2016 United States presidential election in Montana: Difference between revisions

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Revision as of 21:33, 8 August 2017 edit2602:306:bc4b:6430:44d2:623a:94a9:9131 (talk) The percentage numbers were slightly off← Previous edit		Revision as of 23:11, 8 August 2017 edit undoDennis Bratland (talk \| contribs)Extended confirmed users61,245 edits using {{tl\|percent}} for this math. Reults table doesn't include See https://sos.mt.gov/Portals/142/Elections/archives/2010s/2016/2016GeneralStatewideCanvass.pdfTag: nowiki addedNext edit →
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	\| electoral_vote1 = '''3'''		\| electoral_vote1 = '''3'''
	\| popular_vote1 = '''279,240'''		\| popular_vote1 = '''279,240'''
	\| percentage1 = '''~~56.17%~~'''		\| percentage1 = '''{{Percentage \| 279240 \| 497149 \| 1 }}'''
	\| map_image = Montana Presidential Election Results 2016.svg		\| map_image = Montana Presidential Election Results 2016.svg
	\| map_size = 350px		\| map_size = 350px
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	\| electoral_vote2 = 0		\| electoral_vote2 = 0
	\| popular_vote2 = 177,709		\| popular_vote2 = 177,709
	\| percentage2 = ~~35.75%~~		\| percentage2 = {{Percentage \| 177709 \| 497149 \| 1 }}
	\| image3 = ]<!-- Please don't change infobox images without first discussing on the talk page. -->		\| image3 = ]<!-- Please don't change infobox images without first discussing on the talk page. -->
	\| nominee3 = ]		\| nominee3 = ]
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	\| states_carried3 =		\| states_carried3 =
	\| popular_vote3 = 28,037		\| popular_vote3 = 28,037
	\| percentage3 = ~~5.6%~~		\| percentage3 = {{Percentage \| 28037 \| 497149 \| 1 }}
	\| map2_image = Montana 2016 presidential results by county.png		\| map2_image = Montana 2016 presidential results by county.png
	\| map2_size = 350px		\| map2_size = 350px
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	{{ElectionsMT}}		{{ElectionsMT}}

	The '''2016 United States presidential election in Montana''' was won by ] ] and running mate ], on November 8, 2016, with ~~56.6%~~ of the vote, as part of the ]. ] nominee ] and ] received ~~33.2%~~ of the vote.<ref>{{cite web\|url=https://www.nytimes.com/elections/results/montana\|title=Montana Election Results 2016 – The New York Times\|accessdate=November 11, 2016}}</ref> ] assigns all of its three ] to the winner of the state's popular vote.		The '''2016 United States presidential election in Montana''' was won by ] ] and running mate ], on November 8, 2016, with {{Percentage \| 279240 \| 497149 \| 1 }} of the vote, as part of the ]. ] nominee ] and ] received {{Percentage \| 177709 \| 497149 \| 1 }} of the vote.<ref>{{cite web\|url=https://www.nytimes.com/elections/results/montana\|title=Montana Election Results 2016 – The New York Times\|accessdate=November 11, 2016}}</ref> ] assigns all of its three ] to the winner of the state's popular vote.

	The Montana ] was on June 7, 2016, selecting nominees for the two major parties, as well as the ]. Registered members of each party may only vote in their party's primary, while voters who are unaffiliated may choose any one primary in which to vote.		The Montana ] was on June 7, 2016, selecting nominees for the two major parties, as well as the ]. Registered members of each party may only vote in their party's primary, while voters who are unaffiliated may choose any one primary in which to vote.

	Trump's margin was 20.4 percentage points, exceeding ] 14.7 point lead in 2012, and ] 2.4 points in 2008. Republicans have won Montana in every presidential election since ]. Libertarian nominee and third-party candidate ] received 5.6% of the vote.		Trump's margin was 23.4 percentage points, exceeding ] 13.7 point lead in 2012, and ] 2.4 points in 2008. Republicans have won Montana in every presidential election since ]. Libertarian nominee and third-party candidate ] received 5.6% of the vote.

