This article lists EU-wide seat projections and popular vote estimates as well as national polls for the 2029 European Parliament election.
Seat projections
This table lists the seat projections for the political groups of the European Parliament. The projections can be based on an aggregation of national european election polls, national election polls and election results from all member states.
| Organisation | Release date |
Ref. | The Left | S&D | G/EFA | Renew | EPP | ECR | PfE | ESN | NI | Others | Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Der Föderalist | 2 Dec 2024 | 43 | 131 | 41 | 83 | 186 | 73 | 100 | 27 | 24 | 12 | 55 | |
| Europe Elects | 30 Nov 2024 | 53 | 134 | 36 | 81 | 183 | 77 | 100 | 29 | 24 | 3 | 49 | |
| Europe Elects | 31 Oct 2024 | 52 | 137 | 34 | 82 | 183 | 76 | 98 | 28 | 28 | 2 | 46 | |
| Der Föderalist | 7 Oct 2024 | 44 | 136 | 41 | 79 | 186 | 74 | 96 | 26 | 29 | 9 | 50 | |
| Europe Elects | 30 Sep 2024 | 46 | 141 | 40 | 73 | 185 | 82 | 93 | 27 | 31 | 2 | 44 | |
| Europe Elects | 31 Aug 2024 | 45 | 140 | 44 | 72 | 186 | 80 | 92 | 26 | 32 | 3 | 46 | |
| Der Föderalist | 12 Aug 2024 | 44 | 137 | 45 | 77 | 191 | 73 | 88 | 25 | 31 | 9 | 54 | |
| 2024 European Parliament election | 6–9 June 2024 | 46 | 136 | 53 | 77 | 188 | 78 | 84 | 25 | 33 | – | 52 |
Popular vote projections
This table lists the vote share projection for the political groups of the European Parliament. The projections can be based on an aggregation of national european election polls, national election polls and election results from all member states.
| Organisation | Release date |
Ref. | The Left | S&D | G/EFA | Renew | EPP | ECR | PfE | ESN | NI | Others | Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Europe Elects | 30 Nov 2024 | 8.7% | 18.1% | 6.5% | 10.2% | 23.7% | 10.4% | 11.1% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 5.6% | |
| Europe Elects | 31 Oct 2024 | 8.5% | 18.3% | 6.4% | 10.5% | 23.4% | 10.2% | 10.7% | 5.1% | 4% | 2.9% | 5.1% | |
| Europe Elects | 30 Sep 2024 | 8.1% | 18.9% | 7.1% | 9.4% | 23.6% | 9.3% | 9.9% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 4.7% | |
| Europe Elects | 31 Aug 2024 | 6.7% | 17.7% | 6.0% | 8.4% | 22.8% | 9.3% | 9.1% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 7.8% | 5.1% | |
| 2024 European Parliament election | 6–9 June 2024 | 6.74% | 18.82% | 8.88% | 10.68% | 20.80% | 12.22% | 9.36% | – | 9.07% | 3.43% | 1.98% |
Notes
- Seats for national parties that are not represented in the European Parliament and do not belong to any European party.
- Vote share for national parties that are not represented in the European Parliament and do not belong to any European party.
- As Identity and Democracy group in the 2024 election.
References
- "European Parliament 2024-2029 Constitutive session". European Parliament. Retrieved 1 September 2024.
- ^ "European Parliament projection 2024-2029". europeelects.eu. Retrieved 1 September 2024.
- Müller, Manuel (5 December 2024). "European Parliament seat projection (December 2024): Socialists in decline, far right at all-time high". foederalist.eu. Retrieved 29 December 2024.
- ^ "European Parliament projection 2024-2029". europeelects.eu. 30 November 2024. Retrieved 29 December 2024.
- ^ "European Parliament projection 2024-2029". europeelects.eu. Retrieved 29 December 2024.
- Müller, Manuel (11 October 2024). "European Parliament seat projection (October 2024): Far right makes further gains, EPP and Greens lose ground". foederalist.eu. Retrieved 11 October 2024.
- ^ "European Parliament projection 2024-2029". europeelects.eu. Retrieved 20 October 2024.
- Müller, Manuel (16 August 2024). "European Parliament seat projection (August 2024): EPP continues to gain ground". foederalist.eu. Retrieved 1 September 2024.
- "European Parliament 2024-2029". European Parliament. 23 July 2024.
- "European Parliament Election 2024". europeelects.eu.
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