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{{Short description|none}} | |||
{{Infobox Election | |||
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{{For|related races|2024 United States elections}} | ||
{{pp-vandalism|small=yes}} | |||
| country = United States | |||
{{Protection padlock|small=yes}} | |||
{{very long|date=December 2024}} | |||
{{Use mdy dates|date=November 2024}}{{Use American English|date=November 2024}} | |||
{{Infobox election | |||
| election_name = 2024 United States presidential election | |||
| country = United States | |||
| type = presidential | | type = presidential | ||
| opinion_polls = Nationwide opinion polling for the 2024 United States presidential election | |||
| opinion_polls = | |||
| |
| college_voted = yes | ||
| previous_election = United States presidential election |
| previous_election = 2020 United States presidential election | ||
| previous_year = |
| previous_year = 2020 | ||
| next_election = | | next_election = 2028 United States presidential election | ||
| next_year = ''2028'' | | next_year = ''2028'' | ||
| election_date = November 5, 2024 | | election_date = November 5, 2024{{efn|name=electionday}} | ||
| votes_for_election = 538 members of the ] | |||
| flag_year = | |||
| needed_votes = 270 electoral | |||
| votes_for_election = | |||
| turnout = 63.9% ({{decrease}}2.7 ])<ref>{{cite web |last1=Lindsay |first1=James M. |title=The 2024 Election by the Numbers |url=https://www.cfr.org/article/2024-election-numbers/ |website=] |access-date=20 December 2024 |date=18 December 2024}}</ref> | |||
| needed_votes = | |||
| map_image = {{2024 United States presidential election imagemap}} | |||
| image1 = | |||
| nominee1 = | |||
| party1 = | |||
| home_state1 = | |||
| popular_vote1 = | |||
| percentage1 = | |||
| image2 = | |||
| nominee2 = | |||
| party2 = | |||
| home_state2 = | |||
| popular_vote2 = | |||
| percentage2 = | |||
| map_image = | |||
| map_size = | | map_size = | ||
| image1 = Donald Trump official portrait (3x4a).jpg | |||
| map_caption = | |||
| image_size = 200x200px | |||
| nominee1 = ''']''' | |||
| party1 = Republican Party (United States) | |||
| home_state1 = ] | |||
| running_mate1 = ''']''' | |||
| electoral_vote1 = '''312''' | |||
| states_carried1 = '''31 + {{ushr|ME|2|ME-02}}''' | |||
| popular_vote1 = '''77,303,573'''<ref name="aper">{{Cite web |url=https://apnews.com/projects/election-results-2024/?office=P |title=2024 Presidential Election Results |publisher=] |date=January 2, 2025 |access-date=January 2, 2025}}</ref> | |||
| percentage1 = '''49.9%'''<ref name="aper"/> | |||
| image2 = Kamala Harris Vice Presidential Portrait (cropped).jpg | |||
| nominee2 = ] | |||
| party2 = Democratic Party (United States) | |||
| home_state2 = ] | |||
| running_mate2 = ] | |||
| electoral_vote2 = 226 | |||
| states_carried2 = 19 + ] + {{ushr|NE|2|NE-02}} | |||
| popular_vote2 = 75,019,257<ref name="aper"/> | |||
| percentage2 = 48.4%<ref name="aper"/> | |||
| map_caption = Presidential election results map. <span style="color:darkred;">Red</span> denotes states won by Trump/Vance and <span style="color:darkblue">blue</span> denotes those won by Harris/Walz. Numbers indicate ] cast by each state and the District of Columbia.<ref name=Results> | |||
* {{Cite web |title=Presidential Election 2024 Live Results: Donald Trump wins |url=https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/2024-elections/president-results |work=] |access-date=November 15, 2024}} | |||
* {{Cite web |title=Presidential election results 2024|url=https://edition.cnn.com/election/2024/results/president?election-data-id=2024-PG&election-painting-mode=projection-with-lead&filter-key-races=false&filter-flipped=false&filter-remaining=false |work=] |access-date=November 15, 2024}} | |||
* {{Cite news |title=Presidential election results 2024 data |url=https://www.cbsnews.com/elections/2024/president/ |work=] |access-date=November 15, 2024}} | |||
* {{Cite web |title=2024 Election: Donald Trump elected 47th President of the United States |url=https://apnews.com/live/trump-harris-election-updates-11-5-2024 |publisher=] |access-date=November 15, 2024}} | |||
* {{Cite web |title=2024 US Presidential Election Results: Live Map |url=https://abcnews.go.com/Elections/2024-us-presidential-election-results-live-map |work=] |access-date=November 15, 2024}}</ref> | |||
| title = President | | title = President | ||
| before_election = | | before_election = ] | ||
| before_party = | | before_party = Democratic Party (United States) | ||
| posttitle = <!--Please stop changing-->Elected President<!--Please stop changing--> | |||
| after_party = | |||
| after_election = | | after_election = ] | ||
| after_party = Republican Party (United States) | |||
}} | }} | ||
{{US 2024 presidential elections series}} | |||
] were held in the ] on November 5, 2024.{{efn|name=electionday|The majority of voters ] before November 5 in person or ],<ref>{{cite web |url=https://election.lab.ufl.edu/early-vote/2024-early-voting/ |title=2024 Early Voting |publisher=University of Florida Election Lab}}</ref> with the earliest state starting on September 11.<ref>{{cite web |url=https://apnews.com/article/election-2024-first-ballots-voting-alabama-mail-1ef4f9694cc5edbb07fd3d641d6d248e |title=The first general election ballots are going in the mail as the presidential contest nears |publisher=Associated Press |date=September 11, 2024}}</ref>}} The ]'s ]—], who was the 45th ] from 2017 to 2021, and ], the junior ] from ]—defeated the ]'s ticket—], the incumbent ], and ], the ].<ref name="APWin">{{Cite news |title=Trump wins the US Presidency |website=AP News |date=November 6, 2024 |url= https://apnews.com/live/trump-harris-election-updates-11-5-2024 |access-date=November 6, 2024}}</ref><ref>{{Cite news |last1=Tumin |first1=Remy |last2=Rogers |first2=Katie |date=November 6, 2024 |title=Harris Will Deliver Concession Speech to Nation After Losing to Donald Trump |url=https://www.nytimes.com/2024/11/06/us/politics/harris-concession-speech-address-time.html |access-date=November 6, 2024 |work=]}}</ref> Trump and Vance are ] as the 47th president and the 50th vice president on January 20, 2025.<ref name="apnov5">{{Cite web |last1=Miller |first1=Zeke |last2=Price |first2=Michelle L. |last3=Weissert |first3=Will |last4=Colvin |first4=Jill |date=November 5, 2024 |title=Trump wins the White House in political comeback rooted in appeals to frustrated voters |url=https://apnews.com/article/election-day-trump-harris-white-house-83c8e246ab97f5b97be45cdc156af4e2 |access-date=November 6, 2024 |publisher=]}}</ref> | |||
The '''United States presidential election of 2024''', is scheduled to be the 60th quadrennial U.S. presidential election. According to the formula prescribed, voters will select presidential electors who in turn will elect a new president and vice president through the electoral college. Assuming that no changes occur to the election process, a series of ] will held during the first six months of 2024. This nominating process is also an indirect election, where voters cast ballots for a slate of delegates to a political party's ], who then in turn elect their party's presidential nominee. | |||
The incumbent president, ] of the Democratic Party, initially ] as the party's ],<ref>{{cite web |url=https://www.cnbc.com/2023/04/25/joe-biden-announces-2024-reelection-campaign.html |title=Biden launches 2024 reelection campaign, promising to fulfill economic policy vision |last=Kinery|first= Emma |date=April 25, 2023 |publisher=CNBC|access-date=April 25, 2023|archive-date=April 25, 2023|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20230425102004/https://www.cnbc.com/2023/04/25/joe-biden-announces-2024-reelection-campaign.html|url-status=live}}</ref> facing little opposition and easily defeating Representative ] during the ];<ref>{{Cite news |last1=Gold |first1=Michael |last2=Nehamas |first2=Nicholas |date=March 13, 2024 |title=Donald Trump and Joe Biden Clinch Their Party Nominations |url=https://www.nytimes.com/2024/03/12/us/politics/trump-republican-nomination.html |access-date=March 13, 2024 |work=The New York Times |archive-date=March 13, 2024 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20240313034919/https://www.nytimes.com/2024/03/12/us/politics/trump-republican-nomination.html |url-status=live}}</ref> however, what was broadly considered a ] in June 2024 intensified ], and led to ] for him to leave the race.<ref>{{cite web |last1=Quinn |first1=Melissa |last2=Kim |first2=Ellis |title=More Democrats join wave of lawmakers calling on Biden to drop out of 2024 race |url=https://www.cbsnews.com/news/democrats-biden-drop-out-2024/ |publisher=CBS News|access-date=August 7, 2024 |date=July 19, 2024|archive-date=July 26, 2024|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20240726234941/https://www.cbsnews.com/news/democrats-biden-drop-out-2024/|url-status=live}}</ref> After initially declining to do so, ] on July 21, becoming the first eligible incumbent president to withdraw since ].<ref>{{cite web |last1=Kenning |first1=Chris |last2=Samuelsohn |first2=Darren |date=July 22, 2024 |title='It's unprecedented': Biden's exit is a history-making moment in the American presidency |url=https://www.usatoday.com/story/news/politics/elections/2024/07/22/biden-drops-out-presidential-history/74491426007/ |access-date=November 10, 2024 |website=USA Today}}</ref> Biden endorsed Harris,<ref name="NBC Timeline">{{cite web |last1=Pettypiece |first1=Shannon |last2=Murray |first2=Mark |title=Timeline: From the Biden-Trump debate to Biden's withdrawal: 25 days that shook American politics |url=https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/2024-election/timeline-biden-withdrawal-trump-debate-25-days-us-politics-rcna162965 |publisher=] |access-date=October 27, 2024 |date=July 22, 2024}}</ref> who was voted ] by the delegates on August 5, 2024. Harris ].<ref>{{cite news |last1=Goldmacher |first1=Shane |last2=Rogers |first2=Katie |last3=Epstein |first3=Reid J. |last4=Glueck |first4=Katie |date=August 6, 2024 |title=How Kamala Harris Trusted Her Gut and Picked Tim Walz |url=https://www.nytimes.com/2024/08/06/us/politics/harris-tim-walz-vp-pick.html |access-date=November 10, 2024 |work=The New York Times |issn=1553-8095 }} Updated August 19, 2024.</ref><ref>{{cite news |date=November 6, 2024 |title=Did Kamala Harris make a mistake by naming Tim Walz as her running mate in U.S election 2024? Here's what Nate Silver says |url=https://economictimes.indiatimes.com/news/international/us/did-kamala-harris-make-a-mistake-by-naming-tim-walz-as-her-running-mate-in-u-s-election-2024-heres-what-nate-silver-says/articleshow/114991239.cms |access-date=November 10, 2024 |work=The Economic Times |issn=0013-0389}}</ref> | |||
==Schedule== | |||
The 2024 U.S. presidential election is scheduled to be held on Tuesday, November 5, 2024.<ref name="va">{{cite web|title=Election Planning Calendar|url=http://www.essex-virginia.org/UserFiles/Servers/Server_62876/File/Voter%20Registration/Election%20Planning%20Calendar%20Through%202024%20%28ESSEX%29.pdf|website=essex-virginia.org|publisher=]|accessdate=6 February 2016}}</ref> The general election will follow caucuses and primary elections held to determine the nominees of the major parties. ] has scheduled a ] for March 5, 2024.<ref name="va"/> | |||
Trump, who lost in ] to Biden, ] again.<ref>{{Cite web |last1=Orr |first1=Gabby |last2=Holmes |first2=Kristen |last3=Stracqualursi |first3=Veronica |date=November 16, 2022 |title=Former President Donald Trump announces a White House bid for 2024 |url=https://www.cnn.com/2022/11/15/politics/trump-2024-presidential-bid/index.html |url-status=live |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20230115195034/https://www.cnn.com/2022/11/15/politics/trump-2024-presidential-bid/index.html |archive-date=January 15, 2023 |access-date=July 24, 2024 |website=] |publisher=}}</ref> He was nominated during the ] along with his running mate, Vance, after winning the ] by easily defeating former Governor ]. The Trump campaign was noted for making many ], including the claim that ] from Trump,<ref name="Associated Press-2023-2" /><ref name="The Washington Post-2024-2"/><ref name="Los Angeles Times-2024" /><ref name="The Washington Post-2024" /> engaging in anti-immigrant ],{{Efn|name=Fearmongering}} and ].<ref name="The New York Times-2022" /><ref name="The Associated Press-2023" /> Trump's ] was described by several historians and former ] officials as ], featuring ], and using ] rhetoric toward his political opponents.{{efn|name=Rhetoric1}}{{Efn|name=Fascist}} | |||
==Key factors== | |||
According to polls, the most important issues for voters were <!--in decreasing order-->],<ref name="cprmarch2">{{Cite web |last=Cook |first=Charlie |date=March 2, 2023 |title=Will 2024 Be About the Economy, or the Candidates? |url=https://www.cookpolitical.com/analysis/national/national-politics/will-2024-be-about-economy-or-candidates |url-status=live |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20230325201533/https://www.cookpolitical.com/analysis/national/national-politics/will-2024-be-about-economy-or-candidates |archive-date=March 25, 2023 |access-date=March 25, 2023 |work=]}}</ref> ],<ref name="Associated Press-2023-3">{{Cite web |last1=Colvin |first1=Jill |last2=Miller |first2=Zeke |date=November 27, 2023 |title=Trump says he will renew efforts to replace 'Obamacare' if he wins a second term |url=https://apnews.com/article/trump-obamacare-health-care-biden-c2b1f5776310870deed2fb997b07fc2c |url-status=live |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20231204043350/https://apnews.com/article/trump-obamacare-health-care-biden-c2b1f5776310870deed2fb997b07fc2c |archive-date=December 4, 2023 |access-date=December 4, 2023 |publisher=]}}</ref> ],<ref>{{cite news |last1=Fields |first1=Gary |last2=Sanders |first2=Linley |date=December 15, 2023 |title=Americans agree that the 2024 election will be pivotal for democracy, but for different reasons |url=https://apnews.com/article/democracy-2024-election-trump-biden-poll-39309519c8473175c25ab5a305e629ba |url-status=live |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20231216014504/https://apnews.com/article/democracy-2024-election-trump-biden-poll-39309519c8473175c25ab5a305e629ba |archive-date=December 16, 2023 |access-date=December 16, 2023 |publisher=Associated Press}}</ref><ref>{{cite web |date=February 18, 2024 |title=Saving democracy is central to Biden's campaign messaging. Will it resonate with swing state voters? |url=https://www.cbsnews.com/pittsburgh/news/saving-democracy-is-central-to-bidens-campaign-messaging-will-it-resonate-with-swing-state-voters-2/ |url-status=live |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20240313092523/https://www.cbsnews.com/pittsburgh/news/saving-democracy-is-central-to-bidens-campaign-messaging-will-it-resonate-with-swing-state-voters-2/ |archive-date=March 13, 2024 |access-date=March 13, 2024 |publisher=CBS News}}</ref> ] (notably ] and ]),<ref>{{Cite web |last1=Ward |first1=Alexander |last2=Berg |first2=Matt |date=October 20, 2023 |title=2024: The foreign policy election? |url=https://www.politico.com/newsletters/national-security-daily/2023/10/20/2024-the-foreign-policy-election-00122691 |url-status=live |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20231120235105/https://www.politico.com/newsletters/national-security-daily/2023/10/20/2024-the-foreign-policy-election-00122691 |archive-date=November 20, 2023 |access-date=November 20, 2023 |work=Politico}}</ref> ],<ref>{{cite news |last=Arnsdorf |first=Isaac |date=January 7, 2024 |title=Trump brags about efforts to stymie border talks: 'Please blame it on me' |url=https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/2024/01/27/trump-border-biden/ |url-status=live |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20240128152344/https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/2024/01/27/trump-border-biden/ |archive-date=January 28, 2024 |access-date=January 29, 2024 |newspaper=The Washington Post}}</ref><ref name="NBC-2024">{{cite web |last=Sahil|first= Kapur |date=April 17, 2024 |title=7 big issues at stake in the 2024 election |url=https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/2024-election/issues-trump-biden-2024-election-health-care-abortion-tax-immigration-rcna147637 |url-status=live |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20240703012241/https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/2024-election/issues-trump-biden-2024-election-health-care-abortion-tax-immigration-rcna147637 |archive-date=July 3, 2024 |access-date=April 17, 2024 |publisher=]}}</ref> ],<ref>For sources on this, see: | |||
===Campaigns and candidates=== | |||
* {{Cite news |last=Edsall |first=Thomas B. |author-link=Thomas B. Edsall |date=April 12, 2023 |title=How The Right Came To Embrace Intrusive Government |url=https://www.nytimes.com/2023/04/12/opinion/republican-party-intrusive-government.html |url-status=live |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20230412100935/https://www.nytimes.com/2023/04/12/opinion/republican-party-intrusive-government.html |archive-date=April 12, 2023 |access-date=April 12, 2023 |work=The New York Times |issn=0362-4331 |quote=Republicans in states across the country are defiantly pushing for the criminalization of abortion—of the procedure, of abortifacient drugs and of those who travel out of state to terminate pregnancy... According to research provided to The Times by the Kaiser Family Foundation, states that have abortion bans at various early stages of pregnancy with no exception for rape or incest include Alabama, Arizona, Arkansas, Florida, Kentucky, Louisiana, Mississippi, Missouri, Ohio, Oklahoma, South Dakota, Tennessee, Texas, West Virginia and Wisconsin.}} | |||
A 2008 feminist advocacy documentary by ], "What's Your Point Honey?", follows the lives of seven females selected as part of a 16-year plan to "groom" potential candidates for the 2024 U.S. presidential election.<ref>{{cite news|last1=Finn|first1=Robin|title=A Knack for Putting Feminism on Film|url=http://www.nytimes.com/2008/05/30/nyregion/30lives.html?_r=0|accessdate=6 February 2016|work=]|date=30 May 2008}}</ref> | |||
* {{Cite news |last=Weisman |first=Jonathan |date=April 11, 2023 |title=Pressured by Their Base on Abortion, Republicans Strain to Find a Way Forward |url=https://www.nytimes.com/2023/04/11/us/politics/abortion-republicans-elections.html|url-status=live |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20230411092928/https://www.nytimes.com/2023/04/11/us/politics/abortion-republicans-elections.html |archive-date=April 11, 2023 |access-date=April 12, 2023 |work=The New York Times |issn=0362-4331}} | |||
* {{Cite web |last=Godfrey |first=Elaine |date=May 4, 2022 |title=The GOP's Strange Turn Against Rape Exceptions |url=https://www.theatlantic.com/politics/archive/2022/05/supreme-court-overturn-roe-v-wade-no-rape-incest-exceptions/629747/ |url-status=live |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20220504102020/https://www.theatlantic.com/politics/archive/2022/05/supreme-court-overturn-roe-v-wade-no-rape-incest-exceptions/629747/ |archive-date=May 4, 2022 |access-date=April 7, 2023 |work=The Atlantic}}</ref><ref>{{cite web |last=McCammon |first=Sarah |date=November 8, 2023 |title=Abortion rights win big in 2023 elections, again |url=https://www.npr.org/2023/11/08/1211429268/abortion-rights-2023-election-ohio-virginia-kentucky |url-status=live |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20231215090744/https://www.npr.org/2023/11/08/1211429268/abortion-rights-2023-election-ohio-virginia-kentucky |archive-date=December 15, 2023 |access-date=December 16, 2023 |publisher=]}}</ref><ref>{{Cite web |last1=Saperstone |first1=Jeff |last2=Killilea |first2=TJ |date=March 11, 2024 |title=Here's why abortion will be such a big issue for the ballot come November |url=https://www.nbcboston.com/news/local/heres-why-abortion-will-be-such-a-big-issue-for-the-ballot-come-november/3305057/ |url-status=live |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20240311222821/https://www.nbcboston.com/news/local/heres-why-abortion-will-be-such-a-big-issue-for-the-ballot-come-november/3305057/ |archive-date=March 11, 2024 |access-date=March 11, 2024 |publisher=NBC Boston}}</ref> and ].<ref name="Pew Research Center 2024">{{cite news |date=September 9, 2024 |title=Issues and the 2024 election |url=https://www.pewresearch.org/politics/2024/09/09/issues-and-the-2024-election/ |publisher=Pew Research Center|access-date=November 10, 2024}}</ref><ref name="The New York Times-2024">{{Cite web |title=Climate is on the Ballot Around the World |url=https://www.nytimes.com/2024/01/16/climate/climate-is-on-the-ballot-around-the-world.html |access-date=January 16, 2024 |work=The New York Times |last=Andreoni |first=Manuela |date=January 16, 2024 |archive-date=January 16, 2024 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20240116191827/https://www.nytimes.com/2024/01/16/climate/climate-is-on-the-ballot-around-the-world.html |url-status=live}}</ref><ref name="Portland Press Herald-2024">{{cite web |last=Gongloff |first=Mark |date=January 30, 2024 |title=The 2024 election just might turn on ... climate change? |url=https://www.pressherald.com/2024/01/30/opinion-the-2024-election-just-might-turn-on-climate-change/ |url-status=live |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20240213032748/https://www.pressherald.com/2024/01/30/opinion-the-2024-election-just-might-turn-on-climate-change/ |archive-date=February 13, 2024 |access-date=February 12, 2024 |work=Portland Press Herald}}</ref> ] and ] were also prominent issues in the campaign.<ref>{{Cite web |last=Manchester |first=Julia |date=January 29, 2023 |title=Republicans see education as winning issue in 2024 |url=https://thehill.com/homenews/campaign/3833724-republicans-see-education-as-winning-issue-in-2024/ |url-status=live |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20230129170545/https://thehill.com/homenews/campaign/3833724-republicans-see-education-as-winning-issue-in-2024/ |archive-date=January 29, 2023 |access-date=July 9, 2023 |work=The Hill}}</ref><ref>{{Cite web |date=September 5, 2024|title=Here's where the 2024 presidential candidates stand on LGBTQ+ issues |url=https://abcnews.go.com/Politics/2024-presidential-candidates-stand-lgbtq-issues/story?id=103313107 |url-status=live |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20231206183159/https://abcnews.go.com/Politics/2024-presidential-candidates-stand-lgbtq-issues/story?id=103313107 |archive-date=December 6, 2023 |access-date=December 6, 2023 |publisher=ABC News}}</ref> Polled voters consistently cited the economy as the most important issue in the election.<ref name="cprmarch2"/><ref name="Pew Research Center 2024"/> | |||
Trump achieved victory in the ], winning 312 electoral votes to Harris' 226. Trump won every ] in addition to holding on to all of the states that he won in 2020.<ref name="Peoples & Barrow 2024">{{cite web | last1=Peoples|first1= Steve|last2=Barrow|first2= Bill|date=November 6, 2024 |title=Election takeaways: Trump's decisive victory in a deeply divided nation |url=https://apnews.com/article/trump-harris-presidential-election-takeaways-d0e4677f4cd53b4d2d8d18d674be5bf4 |access-date=November 11, 2024 |website=AP News}}</ref><ref>{{cite news |date=November 10, 2024 |title=Trump wins Arizona, sweeping all seven battleground states, Edison Research says |url=https://www.reuters.com/world/us/trump-wins-arizona-sweeping-all-seven-battleground-states-edison-research-says-2024-11-10/ |access-date=November 11, 2024 |work=Reuters}}</ref><ref>{{cite web|url=https://www.cbsnews.com/news/states-trump-won-flipped-2024/|title=See which states Trump won in the 2024 election that he didn't win in 2020|last1=Maguire|first1=Patrick|date=November 9, 2024|access-date=November 16, 2024|work=CBS News}}</ref> Trump won the national ] with a plurality of 49.9%,<ref>{{Cite web |title=2024 Election: Live results map |url=https://apnews.com/projects/election-results-2024/?office=P |access-date=2025-01-05 |website=AP NEWS |language=en}}</ref> making him the first Republican to do so since ] in ] but with what was the third smallest margin of victory since 1888.<ref name="hillnov6"/><ref name="Baker 11222024"/> Relative to the 2020 election, he improved his vote share among ] voters, particularly among young men, those without college degrees, and ] voters.<ref name="Lange 1162024"/> Trump became the first president since ] in ] to be elected to non-consecutive terms.<ref name="Wolf 2024">{{cite web |last=Wolf |first=Zachary B. |date=November 9, 2024 |title=Analysis: Trump's win was real but not a landslide. Here's where it ranks |url=https://www.cnn.com/2024/11/09/politics/donald-trump-election-what-matters/index.html |access-date=November 12, 2024 |website=CNN }}</ref> | |||
In a 2015 article for the '']'', Ambassador ] outlined several political leaders positioning themselves for a possible run for the presidency in eight years time. Gutman believed either ] or ] would be likely contenders.<Ref>{{cite web|url=https://www.washingtonpost.com/opinions/forget-about-2016-heres-the-early-look-at-the-white-house-in-2031/2015/08/07/43e8dcd4-3c81-11e5-b3ac-8a79bc44e5e2_story.html|title=Forget about 2016. Here’s an early look at Campaign 2024 and beyond.|author=Howard Gutman|date=August 7, 2015|work=Washington Post}}</ref> | |||
== Background == | |||
===Impact of Electoral College redistribution=== | |||
] in 2024, ]. His term expires at noon on January 20, 2025]] | |||
The election has been the early topic of attention by analysts and commentators as it will be the first U.S. presidential election to occur after the ] in the ] occurring as a result of the ].<ref>{{cite news|last1=McArdle|first1=Megan|title=2016 Might Look Safe to Democrats. But 2024?|url=http://www.bloombergview.com/articles/2015-05-21/2016-might-look-safe-to-democrats-but-2024-|accessdate=October 30, 2015|work=]|date=May 21, 2015}}</ref><ref>{{cite book|last1=Janda|first1=Kenneth|title=The Challenge of Democracy: American Government in Global Politics|date=2013|publisher=Wadsworth|isbn=1133602304|page=218}}</ref> This realignment of electoral college votes will remain consistent through the 2028 election before being reapportioned again for the 2032 election.<ref>{{cite book|last1=Neale|first1=Thomas|title=The Electoral College: How It Works in Contemporary Presidential Elections|date=2012|publisher=]|url=https://www.fas.org/sgp/crs/misc/RL32611.pdf|accessdate=October 30, 2015}}</ref> | |||
] | |||
=== Procedure === | |||
In a study of the implications of redistribution of electors in 2024 published in '']'', ] political scientist Edward Burmila concluded that:<ref>{{cite journal|last1=Burmila|first1=Edward|title=The Electoral College after Census 2010 and 2020: The Political Impact of Population Growth and Redistribution|journal=]|date=December 2009|volume=7|issue=4|url=http://journals.cambridge.org/action/displayAbstract?fromPage=online&aid=6677188}}</ref> | |||
{{Main|United States presidential election#Procedure}} | |||
] of the ] states that for a person to serve as president, the individual must be a ], be at least 35 years of age, and have been a United States resident for at least 14 years. The ] forbids any person from being elected president more than twice. Major party candidates seek the nomination through a series of ]s that select the delegates who choose the candidate at the party's national convention. Each party's national convention chooses a vice presidential ] to form that party's ]. The nominee for president usually picks the running mate, who is then ratified by the delegates at the party's convention. If no candidate wins a majority of their party's delegates' votes, or (in this election) a party's presumptive nominee drops out of the race between the primaries and the convention, a ] may be held: the delegates are then "released" and are free to switch their allegiance to a different candidate.<ref>{{cite news |last1=Berkowitz|first1=Bonnie|last2=Chen|first2=Szu Yu|last3= Ramos|first3=Adrián Blanco|date=July 21, 2024 |title=How Democrats can pick a new candidate, step by step |url=https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/2024/07/21/open-convention-democrats-biden-drop-out/ |newspaper=]|access-date=November 16, 2024}}</ref> | |||
{{quote|Democratic presidential candidates will find it increasingly difficult to win elections without having some success in the South and Southwest as Barack Obama did in 2008 but many previous candidates failed to do. While migration will also benefit some solid Democratic states such as California, on balance Republican presidential candidates are poised to benefit from the status of Sun Belt states as magnets for both foreign immigration and domestic migration from a retirement cohort of unprecedented size.}} | |||
The general election in November is an indirect election, in which voters cast ballots for a slate of members of the ]; these electors then directly elect the president and vice president.<ref>{{cite web |url=https://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/worldnews/us-election/9480396/US-Election-guide-how-does-the-election-work.html |title=US Election guide: how does the election work? |work=] |date=November 6, 2012|archive-date=November 10, 2015|access-date=October 29, 2015|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20151110114127/https://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/worldnews/us-election/9480396/US-Election-guide-how-does-the-election-work.html|url-status=live}}</ref> Election offices are dealing with increased workloads and public scrutiny. Officials in many states have sought additional funding to hire more personnel, improve security, and extend training. Numerous election offices are dealing with an increase in retirements and are overwhelmed with ], owing in part to the electoral mistrust planted by former President Trump's loss in the 2020 election.<ref>{{cite news |last1=Parks |first1=Miles |title=The most detailed look yet at the 'exodus' of local voting officials |url=https://www.npr.org/2024/04/09/1242811437/election-voting-officials-threats-turnover |access-date=August 12, 2024 |publisher=] |date=April 9, 2024 |archive-date=June 10, 2024 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20240610141524/https://www.npr.org/2024/04/09/1242811437/election-voting-officials-threats-turnover |url-status=live}}</ref><ref>{{cite news |last1=Timm |first1=Jane C. |title=Amateur fraud hunters bury election officials in public records requests |url=https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/elections/amateur-fraud-hunters-bury-election-officials-public-records-requests-rcna15432 |access-date=August 12, 2024 |publisher=NBC News |date=February 12, 2024 |archive-date=July 29, 2024 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20240729220340/https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/elections/amateur-fraud-hunters-bury-election-officials-public-records-requests-rcna15432 |url-status=live}}</ref> | |||
In a separate analysis for ], Sean Trende predicted a less significant movement of three electoral votes from traditionally Democratic Party states to those that traditionally support Republican candidates during the redistribution of electors that will occur for the 2024 election.<ref>{{cite news|last1=Trende|first1=Sean|title=Population Data Show More Movement South and West|url=http://www.realclearpolitics.com/articles/2013/12/30/population_data_show_more_movement_south_and_west.html|accessdate=October 30, 2015|work=]|date=December 30, 2013}}</ref> | |||
Trump is the first president in American history to be ], and the first to run again after impeachment. Trump was ] by the ]-controlled House of Representatives in December 2019 for "] and ]" due to his ] Ukraine to investigate Joe Biden and his son, ], by withholding military aid.<ref>{{Cite web |last=Rascoe |first=Ayesha |date=November 7, 2019 |title=Who Was On The Trump-Ukraine Call? |url=https://www.npr.org/2019/11/07/775456663/who-was-on-the-trump-ukraine-call |publisher=] |access-date=May 31, 2024 |archive-date=June 5, 2024 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20240605213557/https://www.npr.org/2019/11/07/775456663/who-was-on-the-trump-ukraine-call |url-status=live}}</ref> ] by the House occurred on January 13, 2021, for "]" owing to his role in the ]. As Trump was acquitted by the Senate in both cases, he was not barred from seeking reelection to the presidency in 2024.<ref>{{Cite news |last=Bacon |first=Perry Jr. |date=February 5, 2020 |title=What Happens When An Impeached President Runs For Reelection? |url=https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/trump-impeachment-acquitted/ |website=] |access-date=May 31, 2024 |archive-date=June 1, 2024 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20240601001058/https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/trump-impeachment-acquitted/ |url-status=live}}</ref>] of the number of electoral college votes. States with opposite outcomes from ] are ]]]This is the first presidential election to occur after the ] of votes in the ] following the ] and ].<ref>{{cite news |last1=McArdle |first1=Megan |date=May 21, 2015 |title=2016 Might Look Safe to Democrats. But 2024? |url=https://www.bloombergview.com/articles/2015-05-21/2016-might-look-safe-to-democrats-but-2024- |url-status=live |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20151023080613/https://www.bloombergview.com/articles/2015-05-21/2016-might-look-safe-to-democrats-but-2024- |archive-date=October 23, 2015 |access-date=October 30, 2015 |publisher=]}}</ref><ref>{{cite book |last1=Janda |first1=Kenneth |title=The Challenge of Democracy: American Government in Global Politics |date=2013 |publisher=Wadsworth |isbn=978-1-133-60230-9 |page=218}}</ref><ref>{{cite book |last1=Neale |first1=Thomas |url=https://www.fas.org/sgp/crs/misc/RL32611.pdf |title=The Electoral College: How It Works in Contemporary Presidential Elections |date=2012 |publisher=] |access-date=October 30, 2015 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20201004222933/https://fas.org/sgp/crs/misc/RL32611.pdf |archive-date=October 4, 2020 |url-status=live}}</ref> | |||
Though geography has been said to favor a Republican candidate in the 2024 election, some have noted that demographic trends may help a Democratic candidate if current group party affinities continue to hold in 2024. ] will constitute 40-percent of eligible voters age 30 to 44, a constituency described as "ripe for Democratic retention." As a possible rejoinder, however, the unusually large ] will begin entering middle age in 2024 which, according to the ], "will be easier for the Republican Party to retain if current generational voting affinities continue."<ref>{{cite web|title=Today’s race and generational voting preferences cannot predict future election outcomes|url=http://www.brookings.edu/blogs/the-avenue/posts/2015/06/01-race-generational-voting-elections-frey|website=brookings.org|publisher=]|accessdate=October 30, 2015}}</ref> | |||
== |
=== Swing states === | ||
{{Further|Red states and blue states|Swing state}} | |||
* In ] of the the NBC television sitcom "]", character ] reveals she plans to stand in the 2024 U.S. presidential election.<ref>{{cite news|title=Vice President Joe Biden Breaks Hearts on Parks and Recreation—Watch the Video|url=http://www.eonline.com/news/362788/vice-president-joe-biden-breaks-hearts-on-parks-and-recreation-watch-the-video|accessdate=6 February 2016|work=E! Online|date=3 November 2012}}</ref> | |||
* In the series finale of the FOX musical comedy series "]", character ] announces she plans to stand in the 2024 U.S. presidential election.<ref>{{cite news|last1=Hinckley|first1=David|title='Glee' finale flashes back to the start, then forward to the 'New Directions' future|url=http://www.nydailynews.com/entertainment/tv/glee-finale-flashes-back-future-article-1.2157655|accessdate=6 February 2016|work=]|date=19 March 2015}}</ref> | |||
Most states are not electorally competitive and are usually certain to vote for a particular party. Because of the ] selection of electors used by 48 states and Washington DC, this means that a limited number of swing states—competitive states that do not clearly lean towards one party over the other—are vital to winning the presidency. The U.S. states considered as such change over time. The seven swing states in the 2024 election were the ] states of ], ], and ], as well as the ] states of ], ], ], and ].<ref name="BBC-2024">{{cite web |date=August 23, 2024 |title=Seven swing states set to decide the 2024 US election |url=https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/c511pyn3xw3o |url-status=live |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20240724045607/https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/c511pyn3xw3o |archive-date=July 24, 2024 |access-date=August 24, 2024 |publisher=]}}</ref> Trump secured victory in all seven states. The three ] swing states had historically been part of the "]" ever since ]'s win in ], but broke for Trump in ], when he had previously faced a female Democratic candidate, ].<ref>{{cite web |last=Brownstein |first=Ronald |date=September 17, 2024 |title=Analysis: Why these three states are the most consistent tipping point in American politics |url=https://edition.cnn.com/2024/09/17/politics/blue-wall-states-harris-trump-analysis/index.html |access-date=November 12, 2024 |website=]}}</ref><ref>{{cite web |last=Pearson |first=Rick |date=November 6, 2024 |title=Donald Trump's 'Blue Wall' victories key to taking back the White House |url=https://www.chicagotribune.com/2024/11/06/trump-shatters-blue-wall/ |access-date=November 12, 2024 |website=]}}</ref><ref>{{cite web |last=Chasan |first=Aliza |date=November 9, 2024 |title=These are the battleground states that decided the 2024 election |url=https://www.cbsnews.com/news/battleground-states-2024-election/ |access-date=November 12, 2024 |website=]}}</ref> | |||
=== Election interference === | |||
{{Main|Election interference}} | |||
{{Further|Republican efforts to restrict voting following the 2020 presidential election|Attempts to overturn the 2020 United States presidential election|January 6 United States Capitol attack}} | |||
Several state courts and officials, including the ],<ref>{{Cite news |last1=Halpert |first1=Madeline |last2=Drenon |first2=Brandon |date=December 19, 2023 |title=Colorado Supreme Court kicks Trump off ballot, citing 'insurrection' |url=https://www.bbc.com/news/world-us-canada-67768873 |url-status=live |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20231220202057/https://www.bbc.com/news/world-us-canada-67768873 |archive-date=December 20, 2023 |access-date=December 21, 2023 |publisher=]}}</ref> a state Circuit Court in ],<ref>{{Cite web |last=Smith |first=Mitch |date=February 28, 2024 |title=Judge Orders Trump Removed From Illinois Primary Ballots |url=https://www.nytimes.com/2024/02/28/us/trump-removal-illinois-primary-ballot.html |access-date=February 28, 2024 |work=] |archive-date=February 29, 2024 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20240229005213/https://www.nytimes.com/2024/02/28/us/trump-removal-illinois-primary-ballot.html |url-status=live}}</ref> and the ],<ref name="Kazarian, Grace-2023" /> ruled that ] under Section 3 of the ] for his role in the ], and thus attempted to disqualify him from appearing on the ballot.<ref>{{Cite web |date=December 28, 2023 |title=Trump back on ballot in Colorado while state Republicans appeal ban to Supreme Court |url=https://www.cbsnews.com/news/colorado-republican-party-appeal-u-s-supreme-court-trump-ballot-ban/ |url-status=live |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20231229062034/https://www.cbsnews.com/news/colorado-republican-party-appeal-u-s-supreme-court-trump-ballot-ban/ |archive-date=December 29, 2023 |access-date=December 29, 2023 |publisher=]}}</ref><ref name="Kazarian, Grace-2023">{{Cite news |last1=Freiman |first1=Jordan |last2=Kaufman |first2=Katrina |last3=Kazarian |first3=Grace |date=December 28, 2023 |title=Maine secretary of state disqualifies Trump from primary ballot |url=https://www.cbsnews.com/news/trump-maine-primary-ballot-disqualified-secretary-of-state-shenna-bellows/ |url-status=live |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20231229014916/https://www.cbsnews.com/news/trump-maine-primary-ballot-disqualified-secretary-of-state-shenna-bellows/ |archive-date=December 29, 2023 |access-date=December 29, 2023 |publisher=CBS News}}</ref> These attempts were unsuccessful, and on March 4, 2024, the U.S. Supreme Court unanimously ruled in '']'' that states cannot determine eligibility for a national election under Section 3, and only Congress has the authority to disqualify candidates, or to pass legislation that allows courts to do so.<ref>{{cite news |last=Fritze |first=John |date=March 4, 2024 |title=Supreme Court keeps Trump on Colorado ballot, rejecting 14th Amendment push |url=https://www.cnn.com/2024/03/04/politics/trump-supreme-court-colorado-14th-amendment/index.html |publisher=] |access-date=March 4, 2024 |archive-date=March 4, 2024 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20240304151515/https://www.cnn.com/2024/03/04/politics/trump-supreme-court-colorado-14th-amendment/index.html |url-status=live}}</ref> | |||
==== Donald Trump's false claims of interference ==== | |||
{{Further|Big lie#Donald Trump's false claims of a stolen election|Election denial movement in the United States|Republican Party efforts to disrupt the 2024 United States presidential election}} | |||
] | |||
Trump made ], and continued denying the election results.<ref>{{cite web |last=Samuels |first=Brett |date=June 13, 2022 |title=Trump releases 12-page response to Jan. 6 hearing |url=https://thehill.com/homenews/administration/3522080-trump-releases-12-page-response-to-jan-6-hearing/ |access-date=November 10, 2022 |work=] |archive-date=June 19, 2022 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20220619163035/https://thehill.com/homenews/administration/3522080-trump-releases-12-page-response-to-jan-6-hearing/ |url-status=live}}</ref><ref>{{Cite web |last=Feinberg |first=Andrew |date=August 29, 2022 |title=Trump demands 'new election immediately' in bizarre post on Truth Social |url=https://www.independent.co.uk/news/world/americas/us-politics/trump-new-election-truth-social-b2155158.html |access-date=November 10, 2022 |work=] |archive-date=November 18, 2022 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20221118175952/https://www.independent.co.uk/news/world/americas/us-politics/trump-new-election-truth-social-b2155158.html |url-status=live}}</ref> Election security experts warned that officials who deny the legitimacy of the 2020 presidential election may attempt to impede the voting process, or refuse to certify the 2024 results.<ref>{{cite web |last=Waldman |first=Michael |date=February 1, 2022 |title=How Bad Could the 2024 Election Be? |url=https://www.brennancenter.org/our-work/analysis-opinion/how-bad-could-2024-election-be |access-date=March 23, 2023 |work=] |archive-date=November 29, 2022 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20221129140717/https://www.brennancenter.org/our-work/analysis-opinion/how-bad-could-2024-election-be |url-status=live}}</ref> In July 2024, ''The New York Times'' reported that "the Republican Party and its conservative allies are engaged in an unprecedented legal campaign targeting the American voting system", by restricting voting for partisan advantage ahead of Election Day and preparing to mount "legally dubious" challenges against the certification process if Trump were to lose.<ref>{{cite news |last1=Rutenberg |first1=Jim |last2=Corasaniti |first2=Nick |title=Unbowed by Jan. 6 Charges, Republicans Pursue Plans to Contest a Trump Defeat |url=https://www.nytimes.com/2024/07/13/us/politics/republican-election-campaign-2024.html |work=The New York Times |date=July 13, 2024 |archive-date=July 13, 2024|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20240713192154/https://www.nytimes.com/2024/07/13/us/politics/republican-election-campaign-2024.html|url-status=live}}</ref> | |||