	== Primary Elections ==		== Primary Elections ==
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	===Results by county===		===Results by county===
	Preliminary general election results for President {{As of\|2016\|12\|14\|lc=y}} by county.<ref> (PDF) Montana Secretary Of State Linda ~~Mcculloch~~. Accessed December 14, 2016.</ref>		Preliminary general election results for President {{As of\|2016\|12\|14\|lc=y}} by county, excluding 2,623 write-in votes.<ref> (PDF) Montana Secretary Of State Linda McCulloch. Accessed December 14, 2016.</ref>
	{\| class="wikitable"		{\| class="wikitable"
	! rowspan="2" colspan="2" \| County \|\| colspan="6" \| Candidate		! rowspan="2" colspan="2" \| County \|\| colspan="6" \| Candidate
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	\| votes \|\| 40,920 \|\| 22,171 \|\| 4,316 \|\| 898 \|\| 239 \|\| 68,544		\| votes \|\| 40,920 \|\| 22,171 \|\| 4,316 \|\| 898 \|\| 239 \|\| 68,544
	\|-		\|-
	\| rowspan="2" \| '''Total''' \|\| percent \|\| 56.47% \|\| 35.94% \|\| 5.67% \|\| 1.61% \|\| 0.32% \|\| 100.00%		\| rowspan="2" \| '''Total''' \|\| percent* \|\| '''56.47%''' \|\| 35.94% \|\| 5.67% \|\| 1.61% \|\| 0.32% \|\| 100.00%
	\|-		\|-
	\| votes \|\| 279,240 \|\| 177,709 \|\| 28,037 \|\| 7,970 \|\| 1,570 \|\| 494,526		\| votes* \|\| '''279,240''' \|\| 177,709 \|\| 28,037 \|\| 7,970 \|\| 1,570 \|\| 494,526*
	\|}		\|}
			<nowiki>*</nowiki> Excludes 2,623 write-in votes

	== Analysis ==		== Analysis ==

Revision as of 23:11, 8 August 2017

Main article: United States presidential election, 2016

United States presidential election in Montana, 2016

← 2012

November 8, 2016

2020 →

Turnout

74.44%


Nominee	Donald Trump	Hillary Clinton	Gary Johnson
Party	Republican	Democratic	Libertarian
Home state	New York	New York	New Mexico
Running mate	Mike Pence	Tim Kaine	William Weld
Electoral vote	3	0	0
Popular vote	279,240	177,709	28,037
Percentage	56.2%	35.7%	5.6%

County results

Trump

40-50% 50-60% 60-70% 70-80% 80-90% >90%

Clinton

40-50% 50-60% 60-70%

Results by county showing number of votes by size and candidates by color

President before election

Barack Obama
Democratic

Elected President

Donald Trump
Republican

Elections in Montana

Federal government

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Billings

Mayoral elections
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Missoula

Mayoral elections
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Great Falls

Mayoral elections
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Bozeman

Mayoral elections
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Helena

Mayoral elections
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The 2016 United States presidential election in Montana was won by Republican Donald Trump and running mate Mike Pence, on November 8, 2016, with 56.2% of the vote, as part of the 2016 general election. Democratic Party nominee Hillary Clinton and Tim Kaine received 35.7% of the vote. Montana assigns all of its three Electoral votes to the winner of the state's popular vote.

The Montana primary was on June 7, 2016, selecting nominees for the two major parties, as well as the Libertarian Party. Registered members of each party may only vote in their party's primary, while voters who are unaffiliated may choose any one primary in which to vote.

Trump's margin was 23.4 percentage points, exceeding Mitt Romney 13.7 point lead in 2012, and John McCain 2.4 points in 2008. Republicans have won Montana in every presidential election since 1996. Libertarian nominee and third-party candidate Gary Johnson received 5.6% of the vote.

