Revision as of 18:55, 27 June 2020 edit75.135.98.57 (talk) →Polling← Previous edit | Revision as of 19:46, 27 June 2020 edit undoAeroGA-2020 (talk | contribs)106 edits →Predictions: Added another forecasting model and added sources.Tag: extraneous markupNext edit → | ||
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==General election== | ==General election== | ||
===Predictions=== | ''Italic text''===Predictions=== | ||
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| align="left" |]<ref>{{Cite web|url=https://projects.jhkforecasts.com/presidential-forecast/forecast-comparison|title=JHK Forecasts » 2020 President|website=https://jhkforecasts.com|access-date=2020-06-27}}</ref> | |||
|{{USRaceRating|Tossup}} | |||
|June 25, 2020 | |||
| align="left" |]<ref>{{Cite web|author1=David Chalian |author2=Terence Burlij|title=Road to 270: CNN's debut Electoral College map for 2020|url=https://www.cnn.com/2020/06/11/politics/electoral-college-2020-election/index.html|access-date=2020-06-16|website=CNN}}</ref> | | align="left" |]<ref>{{Cite web|author1=David Chalian |author2=Terence Burlij|title=Road to 270: CNN's debut Electoral College map for 2020|url=https://www.cnn.com/2020/06/11/politics/electoral-college-2020-election/index.html|access-date=2020-06-16|website=CNN}}</ref> | ||
|{{USRaceRating|Lean|R}} | |{{USRaceRating|Lean|R}} |
Revision as of 19:46, 27 June 2020
Main article: 2020 United States presidential election
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The 2020 United States presidential election in Georgia is scheduled to take place on Tuesday, November 3, 2020, as part of the 2020 United States elections in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia will participate. Georgia voters will choose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote. The state of Georgia has 16 electoral votes in the Electoral College.
By the time that the primary elections were held in the state on June 9, 2020, incumbent President Donald Trump was already the Republican Party's presumptive nominee, being the only viable declared major candidate left. On the Democratic Party's side, Vice President Joe Biden became the presumptive nominee after Senator Bernie Sanders, his last competitor, withdrew on April 8, 2020. Stacey Abrams, the Democratic nominee for Governor of Georgia in 2018, ruled out a bid for the presidency but has been mentioned as a possible vice-presidential candidate.
Primary elections
The primary elections were originally scheduled for March 24, 2020. On March 14, they were moved to May 19 due to concerns over the COVID-19 pandemic. On April 9, the primary elections were again rescheduled to June 9.
Republican primary
Incumbent President Donald Trump ran unopposed in the Republican primary, and thus received all of Georgia's 76 delegates to the 2020 Republican National Convention.
Democratic primary
This section is transcluded from 2020 Georgia Democratic primary. (edit | history)Candidate | Votes | % | Delegates |
---|---|---|---|
Joe Biden | 922,177 | 84.86 | 105 |
Bernie Sanders (withdrawn) | 101,668 | 9.36 | |
Elizabeth Warren (withdrawn) | 21,906 | 2.02 | |
Andrew Yang (withdrawn) | 9,117 | 0.84 | |
Michael Bloomberg (withdrawn) | 7,657 | 0.70 | |
Pete Buttigieg (withdrawn) | 6,346 | 0.58 | |
Michael Bennet (withdrawn) | 5,154 | 0.47 | |
Amy Klobuchar (withdrawn) | 4,317 | 0.40 | |
Tulsi Gabbard (withdrawn) | 4,117 | 0.38 | |
Tom Steyer (withdrawn) | 1,752 | 0.16 | |
John Delaney (withdrawn) | 1,476 | 0.14 | |
Deval Patrick (withdrawn) | 1,042 | 0.10 | |
Total | 1,086,729 | 100% | 105 |
General election
Italic text===Predictions===
Source | Ranking | As of | |||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report | Lean R | June 19, 2020 | |||
Inside Elections | Lean R | April 3, 2020 | |||
Sabato's Crystal Ball | Lean R | June 25, 2020 | |||
Politico | Lean R | April 19, 2020 | |||
RCP | Tossup | June 22, 2020 | |||
Niskanen | Tossup | March 24, 2020 | |||
JHK Forecasts | Tossup | June 25, 2020 | CNN | Lean R | June 25, 2020 |
Polling
Aggregate polls
Donald Trump vs. Joe Biden | ||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Source of poll aggregation | Dates administered | Dates updated | Joe Biden | Donald Trump | Other/Undecided | Margin |
Real Clear Politics | December 19, 2019 – June 23, 2020 | June 27, 2020 | 44.7% | 49.0% | 6.3% | Trump +4.3 |
FiveThirtyEight | February 27, 2020 – June 23, 2020 | June 26, 2020 | 47.4% | 46.0% | 6.6% | Biden +1.4 |
270 to Win | May 21, 2020 – June 23, 2020 | June 25, 2020 | 45.0% | 45.0% | 10.0% | Even |
Donald Trump vs. Joe Biden
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Donald Trump (R) |
Joe Biden (D) |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Fox News | Jun 20-23, 2020 | 1,013 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 45% | 47% | 4% | 5% |
