.S. view of the Ba'ath Party had soured by the time of the July 1968 coup that brought the Party to total control in Iraq, due to the radical behavior of the Syrian Ba'athists. (See, for example, memo, stating: "The intelligence community's initial reading is that the new group—apparently Baathists—will be more difficult than their predecessors, but at this point no one knows how radical they will be. So far, their communiques have taken a fairly moderate line by Iraqi standards, promising economic reforms, honest government, a 'wise' solution of the Kurdish problem, and Arab unity against the Zionist and Imperialist threats. On the other hand, if these people are Baathists, their tendencies will be towards moving Iraq even closer to Fatah, the Syrians and the Soviets." This alarm was tempered by , as it had become clear that "The Syrians had nothing to do with the coup" and "non-Baathists are playing a major role in the new government.") However, there is abundant archival and anecdotal evidence that U.S. officials in the State Department and CIA had a much more naive and optimistic view of the Ba'ath Party in the early 1960s, due to the Party's staunch secularism and avowedly democratic goals. The problem is that the U.S. was hardly as actively involved in trying to undermine Qasim as some conspiracy theorists would have you believe; Little writes that (c.f. ), and this is borne out not only by the Eisenhower-era documents he cites, but also by archives from the Kennedy administration, which . In fact, In the course of the Church committee's investigation, which revealed that the CIA's "Health Alteration Committee" had plotted to "'incapacitate' an Iraqi Colonel believed to be "promoting Soviet bloc political interests in Iraq", the CIA stated that the handkerchief Ultimately, however, while there is no evidence that the U.S. or U.K. actively instigated the coup (in fact, the timing of the coup was ), it appears historically accurate to say they had advance knowledge and subsequently offered some limited economic and military support to the new regime. In addition to the confirmation by CIA agents Chritchfield (who has, nevertheless, stated the U.S. did not the Party against Qasim) and Rositzke, in recent years the Komer memo has been fully declassified (see both versions ).
{{collapse top|I almost fell for this hoax, reasoning that where there's smoke—albeit no hard evidence—there must be fire. Needless to say, I was wrong.}}
Large parts of the text in this article (and every other article discussing the topic) are partly based on a thesis by an undergraduate student and blogger who promotes easily debunked conspiracy theories about the JFK assassination in his spare time, which caused me to reexamine the record. At first, I thought the Komer to Kennedy memo is not conclusive, as at least one former senior CIA official (Ed Kane) is on record stating that the coup was a complete surprise to the U.S. government and that Komer was likely talking out of his hat. In addition, the relevant portion of the Komer memo ("CIA had") was redacted; making assumptions regarding the redacted text would constitute ] in lieu of a reliable source. Some find the notion that either the U.S. or the U.K. would have supported the early rise of the Ba'ath Party implausible on its face, due to the Party's anti-Israel and anti-Western stance. However, reevaluating many of the now-declassified documents (and Little's ''American Orientalism'' pp. 198-206, which presents the best history of the coup from the U.S. perspective that I've seen in an academic text) presents a clearer picture, revealing that the truth lies somewhere in the middle. To be sure, the U.S. view of the Ba'ath Party had soured by the time of the July 1968 coup that brought the Party to total control in Iraq, due to the radical behavior of the Syrian Ba'athists. (See, for example, memo, stating: "The intelligence community's initial reading is that the new group—apparently Baathists—will be more difficult than their predecessors, but at this point no one knows how radical they will be. So far, their communiques have taken a fairly moderate line by Iraqi standards, promising economic reforms, honest government, a 'wise' solution of the Kurdish problem, and Arab unity against the Zionist and Imperialist threats. On the other hand, if these people are Baathists, their tendencies will be towards moving Iraq even closer to Fatah, the Syrians and the Soviets." This alarm was tempered by , as it had become clear that "The Syrians had nothing to do with the coup" and "non-Baathists are playing a major role in the new government.") However, there is abundant archival and anecdotal evidence that U.S. officials in the State Department and CIA had a much more naive and optimistic view of the Ba'ath Party in the early 1960s, due to the Party's staunch secularism and avowedly democratic goals. The problem is that the U.S. was hardly as actively involved in trying to undermine Qasim as many radical left-wing and Arab conspiracy theorists would have you believe; Little writes that (c.f. ), and this is borne out not only by the Eisenhower-era documents he cites, but also by archives from the Kennedy administration, which . In fact, In the course of the Church committee's investigation, which revealed that the CIA's "Health Alteration Committee" had plotted to "'incapacitate' an Iraqi Colonel believed to be "promoting Soviet bloc political interests in Iraq", the CIA stated that the handkerchief Ultimately, however, while there is no evidence that the U.S. or U.K. actively instigated the coup (in fact, the timing of the coup was ), it appears historically accurate to say they had advance knowledge and subsequently offered some limited economic and military support to the new regime. In addition to the confirmation by CIA agents Chritchfield (who has, nevertheless, stated the U.S. did not the Party against Qasim) and Rositzke, in recent years the Komer memo has been fully declassified (see both versions ).