Primary Elections

Democratic primary

Main article: Montana Democratic primary, 2016

Four candidates appeared on the Democratic presidential primary ballot:

Montana Democratic primary, June 7, 2016
Candidate	Popular vote		Estimated delegates
Candidate	Count	Percentage	Pledged	Unpledged	Total
Bernie Sanders	65,156	51.56%	11	1	12
Hillary Clinton	55,805	44.16%	10	5	15
No preference	5,415	4.28%	0	0	0
Uncommitted	—		0	0	0
Total	126,376	100%	21	6	27
Source:

Republican primary

Twelve candidates appeared on the Republican presidential primary ballot:

Jeb Bush (withdrawn)
Ben Carson (withdrawn)
Chris Christie (withdrawn)
Ted Cruz (withdrawn)
Carly Fiorina (withdrawn)
Jim Gilmore (withdrawn)
Mike Huckabee (withdrawn)
John Kasich (withdrawn)
Rand Paul (withdrawn)
Marco Rubio (withdrawn)
Rick Santorum (withdrawn)
Donald Trump

Montana Republican primary, June 7, 2016
Candidate	Votes	Percentage	Actual delegate count
Candidate	Votes	Percentage	Bound	Unbound	Total
Donald Trump	115,594	73.68%	27	0	27
Ted Cruz (withdrawn)	14,682	9.36%	0	0	0
John Kasich (withdrawn)	10,777	6.87%	0	0	0
No preference	7,369	4.70%	0	0	0
Marco Rubio (withdrawn)	5,192	3.31%	0	0	0
Jeb Bush (withdrawn)	3,274	2.09%	0	0	0
Unprojected delegates:			0	0	0
Total:	156,888	100.00%	27	0	27
Source: The Green Papers

Results

Results by county

Preliminary general election results for President as of 14 December 2016 by county, excluding 2,623 write-in votes.

