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January 2015 Greek parliamentary election

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Next Greek legislative election

← June 2012 On or before 2016

All 300 seats of the Hellenic Parliament
151 seats needed for a majority
  Antonis Samaras Alexis Tsipras Evangelos Venizelos
Leader Antonis Samaras Alexis Tsipras Evangelos Venizelos
Party ND Coalition of the Radical Left PASOK
Leader since 30 November 2009 9 February 2008 18 March 2012
Leader's seat Messenia Athens A Thessaloniki A
Last election 129 seats, 29.66% 71 seats, 26.89% 33 seats, 12.28%
Current seats 125 71 24
Seats needed Increase26 Increase80 Increase126

  Fotis Kouvelis
Leader Panos Kammenos Nikolaos Michaloliakos Fotis Kouvelis
Party ANEL ΧΑ DIMAR
Leader since 24 February 2012 1 November 1993 27 June 2010
Leader's seat Athens B Athens A Athens B
Last election 20 seats, 7.51% 18 seats, 6.92% 17 seats, 6.25%
Current seats 20 18 14
Seats needed Increase131 Increase133 Increase135

 
Leader Dimitris Koutsoumpas
Party KKE
Leader since 14 April 2013
Leader's seat Athens B
Last election 12 seats, 4.5%
Current seats 12
Seats needed Increase139

Incumbent Prime Minister

Antonis Samaras
ND



Greek debt crisis

Election articles:

Greek government debt crisis articles:

A legislative election is planned to take place in Greece no later than 2016 to elect all 300 members to the Hellenic Parliament in accordance with the constitution. While the election is planned for 2016, due to the political and economic situation in Greece, there is a possibility that the election might be held earlier.

Background

Greece has suffered an economic depression since 2008 and has sought bailouts from external sources. The incumbent government (since the June 2012 election) is formed by New Democracy, PASOK, and DIMAR. Antonis Samaras of New Democracy is Prime Minister. PASOK and DIMAR forwent participating in Samaras' cabinet, which is thus composed of New Democracy members and independents. The government holds 167 seats, down from 179 elected in the 2012 election. Of those, 9 were expelled for voting against austerity packages, and 3 left voluntarily. Two former Democratic Left MPs who were expelled, Odysseas Voudouris and Paris Moutsinas, formed a new party in April 2013, saying in a letter to party leader Fotis Kouvelis that their former party had "mutated" into a centrist one.

The election scene is expected to take place between pro- and anti-bailout parties. The anti-bailout, left-wing SYRIZA party has been ahead in most polls with the governing conservative New Democracy coming second. The far right nationalist Golden Dawn Party is expected to increase its representation, fuelled by the dire economic situation and growing concerns about immigration. The party is third in the polls ahead of the social democratic PASOK, communist KKE, and the right wing Independent Greeks.

Procedure

Voting is mandatory; however none of the legally existing penalties or sanctions have ever been enforced. 250 seats will be distributed on the basis of proportional representation, with a threshold of 3% required for entry into parliament. The other 50 seats will be awarded to the party that wins a plurality of votes, with coalitions in that regard not being counted as an overall party but having their votes counted separately for each party in the coalition, according to the election law. Parliamentary majority is achieved by a party or coalition of parties that command at least one half plus one (151 out of 300) of total seats. Blank and invalid votes, as well as votes cast for parties that fall short of the 3% threshold, are disregarded for seat allocation purposes.

Opinion polls

Poll results are listed in the table below in reverse chronological order, showing the most recent first. Data are expressed in percent, and the highest percentage figure in each polling survey is shaded in the leading party's colour. The date column uses the date of publication of the survey.

