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Electoral results for the Division of Paterson

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Election results for the federal seat of Paterson, New South Wales, Australia

This is a list of electoral results for the Division of Paterson in Australian federal elections from the division's creation in 1949 until its abolition in 1984, and then from its recreation in 1993 until the present.

Members

First incarnation (1949–1984)
Member Party Term
  Allen Fairhall Liberal 1949–1969
  Frank O'Keefe Country, National 1969–1984
Second incarnation (1993–present)
Member Party Term
  Bob Horne Labor 1993–1996
  Bob Baldwin Liberal 1996–1998
  Bob Horne Labor 1998–2001
  Bob Baldwin Liberal 2001–2016
  Meryl Swanson Labor 2016–present

Election results

Elections in the 2020s

2022

This section is an excerpt from Results of the 2022 Australian federal election in New South Wales § Paterson.
2022 Australian federal election: Paterson
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Labor Meryl Swanson 46,725 40.67 −0.41
Liberal Brooke Vitnell 42,142 36.68 +4.16
One Nation Neil Turner 9,363 8.15 −6.01
Greens Louise Ihlein 8,677 7.55 +0.65
United Australia Jason Olbourne 4,474 3.89 +0.28
Informed Medical Options Angela Ketas 1,883 1.64 +1.64
Liberal Democrats Sonia Bailey 1,621 1.41 +1.41
Total formal votes 114,885 94.93 +0.78
Informal votes 6,142 5.07 −0.78
Turnout 121,027 91.66 −1.58
Two-party-preferred result
Labor Meryl Swanson 61,247 53.31 −1.73
Liberal Brooke Vitnell 53,638 46.69 +1.73
Labor hold Swing −1.73
Alluvial diagram for preference flows in the seat of Paterson in the 2022 federal election. checkY indicates at what stage the winning candidate had over 50% of the votes and was declared the winner.

Elections in the 2010s

2019

This section is an excerpt from Results of the 2019 Australian federal election in New South Wales § Paterson.
2019 Australian federal election: Paterson
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Labor Meryl Swanson 44,288 41.08 −4.98
Liberal Sachin Joshi 35,059 32.52 +1.01
One Nation Neil Turner 15,269 14.16 +1.11
Greens Jan Davis 7,439 6.90 +1.11
United Australia Graham Burston 3,888 3.61 +3.61
Christian Democrats Christopher Vale 1,876 1.74 −0.32
Total formal votes 107,819 94.15 −0.96
Informal votes 6,694 5.85 +0.96
Turnout 114,513 93.24 −0.25
Two-party-preferred result
Labor Meryl Swanson 59,348 55.04 −5.70
Liberal Sachin Joshi 48,471 44.96 +5.70
Labor hold Swing −5.70

2016

This section is an excerpt from Results of the 2016 Australian federal election in New South Wales § Paterson.
2016 Australian federal election: Paterson
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Labor Meryl Swanson 46,090 46.06 +6.22
Liberal Karen Howard 31,527 31.51 +0.62
One Nation Graham Burston 13,056 13.05 +11.62
Greens John Brown 5,797 5.79 −0.56
Christian Democrats Peter Arena 2,058 2.06 −0.09
Rise Up Australia Brian Clare 1,007 1.01 +0.45
Citizens Electoral Council Peter Davis 533 0.53 −0.12
Total formal votes 100,068 95.11 +1.31
Informal votes 5,143 4.89 −1.31
Turnout 105,211 93.49 +0.37
Two-party-preferred result
Labor Meryl Swanson 60,779 60.74 +10.47
Liberal Karen Howard 39,289 39.26 −10.47
Labor notional hold Swing +10.47

2013

This section is an excerpt from Results of the 2013 Australian federal election in New South Wales § Paterson.
2013 Australian federal election: Paterson
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Liberal Bob Baldwin 46,922 53.86 +2.56
Labor Bay Marshall 25,811 29.63 −8.63
Greens John Brown 5,812 6.67 +0.68
Palmer United Jayson Packett 5,451 6.26 +6.26
Christian Democrats Anna Balfour 1,854 2.13 +1.07
Rise Up Australia Bob Holz 877 1.01 +1.01
Citizens Electoral Council Peter Davis 390 0.45 +0.45
Total formal votes 87,117 94.83 +0.47
Informal votes 4,746 5.17 −0.47
Turnout 91,863 94.60 −0.16
Two-party-preferred result
Liberal Bob Baldwin 52,080 59.78 +4.45
Labor Bay Marshall 35,037 40.22 −4.45
Liberal hold Swing +4.45

