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Mortality forecasting refers to the art and science of determining likely future mortality rates. It is especially important in rich countries with a high proportion of aged people, since populations with lower mortality accumulate more pensions.
References
- Rabbi, Ahbab Mohammad Fazle; Mazzuco, Stefano (2020-04-08). "Mortality Forecasting with the Lee–Carter Method: Adjusting for Smoothing and Lifespan Disparity". European Journal of Population = Revue Européenne de Démographie. 37 (1): 97–120. doi:10.1007/s10680-020-09559-9. ISSN 0168-6577. PMC 7865054. PMID 33603592.
- Shi, Jiaxin; Kolk, Martin (1 October 2022). "How Does Mortality Contribute to Lifetime Pension Inequality? Evidence From Five Decades of Swedish Taxation Data". Demography. 59 (5): 1843–1871. doi:10.1215/00703370-10218779. PMID 36129209. Retrieved 6 February 2024.