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==General election== ==General election==
===Predictions=== ''Italic text''===Predictions===
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| align="left" |]<ref>{{Cite web|url=https://projects.jhkforecasts.com/presidential-forecast/forecast-comparison|title=JHK Forecasts » 2020 President|website=https://jhkforecasts.com|access-date=2020-06-27}}</ref>
|{{USRaceRating|Tossup}}
|June 25, 2020
| align="left" |]<ref>{{Cite web|author1=David Chalian |author2=Terence Burlij|title=Road to 270: CNN's debut Electoral College map for 2020|url=https://www.cnn.com/2020/06/11/politics/electoral-college-2020-election/index.html|access-date=2020-06-16|website=CNN}}</ref> | align="left" |]<ref>{{Cite web|author1=David Chalian |author2=Terence Burlij|title=Road to 270: CNN's debut Electoral College map for 2020|url=https://www.cnn.com/2020/06/11/politics/electoral-college-2020-election/index.html|access-date=2020-06-16|website=CNN}}</ref>
|{{USRaceRating|Lean|R}} |{{USRaceRating|Lean|R}}

Revision as of 19:46, 27 June 2020

Main article: 2020 United States presidential election
2020 United States presidential election in Georgia

← 2016 November 3, 2020 2024 →
Turnout%
 
Nominee Donald Trump Joe Biden
Party Republican Democratic
Home state Florida Delaware
Running mate Mike Pence TBA

President before election

Donald Trump
Republican

Elected President

TBA

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The 2020 United States presidential election in Georgia is scheduled to take place on Tuesday, November 3, 2020, as part of the 2020 United States elections in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia will participate. Georgia voters will choose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote. The state of Georgia has 16 electoral votes in the Electoral College.

By the time that the primary elections were held in the state on June 9, 2020, incumbent President Donald Trump was already the Republican Party's presumptive nominee, being the only viable declared major candidate left. On the Democratic Party's side, Vice President Joe Biden became the presumptive nominee after Senator Bernie Sanders, his last competitor, withdrew on April 8, 2020. Stacey Abrams, the Democratic nominee for Governor of Georgia in 2018, ruled out a bid for the presidency but has been mentioned as a possible vice-presidential candidate.

Primary elections

The primary elections were originally scheduled for March 24, 2020. On March 14, they were moved to May 19 due to concerns over the COVID-19 pandemic. On April 9, the primary elections were again rescheduled to June 9.

Republican primary

Incumbent President Donald Trump ran unopposed in the Republican primary, and thus received all of Georgia's 76 delegates to the 2020 Republican National Convention.

Democratic primary

This section is transcluded from 2020 Georgia Democratic primary. (edit | history)
2020 Georgia Democratic presidential primary
Candidate Votes % Delegates
Joe Biden 922,177 84.86 105
Bernie Sanders (withdrawn) 101,668 9.36
Elizabeth Warren (withdrawn) 21,906 2.02
Andrew Yang (withdrawn) 9,117 0.84
Michael Bloomberg (withdrawn) 7,657 0.70
Pete Buttigieg (withdrawn) 6,346 0.58
Michael Bennet (withdrawn) 5,154 0.47
Amy Klobuchar (withdrawn) 4,317 0.40
Tulsi Gabbard (withdrawn) 4,117 0.38
Tom Steyer (withdrawn) 1,752 0.16
John Delaney (withdrawn) 1,476 0.14
Deval Patrick (withdrawn) 1,042 0.10
Total 1,086,729 100% 105

General election

Italic text===Predictions===

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report Lean R June 19, 2020
Inside Elections Lean R April 3, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball Lean R June 25, 2020
Politico Lean R April 19, 2020
RCP Tossup June 22, 2020
Niskanen Tossup March 24, 2020
JHK Forecasts Tossup June 25, 2020 CNN Lean R June 25, 2020

Polling

Aggregate polls

Donald Trump vs. Joe Biden
Source of poll aggregation Dates administered Dates updated Joe Biden Donald Trump Other/Undecided Margin
Real Clear Politics December 19, 2019 – June 23, 2020 June 27, 2020 44.7% 49.0% 6.3% Trump +4.3
FiveThirtyEight February 27, 2020 – June 23, 2020 June 26, 2020 47.4% 46.0% 6.6% Biden +1.4
270 to Win May 21, 2020 – June 23, 2020 June 25, 2020 45.0% 45.0% 10.0% Even

