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Revision as of 19:51, 19 June 2020 editRyan Thomas Graham (talk | contribs)8 edits Undid revision 963247424 by KingForPA (talk) I live in Georgia and am involved in qualifying our electors here so I am intimately knowledgeable about Georgia and not other states. Hawkins will not be on the ballot unless he is successful in gathering signatures. If he is, I'd say add him. Reality is this is currently a 3 way race in Georgia whether you like it or not.Tag: Undo← Previous edit Revision as of 07:57, 20 June 2020 edit undoRami R (talk | contribs)Extended confirmed users6,342 edits Undid revision 963434255 by Ryan Thomas Graham (talk): undue weight given to a minor candidateTag: UndoNext edit →
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| after_election = TBA | after_election = TBA
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| party3 = Libertarian Party (United States)
| image3 = Jo_Jorgensen.jpg
| running_mate3 = ]
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{{ElectionsGA}} {{ElectionsGA}}
The '''2020 United States presidential election in Georgia''' is scheduled to take place on Tuesday, November 3, 2020, as part of the ] in which all 50 states plus the ] will participate.<ref>{{Cite news|url=https://www.independent.co.uk/news/world/americas/us-elections-key-dates-midterms-2020-presidential-house-congress-senate-a8472821.html|title=US elections key dates: When are the 2018 midterms and the 2020 presidential campaign?|last=Kelly|first=Ben|date=August 13, 2018|work=]|access-date=January 3, 2019}}</ref> ] voters will choose electors to represent them in the ] via a popular vote. The state of Georgia has 16 electoral votes in the Electoral College.<ref>{{Cite web|url=https://www.archives.gov/federal-register/electoral-college/allocation.html|title=Distribution of Electoral Votes|website=]|access-date=January 3, 2019}}</ref> The '''2020 United States presidential election in Georgia''' is scheduled to take place on Tuesday, November 3, 2020, as part of the ] in which all 50 states plus the ] will participate.<ref>{{Cite news|url=https://www.independent.co.uk/news/world/americas/us-elections-key-dates-midterms-2020-presidential-house-congress-senate-a8472821.html|title=US elections key dates: When are the 2018 midterms and the 2020 presidential campaign?|last=Kelly|first=Ben|date=August 13, 2018|work=]|access-date=January 3, 2019}}</ref> ] voters will choose electors to represent them in the ] via a popular vote. The state of Georgia has 16 electoral votes in the Electoral College.<ref>{{Cite web|url=https://www.archives.gov/federal-register/electoral-college/allocation.html|title=Distribution of Electoral Votes|website=]|access-date=January 3, 2019}}</ref>


By the time that the primary elections were held in the state on June 9, 2020, incumbent President ] was already the Republican Party's ], being the only viable declared major candidate left. On the Democratic Party's side, ] ] became the presumptive nominee after ] ], his last competitor, withdrew on April 8, 2020. ], the Democratic nominee for ] in 2018, has ruled out a bid for the presidency but has been mentioned as a possible vice-presidential candidate.<ref>{{Cite news |url=https://thehill.com/homenews/campaign/435592-stacey-abrams-addresses-biden-rumors-we-had-a-lovely-lunch |title=Stacey Abrams addresses Biden rumors: We had a 'lovely lunch' |last=Rodrigo |first=Chris Mills |date=March 25, 2019 |work=The Hill |access-date=March 26, 2019 }}</ref> By the time that the primary elections were held in the state on June 9, 2020, incumbent President ] was already the Republican Party's ], being the only viable declared major candidate left. On the Democratic Party's side, ] ] became the presumptive nominee after ] ], his last competitor, withdrew on April 8, 2020. ], the Democratic nominee for ] in 2018, ruled out a bid for the presidency but has been mentioned as a possible vice-presidential candidate.<ref>{{Cite news |url=https://thehill.com/homenews/campaign/435592-stacey-abrams-addresses-biden-rumors-we-had-a-lovely-lunch |title=Stacey Abrams addresses Biden rumors: We had a 'lovely lunch' |last=Rodrigo |first=Chris Mills |date=March 25, 2019 |work=The Hill |access-date=March 26, 2019 }}</ref>


