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Revision as of 07:33, 13 January 2025 by Leo0502 (talk | contribs) (Move polling to separate page)(diff) ← Previous revision | Latest revision (diff) | Newer revision → (diff)During the months leading up to the 2025 Polish presidential election, various organizations carry out opinion polling to gauge voters' intentions in Poland. Results of such polls are displayed in this article.
The date range for these opinion polls are from the previous presidential election, held on 24 May 2015, to the present day. The next presidential election is scheduled to be held on 18 May 2025.
Graphical summary
First round
| Polling firm/Link | Fieldwork date |
Sample size |
Nawrocki PiS |
Trzaskowski PO |
Hołownia PL2050 |
Biejat NL |
Mentzen Confederation |
Jakubiak WR |
Others | Don't know | Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| United Surveys / WP.pl | 20–22 Dec 2024 | 1,000 | 28.8 | 36.2 | 10.2 | 5.8 | 10.1 | 1.3 | 7.6 | 7.4 | |
| IBRiS / "Wydarzenia" Polsat | 19–21 Dec 2024 | 1,000 | 26.2 | 35.7 | 10.1 | 6.1 | 9.6 | 1.6 | 0.0 | 10.8 | 9.5 |
| IPSOS / TVP Info | 17–18 Dec 2024 | – | 22 | 35 | 8 | 5 | 14 | 3 | 1 | 12 | 13 |
| Opinia24 / RMF FM | Dec 2024 | 1,000 | 23.3 | 38.6 | 7.4 | 2.6 | 10.7 | 1.3 | 6.6 | 9.5 | 15.3 |
| Pollster / "SE.pl" | 10–11 Dec 2024 | 1,005 | 28.70 | 41.96 | 10.67 | 3.26 | 12.68 | 2.73 | 13.26 | ||
| United Surveys / WP.pl | 6–8 Dec 2024 | 1,000 | 30.3 | 36.9 | 7.9 | 4.8 | 7.3 | 0.5 | 12.3 | 6.6 | |
| SW Research / Wprost | Nov 2024 | – | 13.1 | 38.6 | 8.5 | 11.8 | 3.7 | 24.2 | 25.5 | ||
| Opinia24 / TVN24 | Nov 2024 | – | 26 | 41 | 9 | 12 | 8 | 4 | 15 |
Hypothetical polling
Hypothetical polling before confirmed candidates| Polling firm/Link | Fieldwork date |
Sample size |
Błaszczak PiS |
Bocheński PiS |
Czarnek PiS |
Jaki PiS |
Morawiecki PiS |
Nawrocki PiS |
Witek PiS |
Sikorski PO |
Trzaskowski PO |
Tusk PO |
Hołownia PL2050 |
Kosiniak-Kamysz PSL |
Biedroń NL |
Dziemianowicz-Bąk NL |
Biejat Razem/NL |
Zandberg Razem |
Bosak Confederation |
Mentzen Confederation |
Jakubiak WR |
Others | Don't know | Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pollster / "SE.pl" | 25–26 Nov 2024 | 1,015 | 21 | 35 | 10 | 4 | 11 | 4 | 15 | 14 | ||||||||||||||
| United Surveys / WP.pl | 22–24 Nov 2024 | 1,000 | 24.5 | 40.4 | 9.2 | 7.5 | 10.7 | 2.2 | 5.5 | 15.9 | ||||||||||||||
| United Surveys / WP.pl | 21 Nov 2024 | 1,000 | 27.8 | 35.8 | 10.9 | 5.1 | 9.9 | 10.5 | 8.0 | |||||||||||||||
| 28.9 | 32.3 | 12.0 | 6.7 | 9.8 | 10.3 | 3.4 | ||||||||||||||||||
| United Surveys / WP.pl | 8–10 Nov 2024 | 1,000 | 27.2 | 34.8 | 10.6 | 6.5 | 10.7 | 2.2 | 8.0 | 7.6 | ||||||||||||||
