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Revision as of 07:44, 27 February 2018 by Masterpha (talk | contribs) (Undid revision 827702238 by Saqib (talk))(diff) ← Previous revision | Latest revision (diff) | Newer revision → (diff)General elections are scheduled to be held in Pakistan on the 15th July 2018. In the run up to this, several Pollsters have conducted opinion polls on both the national and provincial level.
Nationwide voting intention
Voting intention polls conducted since 2013 for the National Assembly.
| Date published | Pollster | PML (N) | PTI | PPP | MQM (P) | JUI (F) | ANP | Others | Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| class="unsortable" style="background:Template:Pakistan Muslim League (N)/meta/color; width:60px;"| | class="unsortable" style="background:Template:Pakistan Tehreek-e-Insaf/meta/color; width:60px;"| | class="unsortable" style="background:Template:Pakistan Peoples Party/meta/color; width:60px;"| | class="unsortable" style="background:Template:Muttahida Qaumi Movement/meta/color; width:60px;"| | class="unsortable" style="background:Template:Awami National Party/meta/color; width:60px;"| | |||||
| 20 Feb 2018 | OOP | 29% | 19% | 21% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 19% | style="background:Template:Pakistan Muslim League (N)/meta/color"|8% |
| 16 Dec 2017 | PM Shahid Khaqan Abbasi announces his intention to hold general elections on 15 July 2018 | ||||||||
| 15 Dec 2017 | PTI Secretary General Jahangir Tareen is disqualified, although Chairman Imran Khan is not | ||||||||
| 01 Nov 2017 | Gallup Pakistan | 34% | 26% | 15% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 19% | style="background:Template:Pakistan Muslim League (N)/meta/color"|8% |
| 25 Oct 2017 | Pulse Consultant | 36% | 23% | 15% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 22% | style="background:Template:Pakistan Muslim League (N)/meta/color|13% |
| 24 Oct 2017 | GSP | 38% | 27% | 17% | 3% | 1% | 1% | 14% | style="background:Template:Pakistan Muslim League (N)/meta/color|11% |
| 01 Aug 2017 | Shahid Khaqan Abbasi is sworn in as Prime Minister of Pakistan | ||||||||
| 28 Jul 2017 | PM Nawaz Sharif is disqualified from office on corruption charges | ||||||||
| 24 Apr 2017 | Gallup Pakistan | 36% | 25% | 16% | 2% | 3% | 2% | 16% | style="background:Template:Pakistan Muslim League (N)/meta/color"|11% |
| 38% | 22% | 17% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 14% | style="background:Template:Pakistan Muslim League (N)/meta/color"|16% | ||
| 27 Aug 2015 | SDPI | 27% | 33% | 14% | 1% | 2% | 1% | 20% | style="background:Template:Pakistan Tehreek-e-Insaf/meta/color"|6% |
| 14 Aug 2014 | PTI starts nationwide protest due to rigging allegations of the 2013 Elections | ||||||||
| 20 Sep 2014 | OOP | 19% | 30% | 21% | 29% | style="background:Template:Pakistan Tehreek-e-Insaf/meta/color"|9% | |||
| 17 Jul 2014 | SDPI/Herald | 17% | 33% | 19% | 5% | 3% | 3% | 18% | style="background:Template:Pakistan Tehreek-e-Insaf/meta/color"|14% |
| 05 Jun 2013 | Nawaz Sharif is sworn in as Prime Minister of Pakistan | ||||||||
| 11 May 2013 | Election 2013 | style="background:Template:Pakistan Muslim League (N)/meta/color"|32.8% | 16.9% | 15.2% | 5.4% | 3.2% | 1.0% | 25.5% | style="background:Template:Pakistan Muslim League (N)/meta/color"|15.9% |
Province-wide voting intention
Voting intention polls conducted for each of the provinces. If a party has N/A listed in the poll, this indicates it is in the 'Others' section of the poll.