I still believe the length of the section on U.S. involvement is undue; notwithstanding the revisionist leftist hagiographies, Qasim lacked any popular support (as evidenced by the mass exodus of hundreds of thousands of Iraqis—a huge chunk of Iraq's population at the time—fleeing his brutal and unpredictable regime) and his overthrow was largely an internal Iraqi affair (though it was welcomed by everyone from Nasser to the Shah to the Kuwaitis, all of whom were alarmed by Qasim's close ties to the Soviet Union and his threats to invade Kuwait). In particular, the original author of much of this content is prone to overstatement. Based on Google Books snippets, it seems that Rositzke was not claiming any credit for the coup, but discussing the inherent diplomatic awkwardness of "calling an upcoming coup", citing Iraq as an example of how "this sensitivity" has resulted in a situation where (without reading the book, I assume that this selective quoting is the extent of the misrepresentation, which appears to be a valid assumption based on the snippets available). There is another questionable paragraph: "Qasim believed in the U.S. complicity in the plot and continually denounced the U.S. in public. The Department of State was worried that Qasim would harass American diplomats in Iraq because of this." Prior to being edited for NPOV, the first sentence read "Qasim was aware of the U.S. complicity in the plot", which is even more objectionable: The cited source (not linked for obvious reasons, but available ) does not prove that Qasim had any hard intelligence linking the U.S. to the coup plans or that his threats were not merely another case of him demagogically employing the U.S. as a scapegoat, as he did even when the U.S. was steadfastly refusing to assist his opponents. Whether or not the "believed" revision is enough to satisfy NPOV, the use of this source still seems to constitute original research (although it's nothing compared to the original author's claim elsewhere that the U.S. had advance knowledge of the Ba'athist plot to kill Qasim in 1959, based on a source that says : "Reports of coup plots, including the assassination of Qassim, have increased in recent weeks, but no organization capable of bringing off a successful coup is known to exist ... There is considerable reason to believe, however, that troop commanders in the Baghdad area are loyal to Qassim and that many identified antiregime nationalist and pro-UAR officers have been purged or placed in positions of relative unimportance. Thus, if the nationalists, either alone or with UAR help, do attempt a coup at this time, we believe that its chances of success would be less than even. In the event of a coup attempt, and especially if Qassim were assassinated, serious civil strife is likely"). For the sake of historical understanding, I believe it is also important to note that while U.S. officials very much wanted to make the most of the presented by Qasim's overthrow, the support provided by the Kennedy administration was limited by the understanding of long-term differences with the Iraqi Ba'athists such as as well as (c.f. ); despite repeated rumors in the Arab world that the Kennedy administration provided a list of Iraqi communists to be killed by the new regime, in contrast to similar allegations (e.g., Indonesia 1965) there is literally no evidence that this happened besides the fact that an anti-communist purge took place, making it more of a rumor than an historical fact. At the very least, the aforementioned thesis utterly demolishes the theory that William Lakeland (who was career State Department, not CIA) was the culprit.] (]) 04:18, 8 January 2016 (UTC) I still believe the length of the section on U.S. involvement is undue; notwithstanding the revisionist hagiographies, Qasim lacked any popular support (as evidenced by the mass exodus of hundreds of thousands of Iraqis—a huge chunk of Iraq's population at the time—fleeing his brutal and unpredictable regime) and his overthrow was largely an internal Iraqi affair (though it was welcomed by everyone from Nasser to the Shah to the Kuwaitis, all of whom were alarmed by Qasim's close ties to the Soviet Union and his threats to invade Kuwait). In particular, the original author of much of this content is prone to overstatement. Based on Google Books snippets, it seems that Rositzke was not claiming any credit for the coup, but discussing the inherent diplomatic awkwardness of "calling an upcoming coup", citing Iraq as an example of how "this sensitivity" has resulted in a situation where (without reading the book, I assume that this selective quoting is the extent of the misrepresentation, which appears to be a valid assumption based on the snippets available). There is another questionable paragraph: "Qasim believed in the U.S. complicity in the plot and continually denounced the U.S. in public. The Department of State was worried that Qasim would harass American diplomats in Iraq because of this." Prior to being edited for NPOV, the first sentence read "Qasim was aware of the U.S. complicity in the plot", which is even more objectionable: The cited source (not linked for obvious reasons, but available ) does not prove that Qasim had any hard intelligence linking the U.S. to the coup plans or that his threats were not merely another case of him demagogically employing the U.S. as a scapegoat, as he did even when the U.S. was steadfastly refusing to assist his opponents. Whether or not the "believed" revision is enough to satisfy NPOV, the use of this source still seems to constitute original research (although it's nothing compared to the original author's claim elsewhere that the U.S. had advance knowledge of the Ba'athist plot to kill Qasim in 1959, based on a source that says : "Reports of coup plots, including the assassination of Qassim, have increased in recent weeks, but no organization capable of bringing off a successful coup is known to exist ... There is considerable reason to believe, however, that troop commanders in the Baghdad area are loyal to Qassim and that many identified antiregime nationalist and pro-UAR officers have been purged or placed in positions of relative unimportance. Thus, if the nationalists, either alone or with UAR help, do attempt a coup at this time, we believe that its chances of success would be less than even. In the event of a coup attempt, and especially if Qassim were assassinated, serious civil strife is likely"). For the sake of historical understanding, I believe it is also important to note that while U.S. officials very much wanted to make the most of the presented by Qasim's overthrow, the support provided by the Kennedy administration was limited by the understanding of long-term differences with the Iraqi Ba'athists such as as well as (c.f. ); despite repeated rumors in the Arab world that the Kennedy administration provided a list of Iraqi communists to be killed by the new regime, in contrast to similar allegations (e.g., Indonesia 1965) there is literally no evidence that this happened besides the fact that an anti-communist purge took place, making it more of a rumor than an historical fact. At the very least, the aforementioned thesis utterly demolishes the theory that William Lakeland (who was career State Department, not CIA) was the culprit.] (]) 04:18, 8 January 2016 (UTC)
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:A by Bryan R. Gibson based on hundreds of documents (including newly declassified records from the National Archives and the CIA's CREST system) and interviews with senior U.S. officials including a high-ranking CIA agent in the Middle East during the period 1958 to 1976 (and, for the relevant section on the Kurdish War, two Israeli Mossad officials) has painted a far clearer picture of these events than we ever possessed before, and seems to resolve many of the contradictions that plagued our previous understanding of U.S.-Iraq relations (including the deranged lie that Kissinger cynically sold out the Kurds). (I'd also recommend Wolfe-Hunnicutt's , which is written from the opposing point of view, but is notable for pretty much only finding evidence against the allegations the author very much wants to believe.) To wit: :A by Bryan R. Gibson based on hundreds of documents (including newly declassified records from the National Archives and the CIA's CREST system) and interviews with senior U.S. officials including a high-ranking CIA agent in the Middle East during the period 1958 to 1976 (and, for the relevant section on the Kurdish War, two Israeli Mossad officials) has painted a far clearer picture of these events than we ever possessed before, and seems to resolve many of the contradictions that plagued our previous understanding of U.S.-Iraq relations (including the deranged lie that Kissinger cynically sold out the Kurds). (I'd also recommend Wolfe-Hunnicutt's , which is written from the opposing point of view, but is notable for pretty much only finding evidence against the allegations the author very much wants to believe.) To wit:
*First of all, the 's description of what has been called the CIA's plot to kill Qasim in February 1960 always seemed a bit, well, ''off''. You will recall that CIA officials requested endorsement of a plan to "incapacitate" an "Iraqi Colonel believed to be promoting Soviet bloc political interests in Iraq" with a technique "which, while not likely to result in total disablement, would be certain to prevent the target from pursuing his usual activities for a minimum of three months", but under Congressional questioning CIA officials could "not now recall the name" of the colonel in question. That does not sound like an assassination attempt, and it is implausible that CIA officials would fail to remember an attack on the Iraqi head of state. Moreover, Qasim was not a colonel but a brigadier general, and he did not openly promote Soviet interests in Iraq. Logical deduction suggests the likely target for the handkerchief "treated with some kind of material for the purpose of harassing that person who received it" was not Qasim but the who had been actively involved in suppressing anti-communist elements as head of Iraq's . Far from being "a hard historical fact" that the CIA considered an unrealized plot to kill Qasim in 1960, this entire narrative is a blatant misrepresentation propagated solely by citogenesis and wishful thinking. *First of all, the 's description of what has been called the CIA's plot to kill Qasim in February 1960 always seemed a bit, well, ''off''. You will recall that CIA officials requested endorsement of a plan to "incapacitate" an "Iraqi Colonel believed to be promoting Soviet bloc political interests in Iraq" with a technique "which, while not likely to result in total disablement, would be certain to prevent the target from pursuing his usual activities for a minimum of three months", but under Congressional questioning CIA officials could "not now recall the name" of the colonel in question. That does not sound like an assassination attempt, and it is implausible that CIA officials would fail to remember an attack on the Iraqi head of state. Moreover, Qasim was not a colonel but a brigadier general, and he did not openly promote Soviet interests in Iraq. Logical deduction suggests the likely target for the handkerchief "treated with some kind of material for the purpose of harassing that person who received it" was not Qasim but the who had been actively involved in suppressing anti-communist elements as head of Iraq's . Far from being "a hard historical fact" that the CIA considered an unrealized plot to kill Qasim in 1960, this entire narrative is a blatant misrepresentation propagated solely by citogenesis and wishful thinking.
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::<small>''NB'': Wolfe-Hunnicutt cites a "highly alarmist" analysis of "the reality of Commusim in Iraq" drafted by ] and James Eichelberger in February 1960. Gibson persuasively demonstrates (pp. 27-28) that the memo "stands in stark contrast to the prevailing views at the time, including those held by the highest levels of the U.S. intelligence community&nbsp;... the Copeland-Eichelberger report stands out as a peculiar irregularity at a time when the situation in Iraq was in fact stabilizing." I'm tempted to say this is scrapping the bottom of the barrel—anyone who knows anything about Copeland could not be surprised that ''of course he was towing Nasser's line''—but it is possible this analysis influenced the CIA's plot to incapacitate Mahdawi around the same time. Note that Mahdawi was the ''only'' communist exercising significant power in Iraq in February, as Qasim had effectively outlawed the Iraqi Communist Party the previous month.] (]) 20:59, 3 September 2016 (UTC)</small> ::<small>''NB'': Wolfe-Hunnicutt cites a "highly alarmist" analysis of "the reality of Commusim in Iraq" drafted by ] and James Eichelberger in February 1960. Gibson persuasively demonstrates (pp. 27-28) that the memo "stands in stark contrast to the prevailing views at the time, including those held by the highest levels of the U.S. intelligence community&nbsp;... the Copeland-Eichelberger report stands out as a peculiar irregularity at a time when the situation in Iraq was in fact stabilizing." I'm tempted to say this is scrapping the bottom of the barrel—anyone who knows anything about Copeland could not be surprised that ''of course he was towing Nasser's line''—but it is ''possible'' that an undercurrent of this sort of thinking influenced the CIA's plot to incapacitate Mahdawi around the same time. Note that Mahdawi was the ''only'' communist exercising significant power in Iraq in February, as Qasim had effectively outlawed the Iraqi Communist Party the previous month.] (]) 20:59, 3 September 2016 (UTC)</small>
::<small>''NB'': Interestingly, Wolfe-Hunnicutt—unlike the vast array of Leftist meme-makers who have incessantly parroted the story without taking the time to analyze the original Church Committee source it is based on—notices that what the Committee describes is clearly inconsistent with an assassination attempt on Qasim. Rather than questioning the narrative, however, he reconciles this by noting that the CIA "engaged in a great deal of subterfuge and obfuscation," calling its testimony "internally inconsistent and mocking in tone." I gather that he may be willing to reconsider this in light of Gibson's more recent work on the matter.] (]) 22:08, 12 September 2016 (UTC)</small> ::<small>''NB'': Interestingly, Wolfe-Hunnicutt—unlike the vast array of meme-makers that have incessantly parroted the story without taking the time to analyze the original Church Committee source it is based on—notices that what the Committee describes is clearly inconsistent with an assassination attempt on Qasim. Rather than questioning the narrative, however, he reconciles this by noting that the CIA "engaged in a great deal of subterfuge and obfuscation," calling its testimony "internally inconsistent and mocking in tone." I gather that he may be willing to reconsider this in light of Gibson's more recent work on the matter.] (]) 22:08, 12 September 2016 (UTC)</small>
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*Gibson also uses a wide array of documents to debunk the already threadbare propaganda hoax that the U.S. was complicit in the 1959 assassination attempt on Qasim. In addition to the fact that Allen Dulles had expressed skepticism on October 2 over the "generally wrong" "rumors" predicting an assassination attempt on Qasim might be made (the Ba'ath struck Qasim just five days later, on October 7) and U.S. intelligence was predicting a nationalist coup , it is now clear that U.S. officials were supporting Qasim at the time out of the belief that there was no viable alternative and his overthrow might lead to civil war or a communist takeover. In addition, when Qasim was hospitalized, U.S. officials warned the friendly governments of Jordan and Iran against "taking military action" in Iraq to exploit Qasim's perceived weakness. *Gibson also uses a wide array of documents to debunk the already threadbare propaganda hoax that the U.S. was complicit in the 1959 assassination attempt on Qasim. In addition to the fact that Allen Dulles had expressed skepticism on October 2 over the "generally wrong" "rumors" predicting an assassination attempt on Qasim might be made (the Ba'ath struck Qasim just five days later, on October 7) and U.S. intelligence was predicting a nationalist coup , it is now clear that U.S. officials were supporting Qasim at the time out of the belief that there was no viable alternative and his overthrow might lead to civil war or a communist takeover. In addition, when Qasim was hospitalized, U.S. officials warned the friendly governments of Jordan and Iran against "taking military action" in Iraq to exploit Qasim's perceived weakness.
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::<small>''NB'': Probably not worthy of mention, but while Wolfe-Hunnicutt agrees that the U.S. had absolutely nothing to do with the assassination attempt—"I am unaware of any evidence of covert relations between the CIA and the Ba'th prior to October 7"—he cannot resist making the irresponsible activist claim that "American officials were well aware that nationalist forces were planning an assassination attempt, and&nbsp;... made no effort to warn Qasim." But wait—as noted above, the U.S. intelligence community repeatedly stated in the days leading up to the attack that How were they supposed to "warn Qasim" when they had nothing to go on except intuition and rumors?] (]) 08:08, 19 October 2016 (UTC)</small> ::<small>''NB'': Probably not worthy of mention, but while Wolfe-Hunnicutt agrees that the U.S. had absolutely nothing to do with the assassination attempt—"I am unaware of any evidence of covert relations between the CIA and the Ba'th prior to October 7"—he cannot resist making the irresponsible activist claim that "American officials were well aware that nationalist forces were planning an assassination attempt, and&nbsp;... made no effort to warn Qasim." But wait—as noted above, the U.S. intelligence community repeatedly stated in the days leading up to the attack that How were they supposed to "warn Qasim" when they had nothing to go on except intuition and rumors?] (]) 08:08, 19 October 2016 (UTC)</small>
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*As mentioned above, in contrast to those who claim the CIA instigated the revolt, the Kennedy administration Kurdish requests for arms in their fight against Qasim. Gibson demonstrates that, per the Soviet archives, the outbreak of the Kurdish War in 1961 was actually part of a Soviet plan. *As mentioned above, in contrast to those who claim the CIA instigated the revolt, the Kennedy administration Kurdish requests for arms in their fight against Qasim. Gibson demonstrates that, per the Soviet archives, the outbreak of the Kurdish War in 1961 was actually part of a Soviet plan.
:In sum, despite closely monitoring the situation, the Eisenhower administration ultimately pursued a policy of non-intervention in Iraq, which appeared to have been successful by the time Eisenhower left office. The Kennedy administration effectively ignored Iraq until a series of crises in 1961 (the Kuwait crisis, the outbreak of the Kurdish War, and the expropriation of 99.5% of the Iraq Petroleum Company's concessionary holdings) caused it to change course, adopting a dual strategy of diplomatic engagement and covert action (with an emphasis on the former as the CIA had relatively few assets in Iraq). With regard to the CIA's efforts at "regime change" in Iraq during the Kennedy administration, the memoir of (CIA station chief in Amman from 1963 to 1971), declassified CIA records, and especially interviews with a former CIA official with first-hand knowledge of the events reveals the following: :In sum, despite closely monitoring the situation, the Eisenhower administration ultimately pursued a policy of non-intervention in Iraq, which appeared to have been successful by the time Eisenhower left office. The Kennedy administration effectively ignored Iraq until a series of crises in 1961 (the Kuwait crisis, the outbreak of the Kurdish War, and the expropriation of 99.5% of the Iraq Petroleum Company's concessionary holdings) caused it to change course, adopting a dual strategy of diplomatic engagement and covert action (with an emphasis on the former as the CIA had relatively few assets in Iraq). With regard to the CIA's efforts at "regime change" in Iraq during the Kennedy administration, the memoir of (CIA station chief in Amman from 1963 to 1971), declassified CIA records, and especially interviews with a former CIA official with first-hand knowledge of the events reveals the following:
