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== Background == | == Background == | ||
AKILESH YADAV ZINDABAD | |||
===Electoral process changes=== | |||
In January 2016, the ] published updated electoral rolls in all 403 assembly segments.<ref>{{cite web |url=http://indianexpress.com/article/cities/lucknow/2017-assembly-polls-election-commission-to-begin-election-process-april-next/ |title=2017 assembly polls: Election Commission to begin election process April next |newspaper=Indianexpress.com |date= |author= |accessdate= July 6, 2016}}</ref> In July 2016, Election Commission decided to increase the number of polling booths in ] for the 2017 Assembly elections. New polling centres will be planned in the constituencies having more than 1,500 registered voters as well as polling booths in six constituencies of Muzaffarnagar, Budhana, Purkazi, Khatoli, Charthawal and Midanpur to be raised from 1,769 to 1,819 booths.<ref>{{cite web |url=http://www.thehindu.com/news/national/uttar-pradesh-assembly-elections-2017-election-commission-to-increase-polling-booths/article8755683.ece |title=Uttar Pradesh Assembly elections 2017: Election Commission to increase polling booths - The Hindu |newspaper=Thehindu.com |date= |author= |accessdate= July 6, 2016}}</ref><ref>{{cite web |url=http://www.jansatta.com/editors-pick/election-commission-to-increase-number-of-booths-for-2017-up-polls/109103/ |title=Election Commission 2017 उत्तर प्रदेश चुनाव में बढ़ाएगी वोटिंग सेंटर्स - Jansatta |newspaper=Jansatta.com |date= |author= |accessdate= July 6, 2016}}</ref> Voter assistance booths would be set up and photo slip of voters in a new design would be sent to them. First time, the Form-2B would contain the photograph of the candidates and their nationality. | |||
] (VVPAT) machines will be used along with EVM in 60 assembly constituencies covering 14 districts including Varanasi,<ref>{{cite web|url=http://www.dailypioneer.com/state-editions/eci-to-install-vvpat-in-60-assembly-seats-in-up-polls.html|title=ECI TO INSTALL VVPAT IN 60 ASSEMBLY SEATS IN UP POLLS}}</ref><ref>{{cite web|url=http://timesofindia.indiatimes.com/city/varanasi/738-booths-of-cantt-city-north-to-have-vvpat-machines/articleshow/56362867.cms?utm_source=twitter.com&utm_medium=referral&utm_campaign=TOICitiesNews|title=738 booths of Cantonment, City North to have Voter verified paper audit trai machines}}</ref> Ghaziabad<ref>{{cite web|url=http://timesofindia.indiatimes.com/city/noida/now-verify-your-vote-using-an-audit-machine/articleshow/56397288.cms|title=Now, verify your vote using an ‘audit machine’ - Times of India|publisher=}}</ref> and Bareilly constituency.<ref>{{cite web|url=http://eci.nic.in/eci_main1/current/PN2Corrigendum_04012017.pdf|title=AnnexureVI VVPAT Page 24}}</ref><ref>{{cite web|url=http://timesofindia.indiatimes.com/city/bareilly/Machines-to-rule-out-fraud-confusion-at-upcoming-UP-polls/articleshow/55946986.cms|title=Machines to rule out fraud, confusion at upcoming UP polls}}</ref> | |||
{| class="wikitable" | align="center" | |||
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! colspan="4" | Assembly constituencies of Uttar Pradesh having ] facility with EVMs<ref>{{cite web|url=http://timesofindia.indiatimes.com/city/lucknow/20-uttar-pradesh-assembly-constituencies-to-witness-atm-like-receipt-after-casting-vote/articleshow/56272224.cms|title=20 Uttar Pradesh assembly constituencies to witness ATM-like receipt after casting vote}}</ref> | |||
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As per the special summary revision of electoral rolls, there are a total of 14.05 crore voters in Uttar Pradesh as of January 2015.<ref>{{cite web|url=http://indianexpress.com/article/cities/lucknow/uttar-pradesh-now-has-14-cr-voters/|title=Uttar Pradesh now has 14 cr voters}}</ref> | |||
{| class="wikitable" | | |||
|+ Final voters list for Uttar Pradesh Legislative Assembly election 2017 | |||
|- | |||
! S.No !! Group of voters !! Voters population | |||
|- | |||
| 1 || Male || 7.7 crore | |||
|- | |||
| 2 || Female || 6.3 crore | |||
|- | |||
|3 ||Third Gender|| 6,983 | |||
|- | |||
| colspan="2" | '''Total Voters''' || '''14.05 crore''' | |||
|} | |||
===Caste and religion data=== | ===Caste and religion data=== |
Revision as of 12:47, 19 February 2017
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All 403 seats of Uttar Pradesh Legislative Assembly 202 seats needed for a majority | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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The 17th Uttar Pradesh Legislative Assembly will be held from February 11 to March 8, 2017 in 7 phases. In the previous election in 2012, the Samajwadi Party won a majority and formed government in the leadership of Akhilesh Yadav.