Punjab
| Date published | Pollster | Legislature type | PML (N) | PTI | PPP | Others | Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| class="unsortable" style="background:Template:Pakistan Muslim League (N)/meta/color; width:60px;"| | class="unsortable" style="background:Template:Pakistan Tehreek-e-Insaf/meta/color; width:60px;"| | class="unsortable" style="background:Template:Pakistan Peoples Party/meta/color; width:60px;"| | |||||
| 20 Feb 2018 | OOP | unspecified | 47% | 22% | 15% | 16% | style="background:Template:Pakistan Muslim League (N)/meta/color"|26% |
| 01 Nov 2017 | Gallup Pakistan | unspecified | 50% | 31% | 5% | 14% | style="background:Template:Pakistan Muslim League (N)/meta/color"|19% |
| 25 Oct 2017 | Pulse Consultant | unspecified | 55% | 20% | 7% | 18% | style="background:Template:Pakistan Muslim League (N)/meta/color"|35% |
| 24 Oct 2017 | GSP | National | 58% | 23% | 6% | 13% | style="background:Template:Pakistan Muslim League (N)/meta/color"|35% |
| 27 Aug 2015 | SDPI | National | 38% | 35% | 7% | 20% | style="background:Template:Pakistan Muslim League (N)/meta/color"|3% |
| 17 Jul 2014 | SDPI/Herald | Provincial | 25% | 43% | 11% | 21% | style="background:Template:Pakistan Tehreek-e-Insaf/meta/color"|18% |
| 08 Jun 2013 | Shehbaz Sharif is sworn in as Chief Minister of Punjab | ||||||
| 11 May 2013 | Election 2013 | Provincial | style="background:Template:Pakistan Muslim League (N)/meta/color"|40.8% | 17.8% | 8.8% | 32.6% | style="background:Template:Pakistan Muslim League (N)/meta/color"|23.0% |
Sindh
| Date published | Pollster | Legislature type | PPP | MQM (P) | PML (F) | PTI | PML (N) | Others | Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| class="unsortable" style="background:Template:Pakistan Peoples Party/meta/color; width:60px;"| | class="unsortable" style="background:Template:Muttahida Qaumi Movement/meta/color; width:60px;"| | class="unsortable" style="background:Template:Pakistan Muslim League (F)/meta/color; width:60px;"| | class="unsortable" style="background:Template:Pakistan Tehreek-e-Insaf/meta/color; width:60px;"| | class="unsortable" style="background:Template:Pakistan Muslim League (N)/meta/color; width:60px;"| | |||||
| 20 Feb 2018 | OOP | unspecified | 44% | 18% | N/A | 7% | 7% | 24% | style="background:Template:Pakistan Peoples Party/meta/color; color:white"|26% |
| 01 Nov 2017 | Gallup Pakistan | unspecified | 44% | 10% | N/A | 11% | 35% | style="background:Template:Pakistan Peoples Party/meta/color; color:white"|35% | |
| 25 Oct 2017 | Pulse Consultant | unspecified | 46% | 7% | N/A | 10% | N/A | 37% | style="background:Template:Pakistan Peoples Party/meta/color; color:white"|36% |
| 24 Oct 2017 | GSP | National | 52% | 11% | 2% | 14% | 12% | 7% | style="background:Template:Pakistan Peoples Party/meta/color; color:white"|38% |
| 29 Jul 2016 | Syed Murad Ali Shah is sworn in as Chief Minister of Sindh | ||||||||
| 27 Jul 2016 | Syed Qaim Ali Shah is removed from the post of Chief Minister of Sindh by PPP head office | ||||||||
| 27 Aug 2015 | SDPI | National | 41% | 5% | N/A | 21% | 13% | 20% | style="background:Template:Pakistan Peoples Party/meta/color; color:white"|20% |
| 17 July 2014 | SDPI/Herald | Provincial | 50% | 20% | 5% | 25% | style="background:Template:Pakistan Peoples Party/meta/color; color:white"|30% | ||
| 30 May 2013 | Syed Qaim Ali Shah is sworn in as Chief Minister of Sindh | ||||||||
| 11 May 2013 | Election 2013 | Provincial | style="background:Template:Pakistan Peoples Party/meta/color; color:white"|32.6% | 25.5% | 11.6% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 18.1% | style="background:Template:Pakistan Peoples Party/meta/color; color:white"|7.1% |
Khyber Pakhtunkhwa
| Date published | Pollster | Legislature type | PTI | PML (N) | JUI (F) | ANP | Others | Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| class="unsortable" style="background:Template:Pakistan Tehreek-e-Insaf/meta/color; width:60px;"| | class="unsortable" style="background:Template:Pakistan Muslim League (N)/meta/color; width:60px;"| | class="unsortable" style="background:Template:Awami National Party/meta/color; width:60px;"| | ||||||
| 20 Feb 2018 | OOP | unspecified | 27% | 12% | 19% | 14% | 28% | style="background:Template:Pakistan Tehreek-e-Insaf/meta/color"|8% |
| 01 Nov 2017 | Gallup Pakistan | unspecified | 47% | 10% | 43% | style="background:Template:Pakistan Tehreek-e-Insaf/meta/color"|37% | ||
| 25 Oct 2017 | Pulse Consultant | unspecified | 53% | 13% | 34% | style="background:Template:Pakistan Tehreek-e-Insaf/meta/color"|40% | ||
