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2026 Portuguese presidential election

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2026 Portuguese presidential election
← 2021 January 2026 2031 →
Incumbent President

Marcelo Rebelo de Sousa
PSD



Politics of Portugal
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Presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Portugal in January 2026. The election will elect the successor to President Marcelo Rebelo de Sousa, who is barred from running for a third term.

Several personalities have expressed that they are considering a candidacy, such as Admiral Henrique Gouveia e Melo, commentator and former PSD leader Luís Marques Mendes, former PS leader António José Seguro, former minister António Vitorino and former deputy prime-minister and CDS–PP leader Paulo Portas.

Background

Marcelo Rebelo de Sousa was re-elected in January 2021 with almost 61 percent of the votes on the first round. He took the oath of office on 9 March 2021, and continued the cohabitation with Socialist prime minister António Costa that lasted until April 2024. This cohabitation ended after the March 2024 elections which resulted in the nomination of Luís Montenegro, from the Social Democratic Party, also the party of the President, as Prime Minister.

In Portugal, the president is the head of state and has mostly ceremonial powers; however, the president has some political influence and can dissolve the Parliament of Portugal if a crisis occurs. The president also has an official residence in the Belém Palace in Lisbon. Every Portuguese president since the Carnation Revolution has been re-elected for second term but only one, Mário Soares (PS), ran for a non-consecutive third term in the 2006 Presidential Election and lost, making it that every Portuguese president since the 1976 has been exactly two terms in office.

Electoral system

To stand for election, candidates must be of Portuguese origin and over 35 years old, gather 7,500 signatures of support one month before the election, and submit them to the Constitutional Court of Portugal. Then, the Constitutional Court has to certify if the candidacies submitted meet the requirements to appear on the ballot. The highest number of candidacies ever accepted was ten, in 2016. Under Portuguese law, a candidate must receive a majority of votes (50% plus one vote) to be elected. If no candidate achieves a majority in the first round, a runoff election (i.e., second round, held between the two candidates who receive the most votes in the first round) has to be held.

Candidates

Declared

Candidate Supported by Political office(s) Details Announcement
date 		Ref.
Tim Vieira (49) None Businessman; Investor at the TV show Shark Tank on SIC. 31 August 2023
Joana Amaral Dias (51) Foto JAD wikipedia.jpg Member of Parliament for Lisbon
(2002–2005) 		Current TV pundit. Adherent of
skepticism towards Covid vaccines and climate change. 		18 December 2024
André Pestana (47) None Teacher; National leader of the Union of All Education Professionals (S.T.O.P.). 21 December 2024
André Ventura (41) President of CHEGA
(since 2019)
Member of the Council of State
(since 2024)
Member of Parliament for Lisbon
(since 2019) 		Candidate in the 2021 presidential election, finished third with 11.9% of the votes. 4 January 2025

Expected to announce

Social Democratic Party

Independent

Publicly expressed interest

Socialist Party

Social Democratic Party

Portuguese Communist Party

Independent

Potential

Socialist Party

Social Democratic Party

Left Bloc

Portuguese Communist Party

CDS - People's Party

  • Paulo Portas – former leader of CDS – People's Party (CDS–PP) (1998–2005, 2007–2016); former deputy prime minister (2013–2015); minister in the 15th, 16th, 19th and 20th governments; former MP (1995–2016)

Livre

Independent

  • José Sócrates – former prime minister (2005–2011); former secretary-general of the Socialist Party (PS) (2004–2011); minister in the 13th and 14th governments; former MP (1987–2011)

Declined

Opinion polling

First round

Graphic summary

Graphs are unavailable due to technical issues. Updates on reimplementing the Graph extension, which will be known as the Chart extension, can be found on Phabricator and on MediaWiki.org.