PPP (D) | Jun 12-13, 2020 | 661 (V) | ± 3.4% | 46% | 48% | – | 6% |
TargetSmart | May 21-27, 2020 | 321 (RV) | ± 5.5% | 44% | 40% | 10% | 6% |
Civiqs/Daily Kos | May 16–18, 2020 | 1,339 (RV) | ± 3.1% | 47% | 48% | 3% | 2% |
The Progress Campaign (D) | May 6–15, 2020 | 2,893 (LV) | ± 2% | 47% | 47% | – | 6% |
BK Strategies/Republican State Leadership Committee | May 11–13, 2020 | 700 (LV) | ± 3.7% | 48% | 46% | – | – |
Public Opinion Strategies (R) | May 4-7, 2020 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.38% | 46% | 47% | – | 7% |
Cygnal/David Ralston | April 25–27, 2020 | 591 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 45% | 44% | 7% | 5% |
Battleground Connect/Doug Collins for Senate | March 31 – April 1, 2020 | 1,035 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 48% | 46% | – | 6% |
The Progress Campaign (D) | Mar 12–21, 2020 | 3,042 (RV) | ± 4.5% | 49% | 47% | 4% | – |
University of Georgia | Feb 24 – March 2, 2020 | 1,117 (LV) | ± 2.9% | 51% | 43% | 4% | 2% |
Mason-Dixon | Dec 19–23, 2019 | 625 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 51% | 44% | – | 5% |
SurveyUSA | Nov 15–18, 2019 | 1,303 (LV) | ± 3.2% | 43% | 47% | – | 10% |
Climate Nexus | Nov 4–10, 2019 | 688 (LV) | – | 47% | 48% | – | 5% |
University of Georgia | Oct 30 – Nov 8, 2019 | 1,028 (RV) | ± 3% | 43% | 51% | 3% | 4% |
Zogby Analytics | Oct 28–30, 2019 | 550 (LV) | ± 4.2% | 44% | 46% | – | 11% |
Former candidates | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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Donald Trump vs. Michael Bloomberg
Donald Trump vs. Pete Buttigieg
Donald Trump vs. Kamala Harris
Donald Trump vs. Bernie Sanders
Donald Trump vs. Elizabeth Warren
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Hypothetical polling | ||||||||||||||||
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Donald Trump vs. Generic Opponent
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See also
- 2020 United States presidential election
- 2020 Democratic Party presidential primaries
- 2020 Republican Party presidential primaries
- 2020 United States elections
Notes
- Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.
- ^ Key:
A – all adults
RV – registered voters
LV – likely voters
V – unclear - "Other" with 3%; "would not vote" with 1%
- "Different candidate" with 8%; would not vote with 2%
- "Someone else" with 3%
- Listed as "other/undecided"
- "Undecided" with 5%; "Did not answer" with 2%
- Poll conducted for the Speaker of Georgia's House Republican caucus
- Poll sponsored by Doug Collins' campaign
- Wouldn't vote with 1%; don't know/refused with 3%
- Wouldn't vote with 2%; don't know/refused with 5%
- Wouldn't vote with 3%; don't know/refused with 4%
- Wouldn't vote with 2%; don't know/refused with 3%
- Wouldn't vote with 2%; don't know/refused with 3%
- "Vote against Trump" with 46.9%
- Would not vote with 1.8%
- Listed as "don't know/refused"
- This poll was sponsored by a Republican-supporting organisation
References
- Kelly, Ben (August 13, 2018). "US elections key dates: When are the 2018 midterms and the 2020 presidential campaign?". The Independent. Retrieved January 3, 2019.
- "Distribution of Electoral Votes". National Archives and Records Administration. Retrieved January 3, 2019.
- Rodrigo, Chris Mills (March 25, 2019). "Stacey Abrams addresses Biden rumors: We had a 'lovely lunch'". The Hill. Retrieved March 26, 2019.
- "Georgia presidential primaries postponed over coronavirus concerns". Associated Press. USA Today. March 14, 2020.
- Mark Niesse (April 9, 2020). "Georgia primary delayed again to June 9 during coronavirus emergency". The Atlanta Journal-Constitution. Retrieved April 9, 2020.
- "Georgia Republican Delegation 2020". The Green Papers. Retrieved June 10, 2020.
- "Election Night Reporting". results.enr.clarityelections.com. Georgia Secretary of State. Retrieved June 10, 2020.
- "Delegate Tracker". interactives.ap.org. Associated Press. Retrieved June 9, 2020.
- "2020 POTUS Race ratings" (PDF). The Cook Political Report. Retrieved May 21, 2019.
- "POTUS Ratings | Inside Elections". insideelections.com. Retrieved May 21, 2019.
- "Larry J. Sabato's Crystal Ball » 2020 President". crystalball.centerforpolitics.org. Retrieved May 21, 2019.
- "2020 Election Forecast". Politico. November 19, 2019.
- "Battle for White House". RCP. April 19, 2019.
- 2020 Bitecofer Model Electoral College Predictions, Niskanen Center, March 24, 2020, retrieved: April 19, 2020
- "JHK Forecasts » 2020 President". https://jhkforecasts.com. Retrieved June 27, 2020.
{{cite web}}
: External link in
(help)|website=
- David Chalian; Terence Burlij. "Road to 270: CNN's debut Electoral College map for 2020". CNN. Retrieved June 16, 2020.
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