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The 2012 United States Senate election in Hawaii will take place on November 6, 2012, concurrently with the 2012 U.S. presidential election as well as other elections to the United States Senate and House of Representatives and various state and local elections. Incumbent Democratic U.S. Senator Daniel Akaka decided to retire instead of running for re-election to a fourth term. It has become one of the closest watched Senate races in the nation.
Background
U.S. Representative Daniel Akaka was appointed by Governor John Waihee to the U.S. Senate to serve temporarily after the death of U.S. Senator Spark Matsunaga, and sworn into office on May 16, 1990. On November 6 of the same year, he was elected to complete the remaining four years of Matsunaga's unexpired term. He was re-elected in 1994 for a full six-year term and again in 2000 and 2006. Despite originally saying he would seek re-election in 2012, on March 2, 2011, Akaka announced that he would not run for re-election.
Democratic primary
The primary election was held on August 11. After being locked in a tight race with Ed Case, her predecessor in Congress, incumbent Congresswoman Mazie Hirono pulled away in the final vote, handily defeating Case.
Candidates
- Ed Case, former U.S. representative
- Michael Gillespie
- Antonio Gimbernat
- Mazie Hirono, U.S. representative
- Arturo Reyes
Declined
- Daniel Akaka, incumbent U.S. Senator
- Tammy Duckworth, Assistant Secretary of Public/Intergovernmental Affairs and Illinois congressional candidate
- Colleen Hanabusa, U.S. representative
- Mufi Hannemann, former Honolulu mayor (running for Congress)
Campaign
In December 2011, Democratic Senatorial Campaign Committee Chairwoman and U.S. Senator Patty Murray for Washington endorsed Hirono. U.S. Senator and President Pro Tempore Daniel Inouye for Hawaii also endorsed her. Case criticized "D.C. insiders." He also argued that he is a fiscal moderate, while Hirono was rated the 6th most liberal member of the U.S. House. The Daily Kos blog described Ed Case a "Democratic villain."
Polling
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Ed Case |
Mazie Hirono |
Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Honolulu Civil Beat/Merriman River Group | July 31 – August 2, 2012 | 1,227 | ± 2.8% | 47% | 46% | 9% |
| Honolulu Star-Advertiser | July 12–21, 2012 | 606 | ± 4.0% | 37% | 55% | 8% |
| Honolulu Star-Advertiser | July 5–9, 2012 | 599 | ± 4.0% | 40% | 43% | 9% |
| Civil Beat Poll | June 5–7, 2012 | 731 | ± 3.6% | 46% | 46% | 8% |
| Honolulu Star-Advertiser | January 26 – February 5, 2012 | 599 | ± 4.0% | 36% | 56% | 8% |
| Civil Beat Poll | January 18–19, 2012 | 1,358 | ± 2.7% | 41% | 39% | 20% |
| Public Policy Polling | October 13–16, 2011 | 368 | ± 5.1% | 40% | 45% | 15% |
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Mazie Hirono | 134,745 | 56.8 | |
| Democratic | Ed Case | 95,553 | 40.3 | |
| Blank Votes | 3,331 | 1.4 | ||
| Democratic | Arturo Reyes | 1,720 | 0.7 | |
| Democratic | Michael Gillespie | 1,104 | 0.5 | |
| Democratic | Antonio Gimbernat | 517 | 0.2 | |
| Over Votes | 110 | 0.0 | ||
| Total votes | 237,080 | 100 | ||
Republican primary
The primary election was held on August 11.