| 24 Oct 2017 | GSP | National | 62% | 10% | 1% | 5% | 22% | style="background:Template:Pakistan Tehreek-e-Insaf/meta/color"|52% |
| 27 Aug 2015 | SDPI | National | 50% | 15% | 7% | 7% | 21% | style="background:Template:Pakistan Tehreek-e-Insaf/meta/color"|35% |
| 17 Jul 2014 | SDPI/Herald | Provincial | 40% | N/A | 13% | 12% | 35% | style="background:Template:Pakistan Tehreek-e-Insaf/meta/color"|27% |
| 31 May 2013 | Pervez Khattak is sworn in as Chief Minister of Khyber Pakhtunkhwa | |||||||
| 11 May 2013 | Election 2013 | Provincial | style="background:Template:Pakistan Tehreek-e-Insaf/meta/color"|19.3% | 15.9% | 13.6% | 10.3% | 40.9% | style="background:Template:PTI/meta/color"|3.4% |
Balochistan
| Date published | Pollster | Legislature type | JUI (F) | PkMAP | PML (N) | BNP | NP | PPP | ANP | PTI | Others | Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| class="unsortable" style="background:Template:Pakistan Muslim League (N)/meta/color; width:60px;"| | class="unsortable" style="background:Template:National Party (Pakistan)/meta/color; width:60px;"| | class="unsortable" style="background:Template:Pakistan Peoples Party/meta/color; width:60px;"| | class="unsortable" style="background:Template:Awami National Party/meta/color; width:60px;"| | class="unsortable" style="background:Template:Pakistan Tehreek-e-Insaf/meta/color; width:60px;"| | ||||||||
| 13 Jan 2018 | Mir Abdul Quddus Bizenjo is sworn in as Chief Minister of Balochistan | |||||||||||
| 09 Jan 2018 | Sanaullah Zehri resigns from to post of Chief Minister to prevent a no confidence motion passing against him | |||||||||||
| 01 Nov 2017 | Gallup Pakistan | unspecified | 22% | 18% | 16% | 44% | 4% | |||||
| 25 Oct 2017 | Pulse Consultant | unspecified | N/A | 39% | N/A | 7% | 21% | 33% | style="background:Template:Pakistan Muslim League (N)/meta/color"|18% | |||
| 24 Oct 2017 | GSP | National | N/A | 6% | 15% | 8% | 1% | 9% | 2% | 33% | 26% | style="background:Template:Pakistan Tehreek-e-Insaf/meta/color"|18% |
| 24 Dec 2015 | Sanaullah Zehri is sworn in as Chief Minister of Balochistan | |||||||||||
| 27 Aug 2015 | SDPI | National | 18% | N/A | 5% | N/A | 10% | 12% | 4% | 51% | 6% | |
| 17 July 2014 | SDPI/Herald | Provincial | N/A | 23% | 22% | N/A | 14% | 41% | 1% | |||
| 07 Jun 2013 | Abdul Malik Baloch is sworn in as Chief Minister of Balochistan | |||||||||||
| 11 May 2013 | Election 2013 | Provincial | 16% | 13% | 10% | 6% | 6% | 4% | 2% | 2% | 47% | 3% |
Seat Predictions
These seat predictions are based on the 272 directly elected general seats to the National Assembly of Pakistan. 137 seats are required for an absolute majority in the assembly.
| Date published | Pollster | PML (N) | PPP | PTI | MQM (P) | JUI (F) | ANP | Others | Majority |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| class="unsortable" style="background:Template:Pakistan Muslim League (N)/meta/color; width:60px;"| | class="unsortable" style="background:Template:Pakistan Peoples Party/meta/color; width:60px;"| | class="unsortable" style="background:Template:Pakistan Tehreek-e-Insaf/meta/color; width:60px;"| | class="unsortable" style="background:Template:Muttahida Qaumi Movement/meta/color; width:60px;"| | class="unsortable" style="background:Template:Awami National Party/meta/color; width:60px;"| | |||||
| 11 May 2013 | Election 2013 | style="background:Template:Pakistan Muslim League (N)/meta/color"|126 | 33 | 28 | 19 | 11 | 2 | 53 | style="background:Template:Pakistan Muslim League (N)/meta/color"|PML (N) 11 short |
References
- "Prime Minister Shahid Khaqan Abbasi has said that general elections will be held in the country on 15th July next year". Twitter. December 16, 2017.
{{cite news}}: Cite has empty unknown parameter:|1=(help) - "Prime Minister Shahid Khaqan Abbasi has said that general elections will be held in the country on 15th July next year". Twitter. December 16, 2017.
{{cite news}}: Cite has empty unknown parameter:|1=(help) - https://ecp.gov.pk/Documents/Downloads/General%20Election%202013/Statistics/Party%20wise%20Vote%20Bank.pdf
- https://ecp.gov.pk/Documents/Downloads/General%20Election%202013/Statistics/Party%20wise%20Vote%20Bank.pdf
- https://ecp.gov.pk/Documents/Downloads/General%20Election%202013/Statistics/Party%20wise%20Vote%20Bank.pdf
- https://ecp.gov.pk/Documents/Downloads/General%20Election%202013/Statistics/Party%20wise%20Vote%20Bank.pdf
- https://ecp.gov.pk/Documents/Downloads/General%20Election%202013/Statistics/Party%20wise%20Vote%20Bank.pdf
- https://ecp.gov.pk/Documents/Downloads/General%20Election%202013/Statistics/Party%20wise%20Vote%20Bank.pdf