2010

This section is an excerpt from Results of the 2010 Australian federal election in New South Wales § Paterson.
2010 Australian federal election: Paterson
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Liberal Bob Baldwin 42,262 51.30 +4.73
Labor Jim Arneman 31,522 38.26 −4.69
Greens Jan Davis 4,936 5.99 +0.72
One Nation Kevin Leayr 1,044 1.27 +0.32
Christian Democrats Anna Balfour 870 1.06 −0.15
Independent Josef Wiedenhorn 699 0.85 +0.85
Family First Veronica Lambert 674 0.82 +0.16
Paul Hennelly 379 0.46 +0.46
Total formal votes 82,386 94.36 −2.04
Informal votes 4,924 5.64 +2.04
Turnout 87,310 94.75 −0.98
Two-party-preferred result
Liberal Bob Baldwin 45,582 55.33 +4.75
Labor Jim Arneman 36,804 44.67 −4.75
Liberal hold Swing +4.75

Elections in the 2000s

2007

2007 Australian federal election: Paterson 
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Liberal Bob Baldwin 40,466 48.22 +1.72
Labor Jim Arneman 35,291 42.06 +5.76
Greens Judy Donnelly 4,344 5.18 +0.70
Fishing Party Paul Hennelly 1,073 1.28 +0.48
Christian Democrats Heather Haynes 1,010 1.20 +0.81
One Nation John Hamberger 832 0.99 −0.97
Family First Christopher Stokes 559 0.67 −0.25
Citizens Electoral Council Tony King 341 0.41 −0.89
Total formal votes 83,916 96.43 +2.24
Informal votes 3,106 3.57 −2.24
Turnout 87,022 96.15 +0.37
Two-party-preferred result
Liberal Bob Baldwin 43,228 51.51 −4.81
Labor Jim Arneman 40,688 48.49 +4.81
Liberal hold Swing −4.81

2004

2004 Australian federal election: Paterson 
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Liberal Bob Baldwin 41,289 51.99 +12.08
Labor Giovanna Kozary 28,633 36.05 −4.70
Greens Aina Ranke 3,303 4.16 +1.44
One Nation Charlie Griffith 1,417 1.78 −3.71
Veterans Bruce McKenzie 987 1.24 +1.24
Fishing Party Paul Hennelly 778 0.98 +0.05
Citizens Electoral Council Tony King 727 0.92 +0.48
Family First Larissa Robb 681 0.86 +0.86
Independent Mike Tuffy 677 0.85 +0.85
Democrats Brett Paterson 577 0.73 −1.84
Independent Neil Smith 351 0.44 +0.44
Total formal votes 79,420 93.87 −2.52
Informal votes 5,183 6.13 +2.52
Turnout 84,603 96.08 −0.57
Two-party-preferred result
Liberal Bob Baldwin 45,244 56.97 +5.55
Labor Giovanna Kozary 34,178 43.03 −5.55
Liberal hold Swing +5.55

2001

2001 Australian federal election: Paterson 
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Labor Bob Horne 31,430 40.75 +0.16
Liberal Bob Baldwin 30,781 39.91 +7.17
National Ian Shaw 5,544 7.19 −2.47
One Nation Paul Cary 4,233 5.49 −3.84
Greens Aina Ranke 2,095 2.72 +0.87
Democrats Sharon Davies 1,979 2.57 +0.44
Fishing Party Paul Hennelly 720 0.93 +0.93
Citizens Electoral Council Tony King 339 0.44 −0.36
Total formal votes 77,121 96.39 −0.20
Informal votes 2,890 3.61 +0.20
Turnout 80,011 97.27
Two-party-preferred result
Liberal Bob Baldwin 39,658 51.42 +0.16
Labor Bob Horne 37,463 48.58 −0.16
Liberal notional hold Swing +0.16