In the lead up to the 2024 election, the Republican Party made false claims of massive "noncitizen voting" by immigrants in an attempt to delegitimize the election in the event of a Trump defeat.<ref>{{Cite news |last=Broadwater |first=Luke |date=May 21, 2024 |title=House G.O.P. Moves to Crack Down on Noncitizen Voting, Sowing False Narrative |work=The New York Times |url=https://www.nytimes.com/2024/05/21/us/politics/republicans-noncitizen-voting-false-narrative.html |url-access=subscription |access-date=May 23, 2024 |archive-date=May 23, 2024 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20240523003707/https://www.nytimes.com/2024/05/21/us/politics/republicans-noncitizen-voting-false-narrative.html |url-status=live |quote=Republicans are pushing legislation to crack down on voting by noncitizens, which happens rarely and is already illegal in federal elections, in a move that reinforces former President Donald J. Trump's efforts to delegitimize the 2024 results if he loses.}}</ref><ref>{{Cite news |last=Swenson |first=Ali |date=May 18, 2024 |title=Noncitizen voting, already illegal in federal elections, becomes a centerpiece of 2024 GOP messaging |publisher=Associated Press |url=https://apnews.com/article/voting-immigrants-noncitizen-trump-republicans-2024-1c65429c152c2a10514b5156eacf9ca7 |access-date=May 18, 2024 |archive-date=May 18, 2024|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20240518130616/https://apnews.com/article/voting-immigrants-noncitizen-trump-republicans-2024-1c65429c152c2a10514b5156eacf9ca7 |url-status=live}}</ref><ref>{{Cite news |last1=Levine |first1=Sam |last2=Leingang |first2=Rachel |date=May 17, 2024 |title=Trump and Johnson spread unfounded fears by urging non-citizen voting ban |work=The Guardian |url=https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/article/2024/may/17/trump-johnson-non-citizen-voting-ban |access-date=May 18, 2024 |archive-date=June 19, 2024 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20240619170423/https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/article/2024/may/17/trump-johnson-non-citizen-voting-ban |url-status=live}}</ref> The claims were made as part of larger Republican Party efforts to disrupt the 2024 election and ] movement.<ref>{{Cite news |last1=Riccardi |first1=Nicholas |last2=Mascaro |first2=Lisa |date=May 21, 2024 |title=Election deniers moving closer to GOP mainstream, report shows, as Trump allies fill Congress |publisher=Associated Press |url=https://apnews.com/article/congress-election-lies-2024-certification-president-460cde281d48e62e09e24c7573d6a9ff|access-date=May 23, 2024|archive-date=May 21, 2024|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20240521145524/https://apnews.com/article/congress-election-lies-2024-certification-president-460cde281d48e62e09e24c7573d6a9ff|url-status=live}}</ref> Trump continued spreading his "big lie" of a stolen election and predicted without evidence that the 2024 election would be rigged against him. Trump also falsely accused Biden of "weaponizing" the Justice Department to target him in relation to ].<ref name="The New York Times-2024-6" /> Trump and several Republicans stated they would not accept the results of the 2024 election if they believe they are "unfair".<ref>{{Cite news |last=Basu |first=Zachary |date=May 22, 2024 |title=Trump spreads false "assassination" claims as voters fear violence |work=Axios |url=https://www.axios.com/2024/05/22/trump-assassination-biden-fbi-violence |access-date=May 23, 2024|archive-date=May 23, 2024|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20240523020552/https://www.axios.com/2024/05/22/trump-assassination-biden-fbi-violence|url-status=live |quote=Former President Trump and his allies have already signaled they will not accept the results of the election if they believe it's "unfair," reviving the type of rhetoric that helped incite the Jan. 6 Capitol riot.}}</ref> | |||
Trump's previous comments suggesting he can "terminate" the Constitution to reverse his election loss,<ref>{{cite web |url=https://www.snopes.com/fact-check/trump-termination-us-constitution/ |title=Did Trump Say Election Fraud Allows for 'Termination' of US Constitution? |last=Ibrahim |first=Nur |date=December 5, 2022 |website=Snopes |access-date=December 9, 2023 |quote=In sum, Trump posted on Truth Social that, what he believed to be, election fraud in the 2020 presidential election allows 'for the termination of all rules, regulations, and articles, even those found in the Constitution.' For that reason, we rated this claim 'Correct Attribution.' |archive-date=May 31, 2023|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20230531041042/https://www.snopes.com/fact-check/trump-termination-us-constitution/ |url-status=live}}</ref><ref>{{Cite news |last=Astor |first=Maggie |date=December 4, 2022 |title=Trump's Call for 'Termination' of Constitution Draws Rebukes |work=] |url=https://www.nytimes.com/2022/12/04/us/politics/trump-constitution-republicans.html |access-date=December 4, 2022|archive-date=December 4, 2022|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20221204194225/https://www.nytimes.com/2022/12/04/us/politics/trump-constitution-republicans.html |url-status=live}}</ref> his claim that he would only be a dictator on "day one" of his presidency and not after,{{Efn|Attributed to multiple references:<ref>{{cite news |title=Trump says he would be a dictator only on 'Day One' if he wins a second term |url=https://www.cbsnews.com/news/donald-trump-sean-hannity-dictator-day-one/ |publisher=CBS News |date=December 6, 2023 |last=Ronaldi|first=Olivia Ronaldi|access-date=December 6, 2023|archive-date=December 6, 2023|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20231206165724/https://www.cbsnews.com/news/donald-trump-sean-hannity-dictator-day-one/|url-status=live}}</ref><ref>{{cite news |title=Trump Says He'll Be a Dictator on 'Day One' |url=https://www.theatlantic.com/ideas/archive/2023/12/trump-says-hell-be-a-dictator-on-day-one/676247/ |work=The Atlantic |date=December 6, 2023 |last=Graham|first=David A. |access-date=December 6, 2023|archive-date=December 6, 2023|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20231206170857/https://www.theatlantic.com/ideas/archive/2023/12/trump-says-hell-be-a-dictator-on-day-one/676247/|url-status=live}}</ref><ref>{{cite news |title=Trump's 'dictator' remark jolts the 2024 campaign – and tests his GOP rivals on debate day |url=https://www.politico.com/news/2023/12/06/trump-dictator-remark-2024-campaign-00130392 |work=Politico |date=December 6, 2023 |last=Wren|first=Adam |access-date=December 6, 2023|archive-date=December 6, 2023|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20231206192854/https://www.politico.com/news/2023/12/06/trump-dictator-remark-2024-campaign-00130392|url-status=live}}</ref><ref>{{cite news |title=Donald Trump says he will be a 'dictator' only on 'day one.' Then he'll focus on drilling. |url=https://www.usatoday.com/story/news/politics/elections/2023/12/05/trump-dictator-day-one/71816204007/ |work=USA Today |date=December 6, 2023 |last=Jackson|first=David|access-date=December 6, 2023|archive-date=December 6, 2023|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20231206054726/https://www.usatoday.com/story/news/politics/elections/2023/12/05/trump-dictator-day-one/71816204007/|url-status=live}}</ref><ref>{{cite news |title=Trump Says He Wouldn't Be a Dictator, 'Except for Day 1' |url=https://www.nytimes.com/2023/12/05/us/politics/trump-fox-news-abuse-power.html |work=The New York Times |date=December 6, 2023 |last=Gold|first=Michael|access-date=December 6, 2023|archive-date=December 6, 2023|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20231206042828/https://www.nytimes.com/2023/12/05/us/politics/trump-fox-news-abuse-power.html|url-status=live}}</ref><ref>{{cite news |title=Trump says he wouldn't be a dictator 'except for Day One' |url=https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/2023/12/06/trump-dictator-day-one-hannity/ |newspaper=The Washington Post |date=December 6, 2023 |last=Alfero|first=Mariana|access-date=December 6, 2023|archive-date=December 9, 2023|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20231209000947/https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/2023/12/06/trump-dictator-day-one-hannity/|url-status=live}}</ref>}} his promise to use the Justice Department to go after his political enemies,<ref>{{cite news |title=The Radical Strategy Behind Trump's Promise to 'Go After' Biden |url=https://www.nytimes.com/2023/06/15/us/politics/trump-indictment-justice-department.html |work=The New York Times |date=June 15, 2023 |last1=Swan |first1=Jonathan |last2=Savage |first2=Charlie |last3=Haberman |first3=Maggie|access-date=December 9, 2023|archive-date=December 9, 2023|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20231209211754/https://www.nytimes.com/2023/06/15/us/politics/trump-indictment-justice-department.html|url-status=live|url-access=subscription}}</ref> his plan to use the ] to deploy the military for law enforcement in primarily Democratic cities and states,<ref>{{cite news |last1=Arnsdorf |first1=Isaac |last2=Dawsey |first2=Josh |last3=Barrett |first3=Devlin |date=November 5, 2023 |title=Trump and allies plot revenge, Justice Department control in a second term |url=https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/2023/11/05/trump-revenge-second-term/ |access-date=December 10, 2023 |newspaper=The Washington Post |archive-date=November 5, 2023 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20231105234529/https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/2023/11/05/trump-revenge-second-term/ |url-status=live}}</ref><ref>{{cite news |last1=Fields |first1=Gary |url=https://apnews.com/article/trump-military-insurrection-act-2024-election-03858b6291e4721991b5a18c2dfb3c36 |title=Trump hints at expanded role for the military within the US. A legacy law gives him few guardrails |publisher=Associated Press |date=November 27, 2023|access-date=December 10, 2023|archive-date=December 10, 2023|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20231210210436/https://apnews.com/article/trump-military-insurrection-act-2024-election-03858b6291e4721991b5a18c2dfb3c36|url-status=live}}</ref> ], continued ], Trump's baseless predictions of voter fraud in the 2024 election,<ref>{{Cite web |date=October 7, 2023 |title=Trump Is Lying About Another Election Being 'Stolen' From Him – The One Still A Year Away |url=https://www.huffpost.com/entry/trump-2024-election-lies_n_652040d0e4b09f4b8d401148 |access-date=October 7, 2023 |website=HuffPost |archive-date=October 7, 2023 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20231007162752/https://www.huffpost.com/entry/trump-2024-election-lies_n_652040d0e4b09f4b8d401148 |url-status=live}}</ref> and Trump's public embrace and celebration of the ],<ref>{{Cite news |last1=Feuer |first1=Alan |last2=Haberman |first2=Maggie |date=April 13, 2024 |title=Inside Donald Trump's Embrace of the Jan. 6 Rioters |work=The New York Times |url=https://www.nytimes.com/2024/04/13/us/politics/trump-jan-6.html|access-date=April 14, 2024|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20240413202258/https://www.nytimes.com/2024/04/13/us/politics/trump-jan-6.html|archive-date=April 13, 2024 |quote=Recently, however, his celebrations of the Capitol riot and those who took part in it have become more public as he has promoted a revisionist history of the attack and placed it at the heart of his 2024 presidential campaign ... Mr. Trump hasn't always embraced Jan. 6—at least not openly ... Mr. Trump's embrace of Jan. 6 not only has meant describing the attack in which more than 100 police officers were injured as a 'love fest.' It also has led him to tell a journalist that he wanted to march to the Capitol that day but that his team had prevented him from doing so.}}</ref> raised ].<ref>{{cite news |last1=Baker |first1=Peter |date=December 9, 2023 |title=Talk of a Trump Dictatorship Charges the American Political Debate |url=https://www.nytimes.com/2023/12/09/us/politics/trump-dictatorship.html |url-access=subscription |url-status=live |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20231209203046/https://www.nytimes.com/2023/12/09/us/politics/trump-dictatorship.html |archive-date=December 9, 2023 |access-date=December 9, 2023 |work=The New York Times}}</ref><ref>{{cite news |title=Lawmakers in 32 states have introduced bills to restrict voting so far this legislative session |url=https://www.cnn.com/2023/02/22/politics/restrict-voting-bills-introduced-us/index.html |publisher=CNN |date=February 22, 2023 |last1=Mizelle |first1=Shawna|access-date=December 9, 2023|archive-date=December 10, 2023|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20231210004722/https://www.cnn.com/2023/02/22/politics/restrict-voting-bills-introduced-us/index.html|url-status=live}}</ref><ref>{{cite news |title=How The Republican Push To Restrict Voting Could Affect Our Elections |url=https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/how-the-republican-push-to-restrict-voting-could-affect-our-elections/ |work=FiveThirtyEight |date=May 17, 2021 |last1=Skelley |first1=Geoffrey|access-date=December 9, 2023|archive-date=October 21, 2023|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20231021064741/https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/how-the-republican-push-to-restrict-voting-could-affect-our-elections/|url-status=live}}</ref><ref>{{Cite news |last=Gardner |first=Amy |date=March 26, 2021 |title=After Trump tried to intervene in the 2020 vote, state Republicans are moving to take more control of elections |url=https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/republicans-election-control/2021/03/26/064fffcc-8cb4-11eb-a730-1b4ed9656258_story.html|url-status=live |newspaper=] |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20220614185326/https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/republicans-election-control/2021/03/26/064fffcc-8cb4-11eb-a730-1b4ed9656258_story.html |access-date=December 9, 2023 |archive-date=June 14, 2022}}</ref> Trump's political operation said that it planned to deploy more than 100,000 attorneys and volunteers to polling places across battleground states, with an "election integrity hotline" for poll watchers and voters to report alleged voting irregularities.<ref>Multiple sources: | |||
*{{cite news |date=April 12, 2024 |title=Fact checking Trump and Johnson's election integrity announcement |url=https://edition.cnn.com/2024/04/12/politics/fact-check-trump-johnson-elections/index.html |url-status=live |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20240422072237/https://edition.cnn.com/2024/04/12/politics/fact-check-trump-johnson-elections/index.html |archive-date=April 22, 2024 |access-date=July 18, 2024 |publisher=CNN}} | |||
*{{cite news |last1=Thomas |first1=Ken |last2=Werner |first2=Erica |date=January 23, 2017 |title=Trump wrongly blames fraud for loss of popular vote |url=https://apnews.com/united-states-government-a79bb23654e7486a81f555b3bdc9bbc7 |url-status=live |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20240423064943/https://apnews.com/united-states-government-a79bb23654e7486a81f555b3bdc9bbc7 |archive-date=April 23, 2024 |access-date=July 18, 2024 |work=Associated Press}} | |||
*{{cite news |last1=Thompson |first1=Stuart A. |date=July 5, 2022 |title=On Conservative Radio, Misleading Message Is Clear: 'Democrats Cheat' |url=https://www.nytimes.com/2022/07/05/business/media/conservative-radio-democrats-cheat.html |url-status=live |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20240423050156/https://www.nytimes.com/2022/07/05/business/media/conservative-radio-democrats-cheat.html |archive-date=April 23, 2024 |access-date=July 18, 2024 |work=The New York Times}} | |||
*{{cite news |last1=Corasaniti |first1=Nick |date=February 12, 2024 |title=Election Deniers Seek to Rewrite the Law |url=https://www.nytimes.com/2024/02/21/us/politics/election-deniers-seek-to-voting-legislation.html |url-status=live |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20240423011249/https://www.nytimes.com/2024/02/21/us/politics/election-deniers-seek-to-voting-legislation.html |archive-date=April 23, 2024 |access-date=July 18, 2024 |work=The New York Times}} | |||
*{{cite news |last1=Isenstadt |first1=Alex |date=April 19, 2024 |title=Trump campaign says it will deploy thousands of election workers to monitor poll sites |url=https://www.politico.com/news/2024/04/19/trump-campaign-election-monitoring-00153217 |url-status=live |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20240422072236/https://www.politico.com/news/2024/04/19/trump-campaign-election-monitoring-00153217 |archive-date=April 22, 2024 |access-date=July 18, 2024 |work=Politico}} | |||
*{{cite news |last1=Przybyla |first1=Heidi |date=June 1, 2022 |title='It's going to be an army': Tapes reveal GOP plan to contest elections |url=https://www.politico.com/news/2022/06/01/gop-contest-elections-tapes-00035758 |work=Politico}} | |||
*{{cite news |last1=Luciano |first1=Michael |date=April 23, 2024 |title=Lara Trump Boasts RNC Will Have 'People Who Can Physically Handle Ballots' on Election Day |url=https://www.mediaite.com/tv/lara-trump-boasts-rnc-will-have-people-who-can-physically-handle-ballots-on-election-day/ |url-status=live |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20240511021402/https://www.mediaite.com/tv/lara-trump-boasts-rnc-will-have-people-who-can-physically-handle-ballots-on-election-day/ |archive-date=May 11, 2024 |access-date=July 18, 2024 |publisher=]}} | |||
*{{cite news |last1=Lutz |first1=Eric |date=April 19, 2024 |title=No, Trump's Plan to Deploy 100,000 Poll Workers Isn't About "Election Integrity" |url=https://www.vanityfair.com/news/story/trump-campaign-poll-workers-election-integrity |url-status=live |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20240419203305/https://www.vanityfair.com/news/story/trump-campaign-poll-workers-election-integrity |archive-date=April 19, 2024 |access-date=July 18, 2024 |work=]}} | |||
*{{cite news |last1=Timm |first1=Jane C. |date=April 19, 2024 |title=Trump campaign, RNC pledge to deploy 100,000 attorneys and volunteers to monitor the vote |url=https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/2024-election/trump-rnc-vote-monitor-election-integrity-rcna148557 |url-status=live |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20240422082808/https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/2024-election/trump-rnc-vote-monitor-election-integrity-rcna148557 |archive-date=April 22, 2024 |access-date=July 18, 2024 |publisher=NBC News}} | |||
*{{cite news |last1=Slattery |first1=Gram |date=April 19, 2024 |title=Trump campaign launches effort to fight voter fraud |url=https://www.reuters.com/world/us/trump-campaign-launches-effort-fight-voter-fraud-2024-04-19/ |url-status=live |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20240419164656/https://www.reuters.com/world/us/trump-campaign-launches-effort-fight-voter-fraud-2024-04-19/ |archive-date=April 19, 2024 |access-date=July 18, 2024 |publisher=Reuters}}</ref> | |||
==== Interference by foreign nations ==== | |||
{{Main|Foreign interference in the 2024 United States elections}} | |||
Before the election, U.S. officials and former officials stated that foreign interference in the 2024 election was likely. Three major factors cited were "America's deepening domestic political crises, the collapse of controversial attempts to control political speech on social media, and the rise of ]".<ref>{{Cite web |last1=Chalfant |first1=Morgan |date=March 6, 2024 |title=U.S. braces for foreign interference in 2024 election |url=https://www.semafor.com/article/03/06/2024/us-braces-for-foreign-interference-in-2024-election|access-date=March 6, 2024 |website=] |archive-date=March 11, 2024 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20240311102441/https://www.semafor.com/article/03/06/2024/us-braces-for-foreign-interference-in-2024-election |url-status=live}}</ref> China, Russia, and Iran were identified as mounting influence operations and attempts to interfere with the 2024 election. U.S. intelligence officials described the efforts as part of broader efforts by authoritarian nations to use the internet to erode support for democracy.<ref name="Klepper 09032024">{{Cite web |last1=Klepper |first1=David |date=September 3, 2024 |title=China-linked 'Spamouflage' network mimics Americans online to sway US political debate |url=https://apnews.com/article/china-disinformation-network-foreign-influence-us-election-a2b396518bafd8e36635a3796c8271d7 |access-date=September 4, 2024 |publisher=The Associated Press |archive-date=September 4, 2024 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20240904180359/https://apnews.com/article/china-disinformation-network-foreign-influence-us-election-a2b396518bafd8e36635a3796c8271d7 |url-status=live}}</ref> | |||
===== China ===== | |||
{{Further|Chinese interference in the 2024 United States elections}} | |||
China was identified as interfering with the 2024 election through propaganda and disinformation campaigns linked to its ] operation. U.S. intelligence agencies described the effort as not targeting any particular candidate but focusing on issues important to the ], such as Taiwan, and "undermining confidence in elections, voting, and the U.S. in general".<ref name="Klepper 09032024" /> As early as April 1, 2024, ''The New York Times'' reported that the Chinese government had created fake pro-Trump accounts on social media "promoting conspiracy theories, stoking domestic divisions and attacking President Biden ahead of the election in November".<ref>{{cite news |last1=Hsu |first1=Tiffany |last2=Myers |first2=Steven Lee |date=April 1, 2024 |title=China's Advancing Efforts to Influence the U.S. Election Raise Alarms |url=https://www.nytimes.com/2024/04/01/business/media/china-online-disinformation-us-election.html |access-date=April 3, 2024 |work=The New York Times |archive-date=April 3, 2024 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20240403091121/https://www.nytimes.com/2024/04/01/business/media/china-online-disinformation-us-election.html |url-status=live}}</ref> | |||
===== Russia ===== | |||
{{Further|Russian interference in the 2024 United States elections}} | |||
According to disinformation experts and intelligence agencies, Russia spread disinformation ahead of the 2024 election to damage Biden and Democrats, boost candidates supporting isolationism, and undercut support for Ukraine aid and NATO.<ref>{{Cite web |last1=De Luce |first1=Dan |date=February 26, 2024 |title=Russia's 2024 election interference has already begun |url=https://www.nbcnews.com/news/investigations/russias-2024-election-interference-already-begun-rcna134204 |access-date=April 3, 2024 |publisher=] |archive-date=April 1, 2024 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20240401102919/https://www.nbcnews.com/news/investigations/russias-2024-election-interference-already-begun-rcna134204 |url-status=live}}</ref><ref>{{cite news |last1=Barnes |first1=Julian E. |last2=Sanger |first2=David E. |date=March 27, 2024 |title=Russia Amps Up Online Campaign Against Ukraine Before U.S. Elections |url=https://www.nytimes.com/2024/03/27/us/politics/russian-ukraine-us-interference.html |access-date=April 3, 2024 |work=] |archive-date=April 2, 2024 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20240402012022/https://www.nytimes.com/2024/03/27/us/politics/russian-ukraine-us-interference.html |url-status=live}}</ref> On September 4, 2024, the United States publicly accused Russia of interfering in the 2024 election and announced several steps to combat Russian influence including ], indictments, and seizing of web domains used to spread propaganda and disinformation. U.S. intelligence agencies assessed that Russia preferred Trump to win the election, viewing him as more critical of American support for Ukraine.<ref>{{Cite news |last1=Barnes |first1=Julian E. |last2=Thrush |first2=Glenn |last3=Myers |first3=Steven Lee |date=September 4, 2024 |title=U.S. Announces Plan to Counter Russian Influence Ahead of 2024 Election |url=https://www.nytimes.com/2024/09/04/us/politics/russia-election-influence.html |access-date=September 4, 2024 |newspaper=] |archive-date=September 11, 2024 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20240911074009/https://www.nytimes.com/2024/09/04/us/politics/russia-election-influence.html |url-status=live}}</ref> | |||
===== Iran ===== | |||
{{Further|Iranian interference in the 2024 United States elections}} | |||
Iran was identified as interfering with the 2024 presidential election through front companies connected to the ] and hacking attempts against the Trump, Biden, and Harris campaigns starting as early as May 2024.<ref name="USA Today-2024" /> Iran launched propaganda and disinformation campaigns through fake news websites and accounts on social media to tip the election against former president Trump. ''The New York Times'' stated the efforts were an attempt at "sowing internal discord and discrediting the democratic system in the United States more broadly in the eyes of the world".<ref name="USA Today-2024">{{Cite web |last=Collier |first=Kevin |date=August 14, 2024 |title=Google says it observed Iran trying to hack the Trump and Biden-Harris campaigns |url=https://www.nbcnews.com/tech/security/google-says-observed-iran-trying-hack-trump-biden-harris-campaigns-rcna166645 |access-date=August 16, 2024 |website=USA Today |archive-date=August 16, 2024 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20240816091952/https://www.nbcnews.com/tech/security/google-says-observed-iran-trying-hack-trump-biden-harris-campaigns-rcna166645 |url-status=live}}</ref><ref>{{Cite news |last1=Myers |first1=Steven Lee |last2=Hsu |first2=Tiffany |last3=Fassihi |first3=Farnaz |date=September 4, 2024 |url=https://www.nytimes.com/2024/09/04/business/media/iran-disinformation-us-presidential-race.html |title=Iran Emerges as a Top Disinformation Threat in U.S. Presidential Race |work=]|archive-date=September 4, 2024|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20240904160052/https://www.nytimes.com/2024/09/04/business/media/iran-disinformation-us-presidential-race.html/|url-status=live}}</ref><ref>{{Cite web |last=Morrison |first=Dan |date=August 12, 2024 |title=FBI probes Trump hack, Harris team says it was also targeted in failed attempt |url=https://www.usatoday.com/story/news/politics/elections/2024/08/12/trump-hack-harris-fbi/74775669007/ |access-date= |website=USA Today |archive-date=August 15, 2024 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20240815191443/https://www.usatoday.com/story/news/politics/elections/2024/08/12/trump-hack-harris-fbi/74775669007/ |url-status=live}}</ref> | |||
===== Germany ===== | |||
], the deputy federal chairwoman of the ] (SPD), the leading party of the ], traveled to the USA before the elections,<ref>{{Cite web |title=US-Wahl im Swing State Georgia: Warum diesmal vieles anders ist ("US election in the swing state of Georgia: Why things are different this time") |url=https://vorwaerts.de/international/wahlkampf-im-us-swing-state-georgia-es-geht-sehr-viel-um-emotionen |access-date=2025-01-01 |website=] |language=de}}</ref> to campaign for Kamala Harris, according to her own statement.<ref>{{Cite news |last= |date=2024-10-14 |title=Wahlen: Midyatli will in den USA für Harris Wahlkampf machen ("Midyatli wants to campaign for Harris in the USA") |url=https://www.zeit.de/news/2024-10/14/midyatli-will-in-den-usa-fuer-harris-wahlkampf-machen |access-date=2025-01-01 |work=]-news shared by ] |language=de-DE |issn=0044-2070}}</ref><ref>{{Cite web |last=Müller |first=Kay |date=2024-10-29 |title=SPD-Chefin aus SH beobachtet US-Wahlkampf in Atlanta ("SPD leader from SH observes US election campaign in Atlanta") |url=https://www.shz.de/deutschland-welt/schleswig-holstein/artikel/spd-chefin-aus-sh-beobachtet-us-wahlkampf-in-atlanta-47923622 |access-date=2025-01-02 |website=] |language=de}}</ref> In addition to Midyatli, several members of the ] (], ] and ] as well as the ] State Secretary ] (all SPD)) traveled to the USA. The trip took place from October 20 to 25 and was organized by the ], which is linked to the SPD. A few days after the election, when Trump's election victory was inevitable, Midyatli spokesman then claimed "that Ms. Midyatli did not actively participate in the election campaign for any candidate."<ref>{{Cite web |last=Lenthe |first=Alice v |date=2024-11-12 |title=SPD-Vize wollte Wahlkampf für Kamala Harris machen: Jetzt bestreitet ihr Sprecher den Einsatz ("SPD vice-chairman wanted to campaign for Kamala Harris: Now her spokesman denies the sortie") |url=https://www.berliner-zeitung.de/politik-gesellschaft/spd-vize-wollte-wahlkampf-fuer-kamala-harris-machen-jetzt-bestreitet-ihr-sprecher-den-einsatz-li.2270878 |access-date=2025-01-01 |website=] |language=de}}</ref> | |||
=== Voter roll purges === | |||
{{Further|Republican efforts to restrict voting following the 2020 presidential election}} | |||
Multiple Republican-led administrations removed voters from their state's voter rolls in the lead up to the election, which critics argued violates the ].<ref>{{Cite web |last=Timm |first=Jane |date=August 29, 2024 |title=GOP crackdowns on noncitizen voting ensnare newly naturalized Americans |url=https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/2024-election/gop-crackdowns-noncitizen-voting-ensnare-newly-naturalized-americans-rcna168234 |access-date=November 2, 2024 |publisher=NBC News }}</ref><ref name="guardianaug30">{{Cite news |last=Levine |first=Sam |date=August 30, 2024 |title='The chilling effect': behind GOP-led states' efforts to purge some voters from the rolls |url=https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/article/2024/aug/30/gop-led-states-voting-rights |access-date=November 2, 2024 |work=The Guardian |issn=0261-3077}}</ref><ref>{{Cite news |last=Stern |first=Mark Joseph |date=October 30, 2024 |title=The Supreme Court Just Carved an Outrageous Loophole Into a Major Voting Rights Law |url=https://slate.com/news-and-politics/2024/10/us-presidential-election-supreme-court-virginia-voter-rolls-purge.html |access-date=November 2, 2024 |work=Slate |issn=1091-2339}}</ref> In July 2024, 160,000 inactive or infrequent voters were removed from ]'s voter rolls.<ref>{{Cite web |last=Trau |first=Morgan |date=May 3, 2024 |title=How to find out if you are still registered to vote before Ohio's purge |url=https://www.news5cleveland.com/news/politics/ohio-politics/how-to-find-out-if-you-are-still-registered-to-vote-before-ohios-purge |access-date=November 2, 2024 |website=] }}</ref><ref>{{Cite web |last=Trau |first=Morgan |date=July 12, 2024 |title=Advocates concerned with Ohio's mass voter purge set to remove 500 people experiencing homelessness • Ohio Capital Journal |url=https://ohiocapitaljournal.com/2024/07/12/advocates-concerned-with-ohios-mass-voter-purge-set-to-remove-500-people-experiencing-homelessness/ |access-date=November 2, 2024 |website=] }}</ref> The Ohio chapters of ] and the ] threatened lawsuits against the state over the purge.<ref>{{Cite web |date=October 4, 2024 |title=Advocates urge Ohio to restore voter registrations removed in alleged violations of federal law |url=https://apnews.com/article/election-2024-ohio-voter-registration-challenges-03c8c82f0742c963afa680882fedbc37 |access-date=November 2, 2024 |website=AP News }}</ref><ref>{{Cite web |last=Luca |first=Giacomo |date=October 8, 2024 |title=Early voting begins Tuesday in Ohio, Indiana as concerns grow over voter roll purge |url=https://www.wlwt.com/article/2024-early-voting-ohio-indiana-voter-roll-purge-concerns/62539978 |access-date=November 2, 2024 |website=WLWT }}</ref> | |||
In August 2024, Governor ] of ] signed an executive order removing 6,303 voters suspected of being non-citizens from Virginia's voter rolls.<ref>{{Cite web |last=Gamboa |first=Suzanne |date=August 23, 2024 |title=A Virginia voter roll purge sparks renewed rhetoric over 'non-citizens' casting ballots |url=https://www.nbcnews.com/news/latino/virginia-governor-youngkin-voter-purge-noncitizens-errors-election-rcna167925 |access-date=October 30, 2024 |publisher=NBC News }}</ref><ref>{{Cite news |last=Mirshahi |first=Dean |date=August 8, 2024 |title=Youngkin's election security order gets Trump's praise and Democratic criticism |url=https://www.wric.com/news/virginia-news/youngkins-election-security-order-gets-trumps-praise-and-democratic-criticism/ |access-date=October 30, 2024 |work=WRIC}}</ref> In October 2024, the ] sued the Virginia Board of Elections and Virginia commissioner of elections over the voter purge, alleging that it violated the ].<ref>{{Cite news |last=Ward |first=Jasper |date=October 11, 2024 |title=Justice Dept sues Virginia for violating federal election law |url=https://www.reuters.com/legal/us-justice-dept-sues-virginia-violating-federal-election-law-2024-10-11/ |access-date=October 30, 2024 |work=Reuters}}</ref><ref name=":8">{{Cite web |last=Lim |first=Clarissa-Jan |date=October 25, 2024 |title=Justice Department sues Virginia for its voter purge over nonexistent 'noncitizen voting' |url=https://www.msnbc.com/top-stories/latest/virginia-voter-purge-noncitizen-justice-department-lawsuit-rcna175155 |access-date=October 30, 2024 |publisher=] }}</ref> The suit also found a number of alleged non-citizens purged were actually citizens.<ref name=":8" /><ref name=":26">{{Cite web |last=Sneed |first=Tierney |date=October 27, 2024 |title=Appeals court keeps Virginia voter purge program blocked, setting up Supreme Court fight |url=https://www.cnn.com/2024/10/27/politics/virginia-voter-purge-court-ruling/index.html |access-date=October 30, 2024 |publisher=CNN }}</ref> District judge ] ruled that the removal was illegal, ordering the state to stop purging voter rolls and to restore the voter registration of more than 1,600 voters who had been removed.<ref>{{Cite news |last=Lo Wang |first=Hansi |date=October 25, 2024 |title=A judge orders Virginia to restore registered voters purged too close to Election Day |url=https://www.npr.org/2024/10/25/nx-s1-5163389/virginia-voter-purge |access-date=October 30, 2024 |publisher=]}}</ref><ref name=":26" /> The ] then upheld the order.<ref>{{Cite web |last=Quinn |first=Melissa |date=October 30, 2024 |title=Supreme Court clears way for Virginia to remove 1,600 alleged noncitizens from voter rolls – CBS News |url=https://www.cbsnews.com/news/supreme-court-virginia-voter-rolls/ |access-date=October 30, 2024 |website=CBS News }}</ref><ref name=":61">{{Cite news |last=Joffe-Block |first=Jude |date=October 30, 2024 |title=U.S. citizens are among the voters removed in Virginia's controversial purge |url=https://www.npr.org/2024/10/29/nx-s1-5169204/virginia-noncitizen-voter-purge |work=] |publisher=NPR}}</ref> The administration filed an emergency appeal to the ], which sided with Virginia in a 6–3 decision ], allowing the state to continue purging voter rolls.<ref name=":61" /><ref>{{Cite web |date=October 30, 2024 |title=Supreme Court's conservative justices allow Virginia to resume its purge of voter registrations |url=https://apnews.com/article/supreme-court-virginia-voter-registration-purge-ba3d785d9d2d169d9c02207a42893757 |access-date=October 30, 2024 |website=AP News }}</ref> | |||
In August 2024, ] Secretary of State ] announced a process for purging 3,251 registered Alabama voters and referred them to the state attorney general's office for criminal prosecution.<ref name="guardianaug30" /><ref>{{Cite web |date=October 16, 2024 |title=Federal judge blocks Alabama's voter purge program ahead of election |url=https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/2024-election/federal-judge-blocks-alabama-voter-purge-program-rcna175808 |access-date=November 2, 2024 |publisher=NBC News }}</ref> In September 2024, the Department of Justice sued Alabama for violating the National Voter Registration Act.<ref>{{Cite web |last=Cole |first=Devan |date=September 29, 2024 |title=Justice Department sues Alabama over its effort to remove more than 3,000 names from voter rolls too close to election |url=https://www.cnn.com/2024/09/29/politics/alabama-justice-department-election-lawsuit/index.html |access-date=November 2, 2024 |publisher=CNN }}</ref><ref>{{Cite news |last=Lo Wang |first=Hansi |date=September 27, 2024 |title=Justice Department sues Alabama, claiming it purged voters too close to the election |url=https://www.npr.org/2024/09/27/nx-s1-5131578/alabama-noncitizen-voter-purge-lawsuit |access-date=November 2, 2024 |publisher=]}}</ref> In October 2024, district judge ] ruled in favor of the Department of Justice, ordering the state to restore the voter registrations.<ref>{{Cite news |last=Rubin |first=April |date=October 16, 2024 |title=Federal judge orders Alabama to halt voter purge program and restore eligible voters |url=https://www.axios.com/2024/10/16/alabama-voter-purge-federal-judge-order-restore |work=Axios}}</ref><ref name=":9">{{Cite web |last=Riddle |first=Safiyah |date=October 16, 2024 |title=A federal judge halts an Alabama program that purged thousands of legal voters |url=https://apnews.com/article/alabama-voter-purge-allen-secretary-state-judge-6cec74a5bc2afef14beae6827d4cf971 |access-date=November 2, 2024 |website=AP News }}</ref> Alabama secretary of state's chief of staff Clay Helms testified that 2,000 of the purged voters were legally registered citizens.<ref name=":9" /> | |||
=== Criminal trials and indictments against Donald Trump === | |||
{{Main|Indictments against Donald Trump}} | |||
{{Further|Federal prosecution of Donald Trump (election obstruction case)|Georgia election racketeering prosecution|Federal prosecution of Donald Trump (classified documents case)|Prosecution of Donald Trump in New York|Personal and business legal affairs of Donald Trump}} | |||
Trump was found liable in civil proceedings for both ] and ] in 2023 and defamation in 2024, while also being criminally convicted of 34 ] related to ], expected to be an issue during the campaign. As of December 2023, he had four criminal ]s totaling 86 felony counts and there are other lawsuits against Trump.<ref>{{Cite web |date=December 28, 2023 |title=How Trump's criminal and civil cases could shape the 2024 campaign |url=https://www.pbs.org/newshour/show/how-trumps-criminal-and-civil-cases-could-shape-the-2024-campaign |access-date=April 14, 2024 |website=PBS NewsHour |archive-date=April 14, 2024 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20240414044859/https://www.pbs.org/newshour/show/how-trumps-criminal-and-civil-cases-could-shape-the-2024-campaign |url-status=live}}</ref> On May 30, 2024, Trump was found guilty by a jury of all 34 felony counts in '']'' over falsifying business records for ] payments to pornographic film star ], to ensure her silence about ], to influence the 2016 presidential election. This made Trump the first former U.S. president to be convicted of a crime in American history.<ref>{{Cite news |title=The Trump Manhattan Criminal Verdict, Count By Count |work=The New York Times |last1=Gamio |first1=Lazaro |last2=Yourish |first2=Karen |last3=Haag |first3=Matthew |last4=Bromwich |first4=Jonah E. |last5=Haberman |first5=Maggie |last6=Lai |first6=K.K. Rebecca |date=May 30, 2024 |url=https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2024/05/30/nyregion/trump-hush-money-verdict.html |access-date=May 30, 2024 |archive-date=May 30, 2024 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20240530210216/https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2024/05/30/nyregion/trump-hush-money-verdict.html |url-status=live}}</ref> Trump and many Republicans have made numerous false and misleading statements regarding Trump's criminal trials, including false claims that they are "rigged" or "election interference" orchestrated by Biden and the Democratic Party, of which there is no evidence.<ref name="The New York Times-2024-4">{{Cite news |last=Qiu |first=Linda |date=May 31, 2024 |title=Trump and Allies Assail Conviction With Faulty Claims |work=The New York Times |url=https://www.nytimes.com/2024/05/31/us/politics/trump-speech-fact-check.html |url-access=subscription |access-date=June 9, 2024 |archive-date=June 1, 2024 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20240601040801/https://www.nytimes.com/2024/05/31/us/politics/trump-speech-fact-check.html |url-status=live}}</ref><ref name="The New York Times-2024-6" /> | |||
] in 2022]] | |||
Trump faces an additional 52 felony counts: 4 counts in ''United States of America v. Donald J. Trump'' for his alleged role in ] and involvement in the ]; 8 counts in '']'' for his alleged attempts to overturn the results of the ]; and 40 counts in ''United States of America v. Donald J. Trump, Waltine Nauta, and Carlos De Oliveira'' relating to his ] and alleged obstruction of efforts to retrieve them.<ref>{{Cite news |title=Keeping Track of the Trump Criminal Cases |work=The New York Times |date=July 26, 2023 |url=https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2023/us/trump-investigations-charges-indictments.html |access-date=April 27, 2024 |archive-date=April 27, 2024 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20240427135145/https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2023/us/trump-investigations-charges-indictments.html |url-status=live}}</ref> In addition to his indictments, Trump was found liable on May 9, 2023, by an anonymous jury,<ref>{{Cite web |last=Berman |first=Dan |date=March 23, 2023 |title=Carroll v. Trump jurors will be anonymous, judge says, citing Trump's reaction to hush money investigation |url=https://www.cnn.com/2023/03/23/politics/carroll-trump-jury/index.html |url-status=live |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20230402112134/https://www.cnn.com/2023/03/23/politics/carroll-trump-jury/index.html |archive-date=April 2, 2023 |access-date=March 24, 2023 |publisher=CNN}}</ref> in '']'' for sexual abuse/],{{efn|name=def|] defines ''rape'' as vaginal penetration by the penis, which Carroll stated perhaps entered only "halfway".<ref name=memo>{{cite web |title=Memorandum Opinion Denying Defendant's Rule 59 Motion |url=https://storage.courtlistener.com/recap/gov.uscourts.nysd.590045/gov.uscourts.nysd.590045.212.0.pdf |access-date=July 19, 2023 |website=] |publisher=] |archive-date=July 19, 2023 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20230719204757/https://storage.courtlistener.com/recap/gov.uscourts.nysd.590045/gov.uscourts.nysd.590045.212.0.pdf |url-status=live}}</ref><ref name=blake>{{Cite news |last=Blake |first=Aaron |date=July 19, 2023 |title=Analysis {{!}} Judge clarifies: Yes, Trump was found to have raped E. Jean Carroll |language=en-US |newspaper=The Washington Post |url=https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/2023/07/19/trump-carroll-judge-rape/ |access-date=July 20, 2023 |archive-date=January 16, 2024 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20240116123815/https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/2023/07/19/trump-carroll-judge-rape/ |url-status=live}}</ref><ref name=mark>{{Cite web |last=Herrmann |first=Mark |date=July 24, 2023 |title=The Impact Of The Denial Of A New Trial On Trump's Defamation Counterclaim Against E. Jean Carroll |url=https://abovethelaw.com/2023/07/the-impact-of-the-denial-of-a-new-trial-on-trumps-defamation-counterclaim-against-e-jean-carroll/ |access-date=July 25, 2023 |website=Above the Law |language=en-US}}</ref><ref name="Reiss_Gregorian_8/7/2023">{{cite web|last1=Reiss|first1=Adam|last2=Gregorian|first2=Dareh|url=https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/donald-trump/judge-tosses-trumps-counterclaim-e-jean-carroll-finding-rape-claim-sub-rcna98577|title=Judge tosses Trump's counterclaim against E. Jean Carroll, finding rape claim is 'substantially true'|publisher=]|date=August 7, 2023|access-date=August 13, 2023}}</ref>}}{{efn|name=def2|A state law passed in late January 2024 expanded the state's legal definition of rape to include nonconsensual vaginal, anal, and oral contact, effective non-retroactively beginning in September 2024.<ref name=exp>{{Cite news |last=The AP |date=January 30, 2024 |title=New York to expand definition of rape after E Jean Carroll's case against Trump |url=https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/2024/jan/30/new-york-rape-definition-expanded-bill-kathy-hochul-e-jean-carroll-donald-trump |access-date=January 31, 2024 |work=The Guardian |language=en-GB |archive-date=January 31, 2024 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20240131040506/https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/2024/jan/30/new-york-rape-definition-expanded-bill-kathy-hochul-e-jean-carroll-donald-trump |url-status=live}}</ref>}} and ordered to pay a total of $88.3 million combined for damages and defamation.<ref>{{cite news |url=https://www.reuters.com/legal/jurors-set-deliberate-civil-rape-case-against-donald-trump-2023-05-09/ |title=Jury finds Trump sexually abused writer E. Jean Carroll, awards her $5 mln |first1=Jack |last1=Queen |first2=Luc |last2=Cohen |work=Reuters |date=May 9, 2023|access-date=May 9, 2023|archive-date=May 9, 2023|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20230509190650/https://www.reuters.com/legal/jurors-set-deliberate-civil-rape-case-against-donald-trump-2023-05-09/|url-status=live}}</ref><ref>{{Cite news |last=Stempel |first=Jonathan |date=March 28, 2023 |title=Trump fails to narrow rape accuser's case as trial looms |work=] |url=https://www.reuters.com/legal/trump-fails-narrow-rape-accusers-case-trial-looms-2023-03-28/ |url-status=live |access-date=March 29, 2023 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20230405210226/https://www.reuters.com/legal/trump-fails-narrow-rape-accusers-case-trial-looms-2023-03-28/ |archive-date=April 5, 2023}}</ref><ref>{{Cite web |last=Boboltz |first=Sara |date=January 26, 2024 |title=Jury Awards E. Jean Carroll Over $80 Million In Case Against Trump |url=https://www.huffpost.com/entry/trump-e-jean-carroll-defamation-assault-verdict_n_65b3cac3e4b0d407294ef204 |access-date=January 26, 2024 |website=HuffPost |archive-date=January 27, 2024 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20240127020539/https://www.huffpost.com/entry/trump-e-jean-carroll-defamation-assault-verdict_n_65b3cac3e4b0d407294ef204 |url-status=live}}</ref> In September 2023, Trump was found guilty of ] in '']'' and ordered to pay a $457 million judgement that he appealed.<ref name="Reuters-2024">{{Cite web |last1=Lange |first1=Jason |title=Trump hush money charges seen as serious by most voters, Reuters/Ipsos finds |url=https://www.reuters.com/world/us/trump-hush-money-charges-seen-serious-by-most-voters-reutersipsos-finds-2024-04-10/ |date=April 10, 2024 |access-date=April 27, 2024 |work=Reuters |archive-date=April 10, 2024 |archive-url=https://archive.today/20240410131110/https://www.reuters.com/world/us/trump-hush-money-charges-seen-serious-by-most-voters-reutersipsos-finds-2024-04-10/ |url-status=live}}</ref> | |||