Background
AKILESH YADAV ZINDABAD
Caste and religion data
As per 2011 census, Dalits constitute 21.1% of Uttar Pradesh population. Mallah community is divided in 27 sub-castes. Other Backward Classes (OBCs) constitute 40% of U.P population. Yadavs are biggest caste among OBCs. There are 200-odd non-Yadav OBCs in U.P. In Uttar Pradesh, Muslims are divided into 68 castes and sub-castes, 35 of them are OBCs. Forward castes constitute around 19% of Uttar Pradesh population, in which Brahmins are 10% and Thakurs are 7.6%. For accurate caste population data in India, Government of India has not publicly released Socio Economic and Caste Census 2011 caste population data for every single non-SC/ST castes (General castes, OBC/EBCs) in India.
Castes of Uttar Pradesh | ||
---|---|---|
Caste | Population (%) | Notes |
OBC | 40% | Yadavs -8% Lodhi -7% Jats -1.7% Gurjar -1.3% Kushwaha(Maurya, Shakya, Koeri, Kachhi, Saini) -4% Kurmi -3% Other OBCs(including Sunars, other Hindu OBCs) -16% |
Dalits(SCs) | 21.1% | Jatav Dalits -11% Non-Jatav Dalits(includes Pasis, Mallah and Valmikis) -9% |
Tribals (STs) | 0.1% | |
Forward caste | 22% | Brahmins -10% Thakur -8% Vaishya -2% Khatri, Kayastha, Tyagi and Bhumihar -2% |
Muslims | 19.1% | |
Christians | 0.18% |
Election issues
In recent years people of Uttar Pradesh and rest of India had given more importance to economic and social development along with development of the people of their caste. Earlier the voters vote to the party which gives benefits to their caste. Percentage of Youths with literacy has increased cast their votes with hopes of jobs,security,good education and good life.Voting in favour of BJP in 2014 elections alternative to Congress due to the promises of development and hopes of development have increased as people understand it importance .Political parties talks too much about development in these UP elections.As the state has more caste with much having reservation, Political parties also lure leader of different caste in their favour. Other most and as in every election caste and religion will play the key reasons for voters. However, the Supreme Court ruled that prohibited use of religion, caste or language to solicit votes and forbade candidates from communal politics.
The major issues include:
1.The crime rate has increased and specialy the business class is under pressure from the goons
2.The unemployment data says that in coming years the state will have an exponential increase in unemployment
3.The infrastructure in the state which is home to one of the biggest population in the country is still lacking (roads, hospitals and schools)
4.Some of the Cities in the state are in the top 10 in the world in terms of pollution.
5.Corruption is very high in the state and the ease of doing business is one of the lowest in country.
Schedule
Assembly elections in Uttar Pradesh will be held between February 11 to March 08,2017. The term of the present government will end on 27 May 2017.
On 4 January 2017, The Election Commission of India announced the election schedule to the Legislative Assembly of Uttar Pradesh along with the other four state (Goa, Manipur, Punjab and Uttarakhand) which are due for an election. The entire election is scheduled into 7 phases.
Phase | Name of District | No. of Assembly Constituencies | Phase Total |
---|---|---|---|
Phase-1 (11 February 2017) | Shamli | 3 | 73 |
Muzaffarnagar | 6 | ||
Baghpat | 3 | ||
Meerut | 7 | ||
Ghaziabad | 5 | ||
Gautam Buddha Nagar | 3 | ||
Hapur | 3 | ||
Bulandshahar | 7 | ||
Aligarh | 7 | ||
Mathura | 5 | ||
Hathras | 3 | ||
Agra | 9 | ||
Firozabad | 5 | ||
Etha | 4 | ||
Kasganj | 3 | ||
Phase-2 (15 February 2017) | Saharanpur | 7 | 67 |
Bijnor | 8 | ||
Moradabad | 6 | ||
Sambhal | 4 | ||
Rampur | 5 | ||