==Primary elections== ==Primary elections==

Revision as of 07:57, 20 June 2020

Main article: 2020 United States presidential election
2020 United States presidential election in Georgia
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Turnout%
 
Nominee Donald Trump Joe Biden
Party Republican Democratic
Home state Florida Delaware
Running mate Mike Pence TBA
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Donald Trump
Republican

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TBA

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The 2020 United States presidential election in Georgia is scheduled to take place on Tuesday, November 3, 2020, as part of the 2020 United States elections in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia will participate. Georgia voters will choose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote. The state of Georgia has 16 electoral votes in the Electoral College.

By the time that the primary elections were held in the state on June 9, 2020, incumbent President Donald Trump was already the Republican Party's presumptive nominee, being the only viable declared major candidate left. On the Democratic Party's side, Vice President Joe Biden became the presumptive nominee after Senator Bernie Sanders, his last competitor, withdrew on April 8, 2020. Stacey Abrams, the Democratic nominee for Governor of Georgia in 2018, ruled out a bid for the presidency but has been mentioned as a possible vice-presidential candidate.

Primary elections

The primary elections were originally scheduled for March 24, 2020. On March 14, they were moved to May 19 due to concerns over the COVID-19 pandemic. On April 9, the primary elections were again rescheduled to June 9.

Republican primary

Incumbent President Donald Trump ran unopposed in the Republican primary, and thus received all of Georgia's 76 delegates to the 2020 Republican National Convention.

Democratic primary

This section is transcluded from 2020 Georgia Democratic primary. (edit | history)
2020 Georgia Democratic presidential primary
Candidate Votes % Delegates
Joe Biden 922,177 84.86 105
Bernie Sanders (withdrawn) 101,668 9.36
Elizabeth Warren (withdrawn) 21,906 2.02
Andrew Yang (withdrawn) 9,117 0.84
Michael Bloomberg (withdrawn) 7,657 0.70
Pete Buttigieg (withdrawn) 6,346 0.58
Michael Bennet (withdrawn) 5,154 0.47
Amy Klobuchar (withdrawn) 4,317 0.40
Tulsi Gabbard (withdrawn) 4,117 0.38
Tom Steyer (withdrawn) 1,752 0.16
John Delaney (withdrawn) 1,476 0.14
Deval Patrick (withdrawn) 1,042 0.10
Total 1,086,729 100% 105

General election

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report Lean R March 9, 2020
CNN Lean R June 11, 2020
Inside Elections Lean R April 3, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball Lean R April 2, 2020
Politico Lean R April 19, 2020
RCP Tossup April 19, 2020
Niskanen Tossup March 24, 2020

