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This article documents a current election. Information may change rapidly as the event progresses, and initial news reports may be unreliable. The latest updates to this article may not reflect the most current information. Feel free to improve this article or discuss changes on the talk page, but please note that updates without valid and reliable references will be removed. (June 2018) (Learn how and when to remove this message) |
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124 seats of the Legislative Assembly of Ontario 63 seats needed for a majority | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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Opinion polls | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Turnout | 58.4% (7.1pp) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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Popular vote by riding. As this is an FPTP election, seat totals are not determined by popular vote, but instead via results by each riding. Riding names are listed at the bottom. | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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The 42nd Ontario general election was held on June 7, 2018, to elect the 124 members of the 42nd Parliament of Ontario. The Progressive Conservative Party of Ontario, led by Doug Ford, won a majority government. The Ontario New Democratic Party, led by Andrea Horwath, formed the Official Opposition. The Ontario Liberal Party, led by incumbent Premier Kathleen Wynne, lost official party status in recording both the worst result in their party's 161-year history and the worst result for any incumbent governing party in Ontario. The Green Party of Ontario won a seat for the first time in its history, while the Trillium Party of Ontario lost their only seat held during the 41st Parliament of Ontario.
Background
Redistribution of seats
The Electoral Boundaries Act, 2015, which received royal assent on December 3, 2015, increased the number of electoral districts from 107 to 122, following the boundaries set out by the federal 2013 Representation Order for Ontario, while preserving the special boundaries of the 11 seats in Northern Ontario set out in the 1996 redistribution.
The Far North Electoral Boundaries Commission, appointed in 2016, recommended the creation of the additional districts of Kiiwetinoong and Mushkegowuk—James Bay, carved out from the existing Kenora—Rainy River and Timmins—James Bay ridings, which accordingly raised the total number of seats to 124. This was implemented through the Representation Statute Law Amendment Act, 2017.
The new districts have been criticized as undemocratic, as they have a population of around 30,000 people compared with over 120,000 people in some southern Ontario constituencies. National Post columnist Josh Dehaas suggested that the small population sizes of the ridings might violate the Canadian Charter of Rights and Freedoms.
In September 2017, a research firm analyzed the impact of redistribution if the boundaries had been in effect for the previous election:
Party | Size of lead | Totals | ||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
> 20 pp | 10-20 pp | < 10 pp vs Liberal | < 10 pp vs PC | < 10 pp vs NDP | 3-way race | |||
Liberal | 26 | 24 | – | 8 | 4 | 7 | 69 | |
Progressive Conservative | 9 | 8 | 13 | – | 1 | 1 | 32 | |
New Democratic | 14 | 4 | 4 | – | – | 1 | 23 | |
Totals | 49 | 36 | 17 | 8 | 5 | 9 | 124 |
- less than a 10 pp lead, but 3rd place is within 15 pp of 1st place
Change of fixed election date
Under legislation passed in 2005, Ontario elections were to be held on "the first Thursday in October in the fourth calendar year following polling day in the most recent general election", subject to the Lieutenant-Governor of Ontario's power to call an election earlier. As the current government had a majority, the passage of a non-confidence motion was not a likely option for calling an early election, though Premier Kathleen Wynne stated in June 2015 that she would likely advise to dissolve the Legislature in spring 2018 rather than in October of that year in order to avoid any conflict with municipal elections and take advantage of better weather and longer days.
To put this on a statutory footing, in October 2016 Attorney General of Ontario Yasir Naqvi introduced a bill in the Legislative Assembly which, in part, included moving the election date to "the first Thursday in June in the fourth calendar year following polling day in the most recent general election", and it came into effect in December 2016.
Candidate nominations
In February 2018, the PC leadership overturned the nomination of candidates Karma Macgregor in Ottawa West—Nepean and Thenusha Parani in Scarborough Centre because of irregularities and allegations of ballot stuffing at their nomination meetings. Both candidates denied these claims. The nomination meetings were reorganized, and both candidates lost the nomination at those meetings. However, the PC leadership decided not to overturn the nomination meeting's result in Hamilton West—Ancaster—Dundas, where a similar situation took place, because of an ongoing police investigation on this situation.
In March 2018, the NDP nominated Lyra Evans as their candidate in Ottawa-Vanier. Evans is the first openly transgender candidate nominated by a major party to run in an Ontario general election.
Prelude to campaign
The Ontario Liberal Party attempted to win their fifth consecutive general election, dating back to 2003. The Progressive Conservative Party of Ontario won their first election since 1999, and the Ontario New Democratic Party attempted to win their second election (having previously won in 1990). Numerous other extra-parliamentary political parties also vied for votes.
The Liberals under Kathleen Wynne headed into the 2018 campaign trailing far behind the Progressive Conservatives, led by former Toronto City Councillor Doug Ford. In early April, the CBC published their analysis of aggregate polls showing that Ford and the Progressive Conservatives were ahead of the other parties averaging 42.1% support, compared to 27.2% for the governing Liberals, 23.4% for the NDP and 5.7% for the Greens and with 11 Liberal MPPs announcing they would not be running for re-election or having already resigned their seats in the months leading up to the election.
According to Wynne, voters were offered a "stark choice", between "cutting and removing supports from people" with "billions in cuts", which she alleged the Progressive Conservatives would do if they won the election, and expanding investments in social programs such as prescription drugs and childcare, which the Liberal platform promised.
In March 2018, the Liberals tabled a pre-election budget in the provincial legislature which promised billions of dollars in new spending for free childcare and expanded coverage for dental care but replaced the government's previous balanced budget with a $6.7 billion deficit projected to last until 2024–2025. PC leader Doug Ford called the budget a "spending spree".
Results
Party | Party leader | Candidates | Seats | Popular vote | ||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2014 | Dissol. | 2018 | Change | # | % | Change | ||||
Progressive Conservative | Doug Ford | 124 | 28 | 27 | 76 | +49 | 2,324,742 | 40.50% | +9.25 | |
New Democratic | Andrea Horwath | 124 | 21 | 18 | 40 | +22 | 1,926,512 | 33.56% | +9.81 | |
Liberal | Kathleen Wynne | 124 | 58 | 55 | 7 | -48 | 1,124,381 | 19.59% | -19.06 | |
Green | Mike Schreiner | 124 | - | - | 1 | +1 | 264,094 | 4.60% | -0.24 | |
Libertarian | Allen Small | 117 | - | - | - | - | 42,928 | 0.75% | -0.06 | |
None of the Above | Greg Vezina | 42 | - | - | - | - | 16,191 | 0.28% | +0.19 | |
Trillium | Bob Yaciuk | 26 | - | 1 | 0 | -1 | 8,186 | 0.14% | +0.13 | |
Northern Ontario | Trevor Holliday | 10 | - | - | - | - | 5,804 | 0.10% | +0.08 | |
Consensus Ontario | Brad Harness | 10 | - | - | - | - | 2,684 | 0.05% | +0.05 | |
Freedom | Paul McKeever | 14 | - | - | - | - | 2,567 | 0.04% | -0.22 | |
Ontario Party | Jason Tysick | 5 | - | - | - | - | 2,310 | 0.04% | +0.04 | |
Moderate | Yuri Duboisky | 16 | - | - | - | - | 2,194 | 0.04% | +0.03 | |
Communist | Dave McKee | 12 | - | - | - | - | 1,471 | 0.03% | -0.02 | |
Canadians' Choice Party | Bahman Yazdanfar | 5 | - | - | - | - | 1,234 | 0.02% | -0.01 | |
Stop the New Sex-Ed Agenda | Queenie Yu | 3 | - | - | - | - | 1,078 | 0.02% | +0.02 | |
Ontario Alliance | William Cook | 4 | - | - | - | - | 804 | 0.01% | +0.01 | |
New People's Choice Party | Daryl Christoff | 3 | - | - | - | - | 633 | 0.01% | +0.01 | |