Elections in the 1990s

1998

1998 Australian federal election: Paterson 
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Labor Bob Horne 33,066 43.13 −0.22
Liberal Bob Baldwin 31,212 40.71 −4.96
One Nation Paul Fuller 6,355 8.29 +8.29
Greens Jan Davis 1,577 2.06 −1.49
Democrats Geoffrey Rutledge 1,467 1.91 −3.08
Christian Democrats David Murray 957 1.25 −1.20
Citizens Electoral Council Anthony King 666 0.87 +0.87
Independent Michelle Moffat 608 0.79 +0.79
Independent Andrew Buchan 448 0.58 +0.58
Democratic Socialist Alison Dellit 164 0.21 +0.21
Independent Paul Unger 145 0.19 +0.19
Total formal votes 76,665 96.67 −1.07
Informal votes 2,643 3.33 +1.07
Turnout 79,308 96.69 −0.66
Two-party-preferred result
Labor Bob Horne 39,268 51.22 +1.65
Liberal Bob Baldwin 37,397 48.78 −1.65
Labor gain from Liberal Swing +1.65

1996

1996 Australian federal election: Paterson 
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Liberal Bob Baldwin 34,113 45.67 +10.40
Labor Bob Horne 32,378 43.35 −4.16
Democrats Bob Symington 3,727 4.99 +2.98
Greens Jan Davis 2,647 3.54 +0.69
Call to Australia Trevor Carrick 1,829 2.45 +2.45
Total formal votes 74,694 97.74 +0.11
Informal votes 1,730 2.26 −0.11
Turnout 76,424 97.36 +0.36
Two-party-preferred result
Liberal Bob Baldwin 37,519 50.43 +3.73
Labor Bob Horne 36,885 49.57 −3.73
Liberal gain from Labor Swing +3.73

1993

1993 Australian federal election: Paterson 
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Labor Bob Horne 33,012 47.50 +7.05
Liberal Bob Roberts 24,510 35.27 +19.95
National Gary Watson 4,719 6.79 −22.47
Greens Bernadette Smith 1,981 2.85 +2.85
Democrats Rodger Riach 1,396 2.01 −12.74
Independent Bruce MacKenzie 1,348 1.94 +1.94
Independent Bernie Neville 1,295 1.86 +1.86
Natural Law Alan McDonald 810 1.17 +1.17
Confederate Action Ron Franks 421 0.61 +0.61
Total formal votes 69,492 97.63 −0.05
Informal votes 1,688 2.37 +0.05
Turnout 71,180 96.99
Two-party-preferred result
Labor Bob Horne 37,006 53.30 +3.27
Liberal Bob Roberts 32,421 46.70 −3.27
Labor notional hold Swing +3.27

Division re-created

1984 - 1993

District abolished Division abolished

Elections in the 1980s

1983

1983 Australian federal election: Paterson 
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
National Frank O'Keefe 37,028 54.1 −1.0
Labor Michael Williams 28,412 41.5 +3.8
Democrats Darrel Woodhouse 3,048 4.5 −1.9
Total formal votes 68,488 98.6
Informal votes 938 1.4
Turnout 69,426 95.0
Two-party-preferred result
National Frank O'Keefe 55.9 −1.8
Labor Michael Williams 44.1 +1.8
National hold Swing −1.8

1980

1980 Australian federal election: Paterson 
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
National Country Frank O'Keefe 36,416 55.1 −2.5
Labor Francis Murray 24,946 37.7 +3.4
Democrats Denis Driver 4,265 6.4 −0.3
Independent William Reeve-Parker 516 0.8 +0.8
Total formal votes 66,143 98.3
Informal votes 1,124 1.7
Turnout 67,267 95.3
Two-party-preferred result
National Country Frank O'Keefe 57.7 −4.5
Labor Francis Murray 42.3 +4.5
National Country hold Swing −4.5

Elections in the 1970s

1977

1977 Australian federal election: Paterson 
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
National Country Frank O'Keefe 36,740 57.6 +0.9
Labor Kerry Scott 21,862 34.3 −6.6
Democrats Paul Baker 4,250 6.7 +6.7
Independent William O'Donnell 923 1.4 +1.4
Total formal votes 63,775 98.2
Informal votes 1,188 1.8
Turnout 64,963 95.7
Two-party-preferred result
National Country Frank O'Keefe 62.2 +3.8
Labor Kerry Scott 37.8 −3.8
National Country hold Swing +3.8