Donald Trump vs. Joe Biden

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Donald
Trump (R)
Joe
Biden (D)
Other Undecided
Fox News Jun 20-23, 2020 1,013 (RV) ± 3.0% 45% 47% 4% 5%
PPP (D) Jun 12-13, 2020 661 (V) ± 3.4% 46% 48% 6%
TargetSmart May 21-27, 2020 321 (RV) ± 5.5% 44% 40% 10% 6%
Civiqs/Daily Kos May 16–18, 2020 1,339 (RV) ± 3.1% 47% 48% 3% 2%
The Progress Campaign (D) May 6–15, 2020 2,893 (LV) ± 2% 47% 47% 6%
BK Strategies/Republican State Leadership Committee May 11–13, 2020 700 (LV) ± 3.7% 48% 46%
Public Opinion Strategies (R) May 4-7, 2020 500 (LV) ± 4.38% 46% 47% 7%
Cygnal/David Ralston April 25–27, 2020 591 (LV) ± 4.0% 45% 44% 7% 5%
Battleground Connect/Doug Collins for Senate March 31 – April 1, 2020 1,035 (LV) ± 3.0% 48% 46% 6%
The Progress Campaign (D) Mar 12–21, 2020 3,042 (RV) ± 4.5% 49% 47% 4%
University of Georgia Feb 24 – March 2, 2020 1,117 (LV) ± 2.9% 51% 43% 4% 2%
Mason-Dixon Dec 19–23, 2019 625 (RV) ± 4.0% 51% 44% 5%
SurveyUSA Nov 15–18, 2019 1,303 (LV) ± 3.2% 43% 47% 10%
Climate Nexus Nov 4–10, 2019 688 (LV) 47% 48% 5%
University of Georgia Oct 30 – Nov 8, 2019 1,028 (RV) ± 3% 43% 51% 3% 4%
Zogby Analytics Oct 28–30, 2019 550 (LV) ± 4.2% 44% 46% 11%
Former candidates

Donald Trump vs. Michael Bloomberg

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Donald
Trump (R)
Michael
Bloomberg (D)
Other Undecided
University of Georgia Feb 24 – March 2, 2019 1,117 (LV) ± 2.9% 50% 42% 6% 3%
SurveyUSA Nov 15–18, 2019 1,303 (LV) ± 3.2% 44% 42% - 14%

Donald Trump vs. Pete Buttigieg

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Donald
Trump (R)
Pete
Buttigieg (D)
Other Undecided
Mason-Dixon Dec 19–23, 2019 625 (RV) ± 4.0% 52% 43% - 5%
SurveyUSA/WXIA-TV Nov 15–18, 2019 1,303 (LV) ± 3.2% 45% 41% - 14%
Climate Nexus Nov 4–10, 2019 688 (LV) 49% 42% 9%
Atlanta Journal-Constitution Oct 30 – Nov 8, 2019 1,028 (RV) ± 3% 43% 46% 4% 5%
Zogby Analytics Oct 28-30, 2019 550 (LV) ± 4.2% 45% 38% - 17%

Donald Trump vs. Kamala Harris

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Donald
Trump (R)
Kamala
Harris (D)
Other Undecided
SurveyUSA/WXIA-TV Nov 15–18, 2019 1,303 (LV) ± 3.2% 46% 43% - 11%
Climate Nexus Nov 4-10, 2019 688 (LV) 49% 44% 7%
Atlanta Journal-Constitution Oct 30 – Nov 8, 2019 1,028 (RV) ± 3% 44% 45% 4% 7%
Zogby Analytics Oct 28–30, 2019 550 (LV) ± 4.2% 44% 42% - 14%

Donald Trump vs. Bernie Sanders

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Donald
Trump (R)
Bernie
Sanders (D)
Other Undecided
The Progress Campaign (D) Mar 12–21, 2020 3,042 (RV) ± 4.5% 51% 46% 3%
University of Georgia Feb 24 – March 2, 2019 1,117 (LV) ± 2.9% 52% 41% 5% 2%
Mason-Dixon Dec 19–23, 2019 625 (RV) ± 4.0% 52% 42% 6%
SurveyUSA Nov 15–18, 2019 1,303 (LV) ± 3.2% 44% 47% 9%
Climate Nexus Nov 4–10, 2019 688 (LV) 48% 46% 6%
University of Georgia Oct 30 – Nov 8, 2019 1,028 (RV) ± 3% 44% 48% 4% 5%
Zogby Analytics Oct 28–30, 2019 550 (LV) ± 4.2% 43% 48% 9%