According to an April 2024 ]/] poll, the percentage of registered voters who found Trump's charges somewhat to very serious in the federal elections case was 74%, 72% in the Georgia case, 69% in the classified documents case, and 64% in the New York hush money case.<ref>{{Cite web |title=Two-thirds of registered voters say Trump's hush money charges are serious |url=https://www.ipsos.com/en-us/two-thirds-registered-voters-say-trumps-hush-money-charges-are-serious |date=April 10, 2024|access-date=April 27, 2024 |website=Ipsos |archive-date=April 27, 2024 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20240427000528/https://www.ipsos.com/en-us/two-thirds-registered-voters-say-trumps-hush-money-charges-are-serious |url-status=live}}</ref> Nearly a quarter of Republican voters said they would not vote for Trump if found guilty of a felony by a jury.<ref name="Reuters-2024" /> Following his hush money conviction, 15% of likely Republican voters and 49% of independents stated they wanted Trump to drop out, and 54% of registered voters approved of the jury's decision.<ref>{{Cite web |title=Poll: 49% of Independents think Trump should drop out post-guilty verdict |date=June 1, 2024 |last1=Thompson |first1=Alex |last2=Nichols |first2=Hans|access-date=June 1, 2024 |website=Axios |url=https://www.axios.com/2024/06/01/poll-trump-conviction-election-independent-voters |archive-date=June 1, 2024 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20240601175022/https://www.axios.com/2024/06/01/poll-trump-conviction-election-independent-voters |url-status=live}}</ref> Polling also found 56% of Republicans who were unchanged by the verdict, and 35% of Republicans and 18% of independents who stated they were more likely to vote for Trump.<ref>{{cite news |title=Post-Trump Conviction Polls Show Warning Signs—Most Independents Think Trump Should Drop Out |archive-date=November 5, 2024 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20241105081634/https://www.forbes.com/sites/brianbushard/2024/06/04/post-trump-conviction-polls-show-warning-signs-most-independents-think-trump-should-drop-out/|url-status=live |date=June 4, 2024 |last=Bushard |first=Brian |work=Forbes |url=https://www.forbes.com/sites/brianbushard/2024/06/04/post-trump-conviction-polls-show-warning-signs-most-independents-think-trump-should-drop-out/}}</ref> | |||
Trump was noted for attempting to delay his trials until after the November election. On January 20, 2025, Trump could order a new attorney general to dismiss the federal charges he is facing, prevent the state charges from taking effect through a variety of methods, and issue a presidential self-pardon.<ref>{{Cite web |last1=Feuer |first1=Alan |last2=Haberman |first2=Maggie |title=Trump's Court Delays Pile Up While the Presidential Race Gathers Speed |url=https://www.nytimes.com/2024/03/14/us/politics/trump-trial-delays-manhattan-documents.html |date=March 14, 2024|access-date=April 27, 2024 |website=The New York Times|archive-date=April 28, 2024|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20240428013541/https://www.nytimes.com/2024/03/14/us/politics/trump-trial-delays-manhattan-documents.html|url-status=live}}</ref><ref>{{Cite web |last1=Knutson |first1=Jacob |title=Where the legal debate stands on whether Trump can pardon himself |url=https://www.axios.com/2024/01/09/trump-pardon-felony-president |date=January 9, 2024|access-date=April 27, 2024 |website=Axios|archive-date=April 28, 2024|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20240428013541/https://www.axios.com/2024/01/09/trump-pardon-felony-president|url-status=live}}</ref> On July 1, 2024, the Supreme Court delivered its 6–3 decision in '']'', along ideological lines, ruling that Trump had absolute immunity for acts he committed as president within his core constitutional purview, at least presumptive immunity for official acts within the outer perimeter of his official responsibility, and no immunity for unofficial acts.<ref>{{cite news |url=https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/supreme-court/supreme-court-rules-trump-may-immunity-federal-election-inter-rcna149135 |title=Supreme Court provides win to Trump, ruling he has immunity for many acts in election interference indictment |first=Lawrence |last=Hurley |publisher=NBC News |date=July 1, 2024 |access-date=July 1, 2024|archive-date=July 1, 2024|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20240701143716/https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/supreme-court/supreme-court-rules-trump-may-immunity-federal-election-inter-rcna149135|url-status=live}}</ref><ref>{{Cite web |last=Fisher |first=Joe |date=July 1, 2024 |title=Supreme Court rules Trump has partial immunity for official acts only |url=https://www.upi.com/Top_News/US/2024/07/01/supreme-court-trump-immunity-opinion/2581719843674 |access-date=July 1, 2024 |website=United Press International |archive-date=July 1, 2024 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20240701175056/https://www.upi.com/Top_News/US/2024/07/01/supreme-court-trump-immunity-opinion/2581719843674/ |url-status=live}}</ref><ref>{{Cite web |date=July 1, 2024 |title=Highlights of the Supreme Court Ruling on Presidential Immunity |url=https://www.nytimes.com/2024/07/01/us/politics/supreme-court-immunity-ruling-highlights.html |first=Charlie |last=Savage |author-link=Charlie Savage (author) |website=The New York Times |access-date=July 2, 2024 |archive-date=July 2, 2024 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20240702183135/https://www.nytimes.com/2024/07/01/us/politics/supreme-court-immunity-ruling-highlights.html |url-status=live}}</ref> Thus, Trump's sentencing date for his convictions in New York was delayed from July to September 2024,<ref>{{cite web |first1=Corinne |last1=Ramey |first2=James |last2=Fanelli |work=Wall Street Journal |url=https://www.wsj.com/us-news/law/trump-cites-immunity-ruling-in-request-to-throw-out-hush-money-conviction-0acb36f8?mod=hp_lead_pos1 |date=July 2, 2024 |title=Judge Delays Trump Hush-Money Sentencing to Rule on Immunity |access-date=July 3, 2024 |archive-date=July 4, 2024 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20240704065411/https://www.wsj.com/us-news/law/trump-cites-immunity-ruling-in-request-to-throw-out-hush-money-conviction-0acb36f8?mod=hp_lead_pos1 |url-status=live}}</ref> and then to November 26,<ref>{{Cite web |last=Grenoble |first=Ryan |date=September 6, 2024 |title=Judge Postpones Trump's Hush Money Sentencing Until After The Election |url=https://www.huffpost.com/entry/donald-trump-hush-money-sentencing-date-merchan_n_66db0dd8e4b0abbb7b448bd1 |access-date=September 6, 2024 |website=HuffPost |language=en |archive-date=September 6, 2024 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20240906172359/https://www.huffpost.com/entry/donald-trump-hush-money-sentencing-date-merchan_n_66db0dd8e4b0abbb7b448bd1 |url-status=live}}</ref> and the trial dates in Trump's other cases would likely also be delayed to review the applicability of the Supreme Court's decision.<ref>{{cite news |first1=Devlin |last1=Barrett |first2=Perry |last2=Stein |newspaper=The Washington Post |url=https://www.washingtonpost.com/national-security/2024/07/02/justice-dept-trump-prosecute-after-election/ |date=July 2, 2024 |title=Justice Dept. plans to pursue Trump cases past Election Day, even if he wins |access-date=July 4, 2024 |archive-date=July 3, 2024 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20240703221057/https://www.washingtonpost.com/national-security/2024/07/02/justice-dept-trump-prosecute-after-election/ |url-status=live}}</ref><ref>{{cite web |first1=Kyle |last1=Cheney |first2=Josh |last2=Gerstein |work=Politico |url=https://www.politico.com/news/2024/07/01/supreme-court-immunity-trump-case-election-00166057 |date=July 1, 2024 |title=Trump's election subversion case heads back to Judge Chutkan. But it may never reach a jury. |access-date=July 4, 2024 |archive-date=July 2, 2024 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20240702173339/https://www.politico.com/news/2024/07/01/supreme-court-immunity-trump-case-election-00166057 |url-status=live}}</ref> | |||
=== Age and health concerns === | |||
==== Joe Biden ==== | |||
{{Main|Age and health concerns about Joe Biden}} | |||
Former president Trump, lawmakers, and mass media raised concerns about President Biden's age, including his cognitive state, during and after the ].<ref name="BAge" /> These concerns increased after a poor performance by Biden during ] in the 2024 presidential election, which led a number of commentators and some Democratic lawmakers to call for Biden to drop out of the 2024 presidential race.<ref>{{Cite web |date=July 17, 2024 |title=Rep. Schiff calls on Biden to drop out, citing 'serious concerns' that he can't win |url=https://www.latimes.com/politics/story/2024-07-17/schiff-calls-on-biden-to-drop-out-citing-serious-concerns-that-he-can-win |access-date=July 18, 2024 |website=Los Angeles Times |language=en-US |archive-date=July 19, 2024 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20240719090526/https://www.latimes.com/politics/story/2024-07-17/schiff-calls-on-biden-to-drop-out-citing-serious-concerns-that-he-can-win |url-status=live}}</ref> In July 2024, ] his candidacy while stating that he would continue serving as president until the conclusion of his term.<ref>{{cite news |title=Biden steps aside as Democratic presidential nominee |url=https://www.washingtonpost.com/elections/2024/07/21/election-2024-biden-trump-campaign-updates/ |newspaper=The Washington Post |access-date=July 21, 2024 |archive-date=July 21, 2024 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20240721131822/https://www.washingtonpost.com/elections/2024/07/21/election-2024-biden-trump-campaign-updates/ |url-status=live}}</ref> According to a February 2024 poll, Biden's age and health were major or moderate concerns for 86% of voters generally,<ref name="BAge">{{cite web |url=https://www.politico.com/news/2024/02/11/poll-biden-too-old-for-another-term-00140852 |title=Poll: Overwhelming majority of Americans think Biden is too old for another term |date=February 11, 2024 |first1=Kelly |last1=Garrity |website=] |access-date=February 13, 2024 |archive-date=February 13, 2024 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20240213044558/https://www.politico.com/news/2024/02/11/poll-biden-too-old-for-another-term-00140852 |url-status=live}}</ref> up from 76% earlier in 2020.<ref>{{Cite web |date=February 8, 2024 |title=Age isn't just a number. It's a profound and growing problem for Biden. |url=https://www.politico.com/news/2024/02/08/biden-mental-fitness-major-focus-00140503|access-date=February 9, 2024 |website=] |archive-date=February 9, 2024 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20240209185017/https://www.politico.com/news/2024/02/08/biden-mental-fitness-major-focus-00140503 |url-status=live}}</ref> According to another 2024 poll, most of those who voted for Biden in 2020 believed he was too old to be an effective president; '']'' noted that these concerns "cut across generations, gender, race and education".<ref>{{cite news |last1=Lerer |first1=Lisa |last2=Igielnik |first2=Ruth |title=Majority of Biden's 2020 Voters Now Say He's Too Old to Be Effective |url=https://www.nytimes.com/2024/03/03/us/politics/biden-age-trump-poll.html |access-date=March 3, 2024 |work=] |date=March 3, 2024 |archive-date=March 3, 2024 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20240303155011/https://www.nytimes.com/2024/03/03/us/politics/biden-age-trump-poll.html |url-status=live}}</ref> | |||
==== Donald Trump ==== | |||
{{Main|Age and health concerns about Donald Trump}} | |||
In the summer before the election, polling showed at least half of Americans thought that Trump, who is 78 years old, was too old to serve a second term, with 80% unsure he would be able to finish out a second term.<ref name="The Independent-2024">{{Cite web |last1=Kilander |first1=Gustaf |date=August 7, 2024 |title=Half of voters voice concerns about Trump's age ahead of election |url=https://www.independent.co.uk/news/world/americas/us-politics/donald-trump-age-polls-2024-election-b2592619.html |website=The Independent}}</ref> Numerous public figures, media sources, and mental health professionals speculated that Trump may have some form of ], which runs in his family.<ref name="wapojuly22">{{Cite news |last=Kranish |first=Michael |date=July 22, 2024 |title=Trump's age and health under renewed scrutiny after Biden's exit |url=https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/2024/07/22/trump-age-health/ |url-status=live |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20240723001043/https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/2024/07/22/trump-age-health/ |archive-date=July 23, 2024 |access-date=August 20, 2024 |newspaper=Washington Post}}</ref> Experts for the science publication '']'' who analyzed changes in Trump's speeches between 2015 and 2024 noted shorter sentences, more tangents, more repetition, and more confusion of words and phrases. Doctors suggested it could just be due to changes in mood or it could indicate the beginning of ].<ref name="The New Republic-2024">{{Cite magazine |last=Rashid |first=Hafiz |date=August 8, 2024 |title=Cognitive Decline? Experts Find Evidence Trump's Mind Is Slowing |url=https://newrepublic.com/post/184690/cognitive-decline-experts-find-evidence-trumps-mind-slowing |access-date=August 19, 2024 |magazine=The New Republic}}</ref> The sharp rise in ] is also linked to ].<ref name="The New Republic-2024" /> ''The New York Times'' reported that Trump's 2024 speeches had grown "darker, harsher, longer, angrier, less focused, more profane and increasingly fixated on the past", and that experts considered this increase in ] and ] as a possible consequence of advancing age and cognitive decline.<ref>{{Cite news |last1=Baker |first1=Peter |last2=Freedman |first2=Dylan |date=October 6, 2024 |title=Trump's Speeches, Increasingly Angry and Rambling, Reignite the Question of Age |work=The New York Times |url=https://www.nytimes.com/2024/10/06/us/politics/trump-speeches-age-cognitive-decline.html |access-date=October 8, 2024 |archive-date=October 8, 2024 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20241008051103/https://www.nytimes.com/2024/10/06/us/politics/trump-speeches-age-cognitive-decline.html |url-status=live}}</ref> Trump was also criticized for his lack of transparency around his medical records and health.<ref>{{cite web |last1=Wierson |first1=Arick |date=April 14, 2022 |title=Why Trump's offhand comment about his health could be a watershed moment |url=https://www.nbcnews.com/think/opinion/trumps-comment-health-watershed-moment-2024-election-rcna24298 |work=MSNBC |quote=... Trump, who has been notoriously secretive about sharing his health records with the public, seemed to admit that health issues might influence his decision to run. He has often been deliberately misleading and even dishonest about his health ... .|access-date=August 20, 2024 |archive-date=September 11, 2024 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20240911074541/https://www.nbcnews.com/think/opinion/trumps-comment-health-watershed-moment-2024-election-rcna24298 |url-status=live}}</ref><ref name="wapojuly22" /> | |||
=== Political violence and threats === | |||
{{Main|Political violence in the 2024 United States presidential election}} | |||
{{See also|Donald Trump 2024 presidential campaign#Violent and dehumanizing statements}} | |||
] | |||
Several scholars, lawmakers, intelligence agencies, and the members of the public expressed concerns about ] surrounding the 2024 election.<ref>{{Cite news |last1=Pezenik |first1=Sasha |last2=Margolin |first2=Josh |date=February 2, 2024 |title=The top threats facing the 2024 election |publisher=ABC News |url=https://abcnews.go.com/Politics/2024-election-face-complicated-array-threats-dhs/story?id=106879560 |access-date=July 13, 2024 |archive-date=July 7, 2024 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20240707005110/https://abcnews.go.com/Politics/2024-election-face-complicated-array-threats-dhs/story?id=106879560 |url-status=live}}</ref><ref>{{Cite news |last=Solender |first=Andrew |date=May 30, 2024 |title=Lawmakers fear potential unrest after Trump verdict |work=Axios |url=https://www.axios.com/2024/05/31/congress-violence-trump-guilty-verdict |access-date=July 13, 2024 |archive-date=July 3, 2024 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20240703234559/https://www.axios.com/2024/05/31/congress-violence-trump-guilty-verdict |url-status=live}}</ref> The fears came amidst increasing threats and acts of physical violence targeting public officials and election workers at all levels of government.<ref>{{Cite news |last1=Hakim |first1=Danny |last2=Bensinger |first2=Ken |last3=Sullivan |first3=Eileen |date=May 20, 2024 |title='We'll See You at Your House': How Fear and Menace Are Transforming Politics |work=The New York Times |url=https://www.nytimes.com/2024/05/19/us/politics/political-violence.html |url-access=subscription |access-date=July 13, 2024 |archive-date=June 24, 2024 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20240624192316/https://www.nytimes.com/2024/05/19/us/politics/political-violence.html |url-status=live}}</ref><ref>{{Cite news |last1=Walton |first1=Daniel |date=July 30, 2024 |title='Ripe for political violence': US election officials are quitting at an alarming rate |work=The Guardian |url=https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/2023/jul/30/us-election-officials-leaving-2024-elections-north-carolina |url-access=subscription |access-date=July 13, 2024 |archive-date=April 8, 2024 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20240408072653/https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/2023/jul/30/us-election-officials-leaving-2024-elections-north-carolina |url-status=live}}</ref> Trump was identified as a key figure in increasing political violence in the United States both for and against him.<ref>{{Cite news |last=Baker |first=Peter |date=September 16, 2024 |title=Trump, Outrage and the Modern Era of Political Violence |work=The New York Times |url=https://www.nytimes.com/2024/09/16/us/politics/trump-violence-assassination-attempt.html |access-date=September 28, 2024 |archive-date=September 26, 2024 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20240926210759/https://www.nytimes.com/2024/09/16/us/politics/trump-violence-assassination-attempt.html |url-status=live |quote=At the heart of today's eruption of political violence is Mr. Trump, a figure who seems to inspire people to make threats or take actions both for him and against him. He has long favored the language of violence in his political discourse, encouraging supporters to beat up hecklers, threatening to shoot looters and undocumented migrants, mocking a near-fatal attack on the husband of the Democratic House speaker and suggesting that a general he deemed disloyal be executed.}}</ref><ref name="Perspectives on Terrorism-2020" /><ref name="It's About Hate-2022">{{Cite journal |last1=Piazza |first1=James |last2=Van Doren |first2=Natalia |date=October 8, 2022 |title=It's About Hate: Approval of Donald Trump, Racism, Xenophobia and Support for Political Violence |url=https://journals.sagepub.com/doi/abs/10.1177/1532673X221131561 |journal=] |volume=51 |issue=3 |pages=299–314 |access-date=September 28, 2024 |issn=1532-673X |doi=10.1177/1532673X221131561 |url-status=live |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20240929000738/https://journals.sagepub.com/doi/abs/10.1177/1532673X221131561 |archive-date=September 29, 2024}}</ref> Political violence was at its highest since the 1970s, and the most recent violence came from right-wing assailants.<ref>{{Cite news |last1=Parker |first1=Ned |last2=Eisler |first2=Peter |date=October 21, 2024 |title=New cases of political violence roil US ahead of contentious election |work=Reuters |url=https://www.reuters.com/world/us/new-cases-political-violence-roil-us-ahead-contentious-election-2024-10-21/ |access-date=October 22, 2024}}</ref><ref>{{Cite news |last1=Parker |first1=Ned |last2=Eisler |first2=Peter |date=August 9, 2023 |title=Political violence in polarized U.S. at its worst since 1970s |work=Reuters |url=https://www.reuters.com/investigates/special-report/usa-politics-violence/ |access-date= |quote=In contrast, much of today's political violence is aimed at people – and most of the deadly outbursts tracked by Reuters have come from the right. Of the 14 fatal political attacks since the Capitol riot in which the perpetrator or suspect had a clear partisan leaning, 13 were right-wing assailants. One was on the left.}}</ref> Trump increasingly embraced ], conspiracy theories such as ], and far-right ] to a greater extent than any modern American president.<ref name="The New York Times-2022">{{Cite news |last1=Baker |first1=Peter |date=December 1, 2022 |title=Trump Embraces Extremism as He Seeks to Reclaim Office |work=The New York Times |url=https://www.nytimes.com/2022/12/01/us/politics/trump-extremism-candidacy.html |url-access=subscription |access-date=July 13, 2024 |archive-date=April 16, 2024 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20240416102953/https://www.nytimes.com/2022/12/01/us/politics/trump-extremism-candidacy.html |url-status=live |quote=Analysts and strategists see Mr. Trump's pivot toward the far right as a tactic to re-create political momentum ... Mr. Trump has long flirted with the fringes of American society as no other modern president has, openly appealing to prejudice based on race, religion, national origin and sexual orientation, among others ... Mr. Trump's expanding embrace of extremism has left Republicans once again struggling to figure out how to distance themselves from him.}}</ref><ref name="The Associated Press-2023">{{Cite news |last1=Swenson |first1=Ali |last2=Kunzelman |first2=Michael |date=November 18, 2023 |title=Fears of political violence are growing as the 2024 campaign heats up and conspiracy theories evolve |publisher=Associated Press |url=https://apnews.com/article/depape-paul-pelosi-qanon-conspiracy-theories-violence-390ad310fa34b0edb925d88540a7ddcd |url-access=subscription |access-date=July 13, 2024 |archive-date=May 11, 2024 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20240511205554/https://apnews.com/article/depape-paul-pelosi-qanon-conspiracy-theories-violence-390ad310fa34b0edb925d88540a7ddcd |url-status=live |quote=Trump has amplified social media accounts that promote QAnon, which grew from the far-right fringes of the internet to become a fixture of mainstream Republican politics ... In his 2024 campaign, Trump has ramped up his combative rhetoric with talk of retribution against his enemies. He recently joked about the hammer attack on Paul Pelosi and suggested that retired Gen. Mark Milley, a former Joint Chiefs of Staff chairman, should be executed for treason.}}</ref> Trump also espoused dehumanizing, combative, and violent rhetoric, and promised retribution against his political enemies.{{efn|name=Rhetoric1|Attributed to multiple references:<ref name="Perspectives on Terrorism-2020">{{Cite journal |last1=Nacos |first1=Brigitte L. |last2=Shapiro |first2=Robert Y. |last3=Bloch-Elkon |first3=Yaeli |year=2020 |title=Donald Trump: Aggressive Rhetoric and Political Violence |journal=] |publisher=] |volume=14 |issue=5 |pages=2–25 |issn=2334-3745 |jstor=26940036 |jstor-access=free}}</ref><ref name="It's About Hate-2022"/><ref>{{Cite news |last1=Layne |first1=Nathan |last2=Slattery |first2=Gram |last3=Reid |first3=Tim |date=April 3, 2024 |title=Trump calls migrants 'animals,' intensifying focus on illegal immigration |url=https://www.reuters.com/world/us/trump-expected-highlight-murder-michigan-woman-immigration-speech-2024-04-02/ |url-status=live |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20240617123326/https://www.reuters.com/world/us/trump-expected-highlight-murder-michigan-woman-immigration-speech-2024-04-02/ |archive-date=June 17, 2024 |access-date=April 3, 2024 |work=Reuters |quote=While speaking of Laken Riley – a 22-year-old nursing student from Georgia allegedly murdered by a Venezuelan immigrant in the country illegally – Trump said some immigrants were sub-human. 'The Democrats say, 'Please don't call them animals. They're humans.' I said, 'No, they're not humans, they're not humans, they're animals,' said Trump, president from 2017 to 2021.}}</ref><ref name="The New York Times-2023-7">{{cite news |last1=Haberman |first1=Maggie |last2=Nehamas |first2=Nicholas |last3=McFadden |first3=Alyce |date=October 3, 2023 |title=Trump Said Shoplifters Should Be Shot, Part of a String of Violent Remarks |url=https://www.nytimes.com/2023/10/03/us/politics/trump-indictments-shoplifters-violence.html |url-status=live |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20231008234203/https://www.nytimes.com/2023/10/03/us/politics/trump-indictments-shoplifters-violence.html |archive-date=October 8, 2023 |access-date=October 9, 2023 |work=]}}</ref><ref name="The New York Times-2023-5">{{cite news |last=Gabriel |first=Trip |title=Trump Escalates Anti-Immigrant Rhetoric With 'Poisoning the Blood' Comment |url=https://www.nytimes.com/2023/10/05/us/politics/trump-immigration-rhetoric.html |work=The New York Times |date=October 5, 2023 |access-date=April 26, 2024 |archive-date=January 17, 2024 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20240117102659/https://www.nytimes.com/2023/10/05/us/politics/trump-immigration-rhetoric.html |url-status=live}}</ref><ref name="The Washington Post-2023">{{Cite news |last=LeVine |first=Marianne |date=November 12, 2023 |title=Trump calls political enemies 'vermin,' echoing dictators Hitler, Mussolini |url=https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/2023/11/12/trump-rally-vermin-political-opponents |url-status=live |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20231113051831/https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/2023/11/12/trump-rally-vermin-political-opponents/ |archive-date=November 13, 2023 |access-date=November 12, 2023 |newspaper=]}}</ref><ref name="The New York Times-2024-2">{{Cite news |last1=Gold |first1=Michael |last2=Huynh |first2=Anjali |date=April 2, 2024 |title=Trump Again Invokes 'Blood Bath' and Dehumanizes Migrants in Border Remarks |url=https://www.nytimes.com/2024/04/02/us/politics/trump-border-blood-bath.html |url-status=live |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20240402234017/https://www.nytimes.com/2024/04/02/us/politics/trump-border-blood-bath.html |archive-date=April 2, 2024 |access-date=April 3, 2024 |work=The New York Times}}</ref><ref>{{Cite news |last1=Basu |first1=Zachary |date=October 4, 2023 |title=Trump's words turn violent as pressure on him builds |work=Axios |url=https://www.axios.com/2023/10/04/trumps-words-turn-violent-pressure-builds |access-date=July 13, 2024 |archive-date=July 10, 2024 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20240710150740/https://www.axios.com/2023/10/04/trumps-words-turn-violent-pressure-builds |url-status=live}}</ref>}} Trump played down but refused to rule out violence following the 2024 election, stating "it depends".<ref>{{cite news |last1=Ibssa |first1=Lalee |last2=Kim |first2=Soo Rin |date=April 30, 2024 |title=Trump says 'it depends' if there will be violence if he loses 2024 election to Biden |url=https://abcnews.go.com/Politics/trump-asked-violence-loses-november-election-biden-depends/story?id=109787140 |url-status=live |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20240430182158/https://abcnews.go.com/Politics/trump-asked-violence-loses-november-election-biden-depends/story?id=109787140 |archive-date=April 30, 2024 |access-date=April 30, 2024 |publisher=ABC News}}</ref> Trump also suggested using the military against "the enemy from within" on Election Day that he described as "radical left lunatics", Democratic politicians, and those opposed to his candidacy.<ref>{{cite news |last1=Stracqualursi |first1=Veronica |title=Trump suggests using military against 'enemy from within' on Election Day |url=https://edition.cnn.com/2024/10/13/politics/trump-military-enemy-from-within-election-day/index.html |publisher=CNN |date=October 14, 2024}}</ref><ref name="Lerer 10152024">{{cite news |last1=Lerer |first1=Lisa |last2=Gold |first2=Michael |title=Trump Escalates Threats to Political Opponents He Deems the 'Enemy' |url=https://www.nytimes.com/2024/10/15/us/politics/trump-opponents-enemy-within.html |work=The New York Times |date=October 15, 2024|quote=But never before has a presidential nominee—let alone a former president—openly suggested turning the military on American citizens simply because they oppose his candidacy. As he escalates his threats of political retribution, Mr. Trump is offering voters the choice of a very different, and far less democratic, form of American government.}}</ref> | |||
==== Assassination attempts ==== | |||
] standing alongside the fire department uniform of Corey Comperatore, who was killed during the attempted assassination of Trump]] | |||
On July 13, 2024, Trump survived ] while addressing a ] near ].<ref name="Pennsylvania Assassination">{{Cite web |last=Baker |first=Graeme |date=July 14, 2024 |title=Biden condemns 'sick' attempt on Trump's life |url=https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/c98qnvn8dzeo |url-status=live |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20240714184148/https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/c98qnvn8dzeo |archive-date=July 14, 2024 |access-date=July 14, 2024 |publisher=]}}</ref><!--Simply use the phrase "near Butler, Pennsylvania", to avoid edit warring over whether or not to mention Connoquenessing Township and Meridian, the two towns the rally was in between--> Trump was shot and wounded on his right ear by ], a 20-year-old man from ],<ref name="The New York Times-2024-9">{{Cite news |last1=Barnes |first1=Julian E. |last2=Gold |first2=Michael |last3=Levien |first3=Simon J. |date=July 13, 2024 |title=Live Updates: Trump 'Safe' After Shooting at Rally; Suspect Killed |url=https://www.nytimes.com/live/2024/07/13/us/biden-trump-election |url-access=subscription |url-status=live |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20240713223053/https://www.nytimes.com/live/2024/07/13/us/biden-trump-election |archive-date=July 13, 2024 |access-date=July 13, 2024 |work=]}}</ref><ref>{{Cite news |date=July 14, 2024 |title=FBI identifies Thomas Matthew Crooks as 'subject involved' in Trump rally shooting |url=https://www.reuters.com/world/us/fbi-identifies-thomas-matthew-crooks-subject-involved-trump-rally-shooting-2024-07-14/ |url-status=live |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20240714061941/https://www.reuters.com/world/us/fbi-identifies-thomas-matthew-crooks-subject-involved-trump-rally-shooting-2024-07-14/ |archive-date=July 14, 2024 |access-date=July 14, 2024 |work=]}}</ref> who fired eight rounds with an ] from the roof of a building located approximately {{convert|400|ft|abbr=off}} from the stage; the shots killed audience member Corey Comperatore and critically injured two other audience members.<ref name="The New York Times-2024-9" /> Seconds later, Crooks was shot and killed by the ].<ref>{{cite press release |last=Cheatle |first=Kimberly |date=July 15, 2024 |title=Statement From U.S. Secret Service Director Kimberly Cheatle |url=https://www.secretservice.gov/newsroom/releases/2024/07/statement-us-secret-service-director-kimberly-cheatle |url-status=live |publisher=] |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20240715190946/https://www.secretservice.gov/newsroom/releases/2024/07/statement-us-secret-service-director-kimberly-cheatle |archive-date=July 15, 2024 |access-date=July 15, 2024 |quote=Secret Service personnel on the ground moved quickly during the incident, with our counter sniper team neutralizing the shooter and our agents implementing protective measures to ensure the safety of former president Donald Trump.}}</ref> The motive and cause of the assassination attempt are still under investigation by authorities.<ref>{{Cite web |last=Hagopian |first=Alicja |date=July 20, 2024 |title=Assassination attempt or domestic terrorism? FBI investigates Trump shooter's motives |url=https://www.independent.co.uk/news/world/americas/us-politics/trump-shooting-assassination-terrorism-motive-b2582048.html |access-date=August 12, 2024 |website=The Independent}}</ref> On September 11, 2024, a bipartisan Senate report identified tech issues and other preventable mistakes by the Secret Service during the event.<ref name="nbc25">{{Cite news|url=https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/donald-trump/bipartisan-report-trump-shooting-secret-service-failures-tech-rcna172433|title=Bipartisan report on Trump shooting identifies Secret Service tech issues and 'preventable' mistakes|last1=Nobles|first1=Ryan|last2=Reilly|first2=Ryan J.|last3=Thorp V|first3=Frank|publisher=NBC News|date=September 25, 2024|access-date=September 28, 2024|archive-date=September 28, 2024|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20240928141432/https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/donald-trump/bipartisan-report-trump-shooting-secret-service-failures-tech-rcna172433|url-status=live}}</ref> On September 15, 2024, Trump survived ] at ] in ]. The suspect did not fire his weapon, and no deaths or injuries were reported.<ref name="Florida Assassination">{{Cite web |date=September 16, 2024 |title=Trump 'assassination attempt': Suspect charged after second apparent plot|url=https://www.nbcnews.com/news/us-news/live-blog/trump-assassination-attempt-live-updates-rcna171241 |access-date=September 24, 2024 |publisher=]}}</ref> The suspect, ], is in custody.<ref name="CNN_Sept">{{Cite news |url=https://edition.cnn.com/2024/09/16/us/ryan-routh-trump-what-we-know-intl-hnk/index.html |title=What we know about Ryan Wesley Routh, the suspect in the apparent second Trump assassination attempt |first=Rob |last=Picheta |publisher=CNN |date=September 16, 2024 |access-date=September 27, 2024 |archive-date=September 23, 2024 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20240923082026/https://edition.cnn.com/2024/09/16/us/ryan-routh-trump-what-we-know-intl-hnk/index.html |url-status=live}}</ref> | |||
==== Violence towards election workers ==== | |||
Since the 2020 election and continuing into the 2024 election, the ] prompted thousands of ]s directed at election workers, officials, and their families, with some receiving letters laced with ].<ref>{{cite news |last=Sullivan |first=Eileen |date=April 13, 2024 |title=Election Workers Face Flood of Threats, but Charges Are Few |url=https://www.nytimes.com/2024/04/13/us/politics/election-workers-threats.html |url-status=live |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20241005065258/https://www.nytimes.com/2024/04/13/us/politics/election-workers-threats.html |archive-date=October 5, 2024 |access-date=September 28, 2024 |newspaper=]}}</ref><ref>{{Cite web |last=Wong |first=Matteo |date=October 25, 2024 |title='Stop Counting Votes, or We're Going to Murder Your Children' |url=https://www.theatlantic.com/technology/archive/2024/10/election-workers-threats-trump/680362/ |access-date=October 25, 2024 |website=The Atlantic }}</ref> As of March 2024, the ] Election Threats Task Force had charged 20 people with threat-related crimes.<ref>{{Cite web |last=Timm |first=Jane C. |date=March 25, 2024 |title=The DOJ is investigating dozens of threats against election workers |url=https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/elections/doj-investigating-dozens-threats-election-workers-rcna145014 |access-date=October 21, 2024 |publisher=NBC News }}</ref> In September 2024, suspicious packages were sent to state election officials in several states, which resulted in evacuations. The inclusion of white powder in most of the packages mirrored the ]; the substance in Oklahoma packages was identified as flour.<ref>{{cite news |last1=Alanez |first1=Tonya |last2=Gross |first2=Samantha J. |date=September 17, 2024 |title=FBI, USPS intercept suspicious envelope sent to Mass. elections division |url=https://www.bostonglobe.com/2024/09/17/metro/fbi-intercepts-suspicious-package-sent-to-mass-elections-office/ |newspaper=]}}</ref> Threats led some election workers to resign, and affected recruitment of temporary ].<ref name=":4">{{Cite news |last1=Carlton |first1=Jim |last2=Bergengruen |first2=Vera |date=October 19, 2024 |title='It Feels Very Dystopian.' Republican County Officials Brace for Election Deniers—Again |url=https://www.wsj.com/politics/elections/maricopa-country-arizona-election-worker-threats-a4ebf3a3 |access-date=October 21, 2024 |work=The Wall Street Journal}}</ref><ref name=":7">{{Cite web |last1=Edlin |first1=Ruby |last2=Norden |first2=Lawrence |date=April 25, 2023 |title=Poll of Election Officials Shows High Turnover Amid Safety Threats and Political Interference |url=https://www.brennancenter.org/our-work/analysis-opinion/poll-election-officials-shows-high-turnover-amid-safety-threats-and |access-date=October 21, 2024 |website=Brennan Center for Justice }}</ref> In locations where funds were available,<ref name=":7" /> efforts to protect election workers involved ], provision of ]s and ], ]s, ], ]s, armed guards, ]s, ].<ref name=":4" /> | |||
==== Violence towards voters ==== | |||
On October 30, 2024, an 18-year-old man in ], was arrested for ] and ] after brandishing a machete at two women outside an early voting center. He along with seven other teenagers, allegedly approached and antagonized members of the opposing political party as they were demonstrating. Neither the teenager's nor the women's political parties were disclosed, although later posts by the Duval Democratic Party described the teenager's party as a "group of young men carrying Trump flags".<ref>{{Cite web |last=Musa |first=Amanda |date=October 30, 2024 |title=Florida teen arrested after brandishing machete outside early voting location, police say |url=https://www.cnn.com/2024/10/30/us/florida-teen-machete-arrest-early-voting/index.html |access-date=October 31, 2024 |publisher=CNN }}</ref> On November 1, 2024, a voter wearing a "]" hat was reportedly struck by a poll worker after a verbal altercation over his hat at an ], polling location. Although it is illegal to wear anything supporting a candidate whose name is on the ballot, wearing a general political message is permitted by South Carolina law.<ref>{{Cite web |last1=Wilder |first1=Anna |last2=Monk |first2=John |date=November 1, 2024 |title='Let's Go Brandon' hat sparks physical altercation at early voting site in Orangeburg, SC |url=https://www.thestate.com/news/politics-government/article294901794.html |access-date=November 4, 2024 |website=The State}}</ref> Also on November 1, a man in ], was arrested for assaulting someone in a supermarket for wearing a Trump hat.<ref>{{Cite news |last=Lewis |first=Ray |date=November 4, 2024 |title=NY man charged with assaulting person for wearing 'Trump 2024' hat at supermarket |url=https://kfoxtv.com/news/nation-world/ny-man-charged-with-assaulting-person-wearing-trump-2024-hat-at-supermarket-police-say-the-bath-village-police-department-said-60-year-old-robert-yott-election-donald-trump-kamala-harris-new-york-southern-tier |access-date=November 8, 2024 |work=KFOX14}}</ref> | |||
==== Arson of ballot boxes ==== | |||
In late October 2024, multiple fires were reported at ballot drop boxes in ], and ]. The fires damaged hundreds of ballots, requiring election officials to identify and offer new ballots to those affected by the fires. Prior to the fires, the ] and the ] had issued a bulletin raising concerns that "election-related grievances" could motivate domestic extremist activity and that ballot drop boxes could potentially be "attractive targets".<ref>{{Cite web |last=Chavez |first=Nicole |date=October 28, 2024 |title=Ballot drop box fires under investigation in Oregon, Washington |url=https://www.cnn.com/2024/10/28/us/ballot-box-fires-oregon-washington/index.html |access-date=October 28, 2024 |publisher=CNN }}</ref><ref>{{Cite web |last1=Berry |first1=Allison|last2=Bell |first2=Evan |date=October 28, 2024 |title=Hundreds of ballots possibly burned after Vancouver ballot box arson: FBI investigating |url=https://katu.com/news/local/vancouver-ballot-box-seen-smoking-same-morning-as-portland-ballot-box-arson |access-date=October 28, 2024 |website=KATU }}</ref> In ], a fire was started in a mail collection box, destroying some ballots and other mail. A suspect was arrested and claimed that the fire was unrelated to the election.<ref>{{Cite web |last1=Deliso |first1=Meredith |last2=Romero |first2=Laura |date=October 24, 2024 |title=Ballots damaged after USPS mailbox lit on fire in Phoenix: Police |url=https://abcnews.go.com/US/phoenix-ballots-usps-mailbox-fire-damage/story?id=115110037 |access-date=October 28, 2024 |publisher=ABC News }}</ref> | |||
== Nominations == | |||
=== Republican Party === | |||
{{Main|2024 Republican Party presidential primaries|2024 Republican Party presidential candidates}} | |||
], which went to ] (''orange'')]] | |||
Trump, the then-incumbent president, was defeated by Biden in the 2020 election and was not term-limited to run again in 2024, making him the fifth ex-president to seek a second non-consecutive term. Trump filed and announced his candidacy a week following the ].<ref>{{cite news |last1=Orr |first1=Gabby |title=Former Republican President Donald Trump says he's launching another White House bid |url=https://www.cnn.com/2022/11/15/politics/trump-2024-presidential-bid/index.html |access-date=November 15, 2022 |publisher=] |date=November 15, 2022 |archive-date=January 15, 2023|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20230115195034/https://www.cnn.com/2022/11/15/politics/trump-2024-presidential-bid/index.html |url-status=live}}</ref><ref>{{cite news |last1=Jackson |first1=David |last2=Mansfield |first2=Erin |last3=Looker |first3=Rachel |title=Donald Trump files federal paperwork for 2024 presidential run as GOP debates party future: live updates |url=https://www.usatoday.com/story/news/politics/2022/11/16/donald-trump-president-candidacy-2024-live-updates/10297004002/ |access-date=November 15, 2022 |work=] |date=November 15, 2022|archive-date=November 16, 2022|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20221116000312/https://www.usatoday.com/story/news/politics/2022/11/16/donald-trump-president-candidacy-2024-live-updates/10297004002/ |url-status=live}}</ref> Trump was considered an early frontrunner for the Republican presidential nomination.<ref>{{Cite web |last=Bravender |first=Robin |date=November 10, 2021 |title=A top campaign strategist for Ted Cruz and Glenn Youngkin says 'if Trump runs, Trump will be the nominee' in 2024 |url=https://www.businessinsider.com/donald-trump-republican-nominee-2024-biden-kamala-harris-jeff-roe-2021-11 |url-status=live |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20220109061340/https://www.businessinsider.com/donald-trump-republican-nominee-2024-biden-kamala-harris-jeff-roe-2021-11|archive-date=January 9, 2022 |access-date=January 9, 2022 |work=] |quote=Immediately after Youngkin's upset win last week, political pundits started chattering about whether the Virginia governor-elect was on a fast track to the White House.}}</ref> He had announced in March 2022 that his former vice president ] would not be his running mate.<ref>{{Cite web |last=Hagen |first=Lisa |date=March 16, 2022 |title=Trump Appears to Rule Out Pence as Running Mate in Potential 2024 Run |url=https://www.usnews.com/news/politics/articles/2022-03-16/trump-appears-to-rule-out-pence-as-running-mate-in-potential-2024-run |access-date=June 16, 2023 |work=US News & World Report |archive-date=June 16, 2023 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20230616124509/https://www.usnews.com/news/politics/articles/2022-03-16/trump-appears-to-rule-out-pence-as-running-mate-in-potential-2024-run |url-status=live}}</ref> | |||
Trump faced opposition in the primaries. Florida Governor ] was initially viewed as the main challenger to Trump for the Republican nomination, having raised more campaign funds in the first half of 2022 and posting more favorable polling numbers than Trump by the end of 2022.<ref>{{Cite web |last=Margaritoff |first=Marco |date=July 16, 2022 |title=Trump Fundraising Slows For First Time In 18 Months, Trails DeSantis |url=https://www.huffpost.com/entry/donald-trump-fundraising-slows_n_62d2be11e4b0f69130305225|url-status=live|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20220720105743/https://www.huffpost.com/entry/donald-trump-fundraising-slows_n_62d2be11e4b0f69130305225 |archive-date=July 20, 2022 |access-date=July 18, 2022 |work=]}}</ref><ref>{{cite web |last1=Pengelly |first1=Martin |date=December 15, 2022 |title=Trump 'is in trouble', says insider after DeSantis surges in 2024 polls |url=https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/2022/dec/14/desantis-trump-2024-republican-presidential-poll |access-date=January 22, 2023 |work=] |archive-date=January 19, 2023|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20230119185124/https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/2022/dec/14/desantis-trump-2024-republican-presidential-poll |url-status=live}}</ref><ref>{{cite web |last1=Fineout |first1=Gary |date=December 15, 2022 |title=DeSantis builds his conservative resume as Trump flounders |url=https://www.politico.com/news/2022/12/15/desantis-trump-gop-same-sex-marriage-covid-00074027 |access-date=January 22, 2023 |work=] |archive-date=January 22, 2023|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20230122151256/https://www.politico.com/news/2022/12/15/desantis-trump-gop-same-sex-marriage-covid-00074027 |url-status=live}}</ref> On May 24, 2023, DeSantis announced his candidacy on Twitter in an online conversation with Twitter CEO ]. At the end of July 2023, '']''{{'}}s national polling average of the Republican primaries had Trump at 52 percent, and DeSantis at 15.<ref>{{Cite web |last=Morris |first=G. Elliott |date=June 28, 2023 |title=Who's ahead in the national polls? |url=https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/president-primary-r/2024/national/|access-date=July 30, 2023 |publisher=FiveThirtyEight|archive-date=July 27, 2023|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20230727015337/https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/president-primary-r/2024/national/|url-status=live}}</ref> | |||