Special Needs | Hilton Milan | 5 | - | - | - | - | 631 | 0.01% | - | |
People's Political Party | Kevin Clarke | 6 | - | - | - | - | 626 | 0.01% | -0.01 | |
Confederation of Regions | vacant | 2 | - | - | - | - | 386 | 0.01% | - | |
Stop Climate Change | Ken Ranney | 2 | - | - | - | - | 342 | 0.01% | +0.01 | |
Go Vegan | Paul Figueiras | 2 | - | - | - | - | 256 | <0.01% | - | |
Social Reform Party | Abu Alam | 2 | - | - | - | - | 238 | <0.01% | - | |
Cultural Action Party | Arthur Smitherman | 3 | - | - | - | - | 215 | <0.01% | - | |
Party of Objective Truth | Derrick Matthews | 2 | - | - | - | - | 212 | <0.01% | - | |
Multicultural Party of Ontario | Wasyl Luczkiw | 2 | - | - | - | - | 191 | <0.01% | - | |
Canadian Economic Party | Patrick Knight | 2 | - | - | - | - | 151 | <0.01% | - | |
Pauper | John Turmel | 2 | - | - | - | - | 111 | <0.01% | - | |
Independents and no affiliation | 32 | - | 2 | 0 | -2 | 8,662 | 0.15% | +0.07 | ||
Vacant | 4 | |||||||||
Total | 825 | 107 | 107 | 124 |
Events leading up to the election (2014–2018)
Seat changes
Party | 2014 | Gain/(loss) due to | 2018 | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Resignation | By-election hold | By-election gain | Expulsion | ||||
Liberal | 58 | -5 | 1 | 1 | 55 | ||
Progressive Conservative | 28 | -3 | 3 | 2 | -3 | 27 | |
New Democratic | 21 | -3 | 18 | ||||
Trillium | – | 1 | 1 | ||||
Independent | – | 2 | 2 | ||||
Vacant | – | 4 | 4 | ||||
Total | 107 | (7) | 4 | 3 | – | 107 |
Seat | Before | Change | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Date | Member | Party | Reason | Date | Member | Party | |
Sudbury | November 20, 2014 | Joe Cimino | █ New Democratic | Resignation | February 5, 2015 | Glenn Thibeault | █ Liberal |
Simcoe North | August 1, 2015 | Garfield Dunlop | █ PC | Resignation | September 3, 2015 | Patrick Brown | █ PC |
Whitby—Oshawa | August 28, 2015 | Christine Elliott | █ PC | Resignation | February 11, 2016 | Lorne Coe | █ PC |
Scarborough—Rouge River | March 22, 2016 | Bas Balkissoon | █ Liberal | Resignation | September 1, 2016 | Raymond Cho | █ PC |
Ottawa—Vanier | June 30, 2016 | Madeleine Meilleur | █ Liberal | Resignation | November 17, 2016 | Nathalie Des Rosiers | █ Liberal |
Niagara West—Glanbrook | September 16, 2016 | Tim Hudak | █ PC | Resignation | November 17, 2016 | Sam Oosterhoff | █ PC |
Sault Ste. Marie | December 31, 2016 | David Orazietti | █ Liberal | Resignation | June 1, 2017 | Ross Romano | █ PC |
Carleton—Mississippi Mills | May 28, 2017 | Jack MacLaren | █ PC | Expulsion | █ Trillium | ||
Toronto Centre | September 1, 2017 | Glen Murray | █ Liberal | Resignation | █ Vacant | ||
Bramalea—Gore—Malton | October 20, 2017 | Jagmeet Singh | █ New Democratic | Resignation | █ Vacant | ||
Parkdale—High Park | December 31, 2017 | Cheri DiNovo | █ New Democratic | Resignation | █ Vacant | ||
Simcoe North | February 16, 2018 | Patrick Brown | █ PC | Expulsion | █ Independent | ||
St. Paul's | February 26, 2018 | Eric Hoskins | █ Liberal | Resignation | █ Vacant | ||
Kitchener-Conestoga | April 9, 2018 | Michael Harris | █ PC | Expulsion | █ Independent |
Other developments
Date | |
---|---|
June 12, 2014 | The Liberal Party under Kathleen Wynne wins a majority government in the 41st Ontario general election. Progressive Conservative leader Tim Hudak announces his intention to step down following the selection of his successor. |
July 2, 2014 | Tim Hudak resigns as leader of the Progressive Conservatives. Simcoe—Grey MPP Jim Wilson is named interim leader. |
July 24, 2014 | The Liberals pass their May 1 budget in its final reading. |
May 9, 2015 | Patrick Brown, the Conservative federal MP for Barrie, is elected leader of the Progressive Conservative Party. |
September 24, 2015 | Ontario Provincial Police lay charges in relation to the Sudbury by-election scandal. |
November 1, 2016 | Ontario Provincial Police announce charges under the provincial act against Gerry Lougheed and Patricia Sorbara (CEO and director of the 2018 Liberal campaign) for alleged bribery during a 2015 byelection. Sorbara announced that she will step down from the campaign. |
January 24, 2018 | CTV News reports that Progressive Conservative Party leader Patrick Brown is accused by two women of committing sexual misconduct. Brown denies the allegations. |
January 25, 2018 | Patrick Brown resigns as leader of the Progressive Conservative Party. |
January 26, 2018 | Progressive Conservative Party caucus chooses Nipissing MPP Vic Fedeli as interim leader. |
March 10, 2018 | Doug Ford is elected leader of the Progressive Conservatives on the third ballot of the party's leadership election. Fedeli continues as Leader of the Opposition for legislative purposes until the election due to Ford not having a seat in the Legislature. |
April 11, 2018 | First Leaders Debate hosted by the Jamaican Canadian Association. Andrea Horwath, Mike Schreiner, and Premier Kathleen Wynne were in attendance. Doug Ford chose not to attend. |
April 16, 2018 | The Ontario NDP release their full election platform. |
May 7, 2018 | First televised debate hosted by CityNews: Toronto-focused debate with Ford, Horwath and Wynne |
May 9, 2018 | Electoral Writ issued. |
May 11, 2018 | Leaders' debate in Parry Sound. |
May 17, 2018 | Candidate nominations close at 2 PM local time. |
May 26, 2018 | Advance voting starts at voting locations and returning offices. |
May 27, 2018 | Second televised debate, moderated by Steve Paikin and Farah Nasser, held at the Canadian Broadcasting Centre in Toronto and aired on CBC, CTV, Global, TVO, CPAC, CHCH and other outlets. Attended by Wynne, Ford, and Horwath. |
May 30, 2018 | Advance voting ends at advance voting locations. |
June 1, 2018 | Advance voting ends at returning offices. |
June 2, 2018 | Premier Wynne concedes that the Liberals will not win the election. |
June 6, 2018 | Special ballot voting at returning office or through home visit ends at 6:00 PM EST. |
June 7, 2018 | Election day. Fixed-date of the 2018 provincial election. |
Campaign period
Issues
Issue | Liberal | PC | NDP |
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Spending |
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Taxation |
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Education |
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Child care |
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Transit and infrastructure |
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Hydro |
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Environment |
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Party slogans
Party | English | French | Translation of French (unofficial) |
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█ Liberal | ”Care over cuts” | ||
█ PC | "For the People" | ||
█ New Democratic | "Change for the better" | "Changeons pour le mieux" | Let's change for the better |
█ Green | "People Powered Change" | ||
█ Libertarian | "The Party of Choice" |
Incumbents not running for reelection
Electoral District | Incumbent at dissolution and subsequent nominee | New MPP | |||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Brant (now Brantford-Brant) | Dave Levac | Ruby Toor | Will Bouma | ||
Glengarry—Prescott—Russell | Grant Crack | Pierre Leroux | Amanda Simard | ||
Guelph | Liz Sandals | Sly Castaldi | Mike Schreiner | ||
Kenora—Rainy River | Sarah Campbell | Glen Archer | Greg Rickford | ||
Kitchener-Conestoga | Michael Harris | – | Mike Harris Jr. | ||
London North Centre | Deb Matthews | Kate Graham | Terence Kernaghan | ||
Markham-Unionville | Michael Chan | Amanda Yeung Collucci | Billy Pang | ||
Mississauga—Erindale | Harinder Takhar | Riding to be dissolved | |||
Pickering-Scarborough East | Tracy MacCharles | Riding to be dissolved | |||
Scarborough Centre | Brad Duguid | Mazhar Shafiq | Christina Mitas | ||
Simcoe North | Patrick Brown | – | Jill Dunlop | ||
Welland (now Niagara Centre) | Cindy Forster | Jeff Burch | Jeff Burch | ||
York Centre | Monte Kwinter | Ramon Estaris | Roman Baber | ||
York—Simcoe | Julia Munro | Caroline Mulroney | Caroline Mulroney | ||
York West (now Humber River—Black Creek) | Mario Sergio | Deanna Sgro | Tom Rakocevic |
Mood of the voters
According to Toronto Star columnist Susan Delacourt, voters were motivated by a desire for change—such desire being more driven by emotion than by ideology—and one researcher estimated that more than half of the electorate was undecided in who they were likely to vote for. The Huffington Post reported that half of voters were basing their vote intentions on how best to block the party they oppose.