Line 43: Line 45:
*Kennedy ordered the CIA to begin planning Qasim's overthrow in the spring of 1962. We can now confirm that Archie Roosevelt, Jr. was tasked with leading the operation. *Kennedy ordered the CIA to begin planning Qasim's overthrow in the spring of 1962. We can now confirm that Archie Roosevelt, Jr. was tasked with leading the operation.
*While the CIA was interested in the Ba'ath Party, the Iraqi military was its primary focus. *While the CIA was interested in the Ba'ath Party, the Iraqi military was its primary focus.
:The claim that the CIA actively supported or "masterminded" the Ba'athist coup is, as we have seen, dubious (and denied by every CIA agent who has ever gone on record to discuss the topic). Gibson challenges the notion that the U.S. even had advance knowledge of the coup, citing declassified documents that show a measure of uncertainty over which of the many factions known to be plotting against Qasim was responsible (e.g., ), despite the fact that many have used the Komer memo to portray this as axiomatic. In my view, the strongest evidence in support of Gibson's thesis is a declassified CIA document from July 1962, "Cancellation of Coup Plan by Ba'th Party of Iraq". According to Gibson: :The claim that the CIA actively supported or "masterminded" the Ba'athist coup is, as we have seen, dubious (and denied by every CIA agent who has ever gone on record to discuss the topic). Gibson challenges the notion that the U.S. even had advance knowledge of the coup, citing declassified documents that show a measure of uncertainty over which of the many factions known to be plotting against Qasim was responsible (e.g., ), despite the fact that many have used the to portray this as axiomatic. In my view, the strongest evidence in support of Gibson's thesis is a declassified CIA document from July 1962, "Cancellation of Coup Plan by Ba'th Party of Iraq". According to Gibson:
:*"In mid-July 1962, the CIA's source in the Ba'th reported a coup was scheduled for the next day, but was cancelled at the last moment. Three days later, Roger Davies, the American Deputy Chief of Mission in Baghdad, met with British Ambassador Sir Roger Allen to discuss the situation. Like the CIA, the British had cultivated sources within the Ba'th, since Sir Roger revealed specific details of the aborted coup, stating anti-Qasim officers had planned to assassinate Qasim during his recent trip to Karbala and seize Baghdad with armoured and air units, though he did not explain why it had been called off." :*"In mid-July 1962, the CIA's source in the Ba'th reported a coup was scheduled for the next day, but was cancelled at the last moment. Three days later, Roger Davies, the American Deputy Chief of Mission in Baghdad, met with British Ambassador Sir Roger Allen to discuss the situation. Like the CIA, the British had cultivated sources within the Ba'th, since Sir Roger revealed specific details of the aborted coup, stating anti-Qasim officers had planned to assassinate Qasim during his recent trip to Karbala and seize Baghdad with armoured and air units, though he did not explain why it had been called off."
:In trying to reconcile these competing narratives, let's reexamine Chritchfeld's Frontline interview: While I have not seen the original source, in a 2003 AP interview Chritchfeld reportedly expanded on his earlier comments, stating: "We knew perhaps ''six months beforehand'' that it was going to happen." Based on the evidence, I am inclined to agree that while the CIA had clearly been informed of the July 1962 aborted coup and was well aware of the preparations the Ba'ath Party was making, the exact timing of the successful February 8 coup was in all probability a surprise to the U.S. government, as it was dictated by two key internal factors over which the U.S. had no control and which forced the Ba'ath Party to act sooner than it had planned: 1). The secret talks that led the Kurds to support the Ba'ath Party against Qasim in January 1963, and 2). Qasim's subsequent arrest of a large number of Ba'ath Party members, which convinced those still at large that This would explain why Ed Kane claims to have been blindsided by Qasim's overthrow, yet Komer says "CIA had excellent reports on the plotting." Either way, a former CIA official stationed in Iran who was working with Roosevelt "denied the CIA was behind the Ba'thist coup, explaining instead that his plan to overthrow Qasim had not yet been finalized when the Ba'th Party seized power": "I was still engaged in contacting people who could play a role in a coup attempt against progress we had made went for naught when Qassem was assassinated." :In trying to reconcile these competing narratives, let's reexamine Chritchfeld's Frontline interview: While I have not seen the original source, in a 2003 AP interview Chritchfeld reportedly expanded on his earlier comments, stating: "We knew perhaps ''six months beforehand'' that it was going to happen." Based on the evidence, I am inclined to agree that while the CIA had clearly been informed of the July 1962 aborted coup and was well aware of the preparations the Ba'ath Party was making, the exact timing of the successful February 8 coup was in all probability a surprise to the U.S. government, as it was dictated by two key internal factors over which the U.S. had no control and which forced the Ba'ath Party to act sooner than it had planned: 1). The secret talks that led the Kurds to support the Ba'ath Party against Qasim in January 1963, and 2). Qasim's subsequent arrest of a large number of Ba'ath Party members, which convinced those still at large that This would explain why Ed Kane claims to have been blindsided by Qasim's overthrow, yet Komer says "CIA had excellent reports on the plotting." Either way, a former CIA official stationed in Iran who was working with Roosevelt "denied the CIA was behind the Ba'thist coup, explaining instead that his plan to overthrow Qasim had not yet been finalized when the Ba'th Party seized power": "I was still engaged in contacting people who could play a role in a coup attempt against progress we had made went for naught when Qassem was assassinated."
{{collapsetop|Important extra detail:}}
::<small>''NB'': According to Wolfe-Hunnicutt, the U.S. embassy was also informed of an aborted Ba'thist coup in December 1962, which Gibson seems to have overlooked, presumably due to his focus on the CIA. Regardless, Wolfe-Hunnicutt's account only provides further corroboration that the U.S. does ''not'' seem to have been alerted in February 1963.] (]) 20:26, 3 September 2016 (UTC)</small> ::<small>''NB'': According to Wolfe-Hunnicutt, the U.S. embassy was also informed of an aborted Ba'thist coup in December 1962, which Gibson seems to have overlooked, presumably due to his focus on the CIA. Regardless, Wolfe-Hunnicutt's account only provides further corroboration that the U.S. does ''not'' seem to have been alerted in February 1963.] (]) 20:26, 3 September 2016 (UTC)</small>
{{collapsebottom}}
*As for the most notorious fabrication, that the CIA provided the new Ba'athist regime with lists of communists to round up and in many cases kill, it is important to consider the source: King Hussein of Jordan (who added the disclaimer "Some of those who now rule in Baghdad do not know of this thing but I am aware of the truth"), quoted in ''Al-Ahram'', 27 September 1963, as cited by Hanna Batatu in ''The Old Social Classes and the Revolutionary Movements of Iraq''. Contrary to the many sources that have misrepresented Batatu as supporting King Hussein's allegation, he actually reaches the opposite conclusion: Per Gibson: "The existence of these lists is supported by documents, but the evidence supports Batatu's conclusion that the Ba'th had created them on their own. For instance, an INR analysis from February 15 stated ' party members rounded up on the basis of lists prepared by the now-dominant Ba'th Party.' A separate INR analysis from February 21 pointed out that during the 1958-59 period, the communists had 'exposed virtually all its assets' whom the Ba'th had 'carefully spotted and listed.'" *As for the most notorious fabrication, that the CIA provided the new Ba'athist regime with lists of communists to round up and in many cases kill, it is important to consider the source: King Hussein of Jordan (who added the disclaimer "Some of those who now rule in Baghdad do not know of this thing but I am aware of the truth"), quoted in ''Al-Ahram'', 27 September 1963, as cited by Hanna Batatu in ''The Old Social Classes and the Revolutionary Movements of Iraq''. Contrary to the many sources that have misrepresented Batatu as supporting King Hussein's allegation, he actually reaches the opposite conclusion: Per Gibson: "The existence of these lists is supported by documents, but the evidence supports Batatu's conclusion that the Ba'th had created them on their own. For instance, an INR analysis from February 15 stated ' party members rounded up on the basis of lists prepared by the now-dominant Ba'th Party.' A separate INR analysis from February 21 pointed out that during the 1958-59 period, the communists had 'exposed virtually all its assets' whom the Ba'th had 'carefully spotted and listed.'"
::<small>''NB'': Wolfe-Hunnicutt notes that Lakeland had compiled a "Who's who" list of 129 Iraqi communists from Iraqi news media in April 1962, commenting "While it is unlikely that the Ba'th required CIA assistance in identifying its enemies&nbsp;... it's not unreasonable to suspect that that list—or ones like it—would have been shared with the Ba'th." As with much of Wolfe-Hunnicutt's evidence (e.g., the ), the revelation that these names were openly available in the Iraqi press is actually evidence ''against'' his position; it's certainly not surprising that U.S. officials would have been tracking the progress of the largest communist party in the region. Finally, while this is a minor detail and doesn't necessarily exonerate him (though the thesis mentioned in the collapsed post arguably does), Lakeland was career State Department rather than CIA.] (]) 20:26, 3 September 2016 (UTC)</small>
{{collapsetop|Extended content}}
::<small>''NB'': Wolfe-Hunnicutt notes that Lakeland had compiled a "Who's who" list of 129 Iraqi communists from Iraqi news media in April 1962, commenting "While it is unlikely that the Ba'th required CIA assistance in identifying its enemies&nbsp;... it's not unreasonable to suspect that that list—or ones like it—would have been shared with the Ba'th." As with much of Wolfe-Hunnicutt's evidence (e.g., the ), the revelation that these names were openly available in the Iraqi press is actually evidence ''against'' his position; it's certainly not surprising that U.S. officials would have been tracking the progress of the largest communist party in the region. Finally, while this is a minor detail and doesn't necessarily exonerate him (though the thesis I mentioned on January 8 arguably does), Lakeland was career State Department rather than CIA.] (]) 20:26, 3 September 2016 (UTC)</small>
::<small>''NB'': I forgot to mention this above, but the main reason to be skeptical that the "open-source" list Lakeland compiled in April 1962 was used by the Ba'th—besides the fact that declassified U.S. intelligence reports do not even hint at American involvement—is that, as Batatu notes, the Ba'th's lists were many years out of date. (Even ] hints at this in a ''BBC'' blog post that briefly addresses the topic, although only to emphasize the CIA's supposed incompetence.)] (]) 06:45, 19 October 2016 (UTC)</small> ::<small>''NB'': I forgot to mention this above, but the main reason to be skeptical that the "open-source" list Lakeland compiled in April 1962 was used by the Ba'th—besides the fact that declassified U.S. intelligence reports do not even hint at American involvement—is that, as Batatu notes, the Ba'th's lists were many years out of date. (Even ] hints at this in a ''BBC'' blog post that briefly addresses the topic, although only to emphasize the CIA's supposed incompetence.)] (]) 06:45, 19 October 2016 (UTC)</small>
{{collapsebottom}}
:Once I get a copy of Gibson's , I will be in a better position to correct some of these glaring inaccuracies that Misplaced Pages has, unfortunately, been promoting for a very long time.] (]) 06:33, 11 January 2016 (UTC) :Once I get a copy of Gibson's , I will be in a better position to correct some of these glaring inaccuracies that Misplaced Pages has, unfortunately, been promoting for a very long time.] (]) 06:33, 11 January 2016 (UTC)
::That's an excellent debunking, that deserves an article of its own. If there was a Wiki version of Politifact, this would surely qualify. However as secondary as the US-role was, it's not fair to say that it was zero. Regarding the specific involvement of the CIA, you do note that "Kennedy ordered the CIA to begin planning Qasim's overthrow in the spring of 1962. We can now confirm that Archie Roosevelt, Jr. was tasked with leading the operation." The Kennedy administration's (and it seems Britain's) main objective was to replace Qassim, not necessarily to put the Baathists in charge. The plotters probably understood that much, and assumed - correctly - that their new regime could count on unambiguous US support after they got "firmly into the saddle". Such an understanding certainly facilitated the coup. Naturally, the fact that the US did have such an objective (and acted upon it) does NOT imply that it organized actual coup in 1964. Gucci@] (]) 14:46, 12 January 2016 (UTC) ::That's an excellent debunking, that deserves an article of its own. If there was a Wiki version of Politifact, this would surely qualify. However as secondary as the US-role was, it's not fair to say that it was zero. Regarding the specific involvement of the CIA, you do note that "Kennedy ordered the CIA to begin planning Qasim's overthrow in the spring of 1962. We can now confirm that Archie Roosevelt, Jr. was tasked with leading the operation." The Kennedy administration's (and it seems Britain's) main objective was to replace Qassim, not necessarily to put the Baathists in charge. The plotters probably understood that much, and assumed - correctly - that their new regime could count on unambiguous US support after they got "firmly into the saddle". Such an understanding certainly facilitated the coup. Naturally, the fact that the US did have such an objective (and acted upon it) does NOT imply that it organized actual coup in 1964. Gucci@] (]) 14:46, 12 January 2016 (UTC)
::: More indication of the complicated relationship between Washington and Qasim ; More on the assassination attempt of 1959 . No mention of the imagined US-link. -Gucci-]. (]) 15:44, 12 January 2016 (UTC) ::: More indication of the complicated relationship between Washington and Qasim ; More on the assassination attempt of 1959 . No mention of the imagined US-link. -Gucci-]. (]) 15:44, 12 January 2016 (UTC)
::::So, I was reading through bits of William Blum's '']''—purely for the laughs, I assure you—and is unusually unreliable, even for Blum, as he manages to be wrong with just about every factual assertion he makes. But I did find one bit slightly intriguing, and, while it doesn't change any of my analysis above, I thought I'd share it here. According to Blum: "Papers of the British cabinet of 1963, later declassified, disclose that the coup had been backed by the British and the CIA." Given that I've looked at this entirely from the perspective of the American archives, I was naturally curious to see if British records give a significantly different account, possibly pointing towards more substantial Western involvement, and I think I've found what Blum was talking about. Reproduced below is the text of a January 1, 1994 ''Guardian'' article by ], "Cabinet Papers 1963: Iraq: Ministers Eager to Sell Arms to New Rulers After Bloody Coup": ::::So, I was reading through bits of William Blum's '']''—purely for the laughs, I assure you—and is unusually unreliable, even for Blum, as he manages to be wrong with just about every factual assertion he makes. ('''Addendum''': The original 1995 version of ''Killing Hope'' is slightly more palatable on this subject.) But I did find one bit slightly intriguing, and, while it doesn't change any of my analysis above, I thought I'd share it here. According to Blum: "Papers of the British cabinet of 1963, later declassified, disclose that the coup had been backed by the British and the CIA." Given that I've looked at this entirely from the perspective of the American archives, I was naturally curious to see if British records give a significantly different account, possibly pointing towards more substantial Western involvement, and I think I've found what Blum was talking about. Reproduced below is the text of a January 1, 1994 ''Guardian'' article by ], "Cabinet Papers 1963: Iraq: Ministers Eager to Sell Arms to New Rulers After Bloody Coup":
<blockquote> <blockquote>
::::EVIDENCE of the British government's strong support for the first Iraqi government led by Saddam Hussein's Ba'ath Party is revealed in the enthusiasm with which Macmillan's cabinet secretly agreed to arm the new Baghdad regime, writes Seumas Milne. ::::EVIDENCE of the British government's strong support for the first Iraqi government led by Saddam Hussein's Ba'ath Party is revealed in the enthusiasm with which Macmillan's cabinet secretly agreed to arm the new Baghdad regime, writes Seumas Milne.
Line 78: Line 84:
:::::Might be worthwhile to mention that here. I suppose that, according to one formulation, "support" for a coup involves not just direct operational support, but something a little broader. It may include things like agreement that the coup was desirable (like "I support marriage equality") and subsequent material support immediately after the coup's success. With notable exceptions, these things are arguably far more important covert logistical support. The whole point of a coup is that it is done mainly by domestic forces. Anything else is an invasion. Of course the word "support" itself should probably be used only for cases of direct pre-coup support to avoid confusion. But it does not mean that the role of outside powers stops there. :::::Might be worthwhile to mention that here. I suppose that, according to one formulation, "support" for a coup involves not just direct operational support, but something a little broader. It may include things like agreement that the coup was desirable (like "I support marriage equality") and subsequent material support immediately after the coup's success. With notable exceptions, these things are arguably far more important covert logistical support. The whole point of a coup is that it is done mainly by domestic forces. Anything else is an invasion. Of course the word "support" itself should probably be used only for cases of direct pre-coup support to avoid confusion. But it does not mean that the role of outside powers stops there.
:::::Since I know little about this topic (and don't intend to study it), I'll leave the rest to you.] (]) 01:57, 13 August 2016 (UTC) :::::Since I know little about this topic (and don't intend to study it), I'll leave the rest to you.] (]) 01:57, 13 August 2016 (UTC)