Polling

Polling firm Fieldwork date Sample
size 		Gouveia e Melo António Costa Passos Coelho Paulo Portas Marques Mendes Mariana Mortágua Catarina Martins Santos Silva André Ventura João Ferreira Paulo Raimundo Ana Gomes Cotrim Figueiredo Durão Barroso António Guterres Rui Moreira António José Seguro Mário Centeno Santana Lopes Rui Tavares O/
U 		Lead
Ind. PS PSD CDS PSD BE BE PS CH CDU CDU PS IL PSD PS Ind. PS PS Ind. L
Intercampus 21–27 Nov 2024 605 23.2 — 13.9 — 9.8 — 4.0 — 6.6 — 0.9 5.1 3.2 3.2 — — 4.7 6.4 1.3 2.4 15.3 9.3
Aximage 6–19 Sep 2024 818 21.0 — 14.7 — 10.6 — — 5.0 8.8 — — 7.9 — — — — — 8.3 — — 23.7 6.3
Intercampus 19–26 Jul 2024 609 9.4 — 14.1 4.6 8.1 8.4 — — 11.4 — 1.5 5.7 4.8 — 19.3 — — 4.6 2.4 — 5.7
 5.2
Duplimétrica 6–13 May 2024 800 10 17 13 5 7 — 2 — 5 — — 3 — 5 13 — — 5 — — 15 4
Intercampus 18–23 Apr 2024 605 8.4 14.7 12.5 2.7 5.7 — 5.9 — 7.7 — 1.3 5.3 2.7 2.9 13.6 — — 2.9 1.3 3.5 9.0 1.1
Intercampus 9–14 Sep 2023 614 7.8 8.8 15.8 3.9 6.0 — 5.5 1.5 9.0 — 2.0 3.4 3.3 3.1 14.8 — — 3.9 2.0 — 9.3 1.0
Intercampus 3–6 Jul 2023 623 7.9 14.3 13.3 3.2 3.0 — 6.9 1.4 11.4 — 0.8 5.9 3.2 — 15.1 — 2.7 2.6 1.9 — 6.3 0.8
Intercampus 3–10 Feb 2023 602 10.0 10.6 15.8 — 3.8 4.3 — 3.8 9.5 — — 6.0 3.8 4.0 13.5 4.7 — — — — 10.2
 2.3
Intercampus
 15–20 Nov 2022 605 15.9 9.6 15.2 6.3 7.3 4.0 — 5.8 6.1 3.3 — 8.6 2.1 — — — — — — — 15.8 0.7
Intercampus 6–11 Jul 2022 605 31.7 — — 10.9 10.4 7.8 — 7.8 6.1 3.0 — — — — — — — — — — 22.3 20.8
— — — 18.3 17.4 12.7 — 12.2 — 4.5 — — — — — — — — — — 34.9 0.9
— 31.1 — 13.6 16.2 7.8 — — — 4.0 — — — — — — — — — — 27.4 14.9
— — 23.1 — 16.5 12.9 — 12.4 — 4.5 — — — — — — — — — — 30.6 6.6

Second round

Polling

Polling firm Fieldwork date Sample
size 		Santos Silva António Guterres Ana Gomes Mário Centeno Gouveia e Melo Marques Mendes Passos Coelho Leonor Beleza Paulo Portas Santana Lopes Durão Barroso André Ventura O/U Lead
PS PS PS PS Ind. PSD PSD PSD CDS Ind. PSD CH
Intercampus 21–27 Nov 2024 605 — — 32.0 — — 44.6 — — — — — — 23.4 12.6
— — 37.3 — — — 46.5 — — — — — 16.2 9.2
— — 42.2 — — — — — — 31.8 — — 26.0 10.4
— — 35.8 — — — — — — — 40.7 — 23.5 4.9
— — — 39.0 — 35.6 — — — — — — 25.4 3.4
— — — 39.9 — — 39.5 — — — — — 20.5 0.4
— — — 52.5 — — — — — 21.3 — — 26.2 31.2
— — — 45.0 — — — — — — 29.4 — 25.6 15.6
— — — — 49.3 30.3 — — — — — — 20.3 19.0
— — — — 50.8 — 31.8 — — — — — 17.3 19.0
— — — — 59.1 — — — — 19.8 — — 21.1 39.3
— — — — 52.4 — — — — — 28.6 — 19.0 23.8
Aximage 6–19 Sep 2024 818 — — — 34 — 33 — — — — — — 33 1
— — — — 47 28 — — — — — — 25 19
— — — 56 — — — — — — — 22 22 34
— — — 43 — — 35 — — — — — 22 8
— — — — 51 — 28 — — — — — 21 23
— — — 29 38 — — — — — — — 33 9
19 — — — 48 — — — — — — — 33 29
— — 21 — 54 — — — — — — — 25 33
Intercampus 19–26 Jul 2024 609 — 56.7 — — 33.2 — — — — — — — 10.1 23.5
— 55.6 — — — 34.9 — — — — — — 9.5 20.7
— 58.0 — — — — 34.7 — — — — — 7.3 23.3
— 66.1 — — — — — 21.7 — — — — 12.2 44.4
— 66.8 — — — — — — 22.6 — — — 10.6 44.2
— 69.2 — — — — — — — 19.4 — — 11.4 49.8
— — 36.7 — 52.7 — — — — — — — 10.7 16.0
— — 33.4 — — 55.0 — — — — — — 11.6 21.6
— — 42.4 — — — 48.8 — — — — — 8.8 6.4
— — 48.3 — — — — 37.8 — — — — 13.9 10.5
— — 49.9 — — — — — 36.9 — — — 13.2 13.0
— — 52.5 — — — — — — 33.2 — — 14.3 19.3
— — — 40.2 46.8 — — — — — — — 13.0 6.6
— — — 37.1 — 48.4 — — — — — — 14.5 11.3
— — — 48.4 — — 41.1 — — — — — 10.5 7.3
— — — 56.5 — — — 27.0 — — — — 16.5 29.5
— — — 56.0 — — — — 29.4 — — — 14.6 26.6
— — — 57.8 — — — — — 25.9 — — 16.3 31.9
— — — — 48.8 40.2 — — — — — — 11.0 8.6
— — — — 51.9 — 37.6 — — — — — 10.5 14.3
— — — — 63.7 — — 23.9 — — — — 12.4 39.8
— — — — 61.1 — — — 27.3 — — — 11.6 33.8
— — — — 68.1 — — — — 19.8 — — 12.1 48.3