Endorsements
Type | Liberal | PC | NDP | Green | No endorsement |
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Media |
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Politicians and public figures |
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Unions and business associations |
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Candidates by region
◊ = Not seeking re-election
‡ = Running for re-election in different riding
Source: Elections Ontario
Bolded candidates represent party leaders
- Abbreviations used in these tables: All.: Ontario Alliance; CAP: Cultural Action Party of Ontario; CCP: Canadians' Choice Party; Comm.: Communist Party of Canada (Ontario); CO: Consensus Ontario; CoR: Confederation of Regions Party of Ontario; FPO: Freedom Party of Ontario; Mod.: Ontario Moderate Party; N.Ont: Northern Ontario Party; NOTA: None of the Above Direct Democracy Party; NPCP: New People's Choice Party; Ont.: Ontario Party; P: The People's Political Party; PSN: Party for People with Special Needs; SCC: Stop Climate Change; SNSA: Stop the New Sex-Ed Agenda; T: Trillium Party of Ontario
East
Ottawa
Electoral district | Candidates | Incumbent | ||||||||||||||
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Liberal | PC | NDP | Green | Libertarian | NOTA | Others | ||||||||||
Carleton | Theresa Qadri | Goldie Ghamari | Courtney Potter | Gordan Kubanek | Jean-Serge Brisson | Evan Nightingale | Mark Dickson (Ind.) Kevin Harris (CAP) Jay Tysick (Ont.) |
New District | ||||||||
Kanata—Carleton | Stephanie Maghnam | Merrilee Fullerton | John Hansen | Andrew West | Peter D'Entremont | Robert LeBrun | Jack MacLaren (T) | Jack MacLaren Carleton—Mississippi Mills | ||||||||
Nepean | Lovina Srivastava | Lisa MacLeod | Zaff Ansari | James O'Grady | Mark Snow | Raphael Louis | Derrick Matthews (POT) | Lisa MacLeod Nepean—Carleton | ||||||||
Orléans | Marie-France Lalonde | Cameron Montgomery | Barbara Zarboni | Nicholas Lapierre | Gerald Bourdeau | Samuel Schwisberg (Ind.) | Marie-France Lalonde Ottawa—Orléans | |||||||||
Ottawa Centre | Yasir Naqvi | Colleen McCleery | Joel Harden | Cherie Wong | Bruce Faulkner | Marc Adornato | Stuart Ryan (Comm.) James Sears (CCP) |
Yasir Naqvi | ||||||||
Ottawa South | John Fraser | Karin Howard | Eleanor Fast | Les Schram | Robert Daigneault | Larry Wasslen (Comm.) | John Fraser | |||||||||
Ottawa—Vanier | Nathalie Des Rosiers | Fadi Nemr | Lyra Evans | Sheilagh McLean | Ken Lewis | Keegan Bennett | David McGruer (FPO) | Nathalie Des Rosiers | ||||||||
Ottawa West—Nepean | Bob Chiarelli | Jeremy Roberts | Chandra Pasma | Pat Freel | Nicholas Paliga | Colin Pritchard | Bob Chiarelli |
Eastern Ontario
Electoral district | Candidates | Incumbent | ||||||||||||
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Liberal | PC | NDP | Green | Libertarian | Other | |||||||||
Bay of Quinte | Robert Quaiff | Todd Smith | Joanne Bélanger | Mark Daye | Cindy Davidson | Paul Bordonaro (Ind.) James Engelsman (T) |
Todd Smith Prince Edward—Hastings | |||||||
Glengarry—Prescott—Russell | Pierre Leroux | Amanda Simard | Bonnie Jean-Louis | Daniel Reid | Darcy Donnelly | Joël Charbonneau (Ont.) | Grant Crack ◊ | |||||||
Hastings—Lennox and Addington | Tim Rigby | Daryl Kramp | Nate Smelle | Sari Watson | Greg Scholfield | Lonnie Herrington (T) | New District | |||||||
Kingston and the Islands | Sophie Kiwala | Gary Bennett | Ian Arthur | Robert Kiley | Heather Cunningham | Andre Imbeault (T) | Sophie Kiwala | |||||||
Lanark—Frontenac—Kingston | Amanda Pulker-Mok | Randy Hillier | Ramsey Hart | Anita Payne | Steve Gebhardt | John McEwen (Ind.) | Randy Hillier Lanark—Frontenac—Lennox and Addington | |||||||
Leeds—Grenville—Thousand Islands and Rideau Lakes | David Henderson | Steve Clark | Michelle Taylor | Derek Morley | Bill Buckley | Steve Clark Leeds—Grenville | ||||||||
Renfrew—Nipissing—Pembroke | Jackie Agnew | John Yakabuski | Ethel LaValley | Anna Dolan | Jesse Wood | Murray Reid (CoR) | John Yakabuski | |||||||
Stormont—Dundas—South Glengarry | Heather Megill | Jim McDonell | Marc Benoit | Elaine Kennedy | Sabile Trimm | Jim McDonell |
Central Ontario
Electoral district | Candidates | Incumbent | ||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Liberal | PC | NDP | Green | Libertarian | Other | |||||||||
Barrie—Innisfil | Ann Hoggarth | Andrea Khanjin | Pekka Reinio | Bonnie North | Brett Dorion | Alexander Ryzhykh(Mod.) Stacey Surkova (T) Jake Tucker (CCP) |
Ann Hoggarth Barrie | |||||||
Barrie—Springwater—Oro-Medonte | Jeff Kerk | Doug Downey | Dan Janssen | Keenan Aylwin | Mark Mitchell | Ram Faerber (Ind.) Darren Roskam (NOTA) Michael Tuck (Ind.) |
New District | |||||||
Bruce—Grey—Owen Sound | Francesca Dobbyn | Bill Walker | Karen Gventer | Don Marshall | Jay Miller | Janice Kaikkonen (CO) Enos Martin (All.) Liz Marshall (T) |
Bill Walker | |||||||
Dufferin—Caledon | Bob Gordanier | Sylvia Jones | Andrea Mullarkey | Laura Campbell | Jeff Harris | Stephen McKendrick (CO) Andrew Nowell (T) |
Sylvia Jones | |||||||
Haliburton—Kawartha Lakes—Brock | Brooklynne Cramp-Waldinsperger | Laurie Scott | Zac Miller | Lynn Therien | Gene Balfour | Chuck MacMillan (CO) Thomas Rhyno (NOTA) |
Laurie Scott | |||||||
Northumberland—Peterborough South | Lou Rinaldi | David Piccini | Jana Papuckoski | Jeff Wheeldon | John O'Keefe | Paul Cragg (SCC) Derek Sharp (T) |
Lou Rinaldi Northumberland—Quinte West | |||||||
Peterborough—Kawartha | Jeff Leal | Dave Smith | Sean Conway | Gianne Broughton | Jacob Currier | Ken Ranney (SCC) Robert Roddick (T) |
Jeff Leal Peterborough | |||||||
Simcoe—Grey | Dan Hambly | Jim Wilson | David Matthews | Jesseca Perry | John Wright | Jim Wilson | ||||||||
Simcoe North | Gerry Marshall | Jill Dunlop | Elizabeth Van Houtte | Valerie Powell | Cynthia Sneath | Patrick Brown ◊ | ||||||||
York—Simcoe | Loralea Carruthers | Caroline Mulroney | Dave Szollosy | Alexandra Zalucky | Ioan Silviu Druma-Strugariu | Franco Colavecchia (Mod.) | Julia Munro ◊ |
905 Belt
Durham and York
Electoral district | Candidates | Incumbent | ||||||||||||
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Liberal | PC | NDP | Green | Libertarian | Other | |||||||||
Ajax | Joe Dickson | Rod Phillips | Monique Hughes | Stephen Leahy | Marsha Haynes | Kevin Brackley (Ind.) Frank Lopez (NOTA) |
Joe Dickson Ajax—Pickering | |||||||
Aurora—Oak Ridges—Richmond Hill | Naheed Yaqubian | Michael Parsa | Katrina Sale | Stephanie Duncan | Serge Korovitsyn | Abu Alam (SRP) Margarita Barsky (Mod.) Jenusz Butylkin (FPO) Santiago DeSilva (NOTA) |
New District | |||||||