*Final point: The main ] page includes a highly salient detail from ''Sold Out?'' not mentioned at all in Gibson's thesis—and which I almost overlooked:
<blockquote> On February 5, 1963 Secretary of State Dean Rusk informed the U.S. embassy in Iraq that the State Department was "considering carefully whether on balance U.S. interests would be served this particular juncture by abandoning policy of avoiding public reaction to Qasim's charges ," with the reluctance stemming from the desire to avoid compromising the CIA's "significant intelligence collecting operations": On February 7, State Department executive secretary William Brubeck informed Bundy that Iraq had become "one of the more useful spots for acquiring technical information on Soviet military and industrial equipment and on Soviet methods of operation in nonaligned areas." The CIA had earlier penetrated a top-secret Iraqi-Soviet surface-to-air missile project. With access to crucial intelligence hanging in the balance, U.S. officials were showing "great reluctance about aggravating Qasim."</blockquote>

On the one hand, U.S. officials were keeping all options open with regard to Iraq right up until ''the day before'' Qasim was overthrown: Avoiding any support for Kurdish rebels because they knew (as did the Soviets!) that the rebellion was only driving Iraq further into the arms of Moscow, drawing up contingency plans for a coup but also continuing attempts at diplomatic outreach, and focusing more on the communist/Soviet presence in Iraq than on Qasim personally. On the other: Well, it's not hard to see how the conspiracy-minded could take the February 5 memo ''in complete isolation from any other declassified documents'' and leap to the conclusion that Rusk's reference to "''intelligence collecting operations''"' was merely a euphemism for the impending coup—as many did!] (]) 10:06, 23 December 2016 (UTC)