| 27.5 | 29.4 | 10.5 | 8.5 | 11.5 | 2.0 | 10.6 | 1.9 | |||||||||||||||||
| United Surveys / WP.pl | 11–13 Oct 2024 | 1,000 | 26.6 | 39.4 | 11.4 | 5.9 | 9.3 | 7.4 | 12.8 | |||||||||||||||
| 26.0 | 25.5 | 15.1 | 8.5 | 13.0 | 11.9 | 0.5 | ||||||||||||||||||
| IBRiS / Rzeczpospolita | 11–12 Oct 2024 | 1,071 | 22.2 | 34.2 | 10.2 | 7.7 | 8.6 | 3.7 | 13.4 | 12.0 | ||||||||||||||
| IBRiS / Onet | 10 Sep 2024 | 1,000 | 26.4 | 33.0 | 8.8 | 4.9 | 8.4 | 4.1 | 14.3 | 6.6 | ||||||||||||||
| 23.8 | 32.9 | 8.6 | 4.9 | 8.1 | 7.6 | 14.0 | 9.1 | |||||||||||||||||
| 17.2 | 34.8 | 8.8 | 4.9 | 9.2 | 7.3 | 17.7 | 17.6 | |||||||||||||||||
| United Surveys / WP.pl | 26–28 Jul 2024 | 1,000 | 27.6 | 32.4 | 11.2 | 7.9 | 15.6 | 5.3 | 4.8 | |||||||||||||||
| United Surveys / DGP, RMF | 26–28 Jul 2024 | 1,000 | 29.3 | 34.8 | 10.1 | 8.4 | 7.9 | 2.0 | 7.4 | 5.5 | ||||||||||||||
| IPSOS / DoRzeczy.pl | 1–3 Jul 2024 | 1,000 | 27 | 33 | 11 | 7 | 13 | 9 | 6 | |||||||||||||||
| 28 | 32 | 11 | 6 | 15 | 8 | 4 | ||||||||||||||||||
| United Surveys / WP.pl | 7–9 Jun 2024 | 1,000 | 24.8 | 29.2 | 13.6 | 2.6 | 6.6 | 7.1 | 16.1 | 4.4 | ||||||||||||||
| United Surveys / WP.pl | 24–26 May 2024 | 1,000 | 25.6 | 29.2 | 10.2 | 3.4 | 7.9 | 8.2 | 15.5 | 3.6 | ||||||||||||||
| United Surveys / WP.pl | 10–12 May 2024 | 1,000 | 25.5 | 29.6 | 13.8 | 4.4 | 9.3 | 17.4 | 4.1 | |||||||||||||||
| OGB / Stan Polityki | 22–25 Apr 2024 | 804 | 7.20 | 26.15 | 29.34 | 5.77 | 12.74 | 3.42 | 1.22 | 1.55 | 6.71 | 5.90 | 3.19 | |||||||||||
| United Surveys / WP.pl | 6–7 Apr 2024 | 1,000 | 22.4 | 29.0 | 17.1 | 3.3 | 3.8 | 4.7 | 8.6 | 11.2 | 6.6 | |||||||||||||
| IPSOS / OKO.press, TOK FM | 22–26 Feb 2024 | 1,000 | 25 | 26 | 16 | 4 | 10 | 3 | 9 | 1 | ||||||||||||||
| United Surveys / WP.pl | 23–25 Feb 2024 | 1,000 | 25.9 | 30.8 | 23.1 | 4.5 | 8.0 | 7.7 | 4.9 | |||||||||||||||
| Pollster / SE.pl | 11 Feb 2024 | 1,060 | 20.92 | 32.53 | 25.21 | 5.45 | 2.65 | 7.66 | 5.58 | 7.32 | ||||||||||||||
| United Surveys / WP.pl | 10–11 Feb 2024 | 1,000 | 24.3 | 22.2 | 24.8 | 1.3 | 1.9 | 6.5 | 9.0 | 10.0 | 0.5 | |||||||||||||
| IBRiS / Radio Zet | 9–10 Feb 2024 | 1,070 | 16.1 | 28.3 | 24.0 | 5.2 | 26.4 | 4.3 | ||||||||||||||||
| IBRiS / Onet | 26–27 Jan 2024 | 1,070 | 24.9 | 25.8 | 24.6 | 4.3 | 3.5 | 8.0 | 8.9 | 0.9 | ||||||||||||||
| Pollster / SE.pl | 17 Dec 2023 | 1,033 | 27 | 30 | 20 | 5 | 18 | 3 | ||||||||||||||||
| United Surveys / DGP, RMF | 8–10 Dec 2023 | 1,000 | 2.6 | 9.9 | 1.2 | 24.5 | 0.9 | 11.9 | 1.2 | 2.7 | 2.2 | 1.6 | 33.1 | 6.6 | 12.6 | |||||||||
| IBRiS / Onet | 24–25 Nov 2023 | – | 29.9 | 34.6 | 11.7 | 6.3 | 7.2 | 1.5 | 8.9 | 4.7 | ||||||||||||||
| 21.4 | 25.6 | 16.7 | 8.6 | 8.0 | 8.0 | 11.7 | 4.2 | |||||||||||||||||