Durham | Granville Anderson | Lindsey Park | Joel Usher | Michelle Corbett | Ryan Robinson | Granville Anderson | ||||||||
King—Vaughan | Marilyn Iafrate | Stephen Lecce | Andrea Beal | Greg Locke | Yan Simkin | Tatiana Babitch (Mod.) Roman Evtukh (T) |
New District | |||||||
Markham—Stouffville | Helena Jaczek | Paul Calandra | Kingsley Kwok | Jose Etcheverry | Paul Balfour | Yuri Duboisky (Mod.) | Helena Jaczek Oak Ridges—Markham | |||||||
Markham—Thornhill | Juanita Nathan | Logan Kanapathi | Cindy Hackelberg | Caryn Bergmann | David Nadler | Jeff Kuah (Ind.) | New District | |||||||
Markham—Unionville | Amanda Yeung Collucci | Billy Pang | Sylvie David | Deborah Moolman | Allen Small | Anastasia Afonina (Mod.) | Michael Chan ◊ | |||||||
Newmarket—Aurora | Chris Ballard | Christine Elliott | Melissa Williams | Michelle Bourdeau | Lori Robbins | Dorian Baxter (Ind.) Denis Gorlynskiy (Mod.) Denis Van Decker (NOTA) Bob Yaciuk (T) |
Chris Ballard | |||||||
Oshawa | Makini Smith | Bob Chapman | Jennifer French | Deborah Ellis | Jeanne Gory | Cheryl Kelly (NOTA) | Jennifer French | |||||||
Pickering—Uxbridge | Ibrahim Daniyal | Peter Bethlenfalvy | Nerissa Cariño | Adam Narraway | Brendan Reilly | Netalia Duboisky (Mod.) Michelle Francis (N/A) William Myers (Ind.) Eric Sivadas (Ind.) |
Tracy MacCharles ◊ Pickering—Scarborough East | |||||||
Richmond Hill | Reza Moridi | Daisy Wai | Marco Coletta | Walter Bauer | Igor Bily | Reza Moridi | ||||||||
Thornhill | Sabi Ahsan | Gila Martow | Ezra Tanen | Rachel Dokhoian | Mike Holmes | Aleksei Polyakov (Mod.) Above Znoneofthe (NOTA) |
Gila Martow | |||||||
Vaughan—Woodbridge | Steven Del Duca | Michael Tibollo | Sandra Lozano | Michael DiPasquale | Paolo Fabrizio | Steven Del Duca Vaughan | ||||||||
Whitby | Leisa Washington | Lorne Coe | Niki Lundquist | Stacey Leadbetter | Ronad Halabi | Doug Thom (FPO) | Lorne Coe Whitby—Oshawa |
Peel
Electoral district | Candidates | Incumbent | ||||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Liberal | PC | NDP | Green | Libertarian | NOTA | Other | ||||||||||
Brampton Centre | Safdar Hussain | Harjit Jaswal | Sara Singh | Laila Zarrabi Yan | Andrew Hosie | Mehdi Pakzad | Bill Oprel (T) | New District | ||||||||
Brampton East | Parminder Singh | Sudeep Verma | Gurratan Singh | Raquel Fronte | Daniele Cerasoli | Gurdeep Dhothar (T) | Vacant Bramalea—Gore—Malton | |||||||||
Brampton North | Harinder Malhi | Ripudaman Dhillon | Kevin Yarde | Pauline Thornham | Gregory Argue | Harinder Malhi Brampton—Springdale | ||||||||||
Brampton South | Sukhwant Thethi | Prabmeet Sarkaria | Paramjit Gill | Lindsay Falt | Brian Watson | John Grant (T) Ted Harlson (FPO) |
New District | |||||||||
Brampton West | Vic Dhillon | Amarjot Sandhu | Jagroop Singh | Julie Guillemet-Ackerman | David Shaw | Surjit Sahota (Comm.) | Vic Dhillon | |||||||||
Mississauga Centre | Bobbie Daid | Natalia Kusendova | Laura Kaminker | Noah Gould | Farouk Giga | Viktor Chornopyskyy (Mod.) Alex Pacis (SNSEA) |
New District | |||||||||
Mississauga East—Cooksville | Dipika Damerla | Kaleed Rasheed | Tom Takacs | Basia Krzyzanowski | Mark Donaldson | Leonard Little | Mykola Ponomarenko (Mod.) | Dipika Damerla | ||||||||
Mississauga—Erin Mills | Imran Mian | Sheref Sabawy | Farina Hassan | Libby Yuill | Pieter Liem | Grzegorz Nowacki | Ben Skura (FPO) | Harinder Takhar ◊ Mississauga—Erindale | ||||||||
Mississauga—Lakeshore | Charles Sousa | Rudy Cuzzetto | Boris Rosolak | Lloyd Jones | Jay Ward | Kenny Robinson | Felicia Trigiani (Vegan) | Charles Sousa Mississauga South | ||||||||
Mississauga—Malton | Amrit Mangat | Deepak Anand | Nikki Clarke | Eryn Sylvester | Michelle Ciupka | Alex Vezina | Caroline Roach (Ind.) | Amrit Mangat Mississauga—Brampton South | ||||||||
Mississauga—Streetsville | Bob Delaney | Nina Tangri | Jacqueline Gujarati | Abhijeet Manay | Richard Levesque | Greg Vezina | Bob Delaney |
Toronto
Scarborough
Electoral district | Candidates | Incumbent | ||||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Liberal | PC | NDP | Green | Libertarian | Trillium | Other | ||||||||||
Scarborough—Agincourt | Soo Wong | Aris Babikian | Tasleem Riaz | Lydia West | Mark Sinclair | Carlos Lacuna | Rubina Ansary (Mod.) Jude Coutinho (Ind.) Badih Rawdah (P) |
Soo Wong | ||||||||
Scarborough Centre | Mazhar Shafiq | Christina Mitas | Zeyd Bismilla | Sanjin Zeco | Matthew Dougherty | Chris Mellor | Brad Duguid ◊ | |||||||||
Scarborough—Guildwood | Mitzie Hunter | Roshan Nallaratnam | Tom Packwood | Linda Rice | Hamid-Reza Dehnad-Tabatabaei | George Garvida | Heather Dunbar (P) Benjamin Mbaegbu (N/A) Wanda Ryan (PSN) |
Mitzie Hunter | ||||||||
Scarborough North | Chin Lee | Raymond Cho | Dwayne Morgan | Nicole Peltier | Sean Morgan | Raymond Cho Scarborough—Rouge River | ||||||||||
Scarborough—Rouge Park | Sumi Shan | Vijay Thanigasalam | Felicia Samuel | Priyan De Silva | Todd Byers | Amit Pitamber | New District | |||||||||
Scarborough Southwest | Lorenzo Berardinetti | Gary Ellis | Doly Begum | David Del Grande | James Speirs | Bobby Turley | Allen Atkinson (NOTA) Willie Little (PSN) |
Lorenzo Berardinetti |
North York and North Toronto
Electoral district | Candidates | Incumbent | ||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Liberal | PC | NDP | Green | Libertarian | Other | |||||||||
Don Valley East | Michael Coteau | Denzil Minnan-Wong | Khalid Ahmed | Mark Wong | Justin Robinson | Wayne Simmons (FPO) | Michael Coteau | |||||||
Don Valley North | Shelley Carroll | Vincent Ke | Akil Sadikali | Janelle Yanishewski | Sarah Matthews | Alexander Verstraten (NOTA) | New District | |||||||
Don Valley West | Kathleen Wynne | Jon Kieran | Amara Possian | Morgan Bailey | John Kittredge | Patrick Knight (CEP) | Kathleen Wynne | |||||||
Eglinton—Lawrence | Michael Colle | Robin Martin | Robyn Vilde | Reuben DeBoer | Michael Staffieri | Lionel Poizner (T) | Michael Colle | |||||||
Willowdale | David Zimmer | Stan Cho | Saman Tabasinejad | Randi Ramdeen | Catherine MacDonald-Robertson | Birinder Ahluwalia (Ind.) | David Zimmer | |||||||
York Centre | Ramon Estaris | Roman Baber | Andrea Vásquez Jiménez | Roma Lyon | Benjamin Kamminga | Cherie Ann Day (NOTA) Alexander Leonov (Mod.) |
Monte Kwinter ◊ |
Toronto and East York
Electoral district | Candidates | Incumbent | ||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Liberal | PC | NDP | Green | Libertarian | Other | |||||||||
Beaches—East York | Arthur Potts | Sarah Mallo | Rima Berns-McGown | Debra Scott | Thomas Armstrong | Andrew Balodis (Ind.) Eric Brazau (CAP) Tony Chipman (P) Regina Mundrugo (PSN) Joe Ring (NOTA) Bahman Yazdanfar (CCP) |