== Contrasting American and British perceptions of the Ba'th == == Contrasting American and British perceptions of the Ba'th ==

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This article contains a translation of حركة 8 شباط 1963 from ar.wikipedia.

Title

This title is February 1963 because I believe there was another one later that year, again. Calliopejen1 (talk) 20:14, 18 February 2009 (UTC)

Yeah, it took place Nov 18, 1963. Wrad (talk) 20:51, 5 June 2009 (UTC)

Tabloid Encyclopedia?

the section on US involvement borders on comedy. Especially the part "Unofficial involvement, indeed...." Sorry but taking an actual fact, then sarcastically mocking it then implying the opposite was really true, is not what we do here.Batvette (talk) 03:12, 2 April 2010 (UTC)

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Were the U.S./U.K. really involved?

Large parts of the text in this article (and every other article discussing the topic) are partly based on a thesis by an undergraduate student and blogger who promotes easily debunked conspiracy theories about the JFK assassination in his spare time, which caused me to reexamine the record. At first, I thought the Komer to Kennedy memo is not conclusive, as at least one former senior CIA official (Ed Kane) is on record stating that the coup was a complete surprise to the U.S. government and that Komer was likely talking out of his hat. In addition, the relevant portion of the Komer memo ("CIA had") was redacted; making assumptions regarding the redacted text would constitute original research in lieu of a reliable source. Some find the notion that either the U.S. or the U.K. would have supported the early rise of the Ba'ath Party implausible on its face, due to the Party's anti-Israel and anti-Western stance. However, reevaluating many of the now-declassified documents (and Little's American Orientalism pp. 198-206, which presents the best history of the coup from the U.S. perspective that I've seen in an academic text) presents a clearer picture, revealing that the truth lies somewhere in the middle. To be sure, the U.S. view of the Ba'ath Party had soured by the time of the July 1968 coup that brought the Party to total control in Iraq, due to the radical behavior of the Syrian Ba'athists. (See, for example, this July 17, 1968 memo, stating: "The intelligence community's initial reading is that the new group—apparently Baathists—will be more difficult than their predecessors, but at this point no one knows how radical they will be. So far, their communiques have taken a fairly moderate line by Iraqi standards, promising economic reforms, honest government, a 'wise' solution of the Kurdish problem, and Arab unity against the Zionist and Imperialist threats. On the other hand, if these people are Baathists, their tendencies will be towards moving Iraq even closer to Fatah, the Syrians and the Soviets." This alarm was tempered by July 22, 1968, as it had become clear that "The Syrians had nothing to do with the coup" and "non-Baathists are playing a major role in the new government.") However, there is abundant archival and anecdotal evidence that U.S. officials in the State Department and CIA had a much more naive and optimistic view of the Ba'ath Party in the early 1960s, due to the Party's staunch secularism and avowedly democratic goals. The problem is that the U.S. was hardly as actively involved in trying to undermine Qasim as some conspiracy theorists would have you believe; Little writes that "Eisenhower preferred a policy of 'watchful waiting' to afford Qasim 'the opportunity to stand up to the communists'" (c.f. "With reference to specific courses of action, the Committee felt that dramatic military or political action by the United States was not desirable, that the most effective restraint on Communism in Iraq is that exercised by the Arab peoples themselves, and that our best efforts could be along the lines of encouraging Qasim, particularly through third parties such as Afro-Asian representatives, to maintain an independent Iraq resistant to the Communist threat."), and this is borne out not only by the Eisenhower-era documents he cites, but also by archives from the Kennedy administration, which repeatedly rejected the requests of Kurdish rebels to arm their revolt against Qasim. In fact, "From the Iraqi revolution on July 14, 1958 until the new British arrangement with Kuwait on June 19, 1961 the U.S. followed a policy of patience, tolerance, and scrupulous nonintervention toward Iraq." In the course of the Church committee's investigation, which revealed that the CIA's "Health Alteration Committee" had plotted to "'incapacitate' an Iraqi Colonel subsequently identified as Qasim believed to be "promoting Soviet bloc political interests in Iraq", the CIA stated that the handkerchief "was in fact never received (if, indeed, sent) ... (the colonel) suffered a terminal illness before a firing squad in Baghdad (an event we had nothing to do with) not very long after our handkerchief proposal was considered." Ultimately, however, while there is no evidence that the U.S. or U.K. actively instigated the coup (in fact, the timing of the coup was "triggered by Qasim's recent arrest of a large number of Bath Party members"), it appears historically accurate to say they had advance knowledge and subsequently offered some limited economic and military support to the new regime. In addition to the confirmation by CIA agents Chritchfield (who has, nevertheless, stated the U.S. did not "actively support" the Party against Qasim) and Rositzke, in recent years the Komer memo has been fully declassified (see both versions here).