| United Surveys / WP.pl | 17–19 Nov 2023 | 1,000 | 19.0 | 33.8 | 13.4 | 4.5 | 8.3 | 18.3 | 2.7 | 14.8 | ||||||||||||||
Second round
Nawrocki v. Trzaskowski
| Polling firm/Link | Fieldwork date |
Sample size |
Nawrocki PiS |
Trzaskowski PO |
Don't know | Abstain | Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| United Surveys / WP.pl | 20–22 Dec 2024 | 1,000 | 35.9 | 56.9 | 6.5 | 1.4 | 21.0 |
| IPSOS / TVP Info | 17–18 Dec 2024 | – | 34 | 42 | 12 | 12 | 8 |
| Opinia24 / RMF FM | Dec 2024 | 1,000 | 34.1 | 48.9 | 17.0 | 14.8 | |
| United Surveys / WP.pl | 6–8 Dec 2024 | 1,000 | 41.2 | 50.3 | 6.1 | 2.4 | 9.1 |
| Pollster / "SE.pl" | 25–26 Nov 2024 | 1,015 | 42 | 58 | 16 | ||
| Opinia24 / TVN24 | Nov 2024 | – | 41 | 52 | 7 | 11 | |
| United Surveys / WP.pl | 22–24 Nov 2024 | 1,000 | 33.7 | 55.9 | 6.8 | 3.6 | 22.2 |
| IBRiS / "Rz" | 22–23 Nov 2024 | 1,068 | 26.2 | 49.7 | 12.3 | 11.8 | 23.5 |
| IBRiS / "Wydarzenia" Polsat | 7–9 Nov 2024 | 1,000 | 36.4 | 49.99 | 13.8 | 13.61 | |
| United Surveys / WP.pl | 25–27 Oct 2024 | 1,000 | 37.6 | 55.8 | 6.6 | 18.2 | |
Hołownia v. Nawrocki
| Polling firm/Link | Fieldwork date |
Sample size |
Hołownia PL2050 |
Nawrocki PiS |
Don't know | Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pollster / "SE.pl" | 25–26 Nov 2024 | 1,015 | 58 | 42 | 16 |
Hołownia v. Trzaskowski
| Polling firm/Link | Fieldwork date |
Sample size |
Hołownia PL2050 |
Trzaskowski PO |
Don't know | Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pollster / "SE.pl" | 25–26 Nov 2024 | 1,015 | 33 | 67 | 34 | |
| United Surveys / WP.pl | 25–27 Oct 2024 | 1,000 | 29.5 | 51.6 | 18.9 | 22.1 |
Hypothetical polling
Hypothetical polling with different PiS candidateBocheński v. Trzaskowski
| Polling firm/Link | Fieldwork date |
Sample size |
Bocheński PiS |
Trzaskowski PO |
Don't know | Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGB / Stan Polityki | 22–25 Apr 2024 | 804 | 44.59 | 55.41 | 10.82 |
Czarnek v. Trzaskowski
| Polling firm/Link | Fieldwork date |
Sample size |
Czarnek PiS |
Trzaskowski PO |
Don't know | Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| IBRiS / "Wydarzenia" Polsat | 7–9 Nov 2024 | 1,000 | 35.2 | 50.9 | 15.9 | 15.7 |
Jaki v. Trzaskowski
| Polling firm/Link | Fieldwork date |
Sample size |
Jaki PiS |
Trzaskowski PO |
Don't know | Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| IPSOS / DoRzeczy.pl | 1–3 Jul 2024 | 1,000 | 39 | 49 | 12 | 10 |
Morawiecki v. Trzaskowski
| Polling firm/Link | Fieldwork date |
Sample size |
Morawiecki PiS |
Trzaskowski PO |
Don't know | Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| IPSOS / DoRzeczy.pl | 1–3 Jul 2024 | 1,000 | 38 | 48 | 14 | 10 |