Preferred candidate

Poll results showing public opinion on who would be the best candidate for each political side, are shown in the table below in reverse chronological order, showing the most recent first.

Center-right/Right

Polling firm Fieldwork date Sample
size 		Marques Mendes Passos Coelho Rui Rio André Ventura Paulo Portas Santana Lopes Cotrim Figueiredo O/U Lead
PSD PSD PSD CH CDS Ind. IL
Aximage 6–19 Sep 2024 818 39 37 — — — — — 22 2
Aximage 14–18 Sep 2023 804 19.8 19.5 13.0 11.3 11.2 7.0 6.0 12.2 0.3

Center-left/Left

Polling firm Fieldwork date Sample
size 		António Guterres Ana Gomes Mário Centeno Francisco Louçã Santos Silva Francisco Assis João Ferreira O/U Lead
PS PS PS BE PS PS CDU
Aximage 6–19 Sep 2024 818 — 14 41 — 18 — — 27 23
Aximage 14–18 Sep 2023 804 34 19 12 9 8 6 5 7 15

Approval ratings

Graphical summary

Graphs are unavailable due to technical issues. Updates on reimplementing the Graph extension, which will be known as the Chart extension, can be found on Phabricator and on MediaWiki.org.

Polling

The table below lists the evolution of public opinion on the President's performance in office.

Polling
firm 		Fieldwork
date 		Sample
size 		Marcelo Rebelo de Sousa
Approve Disapprove No opinion Net
Intercampus 21–27 Nov 2024 605 30.1 33.0 36.9 2.9
Aximage 13–19 Nov 2024 802 46 43 11 3
Intercampus 4–10 Oct 2024 612 30.4 35.9 33.7 5.5
Aximage 30 Sep–5 Oct 2024 802 46 50 4 4
Aximage 6–19 Sep 2024 818 44 29 27 15
Intercampus 29 Aug–4 Sep 2024 604 39.6 30.3 30.1 9.3
Intercampus 19–26 Jul 2024 609 28.9 40.7 30.4 11.8
Aximage 3–8 Jul 2024 801 37 53 10 16
Marktest 5–7 Jun 2024 440 36.3 44.0 19.7 7.7
Intercampus 29 May–4 Jun 2024 604 25.7 44.6 29.8 18.9
Aximage 17–22 May 2024 801 32 60 8 28
Intercampus 12–20 May 2024 609 22.5 48.6 28.9 26.1
Marktest 7–15 May 2024 497 30.1 51.4 18.5 21.3
Duplimétrica 6–13 May 2024 800 25 30 45 5
Intercampus 18–23 Apr 2024 605 36.3 33.1 30.6 3.2
Aximage 29 Mar–3 Apr 2024 805 32 25 43 7
Intercampus 6–10 Feb 2024 608 33.8 33.4 32.8 0.4
Intercampus 16–20 Jan 2024 637 29.3 41.3 29.4 12.0
Aximage 18–23 Dec 2023 805 28 45 27 17
Intercampus 18–21 Dec 2023 611 29.3 38.1 32.6 8.8
Aximage 18–23 Nov 2023 802 37 33 30 4
Intercampus 14–17 Nov 2023 602 33.3 36.2 30.4 2.9
Aximage 18–24 Oct 2023 805 44 34 22 10
Intercampus 18–23 Oct 2023 604 38.3 33.1 28.6 5.2
Aximage 2–5 Oct 2023 601 34 30 36 4
Intercampus 9–14 Sep 2023 614 44.4 24.2 31.4 20.2
Intercampus 7–11 Aug 2023 607 50.1 21.0 28.9 29.1
Aximage 6–11 Jul 2023 800 53 27 20 26
Intercampus 3–6 Jul 2023 623 40.0 30.7 29.3 9.3
Intercampus 25–31 May 2023 611 37.5 32.4 30.1 5.1
Aximage 10–14 Apr 2023 805 44 37 19 7
Intercampus 6–12 Apr 2023 610 43.6 25.5 30.9 18.1
Intercampus 9–15 Mar 2023 613 45.6 26.8 27.6 18.8
Intercampus 3–10 Feb 2023 602 41.2 28.4 30.4 12.8
Aximage 10–14 Jan 2023 805 45 35 20 10
Intercampus 6–11 Jan 2023 605 46.8 26.3 27.0 20.5
Pitagórica 9–15 Dec 2022 828 63 32 5 31
ICS/ISCTE 3–15 Dec 2022 809 71 27 2 44
Intercampus 17–22 Oct 2022 607 45.0 26.3 28.7 18.7
Aximage 21–24 Sep 2022 810 49 25 26 24
Intercampus 9–15 Sep 2022 606 52.0 18.1 29.9 33.9
Intercampus 3–10 Aug 2022 605 56.5 16.9 26.6 39.6
Pitagórica 28 Jul–10 Aug 2022 828 64 31 5 33
Intercampus 6–11 Jul 2022 605 57.2 19.5 23.3 37.7
Aximage 5–10 Jul 2022 810 56 22 22 34
Pitagórica 21 Jun–4 Jul 2022 828 70 27 3 43
Intercampus 8–14 Jun 2022 611 60.9 13.8 25.3 47.1
Intercampus 7–15 May 2022 611 61.2 14.6 24.2 46.6
Aximage 12–18 Apr 2022 807 61 15 24 46
Intercampus 13–20 Aug 2021 612 62.3 12.8 24.9 49.5
Eurosondagem 26–29 Jul 2021 1,025 81.1 8.0 10.9 73.1
Aximage 10–12 Jul 2021 763 55 18 27 37
Eurosondagem 5–8 Jul 2021 1,022 80.8 9.7 9.5 71.1
Aximage 26–30 May 2021 796 70 10 20 60
Eurosondagem 10–13 May 2021 1,008 80.0 9.4 10.6 70.6
Intercampus 5–11 May 2021 610 69.0 11.1 19.9 57.9
Aximage 22–25 Apr 2021 830 71 10 19 61
Intercampus 7–13 Apr 2021 609 67.0 14.7 18.3 52.3
ICS/ISCTE 5–13 Apr 2021 802 79.9 7.3 12.8 72.6
Eurosondagem 5–8 Apr 2021 1,020 75.1 4.8 20.1 70.3
Aximage 24–27 Mar 2021 830 72 17 11 55
Intercampus 4–10 Mar 2021 615 69.3 10.2 20.5 59.1