Following the ], in which Trump posted a landslide victory, DeSantis and businessman ] dropped out of the race and endorsed Trump, leaving the former president and ], the former South Carolina governor who served in ], as the only remaining major candidates.<ref>{{Cite web |url=https://www.nytimes.com/2024/01/15/us/politics/vivek-ramaswamy-drops-out.html |title=Vivek Ramaswamy, Wealthy Political Novice Who Aligned With Trump, Quits Campaign |date=January 15, 2024 |last=Weisman |first=Jonathan |work=] |access-date=January 15, 2024 |archive-date=January 16, 2024|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20240116042653/https://www.nytimes.com/2024/01/15/us/politics/vivek-ramaswamy-drops-out.html |url-status=live}}</ref><ref>{{cite web |url=https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/2024-election/ron-desantis-planning-drop-presidential-bid-sunday-rcna134953 |title=Ron DeSantis suspends his presidential bid and endorses Trump |publisher=] |last1=Hernández |first1=Alec |last2=Dixon |first2=Matt |last3=Burns |first3=Dasha |last4=Allen |first4=Jonathan |date=January 21, 2024 |access-date=January 21, 2024 |archive-date=January 21, 2024 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20240121202226/https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/2024-election/ron-desantis-planning-drop-presidential-bid-sunday-rcna134953|url-status=live}}</ref> Trump continued to win all four early voting contests while Haley's campaign struggled to gain momentum.<ref>{{cite news |url=https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/2024/02/24/south-carolina-gop-primary-trump-haley/ |title=3 takeaways from the South Carolina GOP primary |newspaper=] |date=February 24, 2024|access-date=February 27, 2024 |last1=Blake |first1=Aaron|archive-date=February 29, 2024|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20240229015737/https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/2024/02/24/south-carolina-gop-primary-trump-haley/|url-status=live}}</ref> On March 6, 2024, the day after winning only one primary out of fifteen on ], Haley suspended her campaign.<ref>{{cite web |url=https://www.politico.com/news/2024/03/06/nikki-haley-drop-out-republican-primary-00145301 |title=Nikki Haley drops out of Republican primary |work=] |date=March 6, 2024|access-date=March 6, 2024 |last=Allison |first=Natalie|archive-date=March 7, 2024|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20240307211401/https://www.politico.com/news/2024/03/06/nikki-haley-drop-out-republican-primary-00145301|url-status=live}}</ref><ref>{{cite web |last1=Peoples |first1=Steve |last2=Kinnard |first2=Meg |date=March 6, 2024 |title=Nikki Haley suspends her campaign and leaves Donald Trump as the last major Republican candidate |url=https://apnews.com/article/nikki-haley-republican-trump-super-tuesday-losses-95ab56b68a8eefbbf04ef90f2f00ef29 |access-date=August 9, 2024 |work=Associated Press}}</ref> On March 12, 2024, Trump officially became the presumptive Republican presidential nominee.<ref>{{Cite web |last1=Allison |first1=Natalie |date=March 12, 2024 |title=It's official: Donald Trump is the GOP's presumptive presidential nominee |url=https://www.politico.com/news/2024/03/12/donald-trump-clinches-republican-presidential-nomination-00146675 |access-date=March 12, 2024 |website=Politico |archive-date=March 13, 2024 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20240313041639/https://www.politico.com/news/2024/03/12/donald-trump-clinches-republican-presidential-nomination-00146675 |url-status=live}}</ref> Trump was injured in ] on July 13, 2024, when a bullet grazed his ear.<ref name="CNNAssassinationUnfold">{{cite web |last1=Herb |first1=Jeremy |last2=Andone |first2=Dakin |title=How the assassination attempt on Trump unfolded |url=https://edition.cnn.com/2024/07/14/politics/what-happened-trump-assassination-attempt/index.html |work=] |access-date=October 12, 2024 |date=July 14, 2024}}</ref> This was the first time a president or major party presidential candidate was injured in an assassination attempt since ].<ref name="TownAndCountryAttempts">{{cite web |last1=Burack |first1=Emily |title=A History of Presidential Assassination Attempts, from Andrew Jackson to Donald Trump |url=https://www.townandcountrymag.com/society/politics/g61600601/presidential-assassination-atttempts-history-explained/ |work=Town & Country |access-date=October 12, 2024 |date=July 16, 2024}}</ref> On July 15, 2024, the first day of the ], Trump officially announced that Senator ] of Ohio would be his running mate.<ref name="Hill-0715">{{cite news |last=Samuels |first=Brett |date=July 15, 2024 |title=Trump picks JD Vance for VP |url=https://thehill.com/homenews/campaign/4708066-donald-trump-jd-vance-vice-president-joe-biden/ |work=The Hill |access-date=July 15, 2024 |archive-date=July 15, 2024 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20240715193551/https://thehill.com/homenews/campaign/4708066-donald-trump-jd-vance-vice-president-joe-biden/ |url-status=live}}</ref> On July 18, 2024, for the third consecutive time, Trump accepted the nomination from the Republican National Convention to become the Republican presidential nominee.<ref>{{cite web |url=https://www.cnn.com/2024/07/19/politics/takeaways-rnc-day-4/index.html |title=Takeaways from the final night of the Republican National Convention |date=July 19, 2024|access-date=July 22, 2024 |work=]|archive-date=July 22, 2024|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20240722015254/https://www.cnn.com/2024/07/19/politics/takeaways-rnc-day-4/index.html|url-status=live}}</ref> | |||
=== Republican nominees === | |||
{{Donald Trump series|expanded=Campaigns}} | |||
{{Main|Donald Trump 2024 presidential campaign}} | |||
{| class="wikitable" style="font-size:90%; text-align:center;" | |||
|- | |||
| colspan="30" style="background:#F1F1F1;" |]<big>'''2024 Republican Party ticket'''</big> | |||
|- | |||
! style="width:3em; font-size:135%; background:{{party color|Republican Party (United States)}}; width:200px;" | ] | |||
! style="width:3em; font-size:135%; background:{{party color|Republican Party (United States)}}; width:200px;" | ] | |||
|- | |||
| style="width:3em; font-size:100%; color:#000; background:#FFD0D7; width:200px;" |'''''for President''''' | |||
| style="width:3em; font-size:100%; color:#000; background:#FFD0D7; width:200px;" |'''''for Vice President''''' | |||
|- | |||
| ] | |||
| ] | |||
|- | |||
| ]<br />]<br /><small>(2017–2021)</small> | |||
| ]<br />from ]<br /><small>(2023–present<!--Wait until he resigns:2025-->)</small> | |||
|- | |||
| colspan="2" |] | |||
|- | |||
| colspan="2" |] | |||
|} | |||
=== Democratic Party === | |||
{{Main|2024 Democratic Party presidential primaries|2024 Democratic Party presidential candidates}} | |||
], which went to ] (''purple'')]] | |||
On April 25, 2023, President Biden officially announced his ], confirming that Vice President Harris would remain his running mate.<ref>{{cite news |last1=Rafford |first1=Claire |title=Biden commits to Harris as his running mate for 2024 |url=https://www.politico.com/news/2022/01/19/biden-commits-to-harris-as-his-running-mate-2024-527418 |access-date=January 19, 2022 |work=] |date=January 19, 2022 |archive-date=January 27, 2022|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20220127211518/https://www.politico.com/news/2022/01/19/biden-commits-to-harris-as-his-running-mate-2024-527418 |url-status=live}}</ref><ref>{{Cite news |last=Evans |first=Gareth |date=April 25, 2023 |title=President Joe Biden launches 2024 re-election campaign |publisher=] |url=https://www.bbc.com/news/world-us-canada-65381883 |url-status=live |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20230425102039/https://www.bbc.com/news/world-us-canada-65381883 |archive-date=April 25, 2023 |access-date=November 10, 2023}}</ref> | |||
Concerns about Biden's age were prominent, given that he was ] at age 78, which would make him 82 at the end of his first term and 86 at the end of a potential second term.<ref>{{Cite web |last=Gittleson|first= Ben |date=December 22, 2021 |title=Biden tells ABC's David Muir 'yes' he'll run again, Trump rematch would 'increase the prospect' |url=https://abcnews.go.com/Politics/biden-tells-abcs-david-muir-hell-run-trump/story?id=81901418|url-status=live|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20220130091322/https://abcnews.go.com/Politics/biden-tells-abcs-david-muir-hell-run-trump/story?id=81901418 |archive-date=January 30, 2022 |access-date=January 21, 2022 |publisher=]}}</ref> An April 2023 poll indicated that 70 percent of Americans, including 51 percent of Democrats, believed Biden should not seek a second term, with nearly half citing his age as the reason. Biden's approval rating stood at 41 percent, with 55 percent disapproving.<ref>{{Cite web |last=Silver |first=Nate |date=January 28, 2021 |title=How Popular Is Joe Biden? |url=https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/biden-approval-rating/ |access-date=June 16, 2023 |publisher=FiveThirtyEight |archive-date=January 28, 2021 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20210128032510/https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/biden-approval-rating/ |url-status=live}}</ref> Speculation also arose that Biden might face a primary challenge from the ];<ref>{{Cite web |last=Otterbein |first=Holly |date=January 1, 2022 |title=The left is already looking to 2024. Some want to see a Biden primary challenge. |url=https://www.politico.com/news/2022/01/01/progressives-2024-primary-challenge-526299 |url-status=live|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20220107154419/https://www.politico.com/news/2022/01/01/progressives-2024-primary-challenge-526299 |archive-date=January 7, 2022 |access-date=January 8, 2022 |website=]}}</ref><ref>{{Cite web |last=Dorman |first=John L. |date=January 2, 2022 |title=Former Sanders presidential campaign manager says Biden will have 'a progressive challenger' in 2024 |url=https://www.businessinsider.com/biden-progressive-challenger-2024-jeff-weaver-sanders-democratic-party-2022-1|url-status=live|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20220104014213/https://www.businessinsider.com/biden-progressive-challenger-2024-jeff-weaver-sanders-democratic-party-2022-1 |archive-date=January 4, 2022 |access-date=January 8, 2022 |website=]}}</ref> however, after Democrats outperformed expectations in the ], many believed Biden's chances of securing the party's nomination had increased.<ref>{{Cite web |last=Enten |first=Harry |date=December 18, 2022 |title=How the midterms changed the 2024 primaries for Biden and Trump |url=https://www.cnn.com/2022/12/18/politics/biden-trump-2024-primaries-elections-desantis/index.html |publisher=] |access-date=December 29, 2022 |archive-date=December 30, 2022|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20221230123609/https://www.cnn.com/2022/12/18/politics/biden-trump-2024-primaries-elections-desantis/index.html|url-status=live}}</ref> On July 28, 2022, Representative ] became the first incumbent Democratic member of Congress to say President Biden should not run for re-election and called for "generational change" pointing to Biden's age.<ref>{{cite web |last1=Garrison |first1=Joey |date=July 29, 2022 |title=Democratic Rep. Dean Phillips says he doesn't want Biden to run for reelection in 2024 |url=https://www.usatoday.com/story/news/politics/2022/07/29/democratic-rep-dean-phillips-says-biden-should-not-run-2024/10186625002/ |access-date=November 19, 2024 |publisher=USA Today}}</ref><ref>{{cite web |last1=Zhao |first1=Christina |date=July 29, 2022 |title=Democratic Rep. Dean Phillips says he doesn't want Biden to run in 2024 |url=https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/joe-biden/democratic-rep-dean-phillips-says-doesnt-want-biden-run-2024-rcna40653 |access-date=November 19, 2024 |publisher=NBC News}}</ref> | |||
Despite a handful of primary challengers, including ], ], ], and Phillips, Biden easily became the presumptive nominee of the party on March 12, 2024.<ref>{{Cite web |last=Davis O'Brien |first=Rebecca |date=October 9, 2023 |title=Robert F. Kennedy Jr. to Run for President as Independent, Leaving Democratic Primary |url=https://www.nytimes.com/2023/10/09/us/politics/robert-f-kennedy-jr-independent.html|access-date=October 9, 2023 |website=The New York Times|archive-date=October 9, 2023|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20231009165734/https://www.nytimes.com/2023/10/09/us/politics/robert-f-kennedy-jr-independent.html|url-status=live}}</ref><ref>{{Cite news |last=Leingang |first=Rachel |date=March 6, 2024 |title=Biden challenger Dean Phillips drops out of US presidential race |url=https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/2024/mar/06/dean-phillips-drops-out |access-date=September 30, 2024 |work=The Guardian |language=en-GB}}</ref><ref>{{Cite web |last1=Sangal |first1=Aditi |last2=Hammond |first2=Elise |last3=Forrest |first3=Jack |last4=Chowdhury |first4=Maureen |date=March 12, 2024 |title=Live updates: Biden secures Democratic nomination as Trump inches closer to GOP one |url=https://www.cnn.com/politics/live-news/primary-elections-georgia-washington-mississippi-03-12-24/index.html |access-date=March 13, 2024 |website=CNN |archive-date=March 12, 2024 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20240312235041/https://www.cnn.com/politics/live-news/primary-elections-georgia-washington-mississippi-03-12-24/index.html |url-status=live}}</ref> ], who won the ], became the first candidate to win a contested primary against an incumbent president since ] in 1980; however, he suspended his campaign on May 15, 2024, endorsing Biden.<ref>{{Cite web |last=Pipia |first=Lindsey |title=American Samoa primary victor Jason Palmer bows out of the presidential race |url=https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/2024-election/american-samoa-primary-victor-jason-palmer-bows-presidential-race-rcna152509 |date=May 15, 2024|access-date=June 5, 2024 |publisher=NBC News|archive-date=June 5, 2024|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20240605075226/https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/2024-election/american-samoa-primary-victor-jason-palmer-bows-presidential-race-rcna152509|url-status=live}}</ref> Biden also faced significant opposition from ] and the ] in their ] due to his support for Israel during the ], which collectively won 36 delegates.<ref>{{cite web |last=Nichols |first=John |date=June 10, 2024 |title=What the "Uncommitted" Campaign Has Already Won |url=https://www.thenation.com/article/politics/uncommitted-primary-total-results-biden/ |url-status=live |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20240614163924/https://www.thenation.com/article/politics/uncommitted-primary-total-results-biden/ |archive-date=June 14, 2024 |access-date=August 6, 2024 |website=The Nation}}</ref> | |||
] on his decision three days earlier to ]]] | |||
Following a widely panned ] against Trump on June 27, 2024, Biden ] on July 21, endorsing ] as his successor.<ref>{{cite news |title=Harris says she'll 'earn' nomination as Biden steps aside |url=https://www.washingtonpost.com/elections/2024/07/21/election-2024-biden-trump-campaign-updates/ |url-status=live |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20240721131822/https://www.washingtonpost.com/elections/2024/07/21/election-2024-biden-trump-campaign-updates/ |archive-date=July 21, 2024 |access-date=July 21, 2024 |newspaper=The Washington Post}}</ref> Harris quickly announced ] and secured enough delegate endorsements by July 22 to become the presumptive nominee.<ref>{{cite web |last1=Hutzler|first1= Alexandra |last2=Reinstein|first2= Julia |last3=Peller|first3= Lauren |last4=El-Bawab|first4= Nadine |last5=Sarnoff|first5= Leah |date=July 22, 2024 |title=Election 2024 updates: Harris secures enough delegates to become presumptive nominee |url=https://abcnews.go.com/Politics/live-updates/biden-drops-out-updates/?id=112113289 |url-status=live |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20240724153603/https://abcnews.go.com/Politics/live-updates/biden-drops-out-updates/?id=112113289 |archive-date=July 24, 2024 |access-date=July 22, 2024 |publisher=]}}</ref> Biden's withdrawal made him the first eligible incumbent president since ] in ] not to seek re-election, and the first to withdraw after securing enough delegates to win the nomination.<ref>{{Cite web |date=July 23, 2024 |title=The president has dropped of out the race. What's next? |url=https://www.cpr.org/2024/07/23/president-biden-drops-out-of-race-whats-next/ |access-date=July 23, 2024 |website=Colorado Public Radio |language=en |archive-date=July 28, 2024 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20240728121843/https://www.cpr.org/2024/07/23/president-biden-drops-out-of-race-whats-next/ |url-status=live}}</ref> Harris is the first nominee who did not participate in the ] since Vice President ], also in ], and the first since the modern Democratic Party primary procedure ] (prior to which most states did not hold primary elections).<ref>{{cite web |url=https://www.nbcchicago.com/news/local/chicago-politics/party-like-its-1968-history-repeats-itself-biden-decision-throws-chicago-dnc-into-uncertain-future/3496610/ |title=Party like it's 1968? History repeats itself, Biden decision throws Chicago DNC into uncertain future |date=July 21, 2024|access-date=July 24, 2024 |website=] Chicago|archive-date=July 23, 2024|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20240723014742/https://www.nbcchicago.com/news/local/chicago-politics/party-like-its-1968-history-repeats-itself-biden-decision-throws-chicago-dnc-into-uncertain-future/3496610/|url-status=live}}</ref> | |||
Harris secured enough delegates to be the party's presumptive nominee on August 5.<ref>{{Cite web |date=2024-08-05 |title=Kamala Harris is now Democratic presidential nominee, will face off against Donald Trump this fall |url=https://apnews.com/article/harris-democratic-presidential-nomination-eb43b6b346cc644b2d195315cb2bfb20 |access-date=2024-12-19 |website=AP News |language=en}}</ref> She ] Minnesota Governor ] as her running mate the following day, and accepted the party's nomination on August 22.<ref>{{cite web |title=Kamala Harris picks Minnesota Governor Tim Walz as her VP running mate |date=August 6, 2024 |url=https://www.cbsnews.com/news/tim-walz-vp-kamala-harris-running-mate-2024/ |publisher=CBS News |access-date=August 17, 2024}}</ref> | |||
=== Democratic nominees === | |||
{{Kamala Harris series|expanded=Presidential campaigns}} | |||
{{Main|Kamala Harris 2024 presidential campaign}} | |||
{| class="wikitable" style="font-size:90%; text-align:center;" | |||
|- | |||
| colspan="30" style="background:#f1f1f1;" |]<big>'''2024 Democratic Party ticket '''</big> | |||
|- | |||
! style="width:3em; font-size:135%; background:#2633FF; color:white; width:200px;" | ] | |||
! style="width:3em; font-size:135%; background:#2633FF; color:white; width:200px;" | ] | |||
|- | |||
| style="width:3em; font-size:100%; color:#000; background:#C8EBFF; width:200px;" |'''''for President''''' | |||
| style="width:3em; font-size:100%; color:#000; background:#C8EBFF; width:200px;" |'''''for Vice President''''' | |||
|- | |||
| ] | |||
| ] | |||
|- | |||
| ]<br />]<br /><small>(2021–present<!--Wait until she leaves office:2025-->)</small> | |||
| ]<br />]<br /><small>(2019–present)</small> | |||
|- | |||
| colspan="2" |] | |||
|- | |||
| colspan="2" |] | |||
|} | |||
== Campaign issues == | |||
=== Campaign themes === | |||
{{See also|Kamala Harris 2024 presidential campaign#Platform|Donald Trump 2024 presidential campaign#Platform|2024 United States elections#Issues}} | |||
==== Harris campaign ==== | |||
Harris framed her campaign as "a choice between freedom and chaos" and based it around the ideals of "freedom" and "the future".<ref>{{Cite news |last=Thompson |first=Alex |date=August 1, 2024 |title=Harris ditches Biden's strategy with "freedom" focus |work=Axios |url=https://www.axios.com/2024/08/01/kamala-harris-joe-biden-president-strategy-election |access-date=August 1, 2024 |url-status=live |archive-date=August 1, 2024 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20240801175846/https://www.axios.com/2024/08/01/kamala-harris-joe-biden-president-strategy-election}}</ref><ref>{{Cite news |last1=Miller |first1=Zeke |last2=Megerian |first2=Chris |last3=Boak |first3=Josh |date=July 24, 2024 |title=Harris tells roaring Wisconsin crowd November election is 'a choice between freedom and chaos' |publisher=Associated Press |url=https://apnews.com/article/harris-election-president-wisconsin-democrats-012c6474b8b23960d2cf616e92989a4b |access-date=August 1, 2024 |archive-date=August 1, 2024 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20240801053652/https://apnews.com/article/harris-election-president-wisconsin-democrats-012c6474b8b23960d2cf616e92989a4b |url-status=live}}</ref> The Harris campaign sought to highlight her experience as an attorney general and a prosecutor to "prosecute the case" against Trump by pointing out his 34 felony convictions and the impacts of the overturning of '']''.<ref>{{Cite news |last=McCammon |first=Sarah |date=September 10, 2024 |title=The Harris campaign takes its attacks against Trump over abortion on the road |url=https://www.npr.org/2024/09/10/nx-s1-5099060/harris-campaign-abortion-reproductive-freedom-bus-tour-ivf-trump |publisher=]}}</ref><ref>{{Cite news |last=Hutzler |first=Alexandra |date=July 23, 2024 |title=The prosecutor vs. the felon. Democrats see winning contrast between Harris and Trump. |publisher=ABC News |url=https://abcnews.go.com/Politics/prosecutor-felon-democrats-winning-contrast-harris-trump/story?id=112198602 |access-date=August 1, 2024 |archive-date=July 31, 2024 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20240731235706/https://abcnews.go.com/Politics/prosecutor-felon-democrats-winning-contrast-harris-trump/story?id=112198602 |url-status=live}}</ref> Harris ran as a ] who moved towards the center on several policy positions since her 2019 primary run, embracing many of Biden's domestic policy stances.<ref name="The New York Times-2024-7">{{Cite news |last=Epstein |first=Reid J. |date=July 29, 2024 |title=Why the Kamala Harris of Four Years Ago Could Haunt Her in 2024 |url=https://www.nytimes.com/2024/07/29/us/politics/kamala-harris-2020-positions.html |access-date=August 5, 2024 |work=The New York Times |language=en-US |archive-date=August 4, 2024 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20240804235849/https://www.nytimes.com/2024/07/29/us/politics/kamala-harris-2020-positions.html |url-status=live}}</ref> Harris focused her economic proposals on the cost of ], ] and ].<ref>{{Cite news |last=Sullivan |first=Helen |date=August 15, 2024 |title=Kamala Harris economic plan to focus on groceries, housing and healthcare |url=https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/article/2024/aug/14/kamala-harris-economic-policy-aides |access-date=September 19, 2024 |work=The Guardian |language=en-GB}}</ref> She also focused on the ], and ]es.<ref>{{Cite news |last=Luhby |first=Tami |date=July 28, 2024 |title=Harris and Trump want to strengthen the middle class. It could use the help |url=https://www.cnn.com/2024/07/28/politics/kamala-harris-trump-middle-class/index.html |publisher=CNN |access-date=August 17, 2024 |archive-date=July 30, 2024 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20240730172716/https://www.cnn.com/2024/07/28/politics/kamala-harris-trump-middle-class/index.html |url-status=live}}</ref> | |||
==== Trump campaign ==== | |||
{{see also|Trumpism|Rhetoric of Donald Trump}} | |||
A central campaign theme for Trump's second presidential bid was "]".<ref>{{cite news |title=Trump's 'retribution' campaign theme has apparent roots in old Confederate code, new book says |url=https://abcnews.go.com/Politics/trumps-retribution-campaign-theme-apparent-roots-confederate-code/story?id=104553311 |publisher=ABC News |date=November 2, 2023 |author1=Alexandra Hutzler |access-date=December 6, 2023 |archive-date=September 26, 2024 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20240926133945/https://abcnews.go.com/Politics/trumps-retribution-campaign-theme-apparent-roots-confederate-code/story?id=104553311 |url-status=live}}</ref><ref>{{cite news |title=Trump zeroes in on a key target of his 'retribution' agenda: Government workers |url=https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/donald-trump/trump-retribution-agenda-government-workers-schedule-f-rcna78785 |publisher=NBC News |date=April 26, 2023 |author1=Allan Smith |access-date=December 6, 2023 |archive-date=September 11, 2024 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20240911074445/https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/donald-trump/trump-retribution-agenda-government-workers-schedule-f-rcna78785 |url-status=live}}</ref> Trump framed the 2024 election as "the final battle", and openly promised to leverage the power of the presidency for ].<ref>{{cite news |title=Trump, Vowing 'Retribution,' Foretells a Second Term of Spite |url=https://www.nytimes.com/2023/03/07/us/politics/trump-2024-president.html |work=The New York Times |date=March 7, 2023 |author1=Maggie Haberman |author2=Shane Goldmacher |access-date=December 6, 2023 |archive-date=December 5, 2023 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20231205174058/https://www.nytimes.com/2023/03/07/us/politics/trump-2024-president.html |url-status=live}}</ref> Trump heavily ran on immigration as a central campaign focus. Trump's campaign focused on dark and apocalyptic rhetoric about the state of the country and predicting doom if he did not win.<ref>{{Cite news |last=Parker |first=Ashley |date=September 23, 2024 |title=Donald Trump's imaginary and frightening world |newspaper=The Washington Post |url=https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/2024/09/23/trump-imaginary-world/ |access-date=September 25, 2024 |archive-date=September 24, 2024 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20240924030135/https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/2024/09/23/trump-imaginary-world/ |url-status=live}}</ref><ref>{{Cite news |last=Seitz-Wald |first=Alex |date=September 20, 2024 |title=Apocalypse delayed: Trump keeps promising a doom that never comes |work= |url=https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/donald-trump/apocalypse-delayed-trump-promising-doom-never-comes-rcna170151 |access-date=September 25, 2024 |archive-date=September 24, 2024 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20240924065554/https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/donald-trump/apocalypse-delayed-trump-promising-doom-never-comes-rcna170151 |url-status=live}}</ref><ref name="Parker 03172024">{{Cite news|last1=Parker|first1=Ashley|last2=LeVine|first2=Marianne|last3=Godwin|first3=Ross|date=March 11, 2024|title=Trump's freewheeling speeches offer a dark vision of a second term|url=https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/2024/03/11/trump-campaign-speech-anatomy/|access-date=March 17, 2024|newspaper=The Washington Post|language=en|archive-date=March 11, 2024|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20240311161549/https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/2024/03/11/trump-campaign-speech-anatomy/|url-status=live|issn=0190-8286}}</ref> The ] stated that "Trump's rallies take on the symbols, rhetoric and agenda of ]."<ref>{{Cite news |last=Peter |first=Smith |date=May 18, 2024 |title=Jesus is their savior, Trump is their candidate. Ex-president's backers say he shares faith, values |url=https://apnews.com/article/trump-christian-evangelicals-conservatives-2024-election-43f25118c133170c77786daf316821c3|access-date=June 2, 2024 |publisher= Associated Press |language=en|archive-date=May 24, 2024|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20240524232811/https://apnews.com/article/trump-christian-evangelicals-conservatives-2024-election-43f25118c133170c77786daf316821c3|url-status=live}}</ref> During his 2024 presidential campaign, Trump made numerous ].<ref name="Los Angeles Times-2024">{{Cite news |last=Rector |first=Kevin |date=August 16, 2024 |title=News Analysis: Trump seeks to reclaim spotlight with old playbook of lying, talking smack to media |work=] |url=https://www.latimes.com/politics/story/2024-08-16/2024-election-trump-news-conference-analysis |access-date=August 24, 2024 |archive-date=August 23, 2024 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20240823194457/https://www.latimes.com/politics/story/2024-08-16/2024-election-trump-news-conference-analysis |url-status=live}}</ref><ref name="The Washington Post-2024-2">{{Cite news |last=Kessler |first=Glenn |date=March 14, 2024 |title=Trump has a bunch of new false claims. Here's a guide. |url=https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/2024/03/14/trump-crazy-new-claims-fact-checked/ |url-access=subscription |url-status=live |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20240315001325/https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/2024/03/14/trump-crazy-new-claims-fact-checked/ |archive-date=March 15, 2024 |access-date=August 24, 2024 |newspaper=The Washington Post}}</ref><ref name="The Washington Post-2024">{{Cite news |last1=Itkowitz |first1=Colby |last2=Allam |first2=Hannah |date=August 19, 2024 |title=With false 'coup' claims, Trump primes supporters to challenge a Harris win |url=https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/2024/08/19/trump-stolen-election-coup-overthrow/ |url-access=subscription |url-status=live |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20240824204443/https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/2024/08/19/trump-stolen-election-coup-overthrow/ |archive-date=August 24, 2024 |access-date=August 24, 2024 |newspaper=The Washington Post}}</ref> The large number of lies and false statements have been attributed to Trump's rhetorical style described as using the "]" and ] propaganda technique.<ref>Multiple sources: | |||
* {{Cite news |last=Snyder |first=Timothy |date=January 9, 2021 |title=The American Abyss |newspaper=] |url=https://www.nytimes.com/2021/01/09/magazine/trump-coup.html |access-date=August 24, 2024 |archive-date=January 9, 2021 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20210109201658/https://www.nytimes.com/2021/01/09/magazine/trump-coup.html |url-status=live}} | |||
* {{Cite web |last=Ben-Ghiat |first=Ruth |date=January 25, 2021 |title=Opinion: Trump's big lie wouldn't have worked without his thousands of little lies |url=https://www.cnn.com/2021/01/25/opinions/big-lie-ben-ghiat/index.html |website=] |access-date=August 24, 2024 |archive-date=June 3, 2022 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20220603024721/https://www.cnn.com/2021/01/25/opinions/big-lie-ben-ghiat/index.html |url-status=live}} | |||
* {{Cite news |first1=Jan |last1=Wolfe |first2=Susan |last2=Heavey |date=January 25, 2021 |title=Trump lawyer Giuliani faces $1.3 billion lawsuit over 'big lie' election fraud claims |newspaper=] |url=https://www.reuters.com/article/uk-usa-election-dominion-idUKKBN29U206 |access-date=August 24, 2024 |archive-date=June 20, 2022 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20220620182931/https://www.reuters.com/article/uk-usa-election-dominion-idUKKBN29U206 |url-status=live}} | |||
* {{Cite web |last=Block |first=Melissa |date=January 16, 2021 |title=Can The Forces Unleashed By Trump's Big Election Lie Be Undone? |url=https://www.npr.org/2021/01/16/957291939/can-the-forces-unleashed-by-trumps-big-election-lie-be-undone |access-date=October 4, 2022 |publisher=] |archive-date=November 28, 2021 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20211128071931/https://www.npr.org/2021/01/16/957291939/can-the-forces-unleashed-by-trumps-big-election-lie-be-undone |url-status=live}} | |||
* {{Cite web |last=Pilkington |first=Ed |date=January 24, 2021 |title=Donald Trump is gone but his big lie is a rallying call for rightwing extremists |url=https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/2021/jan/24/donald-trump-big-lie-american-democracy |access-date=October 4, 2022 |website=] |archive-date=June 11, 2022 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20220611231540/https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/2021/jan/24/donald-trump-big-lie-american-democracy |url-status=live}} | |||
* {{Cite magazine |date=May 19, 2021 |title=Evan McMullin and Miles Taylor on the need for "rational Republicans" |url=https://www.economist.com/by-invitation/2021/05/19/evan-mcmullin-and-miles-taylor-on-the-need-for-rational-republicans |magazine=] |quote=Its leaders shamelessly propagated former President Donald Trump's 'Big Lie', convincing millions of Americans that the presidential election was illegitimate. |access-date=August 24, 2024 |archive-date=June 18, 2022 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20220618100653/https://www.economist.com/by-invitation/2021/05/19/evan-mcmullin-and-miles-taylor-on-the-need-for-rational-republicans |url-status=live}} | |||
* {{Cite news |last=Stanley-Becker |first=Isaac |date=September 25, 2021 |title=Election fraud, QAnon, Jan. 6: Far-right extremists in Germany read from a pro-Trump script |language=en-US |newspaper=] |url=https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/2021/09/25/german-election-far-right-trump/ |access-date=November 23, 2022 |archive-date=December 31, 2021 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20211231025940/https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/2021/09/25/german-election-far-right-trump/ |url-status=live}}</ref><ref>Multiple sources: | |||
* {{Cite web |last=Stelter |first=Brian |date=November 30, 2020 |title='Firehose of falsehood:' How Trump is trying to confuse the public about the election outcome |url=https://www.cnn.com/2020/11/30/media/trump-election-confusion-reliable-sources/index.html |url-status=live |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20201130051851/https://www.cnn.com/2020/11/30/media/trump-election-confusion-reliable-sources/index.html |archive-date=November 30, 2020 |access-date=August 24, 2024 |publisher=CNN}} | |||
* {{Cite web |last=Maza |first=Carlos |date=August 31, 2018 |title=Why obvious lies make great propaganda |url=https://www.vox.com/2018/8/31/17804104/strikethrough-lies-propaganda-trump-putin |url-status=live |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20180901002818/https://www.vox.com/2018/8/31/17804104/strikethrough-lies-propaganda-trump-putin |archive-date=September 1, 2018 |access-date=August 24, 2024 |work=Vox}} | |||
* {{Cite web |last=Zappone |first=Chris |date=October 12, 2016 |title=Donald Trump campaign's 'firehose of falsehoods' has parallels with Russian propaganda |url=https://www.smh.com.au/world/north-america/donald-trump-campaigns-firehose-of-falsehoods-has-parallels-with-russian-propaganda-20160809-gqo044.html |url-status=live |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20180314143040/https://www.smh.com.au/world/north-america/donald-trump-campaigns-firehose-of-falsehoods-has-parallels-with-russian-propaganda-20160809-gqo044.html |archive-date=March 14, 2018 |access-date=August 24, 2024 |work=The Sydney Morning Herald}} | |||
* {{Cite web |last=Harford |first=Tim |date=May 6, 2021 |title=What magic teaches us about misinformation |url=https://www.ft.com/content/5cea69f0-7d44-424e-a121-78a21564ca35 |url-access=subscription |url-status=live |archive-url=https://ghostarchive.org/archive/20221210/https://www.ft.com/content/5cea69f0-7d44-424e-a121-78a21564ca35 |archive-date=December 10, 2022 |work=Financial Times}} | |||
* {{Cite web |last=Clifton |first=Denise |date=August 3, 2017 |title=Trump's nonstop lies may be a far darker problem than many realize |url=https://www.motherjones.com/politics/2017/08/trump-nonstop-lies/ |url-status=live |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20170803120425/https://www.motherjones.com/politics/2017/08/trump-nonstop-lies/ |archive-date=August 3, 2017 |access-date=August 24, 2024 |work=Mother Jones}} | |||
* {{Cite web |date=December 17, 2020 |title='Morning Joe' Rips Trump for 'Firehose of Falsehoods' and 'Nazi-Like Propaganda' on COVID |url=https://www.thewrap.com/morning-joe-propaganda-covid/ |url-status=live |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20211005011046/https://www.thewrap.com/morning-joe-propaganda-covid/ |archive-date=October 5, 2021 |access-date=August 24, 2024 |work=TheWrap}}</ref> Trump also made many ] against Harris,<ref>{{cite news |last1=Wren |first1=Adam |last2=Ward |first2=Myah |last3=Mitovich |first3=Jared |title=Trump goes low as Harris gains ground |url=https://www.politico.com/news/2024/08/03/trump-harris-georgia-00172560 |work=Politico |date=August 3, 2024|access-date=August 6, 2024|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20240806093738/https://www.politico.com/news/2024/08/03/trump-harris-georgia-00172560|archive-date=August 6, 2024|url-status=live}}</ref> several of which were sexual in nature,<ref name="Gold 08282024">{{cite news |last=Gold |first=Michael |date=August 28, 2024 |title=Trump Reposts Crude Sexual Remark About Harris on Truth Social |url=https://www.nytimes.com/2024/08/28/us/politics/trump-truth-social-posts.html |url-status=live |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20240828230508/https://www.nytimes.com/2024/08/28/us/politics/trump-truth-social-posts.html |archive-date=August 28, 2024 |access-date=August 28, 2024 |newspaper=The New York Times |quote=Though he has a history of making crass insults about his opponents, the reposts signal Mr. Trump's willingness to continue to shatter longstanding norms of political speech.}}</ref> were characterized as racist and misogynistic,<ref>{{cite news |last=Tesler |first=Michael |title=3 reasons why racist attacks on Harris could backfire |url=https://abcnews.go.com/538/3-reasons-racist-attacks-harris-backfire/story?id=113178995 |newspaper=] |date=August 27, 2024|access-date=August 28, 2024|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20240828025250/https://abcnews.go.com/538/3-reasons-racist-attacks-harris-backfire/story?id=113178995|archive-date=August 28, 2024|url-status=live}}</ref><ref>{{cite news |last1=VandeHei |first1=Jim |last2=Allen |first2=Mike |title=Behind the Curtain: Trump's "caught on tape" women problem |url=https://www.axios.com/2024/08/16/trump-vance-women-problem-voters |newspaper=Axios |date=August 16, 2024|access-date=August 28, 2024|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20240828202432/https://www.axios.com/2024/08/16/trump-vance-women-problem-voters|archive-date=August 28, 2024|url-status=live}}</ref><ref>{{cite news |last1=Arnsdorf |first1=Isaac |title=Trump suggests Harris would struggle with world leaders based on her appearance |url=https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/2024/07/30/trump-harris-play-toy-comment/ |newspaper=The Washington Post |date=July 30, 2024|access-date=July 31, 2024|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20240801010418/https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/2024/07/30/trump-harris-play-toy-comment/|archive-date=August 1, 2024|url-status=live}}</ref> and were considered a further breach of political norms.<ref name="Gold 08282024" /> Trump's harsher rhetoric against his political enemies has been described by historians, scholars, commentators and former generals as populist, authoritarian, ],{{Efn|name=Fascist|Attributed to multiple references:<ref name="NYMag Never Sounded Like This">{{cite news|url=https://www.nytimes.com/2024/04/27/magazine/trump-rallies-rhetoric.html|title=Donald Trump Has Never Sounded Like This|work=New York Magazine|date=April 27, 2024|access-date=April 27, 2024|last1=Homans|first1=Charles|archive-date=July 19, 2024|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20240719002646/https://www.nytimes.com/2024/04/27/magazine/trump-rallies-rhetoric.html|url-status=live|quote=No major American presidential candidate has talked like he now does at his rallies—not Richard Nixon, not George Wallace, not even Donald Trump himself.}}</ref><ref name="Vox Fascist">{{cite news|title=When Trump tells you he's an authoritarian, believe him|url=https://www.vox.com/2023/11/14/23958866/trump-vermin-authoritarian-democracy|work=Vox|date=November 14, 2023|author1=Michael C. Bender|author2=Michael Gold|access-date=December 8, 2023|archive-date=December 8, 2023|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20231208113419/https://www.vox.com/2023/11/14/23958866/trump-vermin-authoritarian-democracy|url-status=live}}</ref><ref name="The Nation Fascist">{{cite magazine|last=Lehmann|first=Chris|date=November 14, 2023|title=The "Is Donald Trump a Fascist?" Debate Has Been Ended—by Donald Trump|url=https://www.thenation.com/article/politics/donald-trump-fascist-vermin/|magazine=The Nation|location=New York City|publisher=Katrina vanden Heuvel|access-date=December 8, 2023|archive-date=September 26, 2024|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20240926135406/https://www.thenation.com/article/politics/donald-trump-fascist-vermin/|url-status=live}}</ref><ref name="Axios Fascist">{{cite news|title=Trump campaign defends "vermin" speech amid fascist comparisons|url=https://www.axios.com/2023/11/13/trump-vermin-fascist-language-speech|work=Axios|date=November 13, 2023|author1=Zachary Basu|access-date=December 8, 2023|archive-date=December 9, 2023|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20231209053754/https://www.axios.com/2023/11/13/trump-vermin-fascist-language-speech|url-status=live}}</ref><ref name="New Yorker Fascist">{{cite magazine|last=Cassidy|first=John|date=November 14, 2023|title=Trump's Fascistic Rhetoric Only Emphasizes the Stakes in 2024|url=https://www.newyorker.com/news/our-columnists/trumps-fascistic-rhetoric-only-emphasizes-the-stakes-in-2024|magazine=The New Yorker|location=New York City|publisher=Condé Nast|access-date=December 8, 2023|archive-date=October 9, 2024|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20241009121304/https://www.newyorker.com/news/our-columnists/trumps-fascistic-rhetoric-only-emphasizes-the-stakes-in-2024|url-status=live}}</ref><ref name="Vanity Fair Fascist">{{cite magazine|last=Lutz|first=Eric|date=November 10, 2023|title=Donald Trump Isn't Even Trying to Hide His Authoritarian Second-Term Plans|url=https://www.vanityfair.com/news/2023/11/donald-trump-authoritarian-second-term|magazine=Vanity Fair|location=United States|publisher=Condé Nast|access-date=December 8, 2023|archive-date=September 26, 2024|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20240926135510/https://www.vanityfair.com/news/2023/11/donald-trump-authoritarian-second-term|url-status=live}}</ref><ref name="The Atlantic Fascist">{{cite magazine|last=Browning|first=Christopher R.|date=July 25, 2023|title=A New Kind of Fascism|url=https://www.theatlantic.com/ideas/archive/2023/07/trump-second-term-isolationist-fascism/674791/|magazine=The Atlantic|location=Washington, D.C.|publisher=Laurene Powell Jobs|access-date=December 8, 2023|archive-date=September 26, 2024|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20240926135407/https://www.theatlantic.com/ideas/archive/2023/07/trump-second-term-isolationist-fascism/674791/|url-status=live}}</ref><ref name="ABC News Vermin">{{cite news|title=Trump compares political opponents to 'vermin' who he will 'root out,' alarming historians|url=https://abcnews.go.com/Politics/trump-compares-political-opponents-vermin-root-alarming-historians/story?id=104847748|publisher=ABC News|date=November 13, 2023|author1=Soo Rin Kim|author2=Lalee Ibssa|access-date=December 8, 2023|archive-date=December 8, 2023|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20231208061424/https://abcnews.go.com/Politics/trump-compares-political-opponents-vermin-root-alarming-historians/story?id=104847748|url-status=live}}</ref><ref name="Ward 10122024">{{Cite news |last=Ward |first=Myah |date=October 12, 2024 |title=We watched 20 Trump rallies. His racist, anti-immigrant messaging is getting darker. |work=Politico |url=https://www.politico.com/news/2024/10/12/trump-racist-rhetoric-immigrants-00183537 |access-date=October 12, 2024 |quote=It's a stark escalation over the last month of what some experts in political rhetoric, fascism, and immigration say is a strong echo of authoritarians and Nazi ideology.}}</ref><ref name="Applebaum 10182024">{{Cite news |last=Applebaum |first=Anne |author-link=Anne Applebaum |date=October 18, 2024 |title=Trump Is Speaking Like Hitler, Stalin, and Mussolini |work=The Atlantic |url=https://www.theatlantic.com/politics/archive/2024/10/trump-authoritarian-rhetoric-hitler-mussolini/680296/ |access-date=October 18, 2024 |quote=In the 2024 campaign, that line has been crossed. ... The deliberate dehumanization of whole groups of people; the references to police, to violence, to the 'bloodbath' that Trump has said will unfold if he doesn't win; the cultivation of hatred not only against immigrants but also against political opponents—none of this has been used successfully in modern American politics. But neither has this rhetoric been tried in modern American politics.}}</ref><ref>{{Cite news |last=Rubin |first=April |date=October 11, 2024 |title=Trump's top general calls former president 'fascist' and 'dangerous' threat |work=Axios |url=https://www.axios.com/2024/10/11/mark-milley-trump-fascist-bob-woodward-book |access-date=October 19, 2024}}</ref><ref name="Brooks 10252024">{{Cite news |last=Brooks |first=Emily |date=October 25, 2024 |title=Johnson and McConnell: Harris calling Trump 'fascist' could invite assassination attempt |work=The Hill |url=https://thehill.com/homenews/house/4953596-johnson-mcconnell-harris-trump-fascist/ |access-date=October 25, 2024|quote=Trump, however, has also used the term fascist to describe Harris as he has doubled down on his insults against Harris and ratcheted up the intensity of his own rhetoric against political opponents. "She's a marxist, communist, fascist, socialist," Trump said at a rally in Arizona in September. Johnson and McConnell made no mention of Trump's rhetoric in their statement, keeping the focus on their political rival.}}</ref><ref>{{Cite news |last=Schmidt |first=Michael S. |date=October 22, 2024 |title=As Election Nears, Kelly Warns Trump Would Rule Like a Dictator |work=The New York Times |url=https://www.nytimes.com/2024/10/22/us/politics/john-kelly-trump-fitness-character.html |access-date=October 25, 2024}}</ref><ref>{{Cite news |last=Balk |first=Tim |date=October 25, 2024 |title=13 Ex-Trump Aides Back Kelly's 'Dictator' Warning, Saying Trump Seeks 'Absolute, Unchecked Power' |work=The New York Times |url=https://www.nytimes.com/2024/10/25/us/politics/trump-officials-letter-fascist-john-kelly.html |access-date=October 25, 2024}}</ref>}} and unlike anything a political candidate has ever said in American history.<ref name="NYMag Never Sounded Like This" /><ref>{{cite news |last1=Savage |first1=Charlie |last2=Haberman |first2=Maggie |last3=Swan |first3=Jonathan |date=November 11, 2023 |title=Sweeping Raids, Giant Camps and Mass Deportations: Inside Trump's 2025 Immigration Plans |url=https://www.nytimes.com/2023/11/11/us/politics/trump-2025-immigration-agenda.html |url-status=live |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20240425100016/https://www.nytimes.com/2023/11/11/us/politics/trump-2025-immigration-agenda.html |archive-date=April 25, 2024 |access-date=November 11, 2023 |work=The New York Times}}</ref><ref name="Applebaum 10182024"/> | |||