1975

1975 Australian federal election: Paterson 
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
National Country Frank O'Keefe 30,985 55.6 +6.3
Labor Noel Unicomb 23,397 42.0 −7.0
Independent Barnard Hassett 861 1.5 +1.5
Independent Marc Aussie-Stone 505 0.9 +0.9
Total formal votes 55,748 98.6
Informal votes 780 1.4
Turnout 56,528 96.0
Two-party-preferred result
National Country Frank O'Keefe 57.3 +7.0
Labor Noel Unicomb 42.7 −7.0
National Country hold Swing +7.0

1974

1974 Australian federal election: Paterson 
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Country Frank O'Keefe 26,418 49.3 +2.2
Labor Noel Unicomb 26,261 49.0 +1.0
Australia Robert Fowler 916 1.7 −0.4
Total formal votes 53,595 98.8
Informal votes 658 1.2
Turnout 54,253 95.9
Two-party-preferred result
Country Frank O'Keefe 26,935 50.3 −0.1
Labor Noel Unicomb 26,660 49.7 +0.1
Country hold Swing −0.1

1972

1972 Australian federal election: Paterson 
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Labor Noel Unicomb 23,430 48.0 +10.5
Country Frank O'Keefe 22,970 47.1 +17.7
Democratic Labor Aubrey Barr 1,376 2.8 −1.2
Australia Alan Capp 1,005 2.1 +1.6
Total formal votes 48,781 98.6
Informal votes 682 1.4
Turnout 49,463 96.9
Two-party-preferred result
Country Frank O'Keefe 24,609 50.4 −7.1
Labor Noel Unicomb 24,172 49.6 +7.1
Country hold Swing −7.1

Elections in the 1960s

1969

1969 Australian federal election: Paterson 
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Labor Francis Murray 16,741 37.5 +4.4
Country Frank O'Keefe 13,150 29.4 +29.4
Liberal John Jobling 12,500 28.0 −31.7
Democratic Labor Jack Collins 1,805 4.0 −3.2
Independent Adrian Edwards 252 0.6 +0.6
Australia Ted Fletcher 227 0.5 +0.5
Total formal votes 44,675 96.9
Informal votes 1,451 3.1
Turnout 46,126 96.6
Two-party-preferred result
Country Frank O'Keefe 25,692 57.5 +57.5
Labor Francis Murray 18,983 42.5 +9.1
Country gain from Liberal Swing −9.1

1966

1966 Australian federal election: Paterson 
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Liberal Allen Fairhall 25,437 63.0 +1.6
Labor Francis Murray 12,045 29.8 −8.8
Democratic Labor Aubrey Barr 2,889 7.2 +7.2
Total formal votes 40,371 97.7
Informal votes 965 2.3
Turnout 41,336 96.6
Two-party-preferred result
Liberal Allen Fairhall 69.0 +7.6
Labor Francis Murray 31.0 −7.6
Liberal hold Swing +7.6

1963

1963 Australian federal election: Paterson 
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Liberal Allen Fairhall 24,695 61.4 +10.5
Labor Archibald Jones 15,503 38.6 −4.2
Total formal votes 40,198 99.0
Informal votes 396 1.0
Turnout 40,594 96.6
Liberal hold Swing +6.3

1961

1961 Australian federal election: Paterson 
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Liberal Allen Fairhall 20,155 50.9 −2.7
Labor Bob Brown 16,952 42.8 +6.5
Democratic Labor Aubrey Barr 2,490 6.3 −3.8
Total formal votes 39,597 98.2
Informal votes 733 1.8
Turnout 40,330 96.3
Two-party-preferred result
Liberal Allen Fairhall 55.1 −6.8
Labor Bob Brown 44.9 +6.8
Liberal hold Swing −6.8

Elections in the 1950s

1958

1958 Australian federal election: Paterson 
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Liberal Allen Fairhall 21,064 53.6 −6.6
Labor Alan Lloyd 14,248 36.3 −3.5
Democratic Labor Douglas Drinkwater 3,969 10.1 +10.1
Total formal votes 39,281 97.7
Informal votes 933 2.3
Turnout 40,214 96.7
Two-party-preferred result
Liberal Allen Fairhall 61.9 +1.7
Labor Alan Lloyd 38.1 −1.7
Liberal hold Swing +1.7

1955

1955 Australian federal election: Paterson 
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Liberal Allen Fairhall 23,623 60.2 +6.9
Labor William Harvey 15,601 39.8 −6.4
Total formal votes 39,224 98.0
Informal votes 800 2.0
Turnout 40,024 96.8
Liberal hold Swing +6.7