| Pollster | 15 Jun 2024 | – | 38 | 62 | 24 |
PiS candidate v. Trzaskowski
| Polling firm/Link | Fieldwork date |
Sample size |
PiS |
Trzaskowski PO |
Don't know | Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| United Surveys / WP.pl | 21 Nov 2024 | 1,000 | 39.2 | 58.5 | 2.3 | 19.3 |
| IPSOS / PO | ? | ? | 36 | 53 | 8 | 17 |
Nawrocki v. Sikorski
| Polling firm/Link | Fieldwork date |
Sample size |
Nawrocki PiS |
Sikorski PO |
Don't know | Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| IBRiS / "Wydarzenia" Polsat | 7–9 Nov 2024 | 1,000 | 36.3 | 46.7 | 16.9 | 10.4 |
| United Surveys / WP.pl | 25–27 Oct 2024 | 1,000 | 38.3 | 54.1 | 7.6 | 15.8 |
Czarnek v. Sikorski
| Polling firm/Link | Fieldwork date |
Sample size |
Czarnek PiS |
Sikorski PO |
Don't know | Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| IBRiS / "Wydarzenia" Polsat | 7–9 Nov 2024 | 1,000 | 35.3 | 46.5 | 18.3 | 11.2 |
PiS candidate v. Sikorski
| Polling firm/Link | Fieldwork date |
Sample size |
PiS |
Sikorski PO |
Don't know | Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| United Surveys / WP.pl | 21 Nov 2024 | 1,000 | 42.4 | 54.9 | 2.7 | 12.5 |
Notes
- Piotr Szumlewicz [pl] (ind.) – 0.0
- Romuald Starosielec (RNP) – 0, Marek Woch (BS) – 0
- Paulina Matysiak (Razem) – 3.7
- Jacek Siewiera (ind.) – 4.1
- Jacek Siewiera (ind.) – 7.6
- Jacek Siewiera (ind.) – 7.3
- Dorota Gawryluk [pl] (ind.) – 7.1
- Dorota Gawryluk [pl] (ind.) – 8.2
- Beata Szydło (PiS) – 8.6
- Krzysztof Stanowski (ind.) – 3
- Dorota Gawryluk [pl] (ind.) – 1.89, Krzysztof Stanowski (ind.) – 1.11
- Beata Szydło (PiS) – 9.0
- Krzysztof Stanowski (ind.) – 3.2, Dorota Gawryluk [pl] (ind.) – 0.2
- Adam Bodnar (ind.) – 1.4, Kacper Płażyński (PiS) – 1.3, Jarosław Kaczyński (PiS) – 1.3
- Joanna Scheuring-Wielgus (NL) – 1.5
- Beata Szydło (PiS) – 7.7
References
| Opinion polling for future elections | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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| Africa |
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| Asia |
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| Europe |
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| North America |
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| Oceania |
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| Unless otherwise stated, all links are for parliamentary elections. | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
 Opinion polling for elections in Poland | |
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| Parliamentary elections | |
| Local elections | |
| Europarliamentary elections | |
| Presidential elections | |