=== Abortion === | |||
{{Main|Abortion in the United States}} | |||
] protesters in ] in May 2022, as part of the Bans Off Our Bodies protest following the ] overturning '']'']] | |||
] in Washington, D.C.]] | |||
] access was a key topic during the campaign.<ref>{{Cite web |title=Here's why abortion will be such a big issue for the ballot come November |url= https://www.nbcboston.com/news/local/heres-why-abortion-will-be-such-a-big-issue-for-the-ballot-come-november/3305057/ |access-date=August 9, 2024 |work=NBC |date=March 11, 2024 |archive-date=March 11, 2024 |archive-url= https://web.archive.org/web/20240311222821/https://www.nbcboston.com/news/local/heres-why-abortion-will-be-such-a-big-issue-for-the-ballot-come-november/3305057/ |url-status=live}}</ref><ref name="NBC-2024" /> This was the first presidential election to be held in the aftermath of the 2022 '']'' decision, in which the Supreme Court overturned '']'', leaving abortion law entirely to the states, including bans on abortion.<ref name="The New York Times-2023">For sources on this, see: | |||
* {{Cite news |last=Edsall |first=Thomas B. |author-link=Thomas B. Edsall |date=April 12, 2023 |title=How The Right Came To Embrace Intrusive Government |work=The New York Times |url=https://www.nytimes.com/2023/04/12/opinion/republican-party-intrusive-government.html |access-date=April 12, 2023 |quote=Republicans in states across the country are defiantly pushing for the criminalization of abortion—of the procedure, of abortifacient drugs and of those who travel out of state to terminate pregnancy... According to research provided to The Times by the Kaiser Family Foundation, states that have abortion bans at various early stages of pregnancy with no exception for rape or incest include Alabama, Arizona, Arkansas, Florida, Kentucky, Louisiana, Mississippi, Missouri, Ohio, Oklahoma, South Dakota, Tennessee, Texas, West Virginia and Wisconsin. |archive-date=April 12, 2023 |archive-url= https://web.archive.org/web/20230412100935/https://www.nytimes.com/2023/04/12/opinion/republican-party-intrusive-government.html |url-status=live}} | |||
* {{cite news |last=Allison |first=Natalie |date=June 24, 2022 |title=Roe reversal divides 2024 GOP field |url=https://www.politico.com/news/2022/06/24/roe-reversal-divides-2024-gop-field-00042346 |url-status=live |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20220628202834/https://www.politico.com/news/2022/06/24/roe-reversal-divides-2024-gop-field-00042346 |archive-date=June 28, 2022 |access-date=June 25, 2022 |website=]}} | |||
* {{Cite news |last=Weisman |first=Jonathan |date=April 11, 2023 |title=Pressured by Their Base on Abortion, Republicans Strain to Find a Way Forward |work=The New York Times |url=https://www.nytimes.com/2023/04/11/us/politics/abortion-republicans-elections.html |access-date=April 12, 2023 |archive-date=April 11, 2023 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20230411092928/https://www.nytimes.com/2023/04/11/us/politics/abortion-republicans-elections.html |url-status=live}} | |||
* {{Cite web |last=Godfrey |first=Elaine |date=May 4, 2022 |title=The GOP's Strange Turn Against Rape Exceptions |url=https://www.theatlantic.com/politics/archive/2022/05/supreme-court-overturn-roe-v-wade-no-rape-incest-exceptions/629747/ |access-date=April 7, 2023 |website=The Atlantic |archive-date=May 4, 2022 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20220504102020/https://www.theatlantic.com/politics/archive/2022/05/supreme-court-overturn-roe-v-wade-no-rape-incest-exceptions/629747/ |url-status=live}}</ref> The three justices appointed by former president Trump—], ], and ]—all voted to overturn the federal right to an abortion in ''Dobbs''.<ref>{{cite news |title=Trump credits himself for abortion ruling |url=https://www.axios.com/2022/06/24/trump-credits-himself-for-abortion-ruling |work=Axios |date=June 24, 2022|access-date=April 27, 2024 |last1=Shapero |first1=Julia|archive-date=December 16, 2023|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20231216041325/https://www.axios.com/2022/06/24/trump-credits-himself-for-abortion-ruling|url-status=live}}</ref> By April 2023, most ]-controlled states had passed near-total bans on abortion, rendering it largely illegal throughout ]. According to the ], there are 15 states with ''de jure'' early-stage bans on abortion without exceptions for ] or ].<ref name="The New York Times-2023" /> | |||
Abortion was on the ballot in up to ten states in 2024, including the swing states of ] and Nevada.<ref>{{Cite news |date=September 4, 2024 |title=States where abortion is on the ballot in the 2024 election |url=https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/2024/abortion-ballot-measures/ |newspaper=Washington Post |access-date=September 9, 2024 |archive-date=September 5, 2024 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20240905071415/https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/2024/abortion-ballot-measures/ |url-status=live}}</ref> Some pundits argued abortion-rights referenda could help Harris in November.<ref>{{Cite web |last=Roth |first=Samantha-Jo |title=Harris banks on abortion ballot measures for Southwest path to victory |url=https://www.msn.com/en-us/news/politics/harris-banks-on-abortion-ballot-measures-for-southwest-path-to-victory/ar-AA1oxuJJ |website=Washington Examiner |access-date=September 9, 2024 |archive-date=September 11, 2024 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20240911074546/https://www.msn.com/en-us/news/politics/harris-banks-on-abortion-ballot-measures-for-southwest-path-to-victory/ar-AA1oxuJJ |url-status=live}}</ref><ref>{{Cite web |title=Abortion Rights Are on the Ballot in Arizona. Will It Impact the Presidential Race? |url=https://www.msn.com/en-us/news/politics/abortion-rights-are-on-the-ballot-in-arizona-will-it-impact-the-presidential-race/ar-AA1qdHmS?ocid=BingNewsSerp |website=The Wall Street Journal |access-date=September 9, 2024 |archive-date=September 11, 2024 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20240911074546/https://login.microsoftonline.com/common/oauth2/v2.0/authorize?client_id=d7b530a4-7680-4c23-a8bf-c52c121d2e87&scope=User.Read%20openid%20profile%20offline_access&redirect_uri=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.msn.com%2Fstaticsb%2Fstatics%2Flatest%2Fauth%2Fauth-redirect-blank.html&client-request-id=a3610fad-e9b8-47e2-805f-104a730179e5&response_mode=fragment&response_type=code&x-client-SKU=msal.js.browser&x-client-VER=2.18.0&x-client-OS=&x-client-CPU=&client_info=1&code_challenge=sUso6bz9X7u19yBGVxn1aBnv5GUz6zmaJW0wJJjraj0&code_challenge_method=S256&prompt=none&nonce=688f2ea7-b1c3-4da7-83dc-9804bb4552e7&state=eyJpZCI6ImNiNTE3MTU1LWRlOTUtNDQzYy1hYTY2LTNhNmEwMDFhNDg3NyIsIm1ldGEiOnsiaW50ZXJhY3Rpb25UeXBlIjoic2lsZW50In19 |url-status=live}}</ref><ref>{{Cite web |last=Bickerton |first=James |title=Is Florida in Play for Kamala Harris? |url=https://www.msn.com/en-us/news/politics/is-florida-in-play-for-kamala-harris/ar-AA1qeKVX?ocid=BingNewsSerp |website=Newsweek |access-date=September 9, 2024 |archive-date=September 11, 2024 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20240911074546/https://www.msn.com/en-us/news/politics/is-florida-in-play-for-kamala-harris/ar-AA1qeKVX?ocid=BingNewsSerp |url-status=live}}</ref> Democrats predominantly advocate for ],<ref>{{Cite web |last=Feiner |first=Lauren |date=May 20, 2022 |title=Democratic senators concerned about phone location data being used to track people seeking abortions |url=https://www.cnbc.com/2022/05/20/democrats-urge-ftc-protect-data-privacy-for-people-seeking-abortions.html |access-date=April 12, 2023 |website=CNBC |archive-date=May 20, 2022 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20220520165916/https://www.cnbc.com/2022/05/20/democrats-urge-ftc-protect-data-privacy-for-people-seeking-abortions.html |url-status=live}}</ref> while Republicans generally favor significantly ].<ref>{{Cite web |last=Kilgore |first=Ed |date=June 21, 2023 |title=House GOP Forges Ahead on Wildly Unpopular National Abortion Ban |url=https://nymag.com/intelligencer/2023/06/house-gop-forges-ahead-on-unpopular-national-abortion-ban.html |access-date=November 15, 2023 |website=Intelligencer |archive-date=November 15, 2023 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20231115065948/https://nymag.com/intelligencer/2023/06/house-gop-forges-ahead-on-unpopular-national-abortion-ban.html |url-status=live}}</ref> Since becoming the presumptive nominee, Harris indicated her support for passing legislation which would restore the federal abortion right protections previously guaranteed by ''Roe''.<ref>{{cite web |last1=Messerly |first1=Megan |last2=Ollstein |first2=Alice Miranda |date=July 29, 2024 |title=Kamala Harris' call for 'reproductive freedom' means restoring Roe |url=https://www.politico.com/news/2024/07/29/kamala-harris-abortion-restoring-roe-00171657 |website=Politico |access-date=August 9, 2024 |archive-date=August 21, 2024 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20240821202234/https://www.politico.com/news/2024/07/29/kamala-harris-abortion-restoring-roe-00171657 |url-status=live}}</ref><ref name="The New York Times-2024-3">{{cite news |last1=Astor |first1=Maggie |date=July 21, 2024 |title=Where Kamala Harris Stands on the Issues: Abortion, Immigration and More |url=https://www.nytimes.com/2024/07/21/us/politics/kamala-harris-abortion-immigration-economy-israel.html |url-status=live |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20240721215822/https://www.nytimes.com/2024/07/21/us/politics/kamala-harris-abortion-immigration-economy-israel.html |archive-date=July 21, 2024 |access-date=July 22, 2024 |work=The New York Times}}</ref> She argued Trump would let his anti-abortion allies implement ] to restrict abortion and contraception throughout the United States.<ref>{{Cite web |last=Prokop |first=Andrew |date=August 23, 2024 |title=Kamala Harris just revealed her formula for taking down Trump |url=https://www.vox.com/2024-elections/368489/kamala-harris-dnc-speech-takeaways-analysis |access-date=August 23, 2024 |website=Vox |language=en-US |archive-date=August 23, 2024 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20240823083521/https://www.vox.com/2024-elections/368489/kamala-harris-dnc-speech-takeaways-analysis |url-status=live}}</ref> | |||
Trump claimed credit for overturning ''Roe'' but criticized Republicans pushing for total abortion bans.<ref>{{Cite web |date=May 17, 2023 |title=Trump: 'I was able to kill Roe v. Wade' |url=https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/donald-trump/trump-was-able-kill-roe-v-wade-rcna84897 |access-date=February 5, 2024 |publisher=NBC News|archive-date=February 5, 2024 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20240205132002/https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/donald-trump/trump-was-able-kill-roe-v-wade-rcna84897 |url-status=live}}</ref><ref>{{Cite web |date=September 16, 2023 |title=Trump criticizes Republicans pushing abortion bans with no exceptions: 'You're not going to win' |url=https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/donald-trump/trump-bring-country-together-abortion-meet-the-press-rcna105311 |access-date=February 5, 2024 |publisher=NBC News|archive-date=February 5, 2024 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20240205173558/https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/donald-trump/trump-bring-country-together-abortion-meet-the-press-rcna105311 |url-status=live}}</ref> Trump said he would leave the issue of abortion for the states to decide but would allow red states to monitor women's pregnancies and prosecute them if they have an abortion.<ref name="Time-2024">{{cite magazine |last=Cortellessa |first=Eric |date=April 30, 2024 |title=How Far Trump Would Go |url=https://time.com/6972021/donald-trump-2024-election-interview/ |url-status=live |magazine=] |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20240511000706/https://time.com/6972021/donald-trump-2024-election-interview/ |archive-date=May 11, 2024 |access-date=May 11, 2024}}</ref> In his home state of Florida, Trump announced he would vote "No" on ], an abortion rights referendum, preserving the six-week ban.<ref>{{Cite web |title=Trump pivoted on Florida's abortion ban. Here's what anti-abortion leaders want next. |url=https://www.msn.com/en-us/news/politics/trump-pivoted-on-florida-s-abortion-ban-here-s-what-anti-abortion-leaders-want-next/ar-AA1q2bI7?ocid=BingNewsSerp |website=Politico |access-date=September 9, 2024 |archive-date=September 11, 2024 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20240911075103/https://www.msn.com/en-us/news/politics/trump-pivoted-on-florida-s-abortion-ban-here-s-what-anti-abortion-leaders-want-next/ar-AA1q2bI7?ocid=BingNewsSerp |url-status=live}}</ref> The announcement came one day after he initially criticized the six-week ban for being "too short" and said he would vote to lengthen it.<ref>{{cite news |last1=McCammon |first1=Sarah |title='I'll be voting no.' Trump clarifies his stance on the abortion amendment in Florida |url=https://www.npr.org/2024/08/29/g-s1-20187/trump-abortion-amendment-4-florida-ivf-funding-reproductive-rights |publisher=] |date=August 20, 2024}}</ref> Trump repeated a false claim that Democrats support abortions after birth and "executing" babies.<ref>{{cite news |last1=McCammon |first1=Sarah |date=September 10, 2024 |title=Trump repeats the false claim that Democrats support abortion 'after birth' in debate |url=https://www.npr.org/2024/09/10/nx-s1-5107942/abortion-roe-wade-ivf-donald-trump-kamala-harris-debate-2024 |access-date=November 14, 2024 |publisher=]}}</ref><ref>{{cite news |last=Doan |first=Laura |date=September 11, 2024 |title=Trump falsely claims Democrats support abortions "after birth." Here's a fact check. |url=https://www.cbsnews.com/news/trump-falsely-claims-democrats-support-abortions-after-birth/ |access-date=November 14, 2024 |publisher=]}}</ref> | |||
=== Border security and immigration === | |||
{{Main|Mexico–United States border crisis |Border security in the United States}} | |||
{{Further|Kamala Harris 2024 presidential campaign#Immigration|Donald Trump 2024 presidential campaign#Immigration}} | |||
] at the border in 2011 to discuss strategies to combat transnational gang crime]] | |||
Border security and immigration were among the top issues concerning potential voters in the election.<ref>{{cite news |url=https://www.nytimes.com/2024/01/17/briefing/immigration-policy-democrats.html |title=A 2024 Vulnerability |work=The New York Times |date=January 17, 2024 |last1=Leonhardt |first1=David | access-date=January 26, 2024 | archive-date=January 26, 2024 | archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20240126192037/https://www.nytimes.com/2024/01/17/briefing/immigration-policy-democrats.html | url-status=live}}</ref><ref>{{Cite web |url=https://apnews.com/article/democracy-2024-election-trump-biden-poll-39309519c8473175c25ab5a305e629ba |title=Americans agree that the 2024 election will be pivotal for democracy, but for different reasons |date=December 15, 2023 |publisher=Associated Press |access-date=December 16, 2023|archive-date=December 16, 2023|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20231216014504/https://apnews.com/article/democracy-2024-election-trump-biden-poll-39309519c8473175c25ab5a305e629ba|url-status=live}}</ref> Polling showed that most Americans want to reduce immigration,<ref>{{Cite web |last=M. Jones |first=Jeffrey |date=July 12, 2024 |title=Sharply More Americans Want to Curb Immigration to U.S. |url=https://news.gallup.com/poll/647123/sharply-americans-curb-immigration.aspx |access-date=July 21, 2024 |website=Gallup |archive-date=July 20, 2024 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20240720215320/https://news.gallup.com/poll/647123/sharply-americans-curb-immigration.aspx |url-status=live}}</ref> and that a substantial minority of white Republicans were concerned about ].<ref>{{Cite web |last=Frankovic |first=Kathy |date=August 19, 2021 |title=White Republicans see the white population decline in America as a bad thing |url=https://today.yougov.com/politics/articles/37643-white-republicans-see-white-population-decline |access-date=July 21, 2024 |website=] |archive-date=November 29, 2023 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20231129194903/https://today.yougov.com/politics/articles/37643-white-republicans-see-white-population-decline |url-status=live}}</ref> In 2023 and early 2024, a surge of migrants entering through the border with Mexico occurred.<ref>{{Cite news |url=https://www.economist.com/united-states/2024/01/25/how-americas-failed-immigration-policies-might-cost-joe-biden-the-election |title=America's immigration policies are failing |newspaper=The Economist|access-date=January 26, 2024|archive-date=January 26, 2024|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20240126191707/https://www.economist.com/united-states/2024/01/25/how-americas-failed-immigration-policies-might-cost-joe-biden-the-election|url-status=live}}</ref> By June 2024, illegal crossings reached a three-year low following four consecutive monthly drops, which senior officials attributed to increased enforcement between the United States and Mexico, the weather, and Biden's executive order (]) increasing asylum restrictions.<ref>{{Cite news |first=Camilo |last=Montoya-Galvez |url=https://www.cbsnews.com/news/border-crossings-us-mexico-border-june-2024/ |title=Illegal crossings at U.S.-Mexico border fall to 3-year low, the lowest level under Biden |newspaper=CBS News |date=July 1, 2024|access-date=July 12, 2024|archive-date=July 10, 2024|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20240710231729/https://www.cbsnews.com/news/border-crossings-us-mexico-border-june-2024/|url-status=live}}</ref> | |||
Harris promised to fight for "strong border security" coupled with an earned pathway to citizenship. Harris highlighted her work in combating transnational gangs, drug cartels, and human traffickers while attorney general.<ref name="Politico-2024">{{cite news |last1=Daniels |first1=Eugene |last2=Schneider |first2=Elena |title=Harris promises to go tough on border security |url=https://www.politico.com/news/2024/08/09/harris-promises-to-go-tough-on-border-security-00173485 |work=Politico |date=August 9, 2024|access-date=August 10, 2024|archive-date=August 11, 2024|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20240811003141/https://www.politico.com/news/2024/08/09/harris-promises-to-go-tough-on-border-security-00173485|url-status=live}}</ref> As vice president, Harris announced in 2023 that she pledged of US$950 million from private companies into Central American communities to address the causes of mass migration, such as poverty.<ref name="The New York Times-2024-3" /> Harris stated she believes the immigration system is "broken" and needs to be fixed, and she said most Americans believe this.<ref name="The New York Times-2024-3" /> Harris also advocated for stricter asylum rules than President Biden.<ref>{{Cite news |last1=Ward |first1=Myah |last2=Sentner |first2=Irie |date=September 27, 2024 |title=Harris in Arizona visit vows to outdo Biden on border security |url=https://www.politico.com/news/2024/09/27/harris-border-asylum-policy-biden-00181473 |work=Politico}}</ref> Harris supported increasing the number of ] agents and accused Trump of being unserious on border security.<ref>{{Cite web |last1=Alvarez |first1=Priscilla |last2=Blackburn |first2=Piper Hudspeth |date=July 31, 2024 |title=Harris goes on offensive on immigration, comparing her record with Trump's |url=https://www.cnn.com/2024/07/30/politics/harris-immigration-trump/index.html |url-status=live |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20240731030729/https://www.cnn.com/2024/07/30/politics/harris-immigration-trump/index.html |archive-date=July 31, 2024 |access-date=July 31, 2024 |website=] }}</ref> As vice president, Harris also supported a bipartisan bill that would have funded additional border agents and closed the border if too crowded; the bill was rejected by Trump. Trump called on House and Senate Republicans to kill the bill arguing it would hurt his and Republican's reelection campaigns and deny them the ability to run on immigration as a campaign issue.<ref>{{cite news |title=Trump brags about efforts to stymie border talks: 'Please blame it on me' |url=https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/2024/01/27/trump-border-biden/ |newspaper=The Washington Post |date=January 28, 2024 |last1=Arnsdorf |first1=Isaac |access-date=January 29, 2024|archive-date=January 28, 2024|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20240128000000/https://web.archive.org/web/20240128152344/https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/2024/01/27/trump-border-biden/|url-status=live}}</ref><ref>{{cite news |title=Senate GOP blocks bipartisan border deal and foreign aid package in key vote |url=https://edition.cnn.com/politics/live-news/senate-vote-border-bill-aid-02-07-24/index.html |publisher=CNN |date=February 7, 2024 |access-date=April 3, 2024 |archive-date=March 24, 2024 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20240324052232/https://edition.cnn.com/politics/live-news/senate-vote-border-bill-aid-02-07-24/index.html |url-status=live |first1=Elise |last1=Hammond |first2=Michelle |last2=Shen |first3=Jack |last3=Forrest |first4=Shania |last4=Shelton}}</ref><ref>{{cite news |last1=Kane |first1=Paul |title=Senate Republicans retreating into the same ungovernable chaos as House GOP |url=https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/2024/02/07/senate-republicans-retreating-into-same-ungovernable-chaos-house-gop/ |newspaper=The Washington Post |date=February 7, 2024 |access-date=April 3, 2024 |archive-date=February 7, 2024 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20240207191403/https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/2024/02/07/senate-republicans-retreating-into-same-ungovernable-chaos-house-gop/ |url-status=live}}</ref><ref>{{cite news |last1=Alemany |first1=Jacqueline |last2=Sotomayor |first2=Marianna |last3=Caldwell |first3=Leigh Ann |last4=Goodwin |first4=Liz |date=January 7, 2024 |title=GOP leaders face unrest amid chaotic, bungled votes |url=https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/2024/02/07/republicans-disarray-house-senate-border/ |url-status=live |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20240619170449/https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/2024/02/07/republicans-disarray-house-senate-border/ |archive-date=June 19, 2024 |access-date=April 3, 2024 |newspaper=The Washington Post}}</ref><ref>{{cite news |last1=Goodwin |first1=Liz |last2=Caldwell |first2=Leigh Ann |last3=Hauslohner |first3=Abigail |date=February 7, 2024 |title=Senate GOP blocks border deal; future of Ukraine, Israel aid unclear |url=https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/2024/02/07/senate-border-security-vote/ |url-status=live |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20240208172040/https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/2024/02/07/senate-border-security-vote/ |archive-date=February 8, 2024 |access-date=April 3, 2024 |newspaper=The Washington Post}}</ref><ref>{{Cite web |last1=Cowan |first1=Richard |last2=Costas |first2=Picas |date=February 5, 2024 |title=US Senate unveils $118 billion bill on border security, aid for Ukraine, Israel |url=https://www.reuters.com/world/us/us-senate-unveils-118-billion-bipartisan-bill-tighten-border-security-aid-2024-02-04/ |url-status=live |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20240605222353/https://www.reuters.com/world/us/us-senate-unveils-118-billion-bipartisan-bill-tighten-border-security-aid-2024-02-04/ |archive-date=June 5, 2024 |access-date=February 5, 2024 |work=]}}</ref> Harris criticized Trump for his opposition to the bill on the campaign trail,<ref name="Politico-2024" /> and promised to sign the bill into law as president.<ref>{{Cite web |last1=Restuccia |first1=Andrew |last2=Hackman |first2=Michelle |title=Kamala Harris Pledges to Sign Bipartisan Border Bill |url=https://www.wsj.com/livecoverage/dnc-harris-speech-election-2024/card/harris-pledges-to-sign-bipartisan-border-bill-csVc4bVyNHlyx9yqnyyE |access-date=August 24, 2024 |date=August 23, 2024 |work=The Wall Street Journal |archive-date=August 24, 2024|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20240824052300/https://www.wsj.com/livecoverage/dnc-harris-speech-election-2024/card/harris-pledges-to-sign-bipartisan-border-bill-csVc4bVyNHlyx9yqnyyE|url-status=live}}</ref> | |||
] on the southern border if elected]] | |||
Trump stated that if he were elected, he would increase deportations, send the U.S. military to the border, expand ] detentions through workplace raids,<ref name="The New York Times-2023-3" /> deputize local law enforcement to handle border security, increase ] funding, as well as finish building the wall on the southern border.<ref>{{cite web |last=Garsd |first=Jasmine |date=December 13, 2023 |title=Where the Republican presidential candidates stand on immigration |url=https://www.npr.org/2023/12/13/1218935981/republican-candidates-immigration |url-status=live |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20240210211541/https://www.npr.org/2023/12/13/1218935981/republican-candidates-immigration |archive-date=February 10, 2024 |access-date=February 10, 2024 |publisher=]}}</ref> Trump has said he will deport both legal and illegal immigrants.<ref name="Oliphant 10042024">{{Cite news |last=Oliphant |first=James |date=October 4, 2024 |title=Trump's already harsh rhetoric on migrants is turning darker as Election Day nears |work=Reuters |url=https://www.reuters.com/world/us/trumps-already-harsh-rhetoric-migrants-is-turning-darker-election-day-nears-2024-10-04/ |access-date=October 5, 2024 |archive-date=October 5, 2024 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20241005195654/https://www.reuters.com/world/us/trumps-already-harsh-rhetoric-migrants-is-turning-darker-election-day-nears-2024-10-04/ |url-status=live}}</ref><ref>{{Cite news |last=Phifer |first=Donica |date=October 3, 2024 |title=Trump floats deporting legal Haitian migrants living in Ohio |work=Axios |url=https://www.axios.com/2024/10/03/trump-springfield-haitian-migrants-tps |access-date=October 5, 2024 |archive-date=October 5, 2024 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20241005120932/https://www.axios.com/2024/10/03/trump-springfield-haitian-migrants-tps?__cf_chl_rt_tk=Pwa6jpc9xooGPXZfSzeGSc9Tnb1r1J6.1LUQN0DGnQo-1728130172-0.0.1.1-6207 |url-status=live}}</ref> ''The New York Times'' reported that Trump was considering "an extreme expansion of his first-term crackdown on immigration", such as "preparing to round up undocumented people already in the United States on a vast scale and detain them in sprawling camps while they wait to be expelled".<ref name="The New York Times-2023-3">{{cite news |last1=Savage |first1=Charlie |last2=Haberman |first2=Maggie |last3=Swan |first3=Jonathan |date=November 11, 2023 |title=Sweeping Raids, Giant Camps and Mass Deportations: Inside Trump's 2025 Immigration Plans |url=https://www.nytimes.com/2023/11/11/us/politics/trump-2025-immigration-agenda.html |url-status=live |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20240425100016/https://www.nytimes.com/2023/11/11/us/politics/trump-2025-immigration-agenda.html |archive-date=April 25, 2024 |access-date=April 26, 2024 |work=The New York Times}}</ref> Trump stated his intention to deport 11 million people through the construction of detention camps and deploy the military,<ref name="Time-2024" /> relying on presidential wartime powers under the 18th-century ].<ref name="Ward 10122024"/> Trump made false claims of a "migrant crime wave" that are not supported by data, and provided no evidence to back up his claims.<ref>{{Cite news |last1=Olympia |first1=Sonnier |last2=Haake |first2=Garrett |date=February 29, 2024 |title=Trump's claims of a migrant crime wave are not supported by national data |publisher=NBC News |url=https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/2024-election/trumps-claims-migrant-crime-wave-are-not-supported-national-data-rcna140896 |access-date=June 23, 2024 |archive-date=June 22, 2024|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20240622153032/https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/2024-election/trumps-claims-migrant-crime-wave-are-not-supported-national-data-rcna140896 |url-status=live}}</ref><ref name="Reid 09292024">{{Cite news |last=Reid |first=Tim |date=September 29, 2024 |title=Trump escalates harsh rhetoric against immigrants, Harris |work=Reuters |url=https://www.reuters.com/world/us/trump-escalates-dark-rhetoric-against-immigrants-harris-2024-09-28/ |access-date=October 5, 2024 |archive-date=October 5, 2024 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20241005195813/https://www.reuters.com/world/us/trump-escalates-dark-rhetoric-against-immigrants-harris-2024-09-28/ |url-status=live}}</ref> | |||
In regards to his anti-immigrant ],<ref name="Bender 09252024"/> Trump's tone grew harsher from his previous time as president,<ref name="The New York Times-2023-3" /> and used ],{{efn|name=Fearmongering|Attributed to multiple references:<ref name="Bender 09252024">{{Cite news |last=Bender |first=Michael C. |date=September 22, 2024 |title=On the Trail, Trump and Vance Sharpen a Nativist, Anti-Immigrant Tone |work=The New York Times |url=https://www.nytimes.com/2024/09/22/us/politics/trump-vance-nativist.html |access-date=September 25, 2024 |archive-date=September 24, 2024 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20240924045958/https://www.nytimes.com/2024/09/22/us/politics/trump-vance-nativist.html |url-status=live |quote=Battling in a tight race, the Trump-Vance team is sharpening the anti-immigrant nativism that fueled the former president's initial rise to power in 2016, seizing on scare tactics, falsehoods and racial stereotypes.}}</ref><ref>{{Cite news |last=Chidi |first=George |date=August 3, 2024 |title=Name-calling and hyperbole: Trump continues fear-mongering fest at Georgia rally |work=The Guardian |url=https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/article/2024/aug/03/trump-rally-georgia-crime-immigration |access-date=September 24, 2024 |archive-date=September 15, 2024 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20240915220511/https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/article/2024/aug/03/trump-rally-georgia-crime-immigration |url-status=live}}</ref><ref>{{Cite news |last1=Shear |first1=Michael D. |last2=Aleaziz |first2=Hamed |last3=Ulloa |first3=Jazmine |date=September 11, 2024 |title=How Trump Uses Vitriol for Migrants to Sideline Other Issues |work=The New York Times |url=https://www.nytimes.com/2024/09/11/us/politics/trump-debate-migrants.html |access-date=September 25, 2024 |archive-date=September 23, 2024 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20240923163916/https://www.nytimes.com/2024/09/11/us/politics/trump-debate-migrants.html |url-status=live}}</ref><ref>{{Cite news |last=Haberman |first=Maggie |date=September 11, 2024 |title='The End of Our Country': Trump Paints Dark Picture at Debate |work=The New York Times |url=https://www.nytimes.com/2024/09/11/us/politics/trump-debate-dark-picture.html |access-date=September 25, 2024 |archive-date=September 23, 2024 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20240923105051/https://www.nytimes.com/2024/09/11/us/politics/trump-debate-dark-picture.html |url-status=live |quote=Fear-mongering, and demagoguing on the issue of immigrants, has been Mr. Trump's preferred speed since he announced his first candidacy for the presidency in June 2015, and he has often found a receptive audience for it.}}</ref><ref>{{Cite news |last=Bump |first=Philip |date=March 1, 2024 |title=About those immigrating languages that 'nobody speaks' |newspaper=The Washington Post |url=https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/2024/03/01/donald-trump-migrants-fear/ |access-date=September 25, 2024 |archive-date=September 25, 2024 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20240925212413/https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/2024/03/01/donald-trump-migrants-fear/ |url-status=live |quote=It's been understood for some time that there is no limit on the fearmongering Donald Trump will deploy when it comes to the U.S.-Mexico border.}}</ref><ref>{{Cite news |last=Castillo |first=Andrea |date=July 18, 2024 |title=GOP sticks to the message that migrants are dangerous |work=Los Angeles Times |url=https://www.latimes.com/politics/story/2024-07-18/trump-shooting-republican-campaign-immigrants-migrants-violent-dangerous |access-date=September 25, 2024 |archive-date=September 24, 2024 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20240924092558/https://www.latimes.com/politics/story/2024-07-18/trump-shooting-republican-campaign-immigrants-migrants-violent-dangerous |url-status=live}}</ref><ref>{{Cite news |last=Bump |first=Philip |date=April 4, 2024 |title=The new border fearmongering: China is 'building an army' in the U.S. |newspaper=The Washington Post |url=https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/2024/04/04/trump-china-army-border/ |access-date=September 25, 2024 |archive-date=September 25, 2024 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20240925213200/https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/2024/04/04/trump-china-army-border/ |url-status=live}}</ref><ref>{{Cite news |last=Collinson |first=Stephen |date=September 24, 2024 |title=Trump plays the fear card on the economy – and it seems to be working |publisher=CNN |url=https://www.cnn.com/2024/09/24/politics/trump-fear-economy-analysis/index.html |access-date= |archive-date=September 25, 2024 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20240925213447/https://www.cnn.com/2024/09/24/politics/trump-fear-economy-analysis/index.html |url-status=live |quote=Most politicians court voters by offering them an optimistic vision, peddling hope and promises of change. Democratic nominee Kamala Harris is seeking to sweep away Trump's somber picture of America in crisis by invoking joy and a new kind of 'opportunity economy.' Trump, however, mostly dishes out fear and threats.}}</ref><ref name="Gold 1012024">{{Cite news |last=Michael |first=Gold |date=October 1, 2024 |title=Trump's Consistent Message Online and Onstage: Be Afraid |work=The New York Times |url=https://www.nytimes.com/2024/10/01/us/politics/trump-fear-speeches.html |access-date=October 1, 2024 |archive-date=October 1, 2024 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20241001180636/https://www.nytimes.com/2024/10/01/us/politics/trump-fear-speeches.html/ |url-status=live}}</ref><ref name="Hutzler 09302024">{{Cite news |last=Hutzler |first=Alexandra |date=September 30, 2024 |title=Trump takes dark rhetoric to new level in final weeks of 2024 campaign: ANALYSIS |publisher=ABC News |url=https://abcnews.go.com/Politics/trump-takes-dark-rhetoric-new-level-final-weeks/story?id=114360594 |access-date=October 1, 2024 |archive-date=October 1, 2024 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20241001054628/https://abcnews.go.com/Politics/trump-takes-dark-rhetoric-new-level-final-weeks/story?id=114360594 |url-status=live}}</ref>}} racial stereotypes,<ref name="Bender 09252024"/> and more dehumanizing rhetoric when referring to illegal immigrants. Trump repeatedly called some immigrants subhuman, stating they are "not human", "not people", and "animals",<ref name="Reuters-2024-2">{{Cite news |last1=Layne |first1=Nathan |last2=Slattery |first2=Gram |last3=Reid |first3=Tim |date=April 3, 2024 |title=Trump calls migrants 'animals,' intensifying focus on illegal immigration |url=https://www.reuters.com/world/us/trump-expected-highlight-murder-michigan-woman-immigration-speech-2024-04-02/ |url-status=live |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20240617123326/https://www.reuters.com/world/us/trump-expected-highlight-murder-michigan-woman-immigration-speech-2024-04-02/ |archive-date=June 17, 2024 |access-date=April 3, 2024 |work=Reuters |quote=While speaking of Laken Riley – a 22-year-old nursing student from Georgia allegedly murdered by a Venezuelan immigrant in the country illegally – Trump said some immigrants were sub-human. 'The Democrats say, "Please don't call them animals. They're humans." I said, "No, they're not humans, they're not humans, they're animals,{{"'}} said Trump, president from 2017 to 2021.}}</ref><ref>{{Cite news |url=https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/2024/03/16/trump-immigrants-not-people/ |title=Trump says some undocumented immigrants are 'not people' |first=Marisa |last=Iati |date=March 16, 2024|access-date=March 17, 2024 |newspaper=The Washington Post |archive-date=March 16, 2024|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20240316225300/https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/2024/03/16/trump-immigrants-not-people/|url-status=live}}</ref><ref>{{cite news |last1=Huynh |first1=Anjali |last2=Gold |first2=Michael |title=Trump Says Some Migrants Are 'Not People' and Predicts a 'Blood Bath' if He Loses |url=https://www.nytimes.com/2024/03/16/us/politics/trump-speech-ohio.html |work=The New York Times |date=March 17, 2024 |access-date=April 26, 2024 |archive-date=April 23, 2024 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20240423095503/https://www.nytimes.com/2024/03/16/us/politics/trump-speech-ohio.html |url-status=live}}</ref> who will "rape, pillage, thieve, plunder and kill" American citizens,<ref name="Oliphant 10042024"/> that they are "stone-cold killers", "monsters", "vile animals", "savages", and "predators" that will "walk into your kitchen, they'll cut your throat",<ref name="Gold 1012024"/><ref name="Hutzler 09302024"/><ref name="Oliphant 10042024"/><ref name="Reid 09292024"/> and "grab young girls and slice them up right in front of their parents".<ref name="Oliphant 10042024"/> Other rhetoric includes false statements that foreign leaders are deliberately emptying insane asylums to send "prisoners, murderers, drug dealers, mental patients, terrorists" across the southern border as migrants,<ref>{{Cite news|url=https://apnews.com/article/trump-immigration-crime-battleground-election-aa4b0912322dee09cf475ffad7c8cec7|title=Trump accuses Biden of causing a border 'bloodbath' as he escalates his immigration rhetoric|last1=Cappelletti|first1=Joey|last2=Colvin|first2=Jill|last3=Gomez|first3=Adriana|date=April 2, 2024|access-date=April 3, 2024|publisher=The Associated Press}}</ref> that they are "building an army" of "fighting age" men to attack Americans "from within",<ref>{{Cite news|url=https://www.reuters.com/world/us/trump-hold-south-bronx-new-york-campaign-rally-push-black-voters-2024-05-23/|title=Trump, without evidence, claims migrants in U.S. illegally 'building army' to attack Americans|last1=Coster|first1=Helen|last2=Layne|first2=Nathan|date=April 3, 2024|access-date=May 24, 2024|publisher=Reuters}}</ref> and are the "enemy from within" who are ruining the "fabric" of the country.<ref name="Ward 10122024"/> Since fall 2023,<ref name="The New York Times-2024-5" /> Trump claimed that immigrants are "poisoning the blood of our country", which drew comparisons to ] rhetoric used by ] and ].<ref>{{cite news |last1=Sullivan |first1=Kate |title=Trump's anti-immigrant comments draw rebuke |url=https://edition.cnn.com/2023/10/06/politics/trump-anti-immigrant-comments/index.html |publisher=] |date=October 6, 2023 |access-date=November 17, 2023 |archive-date=November 15, 2023 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20231115194416/https://edition.cnn.com/2023/10/06/politics/trump-anti-immigrant-comments/index.html |url-status=live}}</ref><ref>{{cite news |last1=LeVine |first1=Marianne |last2=Kornfield |first2=Maryl |url=https://www.washingtonpost.com/elections/2023/10/12/trump-immigrants-comments-criticism/ |title=Trump's anti-immigrant onslaught sparks fresh alarm heading into 2024 |newspaper=] |date=October 12, 2023 |access-date=November 16, 2023 |archive-date=June 19, 2024 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20240619170447/https://www.washingtonpost.com/elections/2023/10/12/trump-immigrants-comments-criticism/ |url-status=live}}</ref><ref name="The New York Times-2024-5">{{cite news |last=Astor |first=Maggie |title=Trump Doubles Down on Migrants 'Poisoning' the Country |url=https://www.nytimes.com/2024/03/17/us/politics/trump-fox-interview-migrants.html |work=The New York Times |date=March 17, 2024 |access-date=April 26, 2024 |archive-date=April 25, 2024 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20240425195313/https://www.nytimes.com/2024/03/17/us/politics/trump-fox-interview-migrants.html |url-status=live}}</ref><ref name="The New York Times-2023-5" /> In the 20 rallies since ], '']'' found his rhetoric, especially around immigrants, getting darker, citing experts who found it strongly echoed authoritarian and ], including claims that immigrants are genetically predisposed to commit crimes and have "bad genes".<ref name="Ward 10122024"/><ref name="Bad Genes">{{Cite news |last=Svitek |first=Patrick |date=October 7, 2024 |title=Trump suggests 'bad genes' to blame for undocumented immigrants who commit murders |url=https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/2024/10/07/trump-undocumented-immigrants-bad-genes/ |access-date=October 7, 2024 |newspaper=Washington Post |language=en-US}}</ref> Trump's comments came as part of violent, dehumanizing rhetoric Trump had increasingly used during his campaign.<ref name="Perspectives on Terrorism-2020" /><ref name="Reuters-2024-2" /><ref name="The New York Times-2023-7" /><ref name="The New York Times-2023-5" /><ref name="The Washington Post-2023" /><ref name="The New York Times-2024-2" /> | |||
=== Climate change === | |||
{{Main|Climate change in the United States}} | |||
{{Further|Kamala Harris 2024 presidential campaign#Climate change and energy|Donald Trump 2024 presidential campaign#Energy, environment, and climate change}} | |||
{{See also|Environmental policy of the first Donald Trump administration|Climate change denial|Inflation Reduction Act}} | |||