Bareilly | 9 | ||
Amroha | 4 | ||
Pilibhit | 4 | ||
Kheri | 8 | ||
Shahjahanpur | 6 | ||
Badaun | 6 | ||
Phase-3 (19 February 2017) | Farrukhabad | 4 | 69 |
Hardoi | 8 | ||
Kannauj | 3 | ||
Mainpuri | 4 | ||
Etawah | 3 | ||
Auraiya | 3 | ||
Kanpur Dehat | 4 | ||
Kanpur Nagar | 10 | ||
Unnao | 6 | ||
Lucknow | 9 | ||
Barabanki | 6 | ||
Sitapur | 9 | ||
Phase-4 (23 February 2017) | Pratapgarh | 7 | 53 |
Kaushambi | 3 | ||
Allahabad | 12 | ||
Jalaun | 3 | ||
Jhansi | 4 | ||
Lalitpur | 2 | ||
Mahoba | 2 | ||
Hamirpur | 2 | ||
Banda | 4 | ||
Chitrakoot | 2 | ||
Fatehpur | 6 | ||
Rae Bareli | 6 | ||
Phase-5 (27 February 2017) | Balrampur | 4 | 52 |
Gonda | 7 | ||
Faizabad | 5 | ||
Ambedkar Nagar | 5 | ||
Bahraich | 7 | ||
Shrawasti | 2 | ||
Siddharthnagar | 5 | ||
Basti | 5 | ||
Sant Kabir Nagar | 3 | ||
Amethi | 4 | ||
Sultanpur | 5 | ||
Phase-6 (4 March 2017) | Maharajganj | 5 | 49 |
Kushi Nagar | 7 | ||
Gorakhpur | 9 | ||
Deoria | 7 | ||
Azamgarh | 10 | ||
Mau | 4 | ||
Ballia | 7 | ||
Phase-7 (8 March 2017) | Ghazipur | 7 | 40 |
Varanasi | 8 | ||
Chandauli | 5 | ||
Mirzapur | 4 | ||
Bhadohi | 3 | ||
Sonbhadra | 4 | ||
Jaunpur | 9 |
Opinion polls
Various organisations/agencies have been conducting opinions polls to predict voter intentions in the upcoming legislative assembly elections.
Date | Ref | Polling org./Agency | bgcolor="Template:Bahujan Samaj Party/meta/color" | | bgcolor="Template:Bharatiya Janata Party/meta/color" | | bgcolor="Template:Samajwadi Party/meta/color" | | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
BSP | BJP | SP + INC | Others | |||
30 Jan 2017 | ABP News-Lokniti-CSDS | 76-86 (81) | 118-128 (123) | 187-197 (192) | ||
30 Jan 2017 | Times Now-VMR | 47 | 202 | 147 | 7 | |
29 Jan 2017 | News 24 (India) | 76 | 120 | (191) | ||
27 Jan 2017 | TNSPIMT | 23 | 177 | 201 | ||
Jan 2017 | The WEEK-Hansa Research | 20-24 (22) | 192-196 (194) | 178-182 (180) | 5-9 (7) | |
Jan 2017 | India Today-Axis | 119-138 (121) | 171-184 (179) | 97-104 (101) | 7-11 (9) | |
Dec 2016 | ABP News-Lokniti-CSDS | 93-103 (98) | 129-139 (134) | 154-170 (162) | 9 | |
Oct 2016 | India Today-Axis | 115-124 (118) | 170-183 (175) | 102-115 (107) | 2-6 (3) | |
Aug 2016 | India TV-CVoter | 95-111 (103) | 134-150 (142) | 138-162 (150) | 4-12 (8) | |
Jul-Aug 2016 | ABP News-Lokniti | 103-113 (108) | 124-134 (129) | 149-165 (157) | 6-12 (9) | |
March 2016 | ABP News Opinion Poll | 185 | 120 | 93 | 5 |
Result
Result will be declared on 11 March 2017.
Party | Seats contested | Seats won | Seat change | Vote share | Swing | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Samajwadi Party | 298 | 0 | ||||
Indian National Congress | 105 | 0 | ||||
Bahujan Samaj Party | 403 | 0 | ||||
Bharatiya Janata Party | 384 | 0 | ||||
Rashtriya Lok Dal | 131 | 0 | ||||
Communist Party of India | 90 | 0 | ||||
Communist Party of India (Marxist–Leninist) | 50 | 0 | ||||
Communist Party of India (Marxist) | 27 | 0 | ||||
AIMIM | 403 | 0 | ||||
Apna Dal (Sonelal) | 12 | 0 | ||||
Suheldev Bharatiya Samaj Party | 7 | 0 | ||||
Peace Party of India | ||||||
Nationalist Congress Party | ||||||
Shiv Sena | 150 | |||||
Independents | ||||||
Total | - | 0 | - | |||
Turnout: | ||||||
Source: Election Commission of India |
See also
References
- Shailvee Sharda. "Job better than aid, say UP dalits - Times of India". The Times of India. Retrieved 6 July 2016.
- "UP polls: Why is BJP hesitating in announcing its CM candidate?". Indiatvnews.com. Retrieved 6 July 2016.
- "Half of India's dalit population lives in 4 states - Times of India".
- "UP has the highest OBC population in all Indian states".
- "Why smaller castes could hold the key to power in 2017 UP Assembly polls".
- "Survey puts OBC population at 40 pc".
- "OBC population in UP stands at 7 crore".