Donald Trump vs. Elizabeth Warren

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Donald
Trump (R)
Elizabeth
Warren (D)
Other Undecided
University of Georgia Feb 24 – March 2, 2019 1,117 (LV) ± 2.9% 52% 42% 4% 2%
Mason-Dixon Dec 19–23, 2019 625 (RV) ± 4.0% 54% 40% - 6%
SurveyUSA/WXIA-TV Nov 15-18, 2019 1,303 (LV) ± 3.2% 45% 46% - 9%
Climate Nexus Nov 4–10, 2019 688 (LV) 47% 47% 5%
Atlanta Journal-Constitution Oct 30 – Nov 8, 2019 1,028 (RV) ± 3% 44% 47% 4% 5%
Zogby Analytics Oct 28-30, 2019 550 (LV) ± 4.2% 44% 42% - 14%
Hypothetical polling

Donald Trump vs. Generic Opponent

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Donald
Trump (R)
Generic
Opponent
Other Undecided
AJC Jan 6–15, 2020 1,025 (V) ± 3.1% 43.6% 46.9% 1.8% 7.7%

See also

Notes

  1. Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.
  2. ^ Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear
  3. "Other" with 3%; "would not vote" with 1%
  4. "Different candidate" with 8%; would not vote with 2%
  5. "Someone else" with 3%
  6. Listed as "other/undecided"
  7. "Undecided" with 5%; "Did not answer" with 2%
  8. Poll conducted for the Speaker of Georgia's House Republican caucus
  9. Poll sponsored by Doug Collins' campaign
  10. Wouldn't vote with 1%; don't know/refused with 3%
  11. Wouldn't vote with 2%; don't know/refused with 5%
  12. Wouldn't vote with 3%; don't know/refused with 4%
  13. Wouldn't vote with 2%; don't know/refused with 3%
  14. Wouldn't vote with 2%; don't know/refused with 3%
  15. "Vote against Trump" with 46.9%
  16. Would not vote with 1.8%
  17. Listed as "don't know/refused"
  1. This poll was sponsored by a Republican-supporting organisation

References

  1. Kelly, Ben (August 13, 2018). "US elections key dates: When are the 2018 midterms and the 2020 presidential campaign?". The Independent. Retrieved January 3, 2019.
  2. "Distribution of Electoral Votes". National Archives and Records Administration. Retrieved January 3, 2019.
  3. Rodrigo, Chris Mills (March 25, 2019). "Stacey Abrams addresses Biden rumors: We had a 'lovely lunch'". The Hill. Retrieved March 26, 2019.
  4. "Georgia presidential primaries postponed over coronavirus concerns". Associated Press. USA Today. March 14, 2020.
  5. Mark Niesse (April 9, 2020). "Georgia primary delayed again to June 9 during coronavirus emergency". The Atlanta Journal-Constitution. Retrieved April 9, 2020.
  6. "Georgia Republican Delegation 2020". The Green Papers. Retrieved June 10, 2020.
  7. "Election Night Reporting". results.enr.clarityelections.com. Georgia Secretary of State. Retrieved June 10, 2020.
  8. "Delegate Tracker". interactives.ap.org. Associated Press. Retrieved June 9, 2020.
  9. "2020 POTUS Race ratings" (PDF). The Cook Political Report. Retrieved May 21, 2019.
  10. "POTUS Ratings | Inside Elections". insideelections.com. Retrieved May 21, 2019.
  11. "Larry J. Sabato's Crystal Ball » 2020 President". crystalball.centerforpolitics.org. Retrieved May 21, 2019.
  12. "2020 Election Forecast". Politico. November 19, 2019.
  13. "Battle for White House". RCP. April 19, 2019.
  14. 2020 Bitecofer Model Electoral College Predictions, Niskanen Center, March 24, 2020, retrieved: April 19, 2020
  15. "JHK Forecasts » 2020 President". https://jhkforecasts.com. Retrieved June 27, 2020. {{cite web}}: External link in |website= (help)
  16. David Chalian; Terence Burlij. "Road to 270: CNN's debut Electoral College map for 2020". CNN. Retrieved June 16, 2020.
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