Arthur Potts | |||||||
Davenport | Cristina Martins | Federico Sanchez | Marit Stiles | Kirsten Snider | Nunzio Venuto | Franz Cauchi (FPO) Chai Kalevar (N/A) Dave McKee (Comm.) Troy J. Young (P) |
Cristina Martins | |||||||
Parkdale—High Park | Nadia Guerrera | Adam Pham | Bhutila Karpoche | Halyna Zalucky | Matthias Nunno | Jay Watts (Comm.) | Vacant | |||||||
Spadina—Fort York | Han Dong | Iris Yu | Chris Glover | Rita Bilerman | Erik Malmholt | Adam Nobody (NOTA) Queenie Yu (SNSA) |
Han Dong Trinity—Spadina | |||||||
Toronto Centre | David Morris | Meredith Cartwright | Suze Morrison | Adam Sommerfeld | Judi Falardeau | Kevin Clarke (P) Wanda Fountain (CEP) Cameron James (NPCP) Dan King (PSN) Theresa Snell (SNSA) |
Vacant | |||||||
Toronto—Danforth | Li Koo | Patricia Kalligosfyris | Peter Tabuns | Andrew Trotter | Paul Layton | Ivan Byard (Comm.) John Kladitis (Ind.) John Richardson (Ind.) |
Peter Tabuns | |||||||
Toronto—St. Paul's | Jess Spindler | Andrew Kirsch | Jill Andrew | Teresa Pun | Jekiah Dunavant | Marina Doshchitsina (Mod.) | Vacant St. Paul's | |||||||
University—Rosedale | Jo-Ann Davis | Gillian Smith | Jessica Bell | Tim Grant | Ryan Swim | Daryl Christoff (NPCP) Paulo Figueiras (Vegan) Doug MacLeod (Ind.) Hilton Milan (PSN) |
New District |
Etobicoke and York
Electoral district | Candidates | Incumbent | ||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Liberal | PC | NDP | Green | Libertarian | Other | |||||||||
Etobicoke Centre | Yvan Baker | Kinga Surma | Erica Kelly | Shawn Rizvi | Basil Mummery | Paul Fromm (CCP) Wallace Richards (Ind.) |
Yvan Baker | |||||||
Etobicoke—Lakeshore | Peter Milczyn | Christine Hogarth | Phil Trotter | Chris Caldwell | Mark Wrzesniewski | Ian Lytvyn (Mod.) | Peter Milczyn | |||||||
Etobicoke North | Shafiq Qaadri | Doug Ford | Mahamud Amin | Nancy Kaur Ghuman | Brianne Lefebvre | Shafiq Qaadri | ||||||||
Humber River—Black Creek | Deanna Sgro | Cyma Musarat | Tom Rakocevic | Kirsten Bennett | Jennifer Ochoa | Scott Aitchison (CO) Lucy Guerrero (T) |
Mario Sergio ◊ York West | |||||||
York South—Weston | Laura Albanese | Mark DeMontis | Faisal Hassan | Grad Murray | Bonnie Hu | Laura Albanese |
Hamilton, Halton and Niagara
Electoral district | Candidates | Incumbent | ||||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Liberal | PC | NDP | Green | Libertarian | NOTA | Other | ||||||||||
Burlington | Eleanor McMahon | Jane McKenna | Andrew Drummond | Vince Fiorito | Jim Gilchrist | Nadine Bentham | Peter Rusin (CO) | Eleanor McMahon | ||||||||
Flamborough—Glanbrook | Judi Partridge | Donna Skelly | Melissa McGlashan | Janet Errygers | Glenn Langton | Rudy Miller | Roman Sarachman (T) | New District | ||||||||
Hamilton Centre | Deirdre Pike | Dionne Duncan | Andrea Horwath | Jason Lopez | Robert Young | Tony Lemma | Maria Anastasiou (Ind.) Mary Ellen Campbell (Comm.) |
Andrea Horwath | ||||||||
Hamilton East—Stoney Creek | Jennifer Stebbing | Akash Grewal | Paul Miller | Brian Munroe | Allan DeRoo | Linda Chenoweth | Lucina Monroy (NPCP) | Paul Miller | ||||||||
Hamilton Mountain | Damin Starr | Esther Pauls | Monique Taylor | David Urquhart | Kristofer Maves | Scott Miller | Monique Taylor | |||||||||
Hamilton West—Ancaster—Dundas | Ted McMeekin | Ben Levitt | Sandy Shaw | Peter Ormond | Nicholas Dushko | Stephanie Davies | Jim Enos (Ind.) | Ted McMeekin Ancaster—Dundas—Flamborough—Westdale | ||||||||
Milton | Indira Naidoo-Harris | Parm Gill | Brendan Smyth | Eleanor Hayward | Benjamin Cunningham | Enam Ahmed (SRP) | Indira Naidoo-Harris Halton | |||||||||
Niagara Centre | Benoit Mercier | April Jeffs | Jeff Burch | Joe Dias | Patrick Pietruszko | Joe Crawford | Dario Smagata-Bryan (P) Steven Soos (Ind.) |
Cindy Forster ◊ Welland | ||||||||
Niagara Falls | Dean Demizio | Chuck McShane | Wayne Gates | Karen Fraser | Shaun Somers | Goran Zubic (Mod.) | Wayne Gates | |||||||||
Niagara West | Joe Kanee | Sam Oosterhoff | Curtis Fric | Jessica Tillmanns | Stefanos Karatopis | Geoffrey E. Barton (MPO) | Sam Oosterhoff Niagara West—Glanbrook | |||||||||
Oakville | Kevin Flynn | Stephen Crawford | Lesley Sprague | Emily DeSousa | Spencer Oklobdzija | Kevin Flynn | ||||||||||
Oakville North—Burlington | Alvin Tedjo | Effie Triantafilopoulos | Saima Zaidi | Marianne Workman | Charles Zach | Frank DeLuca (T) | New District | |||||||||
St. Catharines | Jim Bradley | Sandie Bellows | Jennie Stevens | Colin Ryrie | Daniel Tisi | Jim Fannon | Saleh Waziruddin (Comm.) Duke Willis (CAP) |
Jim Bradley |
Midwestern Ontario
Electoral district | Candidates | Incumbent | ||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Liberal | PC | NDP | Green | Libertarian | Other | |||||||||
Brantford—Brant | Ruby Toor | Will Bouma | Alex Felsky | Ken Burns | Rob Ferguson | Nicholas Archer (NOTA) Leslie Bory (CCP) John Turmel (Paupers) Dave Wrobel (Ont.) |
Dave Levac ◊ Brant | |||||||
Cambridge | Kathryn McGarry | Belinda Karahalios | Marjorie Knight | Michele Braniff | Allan Dettweiler | Kathryn McGarry | ||||||||
Guelph | Sly Castaldi | Ray Ferraro | Agnieszka (Aggie) Mlynarz | Mike Schreiner | Michael Riehl | Juanita Burnett (Comm.) Thomas Mooney (Ont.) Paul Taylor (NOTA) |
Liz Sandals ◊ | |||||||
Haldimand—Norfolk | Dan Matten | Toby Barrett | Danielle Du Sablon | Anne Faulkner | Christopher Rosser | Wasyl Luczkiw (MPO) Dan Preston (NOTA) Carolyn Ritchie (Paupers) Thecla Ross (FPO) |
Toby Barrett | |||||||
Huron—Bruce | Don Matheson | Lisa Thompson | Jan Johnstone | Nicholas Wendler | Ronald Stephens | Gerrie Huenemoerder (All.) | Lisa Thompson | |||||||
Kitchener Centre | Daiene Vernile | Mary Henein Thorn | Laura Mae Lindo | Stacey Danckert | Jason Erb | Chris Carr (NOTA) Martin Suter (Comm.) |
Daiene Vernile | |||||||
Kitchener—Conestoga | Joe Gowing | Mike Harris, Jr. | Kelly Dick | Bob Jonkman | Daniel Benoy | Dan Holt (CO) | Michael Harris ◊ | |||||||
Kitchener South—Hespeler | Surekha Shenoy | Amy Fee | Fitz Vanderpool | David Weber | Nathan Lajeunesse | Narine Sookram (Ind.) | New District | |||||||
Oxford | James Howard | Ernie Hardeman | Tara King | Al De Jong | Chris Swift | Tim Hodges (FPO) David Sikal (Ind.) Robert Van Ryswyck (Ont.) Noah Walsh (All.) |
Ernie Hardeman | |||||||
Perth—Wellington | Brendan Knight | Randy Pettapiece | Michael O'Brien | Lisa Olsen | Scott Marshall | Paul McKendrick (CO) Rob Smeenk (FPO) Andrew Stanton (All.) |
Randy Pettapiece | |||||||
Waterloo | Dorothy McCabe | Dan Weber | Catherine Fife | Zdravko Gunjevic | Andrew Allison | Catherine Fife Kitchener—Waterloo | ||||||||