County		Candidate
County		Trump	Clinton	Johnson	Stein	De La Fuente	Total
Beaverhead	percent	69.15%	23.57%	5.47%	1.44%	0.37%	100.00%
Beaverhead	votes	3,353	1,143	265	70	18	4,849
Big Horn	percent	43.87%	49.57%	4.38%	1.68%	0.50%	100.00%
Big Horn	votes	1,853	2,094	185	71	21	4,224
Blaine	percent	47.47%	45.00%	3.82%	2.73%	0.97%	100.00%
Blaine	votes	1,268	1,202	102	73	26	2,671
Broadwater	percent	74.97%	18.30%	5.40%	1.18%	0.16%	100.00%
Broadwater	votes	2,348	573	169	37	5	3,132
Carbon	percent	62.81%	30.64%	5.14%	1.17%	0.23%	100.00%
Carbon	votes	3,748	1,828	307	70	14	5,967
Carter	percent	87.03%	8.99%	3.08%	0.77%	0.13%	100.00%
Carter	votes	678	70	24	6	1	779
Cascade	percent	57.10%	35.41%	5.81%	1.30%	0.39%	100.00%
Cascade	votes	19,632	12,175	1,996	446	135	34,384
Chouteau	percent	64.85%	28.27%	5.06%	1.43%	0.39%	100.00%
Chouteau	votes	1,679	732	131	37	10	2,589
Custer	percent	70.53%	22.68%	5.82%	0.68%	0.29%	100.00%
Custer	votes	3,657	1,176	302	35	15	5,185
Daniels	percent	76.44%	17.59%	5.34%	0.63%	0.00%	100.00%
Daniels	votes	730	168	51	6	0	955
Dawson	percent	76.66%	18.17%	4.25%	0.76%	0.16%	100.00%
Dawson	votes	3,320	787	184	33	7	4,331
Deer Lodge	percent	42.04%	49.07%	6.58%	1.76%	0.55%	100.00%
Deer Lodge	votes	1,763	2,058	276	74	23	4,194
Fallon	percent	86.19%	10.38%	3.03%	0.27%	0.13%	100.00%
Fallon	votes	1,279	154	45	4	2	1,484
Fergus	percent	73.10%	20.58%	5.17%	0.89%	0.26%	100.00%
Fergus	votes	4,269	1,202	302	52	15	5,840
Flathead	percent	65.04%	28.59%	4.73%	1.41%	0.23%	100.00%
Flathead	votes	30,240	13,293	2,199	656	106	46,494
Gallatin	percent	44.66%	45.50%	7.53%	1.99%	0.32%	100.00%
Gallatin	votes	23,802	24,246	4,015	1,061	168	53,292
Garfield	percent	91.20%	4.75%	3.77%	0.14%	0.14%	100.00%
Garfield	votes	653	34	27	1	1	716
Glacier	percent	32.01%	61.67%	4.01%	1.88%	0.43%	100.00%
Glacier	votes	1,620	3,121	203	95	22	5,061
Golden Valley	percent	77.49%	15.07%	6.16%	0.64%	0.64%	100.00%
Golden Valley	votes	365	71	29	3	3	471
Granite	percent	67.15%	26.59%	4.68%	1.41%	0.17%	100.00%
Granite	votes	1,192	472	83	25	3	1,775
Hill	percent	54.12%	36.90%	6.82%	1.84%	0.33%	100.00%
Hill	votes	3,478	2,371	438	118	21	6,426
Jefferson	percent	62.64%	29.96%	5.91%	1.12%	0.36%	100.00%
Jefferson	votes	4,177	1,998	394	75	24	6,668
Judith Basin	percent	72.61%	19.57%	6.58%	1.00%	0.25%	100.00%
Judith Basin	votes	872	235	79	12	3	1,201
Lake	percent	57.44%	36.43%	4.07%	1.75%	0.31%	100.00%
Lake	votes	7,530	4,776	534	229	41	13,110
Lewis and Clark	percent	49.34%	42.28%	6.45%	1.63%	0.30%	100.00%
Lewis and Clark	votes	16,895	14,478	2,210	559	103	34,245
Liberty	percent	73.01%	21.55%	4.92%	0.21%	0.31%	100.00%
Liberty	votes	698	206	47	2	3	956
Lincoln	percent	72.48%	21.98%	4.27%	1.03%	0.24%	100.00%
Lincoln	votes	6,729	2,041	396	96	22	9,284
Madison	percent	69.51%	24.88%	4.11%	1.22%	0.27%	100.00%
Madison	votes	3,297	1,180	195	58	13	4,743
McCone	percent	81.32%	14.53%	3.49%	0.66%	0.00%	100.00%
McCone	votes	862	154	37	7	0	1,060
Meagher	percent	74.77%	19.79%	4.21%	1.03%	0.21%	100.00%
Meagher	votes	729	193	41	10	2	975
Mineral	percent	66.40%	25.91%	5.39%	1.75%	0.55%	100.00%
Mineral	votes	1,330	519	108	35	11	2,003
Missoula	percent	37.70%	53.44%	5.69%	2.89%	0.29%	100.00%
Missoula	votes	22,250	31,543	3,357	1,704	172	59,026
Musselshell	percent	81.42%	13.74%	3.89%	0.75%	0.21%	100.00%
Musselshell	votes	1,967	332	94	18	5	2,416
Park	percent	53.51%	38.63%	5.37%	2.15%	0.33%	100.00%
Park	votes	4,980	3,595	500	200	31	9,306
Petroleum	percent	86.34%	9.32%	3.73%	0.31%	0.31%	100.00%
Petroleum	votes	278	30	12	1	1	322
Phillips	percent	79.73%	14.72%	4.58%	0.88%	0.09%	100.00%
Phillips	votes	1,723	318	99	19	2	2,161
Pondera	percent	66.24%	27.17%	4.97%	1.25%	0.37%	100.00%
Pondera	votes	1,799	738	135	34	10	2,716
Powder River	percent	84.11%	12.08%	3.71%	0.10%	0.00%	100.00%
Powder River	votes	884	127	39	1	0	1,051
Powell	percent	72.62%	19.72%	5.83%	1.47%	0.36%	100.00%
Powell	votes	2,029	551	163	41	10	2,794
Prairie	percent	80.70%	14.51%	4.35%	0.15%	0.29%	100.00%
Prairie	votes	556	100	30	1	2	689
Ravalli	percent	66.28%	27.85%	4.44%	1.17%	0.27%	100.00%
Ravalli	votes	14,810	6,223	992	261	60	22,346
Richland	percent	80.63%	13.84%	4.93%	0.47%	0.12%	100.00%
Richland	votes	3,908	671	239	23	6	4,847
Roosevelt	percent	49.26%	42.76%	4.93%	2.60%	0.44%	100.00%
Roosevelt	votes	1,797	1,560	180	95	16	3,648
Rosebud	percent	65.49%	28.69%	4.42%	0.96%	0.44%	100.00%
Rosebud	votes	2,253	987	152	33	15	3,440
Sanders	percent	72.52%	20.61%	5.06%	1.59%	0.22%	100.00%
Sanders	votes	4,286	1,218	299	94	13	5,910
Sheridan	percent	67.74%	26.04%	5.02%	1.09%	0.11%	100.00%
Sheridan	votes	1,241	477	92	20	2	1,832
Silver Bow	percent	38.79%	52.43%	6.43%	1.78%	0.57%	100.00%
Silver Bow	votes	6,376	8,619	1,057	293	94	16,439
Stillwater	percent	75.24%	18.66%	5.16%	0.72%	0.23%	100.00%
Stillwater	votes	3,661	908	251	35	11	4,866
Sweet Grass	percent	75.95%	19.14%	3.67%	1.10%	0.14%	100.00%
Sweet Grass	votes	1,595	402	77	23	3	2,100
Teton	percent	68.26%	25.42%	5.10%	0.85%	0.38%	100.00%
Teton	votes	2,170	808	162	27	12	3,179
Toole	percent	73.74%	19.80%	4.73%	1.43%	0.30%	100.00%
Toole	votes	1,497	402	96	29	6	2,030
Treasure	percent	79.23%	13.32%	5.87%	1.35%	0.23%	100.00%
Treasure	votes	351	59	26	6	1	443
Valley	percent	69.61%	22.86%	6.04%	1.14%	0.36%	100.00%
Valley	votes	2,698	886	234	44	14	3,876
Wheatland	percent	74.36%	18.96%	4.56%	1.48%	0.64%	100.00%
Wheatland	votes	702	179	43	14	6	944
Wibaux	percent	86.22%	10.24%	3.35%	0.00%	0.19%	100.00%
Wibaux	votes	463	55	18	0	1	537
Yellowstone	percent	59.70%	32.35%	6.30%	1.31%	0.35%	100.00%
Yellowstone	votes	40,920	22,171	4,316	898	239	68,544
Total	percent*	56.47%	35.94%	5.67%	1.61%	0.32%	100.00%
Total	votes*	279,240	177,709	28,037	7,970	1,570	494,526*

