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Uttar Pradesh legislative assembly election, 2017

← 2012 2017 2022 →
All 403 seats of Uttar Pradesh Legislative Assembly 202 seats needed for a majority
Majority party Minority party Third party   File:Mayawati.JPG File:BJP election symbol.svg Leader Not Known Kumari Mayawati Not Yet Party SP BSP BJP Leader's seat None None None Last election 224, 29.13% 80, 25.91% 47, 15% Seats before 97 206 51   Fourth party Fifth party   Leader Sheila Dikshit Jayant Chaudhary Party INC RLD Leader's seat None None Last election 28, 11.63% 09, 2.33% Seats before 22 10
Chief Minister before election Akhilesh Yadav Samajwadi Party Elected Chief Minister TBD

A legislative assembly election will be held in 2017 for the 403 seats of the Vidhan Sabha in the state of Uttar Pradesh in India. The dates of the election are yet to be announced, as of November 2016. In the previous election in 2012, the Samajwadi Party won a majority and formed government in the leadership of Akhilesh Yadav.

Background

Electoral process changes

In January 2016, the Election Commission of India published updated electoral rolls in all 403 assembly segments. In July 2016, Election Commission decided to increase the number of polling booths in Uttar Pradesh for the 2017 Assembly elections. New polling centres will be planned in the constituencies having more than 1,500 registered voters as well as polling booths in six constituencies of Muzaffarnagar, Budhana, Purkazi, Khatoli, Charthawal and Midanpur to be raised from 1,769 to 1,819 booths. Voter assistance booths would be set up and photo slip of voters in a new design would be sent to them. First time, the Form-2B would contain the photograph of the candidates and their nationality.

Voter-verified paper audit trail (VVPAT) machines will be used along with EVM in 20 assembly constituencies covering 14 districts including Bareilly constituency.

Other political developments

In May 2016, Prime Minister Narendra Modi launched 11 solar-powered “e-boats” in Varanasi, in a move to reach out to Mallah community. On 26 December 2016, U.P Government government cleared the inclusion of 17 Other Backward Castes- Kahar, Kashyap, Kewat, Nishad, Bind, Bhar, Prajapati, Rajbhar, Batham, Gauriya, Turha, Majhi, Mallah, Kumhar, Dheemar, Dheewar and Machhua, in the Scheduled Castes (SC) category.

Caste and religion data

As per 2011 census, Dalits constitute 21.1% of Uttar Pradesh population. Mallah community is divided in 27 sub-castes. Other Backward Classes (OBCs) constitute 44% of U.P population. There are 200-odd non-Yadav OBCs in U.P. In Uttar Pradesh, Muslims are divided into 68 castes and sub-castes, 35 of them are OBCs. Forward castes constitute around 16% of Uttar Pradesh population. For accurate caste population data in India, Government of India has not publicly released Socio Economic and Caste Census 2011 caste population data for every single non-SC/ST castes (General castes, OBC/EBCs) in India.

Political developments

Bahujan Samaj Party

2017 elections in Uttar Pradesh are said to be close contest between Bahujan Samaj Party and Bharatiya Janata Party. From August 2016, BSP held series of ‘Sarvajan Hitay, Sarvajan Sukhay’ rallies starting from Agra, followed by Mega rallies in Azamgarh, Allahabad and Saharanpur. In these rallies, Mayawati attacked misrule and Gundaraj of Samajwadi Party, Communal politics and Unfulfilled promises of achhe din by Bharatiya Janata Party and also ugly politics of Congress. On 9 October 2016, for tenth Parinirvana divas of BSP founder Kanshi Ram at Manyawar Shri Kanshiram Ji Green Eco Garden, a massive crowd gathered from all over the State. BSP has given more than 100 tickets to Muslim candidates, highest in UP till date. In August 2016, four Muslim MLAs, 3 from Congress (Nawab Kazim Ali Khan, Dilnawaz Khan, Mohammad Muslim Khan) and 1 from Samajwadi Party (Nawazish Alam Khan) and also a former Bharatiya Janata Party minister Awadesh Kumar Verma joined BSP. Four Muslim MLAs, three from Congress and one from Samajwadi Party have joined BSP. It is speculated that Muslims may prefer BSP over SP in the upcoming elections.

Bharatiya Janata Party

BJP is trying to woo voters in Uttar Pradesh with Development agenda. It is rumored that Mayawati is trying her best to gain from BJP's political activists, by making them join BSP, meanwhile alleging BJP of accepting the rejected politicians of BSP. On the other hand, political leaders from SP and Congress have joined BSP in the run-up to the elections.

Samajwadi Party

On 28 March 2016, Samajwadi Party released its first candidate list of 142 contestants for Uttar Pradesh Assembly Elections 2017.It is expected to return into power in the forthcoming elections. Though the family clashes wrecked its image for a while but now during inauguration of Lucknow Agra expressway, it's clear that the family clash is over and party is in full support of Akhilesh Yadav's development projects. The Samajwadi Party is likely to support covertly with the BJP during the elections in order to prevent BSP coming into power on their own. In June 2016, Akhilesh Yadav Government undertook the seventh and last cabinet expansion. SP was evidently going towards a split post removal of shivpal yadav from the cabinet and a 6 year suspension of party`s general secretary Ram Gopal yadav from the party by Mulayam singh yadav but party's main leaders are saying now that there is no split in party anymore.

Indian National Congress

Congress declared Sheila Dikshit as it CM Candidate for 2017 elections.The duo of Raj Babbar and Mrs.Dikshit may improve the worsend conditions of Congress. Priyanka Gandhi is also expected to take part in Congress rallies, but it still remains a rumor. Veteran leader Rita Bahuguna joshi`s defection to BJP may impact its outreach to the powerful Brahmin community of UP.

Election issues

The most important issue is said to be law and order of the state and as in every election caste and Religion will play the key reasons for voters. BJP may also try to pop up the Army`s surgical strikes across LOC as an elections issue to counter BSP.

Schedule

Uttar Pradesh Assembly Election Schedule 2017 would be Announced by December 2016 and Elections should take place by February 2017. Previous assembly polls, all 403 ACs went to polls in 7 Phases. The term of the present government will end in May 2017.

Opinion polls

Various organisations/agencies will be conducting opinions polls to predict voter intentions in the upcoming legislative assembly elections.

References

1. of India, Election Commission. "STATISTICAL REPORT ON GENERAL ELECTION, 2012 TO THE LEGISLATIVE ASSEMBLY OF UTTAR PRADESH" (PDF). eci.nic.in.
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29. "After mega rally, BSP chief jumps to top of Twitter trends".
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33. "Lucknow: Bahujan Samaj Party chief Mayawati targets Modi govt ahead of UP polls".
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35. RASHID, OMAR. "Boost for Mayawati as 4 Muslim MLAs join BSP".
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44. "UP govt needs to look into law and order". State Times. 4 June 2016. Retrieved 4 June 2016.
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External links

• Chief Electoral Officer Uttar Pradesh
• Uttar Pradesh (UP) Assembly Elections 2017
• Uttar Pradesh (UP) Elections 2017
• Uttar pradesh election 2017 date

• State Assembly elections in India, 2017
• State Assembly elections in Uttar Pradesh