I still believe the length of the section on U.S. involvement is undue; notwithstanding the revisionist hagiographies, Qasim lacked any popular support (as evidenced by the mass exodus of hundreds of thousands of Iraqis—a huge chunk of Iraq's population at the time—fleeing his brutal and unpredictable regime) and his overthrow was largely an internal Iraqi affair (though it was welcomed by everyone from Nasser to the Shah to the Kuwaitis, all of whom were alarmed by Qasim's close ties to the Soviet Union and his threats to invade Kuwait). In particular, the original author of much of this content is prone to overstatement. Based on Google Books snippets, it seems that Rositzke was not claiming any credit for the coup, but discussing the inherent diplomatic awkwardness of "calling an upcoming coup", citing Iraq as an example of how "this sensitivity" has resulted in a situation where "almost any coup anywhere has been uniformly ascribed to the CIA or the State Department" (without reading the book, I assume that this selective quoting is the extent of the misrepresentation, which appears to be a valid assumption based on the snippets available). There is another questionable paragraph: "Qasim believed in the U.S. complicity in the plot and continually denounced the U.S. in public. The Department of State was worried that Qasim would harass American diplomats in Iraq because of this." Prior to being edited for NPOV, the first sentence read "Qasim was aware of the U.S. complicity in the plot", which is even more objectionable: The cited source (not linked for obvious reasons, but available here) does not prove that Qasim had any hard intelligence linking the U.S. to the coup plans or that his threats were not merely another case of him demagogically employing the U.S. as a scapegoat, as he did even when the U.S. was steadfastly refusing to assist his opponents. Whether or not the "believed" revision is enough to satisfy NPOV, the use of this source still seems to constitute original research (although it's nothing compared to the original author's claim elsewhere that the U.S. had advance knowledge of the Ba'athist plot to kill Qasim in 1959, based on a source that says nothing of the kind: "Reports of coup plots, including the assassination of Qassim, have increased in recent weeks, but no organization capable of bringing off a successful coup is known to exist ... There is considerable reason to believe, however, that troop commanders in the Baghdad area are loyal to Qassim and that many identified antiregime nationalist and pro-UAR officers have been purged or placed in positions of relative unimportance. Thus, if the nationalists, either alone or with UAR help, do attempt a coup at this time, we believe that its chances of success would be less than even. In the event of a coup attempt, and especially if Qassim were assassinated, serious civil strife is likely"). For the sake of historical understanding, I believe it is also important to note that while U.S. officials very much wanted to make the most of the "Iraqi opportunity" presented by Qasim's overthrow, the support provided by the Kennedy administration was limited by the understanding of long-term differences with the Iraqi Ba'athists such as "Iraqi bias against monarchies" and "Iraqi hostility toward Israel" as well as "The internal struggle between extremists and moderates of the Pan-Arab Socialist Baathist movement" (c.f. "A fundamental underlying all the foregoing is that while the new regime appears to be a vast improvement over Qasim, we cannot consider that it will be pro-American or that it will be free from internal pressures of an extremist nature. It remains to be seen how cohesive it remains, and how responsibly it acts"); despite repeated rumors in the Arab world that the Kennedy administration provided a list of Iraqi communists to be killed by the new regime, in contrast to similar allegations (e.g., Indonesia 1965) there is literally no evidence that this happened besides the fact that an anti-communist purge took place, making it more of a rumor than an historical fact. At the very least, the aforementioned thesis utterly demolishes the theory that William Lakeland (who was career State Department, not CIA) was the culprit.TheTimesAreAChanging (talk) 04:18, 8 January 2016 (UTC)