Climate change and energy policy played a role in the 2024 presidential campaign. In 2023, the United States saw a record in crude oil production with over 13.2 million barrels of crude per day, beating the 13 million barrels per day produced at the peak of Trump's presidency.<ref>{{cite news |title=U.S. oil production hit a record under Biden. He seldom mentions it. |url=https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/2023/12/31/us-oil-production-has-hit-record-under-biden-he-hardly-mentions-it/ |last1=Halper |first1=Evan |last2=Olorunnipa |first2=Toluse |newspaper=The Washington Post |date=December 31, 2023|access-date=January 20, 2024 |archive-date=January 18, 2024|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20240118150742/https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/2023/12/31/us-oil-production-has-hit-record-under-biden-he-hardly-mentions-it/|url-status=live}}</ref> The United States also dealt with supply shocks caused by the ] due to the ] and ].<ref>{{Cite web |date=October 2022 |title=IEA Global Energy Crisis |url=https://www.iea.org/topics/global-energy-crisis |publisher=International Energy Agency |access-date=December 6, 2022 |archive-date=December 6, 2022 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20221206212447/https://www.iea.org/topics/global-energy-crisis |url-status=live}}</ref> An advocate for ] to address the impact of climate change on lower-income areas and people of color, Harris supported Biden's climate legislation.<ref name="The New York Times-2024-3" /> In 2022, Harris helped pass the Inflation Reduction Act,<ref name="The Hill-2024">{{Cite news |last=Bolton |first=Alexander |date=July 29, 2024 |title=Behind hoopla, Democrats anxious about Harris |work=The Hill |url=https://thehill.com/homenews/senate/4795432-kamala-harris-democratic-anxiety/ |access-date=August 1, 2024 |archive-date=July 30, 2024 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20240730045711/https://thehill.com/homenews/senate/4795432-kamala-harris-democratic-anxiety/ |url-status=live}}</ref> the largest investment in addressing climate change and clean energy in American history,<ref>{{Cite web |last=Bordoff |first=Jason |date=December 2022 |title=America's Landmark Climate Law |url=https://www.imf.org/en/Publications/fandd/issues/2022/12/america-landmark-climate-law-bordoff |access-date=January 16, 2024 |website=International Monetary Fund |quote=The Inflation Reduction Act is the most significant piece of climate legislation in the history of the United States. |archive-date=January 18, 2024 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20240118035504/https://www.imf.org/en/Publications/fandd/issues/2022/12/america-landmark-climate-law-bordoff |url-status=live}}</ref> putting the United States on track to meet emissions reduction targets by 50–52% below 2005 levels by 2030.<ref>{{Cite magazine |last=McCarthy |first=Gina |date=August 16, 2023 |title=The Inflation Reduction Act Took U.S. Climate Action Global. Here's What Needs To Happen Next |url=https://time.com/6305001/inflation-reduction-act-what-happens-next/ |access-date=January 20, 2024 |magazine=TIME |language=en |archive-date=January 19, 2024 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20240119015654/https://time.com/6305001/inflation-reduction-act-what-happens-next/ |url-status=live}}</ref> Harris' campaign stated that she would not support a ban on ].<ref name="The New York Times-2024-7" /> | |||
Trump ridiculed the idea of man-made ],<ref>{{cite news |title=No more going wobbly in climate fight, Trump supporters vow |url=https://www.politico.com/news/2024/01/12/trump-second-term-climate-science-2024-00132289 |work=Politico |date=January 16, 2024|access-date=January 18, 2024 |last=Waldman |first=Scott|archive-date=January 17, 2024|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20240117142253/https://www.politico.com/news/2024/01/12/trump-second-term-climate-science-2024-00132289|url-status=live}}</ref><ref>{{cite news |title=On Fox, Donald Trump Calls Climate Change A 'Hoax': 'In The 1920's They Were Talking About Global Freezing' |url=https://www.forbes.com/sites/markjoyella/2022/03/21/on-fox-donald-trump-calls-climate-change-a-hoax-in-the-1920s-they-were-talking-about-global-freezing/?sh=4361ef3f3787 |work=Forbes |date=March 21, 2022|access-date=December 11, 2023 |last1=Joyella |first1=Mark|archive-date=December 12, 2023|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20231212042756/https://www.forbes.com/sites/markjoyella/2022/03/21/on-fox-donald-trump-calls-climate-change-a-hoax-in-the-1920s-they-were-talking-about-global-freezing/?sh=4361ef3f3787|url-status=live}}</ref><ref>{{cite web |url=https://www.cfr.org/blog/campaign-roundup-republican-presidential-candidates-climate-change |title=Campaign Roundup: The Republican Presidential Candidates on Climate Change |last=Lindsay |first=James M. |date=December 1, 2023 |publisher=Council on Foreign Relations |access-date=December 11, 2023 |quote=Donald Trump hasn't said how he would approach climate change if he returns to the White House. But during his first term in office, he withdrew the United States from the Paris Agreement and regularly ridiculed the idea of man-made climate change. |archive-date=December 12, 2023 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20231212042757/https://www.cfr.org/blog/campaign-roundup-republican-presidential-candidates-climate-change |url-status=live}}</ref> and repeatedly referred to his energy policy under the mantra "]".<ref>{{cite news |title=Trump Promises To "Drill, Baby, Drill" If Elected |url=https://oilprice.com/Latest-Energy-News/World-News/Trump-Promises-To-Drill-Baby-Drill-If-Elected.html |work=Oilprice.com |date=May 11, 2023|access-date=December 11, 2023 |last1=Geiger |first1=Julianne|archive-date=December 12, 2023|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20231212042758/https://oilprice.com/Latest-Energy-News/World-News/Trump-Promises-To-Drill-Baby-Drill-If-Elected.html|url-status=live}}</ref> Trump said he would increase oil drilling on public lands and offer tax breaks to oil, gas, and coal producers, and stated his goal for the United States to have the lowest cost of electricity and energy of any country in the world.<ref name="Associated Press-2023" /> Trump also promised to roll back electric vehicle initiatives, proposed once again the ], and rescind several environmental regulations.<ref name="Associated Press-2023" /><ref>{{cite news |title=Trump's Violent Language Toward EVs |url=https://www.nytimes.com/2024/03/18/climate/trump-electric-vehicles-blood-bath.html |work=The New York Times |date=March 18, 2024 |last1=Friedman |first1=Lisa|access-date=March 21, 2024 |archive-date=March 21, 2024|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20240321023506/https://www.nytimes.com/2024/03/18/climate/trump-electric-vehicles-blood-bath.html|url-status=live}}</ref> Trump stated his intention to roll back parts of the Inflation Reduction Act.<ref>{{cite news |title=Specter of second Trump term looms over global climate talks |url=https://www.washingtonpost.com/climate-environment/2023/12/11/trump-climate-talks-cop28-dubai/ |newspaper=Washington Post |date=December 11, 2023|access-date=December 11, 2023 |last1=Joselow |first1=Maxine |last2=Puko |first2=Timothy}}</ref> The implementation of Trump's plans would add around 4 billion tons of ] to the atmosphere by 2030, also having effects on the international level. If the policies do not change further, it would add 15 billion tons by 2040 and 27 billion by 2050. Although the exact calculation is difficult, researchers stated: "Regardless of the precise impact, a second Trump term that successfully dismantles ] would likely end any global hopes of keeping global warming below 1.5C."<ref>{{cite web |last1=Evans |first1=Simon |last2=Viisainen |first2=Verner |title=Analysis: Trump election win could add 4bn tonnes to US emissions by 2030 |url=https://www.carbonbrief.org/analysis-trump-election-win-could-add-4bn-tonnes-to-us-emissions-by-2030/ |website=Carbon Brief |date=March 6, 2024 |access-date=November 1, 2024}}</ref> | |||
=== Democracy === | |||
{{Main|Attempts to overturn the 2020 United States presidential election|Democratic backsliding in the United States|Election denial movement in the United States}} | |||
{{See also|Donald Trump 2024 presidential campaign#Authoritarian and antidemocratic statements|Donald Trump and fascism|Indictments against Donald Trump|Project 2025}} | |||
{{#invoke:multiple image| | |||
| align = right | |||
| image1 = 2021 storming of the United States Capitol DSC09156 collage.png | |||
| footer = The election was the first presidential election following Trump's ] and the ]. It also came amidst ] for attempting to overturn the 2020 election and involvement in the attack and ]. | |||
}} | |||
Polling before the election indicated profound dissatisfaction with the state of ].<ref>{{Cite news |last1=Balz |first1=Dan |last2=Ence Morse |first2=Clara |date=August 18, 2023 |title=American democracy is cracking. These forces help explain why. |url=https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/2023/08/18/american-democracy-political-system-failures/ |access-date=November 15, 2023 |newspaper=] |archive-date=November 15, 2023 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20231115151758/https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/2023/08/18/american-democracy-political-system-failures/ |url-status=live}}</ref><ref>{{Cite web |last=Leonhardt |first=David |date=September 17, 2022 |title=A Crisis Coming: The Twin Threats to American Democracy |url-access=subscription |url=https://www.nytimes.com/2022/09/17/us/american-democracy-threats.html |access-date=November 15, 2023 |website=] |archive-date=November 1, 2023 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20231101094836/https://www.nytimes.com/2022/09/17/us/american-democracy-threats.html |url-status=live}}</ref><ref>{{Cite news |last=Gambino |first=Lauren |date=November 5, 2023 |title=With the US election a year away, most Americans don't want Biden or Trump |work=The Guardian |url=https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/2023/nov/05/us-presidential-election-biden-trump-polls |access-date=November 15, 2023 |archive-date=November 16, 2023 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20231116135016/https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/2023/nov/05/us-presidential-election-biden-trump-polls |url-status=live}}</ref> According to an October 25 ABC/Ipsos poll, 49% of Americans saw Trump as a ], described as "a political extremist who seeks to act as a dictator, disregards individual rights and threatens or uses force against their opponents". Meanwhile, only 22% saw Harris as a fascist by this definition.<ref>{{Cite news |last1=Langer |first1=Gary |last2=Sparks |first2=Steven |date=October 25, 2024 |title=Half of Americans see Donald Trump as a fascist: Poll |publisher=ABC News |url=https://abcnews.go.com/Politics/donald-trump-fascist-concerns-poll/story?id=115083795 |access-date=October 25, 2024}}</ref> Some Republicans were concerned that Trump's former ] and ] were attempts to influence the election and keep him from office;<ref>{{Cite web |title=Is Our Democracy Under Threat? |url=https://www.rutgers.edu/news/our-democracy-under-threat |access-date=May 3, 2023 |website=rutgers.edu |archive-date=October 25, 2022 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20221025225321/https://www.rutgers.edu/news/our-democracy-under-threat |url-status=live}}</ref> however, there is no evidence that Trump's criminal trials were "election interference" orchestrated by Biden and the Democratic Party,<ref name="The New York Times-2024-6"/><ref name="The New York Times-2024-4" /> and Trump also continued to repeat ] that the 2020 election was rigged and stolen from him.<ref name="Associated Press-2023-2">{{cite news |last1=Riccardi |first1=Nicholas |last2=Price |first2=Michelle L. |date=December 16, 2023 |title=Trump calls Biden the 'destroyer' of democracy despite his own efforts to overturn 2020 election |url=https://apnews.com/article/trump-biden-democracy-election-2024-f2f824f056ae9f81f4e688fe590f41b4 |url-status=live |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20231215220821/https://apnews.com/article/trump-biden-democracy-election-2024-f2f824f056ae9f81f4e688fe590f41b4 |archive-date=December 15, 2023 |access-date=December 16, 2023 |publisher=Associated Press}}</ref> | |||
Trump's 2024 presidential campaign was criticized by legal experts, historians, and political scientists for making increasingly ], violent, and ] statements,<ref name="Associated Press-2023-4">{{cite news |last1=Colvin |first1=Jill |last2=Barrow |first2=Bill |date=December 7, 2023 |title=Trump's vow to only be a dictator on 'day one' follows growing worry over his authoritarian rhetoric |url=https://apnews.com/article/trump-hannity-dictator-authoritarian-presidential-election-f27e7e9d7c13fabbe3ae7dd7f1235c72 |url-status=live |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20231208055611/https://apnews.com/article/trump-hannity-dictator-authoritarian-presidential-election-f27e7e9d7c13fabbe3ae7dd7f1235c72 |archive-date=December 8, 2023 |access-date=December 8, 2023 |work=Associated Press}}</ref><ref name="The New York Times-2023-2">{{cite news |last1=Bender |first1=Michael C. |last2=Gold |first2=Michael |date=November 20, 2023 |title=Trump's Dire Words Raise New Fears About His Authoritarian Bent |url=https://www.nytimes.com/2023/11/20/us/politics/trump-rhetoric-fascism.html |url-status=live |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20231208010902/https://www.nytimes.com/2023/11/20/us/politics/trump-rhetoric-fascism.html |archive-date=December 8, 2023 |access-date=December 8, 2023 |work=The New York Times}}</ref><ref name="The Guardian-2023">{{cite news |last=Stone |first=Peter |title='Openly authoritarian campaign': Trump's threats of revenge fuel alarm |url=https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/2023/nov/22/trump-revenge-game-plan-alarm |work=The Guardian |date=November 22, 2023 |access-date=December 9, 2023 |archive-date=November 27, 2023 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20231127003512/https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/2023/nov/22/trump-revenge-game-plan-alarm |url-status=live}}</ref>which some believe the Trump campaign was intentionally leaning into.<ref>{{cite news |title=Talk of a Trump Dictatorship Charges the American Political Debate |url=https://www.nytimes.com/2023/12/09/us/politics/trump-dictatorship.html |work=The New York Times |date=December 9, 2023 |last1=Baker |first1=Peter|access-date=December 9, 2023|archive-date=December 9, 2023|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20231209203046/https://www.nytimes.com/2023/12/09/us/politics/trump-dictatorship.html|url-status=live|url-access=subscription}}</ref> Trump's platform calls for the vast expansion of presidential powers and the executive branch over every part of the federal government.<ref>{{Cite news |last1=Savage |first1=Charlie |date=April 24, 2024 |title=Trump's Immunity Claim Joins His Plans to Increase Executive Power |work=The New York Times |url=https://www.nytimes.com/2024/04/24/us/trump-immunity-president-supreme-court.html |access-date=April 24, 2024 |archive-date=April 24, 2024 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20240424183452/https://www.nytimes.com/2024/04/24/us/trump-immunity-president-supreme-court.html |url-status=live}}</ref> Trump called for stripping employment protections for thousands of career civil service employees (a provision known as ] that had been adopted by Trump at the end of 2020) and replacing them with political loyalists if deemed an "obstacle to his agenda" within federal agencies, the ], ], and ].<ref>{{cite news |last1=Swan |first1=Jonathan |last2=Savage |first2=Charlie |last3=Maggie |first3=Haberman |url=https://www.nytimes.com/2023/07/17/us/politics/trump-plans-2025.html |title=Trump and Allies Forge Plans to Increase Presidential Power in 2025 |work=] |date=July 17, 2023 |access-date=December 6, 2023 |archive-date=November 13, 2023 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20231113042523/https://www.nytimes.com/2023/07/17/us/politics/trump-plans-2025.html |url-status=live}}</ref> Trump repeatedly stated his intention to have the Justice Department investigate and arrest his domestic political rivals, judges, prosecutors, and witnesses involved in his criminal trials.<ref>{{Cite news |last=Liptak |first=Adam |date=June 5, 2024 |title=Trump's Vows to Prosecute Rivals Put Rule of Law on the Ballot |work=The New York Times |url=https://www.nytimes.com/2024/06/05/us/trump-retribution-justice.html|url-access=subscription|access-date=June 9, 2024|archive-date=June 9, 2024|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20240609020425/https://www.nytimes.com/2024/06/05/us/trump-retribution-justice.html|url-status=live}}</ref><ref>{{cite news |last=Peter |first=Stone |url=https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/2023/nov/10/trump-fbi-rivals-2024-election |title=Trump suggests he would use FBI to go after political rivals if elected in 2024 |work=The Guardian |date=November 10, 2023|access-date=January 6, 2024|archive-date=June 7, 2024|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20240607095354/https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/2023/nov/10/trump-fbi-rivals-2024-election|url-status=live}}</ref><ref>{{cite news |url=https://www.nytimes.com/2024/04/27/magazine/trump-rallies-rhetoric.html |title=Donald Trump Has Never Sounded Like This |work=New York Magazine |date=April 27, 2024|access-date=April 27, 2024 |last1=Homans |first1=Charles|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20240719002646/https://www.nytimes.com/2024/04/27/magazine/trump-rallies-rhetoric.html|archive-date=July 19, 2024|url-status=live}}</ref> Calling the ] a "day of love", Trump promised to ] and called them "hostages" and "great, great patriots".<ref>{{cite news |last1=FitzGerald |first1=James |date=October 17, 2024 |title=Trump calls 6 January 'day of love' when asked about Capitol riot |url=https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/ckgnxej1dn0o |publisher=BBC News}}</ref><ref>{{cite news |last=Weissert |first=Will |date=January 4, 2024 |title=One attack, two interpretations: Biden and Trump both make the Jan. 6 riot a political rallying cry |url=https://apnews.com/article/biden-trump-january-6-anniversary-speech-campaign-0777d1f89342fac32bcc230d0d854043 |url-status=live |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20240105225517/https://apnews.com/article/biden-trump-january-6-anniversary-speech-campaign-0777d1f89342fac32bcc230d0d854043 |archive-date=January 5, 2024 |access-date=January 6, 2024 |publisher=Associated Press}}</ref><ref>{{cite news |last=Mascaro |first=Lisa |date=January 6, 2024 |title=On Jan. 6 many Republicans blamed Trump for the Capitol riot. Now they endorse his presidential bid |url=https://apnews.com/article/jan-6-trump-biden-insurrection-congress-690af49cbf1f7a5696545b1ebbe45c47 |url-status=live |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20240106051107/https://apnews.com/article/jan-6-trump-biden-insurrection-congress-690af49cbf1f7a5696545b1ebbe45c47 |archive-date=January 6, 2024 |access-date=January 6, 2024 |publisher=Associated Press}}</ref><ref>{{cite news |last1=Price |first1=Michelle L. |last2=Colvin |first2=Jill |last3=Beaumont |first3=Thomas |date=January 6, 2024 |title=Trump downplays Jan. 6 on the anniversary of the Capitol siege and calls jailed rioters 'hostages' |url=https://apnews.com/article/trump-iowa-caucuses-young-conservatives-campaign-2ca7441852577795123845811b06bc06 |url-status=live |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20240106192139/https://apnews.com/article/trump-iowa-caucuses-young-conservatives-campaign-2ca7441852577795123845811b06bc06 |archive-date=January 6, 2024 |access-date=January 6, 2024 |publisher=Associated Press}}</ref> Trump played down but did not rule out violence after the 2024 election if he were not to win, stating "it depends".<ref>{{cite news |last1=Ibssa |first1=Lalee |last2=Kim |first2=Soo Rin |date=April 30, 2024 |title=Trump says 'it depends' if there will be violence if he loses 2024 election to Biden |url=https://abcnews.go.com/Politics/trump-asked-violence-loses-november-election-biden-depends/story?id=109787140 |url-status=live |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20240430182158/https://abcnews.go.com/Politics/trump-asked-violence-loses-november-election-biden-depends/story?id=109787140 |archive-date=April 30, 2024 |access-date=April 30, 2024 |publisher=ABC News}}</ref> | |||
A large number of scholars, historians, commentators, former Trump officials and generals described Trump as a fascist.{{Efn|name=Fascist}} Trump said his political opponents are a greater threat to the United States than countries such as Russia, China, and North Korea,<ref name="The Washington Post-2023"/><ref>{{cite news|last=Gold|first=Michael|url=https://www.nytimes.com/2023/11/13/us/politics/trump-vermin-rhetoric-fascists.html|title=After Calling Foes 'Vermin,' Trump Campaign Warns Its Critics Will Be 'Crushed'|work=]|date=November 13, 2023|access-date=November 16, 2023}}</ref> and urged deploying the military on American soil to fight "the enemy from within", which he describes as "radical left lunatics" and Democratic politicians such as ].<ref>{{Cite news |last=Vazquez |first=Maegan |date=October 13, 2024 |title=Trump urges using military to handle 'radical left lunatics' on Election Day |newspaper=The Washington Post |url=https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/2024/10/13/trump-military-enemies-within/ |access-date=October 13, 2024}}</ref> Trump repeatedly voiced support for outlawing political dissent and criticism he considers misleading or challenges his claims to power.<ref name="Blake 09242024">{{Cite news |last=Blake |first=Aaron |date=September 24, 2024 |title=Trump keeps talking about criminalizing dissent |url=https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/2024/09/24/trump-keeps-talking-about-criminalizing-dissent/ |access-date=October 1, 2024 |newspaper=The Washington Post |archive-date=September 27, 2024 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20240927204013/https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/2024/09/24/trump-keeps-talking-about-criminalizing-dissent/ |url-status=live}}</ref><ref name="Kapur 10132024">{{Cite news |last=Kapur |first=Sahil |date=October 13, 2024 |title='Totally illegal': Trump escalates rhetoric on outlawing political dissent and criticism |publisher=NBC News |url=https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/2024-election/totally-illegal-trump-escalates-rhetoric-outlawing-political-dissent-c-rcna174280 |access-date=October 13, 2024}}</ref> Trump previously tried to prosecute his political rivals and would have fewer checks on his power in a second term.<ref>{{Cite web |last=Bagchi |first=Aysha |date=September 12, 2024 |title=Donald Trump threatens to imprison Biden, Harris, Pelosi, and others. Experts are worried |url=https://www.usatoday.com/story/news/politics/elections/2024/09/12/trump-prosecution-threats-political-rivals/75060866007/ |access-date=September 12, 2024 |website=USA Today |language=en-US}}</ref> | |||
Project 2025 is a proposed plan by the ] to centralize power into the ] for conservative policies to be enacted without input from the judicial branch, legislative branch, or local government. The plan received some support from the Republican Party. The document was written in part by former members of the ], such as ] and ],<ref>{{Cite web |url=https://abcnews.go.com/Health/inside-project-2025-former-trump-official-outlines-hard/story?id=112521523 |title=Inside Project 2025: Former Trump official outlines hard right turn against abortion |first=Stephanie |last=Armour |publisher=ABC News|access-date=August 5, 2024|archive-date=August 5, 2024|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20240805214714/https://abcnews.go.com/Health/inside-project-2025-former-trump-official-outlines-hard/story?id=112521523|url-status=live}}</ref> while Trump stated he is unfamiliar with parts of the plan.<ref>{{Cite web |url=https://www.yahoo.com/news/russell-vought-project-2025-architect-040546649.html |title=Russell Vought, a Project 2025 architect, is ready to shock Washington if Trump wins second term |date=August 5, 2024 |website=Yahoo! News|access-date=August 5, 2024|archive-date=August 5, 2024|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20240805214714/https://www.yahoo.com/news/russell-vought-project-2025-architect-040546649.html|url-status=live}}</ref><ref>{{Cite magazine |url=https://www.newyorker.com/magazine/2024/07/22/inside-the-trump-plan-for-2025 |title=Inside the Trump Plan for 2025 |first=Jonathan |last=Blitzer |magazine=The New Yorker |date=July 15, 2024 |via=www.newyorker.com|access-date=August 5, 2024|archive-date=August 5, 2024|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20240805140633/https://www.newyorker.com/magazine/2024/07/22/inside-the-trump-plan-for-2025|url-status=live}}</ref><ref>{{Cite web |url=https://apnews.com/article/project-2025-heritage-foundation-trump-e2674ea34da786d85e97c0908b0b98a8 |title=Project 2025 shakes up leadership after criticism from Democrats and Trump, but says work goes on |date=July 30, 2024 |publisher=Associated Press|access-date=August 5, 2024|archive-date=August 5, 2024|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20240805205825/https://apnews.com/article/project-2025-heritage-foundation-trump-e2674ea34da786d85e97c0908b0b98a8|url-status=live}}</ref> | |||
Harris was tasked by Biden with protecting democracy through voting rights legislation through her work on the ]. Harris supported efforts to defend election workers and counter ].<ref name="The New York Times-2024-3" /> Harris also stated her support to pass the ] and ] if elected.<ref>{{Cite news |last=Berman |first=Ari |date=August 6, 2024 |title=As the Voting Rights Act Nears 60, Conservative Judges Are Gutting It From Every Angle |url=https://www.motherjones.com/politics/2024/08/as-the-voting-rights-act-turns-59-supreme-court-trump/ |url-status=live |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20240807014105/https://www.motherjones.com/politics/2024/08/as-the-voting-rights-act-turns-59-supreme-court-trump/ |archive-date=August 7, 2024 |access-date=August 24, 2024 |work=]}}</ref> | |||
=== Economic issues === | |||
{{Main|Economy of the United States}} | |||
{{Further|Kamala Harris 2024 presidential campaign#Economy|Donald Trump 2024 presidential campaign#Economy and trade|U.S. federal government response to the COVID-19 pandemic}} | |||
], with the gray column indicating the ]]] | |||
Voters consistently cited the economy as their top issue in the 2024 election.<ref name="pew">{{cite news |date=September 9, 2024 |title=Issues and the 2024 election |url=https://www.pewresearch.org/politics/2024/09/09/issues-and-the-2024-election/ |publisher=]}}</ref> Following the COVID-19 pandemic, ] ensued that raised prices on many goods, although the U.S. inflation rate had declined significantly during 2023 and 2024.<ref>{{Cite news |last=Goldmacher |first=Shane |date=October 17, 2022 |title=Republicans Gain Edge as Voters Worry About Economy, Times/Siena Poll Finds |work=] |url=https://www.nytimes.com/2022/10/17/us/politics/republicans-economy-nyt-siena-poll.html |access-date=October 21, 2022|archive-date=October 20, 2022|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20221020235453/https://www.nytimes.com/2022/10/17/us/politics/republicans-economy-nyt-siena-poll.html |url-status=live}}</ref><ref>{{Cite web |last=Montanaro |first=Domenico |date=March 29, 2023 |title=Poll: Dangers for both parties on the economy, crime and transgender rights |url=https://www.npr.org/2023/03/29/1166486046/poll-economy-inflation-transgender-rights-republicans-democrats-biden |access-date=May 10, 2023 |publisher=] |archive-date=March 29, 2023 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20230329090442/https://www.npr.org/2023/03/29/1166486046/poll-economy-inflation-transgender-rights-republicans-democrats-biden |url-status=live}}</ref><ref>{{Cite web |url=https://www.newsweek.com/election-2024-poll-how-voters-feel-about-key-issues-1813658 |title=Election 2024 poll: How voters feel about key issues |first=Darragh |last=Roche |date=July 19, 2023 |website=Newsweek|access-date=January 26, 2024|archive-date=January 26, 2024|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20240126202104/https://www.newsweek.com/election-2024-poll-how-voters-feel-about-key-issues-1813658|url-status=live}}</ref> ''The New York Times'' reported that both candidates "embraced a vision of a powerful federal government, using its muscle to intervene in markets in pursuit of a stronger and more prosperous economy".<ref name="The New York Times-2024-8" /> '']'' reported that economists found Trump's proposed policies created a greater risk of stoking inflation and generating higher budget deficits, relative to the Harris plan.<ref>{{cite news |last1=Timiraos |first1=Nick |title=Economists Warn of New Inflation Hazards After Election |url=https://www.wsj.com/economy/trump-harris-election-inflation-0797554a?mod=hp_lead_pos1 |work=The Wall Street Journal |date=October 28, 2024}}</ref> Twenty-three Nobel Prize-winning economists signed a letter characterizing the Harris economic plan as "vastly superior" to the Trump plan.<ref>{{cite news |last1=Mattingly |first1=Phil |title=23 Nobel Prize-winning economists call Harris' economic plan 'vastly superior' to Trump's |url=https://edition.cnn.com/2024/10/23/politics/nobel-prize-economists-harris-economic-plan/index.html |publisher=CNN |date=October 23, 2024}}</ref> Trump's designated government efficiency leader ] said in October that he expected Trump's plan would involve more than $2 trillion in federal spending cuts and would cause "some temporary hardship."<ref>{{cite news |last1=Romm |first1=Tony |title=Musk's plan to cut $2 trillion in U.S. spending could bring economic turmoil |url=https://www.washingtonpost.com/business/2024/10/29/elon-musk-2-trillion-budget-cuts-trump-election/ |newspaper=The Washington Post |date=October 29, 2024}}</ref><ref>{{cite news |last1=Rappeport |first1=Alan |last2=Schleifer |first2=Theodore |title=Elon Musk Sees Trump's Economic Plans Causing 'Temporary Hardship' |url=https://www.nytimes.com/2024/10/29/us/politics/elon-musk-trump-economy-hardship.html |work=The New York Times |date=October 29, 2024}}</ref> Harris ran on a pro-union platform.<ref>{{cite news |last=Cancryn |first=Adam |title=Harris' blue-collar pitch: New candidate, same pro-labor policies |work=Politico |url=https://www.politico.com/news/2024/08/07/harris-blue-collar-labor-detroit-00173066 |date=August 7, 2024 |access-date=August 8, 2024 |archive-date=August 8, 2024 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20240808175114/https://www.politico.com/web/20240808175114/https://www.politico.com/news/2024/08/07/harris-blue-collar-labor-detroit-00173066 |url-status=live}}</ref> She promoted the passage of the ], funding for small business, and previously supported an act as senator to provide a $6,000 tax credit for middle and low-income families.<ref name="The New York Times-2024-3" /> Harris promised to address ], bring down costs, ban hidden fees and late charges from financial institutions, limit "unfair" rent increases and cap prescription drug costs, which she said would "lower costs and save many middle-class families thousands of dollars a year".<ref>{{cite news |last1=Messerly |first1=Megan |last2=Cancryn |first2=Adam |last3=Schneider |first3=Elena |title=Everything was going Kamala Harris' way. Then came the market sell-off. |work=Politico |url=https://www.politico.com/news/2024/08/06/market-sell-off-democrats-harris-00172740 |date=August 6, 2024 |access-date=August 6, 2024 |archive-date=August 6, 2024 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20240806202050/https://www.politico.com/news/2024/08/06/market-sell-off-democrats-harris-00172740 |url-status=live}}</ref> | |||
''The New York Times'' described Harris' economic policy as embracing "the idea that the federal government must act aggressively to foster competition and correct distortions in private markets". Harris proposed raising taxes on corporations and high-earners to fund services for the lower and middle classes and reduce the deficit.<ref name="The New York Times-2024-8" /> Harris stated she supported increasing the top tier capital gains tax rate to 28%, up from 20% and lower than Biden's proposed 39.6%. Harris stated her support for a Billionaire Minimum Income Tax, increasing the tax on stock buybacks to 4%, and a ten-fold tax reduction for small business ranging from $5,000 to $50,000 in relief.<ref>{{cite news |last1=Tausche |first1=Kayla |last2=Luhby |first2=Tami |last3=Williams |first3=Michael |title=Harris breaks with Biden on capital gains tax, proposing a smaller increase |work=CNN |url=https://www.cnn.com/2024/09/04/politics/kamala-harris-capital-gains-tax/index.html |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20240904211922/https://www.cnn.com/2024/09/04/politics/kamala-harris-capital-gains-tax/index.html|archive-date=September 4, 2024|url-status=live}}</ref> Harris also supported efforts to create a tax on unrealized gains for those with more than a $100 million in net worth if they do not pay a minimum 25% tax rate on their income inclusive of unrealized gains so long as 80% of said wealth is in tradeable assets. The plan would impact a small percentage of the wealthy in the United States, and '']'' reported most tech founders and investors would be spared.<ref>{{cite news |last=Primack |first=Dan |title=The reality of Kamala Harris' plan to tax unrealized capital gains |work=Axios |url=https://www.axios.com/2024/08/23/kamala-harris-unrealized-capital-gains-tax |date=August 23, 2024 |access-date=August 23, 2024 |archive-date=August 29, 2024 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20240829214737/https://www.axios.com/2024/08/23/kamala-harris-unrealized-capital-gains-tax |url-status=live}}</ref> Harris also announced support for restoring the corporate tax rate to 28% among several other tax proposals to raise taxes and close loopholes for corporations and the wealthy that would bring in $5 trillion in additional revenue over 10 years.<ref>{{cite news |last1=Duehren |first1=Andrew |title=What We Know About Kamala Harris's $5 Trillion Tax Plan So Far |url=https://www.nytimes.com/2024/08/22/us/politics/kamala-harris-tax-plan.html |work=The New York Times |date=August 22, 2024 |archive-date=August 23, 2024|archive-url= https://web.archive.org/web/20240823164100/https://www.nytimes.com/2024/08/22/us/politics/kamala-harris-tax-plan.html |url-status=live}}</ref> Harris proposed tax breaks to companies delivering economic benefit, such as manufacturing technologies that ] and building ], and proposed a ban on corporate price gouging to "help the food industry become more competitive".<ref name="The New York Times-2024-8">{{Cite news |last=Tankersley |first=Jim |date=August 16, 2024 |title=Harris and Trump Offer a Clear Contrast on the Economy |url=https://www.nytimes.com/2024/08/16/business/economy/harris-trump-economy-inflation.html |url-status=live |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20240817002443/https://www.nytimes.com/2024/08/16/business/economy/harris-trump-economy-inflation.html |archive-date=August 17, 2024 |access-date=August 16, 2024 |work=The New York Times}}</ref> Harris also expressed support for student debt relief,<ref name="CNN-2024-2">{{Cite news |last=Luhby |first=Tami |date=July 28, 2024 |title=Harris and Trump want to strengthen the middle class. It could use the help |url=https://www.cnn.com/2024/07/28/politics/kamala-harris-trump-middle-class/index.html |url-status=live |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20240730172716/https://www.cnn.com/2024/07/28/politics/kamala-harris-trump-middle-class/index.html |archive-date=July 30, 2024 |access-date=August 1, 2024 |work=CNN}}</ref> and said she supported raising the ].<ref name="nytaug11">{{cite news |first1=Nicholas |last1=Nehamas |first2=Reid J. |last2=Epstein |first3=Kellen |last3=Browning|access-date=August 11, 2024 |title=Rallying in Las Vegas, Harris Pledges to End Federal Taxes on Tips |url=https://www.nytimes.com/2024/08/10/us/politics/harris-trump-taxes-tips.html |newspaper=] |date=August 11, 2024 |via=NYTimes.com|archive-date=August 11, 2024|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20240811043551/https://www.nytimes.com/2024/08/10/us/politics/harris-trump-taxes-tips.html|url-status=live}}</ref> | |||
In response to the ], Harris said she would increase home construction to reduce housing costs, arguing that it negatively impacts the economy and hurts working-class families. Harris proposed directing $40 billion to construction companies to build starter homes, and promised to send $25,000 in down-payment assistance to every first time home buyer.<ref name="The New York Times-2024-8" /> Harris said she would urge Congress to enforce fair housing laws and pass a bill to bar property owners from using services that "coordinate" rents through the passage of the Preventing the Algorithmic Facilitation of Rental Housing Cartels Act, and also call on Congress to pass the Stop Predatory Investing Act by removing tax benefits to Wall Street firms that buy up large numbers of single-family homes.<ref>{{Cite news |last=Sherman |first=Natalie |date=August 16, 2024 |title=New homes and end to price-gouging: Harris sets economic goals |publisher=BBC News |url=https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/cy8xqy0jv24o |access-date=August 17, 2024 |archive-date=August 17, 2024 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20240817055831/https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/cy8xqy0jv24o |url-status=live}}</ref><ref>{{Cite news |last=Alcindor |first=Yamiche |date=August 15, 2024 |title=Harris to endorse protections for renters and removal of key tax benefits for Wall St. investors buying homes |publisher=NBC News |url=https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/2024-election/harris-endorse-protections-renters-removal-key-tax-benefits-wall-st-in-rcna166821 |access-date=August 17, 2024 |archive-date=August 17, 2024 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20240817095136/https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/2024-election/harris-endorse-protections-renters-removal-key-tax-benefits-wall-st-in-rcna166821 |url-status=live}}</ref> Trump proposed further individual and corporate tax cuts beyond the ].<ref>{{cite news |last1=Oliphant |first1=James |last2=Slattery |first2=Gram |url=https://www.reuters.com/world/us/payback-time-trump-plans-mass-firings-deportations-second-term-2023-11-14/ |title=Trump's second-term agenda: deportations, trade wars, drug dealer death penalty |work=] |date=April 24, 2024 |access-date=April 27, 2024 |archive-date=December 5, 2023 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20231205184238/https://www.reuters.com/world/us/payback-time-trump-plans-mass-firings-deportations-second-term-2023-11-14/ |url-status=live}}</ref> Trump argued that keeping taxes low for the wealthy increases job creation,<ref>{{cite news |last1=Boak |first1=Josh |last2=Colvin |first2=Jill |date=April 15, 2024 |title=Tax Day reveals a major split in how Joe Biden and Donald Trump would govern |url=https://apnews.com/article/trump-biden-income-taxes-irs-returns-filings-55d3031de64251169eb247f52430618d |url-status=live |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20240427184733/https://apnews.com/article/trump-biden-income-taxes-irs-returns-filings-55d3031de64251169eb247f52430618d |archive-date=April 27, 2024 |access-date=April 27, 2024 |publisher=Associated Press}}</ref> and that these policies coupled with a crackdown in illegal immigration and reduction in inflation would help the middle class.<ref name="CNN-2024-2" /> Trump said he would reduce regulation of business through the creation of an efficiency commission led by Musk,<ref>{{Cite web|url=https://edition.cnn.com/2024/09/05/politics/trump-economic-plans-musk-government-commission/index.html|title=Trump says Elon Musk has agreed to lead proposed government efficiency commission as ex-president unveils new economic plans|first1=Alayna|last1=Treene|first2=Tami|last2=Luhby|first3=Katie|last3=Lobosco|first4=Steve|last4=Contorno|first5=Kate|last5=Sullivan|date=September 5, 2024|website=CNN|access-date=September 9, 2024|archive-date=September 9, 2024|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20240909140617/https://edition.cnn.com/2024/09/05/politics/trump-economic-plans-musk-government-commission/index.html|url-status=live}}</ref> along with reducing environmental regulation. By October 2024, Musk was Trump's second-largest individual campaign donor.<ref>{{cite news |last1=Durkee |first1=Alison |title=Elon Musk Is Now Trump's 2nd-Biggest Financial Backer: Donates Nearly $120 Million To Super PAC |url=https://www.forbes.com/sites/alisondurkee/2024/10/24/elon-musk-donates-another-436-million-to-pro-trump-america-pac/ |work=] |date=October 25, 2024}}</ref> Trump said deporting millions of immigrants would bring housing prices down, although most economists argue it could raise prices by removing construction workers who use less real estate.<ref name="The New York Times-2024-8" /><ref name=":6">{{Cite news |last1=Smialek |first1=Jeanna |last2=DePillis |first2=Lydia |last3=Rodriguez |first3=Natasha |date=October 11, 2024 |title=Trump Blames Immigrant Surge for Housing Crisis. Most Economists Disagree. |url=https://www.nytimes.com/2024/10/11/business/economy/trump-housing-crisis-deportations.html |work=]}}</ref> Trump and Harris support not taxing tips for at least hospitality and service workers.<ref name="nytaug11" /><ref>{{Cite web |last=Grabenstein |first=Hannah |date=September 4, 2024 |title=Killing taxes on tips sounds good, but experts say it doesn't solve the real problem |url=https://www.pbs.org/newshour/economy/trump-and-harris-say-theyll-kill-taxes-on-tips-how-would-that-work |access-date=October 12, 2024 |website=PBS News |language=en-us}}</ref> Trump suggested that he would abolish the federal income tax and replace it with tariffs. In June 2024, Trump discussed the idea of eliminating the income tax in a private meeting with Republican politicians.<ref>{{Cite web |url=https://www.cnbc.com/2024/06/13/trump-all-tariff-policy-to-replace-income-tax.html |title=Trump floats eliminating U.S. income tax and replacing it with tariffs on imports |first1=Emily |last1=Wilkins |first2=Kevin |last2=Breuninger |date=June 13, 2024 |website=] |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20241009065041/https://www.cnbc.com/2024/06/13/trump-all-tariff-policy-to-replace-income-tax.html |archive-date=October 9, 2024}}</ref> In October 2024, Trump suggested that he would scrap the income tax if he wins, pointing out that tariffs were the main sources of revenue in the 19th century.<ref>{{Cite web |url=https://www.telegraph.co.uk/us/politics/2024/10/24/donald-trump-suggests-abolish-federal-income-tax-entirely/ |title=Donald Trump suggests he may abolish income tax |work=] |first=Joe |last=Barnes |date=October 24, 2024 |access-date=November 1, 2024}}</ref> | |||