1954

1954 Australian federal election: Paterson 
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Liberal Allen Fairhall 21,870 54.5 −2.6
Labor Kevin Barlow 18,255 45.5 +2.6
Total formal votes 40,125 99.0
Informal votes 422 1.0
Turnout 40,547 96.9
Liberal hold Swing −2.6

1951

1951 Australian federal election: Paterson 
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Liberal Allen Fairhall 21,677 57.1 +27.0
Labor Cecil Robinson 16,312 42.9 +5.0
Total formal votes 37,989 98.1
Informal votes 736 1.9
Turnout 38,725 97.1
Liberal hold Swing −1.4

Elections in the 1940s

1949

1949 Australian federal election: Paterson 
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Labor Cecil Robinson 14,089 37.9 −7.8
Liberal Allen Fairhall 11,189 30.1 +12.2
Country Arsie Dorsman 5,293 14.2 +0.6
Country John McGirr 3,842 10.3 +10.3
Country Robert Clendinning 2,101 5.7 +5.7
Country Ernest Slater 656 1.8 +1.8
Total formal votes 37,170 96.7
Informal votes 1,267 3.3
Turnout 38,437 97.4
Two-party-preferred result
Liberal Allen Fairhall 21,741 58.5 +58.5
Labor Cecil Robinson 15,429 41.5 −8.6
Liberal notional gain from Labor Swing +8.6

References

  1. Paterson, NSW, 2022 Tally Room, Australian Electoral Commission.
  2. Paterson, NSW, Tally Room 2019, Australian Electoral Commission.
  3. Paterson, NSW, Virtual Tally Room 2016, Australian Electoral Commission.
  4. 2013 results for Paterson, AEC.
  5. "2010 results for Paterson". AEC.
  6. "2007 House of Representatives: NSW". Psephos Adam Carr's Election Archive. Retrieved 29 May 2022.
  7. "2004 House of Representatives: NSW". Psephos Adam Carr's Election Archive. Retrieved 29 May 2022.
  8. "2001 House of Representatives: NSW". Psephos Adam Carr's Election Archive. Retrieved 29 May 2022.
  9. "1998 House of Representatives: NSW". Psephos Adam Carr's Election Archive. Retrieved 29 May 2022.
  10. "1996 House of Representatives: NSW". Psephos Adam Carr's Election Archive. Retrieved 29 May 2022.
  11. "1993 House of Representatives: NSW". Psephos Adam Carr's Election Archive. Retrieved 29 May 2022.
  12. "1983 House of Representatives: NSW". Psephos Adam Carr's Election Archive. Retrieved 29 May 2022.
  13. "1980 House of Representatives: NSW". Psephos Adam Carr's Election Archive. Retrieved 29 May 2022.
  14. "1977 House of Representatives: NSW". Psephos Adam Carr's Election Archive. Retrieved 29 May 2022.
  15. "1975 House of Representatives: NSW". Psephos Adam Carr's Election Archive. Retrieved 29 May 2022.
  16. "1974 House of Representatives: NSW". Psephos Adam Carr's Election Archive. Retrieved 29 May 2022.
  17. "1972 House of Representatives: NSW". Psephos Adam Carr's Election Archive. Retrieved 29 May 2022.
  18. "1969 House of Representatives: NSW". Psephos Adam Carr's Election Archive. Retrieved 29 May 2022.
  19. "1966 House of Representatives: NSW". Psephos Adam Carr's Election Archive. Retrieved 29 May 2022.
  20. "1963 House of Representatives: NSW". Psephos Adam Carr's Election Archive. Retrieved 29 May 2022.
  21. "1961 House of Representatives: NSW". Psephos Adam Carr's Election Archive. Retrieved 29 May 2022.
  22. "1958 House of Representatives: NSW". Psephos Adam Carr's Election Archive. Retrieved 29 May 2022.
  23. "1955 House of Representatives: NSW". Psephos Adam Carr's Election Archive. Retrieved 29 May 2022.
  24. "1954 House of Representatives: NSW". Psephos Adam Carr's Election Archive. Retrieved 29 May 2022.
  25. "1951 House of Representatives: NSW". Psephos Adam Carr's Election Archive. Retrieved 29 May 2022.
  26. "1949 House of Representatives: NSW". Psephos Adam Carr's Election Archive. Retrieved 29 May 2022.
Electoral results for the divisions of the Australian House of Representatives in New South Wales
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