Institute Date ND SYRIZA PASOK ANEL XA DIMAR KKE U/O
Alco 25 May 2013 24.9 22.1 5.8 5.2 11.0 4.1 5.1 21.8
Rass 25 May 2013 24.5 22.1 4.7 4.6 9.2 3.8 4.6 19.0
Metrisi 18 May 2013 21.4 20.4 4.2 5.6 10.0 4.5 4.6 28.5
Marc 15 May 2013 27.3 26.1 6.0 7.1 11.8 5.0 5.7
Alco 28 April 2013 20.5 19.9 5.5 5.0 9.3 3.7 4.9 3.4
VPRC 26 April 2013 27.0 29.5 7.0 6.0 13.0 4.5 7.0 6.0
Metron Analysis 21 April 2013 18.7 18.1 5.5 6.6 7.4 3.9 3.8 21.1
Marc 17 April 2013 22.1 22.3 5.4 5.9 9.7 4.4 5.1 25.1
Pulse RC 12 April 2013 22.5 23.0 8.0 5.5 13.5 4.0 5.5 15.5
Public Issue 11 April 2013 28.5 27.5 8.0 6.5 11.0 6.5 5.5 6.5
GPO 1 April 2013 20.3 20.3 7.5 6.3 9.0 5.8 5.0 25.8
Marc 30 March 2013 27.8 27.9 6.8 7.0 11.5 5.5 6.0 7.6
MRB 30 March 2013 27.5 27.0 6.9 7.8 11.3 6.8 5.8 5.1
Alco 30 March 2013 24.2 23.5 7.8 7.3 10.7 4.8 6.3 15.4
Metron Analysis 22 March 2013 25.2 25.8 9.0 8.5 11.7 6.3 5.5 8.0
Kapa Research 22 March 2013 25.7 26.6 8.8 5.7 13.0 4.8 6.4 9.0
VPRC 22 March 2013 28.5 31.0 6.0 5.5 11.0 5.5 6.0 6.5
Marc 19 March 2013 27.4 28.4 6.8 6.6 11.7 5.7 5.3 8.1
Μetrisi 15 March 2013 22.2 21.9 7.2 4.6 9.3 3.9 5.0 25.9
Public Issue 14 March 2013 28.5 29.5 7.5 8.0 10.0 6.0 5.5 5.0
Marc 27 February 2013 22.8 23.1 5.3 5.3 10.0 4.4 4.5 18.6
Pulse RC 17 February 2013 20.0 21.5 7.0 5.0 12.0 4.0 6.0
Eleftherotypia 17 February 2013 19.5 20.5 5.6 4.6 8.5 4.1 4.8 6.5
Alco 15 February 2013 21.2 20.2 7.2 5.0 9.4 4.1 4.3 4.0
GPO 5 February 2013 21.1 20.8 7.4 5.2 10.0 4.8 5.0
Public Issue 5 February 2013 29.0 28.5 7.0 8.0 11.5 6.0 5.5
Marc 23 January 2013 28.2 27.9 7.2 7.0 12.2 5.8 5.3
Metron Analysis 19 January 2013 27.8 28.0 7.7 10.7 5.7
VPRC 19 January 2013 29.5 29.5 6.5 6.0 12.0 5.0 5.5 6.0
Public Issue 11 January 2013 29.0 28.5 8.0 8.0 10.0 7.0 5.5 4.0
Kapa Research 30 December 2012 21.5 22.6 6.2 3.8 9.8 5.0 5.2 25.9
Marc 19 December 2012 21.5 22.7 5.6 5.4 9.6 4.5 4.7 26.0
Public Issue 13 December 2012 26.0 30.5 8.0 9.0 10.5 6.5 5.5 4.0
Metron Analysis 7 December 2012 19.8 22.0 5.0 6.0 9.0 4.5 4.1 29.6
Pulse RC 23 November 2012 21.5 26.0 6.5 7.5 13.5 4.0 5.5 15.5
VPRC 21 November 2012 26.5 31.5 5.0 6.5 12.5 5.5 6.5 6.0
VPRC 19 October 2012 27.0 30.5 5.5 7.0 14.0 5.5 6.5 4.0
VPRC 7 September 2012 28.0 30.0 7.5 7.0 12.0 4.0 6.0 5.5
Election Results 17 June 2012 29.7 26.9 12.3 7.5 6.9 6.3 4.5 5.9
Institute Date ND SYRIZA PASOK ANEL XA DIMAR KKE U/O

Note:

  • U/O: Undecided or Other. May include abstaining voters in polls with yellow backgrounds.
  • On varying methodology: The polls shown above with backgrounds in yellow used the "raw data method", recording raw responses for each party as a percentage of total responses, and including percentages for those who are undecided or said they will abstain from voting (either physically or by voting blank). All other polls used an "adjusted method" where an estimate of vote share is projected, by disregarding those who opted to abstain and in some manner adjusting for the likely votes of those who were undecided. The adjusted method emulates the same vote percentage calculation as in the official election. The raw data method, will by definition always result in some relatively lower percentage points for all parties (due to the party's votes now being calculated as a percentage of the higher total figure "total of all responses", instead of calculated as a percentage of the lower total figure "total of all valid votes"). Therefore the percentage numbers shown from these two methods are not directly comparable to each other.
Monthly average trend line of poll results given below up from June 2012 to the present day, with each line's colour corresponding to a political party.

References

  1. PM Antonis Samaras announce cabinet - BBC World News
  2. ^ Small majority for austerity raises big doubts | Athens News
  3. "Former Democratic Left MPs announce new movement". enetenglish.gr. 1 April 2013. Retrieved 17 May 2013.
  4. "Constitution of Greece" (PDF). Hellenic Parliament. Retrieved 5 November 2011. Article 51, Clause 5: The exercise of the right to vote is compulsory.
  5. "Υποχρεωτική η ψήφος αλλά "παγωμένες" οι κυρώσεις" (in Greek). Eleftherotypia. Retrieved 7 November 2011. {{cite web}}: Unknown parameter |trans_title= ignored (|trans-title= suggested) (help)
  6. "Προεδρικό Διάταγμα 96/2007" (in Greek). Article 117, Clause 1: The elector who unjustifiably does not vote is punished with imprisonment of one month and up to one year. {{cite web}}: Unknown parameter |trans_title= ignored (|trans-title= suggested) (help)
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