Trump's stated trade policy involves the United States decoupling from the global economy and having the country become more self-contained and exerting its power through individual trade dealings. This would be attempted largely through a universal baseline tariff,<ref name="The New York Times-2023-6" /> set from 10% to 20% on all imports,<ref name="Axios-2024" /><ref>{{cite news |last1=Alicia |first1=Wallace |title=Harris and Trump both hate inflation. Their economic proposals could cause prices to go higher |work=CNN |url=https://www.cnn.com/2024/08/19/economy/trump-harris-inflation/index.html |date=August 19, 2024 |access-date=August 19, 2024| archive-date=August 21, 2024 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20240821132308/https://www.cnn.com/2024/08/19/economy/trump-harris-inflation/index.html|url-status=live}}</ref> with increased penalties if trade partners manipulate their currency or engage in unfair trade practices.<ref name="Associated Press-2023" /> Trump called for 100% tariffs on cars made outside the United States and a minimum 60% tariff on Chinese goods.<ref name="Axios-2024">{{cite news |title=Trump's inflation bomb: How his second-term plans could make it worse |url=https://www.axios.com/2024/05/08/trump-biden-2024-economy-inflation |work=Axios |date=May 8, 2024|access-date=May 11, 2024 |last1=Basu |first1=Zachary|archive-date=May 11, 2024|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20240511021720/https://www.axios.com/2024/05/08/trump-biden-2024-economy-inflation|url-status=live}}</ref> Trump stated his plans to urge Congress to pass a Trump Reciprocal Trade Act to bestow presidential authority to impose a reciprocal tariff on any country that imposed one on the United States.<ref name="Associated Press-2023" /> ''The Washington Post'' reported in January 2024 that Trump was preparing for a massive trade war.<ref>{{cite news |last1=Stein |first1=Jeff |title=Donald Trump is preparing for a massive new trade war with China |url=https://www.washingtonpost.com/business/2024/01/27/trump-china-trade-war/ |newspaper=The Washington Post |date=January 27, 2024 |access-date=April 4, 2024 |archive-date=January 27, 2024 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20240127180735/https://www.washingtonpost.com/business/2024/01/27/trump-china-trade-war/ |url-status=live}}</ref> Trump's trade policies were described as ],<ref>{{cite news |title=Donald Trump's second term would be a protectionist nightmare |url=https://www.economist.com/finance-and-economics/2023/10/31/donald-trumps-second-term-would-be-a-protectionist-nightmare |newspaper=The Economist |date=October 31, 2023 |access-date=May 11, 2024 |archive-date=May 12, 2024 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20240512030659/https://www.economist.com/finance-and-economics/2023/10/31/donald-trumps-second-term-would-be-a-protectionist-nightmare |url-status=live}}</ref> neo-], or ],<ref name="The New York Times-2023-6">{{cite news |title=A New Tax on Imports and a Split From China: Trump's 2025 Trade Agenda |url-access=subscription |url=https://www.nytimes.com/2023/12/26/us/politics/trump-2025-trade-china.html |work=The New York Times |date=December 26, 2023|access-date=December 10, 2023 |last1=Savage |first1=Charlie |last2=Swan |first2=Jonathan |last3=Haberman |first3=Maggie|archive-date=December 26, 2023|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20231226104124/https://www.nytimes.com/2023/12/26/us/politics/trump-2025-trade-china.html|url-status=live}}</ref><ref>{{cite journal |doi=10.1093/isr/viaa092 |title=The Return of National Self-Sufficiency? Excavating Autarkic Thought in a De-Globalizing Era |year=2021 |last=Helleiner |first=Eric |journal=International Studies Review |volume=23 |issue=3 |pages=933–957 | doi-access=free |issn=1468-2486}}</ref> and increasing inflation became a more common critique of Trump's economic plans.<ref>{{Cite web |last=Levitz |first=Eric |date=April 24, 2024 |title=Trump's team keeps promising to increase inflation |url=https://www.vox.com/2024-elections/24137666/trump-agenda-inflation-prices-dollar-devaluation-tariffs |access-date=July 23, 2024 |website=Vox |language=en-US |archive-date=July 10, 2024 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20240710050420/https://www.vox.com/2024-elections/24137666/trump-agenda-inflation-prices-dollar-devaluation-tariffs |url-status=live}}</ref><ref>{{Cite news |last=Burns |first=Tobias |date=July 10, 2024 |title=Experts see potential for higher inflation under Trump |url=https://thehill.com/business/4762000-higher-inflation-trump-possible-experts/ |work=The Hill |quote=A growing number of investors and economists see inflation rising if former President Trump and Republicans sweep the upcoming elections. As Trump opens a wider lead in polling over President Biden, economic experts say his proposed tax and tariff policies could lead to higher prices, after more than two years of the incumbent fighting inflation. |access-date=July 31, 2024 |archive-date=July 23, 2024 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20240723181956/https://thehill.com/business/4762000-higher-inflation-trump-possible-experts/ |url-status=live}}</ref><ref>{{Cite web |last=Wiseman |first=Paul |date=May 21, 2024 |title=Trump or Biden? Either way, US seems poised to preserve heavy tariffs on imports |url=https://apnews.com/article/trump-biden-trade-tariffs-china-inflation-1c17b1d223080b7a594326905380845a |url-status=live |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20240521101833/https://apnews.com/article/trump-biden-trade-tariffs-china-inflation-1c17b1d223080b7a594326905380845a |archive-date=May 21, 2024 |access-date=July 12, 2024 |publisher=Associated Press |quote=Trump has vowed more of the same in a second term. He's threatening to impose a 10% tariff on all imports—and a 60% tax on Chinese goods ... Mark Zandi, chief economist at Moody's Analytics, warns that the consequences would be damaging. Trump's tariff plans, Zandi said, 'would spark higher inflation, reduce GDP and jobs and increase unemployment, all else equal.'}}</ref><ref>{{Cite news |date=July 11, 2024 |title=Trumponomics would not be as bad as most expect |url=https://www.economist.com/finance-and-economics/2024/07/11/trumponomics-would-not-be-as-bad-as-most-expect |access-date=July 23, 2024 |newspaper=The Economist |archive-date=August 8, 2024 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20240808041441/https://www.economist.com/finance-and-economics/2024/07/11/trumponomics-would-not-be-as-bad-as-most-expect |url-status=live}}</ref> In June 2024, 16 ] laureates signed an open letter arguing that Trump's fiscal and trade policies coupled with efforts to limit the ]'s independence would reignite inflation in the United States.<ref>{{cite news |last=Nichols |first=Hans |date=June 25, 2024 |title=Scoop: 16 Nobel economists see a Trump inflation bomb |url=https://www.axios.com/2024/06/25/nobel-prize-winners-biden-economy-trump-inflation |access-date=June 26, 2024 |website=Axios |publisher=Cox Enterprises}}</ref><ref>{{cite news |last=Picciotto |first=Rebecca |date=June 25, 2024 |title=Sixteen Nobel Prize-winning economists warn a second Trump term would 'reignite' inflation |url=https://www.cnbc.com/2024/06/25/nobel-prize-economists-warn-trump-inflation.html |access-date=June 26, 2024 |publisher=CNBC |archive-date=June 26, 2024 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20240626002547/https://www.cnbc.com/2024/06/25/nobel-prize-economists-warn-trump-inflation.html |url-status=live}}</ref><ref>{{Cite web |last=Picchi |first=Aimee |date=June 25, 2024 |title=16 Nobel Prize-winning economists warn that Trump's economic plans could reignite inflation |url=https://www.cbsnews.com/news/trump-economy-nobel-prize-winners-letter-inflation-warning/ |url-status=live |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20240709175720/https://www.cbsnews.com/news/trump-economy-nobel-prize-winners-letter-inflation-warning/ |archive-date=July 9, 2024 |access-date=July 12, 2024 |website=www.cbsnews.com |language=en-US |quote=Trump's policies could prove to be inflationary, other economists also warned, such as his proposal to create a 10% across-the-board tariff on all imports to deporting immigrants. The tariff plan would add $1,700 in annual costs for the typical U.S. household, essentially acting as an inflationary tax, according to experts at the Peterson Institute for International Economics.}}</ref> ],<ref>{{Cite news |last=Bade |first=Gavin |date=August 4, 2024 |title=Trump's trade guru plots an even more disruptive second term |url=https://www.politico.com/news/2024/08/04/robert-lighthizer-trump-adviser-trade-00172530 |work=Politico |access-date=August 5, 2024 |archive-date=August 4, 2024 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20240804190644/https://www.politico.com/news/2024/08/04/robert-lighthizer-trump-adviser-trade-00172530 |url-status=live}}</ref> as well as most economists surveyed by ''The Wall Street Journal'' in July 2024, predicted that inflation would be worse under Trump than Biden, a result due in part to tariffs, a crack down on illegal immigration, and larger deficits.<ref>{{Cite news |last1=Kiernan |first1=Paul |last2=DeBarros |first2=Anthony |date=July 11, 2024 |title=Economists Say Inflation Would Be Worse Under Trump Than Biden |url=https://www.wsj.com/economy/economists-say-inflation-would-be-worse-under-trump-than-biden-263bc900 |work=The Wall Street Journal |quote=Conducted July 5–9 ... of the 50 who answered questions about Trump and Biden 56% said inflation would be higher under another Trump term than a Biden term, versus 16% who said the opposite ... Fifty-one percent of economists anticipate larger federal budget deficits under a Trump presidency, compared to 22% under Biden. |access-date=July 31, 2024 |archive-date=August 2, 2024 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20240802080650/https://www.wsj.com/economy/economists-say-inflation-would-be-worse-under-trump-than-biden-263bc900 |url-status=live}}</ref> Trump incorrectly insisted foreign exporters pay tariffs imposed by the U.S. government; American importers pay tariffs on goods upon arrival at U.S. ports, meaning tariffs are taxes that raise prices for imported products Americans buy.<ref>{{cite news |last1=Wiseman |first1=Paul |title=Trump favors huge new tariffs. What are they, and how do they work? |url=https://apnews.com/article/tariffs-trump-taxes-imports-inflation-consumers-prices-c2eef295a078a76ce2bb7fedb0c5e58c |publisher=Associated Press |date=September 27, 2024|quote=Tariffs are a tax on imports ... Trump insists that tariffs are paid for by foreign countries. In fact, {{sic|nolink=y|its}} is importers—American companies—that pay tariffs, and the money goes to U.S. Treasury. Those companies, in turn, typically pass their higher costs on to their customers in the form of higher prices. That's why economists say consumers usually end up footing the bill for tariffs.}}</ref><ref>{{cite news |title=Federal government current tax receipts: Taxes on production and imports: Customs duties |url=https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/B235RC1Q027SBEA |publisher=] |date=September 26, 2024}}</ref><ref name=":2">{{Cite web |last=Chu |first=Ben |date=October 14, 2024 |title=Would Donald Trump's taxes on trade hurt US consumers? |url=https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/c20myx1erl6o |access-date=October 15, 2024 |publisher=BBC |language=en-GB}}</ref> One non-partisan analysis estimated the proposed tariffs would cost $1,700 per year for the average household.<ref name=":2" /> The ] Trump initiated in 2018 by imposing ] on China was widely characterized as a failure for the United States by the end of Trump's presidency.<ref>Multiple sources: | |||
* {{Cite news|url=https://www.economist.com/graphic-detail/2021/02/10/new-data-show-the-failures-of-donald-trumps-china-trade-strategy|title=New data show the failures of Donald Trump's China trade strategy|date=February 10, 2021|newspaper=]}} | |||
* {{cite news |title=How China Won Trump's Trade War and Got Americans to Foot the Bill |url=https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2021-01-11/how-china-won-trump-s-good-and-easy-to-win-trade-war |work=] |date=January 11, 2021}} | |||
* {{cite web |title=More pain than gain: How the US-China trade war hurt America|last1=Hass |first1=Ryan |url=https://www.brookings.edu/blog/order-from-chaos/2020/08/07/more-pain-than-gain-how-the-us-china-trade-war-hurt-america/ |publisher=Brookings Institution |date=August 7, 2020}} | |||
* {{Cite web |title=China Trade War Didn't Boost U.S. Manufacturing Might|url=https://www.wsj.com/articles/china-trade-war-didnt-boost-u-s-manufacturing-might-11603618203|first1=Josh|last1=Zumbrun|first2=Bob|last2=Davis|date=October 25, 2020|work=]}} | |||
* {{cite web |title=Why Did Donald Trump's Trade War on China Fail? |last1=Lester |first1=Simon |url=https://www.cato.org/commentary/why-did-donald-trumps-trade-war-china-fail |publisher=Cato Institute |date=January 25, 2021}} | |||
* {{Cite web |title=Analysis: Trump promised to win the trade war with China. He failed|url=https://www.cnn.com/2020/10/24/economy/us-china-trade-war-intl-hnk/index.html|first=Jill|last=Disis|website=]|date=October 25, 2020}} | |||
* {{Cite web |title=The centerpiece of Trump's trade deal with China 'failed spectacularly'|url=https://fortune.com/2021/02/09/trump-china-trade-deal-exports-failed-spectacularly/|work=]|first=Naomi|last=Elegant|date=February 8, 2021}} | |||
* {{cite web |title=Trump's economic legacy: Trade wars, tariffs and tax breaks|last1=White |first1=Martha |url=https://www.nbcnews.com/business/business-news/trump-s-economic-legacy-trade-wars-tariffs-tax-breaks-n1254716 |publisher=] |date=January 20, 2021}} | |||
* {{cite web |title=Trump Promised a 'Good and Easy To Win' Trade War, Then Lost It|last1=Boehm |first1=Eric |url=https://reason.com/2021/01/19/trump-promised-a-good-and-easy-to-win-trade-war-then-lost-it/ |work=Reason |date=January 19, 2021}} | |||
* {{cite web |title=Trump's Protectionist Failure |last1=Gramm |first1=Phil |url=https://www.wsj.com/articles/trumps-protectionist-failure-11614709570 |work=] |date=March 2, 2021}}</ref> The ] found that Trump's plans would grow the national debt at roughly twice the rate of Harris' plan,<ref>{{Cite news |last=Rubin |first=Richard |date=October 7, 2024 |title=Trump's Plan Boosts Budget Deficits by $7.5 Trillion, Double Harris's Proposal |url=https://www.msn.com/en-us/news/politics/trump-s-plan-boosts-budget-deficits-by-75-trillion-double-harris-s-proposal/ar-AA1rNYyr |work=Wall Street Journal |via=MSN.com}}</ref> while the ] found Trump's plan would only benefit the top 5% of earners.<ref>{{Cite news |last1=Duehren |first1=Andrew |last2=Rappeport |first2=Alan |date=October 7, 2024 |title=Trump's Plans Could Increase U.S. Debt While Raising Costs for Most Americans |url=https://www.nytimes.com/2024/10/07/us/politics/trump-economic-plans-debt-costs.html?campaign_id=56&emc=edit_cn_20241007&instance_id=136283&nl=on-politics®i_id=72736460&segment_id=179852&te=1&user_id=25bc2c0fd14be5c690faf9999a50984c |work=New York Times}}</ref> | |||
=== Education === | |||
{{Main|Education in the United States}} | |||
{{Further|Donald Trump 2024 presidential campaign#Education|2020s controversies around critical race theory|Parental rights movement}} | |||
Trump pledged to terminate the ],<ref name="Associated Press-2023" /><ref>{{Cite news |last1=Sullivan |first1=Kate |last2=Lobosco |first2=Katie |date=September 13, 2023 |title=Trump wants to close the Department of Education, joining calls by GOP rivals |url=https://edition.cnn.com/2023/09/13/politics/trump-department-of-education-states-2024/index.html |access-date=September 13, 2023 |work=CNN |archive-date=September 14, 2023 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20230914084933/https://edition.cnn.com/2023/09/13/politics/trump-department-of-education-states-2024/index.html |url-status=live}}</ref><ref>{{Cite web |last=Lobosco |first=Katie |date=September 20, 2024 |title=Trump wants to shut down the Department of Education. Here's what that could mean |url=https://www.cnn.com/2024/09/20/politics/department-of-education-shut-down-trump/index.html |access-date=October 11, 2024 |work=CNN }}</ref> claiming it has been infiltrated by "radical zealots and Marxists".<ref>{{Cite news |last=McGraw |first=Meredith |date=January 26, 2023 |title=Trump unveils new education policy loaded with culture war proposals |url=https://www.politico.com/news/2023/01/26/trump-unveils-education-policy-culture-war-00079784 |url-status=live |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20231216050140/https://www.politico.com/news/2023/01/26/trump-unveils-education-policy-culture-war-00079784 |archive-date=December 16, 2023 |access-date=December 16, 2023 |work=Politico}}</ref> At the ] national convention, Harris attacked ].<ref>{{Cite news |last=Stanford |first=Libby |date=July 25, 2024 |title=Kamala Harris Rallies Teachers: 'God Knows We Don't Pay You Enough' |url=https://www.edweek.org/policy-politics/kamala-harris-rallies-teachers-god-knows-we-dont-pay-you-enough/2024/07 |access-date=August 20, 2024 |work=Education Week |language=en |issn=0277-4232 |archive-date=August 20, 2024 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20240820041348/https://www.edweek.org/policy-politics/kamala-harris-rallies-teachers-god-knows-we-dont-pay-you-enough/2024/07 |url-status=live}}</ref> She also previously called for raising teachers' wages.<ref>{{Cite news |last=Goldstein |first=Dana |date=July 25, 2024 |title=With Speech to Teachers, Harris Waded into a Fiery Education Debate |url=https://www.nytimes.com/2024/07/25/us/kamala-harris-teachers-union-speech.html |access-date=August 20, 2024 |work=The New York Times |archive-date=August 20, 2024 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20240820041348/https://www.nytimes.com/2024/07/25/us/kamala-harris-teachers-union-speech.html |url-status=live}}</ref> | |||
=== Healthcare issues === | |||
{{Further|Kamala Harris 2024 presidential campaign#Healthcare|Donald Trump 2024 presidential campaign#Healthcare and social services}} | |||
Unlike previous elections, healthcare reform played a much more minor role in the 2024 presidential election.<ref>{{Cite web |title=Why Is Health Care Reform Absent This Election? |url=https://jacobin.com/2024/11/health-care-2024-election |access-date=2024-12-19 |website=jacobin.com |language=en-US}}</ref> Harris stated that she no longer supported a ] system as she had in 2020.<ref name="CNN-2024">{{Cite news |last1=John |first1=Arit |last2=Tausche |first2=Kayla |date=July 30, 2024 |title=Harris recalibrates policy stances as she adjusts to role atop Democratic ticket |url=https://www.cnn.com/2024/07/30/politics/harris-shifts-policy-stances/index.html |url-status=live |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20240801002949/https://www.cnn.com/2024/07/30/politics/harris-shifts-policy-stances/index.html |archive-date=August 1, 2024 |access-date=August 1, 2024 |publisher=CNN}}</ref> Instead, she said she intended to protect and expand items legislated during the ] and ]s. She said she would "maintain and grow" the ], while Trump said that he would replace it with his own healthcare plan.<ref>{{Cite web|url=https://www.ajmc.com/view/harris-defends-aca-while-trump-calls-for-much-better-healthc-plan-during-debate|title=Harris Defends ACA While Trump Calls for "Much Better" Health Plan During Debate|date=September 11, 2024|website=AJMC}}</ref> Harris also supported limiting yearly out-of-pocket drug costs for seniors, and expanding the $35 cap on insulin for seniors on ] to younger individuals in the program as well.<ref name="The Hill-2024" /> Generally, both candidates supported using the government to rein in prescription drug costs.<ref>{{Cite web |last=Sanger-Katz |first=Margot |date=September 14, 2024 |title=The Campaign Issue That Isn't: Health Care Reform |url=https://www.nytimes.com/2024/09/13/upshot/election-health-care-issue.html |access-date=December 19, 2024 |website=The New York Times}}</ref> Trump suggested he was open to cutting entitlement programs, such as ] and ], part of an effort to " waste" as described by his campaign. During his first term, several budget proposals did suggest cuts to the programs.<ref>{{cite news |title=Trump Mentions Cutting Entitlements, and Biden Pounces |url=https://www.nytimes.com/2024/03/11/us/politics/trump-mentions-cutting-entitlements-and-biden-pounces.html |work=The New York Times |date=March 11, 2024 |access-date=March 11, 2024 |last=Browning |first=Kellen |archive-date=March 11, 2024 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20240311202251/https://www.nytimes.com/2024/03/11/us/politics/trump-mentions-cutting-entitlements-and-biden-pounces.html |url-status=live}}</ref><ref>{{cite news |title=Trump tees up a Biden broadside on Social Security |url=https://www.politico.com/news/2024/03/11/trump-biden-social-security-2024-elections-00146307 |work=Politico |date=March 11, 2024|access-date=March 21, 2024 |last=Cancryn |first=Adam|archive-date=March 22, 2024|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20240322002140/https://www.politico.com/news/2024/03/11/trump-biden-social-security-2024-elections-00146307|url-status=live}}</ref> Additionally, Vance and Speaker of the House ] suggested cuts to the ACA, including around ]s, were part of Trump's plan.<ref>{{Cite web |last=Scott |first=Dylan |date=October 31, 2024 |title=Republicans are serious about cutting people's health care |url=https://www.vox.com/health-care/381484/2024-election-donald-trump-health-care-mike-johnson-obamacare |access-date=October 31, 2024 |website=Vox |language=en-US}}</ref> After ] dropped out of the race and endorsed Trump, Kennedy advocated for his "Make America Healthy Again" agenda, pledging to combat the upward trend in chronic disease patients, with Trump saying Kennedy would "go wild" regarding policy on food and medicines.<ref>{{Cite news |url=https://www.washingtonpost.com/health/2024/10/18/trump-rfk-maha-health/ |title=Trump, RFK vow to 'Make America Healthy Again,' raising hopes and doubts |first1=Dan |last1=Diamond |first2=Rachel |last2=Roubein |first3=Lauren |last3=Weber |date=October 18, 2024 |newspaper=]}}</ref><ref>{{Cite web |url=https://thehill.com/homenews/campaign/4956319-trump-says-hell-let-rfk-jr-go-wild-on-health-and-food-in-potential-second-term/ |title=Trump says he'll let RFK Jr. 'go wild' on health and food in potential second term |first=Brett |last=Samuels |date=October 27, 2024 |website=] |access-date=November 1, 2024}}</ref> | |||
=== Foreign policy === | |||
{{Further|Donald Trump 2024 presidential campaign#Foreign policy|Kamala Harris 2024 presidential campaign#Foreign policy}} | |||
] signing ] in February 2022 in response to Russia's imminent invasion of Ukraine. The United States has given ] to Ukraine following the Russian invasion of the country in 2022]] | |||
The ], the ], and ] were some of the main foreign policy issues of the election. Harris signaled she would generally follow Biden's foreign policy on ] and Ukraine, supporting both in the aftermath of the Russian invasion.<ref name="The New York Times-2024-3" /><ref name="Reuters-2024-3">{{cite news |first1=Matt |last1=Spetalnick |first2=Simon |last2=Lewis |date=July 21, 2024 |title=Tougher tone on Israel, steady on NATO: how a Harris foreign policy could look |url=https://www.reuters.com/world/us/tougher-tone-israel-steady-nato-how-harris-foreign-policy-could-look-2024-07-21/ |work=Reuters |access-date=July 22, 2024}}</ref> A supporter of the ] to the Israeli-Palestinian conflict,<ref name="The New York Times-2024-3" /><ref>{{Cite news |last1=Bazail-Eimil |first1=Eric |last2=Gould |first2=Joe |last3=Herszenhorn |first3=Miles J. |last4=Kine |first4=Phelim |date=July 21, 2024 |title=What a Kamala Harris foreign policy could look like |url=https://www.politico.com/news/2024/07/21/kamala-harris-foreign-policy-00170143 |url-status=live |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20240722011118/https://www.politico.com/news/2024/07/21/kamala-harris-foreign-policy-00170143 |archive-date=July 22, 2024 |access-date=July 22, 2024 |work=Politico}}</ref> Harris was expected to continue Biden's approach;<ref name="Al Jazeera-2024">{{Cite news |date=July 22, 2024 |title=How Kamala Harris views the world: From Gaza and Russia to China and India |url=https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2024/7/22/how-kamala-harris-views-the-world-from-gaza-and-russia-to-china-and-india |url-status=live |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20240722152950/https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2024/7/22/how-kamala-harris-views-the-world-from-gaza-and-russia-to-china-and-india |archive-date=July 22, 2024 |access-date=July 22, 2024 |work=Al Jazeera}}</ref> she was seen as tougher on Israel and more sympathetic to Palestinians than Biden or Trump.<ref name="Reuters-2024-3" /> Harris advocated for "de-risking" from China, a policy that encourages reducing Western economic dependence on China.<ref>{{cite web |last=Garrity |first=Kelly |date=September 10, 2023 |title=Harris on China: We need to lead |url=https://www.politico.com/news/2023/09/10/kamala-harris-china-relationship-00114893 |url-status=live |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20240716050644/https://www.politico.com/news/2023/09/10/kamala-harris-china-relationship-00114893 |archive-date=July 16, 2024 |access-date=July 22, 2024 |website=]}}</ref> Harris was expected to continue deepening American alliances in Asia and the Pacific with the intention of curbing China's rising power both economically and militarily.<ref>{{Cite web |date=July 22, 2024 |title=A look at Harris' views on US policy toward China |url=https://www.voanews.com/a/a-look-at-harris-views-on-u-s-policy-toward-china/7709060.html |access-date=July 24, 2024 |website=]|archive-date=July 23, 2024 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20240723174055/https://www.voanews.com/a/a-look-at-harris-views-on-u-s-policy-toward-china/7709060.html |url-status=live}}</ref> | |||
Trump's 2024 campaign promoted an ] foreign policy based on "]".<ref name="The New York Times-2023-4">{{cite news |title=Fears of a NATO Withdrawal Rise as Trump Seeks a Return to Power |url-access=subscription |url=https://www.nytimes.com/2023/12/09/us/politics/trump-2025-nato.html |work=The New York Times |date=December 9, 2023|access-date=April 3, 2023 |last1=Swan |first1=Jonathan |last2=Savage |first2=Charlie |last3=Haberman |first3=Maggie|archive-date=December 10, 2023|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20231210004722/https://www.nytimes.com/2023/12/09/us/politics/trump-2025-nato.html|url-status=live}}</ref><ref>{{Cite web |last=Brownstein |first=Ronald |date=March 28, 2023 |title=In 2024, Republicans may complete a historic foreign policy reversal |url=https://www.cnn.com/2023/03/28/politics/gop-foreign-policy-debate-2024/index.html |access-date=June 29, 2023 |website=CNN |archive-date=March 28, 2023 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20230328053900/https://www.cnn.com/2023/03/28/politics/gop-foreign-policy-debate-2024/index.html |url-status=live}}</ref> Trump said that America's allies "treat us actually worse than our so-called enemies", and added: "We protect them and then they screw us on trade." He also vowed to impose ]s on trade partners; economists said this could spark ]s.<ref>{{cite news |title=Not just China, Trump 2.0 could spell trouble for U.S. allies as he doubles down on tariff talk |url=https://www.cnbc.com/2024/09/26/not-just-china-trump-2point0-could-spell-trouble-for-us-allies-as-he-doubles-down-on-tariff-talk-.html |work=] |date=September 26, 2024}}</ref> He promised to "fundamentally reevaluate" NATO, shifting the country's defense spending from Europe towards Asia.<ref name="Associated Press-2023">{{cite news |title=Trump's plans if he returns to the White House include deportation raids, tariffs and mass firings |url=https://apnews.com/article/trump-policies-agenda-election-2024-second-term-d656d8f08629a8da14a65c4075545e0f |publisher=Associated Press |date=November 12, 2023 |last1=Colvin |first1=Jill|access-date=December 10, 2023|archive-date=December 10, 2023|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20231210193036/https://apnews.com/article/trump-policies-agenda-election-2024-second-term-d656d8f08629a8da14a65c4075545e0f|url-status=live}}</ref> Although NATO members are ] any other member who is attacked, Trump said he would encourage Russia to "do whatever the hell they want" to NATO allies that did not spend enough on defense.<ref>{{cite news |last=Baker |first=Peter |title=Favoring Foes Over Friends, Trump Threatens to Upend International Order |url=https://www.nytimes.com/2024/02/11/us/politics/trump-nato.html |work=The New York Times |date=February 11, 2024|access-date=February 11, 2024|url-access=subscription|archive-date=February 20, 2024|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20240220135129/https://www.nytimes.com/2024/02/11/us/politics/trump-nato.html|url-status=live}}</ref> NATO Secretary-General ] responded: "Any suggestion that allies will not defend each other undermines all of our security."<ref>{{cite news|last1=Hayden|first1=Jones|last2=Ward|first2=Myah|last3=Cienski|first3=Jan|title=Trump says he would 'encourage' Russia to attack NATO allies who don't pay up|url=https://www.politico.eu/article/trump-says-he-would-encourage-russia-to-attack-nato-members-that-dont-pay-enough/|access-date=February 12, 2024|work=]|date=February 11, 2024|archive-date=February 11, 2024|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20240211124317/https://www.politico.eu/article/trump-says-he-would-encourage-russia-to-attack-nato-members-that-dont-pay-enough/|url-status=live}}</ref> Trump vowed that even before he was inaugurated,<ref name="AP Trump Plans">{{cite news|title=Trump's plans if he returns to the White House include deportation raids, tariffs and mass firings|url=https://apnews.com/article/trump-policies-agenda-election-2024-second-term-d656d8f08629a8da14a65c4075545e0f|publisher=Associated Press|date=November 12, 2023|last1=Colvin|first1=Jill|access-date=December 10, 2023|archive-date=December 10, 2023|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20231210193036/https://apnews.com/article/trump-policies-agenda-election-2024-second-term-d656d8f08629a8da14a65c4075545e0f|url-status=live}}</ref> he would negotiate an end to the ] in one day,<ref name="NYT NATO Withdrawal">{{cite news|title=Fears of a NATO Withdrawal Rise as Trump Seeks a Return to Power|url=https://www.nytimes.com/2023/12/09/us/politics/trump-2025-nato.html|work=The New York Times|date=December 9, 2023|access-date=December 10, 2023|last1=Swan|first1=Jonathan|last2=Savage|first2=Charlie|last3=Haberman|first3=Maggie|archive-date=December 10, 2023|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20231210004722/https://www.nytimes.com/2023/12/09/us/politics/trump-2025-nato.html|url-status=live}}</ref> He promised to quickly cut the amount of military and financial aid to Ukraine,<ref>{{cite news |title=Trump threatens to cut US aid to Ukraine quickly if reelected |url=https://www.politico.eu/article/donald-trump-ukraine-russia-war-threatens-cut-aid-election-2024/ |work=] |date=June 16, 2024|access-date=June 23, 2024 |last=Hayden |first=Jones|archive-date=June 22, 2024|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20240622225321/https://www.politico.eu/article/donald-trump-ukraine-russia-war-threatens-cut-aid-election-2024/|url-status=live}}</ref> and make Europeans reimburse the United States the cost of rebuilding its old stockpiles;<ref name="AP Trump Plans" /> however, most of the money for Ukraine actually goes to American factories that make weapons and military equipment.<ref>{{cite news |title=Biden emphasizes that majority of Ukraine aid package would be spent in U.S. |url=https://www.pbs.org/newshour/politics/biden-emphasizes-that-majority-of-ukraine-aid-package-would-be-spend-in-u-s |work=] |date=February 20, 2024}}</ref><ref>{{cite web |title=How Much U.S. Aid Is Going to Ukraine? |url=https://www.cfr.org/article/how-much-us-aid-going-ukraine |website=] |format=September 24, 2024}}</ref><ref>{{cite web |title=Fact Sheet: US Assistance to Ukraine |url=https://www.understandingwar.org/backgrounder/fact-sheet-us-assistance-ukraine |website=]}}</ref> Trump previously said he might recognize ],<ref>{{cite news |title=Trump Discussed Pulling U.S. From NATO, Aides Say Amid New Concerns Over Russia |url=https://www.nytimes.com/2019/01/14/us/politics/nato-president-trump.html |work=The New York Times |date=January 14, 2019|access-date=December 10, 2023 |last1=Barnes |first1=Julian E. |last2=Helene |first2=Cooper|archive-date=January 13, 2021|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20210113003803/https://www.nytimes.com/2019/01/14/us/politics/nato-president-trump.html|url-status=live}}</ref> and suggested the 2022 invasion could have been prevented by Ukraine giving up parts of its own country to Russia.<ref name="The New York Times-2023-4" /> Trump was seen as more pro-Israel and less sympathetic to Palestine than Biden or Harris.<ref name="auto">{{cite news |title=Where does Donald Trump stand on Israel, Palestine and the Middle East? |url=https://www.middleeasteye.net/news/donald-trump-middle-east-foreign-policy |work=] |date=November 5, 2024}}</ref> Trump promised a tougher stance against China,<ref>{{cite news |last1=Stein |first1=Jeff |title=Donald Trump is preparing for a massive new trade war with China |url=https://www.washingtonpost.com/business/2024/01/27/trump-china-trade-war/ |newspaper=The Washington Post |date=January 27, 2024|access-date=August 17, 2024|archive-date=June 13, 2024|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20240613153559/https://www.washingtonpost.com/business/2024/01/27/trump-china-trade-war/|url-status=live}}</ref> and at the same time questioned whether the United States should defend Taiwan.<ref>{{cite news |title=Taiwan braces for America's election |url=https://www.economist.com/asia/2024/08/15/taiwan-braces-for-americas-election |newspaper=The Economist |date=August 15, 2024|access-date=August 17, 2024|archive-date=August 17, 2024|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20240817014917/https://www.economist.com/asia/2024/08/15/taiwan-braces-for-americas-election|url-status=live}}</ref> Trump suggested withdrawing troops from South Korea if it does not pay more to support American troops there.<ref name="Time-2024" /> | |||
==== Israel–Hamas war views ==== | |||
] in January 2024]] | |||
{{Further|Israel–Hamas war protest vote movements|Israel–Hamas war protests in the United States}} | |||
Polling indicated that the majority of voters support a ceasefire and American mediation in the ].<ref>{{#invoke:cite news||last1=Lange|first1=Jason|last2=Spetalnick|first2=Matt|date=November 15, 2023|title=US public support for Israel drops; majority backs a ceasefire, Reuters/Ipsos shows|work=]|url=https://www.reuters.com/world/us-public-support-israel-drops-majority-backs-ceasefire-reutersipsos-2023-11-15/|access-date=November 17, 2023}}</ref> According to a ] poll in March 2024, 52% of Americans supported stopping weapons shipments to Israel, coming largely from Americans who voted for Biden in 2020 (62% support) and people who did not vote in 2020 (60%). Republicans opposed halting weapons shipments by 25 points.<ref>{{cite web |title=Poll: Majority of Americans Say Biden Should Halt Weapons Shipments to Israel |url=https://www.cepr.net/press-release/poll-majority-of-americans-say-biden-should-halt-weapons-shipments-to-israel/ |access-date=September 8, 2024 |website=ceps.net |publisher=CEPR}}</ref> Republicans generally supported arms to Israel, while Democrats were divided on the issue.<ref>{{cite web |title=Majority of Americans favor US military aid to Israel until hostages are returned, new polling says |url=https://www.cnn.com/2024/08/29/politics/israel-gaza-americans-poll-chicago/index.html |website=cnn.com |date=August 29, 2024 |publisher=CNN |access-date=September 8, 2024}}</ref> | |||
Harris was expected to largely continue Biden's approach to the ],<ref name="Al Jazeera-2024"/> although she is seen as tougher on Israel and more sympathetic to Palestinians than Biden or Trump.<ref name="Reuters-2024-3" /> Following the ], Harris at first supported Israel's offensive,<ref name="ABC News-2024">{{Cite news |last1=Kingston |first1=Shannon K. |last2=Flaherty |first2=Anne |last3=Luna |first3=Nathan |date=July 22, 2024 |title=Harris on foreign policy: Her experience and where she stands |url=https://abcnews.go.com/Politics/harris-foreign-policy-experience-stands/story?id=112151509 |url-status=live |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20240722233146/https://abcnews.go.com/Politics/harris-foreign-policy-experience-stands/story?id=112151509 |archive-date=July 22, 2024 |access-date=July 23, 2024 |publisher=ABC News}}</ref><ref name="Al Jazeera-2024" /> saying "the threat ] poses to the people of Israel must be eliminated".<ref name="The New York Times-2024-3" /> Since then, she criticized Israel's actions and the ].<ref name="Reuters-2024-3" /> In March 2024, Harris opposed Israel's ],<ref name="The New York Times-2024-3" /> called for an immediate ceasefire in Gaza,<ref name="Al Jazeera-2024" /><ref name="The New York Times-2024-3" /> and called the situation in Gaza a "humanitarian catastrophe".<ref name="The New York Times-2024-3" /> Harris supported continued aid to Israel and Palestine but insisted that Israel should agree to ] and both sides should move towards a ].<ref name="Israel">{{Cite news |last1=Al-Sheikh |first1=Y. L. |last2=Fayyazi |first2=Nickan |date=July 26, 2024 |title=Kamala Harris Will Shift on Gaza Only if We Make Her |url=https://www.thenation.com/article/activism/kamala-harris-gaza-policy-pressure/ |access-date=July 30, 2024 |website=] |issn=0027-8378 |archive-date=July 27, 2024 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20240727215050/https://www.thenation.com/article/activism/kamala-harris-gaza-policy-pressure/ |url-status=live }}</ref> In the Democratic primaries, the ] led a protest campaign against Biden over the war, calling for a ceasefire and ]. It received over 700,000 votes and 36 delegates.<ref>{{cite web |title=The pro-Palestinian 'uncommitted' movement is at a standstill with top Democrats as the DNC begins |url=https://apnews.com/article/dnc-uncommitted-arab-american-palestinian-gaza-93f9edb25a602c95ee226bd2645e4298 |website=apnews.com |date=August 17, 2024 |publisher=Associated Press |access-date=September 4, 2024}}</ref> Harris was seen as more sympathetic to Palestinians, and she and her campaign interacted more with Arab-American and Uncommitted leaders;<ref>{{cite web |title=Leaders of the movement that protested Biden on Israel express some hope on Harris |url=https://www.npr.org/2024/08/12/nx-s1-5060109/israel-gaza-uncommitted-michigan-harris |publisher=] |access-date=August 22, 2024}}</ref><ref>{{cite web |title=The pro-Palestinian 'uncommitted' movement is at a standstill with top Democrats as the DNC begins |date=August 17, 2024 |url=https://apnews.com/article/dnc-uncommitted-arab-american-palestinian-gaza-93f9edb25a602c95ee226bd2645e4298 |publisher=Associated Press |access-date=August 22, 2024}}</ref> however, Harris refused to halt weapons shipments to Israel or shift policy much from Biden, saying Israel has a right to defend itself.<ref>{{cite web |title=Let's dispel the myth that Harris will be any different from Biden on Gaza and Israel |date=August 30, 2024 |url=https://www.msnbc.com/top-stories/latest/kamala-harris-israel-gaza-cnn-biden-rcna168949 |publisher=MSNBC |access-date=September 8, 2024}}</ref><ref>{{cite web |title=Harris Says Would Not Change Biden Policy On Arms For Israel |url=https://www.barrons.com/amp/news/harris-says-would-not-change-biden-policy-on-arms-for-israel-6526ef92 |publisher=Barrons |access-date=August 30, 2024}}</ref> By October, Uncommitted encouraged its members to vote for Harris.<ref name="Weisman 1082024">{{Cite news |last=Weisman |first=Jonathan |date=October 8, 2024 |title=Pro-Palestinian 'Uncommitted' Group Comes Out Firmly Against Trump |work=The New York Times |url=https://www.nytimes.com/2024/10/08/us/politics/palestine-uncommitted-trump.html |access-date=October 8, 2024 |archive-date=October 8, 2024 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20241008171628/https://www.nytimes.com/2024/10/08/us/politics/palestine-uncommitted-trump.html |url-status=live}}</ref> | |||
During his first term as president, Trump brought in more pro-Israel policies than any president before.<ref>{{cite news |last=Stack |first=Liam |date=November 6, 2024 |title=Trump Has History of Strong Support for Israel |url=https://www.nytimes.com/2024/11/06/world/middleeast/trump-israel-support.html |access-date=November 10, 2024 |work=The New York Times |issn=1553-8095}}</ref> He presented himself as a stronger defender of Israel, and was seen as less sympathetic to Palestine than Biden or Harris.<ref name="auto"/> Trump is expected to continue arming Israel, likely with "no strings attached" for humanitarian concerns.<ref>{{cite news |title=Trump's erratic foreign policy to meet 'a world on fire' |url=https://www.reuters.com/world/us/trumps-erratic-foreign-policy-meet-a-world-fire-2024-11-06/ |work=Reuters |date=November 6, 2024}}</ref> He voiced strong support for Israel's war on Hamas and Gaza, saying that Israel must "finish the problem".<ref>{{cite news |title=Trump's Gaza comments highlight tough choice for peace-supporting US voters |url=https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2024/3/6/trumps-talk-on-gaza-highlights-stark-choice-for-voters-in-us-election |date=March 6, 2024 |work=Al Jazeera English|access-date=March 9, 2024}}</ref> Trump told donors he would "crush" pro-Palestinian protests, deport non-citizen protesters, and "set the movement back 25 or 30 years".<ref>{{cite news |last1=Dawsey |first1=Josh |last2=DeYoung |first2=Karen |last3=LeVine |first3=Marianne |title=Trump told donors he will crush pro-Palestinian protests, deport demonstrators |url=https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/2024/05/27/trump-israel-gaza-policy-donors/ |date=May 27, 2024 |newspaper=The Washington Post|access-date=June 1, 2024|archive-date=June 1, 2024|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20240601213721/https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/2024/05/27/trump-israel-gaza-policy-donors/|url-status=live}}</ref><ref>{{cite web | last= Narea|first= Nicole |date=June 1, 2024|title=What Trump really thinks about the war in Gaza |url=https://www.vox.com/politics/353037/trump-gaza-israel-protests-biden-election-2024 |website=Vox |access-date=September 8, 2024}}</ref> Trump said he would ban Gaza residents from entering the United States.<ref>{{cite news |last1=Hillyard |first1=Vaughn |last2=Smith |first2=Allan |title=Trump breaks silence on Israel's military campaign in Gaza: 'Finish the problem' |url=https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/donald-trump/trump-israel-gaza-finish-problem-rcna141905 |date=March 5, 2024 |publisher=NBC News|access-date=March 9, 2024}}</ref> At times, he was critical of Israel's war in Gaza, saying Israel should "get it over with ... get back to peace and stop killing people".<ref>{{cite news |title=Trump says Israel has to get war in Gaza over 'fast' and warns it is 'losing the PR war' |url=https://apnews.com/article/trump-biden-israel-pr-hugh-hewitt-21faee332d95fec99652c112fbdcd35d |publisher=Associated Press |date=April 4, 2024}}</ref><ref>{{cite news |last=Ravid |first=Barak |title=Netanyahu's office denies call with Trump about the Gaza hostage-ceasefire deal |url=https://www.axios.com/2024/08/15/trump-netanyahu-gaza-hostage-ceasefire-deal-call |work=Axios |date=August 15, 2024|access-date=October 11, 2024}}</ref> | |||
=== LGBTQ rights === | |||
{{Main|LGBTQ rights in the United States|Transgender rights in the United States}} | |||
{{Further|Kamala Harris 2024 presidential campaign#LGBTQ rights|Donald Trump 2024 presidential campaign#LGBTQ rights and civil rights|2020s anti-LGBTQ movement in the United States}} | |||
In the 2020s, conservative politicians in state legislatures introduced a growing number of bills that restrict the rights of LGBTQ people, especially transgender people.<ref>{{Cite news |last1=Rogers |first1=Kaleigh |last2=Radcliffe |first2=Mary |date=May 25, 2023 |title=Over 100 Anti-LGBTQ+ Laws Passed In The Last Five Years—Half Of Them This Year |url=https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/anti-lgbtq-laws-red-states/ |url-status=live |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20230525195300/https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/anti-lgbtq-laws-red-states/ |archive-date=May 25, 2023 |access-date=May 30, 2023 |work=]}}</ref><ref>{{Cite news |date=June 5, 2023 |title=BREAKING: Louisiana Legislature Passes Bills Targeting LGBTQ+ Youth |url=https://www.hrc.org/press-releases/breaking-louisiana-legislature-passes-bills-targeting-lgbtq-youth |url-status=live |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20230606140805/https://www.hrc.org/press-releases/breaking-louisiana-legislature-passes-bills-targeting-lgbtq-youth |archive-date=June 6, 2023 |access-date=June 6, 2023 |work=]}}</ref> A strong supporter of LGBTQ people's rights,<ref>{{cite web |title=Where does Kamala Harris stand on queer and trans issues? |website=Xtra Magazine |date=July 22, 2024 |url=https://xtramagazine.com/video/kamala-harris-gay-trans-rights-266957 |access-date=July 23, 2024 |archive-date=July 23, 2024 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20240723015314/https://xtramagazine.com/video/kamala-harris-gay-trans-rights-266957 |url-status=live}}</ref> Harris denounced legislative attacks on transgender rights in states across the country.<ref>{{cite news |last=Tracy |first=Matt |title=A look at Vice President Kamala Harris' LGBTQ record |website=Gay City News |date=July 22, 2024 |url=https://gaycitynews.com/vice-president-kamala-harris-lgbtq-record/ |access-date=July 23, 2024 |archive-date=July 23, 2024 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20240723030223/https://gaycitynews.com/vice-president-kamala-harris-lgbtq-record/ |url-status=live}}</ref><ref>{{cite news |last=Boyer |first=Dave |title=Kamala Harris predicts November victory at LGBTQ fundraiser in Cape Cod |website=The Washington Times |date=July 20, 2024 |url=https://www.washingtontimes.com/news/2024/jul/20/kamala-harris-predicts-november-victory-lgbtq-fund/ |access-date=July 23, 2024 |archive-date=July 23, 2024 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20240723013115/https://www.washingtontimes.com/news/2024/jul/20/kamala-harris-predicts-november-victory-lgbtq-fund/ |url-status=live}}</ref> Trump promised to roll back policies regarding transgender individuals.<ref name="Axios-2023" /> Trump stated he would rescind Biden's ] protections "on day one" for transgender students using bathrooms, locker rooms, and pronouns that align with their gender identities.<ref>{{cite news |title=Trump Promises Rollback On Trans Rights: Here's What He's Said |url=https://www.forbes.com/sites/saradorn/2024/05/10/trump-promises-rollback-on-trans-rights-heres-what-hes-said/?sh=51549ef4dae0 |work=Forbes |date=May 10, 2024|access-date=May 11, 2024 |last=Dorn |first=Sara|archive-date=May 12, 2024|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20240512031225/https://www.forbes.com/sites/saradorn/2024/05/10/trump-promises-rollback-on-trans-rights-heres-what-hes-said/?sh=51549ef4dae0|url-status=live}}</ref> Trump stated he would enact a federal law that would recognize only two genders and claimed that being transgender is a concept only recently manufactured by "the radical left".<ref>{{Cite web |last=Migdon |first=Brooke |date=February 1, 2023 |title=Trump vows to punish doctors, hospitals that provide gender-affirming care to transgender minors |url=https://thehill.com/homenews/3839471-trump-vows-to-punish-doctors-hospitals-that-provide-gender-affirming-care-to-transgender-minors/ |access-date=February 10, 2024 |website=The Hill |archive-date=February 5, 2024 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20240205033541/https://thehill.com/homenews/3839471-trump-vows-to-punish-doctors-hospitals-that-provide-gender-affirming-care-to-transgender-minors/ |url-status=live}}</ref> Trump pledged "severe consequences" for teachers who "suggest to a child that they could be trapped in the wrong body". Trump previously withdrew Title IX provisions that allowed transgender youth to have access to the bathrooms of their choice, and he attempted to roll-back several transgender-related policies in the ].<ref name="Axios-2023">{{cite news |title=Trump unveils sweeping attack on trans rights |url=https://www.axios.com/2023/01/31/trump-transgender-rights-lgbtq |work=Axios |date=January 31, 2023|access-date=December 16, 2023 |last=Chen |first=Shawna|archive-date=December 16, 2023|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20231216044358/https://www.axios.com/2023/01/31/trump-transgender-rights-lgbtq|url-status=live}}</ref> Trump repeated a false claim that children undergo transgender surgery while at school, without parental knowledge or consent.<ref>{{cite news |last1=Lavietes |first1=Matt |title=Trump repeats false claims that children are undergoing transgender surgery during the school day |url=https://www.nbcnews.com/nbc-out/out-politics-and-policy/trump-false-claims-schools-transgender-surgeries-rcna170217 |publisher=] |date=September 9, 2024}}</ref><ref>{{cite news |last1=Dale |first1=Daniel |title=Fact check: Trump falsely claims schools are secretly sending children for gender-affirming surgeries |url=https://edition.cnn.com/2024/09/04/politics/donald-trump-fact-check-children-gender-affirming-surgery/index.html |publisher=CNN |date=September 4, 2024}}</ref> | |||
