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Revision as of 09:46, 5 October 2020

Main article: 2020 United States presidential election
2020 United States presidential election in Nebraska

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Turnout%
 
Nominee Donald Trump Joe Biden
Party Republican Democratic
Home state Florida Delaware
Running mate Mike Pence Kamala Harris

Incumbent President

Donald Trump
Republican



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The 2020 United States presidential election in Nebraska is scheduled to take place on Tuesday, November 3, 2020, as part of the 2020 United States elections in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia will participate. Nebraska voters will choose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote. The state of Nebraska has 5 electoral votes in the Electoral College, 2 from the state at large, and 1 each from the three congressional districts.

By the time that the primary elections were held in Nebraska on May 12, 2020, incumbent President Donald Trump was already the Republican Party's presumptive nominee, being the only viable declared major candidate left. On the Democratic Party's side, Vice President Joe Biden became the presumptive nominee after Senator Bernie Sanders, his last competitor, withdrew on April 8, 2020.

Primary elections

The primary elections were held on May 12, 2020.

Republican primary

Donald Trump was declared the winner in the Republican primary, and thus received all of Nebraska's 36 delegates to the 2020 Republican National Convention.

2020 Nebraska Republican Primary
Candidate Votes % Estimated
delegates
Donald Trump 243,721 91.4 36
Bill Weld 22,934 8.6 0
Total 266,655 100% 36

Democratic primary

Joe Biden was declared the winner in the Democratic primary.

This section is an excerpt from 2020 Nebraska Democratic presidential primary § NEresults.
2020 Nebraska Democratic presidential primary
Candidate Votes % Delegates
Joe Biden 126,444 76.83 29
Bernie Sanders (withdrawn) 23,214 14.10
Elizabeth Warren (withdrawn) 10,401 6.32
Tulsi Gabbard (withdrawn) 4,523 2.75
Total 164,582 100% 29

Libertarian primary

Jo Jorgensen was declared the winner of the Libertarian primary and went on to win the LP nomination.

Nebraska Libertarian presidential primary, May 12, 2020
Candidate Votes Percentage
Jo Jorgensen 508 27.8%
Jacob Hornberger 444 24.3%
Adam Kokesh 263 14.4%
Lincoln Chafee (withdrawn) 254 13.9%
Max Abramson (withdrawn) 182 10.0%
Dan Behrman 177 9.7%
Total 1,828 100%

General election

Predictions

At-large

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report Safe R September 10, 2020
Inside Elections Safe R September 4, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball Safe R July 14, 2020
Politico Safe R September 8, 2020
RCP Safe R August 3, 2020
Niskanen Safe R July 26, 2020
CNN Safe R August 3, 2020
The Economist Safe R September 2, 2020
CBS News Likely R August 16, 2020
270towin Safe R August 2, 2020
ABC News Safe R July 31, 2020
NPR Likely R August 3, 2020
NBC News Safe R August 6, 2020
538 Safe R September 9, 2020

2nd district

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report Lean D (flip) September 10, 2020
Inside Elections Tilt D (flip) September 4, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball Lean D (flip) September 10, 2020
Politico Tossup September 8, 2020
RCP Tossup August 3, 2020
Niskanen Tossup July 26, 2020
CNN Tossup September 20, 2020
The Economist Lean R September 2, 2020
CBS News Lean D (flip) August 16, 2020
270towin Tossup August 2, 2020
ABC News Lean D (flip) July 31, 2020
NPR Tossup September 16, 2020
NBC News Tossup August 6, 2020
538 Tilt D (flip) September 9, 2020

Polling

statewide
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Donald
Trump (R)
Joe
Biden (D)
Undecided
SurveyMonkey/Tableau Sep 1–30, 2020 799 (LV) 57% 41% 2%
SurveyMonkey/Tableau Aug 1–31, 2020 560 (LV) 53% 47% 1%
SurveyMonkey/Tableau Jul 1–31, 2020 910 (LV) 54% 44% 2%
SurveyMonkey/Tableau Jun 8–30, 2020 267 (LV) 56% 42% 2%
in Nebraska's 1st congressional district
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Donald
Trump (R)
Joe
Biden (D)
Undecided
Strategies 360/Kate Bolz Jul 16–22, 2020 400 (LV) ± 4.9% 48% 46%
in Nebraska's 2nd congressional district
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Donald
Trump (R)
Joe
Biden (D)
Other Undecided
Siena College/NYT Sep 25–27, 2020 420 (LV) ± 5.3% 41% 48% 5% 6%
Global Strategy Group/House Majority PAC Sep 14–16, 2020 400 (LV) ± 4.9% 44% 50% 1% 3%
Global Strategy Group/House Majority PAC Jul 27–29, 2020 400 (LV) 45% 51% 2% 3%
GQR/Kara Eastman Jun 30 – Jul 5, 2020 502 (LV) ± 4.37% 44% 51%
DCCC Targeting and Analytics Department/Ally Mutnick May 7–10, 2020 448 (LV) ± 4.6% 41% 52%