* Excludes 2,623 write-in votes

Analysis

Like every Republican nominee since 1996, Donald Trump carried Montana's three electoral votes. He won by a large margin, and he swept most of the plains counties in eastern Montana, traditionally the most conservative part of the state, by staggering margins sometimes exceeding 60 points. The eastern part of the state has benefitted from the recent energy boom in neighboring North Dakota, and its populace is suspect of the environmental movement championed by Democrats in recent elections.

Counties in the western part of the state are also traditionally Republican, with a ranching-based economy heavily dependent on the raising and production of cattle and hay, particularly in the counties bordering Idaho such as Beaverhead County and Revalli County. However, an influx of retirees from the West Coast have made the western region more competitive in recent elections.

The only significant counties won by Clinton were Missoula County where the city of Missoula is located, and Big Horn County and Glacier County, which are both majority Native American. While sweeping most of the rural, majority white conservative counties of the state, Trump also won in Lewis and Clark County where the capital city of Helena is located, in neighboring Cascade County where Great Falls is located, and in Yellowstone County where the city of Billings is located.

References

"Montana Election Results 2016 – The New York Times". Retrieved November 11, 2016.
The Green Papers
Montana Secretary of State - Official Primary Results
2016 Statewide General Election Canvass (PDF) Montana Secretary Of State Linda McCulloch. Accessed December 14, 2016.
Cohen, Micah (2012-06-21). "Presidential Geography: Montana". FiveThirtyEight. Retrieved 2016-11-26.
"Montana Election Results 2016". Retrieved 2016-11-26.

External links

RNC 2016 Republican Nominating Process
Green papers for 2016 primaries, caucuses, and conventions
2016 Presidential primaries, ElectionProjection.com

(← 2012) 2016 United States presidential election (2020 →)

Donald Trump, Mike Pence (R), 304 electoral votes; Hillary Clinton, Tim Kaine (D), 227 electoral votes

Republican Party
▌AIP · ▌CPNY · ▌RTLP

Debates and forums

Endorsements

Primaries

Polls (national · statewide · straw)

Results

Convention

VP candidate selection

Candidates

Nominee

Donald Trump

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Revision as of 23:11, 8 August 2017

Primary Elections

Democratic primary

Republican primary

Results

Results by county

Analysis

See also

References

External links