Candidates
- John Carroll, former state senator and state representative; unsuccessful 2010 gubernatorial candidate
- Charles Collins
- Linda Lingle, former Hawaii governor
- Eddie Pirkowski, former Hawaii U.S. Senate Candidate in 2010 and 2006, and businessman
- John Roco
Declined
- James "Duke" Aiona, former lieutenant governor
- Charles Djou, former U.S. representative (running for U.S. House)
Polling
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
John Carroll |
Linda Lingle |
Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Public Policy Polling | October 13–16, 2011 | 293 | ± 5.7% | 9% | 85% | 6% |
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Linda Lingle | 44,252 | 90.2 | |
| Republican | John Carroll | 2,900 | 5.9 | |
| Blank Votes | 749 | 1.5 | ||
| Republican | John Roco | 545 | 1.1 | |
| Republican | Charles Collins | 366 | 0.7 | |
| Republican | Eddie Pirkowski | 232 | 0.5 | |
| Over Votes | 25 | 0.1 | ||
| Total votes | 49,069 | 100 | ||
General election
Candidates
- Mazie Hirono (Democratic), U.S. Congresswoman
- Linda Lingle (Republican), Former Governor and Mayor of Maui
- Heath Beasley (Independent)
Debates
- September 6, 2012 – Honolulu Japanese Chamber of Commerce and various other hosts
- October 8, 2012 – AARP Hawaii
- October 16, 2012 – Honolulu Civil Beat, complete video at C-SPAN
- October 18, 2012 – PBS Hawaii
- October 22, 2012 – Hawaii Star Advertiser
Fundraising
| Candidate (party) | Receipts | Disbursements | Cash on hand | Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mazie Hirono (D) | $3,422,891 | $2,039,270 | $1,600,126 | $0 |
| Linda Lingle (R) | $4,428,443 | $2,382,127 | $2,046,318 | $0 |
| Source: Federal Election Commission | ||||
Top contributors
The following organizations' PACs; members, employees, or owners; and their immediate families are the top contributors to each candidate:
| Mazie Hirono | Contribution | Linda Lingle | Contribution |
|---|---|---|---|
| EMILY's List | $129,714 | Goldman Sachs | $34,900 |
| Weitz & Luxenberg | $22,400 | Humanscale Corp | $31,500 |
| RM Towill Corp | $22,000 | Elliott Management Corporation | $26,000 |
| Thornton & Naumes | $20,000 | Murray Energy | $18,955 |
| Council for a Livable World | $19,804 | Bank of America | $17,490 |
| University of Hawaii | $18,300 | State of Hawaii | $17,350 |
| Alexander & Baldwin | $17,100 | Devon Energy | $15,500 |
| Kobayashi, Sugita & Goda | $16,000 | Crescent Heights | $15,000 |
| Nan Inc | $15,000 | Crown Associates Realty | $15,000 |
| Kobayashi Group | $12,300 | Richie's Pharmacy | $15,000 |
Top industries
The top contributors to each campaign, by industry, have been:
| Mazie Hirono | Contribution | Linda Lingle | Contribution |
|---|---|---|---|
| Lawyers/Law firms | $389,420 | Retired | $501,470 |
| Women's Issues | $187,993 | Financial Institutions | $327,387 |
| Leadership PACs | $152,000 | Leadership PACs | $236,500 |
| Retired | $115,931 | Real Estate | $193,716 |
| Transportation Unions | $94,000 | Pro-Israel | $139,750 |
| Lobbyists | $83,396 | Oil & Gas | $123,700 |
| Real Estate | $79,425 | Lawyers/Law firms | $116,624 |
| Democratic/Liberal | $65,273 | Health Professionals | $113,450 |
| Building Trade Unions | $62,000 | Misc Finance | $101,000 |
| Construction Services | $61,899 | Insurance | $79,750 |
Polling
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Mazie Hirono (D) |
Linda Lingle (R) |
Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Honolulu Civil Beat/Merriman River Group | October 24–26, 2012 | 1,218 | ± 2.8% | 55% | 40% | 5% |
| Honolulu Star-Advertiser | October 15–22, 2012 | 786 | ± 3.5% | 57% | 35% | 8% |
| Honolulu Civil Beat/Merriman River Group | September 26–28, 2012 | 1,684 | ± 2.4% | 55% | 39% | 6% |
| Honolulu Star-Advertiser | July 12–21, 2012 | 756 | ± 3.6% | 58% | 39% | 4% |
| Honolulu Civil Beat/Merriman River Group | June 5–7, 2012 | 1,105 | ± 2.9% | 49% | 44% | 5% |
| Public Policy Polling | May 16–17, 2012 | 600 | ± 4.0% | 50% | 41% | 9% |
| Honolulu Star-Advertiser | January 26–February 5, 2012 | 771 | ± 3.5% | 57% | 37% | 5% |
| Honolulu Civil Beat/Merriman River Group | January 18–19, 2011 | 1,358 | ± 2.7% | 46% | 39% | 16% |
| Public Policy Polling | October 13–16, 2011 | 568 | ± 4.1% | 48% | 42% | 10% |
| Honolulu Star-Advertiser | May 4–10, 2011 | 614 | ± 4.0% | 57% | 35% | 8% |
| Public Policy Polling | March 24–27, 2011 | 898 | ± 3.3% | 52% | 40% | 9% |
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Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Mazie Hirono | ||||
| Republican | Linda Lingle | ||||
| Independent | Heath Beasley | ||||
| Majority | |||||
| Turnout | |||||
See also
- United States Senate elections, 2012
- United States House of Representatives elections in Hawaii, 2012
References
- Mizutani, Ron (April 26, 2010). "Sen. Akaka: "God willing, I Plan to Run Again in 2012"". KHON2. Retrieved March 3, 2011.