Polling

Aggregate polls

Donald Trump vs. Joe Biden
Source of poll aggregation Dates administered Dates updated Joe Biden Donald Trump Other/Undecided Margin
Real Clear Politics December 19, 2019 – March 2, 2020 March 2, 2020 43.5% 51.0% 5.5% Trump +7.5
FiveThirtyEight February 27, 2020 – June 19, 2020 June 18, 2020 46.8% 46.1% 7.1% Biden +0.7
Donald Trump vs. Joe Biden
Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size 		Margin
of error 		Donald
Trump (R) 		Joe
Biden (D) 		Other Undecided
PPP (D) Jun 12-13, 2020 661 (V) ± 3.4% 46% 48% – 6%
TargetSmart May 21-27, 2020 321 (RV) ± 5.5% 44% 40% 10% 6%
Civiqs/Daily Kos May 16–18, 2020 1,339 (RV) ±3.1% 47% 48% 3% 2%
The Progress Campaign (D) May 6–15, 2020 2,893 (LV) ± 2% 47% 47% – 6%
BK Strategies/Republican State Leadership Committee May 11–13, 2020 700 (LV) ± 3.7% 48% 46% – –
Public Opinion Strategies (R) May 4-7, 2020 500 (LV) ± 4.38% 46% 47% – 7%
Cygnal/David Ralston April 25–27, 2020 591 (LV) ± 4.0% 45% 44% 7% 5%
Battleground Connect/Doug Collins for Senate March 31 – April 1, 2020 1,035 (LV) ± 3.0% 48% 46% – 6%
The Progress Campaign (D) Mar 12–21, 2020 3,042 (RV) ± 4.5% 49% 47% 4% –
University of Georgia Feb 24 – March 2, 2020 1,117 (LV) ± 2.9% 51% 43% 4% 2%
Mason-Dixon Dec 19–23, 2019 625 (RV) ± 4.0% 51% 44% – 5%
SurveyUSA Nov 15–18, 2019 1,303 (LV) ± 3.2% 43% 47% – 10%
Climate Nexus Nov 4–10, 2019 688 (LV) – 47% 48% – 5%
University of Georgia Oct 30 – Nov 8, 2019 1,028 (RV) ± 3% 43% 51% 3% 4%
Zogby Analytics Oct 28–30, 2019 550 (LV) ± 4.2% 44% 46% – 11%
Former candidates
Donald Trump vs. Michael Bloomberg
Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size 		Margin
of error 		Donald
Trump (R) 		Michael
Bloomberg (D) 		Other Undecided
University of Georgia Feb 24 – March 2, 2019 1,117 (LV) ± 2.9% 50% 42% 6% 3%
SurveyUSA Nov 15–18, 2019 1,303 (LV) ± 3.2% 44% 42% - 14%
Donald Trump vs. Pete Buttigieg
Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size 		Margin
of error 		Donald
Trump (R) 		Pete
Buttigieg (D) 		Other Undecided
Mason-Dixon Dec 19–23, 2019 625 (RV) ± 4.0% 52% 43% - 5%
SurveyUSA/WXIA-TV Nov 15–18, 2019 1,303 (LV) ± 3.2% 45% 41% - 14%
Climate Nexus Nov 4–10, 2019 688 (LV) – 49% 42% – 9%
Atlanta Journal-Constitution Oct 30 – Nov 8, 2019 1,028 (RV) ± 3% 43% 46% 4% 5%
Zogby Analytics Oct 28-30, 2019 550 (LV) ± 4.2% 45% 38% - 17%
Donald Trump vs. Kamala Harris
Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size 		Margin
of error 		Donald
Trump (R) 		Kamala
Harris (D) 		Other Undecided
SurveyUSA/WXIA-TV Nov 15–18, 2019 1,303 (LV) ± 3.2% 46% 43% - 11%
Climate Nexus Nov 4-10, 2019 688 (LV) – 49% 44% – 7%
Atlanta Journal-Constitution Oct 30 – Nov 8, 2019 1,028 (RV) ± 3% 44% 45% 4% 7%
Zogby Analytics Oct 28–30, 2019 550 (LV) ± 4.2% 44% 42% - 14%
Donald Trump vs. Bernie Sanders
Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size 		Margin
of error 		Donald
Trump (R) 		Bernie
Sanders (D) 		Other Undecided
The Progress Campaign (D) Mar 12–21, 2020 3,042 (RV) ± 4.5% 51% 46% 3% –
University of Georgia Feb 24 – March 2, 2019 1,117 (LV) ± 2.9% 52% 41% 5% 2%
Mason-Dixon Dec 19–23, 2019 625 (RV) ± 4.0% 52% 42% – 6%
SurveyUSA Nov 15–18, 2019 1,303 (LV) ± 3.2% 44% 47% – 9%
Climate Nexus Nov 4–10, 2019 688 (LV) – 48% 46% – 6%
University of Georgia Oct 30 – Nov 8, 2019 1,028 (RV) ± 3% 44% 48% 4% 5%
Zogby Analytics Oct 28–30, 2019 550 (LV) ± 4.2% 43% 48% – 9%
Donald Trump vs. Elizabeth Warren
Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size 		Margin
of error 		Donald
Trump (R) 		Elizabeth
Warren (D) 		Other Undecided
University of Georgia Feb 24 – March 2, 2019 1,117 (LV) ± 2.9% 52% 42% 4% 2%
Mason-Dixon Dec 19–23, 2019 625 (RV) ± 4.0% 54% 40% - 6%
SurveyUSA/WXIA-TV Nov 15-18, 2019 1,303 (LV) ± 3.2% 45% 46% - 9%
Climate Nexus Nov 4–10, 2019 688 (LV) – 47% 47% – 5%
Atlanta Journal-Constitution Oct 30 – Nov 8, 2019 1,028 (RV) ± 3% 44% 47% 4% 5%
Zogby Analytics Oct 28-30, 2019 550 (LV) ± 4.2% 44% 42% - 14%
Hypothetical polling
Donald Trump vs. Generic Opponent
Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size 		Margin
of error 		Donald
Trump (R) 		Generic
Opponent 		Other Undecided
AJC Jan 6–15, 2020 1,025 (V) ± 3.1% 43.6% 46.9% 1.8% 7.7%