Notes

  1. Leonor Beleza - 0.9%; Others/Neither/Would not vote - 4.8%:
  2. Francisco Assis - 0.5%; Others/Neither/Would not vote - 9.7%:
  3. Voters were asked which candidate they prefer.

References

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  57. "MSN". www.msn.com. Retrieved 2024-11-28.
  58. "Passos Coelho: "Estou fora de toda a intervenção política"". Notícias ao Minuto (in Portuguese). 2024-09-13. Retrieved 2024-11-28.
  59. ECO (2023-04-02). ""Não viveria num palácio em Lisboa." Rui Moreira recusa candidatura a Belém". ECO (in European Portuguese). Retrieved 2025-01-04.
  60. Zuccaro, Fernanda (2024-12-24). "Corrida eleitoral para Belém: o perigo de uma largada antecipada. Rui Moreira e Medina dizem não a Belém mas Pedro Nuno 'entre-abre' a porta". PÚBLICO (in Portuguese). Retrieved 2025-01-04.
  61. "Rui Rio "sem vontade" de voltar à vida política, nem mesmo para as Presidenciais". Diário de Notícias (in Portuguese). December 2024. Retrieved 2024-12-02.
  62. "Rui Rio: "não fiquem zangados comigo", mas a "oportunidade de ouro" já se perdeu". Zap (in European Portuguese). 2024-12-02. Retrieved 2024-12-02.
  63. Gomes, Margarida (2024-06-29). "A nova vida de Rui Rio não passa por Belém". Público (in Portuguese). Retrieved 2024-12-02.
  64. "Mayan abandona a vida política e pode ser expulso da IL (e desiste da candidatura à presidência do partido)". Zap (in European Portuguese). 2024-11-09. Retrieved 2024-12-09.
  65. "O RIR tem nova liderança. Vitorino Silva abandonou o partido e Márcia Henriques é a sua sucessora". Sapo 24 (in Portuguese). Retrieved 2024-12-08.
  66. "Tino de Rans deixa liderança do RIR. Admite vir a ser candidato a deputado pois esse "é o cargo que representa o povo" e rejeita 3ª candidatura a Presidenciais ou regresso á liderança. Nova líder diz que Tino nem sempre era compreendido nas parábolas". Postal do Algarve (in European Portuguese). 2022-05-22. Retrieved 2024-12-08.

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