Wellington—Halton Hills | Jon Hurst | Ted Arnott | Diane Ballantyne | Dave Rodgers | Jadon Pfeiffer | Ted Arnott |
Southwestern Ontario
Electoral district | Candidates | Incumbent | ||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Liberal | PC | NDP | Green | Libertarian | Other | |||||||||
Chatham-Kent—Leamington | Margaret Schleier Stahl | Rick Nicholls | Jordan McGrail | Mark Vercouteren | Drew Simpson (Ind.) | Rick Nicholls Chatham-Kent—Essex | ||||||||
Elgin—Middlesex—London | Carlie Forsythe | Jeff Yurek | Amanda Stratton | Bronagh Morgan | Richard Styve | Henri Barrette (POT) Dave Plumb (FPO) |
Jeff Yurek | |||||||
Essex | Kate Festeryga | Chris Lewis | Taras Natyshak | Nancy Pancheshan | Taras Natyshak | |||||||||
Lambton—Kent—Middlesex | Mike Radan | Monte McNaughton | Todd Case | Anthony Li | Brad Greulich | Brian Everaert (T) | Monte McNaughton | |||||||
London—Fanshawe | Lawvin Hadisi | Eric Weniger | Teresa Armstrong | Lisa Carriere | Henryk Szymczyszyn | Stephen Campbell (NOTA) Rob Small (FPO) |
Teresa Armstrong | |||||||
London North Centre | Kate Graham | Susan Truppe | Terence Kernaghan | Carol Dyck | Calvin McKay | Paul McKeever (FPO) Clara Sorrenti (Comm.) |
Deb Matthews ◊ | |||||||
London West | Jonathan Hughes | Andrew Lawton | Peggy Sattler | Pamela Reid | Jacques Boudreau | Brad Harness (CO) Michael Lewis (Comm.) Tracey Pringle (FPO) |
Peggy Sattler | |||||||
Sarnia—Lambton | Neil Wereley | Bob Bailey | Kathy Alexander | Kevin Shaw | Andy Bruziewicz(T) Fanina R. Kodre (N/A) Jeff Lozier (NOTA) |
Bob Bailey | ||||||||
Windsor—Tecumseh | Remy Boulbol | Mohammad Latif | Percy Hatfield | Henry Oulevey | Laura Chesnik (Ind.) | Percy Hatfield | ||||||||
Windsor West | Rino Bortolin | Adam Ibrahim | Lisa Gretzky | Krysta Glovasky-Ridsdale | Chad Durocher (NOTA) | Lisa Gretzky |
Northern Ontario
Northeastern Ontario
Electoral district | Candidates | Incumbent | ||||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Liberal | PC | NDP | Green | Libertarian | Northern Ontario | Other | ||||||||||
Algoma—Manitoulin | Charles Fox | Jib Turner | Michael Mantha | Justin Tilson | Kalena Mallon-Ferguson | Tommy Lee | Michael Mantha | |||||||||
Mushkegowuk—James Bay | Gaëtan Baillargeon | André Robichaud | Guy Bourgouin | Sarah Hutchinson | Vanda Marshall | Jacques Joseph Ouellette | Fauzia Sadiq (CoR) | New District | ||||||||
Nickel Belt | Tay Butt | Jo-Ann Cardinal | France Gélinas | Bill Crumplin | James Chretien | Matthew Del Papa | Kevin R Brault (CO) Bailey Burch-Belanger (NOTA) |
France Gélinas | ||||||||
Nipissing | Stephen Glass | Vic Fedeli | Henri Giroux | Kris Rivard | Bond Keevil | Trevor Holliday | Vic Fedeli | |||||||||
Parry Sound—Muskoka | Brenda Rhodes | Norm Miller | Erin Horvath | Matt Richter | Christopher Packer | Joshua Macdonald (NOTA) Jeff Mole (Ind.) |
Norm Miller | |||||||||
Sault Ste. Marie | Jaclynne Hamel | Ross Romano | Michele McCleave-Kennedy | Kara Flannigan | Lance Brizard | Sandy Holmberg | Ross Romano | |||||||||
Sudbury | Glenn Thibeault | Troy Crowder | Jamie West | David Robinson | James Wendler | Mila Chavez Wong (CO) David J. Popescu (Ind.) David Sylvestre (NOTA) |
Glenn Thibeault | |||||||||
Timiskaming—Cochrane | Brian Johnson | Margaret Williams | John Vanthof | Casey Lalonde | Lawrence Schnarr | Shawn Poirier | John Vanthof | |||||||||
Timmins | Mickey Auger | Yvan Genier | Gilles Bisson | Lucas Schinbeckler | Jozef Bauer | Gary Schaap | Gilles Bisson Timmins—James Bay |
Northwestern Ontario
Electoral district | Candidates | Incumbent | ||||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Liberal | PC | NDP | Green | Libertarian | Northern Ontario | Other | ||||||||||
Kenora—Rainy River | Karen Kejick | Greg Rickford | Glen Archer | Ember McKillop | Sarah Campbell ◊ | |||||||||||
Kiiwetinoong | Doug Lawrance | Clifford Bull | Sol Mamakwa | Christine Penner Polle | Kenneth Jones | New District | ||||||||||
Thunder Bay—Atikokan | Bill Mauro | Brandon Postuma | Judith Monteith-Farrell | John Northey | Dorothy Snell | David Bruno | Bill Mauro | |||||||||
Thunder Bay—Superior North | Michael Gravelle | Derek Parks | Lise Vaugeois | Amanda Moddejonge | Tony Gallo | Andy Wolff | Louise Ewen (T) | Michael Gravelle |
Opinion polls
Campaign period
Polling firm | Last date of polling |
Link | Lib | PC | NDP | Gre | Oth | Margin of error |
Sample size |
Polling method | Lead |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Forum Research | June 6, 2018 | 21 | 39 | 34 | 5 | 1 | ±3 pp | 2,178 | IVR | 5 | |
Research Co. | June 6, 2018 | HTML | 20 | 39 | 37 | 4 | 1 | ±3.8 pp | 661 | Online | 2 |
EKOS | June 6, 2018 | 18.9 | 39.1 | 35.1 | 4.5 | 2.4 | ±2.8 pp | 1,230 | IVR | 4.0 | |
Pollara | June 5, 2018 | 17 | 38 | 38 | 6 | 2 | ±3.3 pp | 906 (1/3) | Online/telephone (rolling) | 0 | |
Ipsos | June 5, 2018 | HTML | 19 | 39 | 36 | 6* | ±3.1 pp | 1,501 | Online/telephone | 3 | |
Mainstreet Research | June 4, 2018 | HTML | 20.2 | 39.0 | 34.3 | 4.9 | 1.7 | ±1.7 pp | 3,320 | IVR | 4.7 |
Leger | June 4, 2018 | HTML | 18 | 39 | 38 | 5* | N/A | 1,008 | Online | 1 | |
Pollara | June 4, 2018 | 17 | 39 | 37 | 6 | 1 | ±3.0 pp | 1,083 (1/4) | Online/telephone (rolling) | 2 | |
Pollara | June 3, 2018 | 20 | 38 | 37 | 5 | 1 | ±2.7 pp | 1,275 (1/4) | Online/telephone (rolling) | 1 | |
Forum Research | June 2, 2018 | 18 | 38 | 37 | 5 | 2 | ±3 pp | 2,349 | IVR | 1 | |
Abacus Data | June 2, 2018 | HTML | 23 | 33 | 37 | 5 | 2 | ±1.9 pp | 2,646 | Online | 4 |
Pollara | June 2, 2018 | 20 | 37 | 37 | 5 | 1 | ±2.6 pp | 1,447 | Online/telephone | 0 | |
EKOS | May 31, 2018 | 19.3 | 38.6 | 34.9 | 5.9 | 1.2 | ±3.1 pp | 990 (2/3) | IVR (rolling) | 3.7 | |
Research Co. | May 31, 2018 | HTML | 18 | 38 | 39 | 4 | 1 | ±3.7 pp | 701 | Online | 1 |
Forum Research | May 29, 2018 | 19 | 39 | 35 | 5 | 2 | ±2 pp | 2,602 | IVR | 4 | |
H+K Strategies | May 29, 2018 | HTML | 19 | 37 | 39 | 6 | ±2.5 pp | 1,500 | Online | 2 | |
EKOS | May 29, 2018 | 19.1 | 37.9 | 38.4 | 3.3 | 1.3 | ±3.2 pp | 945 | IVR | 0.5 | |
Angus Reid | May 29, 2018 | 17 | 37 | 39 | 5 | 2 | ±3.5 pp | 773 | Online | 2 | |
Innovative Research | May 29, 2018 | 22 | 34 | 36 | 6 | 2 | N/A | 958 | Online | 2 | |
Innovative Research | May 29, 2018 | 21 | 34 | 37 | 6 | 1 | ±4.0 pp | 611 | Telephone | 3 | |
Pollara | May 28, 2018 | 17 | 32 | 43 | 5 | 2 | ±3.5 pp | 800 | Online | 11 | |
Media consortium leaders' debate in Toronto (May 27, 2018) | |||||||||||
Mainstreet Research | May 27, 2018 | HTML | 16.0 | 37.9 | 39.3 | 4.5 | 2.4 | ±2.39 pp | 1,682 | IVR | 1.4 |
Ipsos | May 27, 2018 | HTML | 22 | 37 | 34 | 7* | ±3.2 pp | 1,241 | Online/telephone | 3 | |
