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A legislative election is planned to take place in Greece no later than 2016 to elect all 300 members to the Hellenic Parliament in accordance with the constitution. While the election is planned for 2016, due to the political and economic situation in Greece, there is a possibility that the election might be held earlier.
Background
Greece has suffered an economic depression since 2008 and has sought bailouts from external sources. The incumbent government (since the June 2012 election) is formed by New Democracy, PASOK, and DIMAR. Antonis Samaras of New Democracy is Prime Minister. PASOK and DIMAR forwent participating in Samaras' cabinet, which is thus composed of New Democracy members and independents. The government holds 167 seats, down from 179 elected in the 2012 election. Of those, 9 were expelled for voting against austerity packages, and 3 left voluntarily. Two former Democratic Left MPs who were expelled, Odysseas Voudouris and Paris Moutsinas, formed a new party in April 2013, saying in a letter to party leader Fotis Kouvelis that their former party had "mutated" into a centrist one.
The election scene is expected to take place between pro- and anti-bailout parties. The anti-bailout, left-wing SYRIZA party has been ahead in most polls with the governing conservative New Democracy coming second. The far right nationalist Golden Dawn Party is expected to increase its representation, fuelled by the dire economic situation and growing concerns about immigration. The party is third in the polls ahead of the social democratic PASOK, communist KKE, and the right wing Independent Greeks.
Procedure
Voting is mandatory; however none of the legally existing penalties or sanctions have ever been enforced. 250 seats will be distributed on the basis of proportional representation, with a threshold of 3% required for entry into parliament. The other 50 seats will be awarded to the party that wins a plurality of votes, with coalitions in that regard not being counted as an overall party but having their votes counted separately for each party in the coalition, according to the election law. Parliamentary majority is achieved by a party or coalition of parties that command at least one half plus one (151 out of 300) of total seats. Blank and invalid votes, as well as votes cast for parties that fall short of the 3% threshold, are disregarded for seat allocation purposes.
Opinion polls
Poll results are listed in the table below in reverse chronological order, showing the most recent first. Data are expressed in percent, and the highest percentage figure in each polling survey is shaded in the leading party's colour. The date column uses the date of publication of the survey.
Institute | Date | ND | SYRIZA | PASOK | ANEL | XA | DIMAR | KKE | U/O |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Alco | 25 May 2013 | 24.9 | 22.1 | 5.8 | 5.2 | 11.0 | 4.1 | 5.1 | 21.8 |
Rass | 25 May 2013 | 24.5 | 22.1 | 4.7 | 4.6 | 9.2 | 3.8 | 4.6 | 19.0 |
Metrisi | 18 May 2013 | 21.4 | 20.4 | 4.2 | 5.6 | 10.0 | 4.5 | 4.6 | 28.5 |
Marc | 15 May 2013 | 27.3 | 26.1 | 6.0 | 7.1 | 11.8 | 5.0 | 5.7 | – |
Alco | 28 April 2013 | 20.5 | 19.9 | 5.5 | 5.0 | 9.3 | 3.7 | 4.9 | 3.4 |
VPRC | 26 April 2013 | 27.0 | 29.5 | 7.0 | 6.0 | 13.0 | 4.5 | 7.0 | 6.0 |
Metron Analysis | 21 April 2013 | 18.7 | 18.1 | 5.5 | 6.6 | 7.4 | 3.9 | 3.8 | 21.1 |
Marc | 17 April 2013 | 22.1 | 22.3 | 5.4 | 5.9 | 9.7 | 4.4 | 5.1 | 25.1 |
Pulse RC | 12 April 2013 | 22.5 | 23.0 | 8.0 | 5.5 | 13.5 | 4.0 | 5.5 | 15.5 |
Public Issue | 11 April 2013 | 28.5 | 27.5 | 8.0 | 6.5 | 11.0 | 6.5 | 5.5 | 6.5 |
GPO | 1 April 2013 | 20.3 | 20.3 | 7.5 | 6.3 | 9.0 | 5.8 | 5.0 | 25.8 |
Marc | 30 March 2013 | 27.8 | 27.9 | 6.8 | 7.0 | 11.5 | 5.5 | 6.0 | 7.6 |
MRB | 30 March 2013 | 27.5 | 27.0 | 6.9 | 7.8 | 11.3 | 6.8 | 5.8 | 5.1 |
Alco | 30 March 2013 | 24.2 | 23.5 | 7.8 | 7.3 | 10.7 | 4.8 | 6.3 | 15.4 |