- ^ DePledge, Derrick (March 2, 2011). "AKAKA WILL NOT SEEK RE-ELECTION IN 2012". Honolulu Star-Advertiser. Retrieved March 3, 2011.
- Maui Weekly
- Starkey, Melanie (April 10, 2011). "Ed Case to Mount Hawaii Senate Campaign". Roll Call. Retrieved June 1, 2011.
- Trygstad, Kyle (May 19, 2011). "Mazie Hirono to Run for Open Senate Seat in Hawaii". Roll Call. Retrieved June 1, 2011.
- Daranciang, Nelson (May 31, 2011). "Duckworth not considering run for Hawaii posts". Honolulu Star-Advertiser. Retrieved June 1, 2011.
- Catanese, David (March 3, 2011). "Hanabusa passes on Senate Bid". Politico. Retrieved August 24, 2011.
- Blair, Chad (August 24, 2011). "No Senate Run for Hanabusa". Honolulu Civil Beat. Peer News LLC. Retrieved 2011-08-26.
- Trygstad, Kyle (August 24, 2011). "Hanabusa Will Seek Re-Election, Not Bid for Senate". Roll Call. Retrieved 2011-08-26.
- Jospeh, Cameron (August 30, 2011). "Former Honolulu Mayor Hannemann to run for House". Ballot Box. Retrieved August 30, 2011.
- Poll: Hirono in solid shape in Senate primary - The Hill's Ballot Box
- Former Congressman Ed Case: If Hirono Wins U.S. Senate Democratic Primary, Former GOP Gov. Lingle Will Beat Her | Hawaii Reporter
- Unrelenting Ed Case Says Mazie Hirono Is D.C. Insider : Roll Call Politics
- Honolulu Civil Beat – Capitol Watch – Hawaii Politics and Government – Daily Kos Hates Ed Case
- ^ "PRIMARY ELECTION 2012 - State of Hawaii - Statewide" (PDF). State Of Hawaii Office of Elections. Retrieved September 29, 2012.
- "Ex-HI GOP legislator John Carroll to run for U.S. Senate". The Hawaii Independent. September 21, 2011. Retrieved September 27, 2011.
- Bracken, Sherry (May 29, 2012). "Senate Candidate Lingle Continues to Campaign on Big Island". Retrieved July 25, 2012.
In the August 11 Republican primary, she will face Charles Collins of Pahoa.
- DePledge, Derrick (October 11, 2011). "Lingle joins U.S. Senate race". Honolulu Star-Advertiser. Retrieved October 11, 2011.
- http://hawaii.gov/elections/candidates/reports/2012/candidate_report_2012-06-08_CERTIFIED.pdf
- "Aiona says he will not run for Congress in 2012". Honolulu Star-Advertiser. August 16, 2011. Retrieved September 7, 2011.
- "Djou announces run for Congress, will deploy to Afghanistan". Honolulu Star-Advertiser. August 17, 2011. Retrieved 2011-08-26.
- Trygstad, Kyle (August 17, 2011). "Ex-Rep. Djou Announces Bid for House". Roll Call. Retrieved 2011-08-26.
- "Hawaii – County Vote Results". Associated Press. August 12, 2012. Retrieved October 13, 2012.
- "Hirono, Lingle square off in first Senate debate". New Vision Television – KHON2. September 6, 2012. Retrieved October 8, 2012.
- Sakahara, Tim (September 6, 2012). "Lingle and Hirono battle in feisty debate". Retrieved October 8, 2012.
- "Lingle, Hirono finalize debate schedule". The Maui News. August 23, 2012. Retrieved October 8, 2012.
- "Lingle, Hirono finalize US Senate debate schedule". Real Clear Politics. Associated Press. August 22, 2012. Retrieved October 8, 2012.
- Campaign Finance (FEC)
- Campaign Finance (FEC)
- "2012 Race: Hawaii Senate Top Contributors". Center for Responsive Politics. October 1, 2012. Retrieved October 13, 2012.
- "2012 Race: Hawaii Senate Top Industries". Center for Responsive Politics. October 1, 2012. Retrieved October 13, 2012.
External links
- Hawaii Office of the Elections
- Campaign contributions at OpenSecrets.org
- Outside spending at the Sunlight Foundation
- Candidate issue positions at On the Issues
- Campaign sites
- John Carroll for U.S. Senate
- Ed Case for U.S. Senate
- Mazie Hirono for U.S. Senate
- Linda Lingle for U.S. Senate
- Eddie Pirkowski for U.S. Senate
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