Abacus Data | May 26, 2018 | HTML | 23 | 33 | 37 | 4 | 2 | ±3.5 pp | 800 | Online | 4 |
EKOS | May 24, 2018 | 20.4 | 34.9 | 35.6 | 7.0 | 2.1 | ±3.1 pp | 1,021 | IVR | 0.7 | |
Forum Research | May 23, 2018 | 14 | 33 | 47 | 4 | 2 | ±3 pp | 906 | IVR | 14 | |
Innovative Research | May 23, 2018 | 26 | 36 | 31 | 6 | 1 | N/A | 1,074 | Online | 5 | |
Pollara | May 22, 2018 | HTML | 18 | 37 | 38 | 5 | 2 | ±3.3 pp | 870 | Online | 1 |
Leger | May 22, 2018 | 21 | 37 | 37 | 5* | ±3.09 pp | 1,008 | Online | 0 | ||
Ipsos | May 21, 2018 | HTML | 23 | 36 | 37 | 4* | ±3.5 pp | 1,000 | Online | 1 | |
Abacus Data | May 18, 2018 | HTML | 24 | 35 | 34 | 5 | 2 | ±1.9 pp | 2,824 | Online | 1 |
Mainstreet Research | May 18, 2018 | HTML | 22.3 | 41.9 | 29.3 | 5.0 | 1.4 | ±2.02 pp | 2,350 | IVR | 12.6 |
EKOS | May 17, 2018 | 23.3 | 39.1 | 29.8 | 5.4 | 2.3 | ±2.9 pp | 1,124 | IVR | 9.3 | |
H+K Strategies | May 15, 2018 | HTML | 23 | 38 | 32 | 7* | ±2.5 pp | 1,500 | Online | 6 | |
Ipsos | May 14, 2018 | HTML | 22 | 40 | 35 | 3* | ±3.5 pp | 1,000 | Online | 5 | |
Innovative Research | May 12, 2018 | 27 | 35 | 31 | 6 | 1 | N/A | 1,529 | Online | 4 | |
Leaders' debate in Parry Sound (May 11, 2018) | |||||||||||
Mainstreet Research | May 11, 2018 | HTML | 22.1 | 42.3 | 28.4 | 5.4 | 1.8 | ±1.95 pp | 2,534 | IVR | 13.9 |
Forum Research | May 9, 2018 | 22 | 40 | 33 | 4 | 2 | ±4 pp | 777 | IVR | 7 | |
Innovative Research | May 9, 2018 | 28 | 38 | 28 | 6 | 1 | N/A | 915 | Online | 10 | |
CityTV Toronto leaders' debate (May 7, 2018) |
Includes support for the Green Party
Best Premier and Party Leader Approval Ratings
Date | Firm | Best Premier ratings | Approval ratings | |||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Ford | Horwath | Wynne | ||||||||
Ford | Horwath | Wynne | Approve | Disapprove | Approve | Disapprove | Approve | Disapprove | ||
June 6, 2018 | Research Co. | 36% | 55% | 54% | 34% | 29% | 64% | |||
June 2, 2018 | Forum Research | 27% | 31% | 17% | 27% | 55% | 41% | 34% | 23% | 65% |
June 2, 2018 | Abacus Data | 25% | 48% | 42% | 20% | 21% | 56% | |||
May 31, 2018 | Research Co. | 23% | 28% | 15% | 33% | 56% | 52% | 34% | 27% | 64% |
May 29, 2018 | Forum Research | 29% | 30% | 16% | 30% | 53% | 40% | 32% | 23% | 65% |
May 29, 2018 | Angus Reid | 25% | 34% | 15% | ||||||
May 29, 2018 | Innovative Research | 23% | 30% | 14% | 30% | 54% | 48% | 23% | 25% | 59% |
May 26, 2018 | Abacus Data | 27% | 45% | 44% | 15% | 19% | 60% | |||
May 23, 2018 | Forum Research | 30% | 33% | 15% | 32% | 51% | 43% | 26% | 19% | 69% |
May 23, 2018 | Innovative Research | 24% | 26% | 19% | 27% | 57% | 46% | 20% | 24% | 61% |
May 22, 2018 | Leger | 23% | 28% | 12% | ||||||
May 18, 2018 | Abacus Data | 26% | 46% | 42% | 13% | 17% | 60% | |||
May 12, 2018 | Innovative Research | 24% | 26% | 16% | 31% | 52% | 44% | 17% | 21% | 62% |
May 9, 2018 | Forum Research | 34% | 49% | 42% | 25% | 20% | 71% |
Major Regional Polls - Toronto
Polling firm | Last date of polling |
Link | Lib | PC | NDP | Gre | Oth | Margin of error |
Sample size |
Polling method | Lead |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Campaign Research | May 16, 2018 | HTML | 27 | 35 | 32 | 5 | 2 | ±2.3 pp | 1,871 | Online | 3 |
Leaders' debate in Parry Sound (May 11, 2018) | |||||||||||
Mainstreet Research | May 7, 2018 | 31.1 | 36.6 | 23.1 | 5.9 | 3.4 | ±2.19 pp | 2,000 | IVR | 5.5 | |
CityTV Toronto leaders' debate (May 7, 2018) |
Pre-campaign period
Polling organisation | Last date of polling | Source | Lib | PC | NDP | Gr | Oth | Polling type | Sample size | Margin of error |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Ipsos | May 7, 2018 | HTML | 26 | 40 | 29 | - | 5 | Online/telephone | 1,197 | ±3.2% |
EKOS Research | May 6, 2018 | 24.4 | 41.1 | 25.6 | 6.5 | 2 | IVR | 2,018 | ±2.2% | |
Abacus Data | May 6, 2018 | HTML | 29 | 35 | 29 | 5 | 2 | Online | 1,755 | ±2.4% |
Nanos Research | May 6, 2018 | 28.5 | 41.1 | 24.3 | 5.9 | Telephone | 500 | ±4.4% | ||
Pollara | May 4, 2018 | HTML | 23 | 40 | 30 | 6 | 1 | Online | 1,010 | ±3.1% |
Leger | April 23, 2018 | HTML | 26 | 43 | 26 | - | Online | 1,000+ | ||
Nanos Research | April 22, 2018 | 30.6 | 42.2 | 21.4 | 5.3 | Telephone | 2,098 | ±2.1% | ||
Forum Research | April 18, 2018 | 21 | 46 | 27 | 4 | 2 | IVR | 1,126 | ±3% | |
Mainstreet Research | April 18, 2018 | HTML | 28.2 | 44.9 | 21.3 | 4.0 | 1.6 | IVR | 1,763 | ±2.33% |
Ipsos | April 9, 2018 | HTML | 27 | 40 | 28 | - | 5 | Online | 800 | ±4.0% |
Innovative Research | April 9, 2018 | HTML | 29.9 | 42.5 | 20.7 | 6.9 | 1.1 | Online | 600 | ±4.0% |
Abacus Data | April 8, 2018 | HTML | 28 | 40 | 24 | 6 | 2 | Online | 4,177 | ±1.5% |
EKOS Research | April 5, 2018 | 29.3 | 43.0 | 20.7 | 5.2 | 1.8 | IVR | 1,067 | ±3.0% | |
Mainstreet Research | April 4, 2018 | HTML | 23.9 | 50.3 | 18.3 | 5.2 | 2.4 | IVR | 1,969 | ±2.21% |
Forum Research | March 29, 2018 | 29 | 36 | 26 | 7 | 2 | IVR | 728 | ±4% | |
Innovative Research | March 20, 2018 | 26 | 44 | 22 | 7 | 1 | Telephone | 603 | ±4.0% | |
Mainstreet Research | March 18, 2018 | HTML | 26.2 | 47.0 | 18.6 | 6.4 | 1.8 | IVR | 2,003 | ±2.23% |
Campaign Research | March 14, 2018 | HTML | 27 | 43 | 23 | 5 | 1 | Online | 1,637 | ±2.4% |
Leger | March 14, 2018 | 26 | 42 | 24 | - | 8 | Online | 1,008 | ±3.087% | |
Ipsos | March 14, 2018 | HTML | 32 | 39 | 25 | - | 3 | Online | 803 | ±4.0% |
Forum Research | March 11, 2018 | 23 | 44 | 27 | 5 | 2 | IVR | 923 | ±3% | |
10 March 2018 | Doug Ford is elected leader of the Progressive Conservative Party | |||||||||
Angus Reid | March 7, 2018 | 24 | 50 | 22 | - | 4 | Online | 807 | ±3.4% | |
DART | February 27, 2018 | 19 | 44 | 24 | - | 13 | Online | 962 | ±3.6% | |
Nanos Research | February 26, 2018 | 30.5 | 43.5 | 23.2 | 2.8 | Telephone | 502 | ±4.4% | ||
Forum Research | February 23, 2018 | 21 | 46 | 24 | 7 | 2 | IVR | 1,005 | ±3% | |
Ipsos | February 19, 2018 | HTML | 29 | 38 | 26 | - | 7 | Online | 802 | ±4.0% |
Forum Research | February 17, 2018 | 24 | 49 | 19 | 7 | 2 | IVR | 949 | ±3% | |
Campaign Research | February 11, 2018 | HTML | 28 | 43 | 20 | 8 | 1 | Online | 1,426 | ±2.5% |
Leger | January 2018 | HTML | 33 | 36 | 26 | Online | 996 | ±3.1% | ||
Innovative Research | January 29, 2018 | 32 | 36 | 21 | 9 | 2 | Online | 1,027 | ||
26 January 2018 | Vic Fedeli is appointed as interim leader of the Ontario PC Party | |||||||||
Forum Research | January 25, 2018 | 27 | 42 | 23 | 6 | 2 | IVR | 751 | ±4% | |
25 January 2018 | Patrick Brown resigns as Ontario PC leader | |||||||||
Innovative Research | January 17, 2018 | 35 | 38 | 18 | 8 | 1 | Online | 1,040 | ||
Forum Research | January 13, 2018 | 24 | 43 | 24 | 7 | 2 | IVR | 1,022 | ±3% | |