- http://navbharattimes.indiatimes.com/assembly-elections/uttar-pradesh/political-parties-aim-the-right-caste-mix-in-uttar-pradesh-to-win-election/articleshow/56749019.cms
- http://timesofindia.indiatimes.com/elections/assembly-elections/uttar-pradesh/news/so-whats-the-right-caste-mix-in-up/articleshow/56746345.cms
- "Uttar Pradesh polls: BSP, SP and BJP leaving no stone unturned to come up trumps".
- "The angry Thakurs of Uttar Pradesh".
- "BJP seeks new Thakur leader to replace Rajnath Singh in UP".
- "'Centre not releasing caste census data because it doesn't want to face Mandal II'". Thehindubusinessline.com. Retrieved 6 July 2016.
- "Centre releases census data on religion, hides caste figures". Dnaindia.com. Retrieved 6 July 2016.
- "Before releasing caste numbers, the government needs to account for discrepancies in data". Scroll.in. Retrieved 6 July 2016.
- "Why Is Modi Govt. Hiding Socio-Economic Caste Census 2011 Data?". Youthkiawaaz.com. Retrieved 6 July 2016.
- "Caste-based Census data should be made public, demand Bihar CM Nitish Kumar - The Hindu". Thehindu.com. Retrieved 6 July 2016.
- "How BJP is changing the caste arithmetic in Uttar Pradesh - Latest News & Updates at Daily News & Analysis". 1 May 2014.
- "Archived copy". Archived from the original on 8 March 2016. Retrieved 2016-02-15.
{{cite web}}
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suggested) (help)CS1 maint: archived copy as title (link) - "The Scramble For Dalit Votes In Uttar Pradesh".
- "UP govt declares holiday on Maharana Pratap Jayanti to 'woo' Thakur voters".
- "Brahmins population in India".
- Uttar Pradesh Assembly Election 2017
- gandhi, Parsh (30 March 2016). "How The Law And Order Situation In U.P. Could Cost The Samajwadi Party During Elections". Youth Ki Awaaz. Retrieved 19 May 2016.
- "UP govt needs to look into law and order". State Times. 4 June 2016. Retrieved 4 June 2016.
- "Uttar Pradesh Assembly Election Issues 2017". Infoelections.
- http://www.newindianexpress.com/nation/2017/jan/02/use-of-religion-caste-for-seeking-votes-impermissible-supreme-court-1555302.html
- "Announcement: Schedule for the General Elections to the Legislative Assemblies of Goa, Manipur, Punjab, Uttarakhand and Uttar Pradesh" (PDF). Election Commission of India. 4 January 2017. Retrieved 4 January 2017.
- "ABP न्यूज ओपिनियन पोल:SP-Congress set to form Govt in UP, Akhilesh top CM choice: ABP News-CSDS survey SP-Congress set to form Govt in UP, Akhilesh top CM choice: ABP News-CSDS survey". ABP News. 30 January 2017. Retrieved 30 January 2017.
{{cite news}}
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at position 103 (help) - "BJP will win 202 seats in Uttar Pradesh assembly election, predicts Times Now-VMR survey".
- "News24PEACSpoll". ABP News. 29 January 2017. Retrieved 29 January 2017.
- "Opinion poll predicts hung houses in UP". Retrieved 27 January 2017.
- "Opinion poll predicts hung houses in UP, Punjab, Goa; BJP win in Uttarakhand". Retrieved 26 January 2017.
- "Modis BJP weathers demonetisation storm, set to win Uttar Pradesh: Key takeaways from India Today-Axis Opinion Poll". Retrieved 5 January 2017.
- "ABP न्यूज ओपिनियन पोल: अखिलेश-मुलायम के बीच होती रही 'दंगल' तो बीजेपी चुनाव में करेगी सबको चित!". ABP News. 3 January 2017. Retrieved 4 January 2017.
- "India Today-Axis Opinion Poll for Uttar Pradesh: BJP dream run to continue, but a hung Assembly likely". India Today. 12 October 2016. Retrieved 23 December 2016.
- "India TV-CVoter survey: BJP, SP neck and neck, BSP third in UP assembly poll stakes". India TV. 14 September 2016. Retrieved 23 December 2016.
- "BJP chasing SP in UP, BSP runners up, Congress a distant straggler". ABP News. 22 August 2016. Retrieved 23 December 2016.
- "ABP News Opinion Poll: BSP to win 185 seats if UP polls are held now". ABP Live. 16 March 2016. Retrieved 4 January 2017.
- https://www.upelectionsresults2017.in/uttar-pradesh-elections-2017-dates-polling-schedule-updates-notifications/
External links
Elections in Uttar Pradesh | |||||
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General elections | |||||
Legislative Assembly | |||||
Local elections |
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See also: Elections in India |
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