See also

Notes

  1. Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.
  2. ^ Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear
  3. "Different candidate" with 8%; would not vote with 2%
  4. "Someone else" with 3%
  5. Listed as "other/undecided"
  6. "Undecided" with 5%; "Did not answer" with 2%
  7. Poll conducted for the Speaker of Georgia's House Republican caucus
  8. Poll sponsored by Doug Collins' campaign
  9. Wouldn't vote with 1%; don't know/refused with 3%
  10. Wouldn't vote with 2%; don't know/refused with 5%
  11. Wouldn't vote with 3%; don't know/refused with 4%
  12. Wouldn't vote with 2%; don't know/refused with 3%
  13. Wouldn't vote with 2%; don't know/refused with 3%
  14. "Vote against Trump" with 46.9%
  15. Would not vote with 1.8%
  16. Listed as "don't know/refused"
  1. This poll was sponsored by a Republican-supporting organisation

References

  1. Kelly, Ben (August 13, 2018). "US elections key dates: When are the 2018 midterms and the 2020 presidential campaign?". The Independent. Retrieved January 3, 2019.
  2. "Distribution of Electoral Votes". National Archives and Records Administration. Retrieved January 3, 2019.
  3. Rodrigo, Chris Mills (March 25, 2019). "Stacey Abrams addresses Biden rumors: We had a 'lovely lunch'". The Hill. Retrieved March 26, 2019.
  4. "Georgia presidential primaries postponed over coronavirus concerns". Associated Press. USA Today. March 14, 2020.
  5. Mark Niesse (April 9, 2020). "Georgia primary delayed again to June 9 during coronavirus emergency". The Atlanta Journal-Constitution. Retrieved April 9, 2020.
  6. "Georgia Republican Delegation 2020". The Green Papers. Retrieved June 10, 2020.
  7. "Election Night Reporting". results.enr.clarityelections.com. Georgia Secretary of State. Retrieved June 10, 2020.
  8. "Delegate Tracker". interactives.ap.org. Associated Press. Retrieved June 9, 2020.
  9. "2020 POTUS Race ratings" (PDF). The Cook Political Report. Retrieved May 21, 2019.
  10. David Chalian; Terence Burlij. "Road to 270: CNN's debut Electoral College map for 2020". CNN. Retrieved June 16, 2020.
  11. "POTUS Ratings | Inside Elections". insideelections.com. Retrieved May 21, 2019.
  12. "Larry J. Sabato's Crystal Ball » 2020 President". crystalball.centerforpolitics.org. Retrieved May 21, 2019.
  13. "2020 Election Forecast". Politico. November 19, 2019.
  14. "Battle for White House". RCP. April 19, 2019.
  15. 2020 Bitecofer Model Electoral College Predictions, Niskanen Center, March 24, 2020, retrieved: April 19, 2020
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