Campaign Research | January 11, 2018 | HTML | 34 | 35 | 23 | 6 | 2 | Online | 1,544 | ±2.5% |
Mainstreet Research | January 6, 2018 | 32 | 43 | 18 | 7 | IVR | 2,375 | ±2.01% | ||
Nanos Research | December 18, 2017 | 33.5 | 41.4 | 20.5 | 4.0 | Telephone | 500 | ±4.4% | ||
Ipsos | December 14, 2017 | HTML | 28 | 36 | 28 | - | 9 | Online | 829 | ±4.0% |
Campaign Research | December 6, 2017 | HTML | 35 | 34 | 22 | 7 | 2 | Online | 1,495 | ±2.5% |
Forum Research | November 30, 2017 | 24 | 40 | 26 | 8 | 2 | IVR | 861 | ±3% | |
Innovative Research | November 17, 2017 | 31 | 41 | 19 | 8 | 1 | Telephone | 607 | ±4.0% | |
Campaign Research | November 9, 2017 | HTML | 32 | 35 | 23 | 9 | 1 | Online | 1,263 | ±2.8% |
Nanos Research | October 29, 2017 | 29.2 | 38.3 | 26.0 | 6.4 | Telephone | 500 | ±4.4% | ||
Forum Research | October 25, 2017 | 24 | 45 | 22 | 7 | 2 | IVR | 946 | ±3% | |
Campaign Research | October 11, 2017 | HTML | 32 | 36 | 25 | 7 | 1 | Online | 1,347 | ±2.7% |
Forum Research | September 27, 2017 | 22 | 44 | 27 | 5 | 2 | IVR | 801 | ±3% | |
Innovative Research | September 18, 2017 | 35 | 40 | 18 | 5 | 1 | Telephone | 608 | ±4.0% | |
Campaign Research | September 11, 2017 | HTML | 33 | 38 | 23 | 6 | 0 | Online | 1,133 | ±2.9% |
Ipsos | September 11, 2017 | HTML | 32 | 39 | 22 | - | 7 | Online | 800 | ±4.0% |
Forum Research | August 24, 2017 | 25 | 40 | 27 | 6 | 2 | IVR | 981 | ±3% | |
Nanos Research | August 17, 2017 | 31.2 | 42.2 | 19.5 | 6.7 | Telephone | 500 | ±4.4% | ||
Innovative Research | July 19, 2017 | HTML | 36 | 40 | 17 | 6 | 1 | Telephone | 605 | ±4.0% |
Campaign Research | July 10, 2017 | HTML | 31 | 38 | 23 | 6 | 1 | Online | 943 | ±3% |
Innovative Research | June 27, 2017 | HTML | 35 | 39 | 20 | 5 | 1 | Telephone | 600 | ±4.0% |
Forum Research | June 14, 2017 | 23 | 44 | 24 | 7 | 2 | IVR | 1,003 | ±3% | |
Campaign Research | June 12, 2017 | HTML | 30 | 38 | 24 | 7 | 1 | Online | 1,118 | ±3% |
Mainstreet Research | May 25, 2017 | HTML | 29 | 43 | 24 | 5 | - | IVR | 2,000 | ±2.19% |
Campaign Research | May 13, 2017 | HTML | 37 | 34 | 22 | 6 | 1 | Online | 864 | ±4% |
Forum Research | May 10, 2017 | 28 | 41 | 23 | 6 | 3 | IVR | 1,103 | ±3% | |
Campaign Research | April 11, 2017 | HTML | 31 | 36 | 25 | Online | 979 | ±3% | ||
Innovative Research | April 5, 2017 | 29 | 40 | 23 | 6 | 2 | Online | 779 | ||
Forum Research | March 30, 2017 | 19 | 43 | 28 | 8 | 2 | IVR | 884 | ±3.3% | |
Mainstreet Research | March 12, 2017 | HTML | 30 | 40 | 24 | 6 | - | IVR | 2,531 | ±1.95% |
Forum Research | February 16, 2017 | 24 | 44 | 25 | 6 | 2 | IVR | 1,120 | ±3% | |
Mainstreet Research | February 12, 2017 | HTML | 29 | 39 | 27 | 4 | - | IVR | 2,524 | ±1.95% |
Campaign Research | January 29, 2017 | HTML | 28 | 50 | 15 | 5 | 2 | IVR | 676 | ±4% |
Forum Research | November 21, 2016 | 24 | 43 | 24 | 8 | 2 | IVR | 1,184 | ±3% | |
Nanos Research | November 19, 2016 | 31.9 | 39.9 | 22.2 | 5.2 | 0.8 | Telephone | 500 | ±4.4% | |
Mainstreet Research | November 2, 2016 | HTML | 25 | 43 | 27 | 6 | - | IVR | 2,524 | ±1.95% |
Forum Research | October 18, 2016 | 24 | 43 | 23 | 8 | 2 | IVR | 1,124 | ±3% | |
Innovative Research | September 24, 2016 | 33 | 38 | 20 | 8 | - | Telephone | 600 | ±4.0% | |
Ipsos | September 22, 2016 | HTML | 40 | 35 | 20 | 5 | - | Online | 800 | ±4% |
Mainstreet Research | September 18, 2016 | HTML | 28 | 43 | 23 | 6 | - | IVR | 2,562 | ±1.94% |
Forum Research | September 13, 2016 | 25 | 45 | 23 | 6 | 2 | IVR | 1,154 | ±3% | |
Ipsos | September 9, 2016 | HTML | 35 | 37 | 23 | 5 | - | Online | 800 | ±4% |
8 September 2016 | Premier Kathleen Wynne prorogues the legislature | |||||||||
Forum Research | August 15, 2016 | 28 | 41 | 23 | 6 | 2 | IVR | 1,097 | ±3% | |
Forum Research | July 12, 2016 | 35 | 42 | 17 | 5 | 2 | IVR | 1,183 | ±3% | |
Forum Research | June 21, 2016 | 30 | 40 | 21 | 8 | 2 | IVR | 1,173 | ±3% | |
Forum Research | May 31, 2016 | 30 | 40 | 21 | 7 | 2 | IVR | 1,172 | ±3% | |
Mainstreet Research | May 18, 2016 | HTML | 36 | 38 | 20 | 5 | - | IVR | 2,537 | ±1.95% |
Forum Research | April 25, 2016 | 34 | 39 | 21 | 5 | 2 | IVR | 1,157 | ±3% | |
Forum Research | March 23, 2016 | 30 | 40 | 24 | 5 | 2 | IVR | 1,225 | ±3% | |
Forum Research | February 29, 2016 | 27 | 44 | 22 | 6 | 2 | IVR | 1,148 | ±3% | |
Mainstreet Research | February 16, 2016 | HTML | 33 | 36 | 26 | 5 | - | IVR | 2,623 | ±1.91% |
Forum Research | December 20, 2015 | 31 | 34 | 26 | 7 | 2 | IVR | 1,003 | ±3% | |
Ipsos | November 9, 2015 | HTML | 44 | 31 | 20 | 4 | - | Online | 1,002 | ±3.5% |
Forum Research | November 4, 2015 | 30 | 36 | 26 | 6 | 1 | IVR | 1,158 | ±3% | |
Mainstreet Research | November 1, 2015 | HTML | 28 | 40 | 25 | 7 | - | IVR | 2,506 | ±1.96% |
Mainstreet Research | September 21, 2015 | HTML | 30 | 40 | 24 | 7 | - | IVR | 4,610 | ±1.5% |
Forum Research | August 13, 2015 | 26 | 35 | 33 | 4 | 2 | IVR | 1,001 | ±3% | |
Forum Research | July 5, 2015 | 26 | 32 | 35 | 5 | 2 | IVR | 678 | ±4% | |
Ipsos | May 20, 2015 | HTML | 34.13 | 32.37 | 25.19 | 8.31 | - | Online | 1,002 | ±3.5% |
Innovative Research | May 19, 2015 | 34 | 35 | 24 | 6 | - | Telephone | 606 | ±4.0% | |
Forum Research | May 11, 2015 | 24 | 33 | 36 | 5 | 2 | IVR | 1,001 | ±3% | |
9 May 2015 | Patrick Brown is elected leader of the Ontario PC Party | |||||||||
Forum Research | April 30, 2015 | 29 | 36 | 24 | 9 | 2 | IVR | 912 | ±3% | |
Innovative Research | April 26, 2015 | 40 | 33 | 18 | 8 | 1 | Online | 1,017 | ||
Forum Research | March 26, 2015 | 29 | 34 | 27 | 8 | 2 | IVR | 881 | ±3% | |
Environics | March 25, 2015 | HTML | 32 | 33 | 27 | 7 | - | Telephone | 989 | ±3.1% |
Forum Research | February 27, 2015 | 32 | 39 | 21 | 6 | 2 | IVR | 996 | ±3% | |
Forum Research | January 30, 2015 | 37 | 36 | 19 | 6 | 2 | IVR | 1,028 | ±3% | |
Forum Research | December 20, 2014 | 35 | 36 | 20 | 7 | 2 | IVR | 1,058 | ±3% | |
Forum Research | November 29, 2014 | 37 | 37 | 17 | 7 | 2 | IVR | 1,054 | ±3% | |
Forum Research | November 1, 2014 | 40 | 35 | 19 | 4 | 2 | IVR | 1,104 | ±3% | |
Forum Research | October 1, 2014 | 36 | 34 | 23 | 6 | 1 | IVR | 1,079 | ±3% | |
Forum Research | August 21, 2014 | 39 | 32 | 19 | 8 | 2 | IVR | 1,229 | ±3% | |
2 July 2014 | Jim Wilson becomes interim leader of the Ontario PC Party | |||||||||
2 July 2014 | Tim Hudak resigns as leader of the Ontario PC Party | |||||||||
2014 election | June 12, 2014 | HTML | 38.65 | 31.25 | 23.75 | 4.84 | 1.51 |
Notes
- formerly Jagmeet Singh
- formerly Cheri DiNovo
- formerly Glen Murray
- formerly Eric Hoskins
References
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