A detailed six-year study by Bryan R. Gibson based on hundreds of documents (including newly declassified records from the National Archives and the CIA's CREST system) and interviews with senior U.S. officials including a high-ranking CIA agent in the Middle East during the period 1958 to 1976 (and, for the relevant section on the Kurdish War, two Israeli Mossad officials) has painted a far clearer picture of these events than we ever possessed before, and seems to resolve many of the contradictions that plagued our previous understanding of U.S.-Iraq relations (including the deranged lie that Kissinger cynically sold out the Kurds). (I'd also recommend Wolfe-Hunnicutt's "The End of the Concessionary Regime", which is written from the opposing point of view, but is notable for pretty much only finding evidence against the allegations the author very much wants to believe.) To wit:
  • First of all, the Church Report's description of what has been called the CIA's plot to kill Qasim in February 1960 always seemed a bit, well, off. You will recall that CIA officials requested endorsement of a plan to "incapacitate" an "Iraqi Colonel believed to be promoting Soviet bloc political interests in Iraq" with a technique "which, while not likely to result in total disablement, would be certain to prevent the target from pursuing his usual activities for a minimum of three months", but under Congressional questioning CIA officials could "not now recall the name" of the colonel in question. That does not sound like an assassination attempt, and it is implausible that CIA officials would fail to remember an attack on the Iraqi head of state. Moreover, Qasim was not a colonel but a brigadier general, and he did not openly promote Soviet interests in Iraq. Logical deduction suggests the likely target for the handkerchief "treated with some kind of material for the purpose of harassing that person who received it" was not Qasim but the "outspokenly pro-communist" Colonel Fadhil 'Abbas al-Mahdawi who had been actively involved in suppressing anti-communist elements as head of Iraq's "People's Court". Far from being "a hard historical fact" that the CIA considered an unrealized plot to kill Qasim in 1960, this entire narrative is a blatant misrepresentation propagated solely by citogenesis and wishful thinking.
Extended content:
NB: Wolfe-Hunnicutt cites a "highly alarmist" analysis of "the reality of Commusim in Iraq" drafted by Miles Copeland Jr. and James Eichelberger in February 1960. Gibson persuasively demonstrates (pp. 27-28) that the memo "stands in stark contrast to the prevailing views at the time, including those held by the highest levels of the U.S. intelligence community ... the Copeland-Eichelberger report stands out as a peculiar irregularity at a time when the situation in Iraq was in fact stabilizing." I'm tempted to say this is scrapping the bottom of the barrel—anyone who knows anything about Copeland could not be surprised that of course he was towing Nasser's line—but it is possible that an undercurrent of this sort of thinking influenced the CIA's plot to incapacitate Mahdawi around the same time. Note that Mahdawi was the only communist exercising significant power in Iraq in February, as Qasim had effectively outlawed the Iraqi Communist Party the previous month.TheTimesAreAChanging (talk) 20:59, 3 September 2016 (UTC)
NB: Interestingly, Wolfe-Hunnicutt—unlike the vast array of meme-makers that have incessantly parroted the story without taking the time to analyze the original Church Committee source it is based on—notices that what the Committee describes is clearly inconsistent with an assassination attempt on Qasim. Rather than questioning the narrative, however, he reconciles this by noting that the CIA "engaged in a great deal of subterfuge and obfuscation," calling its testimony "internally inconsistent and mocking in tone." I gather that he may be willing to reconsider this in light of Gibson's more recent work on the matter.TheTimesAreAChanging (talk) 22:08, 12 September 2016 (UTC)
  • Gibson also uses a wide array of documents to debunk the already threadbare propaganda hoax that the U.S. was complicit in the 1959 assassination attempt on Qasim. In addition to the fact that Allen Dulles had expressed skepticism on October 2 over the "generally wrong" "rumors" predicting an assassination attempt on Qasim might be made "within the next two months" (the Ba'ath struck Qasim just five days later, on October 7) and U.S. intelligence was predicting a nationalist coup would likely fail, it is now clear that U.S. officials were supporting Qasim at the time out of the belief that there was no viable alternative and his overthrow might lead to civil war or a communist takeover. In addition, when Qasim was hospitalized, U.S. officials warned the friendly governments of Jordan and Iran against "taking military action" in Iraq to exploit Qasim's perceived weakness.
Extended content:
NB: Probably not worthy of mention, but while Wolfe-Hunnicutt agrees that the U.S. had absolutely nothing to do with the assassination attempt—"I am unaware of any evidence of covert relations between the CIA and the Ba'th prior to October 7"—he cannot resist making the irresponsible activist claim that "American officials were well aware that nationalist forces were planning an assassination attempt, and ... made no effort to warn Qasim." But wait—as noted above, the U.S. intelligence community repeatedly stated in the days leading up to the attack that "no organization capable of bringing off a successful coup is known to exist." How were they supposed to "warn Qasim" when they had nothing to go on except intuition and rumors?TheTimesAreAChanging (talk) 08:08, 19 October 2016 (UTC)
  • As mentioned above, in contrast to those who claim the CIA instigated the revolt, the Kennedy administration repeatedly rejected Kurdish requests for arms in their fight against Qasim. Gibson demonstrates that, per the Soviet archives, the outbreak of the Kurdish War in 1961 was actually part of a Soviet plan.
In sum, despite closely monitoring the situation, the Eisenhower administration ultimately pursued a policy of non-intervention in Iraq, which appeared to have been successful by the time Eisenhower left office. The Kennedy administration effectively ignored Iraq until a series of crises in 1961 (the Kuwait crisis, the outbreak of the Kurdish War, and the expropriation of 99.5% of the Iraq Petroleum Company's concessionary holdings) caused it to change course, adopting a dual strategy of diplomatic engagement and covert action (with an emphasis on the former as the CIA had relatively few assets in Iraq). With regard to the CIA's efforts at "regime change" in Iraq during the Kennedy administration, the memoir of Jack O'Connell (CIA station chief in Amman from 1963 to 1971), declassified CIA records, and especially interviews with a former CIA official with first-hand knowledge of the events reveals the following:
  • By at least 1961, the CIA had penetrated the Iraqi wing of the Ba'ath Party with at least one high-level informant who kept the Agency aware of the Party's plans.
  • Kennedy ordered the CIA to begin planning Qasim's overthrow in the spring of 1962. We can now confirm that Archie Roosevelt, Jr. was tasked with leading the operation.
  • While the CIA was interested in the Ba'ath Party, the Iraqi military was its primary focus.
The claim that the CIA actively supported or "masterminded" the Ba'athist coup is, as we have seen, dubious (and denied by every CIA agent who has ever gone on record to discuss the topic). Gibson challenges the notion that the U.S. even had advance knowledge of the coup, citing declassified documents that show a measure of uncertainty over which of the many factions known to be plotting against Qasim was responsible (e.g., "Information presently available has not confirmed that Qasim is actually dead. A National Council was established consisting of six officers, one colonel, two captains and three lieutenants. Some members of this council have been identified as being members of the Bath Party. Most military units have reported in or officers from the military units have sent messages reporting their loyalty to the coup ... The coup appears to be in the hands of the Bath Party. Rumors have been widespread that that party had been planning a coup for several months. It is believed by members of CIA that the coup was triggered by Qasim's recent arrest of a large number of Bath Party members."), despite the fact that many have used the Komer memo to portray this as axiomatic. In my view, the strongest evidence in support of Gibson's thesis is a declassified CIA document from July 1962, "Cancellation of Coup Plan by Ba'th Party of Iraq". According to Gibson:
  • "In mid-July 1962, the CIA's source in the Ba'th reported a coup was scheduled for the next day, but was cancelled at the last moment. Three days later, Roger Davies, the American Deputy Chief of Mission in Baghdad, met with British Ambassador Sir Roger Allen to discuss the situation. Like the CIA, the British had cultivated sources within the Ba'th, since Sir Roger revealed specific details of the aborted coup, stating anti-Qasim officers had planned to assassinate Qasim during his recent trip to Karbala and seize Baghdad with armoured and air units, though he did not explain why it had been called off."
In trying to reconcile these competing narratives, let's reexamine Chritchfeld's Frontline interview: "In 1961 and 1962, we increased our interest in the Ba'ath—not to actively support it—but politically and intellectually, we found the Ba'ath interesting. We found it particularly active in Iraq. Our analysis of the Ba'ath was that it was comparatively moderate at that time, and that the United States could easily adjust to and support its policies. So we watched the Ba'ath's long, slow preparation to take control. They planned to do it several times, and postponed it." While I have not seen the original source, in a 2003 AP interview Chritchfeld reportedly expanded on his earlier comments, stating: "We knew perhaps six months beforehand that it was going to happen." Based on the evidence, I am inclined to agree that while the CIA had clearly been informed of the July 1962 aborted coup and was well aware of the preparations the Ba'ath Party was making, the exact timing of the successful February 8 coup was in all probability a surprise to the U.S. government, as it was dictated by two key internal factors over which the U.S. had no control and which forced the Ba'ath Party to act sooner than it had planned: 1). The secret talks that led the Kurds to support the Ba'ath Party against Qasim in January 1963, and 2). Qasim's subsequent arrest of a large number of Ba'ath Party members, which convinced those still at large that "if they were ever going to attempt such a coup it would have to be done now." This would explain why Ed Kane claims to have been blindsided by Qasim's overthrow, yet Komer says "CIA had excellent reports on the plotting." Either way, a former CIA official stationed in Iran who was working with Roosevelt "denied the CIA was behind the Ba'thist coup, explaining instead that his plan to overthrow Qasim had not yet been finalized when the Ba'th Party seized power": "I was still engaged in contacting people who could play a role in a coup attempt against progress we had made went for naught when Qassem was assassinated."
Important extra detail:
NB: According to Wolfe-Hunnicutt, the U.S. embassy was also informed of an aborted Ba'thist coup in December 1962, which Gibson seems to have overlooked, presumably due to his focus on the CIA. Regardless, Wolfe-Hunnicutt's account only provides further corroboration that the U.S. does not seem to have been alerted in February 1963.TheTimesAreAChanging (talk) 20:26, 3 September 2016 (UTC)
Extended content
NB: Wolfe-Hunnicutt notes that Lakeland had compiled a "Who's who" list of 129 Iraqi communists from Iraqi news media in April 1962, commenting "While it is unlikely that the Ba'th required CIA assistance in identifying its enemies ... it's not unreasonable to suspect that that list—or ones like it—would have been shared with the Ba'th." As with much of Wolfe-Hunnicutt's evidence (e.g., the Komer memo), the revelation that these names were openly available in the Iraqi press is actually evidence against his position; it's certainly not surprising that U.S. officials would have been tracking the progress of the largest communist party in the region. Finally, while this is a minor detail and doesn't necessarily exonerate him (though the thesis I mentioned on January 8 arguably does), Lakeland was career State Department rather than CIA.TheTimesAreAChanging (talk) 20:26, 3 September 2016 (UTC)
NB: I forgot to mention this above, but the main reason to be skeptical that the "open-source" list Lakeland compiled in April 1962 was used by the Ba'th—besides the fact that declassified U.S. intelligence reports do not even hint at American involvement—is that, as Batatu notes, the Ba'th's lists were many years out of date. (Even Adam Curtis hints at this in a BBC blog post that briefly addresses the topic, although only to emphasize the CIA's supposed incompetence.)TheTimesAreAChanging (talk) 06:45, 19 October 2016 (UTC)
Once I get a copy of Gibson's Sold Out?, I will be in a better position to correct some of these glaring inaccuracies that Misplaced Pages has, unfortunately, been promoting for a very long time.TheTimesAreAChanging (talk) 06:33, 11 January 2016 (UTC)
That's an excellent debunking, that deserves an article of its own. If there was a Wiki version of Politifact, this would surely qualify. However as secondary as the US-role was, it's not fair to say that it was zero. Regarding the specific involvement of the CIA, you do note that "Kennedy ordered the CIA to begin planning Qasim's overthrow in the spring of 1962. We can now confirm that Archie Roosevelt, Jr. was tasked with leading the operation." The Kennedy administration's (and it seems Britain's) main objective was to replace Qassim, not necessarily to put the Baathists in charge. The plotters probably understood that much, and assumed - correctly - that their new regime could count on unambiguous US support after they got "firmly into the saddle". Such an understanding certainly facilitated the coup. Naturally, the fact that the US did have such an objective (and acted upon it) does NOT imply that it organized actual coup in 1964. Gucci@81.88.116.27 (talk) 14:46, 12 January 2016 (UTC)
More indication of the complicated relationship between Washington and Qasim here; More on the assassination attempt of 1959 here, same source. No mention of the imagined US-link. -Gucci-81.88.116.27. (talk) 15:44, 12 January 2016 (UTC)
So, I was reading through bits of William Blum's Rogue State: A Guide to the World's Only Superpower—purely for the laughs, I assure you—and the section on Iraq under Qasim is unusually unreliable, even for Blum, as he manages to be wrong with just about every factual assertion he makes. (Addendum: The original 1995 version of Killing Hope is slightly more palatable on this subject.) But I did find one bit slightly intriguing, and, while it doesn't change any of my analysis above, I thought I'd share it here. According to Blum: "Papers of the British cabinet of 1963, later declassified, disclose that the coup had been backed by the British and the CIA." Given that I've looked at this entirely from the perspective of the American archives, I was naturally curious to see if British records give a significantly different account, possibly pointing towards more substantial Western involvement, and I think I've found what Blum was talking about. Reproduced below is the text of a January 1, 1994 Guardian article by Seamus Milne, "Cabinet Papers 1963: Iraq: Ministers Eager to Sell Arms to New Rulers After Bloody Coup":
EVIDENCE of the British government's strong support for the first Iraqi government led by Saddam Hussein's Ba'ath Party is revealed in the enthusiasm with which Macmillan's cabinet secretly agreed to arm the new Baghdad regime, writes Seumas Milne.
The Ba'athist overthrow of General Kassem in February, 1963, in a bloody anti-communist coup backed by the CIA, was accompanied by the killing of about 5,000 communists and supporters of the dead leader.
Less than two months later Edward Heath - then Lord Privy Seal - gave a sympathetic report to cabinet on an Iraqi request for military aircraft and armoured personnel carriers.
"If these inquiries reflected a disposition on the part of the new government of Iraq to reduce their dependence on the Soviet Union, we should seek to take advantage of it," the future prime minister said.
The only worry was that British equipment might be used to attack Kuwait, but the government pressed ahead with the arms supplies anyway.
By June, there was some ministerial nervousness at the "ruthless methods" being used by the Baghdad regime against the Kurds.
Lord Home, then foreign secretary, warned that the government might be criticised if British weapons were used to repress the Kurdish community. The cabinet slowed the flow, but in September military supplies were again sharply stepped up.
They included 16 Wessex helicopters, 20 training aircraft, small arms, mortars, ammunition, Saracen carriers and 3,000 rockets. "These arms are wanted urgently by the Iraqis for operations against the Kurds ... our interest lies in a gradual supply of arms to meet Iraqi requirements," one minute to Macmillan reads.
"I agree," the prime minister has scribbled across the bottom, asking that the matter be "pushed forward energetically".
Duncan Sandys, the colonial secretary, reported to cabinet in May that the Iraqi government had "found it necessary to imprison a number of supporters of President Nasser and to execute certain adherents of the previous president." He said the agreement to supply military equipment would increase British influence in Iraq.
While an interesting find, it is worth noting that the cabinet papers do not seem to suggest any British (or American) participation in the coup itself; the only mention of the CIA comes from Milne.TheTimesAreAChanging (talk) 05:43, 10 August 2016 (UTC)
Might be worthwhile to mention that here. I suppose that, according to one formulation, "support" for a coup involves not just direct operational support, but something a little broader. It may include things like agreement that the coup was desirable (like "I support marriage equality") and subsequent material support immediately after the coup's success. With notable exceptions, these things are arguably far more important covert logistical support. The whole point of a coup is that it is done mainly by domestic forces. Anything else is an invasion. Of course the word "support" itself should probably be used only for cases of direct pre-coup support to avoid confusion. But it does not mean that the role of outside powers stops there.
Since I know little about this topic (and don't intend to study it), I'll leave the rest to you.Guccisamsclub (talk) 01:57, 13 August 2016 (UTC)
  • Final point: The main Iraq–United States relations page includes a highly salient detail from Sold Out? not mentioned at all in Gibson's thesis—and which I almost overlooked:

On February 5, 1963 Secretary of State Dean Rusk informed the U.S. embassy in Iraq that the State Department was "considering carefully whether on balance U.S. interests would be served this particular juncture by abandoning policy of avoiding public reaction to Qasim's charges ," with the reluctance stemming from the desire to avoid compromising the CIA's "significant intelligence collecting operations": On February 7, State Department executive secretary William Brubeck informed Bundy that Iraq had become "one of the more useful spots for acquiring technical information on Soviet military and industrial equipment and on Soviet methods of operation in nonaligned areas." The CIA had earlier penetrated a top-secret Iraqi-Soviet surface-to-air missile project. With access to crucial intelligence hanging in the balance, U.S. officials were showing "great reluctance about aggravating Qasim."

On the one hand, U.S. officials were keeping all options open with regard to Iraq right up until the day before Qasim was overthrown: Avoiding any support for Kurdish rebels because they knew (as did the Soviets!) that the rebellion was only driving Iraq further into the arms of Moscow, drawing up contingency plans for a coup but also continuing attempts at diplomatic outreach, and focusing more on the communist/Soviet presence in Iraq than on Qasim personally. On the other: Well, it's not hard to see how the conspiracy-minded could take the February 5 memo in complete isolation from any other declassified documents and leap to the conclusion that Rusk's reference to "intelligence collecting operations"' was merely a euphemism for the impending coup—as many did!TheTimesAreAChanging (talk) 10:06, 23 December 2016 (UTC)

Contrasting American and British perceptions of the Ba'th

In his aforementioned thesis, Wolfe-Hunnicutt paints a portrait of a U.K. that was much more bearish about the Ba'th than the U.S.: "For some ... the fall of the Ba'th  demonstrated the flaws in the larger U.S. strategy of reaching a limited accommodation with the forces of pan‐Arab nationalism, whether of the Nasserist, or Ba'thist variety ... The British Ambassador to Iraq Sir Roger Allen fell into this category ... In a meeting between  Strong and Allen, the British Ambassador ... appeared 'rather pleased ... The Ba'th is dead' and adopted a kind of 'I told you so' attitude ... In this document British officials are described as 'gleeful' over the Ba'th's problems." If that is true, one might ask why these perceptions were reversed after the Ba'th regained power in 1968. Compare these two radically different analyses of the second Ba'th regime: "(Saddam) struck me as a much more 'serious' character than other Ba'thist leaders; and his engaging smile, when he deployed it, seemed part and parcel of his absorption with the subject at hand and not, as with so many of the others, a matter of superficial affability. I should judge him, young as he is, to be a formidable, single-minded and hard-headed member of the Ba'thist hierarchy, but one with whom, if only one could see more of him, it would be possible to do business" (British); "The level of political violence is very high ... The Ba'thist regime has used violence systematically since its 1968 coup, and Saddam al-Tikriti, who now poses as the 'good guy' of the regime, has been the pre-eminent practitioner ... This is not a happy situation nor a happy government for the U.S. to try to do business with" (American). One possible explanation is that the U.K. had previously supported Qasim (and his "Iraq first" policy) as an alternative to its arch-rival Nasser (even informing Qasim of Nasser's plan to overthrow him in December 1958, which led to blowback during the Kuwait crisis), and therefore was not as enthusiastic about his overthrow at the hands of a pan-Arab party. After the split between the Iraqi Ba'thists and the Nasserists led by President Arif, the U.K. sought to undermine Arif (principally by arming Kurdish rebels rather than through overt collaboration with the Ba'th) and welcomed his July 1968 overthrow. Conversely, the primary U.S. foreign policy concern was the Cold War, so the U.S. was willing to tolerate both the horrific excesses of the first Ba'th regime and Nasser's influence as long as Iraq maintained an anti-communist domestic policy, but was alarmed by the second Ba'th regime's close relationship with Moscow. In this analysis, then, both American and British observers—consciously or otherwise—allowed the national interest to color their perception of various Iraqi regimes. I'm not sure I believe that, but hey, it's food for thought. Another, far simpler, explanation is that diplomats very often end up displaying marked sympathy towards their interlocutors (the U.S. had no diplomatic relations with Iraq during most of the second Ba'th regime).TheTimesAreAChanging (talk) 21:12, 3 September 2016 (UTC)

BTW: If you don't have the time to read either thesis under discussion, Wolfe-Hunnicutt also suggests that—despite their contacts with the Ba'th, documented above—the British were cultivating assets in Jordan for the purpose of restoring the monarchy. Although the events of 1958 would tend to indicate such an endeavor was doomed from the start, this disclosure provides further confirmation that neither the U.S. nor the U.K. actively worked to install the Ba'th to power in Iraq, despite the obvious pleasure they took in Qasim's downfall. Given that both the U.S. and the U.K.—not to mention Archie Roosevelt, Jr. himself—had been actively attempting to overthrow the Ba'th-dominated government in Syria just a few years earlier (during the "Syria Crisis" of 1956–57), assertions to the contrary always seemed open to question—but could not be dismissed out of hand, because the events in Syria also proved that the Ba'th was more nationalist than Communist, despite its willingness to seek close relations with the USSR. (It was disagreements between Communists and Ba'thists in Syria's Leftist coalition, and finally the union with Egypt, that drove the Syrian Communist Party underground—not any of the rather comically ineffective Western meddling). (And as everyone knows, of the two nations unfortunate enough to have experienced the ideology of Ba'thism in practice, Moscow was always more closely aligned with Syria than it was with Iraq.)TheTimesAreAChanging (talk) 06:41, 7 October 2016 (UTC)

Arabic Misplaced Pages

It was interesting to confirm that the Arabic Misplaced Pages treats the events of February 8, 1963 as a completely internal Iraqi affair. The only place I could find where the allegations of American involvement are even alluded to is al-Sa'di's biography (via Google Translate): "There were some rumors about his statement by saying (we came to power train US in 1963), but his son has denied that his father told any of these statements, and it's fabrications of his opponents communists." (This is an allusion to the "CIA train" quote repeated uncritically by Weiner et al., which I have long suspected may well be apocryphal or a smear propagated by the Ba'th's opponents—including Nasser, who sought to imply the Ba'thists were not true socialists by publishing the Al-Ahram interview with King Hussein. After all, it would have been suicidal for any Arab nationalist to openly admit to collaborating with the mad dogs of imperialism, even if it were true.)TheTimesAreAChanging (talk) 19:20, 30 November 2016 (UTC)

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