Results

2020 United States presidential election in Nebraska
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Republican Donald Trump and Mike Pence
Democratic Joe Biden and Kamala Harris
Libertarian Jo Jorgensen and Spike Cohen
Total votes

Notes

  1. ^ Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear
  2. Jorgensen (L) with 4%; would not vote with 1%; "someone else" with 0%
  3. Includes "Refused"
  4. "Other candidate" with 1%
  5. Includes "Refused"
  6. "Other candidate" with 2%
  7. Includes "Refused"
Partisan clients
  1. Poll sponsored by Bolz's campaign
  2. ^ Poll sponsored by the House Majority PAC which exclusively endorses Democratic candidates
  3. Poll sponsored by Eastman's campaign
  4. Poll sponsored by the DCCC

See also

References

  1. Kelly, Ben (August 13, 2018). "US elections key dates: When are the 2018 midterms and the 2020 presidential campaign?". The Independent. Retrieved January 3, 2019.
  2. "Distribution of Electoral Votes". National Archives and Records Administration. Retrieved January 3, 2019.
  3. ^ "Joe Biden picks up more delegates in Nebraska primary win". CBS News. May 12, 2020.
  4. "Nebraska Republican Delegation 2020". The Green Papers. Retrieved May 12, 2020.
  5. "Official Report of the Nebraska Board of State Canvassers: Primary Election, May 12, 2020" (PDF). Nebraska Board of State Canvassers. 8 June 2020. Retrieved 14 October 2020.
  6. "Delegate Tracker". interactives.ap.org. Associated Press. Retrieved May 13, 2020.
  7. Winger, Richard (May 23, 2020). "Jo Jorgensen Wins Libertarian Presidential Nomination on Fourth Vote". Ballot Access Date. Retrieved May 24, 2020.
  8. https://electionresults.nebraska.gov/resultsSW.aspx?text=Race&type=PRS&map=CTY
  9. "2020 POTUS Race ratings" (PDF). The Cook Political Report. Retrieved 2019-05-21.
  10. "POTUS Ratings | Inside Elections". insideelections.com. Retrieved 2019-05-21.
  11. "Larry J. Sabato's Crystal Ball » 2020 President". crystalball.centerforpolitics.org. Retrieved 2019-05-21.
  12. "2020 Election Forecast". Politico. November 19, 2019.
  13. "Battle for White House". RCP. April 19, 2019.
  14. ^ 2020 Bitecofer Model Electoral College Predictions, Niskanen Center, March 24, 2020, retrieved: April 19, 2020
  15. David Chalian; Terence Burlij. "Road to 270: CNN's debut Electoral College map for 2020". CNN. Retrieved 2020-06-16.
  16. "Forecasting the US elections". The Economist. Retrieved 7 July 2020.
  17. "2020 Election Battleground Tracker". CBS News. July 12, 2020. Retrieved July 13, 2020.
  18. "2020 Presidential Election Interactive Map". 270 to Win.
  19. "ABC News Race Ratings". CBS News. July 24, 2020. Retrieved July 24, 2020.
  20. "2020 Electoral Map Ratings: Trump Slides, Biden Advantage Expands Over 270 Votes". NPR.org. Retrieved 2020-08-03.
  21. "Biden dominates the electoral map, but here's how the race could tighten". NBC News. Retrieved 2020-08-06.
  22. "2020 Election Forecast". FiveThirtyEight. Retrieved 14 August 2020.
  23. "2020 POTUS Race ratings" (PDF). The Cook Political Report. Retrieved 2019-05-21.
  24. "POTUS Ratings | Inside Elections". insideelections.com. Retrieved 2019-05-21.
  25. "Larry J. Sabato's Crystal Ball » 2020 President". crystalball.centerforpolitics.org. Retrieved 2019-05-21.
  26. "2020 Election Forecast". Politico. November 19, 2019.
  27. "Battle for White House". RCP. April 19, 2019.
  28. David Chalian; Terence Burlij. "Road to 270: CNN's debut Electoral College map for 2020". CNN. Retrieved 2020-06-16.
  29. "Forecasting the US elections". The Economist. Retrieved 7 July 2020.
  30. "2020 Election Battleground Tracker". CBS News. July 12, 2020. Retrieved July 13, 2020.
  31. "2020 Presidential Election Interactive Map". 270 to Win.
  32. "ABC News Race Ratings". CBS News. July 24, 2020. Retrieved July 24, 2020.
  33. "2020 Electoral Map Ratings: Trump Slides, Biden Advantage Expands Over 270 Votes".
  34. "Biden dominates the electoral map, but here's how the race could tighten". NBC News. Retrieved 2020-08-06.
  35. "2020 Election Forecast". FiveThirtyEight. Retrieved 14 August 2020.
  36. "Official List of Candidates" (PDF). Nebraska Secretary of State. Retrieved 2020-09-17.

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