Metron Analysis | 22 March 2013 | 25.2 | 25.8 | 9.0 | 8.5 | 11.7 | 6.3 | 5.5 | 8.0 |
Kapa Research | 22 March 2013 | 25.7 | 26.6 | 8.8 | 5.7 | 13.0 | 4.8 | 6.4 | 9.0 |
VPRC | 22 March 2013 | 28.5 | 31.0 | 6.0 | 5.5 | 11.0 | 5.5 | 6.0 | 6.5 |
Marc | 19 March 2013 | 27.4 | 28.4 | 6.8 | 6.6 | 11.7 | 5.7 | 5.3 | 8.1 |
Μetrisi | 15 March 2013 | 22.2 | 21.9 | 7.2 | 4.6 | 9.3 | 3.9 | 5.0 | 25.9 |
Public Issue | 14 March 2013 | 28.5 | 29.5 | 7.5 | 8.0 | 10.0 | 6.0 | 5.5 | 5.0 |
Marc | 27 February 2013 | 22.8 | 23.1 | 5.3 | 5.3 | 10.0 | 4.4 | 4.5 | 18.6 |
Pulse RC | 17 February 2013 | 20.0 | 21.5 | 7.0 | 5.0 | 12.0 | 4.0 | 6.0 | – |
Eleftherotypia | 17 February 2013 | 19.5 | 20.5 | 5.6 | 4.6 | 8.5 | 4.1 | 4.8 | 6.5 |
Alco | 15 February 2013 | 21.2 | 20.2 | 7.2 | 5.0 | 9.4 | 4.1 | 4.3 | 4.0 |
GPO | 5 February 2013 | 21.1 | 20.8 | 7.4 | 5.2 | 10.0 | 4.8 | 5.0 | – |
Public Issue | 5 February 2013 | 29.0 | 28.5 | 7.0 | 8.0 | 11.5 | 6.0 | 5.5 | – |
Marc | 23 January 2013 | 28.2 | 27.9 | 7.2 | 7.0 | 12.2 | 5.8 | 5.3 | – |
Metron Analysis | 19 January 2013 | 27.8 | 28.0 | 7.7 | – | 10.7 | 5.7 | – | – |
VPRC | 19 January 2013 | 29.5 | 29.5 | 6.5 | 6.0 | 12.0 | 5.0 | 5.5 | 6.0 |
Public Issue | 11 January 2013 | 29.0 | 28.5 | 8.0 | 8.0 | 10.0 | 7.0 | 5.5 | 4.0 |
Kapa Research | 30 December 2012 | 21.5 | 22.6 | 6.2 | 3.8 | 9.8 | 5.0 | 5.2 | 25.9 |
Marc | 19 December 2012 | 21.5 | 22.7 | 5.6 | 5.4 | 9.6 | 4.5 | 4.7 | 26.0 |
Public Issue | 13 December 2012 | 26.0 | 30.5 | 8.0 | 9.0 | 10.5 | 6.5 | 5.5 | 4.0 |
Metron Analysis | 7 December 2012 | 19.8 | 22.0 | 5.0 | 6.0 | 9.0 | 4.5 | 4.1 | 29.6 |
Pulse RC | 23 November 2012 | 21.5 | 26.0 | 6.5 | 7.5 | 13.5 | 4.0 | 5.5 | 15.5 |
VPRC | 21 November 2012 | 26.5 | 31.5 | 5.0 | 6.5 | 12.5 | 5.5 | 6.5 | 6.0 |
VPRC | 19 October 2012 | 27.0 | 30.5 | 5.5 | 7.0 | 14.0 | 5.5 | 6.5 | 4.0 |
VPRC | 7 September 2012 | 28.0 | 30.0 | 7.5 | 7.0 | 12.0 | 4.0 | 6.0 | 5.5 |
Election Results | 17 June 2012 | 29.7 | 26.9 | 12.3 | 7.5 | 6.9 | 6.3 | 4.5 | 5.9 |
Institute | Date | ND | SYRIZA | PASOK | ANEL | XA | DIMAR | KKE | U/O |
Note:
- U/O: Undecided or Other. May include abstaining voters in polls with yellow backgrounds.
- On varying methodology: The polls shown above with backgrounds in yellow used the "raw data method", recording raw responses for each party as a percentage of total responses, and including percentages for those who are undecided or said they will abstain from voting (either physically or by voting blank). All other polls used an "adjusted method" where an estimate of vote share is projected, by disregarding those who opted to abstain and in some manner adjusting for the likely votes of those who were undecided. The adjusted method emulates the same vote percentage calculation as in the official election. The raw data method, will by definition always result in some relatively lower percentage points for all parties (due to the party's votes now being calculated as a percentage of the higher total figure "total of all responses", instead of calculated as a percentage of the lower total figure "total of all valid votes"). Therefore the percentage numbers shown from these two methods are not directly comparable to each other.
References
- PM Antonis Samaras announce cabinet - BBC World News
- ^ Small majority for austerity raises big doubts | Athens News
- "Former Democratic Left MPs announce new movement". enetenglish.gr. 1 April 2013. Retrieved 17 May 2013.
- "Constitution of Greece" (PDF). Hellenic Parliament. Retrieved 5 November 2011.
Article 51, Clause 5: The exercise of the right to vote is compulsory.
- "Υποχρεωτική η ψήφος αλλά "παγωμένες" οι κυρώσεις" (in Greek). Eleftherotypia. Retrieved 7 November 2011.
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Article 117, Clause 1: The elector who unjustifiably does not vote is punished with imprisonment of one month and up to one year.
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