=== Exit poll === | |||
{| class="wikitable mw-collapsible sortable" style="font-size:90%; line-height:1.2" | |||
|+ <span class="nowrap">2024 presidential election exit poll</span><ref name="auto2">{{cite news|date=November 6, 2024|title=Exit poll results 2024|url=https://www.cnn.com/election/2024/exit-polls/national-results/general/president/0|access-date=December 1, 2024|publisher=CNN}}</ref> | |||
|- | |||
! Response category | |||
! {{party shading/Republican}} |Trump | |||
! {{party shading/Democratic}} |Harris | |||
! % of<br />total vote | |||
|- | |||
! colspan="4" | Biden job approval | |||
|- | |||
| Strongly disapprove | |||
| style="text-align:right; background:#ffb6b6;" | 94 | |||
| style="text-align:right; background:#f0f0ff;" | 4 | |||
| style="text-align:right;" | 45 | |||
|- | |||
| Somewhat disapprove | |||
| style="text-align:right; background:#fff3f3;" | 42 | |||
| style="text-align:right; background:#b0ceff;" | 54 | |||
| style="text-align:right;" | 14 | |||
|- | |||
| Somewhat approve | |||
| style="text-align:right; background:#fff3f3;" | 4 | |||
| style="text-align:right; background:#b0ceff;" | 95 | |||
| style="text-align:right;" | 24 | |||
|- | |||
| Strongly approve | |||
| style="text-align:right; background:#fff3f3;" | 1 | |||
| style="text-align:right; background:#b0ceff;" | 98 | |||
| style="text-align:right;" | 15 | |||
|- | |||
! colspan="4" | Feeling about the way things are going in U.S. | |||
|- | |||
| Angry | |||
| style="text-align:right; background:#ffb6b6;" | 73 | |||
| style="text-align:right; background:#f0f0ff;" | 26 | |||
| style="text-align:right;" | 31 | |||
|- | |||
| Dissatisfied | |||
| style="text-align:right; background:#ffb6b6;" | 55 | |||
| style="text-align:right; background:#f0f0ff;" | 42 | |||
| style="text-align:right;" | 42 | |||
|- | |||
| Satisfied | |||
| style="text-align:right; background:#fff3f3;" | 16 | |||
| style="text-align:right; background:#b0ceff;" | 83 | |||
| style="text-align:right;" | 19 | |||
|- | |||
| Enthusiastic | |||
| style="text-align:right; background:#fff3f3;" | 9 | |||
| style="text-align:right; background:#b0ceff;" | 91 | |||
| style="text-align:right;" | 6 | |||
|- | |||
! colspan="4" | America's best days are | |||
|- | |||
| In the future | |||
| style="text-align:right; background:#fff3f3;" | 40 | |||
| style="text-align:right; background:#b0ceff;" | 58 | |||
| style="text-align:right;" | 61 | |||
|- | |||
| In the past | |||
| style="text-align:right; background:#ffb6b6;" | 67 | |||
| style="text-align:right; background:#f0f0ff;" | 31 | |||
| style="text-align:right;" | 34 | |||
|- | |||
! colspan="4" | Quality of candidate that mattered most | |||
|- | |||
| Has ability to lead | |||
| style="text-align:right; background:#ffb6b6;" | 66 | |||
| style="text-align:right; background:#f0f0ff;" | 33 | |||
| style="text-align:right;" | 30 | |||
|- | |||
| Can bring needed change | |||
| style="text-align:right; background:#ffb6b6;" | 74 | |||
| style="text-align:right; background:#f0f0ff;" | 24 | |||
| style="text-align:right;" | 28 | |||
|- | |||
| Has good judgment | |||
| style="text-align:right; background:#fff3f3;" | 15 | |||
| style="text-align:right; background:#b0ceff;" | 83 | |||
| style="text-align:right;" | 20 | |||
|- | |||
| Cares about people like me | |||
| style="text-align:right; background:#fff3f3;" | 25 | |||
| style="text-align:right; background:#b0ceff;" | 72 | |||
| style="text-align:right;" | 18 | |||
|- | |||
! colspan="4" | Vote for president mainly | |||
|- | |||
| For your candidate | |||
| style="text-align:right; background:#ffb6b6;" | 55 | |||
| style="text-align:right; background:#f0f0ff;" | 44 | |||
| style="text-align:right;" | 73 | |||
|- | |||
| Against their opponent | |||
| style="text-align:right; background:#fff3f3;" | 36 | |||
| style="text-align:right; background:#b0ceff;" | 60 | |||
| style="text-align:right;" | 24 | |||
|- | |||
! colspan="4" | Candidate viewed as too extreme | |||
|- | |||
| Trump is too extreme | |||
| style="text-align:right; background:#fff3f3;" | 2 | |||
| style="text-align:right; background:#b0ceff;" | 97 | |||
| style="text-align:right;" | 45 | |||
|- | |||
| Harris is too extreme | |||
| style="text-align:right; background:#ffb6b6;" | 99 | |||
| style="text-align:right; background:#f0f0ff;" | 1 | |||
| style="text-align:right;" | 39 | |||
|- | |||
| Both Harris and Trump are too extreme | |||
| style="text-align:right; background:#ffb6b6;" | 67 | |||
| style="text-align:right; background:#f0f0ff;" | 22 | |||
| style="text-align:right;" | 8 | |||
|- | |||
| Neither Harris or Trump is too extreme | |||
| style="text-align:right; background:#ffb6b6;" | 67 | |||
| style="text-align:right; background:#f0f0ff;" | 27 | |||
| style="text-align:right;" | 4 | |||
|- | |||
! colspan="4" | Decided on presidential vote | |||
|- | |||
| Before September | |||
| style="text-align:right; background:#ffb6b6;" | 51 | |||
| style="text-align:right; background:#f0f0ff;" | 49 | |||
| style="text-align:right;" | 80 | |||
|- | |||
| In September | |||
| style="text-align:right; background:#fff3f3;" | 46 | |||
| style="text-align:right; background:#b0ceff;" | 52 | |||
| style="text-align:right;" | 6 | |||
|- | |||
| In October | |||
| style="text-align:right; background:#fff3f3;" | 42 | |||
| style="text-align:right; background:#b0ceff;" | 49 | |||
| style="text-align:right;" | 5 | |||
|- | |||
| In last week | |||
| style="text-align:right; background:#ffb6b6;" | 56 | |||
| style="text-align:right; background:#f0f0ff;" | 42 | |||
| style="text-align:right;" | 3 | |||
|- | |||
| In last few days | |||
| style="text-align:right; background:#ffb6b6;" | 47 | |||
| style="text-align:right; background:#f0f0ff;" | 42 | |||
| style="text-align:right;" | 3 | |||
|- | |||
! colspan="4" | Issue regarded as most important | |||
|- | |||
| Democracy | |||
| style="text-align:right; background:#fff3f3;" | 18 | |||
| style="text-align:right; background:#b0ceff;" | 80 | |||
| style="text-align:right;" | 34 | |||
|- | |||
| Economy | |||
| style="text-align:right; background:#ffb6b6;" | 81 | |||
| style="text-align:right; background:#f0f0ff;" | 18 | |||
| style="text-align:right;" | 32 | |||
|- | |||
| Abortion | |||
| style="text-align:right; background:#fff3f3;" | 24 | |||
| style="text-align:right; background:#b0ceff;" | 76 | |||
| style="text-align:right;" | 14 | |||
|- | |||
| Immigration | |||
| style="text-align:right; background:#ffb6b6;" | 89 | |||
| style="text-align:right; background:#f0f0ff;" | 9 | |||
| style="text-align:right;" | 12 | |||
|- | |||
| Foreign policy | |||
| style="text-align:right; background:#ffb6b6;" | 56 | |||
| style="text-align:right; background:#f0f0ff;" | 39 | |||
| style="text-align:right;" | 4 | |||
|- | |||
! colspan="4" | Democracy threatened in the United States | |||
|- | |||
| Democracy in U.S. very threatened | |||
| style="text-align:right; background:#ffb6b6;" | 52 | |||
| style="text-align:right; background:#f0f0ff;" | 47 | |||
| style="text-align:right;" | 39 | |||
|- | |||
| Democracy in U.S. somewhat threatened | |||
| style="text-align:right; background:#fff3f3;" | 48 | |||
| style="text-align:right; background:#b0ceff;" | 50 | |||
| style="text-align:right;" | 34 | |||
|- | |||
| Democracy in U.S. somewhat secure | |||
| style="text-align:right; background:#fff3f3;" | 47 | |||
| style="text-align:right; background:#b0ceff;" | 50 | |||
| style="text-align:right;" | 17 | |||
|- | |||
| Democracy in U.S. very secure | |||
| style="text-align:right; background:#ffb6b6;" | 54 | |||
| style="text-align:right; background:#f0f0ff;" | 44 | |||
| style="text-align:right;" | 8 | |||
|- | |||
! colspan="4" | Confident election being conducted fairly and accurately | |||
|- | |||
| Very confident | |||
| style="text-align:right; background:#fff3f3;" | 13 | |||
| style="text-align:right; background:#b0ceff;" | 84 | |||
| style="text-align:right;" | 35 | |||
|- | |||
| Somewhat confident | |||
| style="text-align:right; background:#ffb6b6;" | 59 | |||
| style="text-align:right; background:#f0f0ff;" | 39 | |||
| style="text-align:right;" | 32 | |||
|- | |||
| Not very confident | |||
| style="text-align:right; background:#ffb6b6;" | 82 | |||
| style="text-align:right; background:#f0f0ff;" | 16 | |||
| style="text-align:right;" | 21 | |||
|- | |||
| Not at all confident | |||
| style="text-align:right; background:#ffb6b6;" | 80 | |||
| style="text-align:right; background:#f0f0ff;" | 18 | |||
| style="text-align:right;" | 10 | |||
|- | |||
! colspan="4" | Concerned about violence as result of election | |||
|- | |||
| Yes | |||
| style="text-align:right; background:#fff3f3;" | 42 | |||
| style="text-align:right; background:#b0ceff;" | 56 | |||
| style="text-align:right;" | 70 | |||
|- | |||
| No | |||
| style="text-align:right; background:#ffb6b6;" | 69 | |||
| style="text-align:right; background:#f0f0ff;" | 29 | |||
| style="text-align:right;" | 28 | |||
|- | |||
! colspan="4" | Condition of the nation's economy | |||
|- | |||
| Poor | |||
| style="text-align:right; background:#ffb6b6;" | 88 | |||
| style="text-align:right; background:#f0f0ff;" | 10 | |||
| style="text-align:right;" | 33 | |||
|- | |||
| Not so good | |||
| style="text-align:right; background:#ffb6b6;" | 52 | |||
| style="text-align:right; background:#f0f0ff;" | 46 | |||
| style="text-align:right;" | 35 | |||
|- | |||
| Good | |||
| style="text-align:right; background:#fff3f3;" | 7 | |||
| style="text-align:right; background:#b0ceff;" | 92 | |||
| style="text-align:right;" | 27 | |||
|- | |||
| Excellent | |||
| style="text-align:right; background:#fff3f3;" | 11 | |||
| style="text-align:right; background:#b0ceff;" | 89 | |||
| style="text-align:right;" | 5 | |||
|- | |||
! colspan="4" | Family's financial situation today | |||
|- | |||
| Worse than four years ago | |||
| style="text-align:right; background:#ffb6b6;" | 82 | |||
| style="text-align:right; background:#f0f0ff;" | 16 | |||
| style="text-align:right;" | 47 | |||
|- | |||
| About the same | |||
| style="text-align:right; background:#fff3f3;" | 27 | |||
| style="text-align:right; background:#b0ceff;" | 71 | |||
| style="text-align:right;" | 29 | |||
|- | |||
| Better than four years ago | |||
| style="text-align:right; background:#fff3f3;" | 14 | |||
| style="text-align:right; background:#b0ceff;" | 83 | |||
| style="text-align:right;" | 24 | |||
|- | |||
! colspan="4" | Inflation caused family hardship within past year | |||
|- | |||
| Severe hardship | |||
| style="text-align:right; background:#ffb6b6;" | 76 | |||
| style="text-align:right; background:#f0f0ff;" | 23 | |||
| style="text-align:right;" | 22 | |||
|- | |||
| Moderate hardship | |||
| style="text-align:right; background:#ffb6b6;" | 52 | |||
| style="text-align:right; background:#f0f0ff;" | 46 | |||
| style="text-align:right;" | 53 | |||
|- | |||
| No hardship | |||
| style="text-align:right; background:#fff3f3;" | 21 | |||
| style="text-align:right; background:#b0ceff;" | 78 | |||
| style="text-align:right;" | 24 | |||
|- | |||
! colspan="4"| Candidate trusted more to handle the economy | |||
|- | |||
| Trump | |||
| style="text-align:right; background:#ffb6b6;" | 93 | |||
| style="text-align:right; background:#f0f0ff;" | 5 | |||
| style="text-align:right;" | 53 | |||
|- | |||
| Harris | |||
| style="text-align:right; background:#fff3f3;" | 1 | |||
| style="text-align:right; background:#b0ceff;" | 98 | |||
| style="text-align:right;" | 46 | |||
|- | |||
! colspan="4" | Abortion should be | |||
|- | |||
| Legal in all cases | |||
| style="text-align:right; background:#fff3f3;" | 9 | |||
| style="text-align:right; background:#b0ceff;" | 88 | |||
| style="text-align:right;" | 33 | |||
|- | |||
| Legal in most cases | |||
| style="text-align:right; background:#fff3f3;" | 49 | |||
| style="text-align:right; background:#f0f0ff;" | 49 | |||
| style="text-align:right;" | 33 | |||
|- | |||
| Illegal in most cases | |||
| style="text-align:right; background:#ffb6b6;" | 92 | |||
| style="text-align:right; background:#f0f0ff;" | 7 | |||
| style="text-align:right;" | 25 | |||
|- | |||
| Illegal in all cases | |||
| style="text-align:right; background:#ffb6b6;" | 88 | |||
| style="text-align:right; background:#f0f0ff;" | 11 | |||
| style="text-align:right;" | 5 | |||
|- | |||
! colspan="4"| Candidate trusted more to handle abortion | |||
|- | |||
| Trump | |||
| style="text-align:right; background:#ffb6b6;" | 96 | |||
| style="text-align:right; background:#f0f0ff;" | 2 | |||
| style="text-align:right;" | 46 | |||
|- | |||
| Harris | |||
| style="text-align:right; background:#fff3f3;" | 5 | |||
| style="text-align:right; background:#b0ceff;" | 93 | |||
| style="text-align:right;" | 49 | |||
|- | |||
! colspan="4" | Opinion of Supreme Court | |||
|- | |||
| Approve | |||
| style="text-align:right; background:#ffb6b6;" | 85 | |||
| style="text-align:right; background:#f0f0ff;" | 14 | |||
| style="text-align:right;" | 36 | |||
|- | |||
| Disapprove | |||
| style="text-align:right; background:#fff3f3;" | 27 | |||
| style="text-align:right; background:#b0ceff;" | 72 | |||
| style="text-align:right;" | 59 | |||
|- | |||
! colspan="4"| Most undocumented immigrants in the U.S. should be | |||
|- | |||
| Offered chance at legal status | |||
| style="text-align:right; background:#fff3f3;" | 22 | |||
| style="text-align:right; background:#b0ceff;" | 76 | |||
| style="text-align:right;" | 56 | |||
|- | |||
| Deported | |||
| style="text-align:right; background:#ffb6b6;" | 87 | |||
| style="text-align:right; background:#f0f0ff;" | 11 | |||
| style="text-align:right;" | 40 | |||
|- | |||
! colspan="4"| Candidate trusted more to handle immigration | |||
|- | |||
| Trump | |||
| style="text-align:right; background:#ffb6b6;" | 91 | |||
| style="text-align:right; background:#f0f0ff;" | 7 | |||
| style="text-align:right;" | 53 | |||
|- | |||
| Harris | |||
| style="text-align:right; background:#fff3f3;" | 1 | |||
| style="text-align:right; background:#b0ceff;" | 97 | |||
| style="text-align:right;" | 44 | |||
|- | |||
! colspan="4" | U.S. support for Israel is | |||
|- | |||
| Too strong | |||
| style="text-align:right; background:#fff3f3;" | 30 | |||
| style="text-align:right; background:#b0ceff;" | 67 | |||
| style="text-align:right;" | 31 | |||
|- | |||
| About right | |||
| style="text-align:right; background:#fff3f3;" | 39 | |||
| style="text-align:right; background:#b0ceff;" | 60 | |||
| style="text-align:right;" | 30 | |||
|- | |||
| Not strong enough | |||
| style="text-align:right; background:#ffb6b6;" | 82 | |||
| style="text-align:right; background:#f0f0ff;" | 18 | |||
| style="text-align:right;" | 31 | |||
|- | |||
! colspan="4"| Candidate trusted more to handle crime and safety | |||
|- | |||
| Trump | |||
| style="text-align:right; background:#ffb6b6;" | 95 | |||
| style="text-align:right; background:#f0f0ff;" | 4 | |||
| style="text-align:right;" | 52 | |||
|- | |||
| Harris | |||
| style="text-align:right; background:#fff3f3;" | 1 | |||
| style="text-align:right; background:#b0ceff;" | 98 | |||
| style="text-align:right;" | 47 | |||
|- | |||
! colspan="4"| Candidate trusted more to handle a crisis | |||
|- | |||
| Trump | |||
| style="text-align:right; background:#ffb6b6;" | 95 | |||
| style="text-align:right; background:#f0f0ff;" | 3 | |||
| style="text-align:right;" | 51 | |||
|- | |||
| Harris | |||
| style="text-align:right; background:#fff3f3;" | 1 | |||
| style="text-align:right; background:#b0ceff;" | 97 | |||
| style="text-align:right;" | 47 | |||
|- | |||
|} | |||
== Third-party and independent candidates == | |||
{{Main|Third-party and independent candidates for the 2024 United States presidential election}} | |||
A number of ] announced presidential runs, most notably ] and ]. Several third parties, including the ], the ], the ], the ], and the ] also announced presidential nominees.<ref>{{Cite news |last1=Gómez |first1=Martín González |last2=Astor |first2=Maggie |date=February 22, 2023 |title=Who's Running for President in 2024? |url=https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2023/us/politics/presidential-candidates-2024.html# |access-date=November 6, 2024 |work=The New York Times |language=en-US |issn=0362-4331}}</ref> Kennedy dropped out of the race in August 2024, although he remained on the ballot in many states. The ] organization abandoned its efforts to run a ] candidate in April 2024.<ref>{{cite news |url=https://thehill.com/homenews/campaign/4575052-no-labels-party-passes-2024-election-candidate/ |title=No Labels abandons 2024 presidential effort |last1=Mueller |first1=Julia |last2=Trudo |first2=Hanna |date=April 4, 2024|access-date = April 4, 2024 |work=]|archive-date = April 4, 2024|archive-url = https://web.archive.org/web/20240404195251/https://thehill.com/homenews/campaign/4575052-no-labels-party-passes-2024-election-candidate/|url-status = live}}</ref> | |||
=== With majority ballot access === | |||
==== Libertarian Party ==== | |||
{{Main|2024 Libertarian Party presidential primaries|Chase Oliver 2024 presidential campaign}} | |||
] was chosen by the ] as its presidential nominee on May 26, 2024, at the ]. Oliver was the party's nominee in the ].<ref>{{cite news |url=https://thehill.com/homenews/campaign/4687416-libertarian-party-chooses-chase-oliver-as-presidential-nominee/ |title=Libertarian Party chooses Chase Oliver as presidential nominee |last=Robertson |first=Nick |work=] |date=May 26, 2024 |access-date=May 27, 2024|archive-date = May 27, 2024|archive-url = https://web.archive.org/web/20240527032219/https://thehill.com/homenews/campaign/4687416-libertarian-party-chooses-chase-oliver-as-presidential-nominee/|url-status = live}}</ref> Oliver achieved ] in 47 states, and was eligible to receive write-in votes in the District of Columbia, Illinois, New York, and Tennessee.<ref name="TGP ballot access">{{cite web |title=2024 Presidential Candidate Ballot Access by State |url=https://www.thegreenpapers.com/G24/President-BallotAccessByState.phtml |website=The Green Papers |access-date=October 22, 2024}}</ref><ref name="NY write-in">{{cite news |last1=Smith |first1=Erica |title=State certifies 12 write-in candidates for president |url=https://www.timesunion.com/state/article/new-york-certifies-12-write-in-candidates-19846450.php |access-date=October 23, 2024 |work=] |date=October 22, 2024}}</ref> | |||
{{Nominee table | |||
| party logo = Libertarian Disc.svg | |||
| party = Libertarian Party (United States) | |||
| top text color=black | |||
| header = 2024 Libertarian Party ticket | |||
| president = Chase Oliver | |||
| vice president = Mike ter Maat | |||
| president portrait = Chase Oliver by Gage Skidmore 2.jpg | |||
| vp portrait = Mike Ter Maat on the "LibertyDad" Podcast.jpg | |||
| experience = Sales account executive<br />from ] | |||
| vp experience = Economist<br />from ] | |||
| campaign = Chase Oliver 2024 presidential campaign | |||
| campaignlogo = Chase Oliver 2024 Campaign Logo.svg | |||
| top color = Gold | |||
| bottom color=#ffffbf}} | |||
==== Green Party ==== | |||
{{Jill Stein series}} | |||
{{Main|2024 Green Party presidential primaries|Jill Stein 2024 presidential campaign}} | |||
The party's nominee in ] and ], Stein is a physician and a former member of the ] ]. On August 16, Stein selected academic ] as her running mate.<ref>{{Cite news |date=November 10, 2023 |title=Jill Stein, Cornell West, Chase Oliver: Who else is running for president in 2024? |url=https://www.bbc.com/news/world-us-canada-67383271 |access-date=August 25, 2024 |publisher=BBC |language=en-GB |author1=Debusmann, Bernd Jr. |author2=Cabral, Sam}}</ref> Stein achieved ballot access in 38 states, and was eligible to receive write-in votes in seven states. She was not eligible to receive write-in votes in the remaining states or the District of Columbia.<ref name="TGP ballot access" /><ref name="Ballotpedia write-in">{{cite web |title=Ballot access for presidential candidates |url=https://ballotpedia.org/Ballot_access_for_presidential_candidates |website=] |access-date=October 2, 2024}}</ref><ref name="NY write-in" /> | |||
{{Nominee table | |||
| party logo = Green Party of the United States social media logo.svg | |||
| party = Green Party of the United States | |||
| header = 2024 Green Party ticket | |||
| president = Jill Stein | |||
| vice president = Butch Ware | |||
| president portrait = Jill Stein by Gage Skidmore 3.jpg | |||
| vp portrait = Butch Ware in 2024.jpg | |||
| experience = Physician<br />from ] | |||
| vp experience = Academic<br />from ] | |||
| campaign = Jill Stein 2024 presidential campaign | |||
| campaignlogo = SteinWare.png | |||
| campaign logo size = | |||
| bottom color = #6BDE9D | |||
}} | |||
=== With partial ballot access === | |||
<!--*** Please only include a candidate in this section if the candidate has a Misplaced Pages page, and their candidacy is verified by a reliable independent source. ***--> | |||
These third-party candidates had ballot access in some states, but not enough to get 270 votes needed to win the presidency, without running a ]. | |||
* ]: ], Connecticut school board member<ref>{{Cite web |date=June 3, 2023 |title=Peter Sonski is the American Solidarity Party 2024 Presidential nominee |url=https://ballot-access.org/2023/06/03/peter-sonski-is-the-american-solidarity-party-2024-presidential-nominee/ |first1=Bill |last1=Redpath |access-date=June 3, 2023 |website=Ballot Access News |archive-date=June 3, 2023 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20230603135219/https://ballot-access.org/2023/06/03/peter-sonski-is-the-american-solidarity-party-2024-presidential-nominee/ |url-status=live}}</ref> | |||
* ]: Blake Huber, activist and nominee for president in 2020<ref>{{Cite web |url=https://ballot-access.org/2024/05/28/approval-voting-nominates-blake-huber-for-president/ |title=Approval Voting Party Nominates Blake Huber for President |work=Ballot Access News |date=May 28, 2024|access-date=July 17, 2024|archive-date=May 31, 2024|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20240531101801/https://ballot-access.org/2024/05/28/approval-voting-nominates-blake-huber-for-president/|url-status=live}}</ref> | |||
* ]: ], anti-abortion activist and ]<ref>{{cite news |last1=Winger |first1=Richard |title=Randall Terry Wins Constitution Party's Presidential Nomination |url=https://ballot-access.org/2024/04/27/randall-terry-wins-constitution-partys-presidential-nomination/ |access-date=April 27, 2024 |work=Ballot Access News |date=April 27, 2024 |archive-date=April 27, 2024 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20240427170926/https://ballot-access.org/2024/04/27/randall-terry-wins-constitution-partys-presidential-nomination/ |url-status=live}}</ref> | |||
* ]: ], survivalist and consultant<ref>{{Cite web |last=Winger |first=Richard |date=May 28, 2024 |title=Nevada and Utah Constitution Parties Nominate Joel Skousen for President |url=https://ballot-access.org/2024/05/28/nevada-and-utah-constitution-parties-nominate-joel-skousen-for-president/ |work=Ballot Access News}}</ref> | |||
* ]: ], environmental lawyer, ], and ], the party's nominee in addition to his run as an independent before he ] from the race ahead of the election but was not removed from ballots<ref>{{Cite web|url=https://www.fox2detroit.com/news/supreme-court-rejects-last-chance-bid-rfk-jr-get-off-michigan-ballot|title=Last-chance bid by Robert F. Kennedy Jr. to be removed from Michigan ballot rejected|date=October 29, 2024|website=FOX 2 Detroit}}</ref> | |||
* ]: Michael Wood, businessman<ref>{{cite web |title=Prohibition Party Chooses National 2024 Ticket |first1=Richard |last1=Winger |url=https://ballot-access.org/2023/05/10/prohibition-party-chooses-national-2024-ticket/ |publisher=Ballot Access News |date=May 10, 2023 |access-date=November 13, 2023 |archive-date=November 29, 2023 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20231129193022/https://ballot-access.org/2023/05/10/prohibition-party-chooses-national-2024-ticket/ |url-status=live}}</ref> | |||
* ]: ], political activist<ref>{{Cite web |date=September 11, 2023 |title=Party for Socialism and Liberation Announces 2024 Presidential Ticket |url=https://independentpoliticalreport.com/2023/09/party-for-socialism-and-liberation-announces-2024-presidential-ticket/ |first1=Jordan Willow |last1=Evans |access-date=September 27, 2023 |website=Independent Political Report |archive-date=September 13, 2023 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20230913021711/https://independentpoliticalreport.com/2023/09/party-for-socialism-and-liberation-announces-2024-presidential-ticket |url-status=live}}</ref><ref>{{Cite web |title=2024 Candidate Filings |url=https://vote.utah.gov/2024-candidate-filings/ |website=Utah Voter Information |access-date=January 14, 2024|archive-date=January 15, 2024|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20240115191754/https://vote.utah.gov/2024-candidate-filings/|url-status=live}}</ref> | |||
* ]: ], writer and SEP nominee in 2020<ref>{{cite web |title=Socialist Equality Party selects Joseph Kishore and Jerry White as its presidential and vice presidential candidates for the 2024 US election |first=Nick |last=Barrickman |work=] |date=February 27, 2024 |access-date=March 16, 2024 |url=https://www.wsws.org/en/articles/2024/02/27/qfmi-f27.html |archive-date=March 16, 2024 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20240316205756/https://www.wsws.org/en/articles/2024/02/27/qfmi-f27.html |url-status=live}}</ref> | |||
* ]: ], hotel worker and trade unionist<ref>{{cite news |title=Vote Socialist Workers Party! Rachele Fruit • Margaret Trowe for president & vice president |first=Vivian |last=Sahner |work=] |volume=88 |issue=9 |date=March 4, 2024 |access-date=March 16, 2024 |url=https://themilitant.com/2024/02/24/vote-socialist-workers-party-2/ |archive-date=March 6, 2024 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20240306112613/https://themilitant.com/2024/02/24/vote-socialist-workers-party-2/ |url-status=live}}</ref> | |||
* ]: Bill Stodden, nonprofit executive<ref>{{cite web |url= https://www.spusa2024.org/about-me/ |title= About Stodden & Cholensky – SPUSA 2024 |author=<!--Not stated--> |date= 2024 |website= spusa2024.org |publisher= Stodden Cholensky 2024 |access-date= September 23, 2024}}</ref> | |||
=== Independent candidates === | |||
<!--***Please only include a candidate in this section if the candidate has a Misplaced Pages page, and their candidacy is verified by a reliable independent source--> | |||
The following notable individual(s) ran independently for president. | |||
* ], academic, anti-war activist, and public intellectual, previously a ] and ] candidate,<ref name=":3">{{Cite web |last=Hippensteel |first=Chris |date=June 14, 2023 |title=Cornel West to Run for President With Green Party, Ditches People's Party |url=https://www.thedailybeast.com/cornel-west-wants-to-run-for-president-with-green-party-ditches-peoples-party |access-date=July 16, 2023 |website=The Daily Beast }}</ref><ref name=":5">{{Cite web |last=Kennedy |first=Kaitlyn |date=June 15, 2023 |title=Cornel West announces presidential run with the Green Party |url=https://www.tag24.com/politics/us-politics/cornel-west-announces-presidential-run-with-the-green-party-2863655 |access-date=July 16, 2023 |website=TAG24 }}</ref> who launched ]<ref>{{cite news |last=Thomas |first=Ken |date=October 5, 2023 |title=Cornel West Slams Biden, Trump, and Runs as 2024 Independent |url=https://www.wsj.com/politics/elections/cornel-west-slams-biden-trump-and-runs-as-2024-independent-d44a2af5 |access-date=October 5, 2023 |work=] }}</ref><ref>{{Cite news |last=Lopez |first=Ashley |date=April 17, 2024 |title=Some independent candidates start their own political parties to ease ballot access |url=https://www.npr.org/2024/04/17/1245071939/robert-kennedy-cornel-west-new-minor-parties |publisher=]}}</ref> | |||
=== Withdrawn candidates === | |||
<!--***Please only include a candidate in this section if the candidate has a Misplaced Pages page, and their candidacy was verified by a reliable independent source--> | |||
The following notable individual(s) announced and then suspended their campaigns before the election: | |||
* ], environmental lawyer, anti-vaccine activist, and conspiracy theorist, ] and ] ''(endorsed Trump)''<ref>{{Cite news |last1=Trudo |first1=Hannah |last2=Mueller |first2=Julia |date=August 23, 2024 |title=RFK Jr. suspends campaign, throws support behind Trump |url=https://thehill.com/homenews/campaign/4844566-rfk-jr-suspends-campaign-trump/|access-date=August 23, 2024 |work=The Hill}}</ref> | |||
== Timeline == | |||
{{Main|Timeline of the 2024 United States presidential election}} | |||
== Opinion polling and forecasts <span class="anchor" id="Opinion polling and forecasts"></span> == | |||
=== Opinion polling aggregation === | |||
{{Main|Nationwide opinion polling for the 2024 United States presidential election}} | |||
{{See also|Statewide opinion polling for the 2024 United States presidential election}} | |||
==== Harris and Trump ==== | |||
{{#section-h:Nationwide opinion polling for the 2024 United States presidential election|Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump}} | |||
====Harris vs. Trump vs. Kennedy Jr. vs. Stein vs. Oliver vs. West==== | |||
{{#section-h:Nationwide opinion polling for the 2024 United States presidential election|Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Jill Stein vs. Chase Oliver vs. Cornel West}} | |||
=== Electoral College forecasts === | |||
Elections analysts and political pundits issue probabilistic forecasts of the composition of the Electoral College. These forecasts use a variety of factors to estimate the likelihood of each candidate winning the Electoral College electors for that state. Most election predictors use the following ratings: | |||
* "<u>tossup</u>": no advantage | |||
* "<u>tilt</u>" (used by some predictors): advantage that is not quite as strong as "lean" | |||
* "<u>lean</u>" or "<u>leans</u>": slight advantage | |||
* "<u>likely</u>": significant, but surmountable, advantage | |||
* "<u>very likely</u>" (used by some predictors): massive advantage that is stronger than "likely" | |||
* "<u>safe</u>" or "<u>solid</u>": near-certain chance of victory | |||
Below is a list of states considered by one or more forecast to be competitive; states that are deemed to be "safe" or "solid" by forecasters '']'', '']'', '']'', '']'', '']'', and ] are omitted for brevity.{{Efn|States rated safe by all other forecasts but '']'' and '']'' are omitted. The ''FiveThirtyEight'' forecast and '']'' each rate only a handful of states as "safe".<ref name="FiveThirtyEight-2024">{{cite web |last1=Morris |first1=G. Elliott |title=2024 Election Forecast |url=https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2024-election-forecast/ |website=FiveThirtyEight |access-date=November 5, 2024 |date=November 5, 2024}}</ref><ref name="The Economist-2024"/>}} | |||
{{sticky header}} | |||
{| class="wikitable sortable sticky-header" style="font-size:90%; | |||
|- style="vertical-align:bottom" | |||
! State | |||
! {{Tooltip|EVs|Electoral votes}} | |||
! ]<br /><ref>{{cite web |url=https://www.cookpolitical.com/cook-pvi/2022-partisan-voting-index/state-map-and-list |title=2022 Cook PVI: State Map and List |website=] |date=December 15, 2017|access-date=July 12, 2022|archive-date=July 13, 2022|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20220713122448/https://www.cookpolitical.com/cook-pvi/2022-partisan-voting-index/state-map-and-list|url-status=live}}</ref> | |||
! data-sort-type="number"| 2020<br />result | |||
! data-sort-type="number"| 2020<br />margin<br /><ref>{{Cite web |title=Federal Elections 2020 |url=https://www.fec.gov/documents/4227/federalelections2020.pdf |publisher=] |date=July 2023}}</ref> | |||
! '']''<br /><span style="font-size:85%;">Nov 3</span><ref>{{cite web |last1=Gonzales |first1=Nathan |title=2024 Presidential Ratings (October 31, 2024) |url=https://www.insideelections.com/ratings/president/2024-presidential-ratings |website=Inside Elections |access-date=November 1, 2024}}</ref> | |||
! '']''<br /><span style="font-size:85%;">Nov 4</span><ref>{{cite web |date=November 1, 2024 |title=2024 CPR Electoral College Ratings |url=https://www.cookpolitical.com/ratings/presidential-race-ratings |publisher=]|access-date=November 1, 2024}}</ref> | |||
! '']''<br /><span style="font-size:85%;">Nov 4</span><ref>{{cite web |date=August 18, 2024 |title=2024 CNalysis Pres. Forecast |url=https://projects.cnalysis.com/23-24/president |publisher=]|access-date=November 1, 2024|archive-date=December 25, 2023|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20231225012926/https://projects.cnalysis.com/23-24/president|url-status=live}}</ref> | |||
! '']''<br /><span style="font-size:85%;">Nov 4</span><ref>{{cite web |last1=Kondik |first1=Kyle|first2=J. Miles|last2=Coleman|first3=Larry|last3=Sabato|date=November 4, 2024|title=Our Final 2024 Ratings|url=https://centerforpolitics.org/crystalball/our-final-2024-ratings/|publisher=] |access-date=November 5, 2024}}</ref> | |||
! ]<br /><span style="font-size:85%;">Oct 8</span><ref>{{cite web |date=October 1, 2024 |title=Road to 270 |website=] |url= https://amp.cnn.com/cnn/2024/10/01/politics/presidential-election-270-electoral-votes}}</ref> | |||
!'']''<br /><span style="font-size:85%;">Nov 5</span><ref>{{cite web |title=2024 Presidential Forecast |url=https://elections2024.thehill.com/forecast/2024/president/ |website=Decision Desk HQ/The Hill |access-date=November 5, 2024}}</ref> | |||
!'']''<br /><span style="font-size:85%;">Nov 5</span><ref name="FiveThirtyEight-2024" /> | |||
!'']''<br /><span style="font-size:85%;">Nov 5</span><ref name="The Economist-2024">{{cite news |title=Trump v Harris: The Economist's presidential election prediction model |url=https://www.economist.com/interactive/us-2024-election/prediction-model/president |newspaper=] |access-date=November 5, 2024}}</ref> | |||
!]<br /><span style="font-size:85%;">Nov 1</span><ref>{{Cite web |title=2024 Presidential Election Polls |url=https://today.yougov.com/elections/us/2024 |access-date=November 1, 2024 |website=today.yougov.com |language=en-us}}</ref> | |||
!2024 Result | |||
|- | |||
! ] | |||
| align=center|10 | |||
| {{Shading PVI|D|4}} | |||
| {{Party shading/Democratic}} data-sort-value="−55.4" | 55.4% D | |||
| {{Party shading/Democratic}} data-sort-value="−13.5" | 13.50% | |||
<!--IE--> | {{USRaceRating|Solid|D}} | |||
<!--Cook--> | {{USRaceRating|Solid|D}} | |||
<!--CNalysis-->| {{USRaceRating|Solid|D}} | |||
<!--Sabato--> | {{USRaceRating|Safe|D}} | |||
<!--CNN--> | {{USRaceRating|Lean|D}} | |||
<!--DDHQ--> | {{USRaceRating|Likely|D}} | |||
<!--538--> | {{USRaceRating|Solid|D}} | |||
<!--TheEcon--> | {{USRaceRating|Safe|D}} | |||
<!--YouGov--> | {{USRaceRating|Safe|D}} | |||
| {{Party shading/Democratic}} data-sort-value="−54.4" | ]<br />54.4% D | |||
|- | |||
! ] | |||
| align=center|5 | |||
| {{Shading PVI|D|3}} | |||
| {{Party shading/Democratic}} data-sort-value="−54.3" | 54.3% D | |||
| {{Party shading/Democratic}} data-sort-value="−10.79" | 10.79% | |||
<!--IE--> | {{USRaceRating|Solid|D}} | |||
<!--Cook--> | {{USRaceRating|Likely|D}} | |||
<!--CNalysis-->| style="background:#99f" data-sort-value=−3.5 | Very Likely D | |||
<!--Sabato--> | {{USRaceRating|Likely|D}} | |||
<!--CNN--> | {{USRaceRating|Lean|D}} | |||
<!--DDHQ--> | {{USRaceRating|Likely|D}} | |||
<!--538--> | {{USRaceRating|Likely|D}} | |||
<!--TheEcon--> | {{USRaceRating|Likely|D}} | |||
<!--YouGov--> | {{USRaceRating|Safe|D}} | |||
| {{Party shading/Democratic}} data-sort-value="−51.9" | ]<br />51.9% D | |||
|- | |||
! ] | |||
| align=center|13 | |||
| {{Shading PVI|D|3}} | |||
| {{Party shading/Democratic}} data-sort-value="−54.1" | 54.1% D | |||
| {{Party shading/Democratic}} data-sort-value="−10.11" | 10.11% | |||
<!--IE--> | {{USRaceRating|Likely|D}} | |||
<!--Cook--> | {{USRaceRating|Likely|D}} | |||
<!--CNalysis-->| {{USRaceRating|Solid|D}} | |||
<!--Sabato--> | {{USRaceRating|Likely|D}} | |||
<!--CNN--> | {{USRaceRating|Lean|D}} | |||
<!--DDHQ--> | {{USRaceRating|Likely|D}} | |||
<!--538--> | {{USRaceRating|Likely|D}} | |||
<!--TheEcon--> | {{USRaceRating|Likely|D}} | |||
<!--YouGov--> | {{USRaceRating|Safe|D}} | |||
| {{Party shading/Democratic}} data-sort-value="−51.8" | ]<br />51.8% D | |||
|- | |||
! ]{{efn|name=ME/NE}} | |||
| align=center|2 | |||
| {{Shading PVI|D|2}} | |||
| {{Party shading/Democratic}} data-sort-value="−53.1" | 53.1% D | |||
| {{Party shading/Democratic}} data-sort-value="−9.07" | 9.07% | |||
<!--IE--> | {{USRaceRating|Likely|D}} | |||
<!--Cook--> | {{USRaceRating|Likely|D}} | |||
<!--CNalysis-->| {{USRaceRating|Solid|D}} | |||
<!--Sabato--> | {{USRaceRating|Likely|D}} | |||
<!--CNN--> | {{USRaceRating|Solid|D}} | |||
<!--DDHQ--> | {{USRaceRating|Safe|D}} | |||
<!--538--> | {{USRaceRating|Likely|D}} | |||
<!--TheEcon--> | {{USRaceRating|Likely|D}} | |||
<!--YouGov--> | {{USRaceRating|Safe|D}} | |||
| {{Party shading/Democratic}} data-sort-value="−52.4" | ]<br />52.4% D | |||
|- | |||
! nowrap| ] | |||
| align=center|4 | |||
| {{Shading PVI|D|1}} | |||
| {{Party shading/Democratic}} data-sort-value="−52.7" | 52.7% D | |||
| {{Party shading/Democratic}} data-sort-value="−7.35" | 7.35% | |||
<!--IE--> | {{USRaceRating|Lean|D}} | |||
<!--Cook--> | {{USRaceRating|Likely|D}} | |||
<!--CNalysis-->| {{USRaceRating|Solid|D}} | |||
<!--Sabato--> | {{USRaceRating|Likely|D}} | |||
<!--CNN--> | {{USRaceRating|Lean|D}} | |||
<!--DDHQ--> | {{USRaceRating|Likely|D}} | |||
<!--538--> | {{USRaceRating|Likely|D}} | |||
<!--TheEcon--> | {{USRaceRating|Likely|D}} | |||
<!--YouGov--> | {{USRaceRating|Safe|D}} | |||
| {{Party shading/Democratic}} data-sort-value="−50.7" | ]<br />50.7% D | |||
|- | |||
! ] | |||
| align=center|10 | |||
| {{Shading PVI|D|1}} | |||
| {{Party shading/Democratic}} data-sort-value="−52.4" | 52.4% D | |||
| {{Party shading/Democratic}} data-sort-value="−7.11" | 7.11% | |||
<!--IE--> | {{USRaceRating|Lean|D}} | |||
<!--Cook--> | {{USRaceRating|Likely|D}} | |||
<!--CNalysis-->| {{USRaceRating|Solid|D}} | |||
<!--Sabato--> | {{USRaceRating|Likely|D}} | |||
<!--CNN--> | {{USRaceRating|Lean|D}} | |||
<!--DDHQ--> | {{USRaceRating|Lean|D}} | |||
<!--538--> | {{USRaceRating|Likely|D}} | |||
<!--TheEcon--> | {{USRaceRating|Likely|D}} | |||
<!--YouGov--> | {{USRaceRating|Likely|D}} | |||
| {{Party shading/Democratic}} data-sort-value="−50.9" | ]<br />50.9% D | |||
|- | |||
! ]{{efn|name=ME/NE}} | |||
| align=center|1 | |||
| {{Shading PVI|EVEN}} | |||
| {{Party shading/Democratic}} data-sort-value="−52.0" | <span class="nowrap">52.0% D{{efn|name=Districts|The boundaries of Maine and Nebraska's congressional districts have since changed because of redistricting.}}</span> | |||
| {{Party shading/Democratic}} data-sort-value="−6.50" | 6.50% | |||
<!--IE--> | {{USRaceRating|Lean|D}} | |||
<!--Cook--> | {{USRaceRating|Likely|D}} | |||
<!--CNalysis-->| {{USRaceRating|Solid|D}} | |||
<!--Sabato--> | {{USRaceRating|Likely|D}} | |||
<!--CNN--> | {{USRaceRating|Lean|D}} | |||
<!--DDHQ--> | {{USRaceRating|Likely|D}} | |||
<!--538--> | {{USRaceRating|Likely|D}} | |||
<!--TheEcon--> | {{USRaceRating|Likely|D}} | |||
<!--YouGov--> | {{USRaceRating|Tossup}} | |||
| {{Party shading/Democratic}} data-sort-value="−51.3" | ]<br />51.3% D | |||
|- | |||
! ] | |||
| align=center|15 | |||
| {{Shading PVI|R|1}} | |||
| {{Party shading/Democratic}} data-sort-value="−50.6" | 50.6% D | |||
| {{Party shading/Democratic}} data-sort-value="−2.78" | 2.78% | |||
<!--IE--> | {{USRaceRating|Tossup}} | |||
<!--Cook--> | {{USRaceRating|Tossup}} | |||
<!--CNalysis-->| {{USRaceRating|Likely|D}} | |||
<!--Sabato--> | {{USRaceRating|Lean|D}} | |||
<!--CNN--> | {{USRaceRating|Tossup}} | |||
<!--DDHQ--> | {{USRaceRating|Tossup}} | |||
<!--538--> | {{USRaceRating|Lean|D}} | |||
<!--TheEcon--> | {{USRaceRating|Lean|D}} | |||
<!--YouGov--> | {{USRaceRating|Lean|D}} | |||
| {{Party shading/Republican}} data-sort-value="49.7" | ]<br />49.7% R {{small|(flip)}} | |||
|- | |||
! ] | |||
| align=center|6 | |||
| {{Shading PVI|R|1}} | |||
| {{Party shading/Democratic}} data-sort-value="−50.1" | 50.1% D | |||
| {{Party shading/Democratic}} data-sort-value="−2.39" | 2.39% | |||
<!--IE--> | {{USRaceRating|Tossup}} | |||
<!--Cook--> | {{USRaceRating|Tossup}} | |||
<!--CNalysis-->| {{USRaceRating|Tilt|D}} | |||
<!--Sabato--> | {{USRaceRating|Lean|D}} | |||
<!--CNN--> | {{USRaceRating|Tossup}} | |||
<!--DDHQ--> | {{USRaceRating|Tossup}} | |||
<!--538--> | {{USRaceRating|Tossup}} | |||
<!--TheEcon--> | {{USRaceRating|Tossup}} | |||
<!--YouGov--> | {{USRaceRating|Tossup}} | |||
| {{Party shading/Republican}} data-sort-value="50.7" | ]<br />50.7% R {{small|(flip)}} | |||
|- | |||
! ] | |||
| align=center|19 | |||
| {{Shading PVI|R|2}} | |||
| {{Party shading/Democratic}} data-sort-value="−50.0" | 50.0% D | |||
| {{Party shading/Democratic}} data-sort-value="−1.16" | 1.16% | |||
<!--IE--> | {{USRaceRating|Tossup}} | |||
<!--Cook--> | {{USRaceRating|Tossup}} | |||
<!--CNalysis-->| {{USRaceRating|Lean|D}} | |||
<!--Sabato--> | {{USRaceRating|Lean|D}} | |||
<!--CNN--> | {{USRaceRating|Tossup}} | |||
<!--DDHQ--> | {{USRaceRating|Tossup}} | |||
<!--538--> | {{USRaceRating|Tossup}} | |||
<!--TheEcon--> | {{USRaceRating|Tossup}} | |||
<!--YouGov--> | {{USRaceRating|Tossup}} | |||
| {{Party shading/Republican}} data-sort-value="50.4" | ]<br />50.4% R {{small|(flip)}} | |||
|- | |||
! ] | |||
| align=center|10 | |||
| {{Shading PVI|R|2}} | |||
| {{Party shading/Democratic}} data-sort-value="−49.5" | 49.5% D | |||
| {{Party shading/Democratic}} data-sort-value="−0.63" | 0.63% | |||
<!--IE--> | {{USRaceRating|Tossup}} | |||
<!--Cook--> | {{USRaceRating|Tossup}} | |||
<!--CNalysis-->| {{USRaceRating|Lean|D}} | |||
<!--Sabato--> | {{USRaceRating|Lean|D}} | |||
<!--CNN--> | {{USRaceRating|Tossup}} | |||
<!--DDHQ--> | {{USRaceRating|Tossup}} | |||
<!--538--> | {{USRaceRating|Tossup}} | |||
<!--TheEcon--> | {{USRaceRating|Tossup}} | |||
<!--YouGov--> | {{USRaceRating|Tossup}} | |||
| {{Party shading/Republican}} data-sort-value="49.6" | ]<br />49.6% R {{small|(flip)}} | |||
|- | |||
! ] | |||
| align=center|11 | |||
| {{Shading PVI|R|2}} | |||
| {{Party shading/Democratic}} data-sort-value="−49.4" | 49.4% D | |||
| {{Party shading/Democratic}} data-sort-value="−0.31" | 0.31% | |||
<!--IE--> | {{USRaceRating|Tossup}} | |||
<!--Cook--> | {{USRaceRating|Tossup}} | |||
<!--CNalysis-->| {{USRaceRating|Tilt|R|flip}} | |||
<!--Sabato--> | {{USRaceRating|Lean|R|flip}} | |||
<!--CNN--> | {{USRaceRating|Tossup}} | |||
<!--DDHQ--> | {{USRaceRating|Tossup}} | |||
<!--538--> | {{USRaceRating|Lean|R|flip}} | |||
<!--TheEcon--> | {{USRaceRating|Lean|R|flip}} | |||
<!--YouGov--> | {{USRaceRating|Tossup}} | |||
| {{Party shading/Republican}} data-sort-value="52.1" | ]<br />52.1% R {{small|(flip)}} | |||
|- | |||
! ] | |||
| align=center|16 | |||
| {{Shading PVI|R|3}} | |||
| {{Party shading/Democratic}} data-sort-value="−49.5" | 49.5% D | |||
| {{Party shading/Democratic}} data-sort-value="−0.24" | 0.24% | |||
<!--IE--> | {{USRaceRating|Tossup}} | |||
<!--Cook--> | {{USRaceRating|Tossup}} | |||
<!--CNalysis-->| {{USRaceRating|Likely|D}} | |||
<!--Sabato--> | {{USRaceRating|Lean|R|flip}} | |||
<!--CNN--> | {{USRaceRating|Tossup}} | |||
<!--DDHQ--> | {{USRaceRating|Tossup}} | |||
<!--538--> | {{USRaceRating|Tossup}} | |||
<!--TheEcon--> | {{USRaceRating|Tossup}} | |||
<!--YouGov--> | {{USRaceRating|Tossup}} | |||
| {{Party shading/Republican}} data-sort-value="50.7" | ]<br />50.7% R {{small|(flip)}} | |||
|- | |||
! ] | |||
| align=center|16 | |||
| {{Shading PVI|R|3}} | |||
| {{Party shading/Republican}} data-sort-value="49.9" | 49.9% R | |||
| {{Party shading/Republican}} data-sort-value="1.35%" | 1.35% | |||
<!--IE--> | {{USRaceRating|Tossup}} | |||
<!--Cook--> | {{USRaceRating|Tossup}} | |||
<!--CNalysis-->| {{USRaceRating|Tilt|D|Flip}} | |||
<!--Sabato--> | {{USRaceRating|Lean|R}} | |||
<!--CNN--> | {{USRaceRating|Tossup}} | |||
<!--DDHQ--> | {{USRaceRating|Tossup}} | |||
<!--538--> | {{USRaceRating|Tossup}} | |||
<!--TheEcon--> | {{USRaceRating|Tossup}} | |||
<!--YouGov--> | {{USRaceRating|Tossup}} | |||
| {{Party shading/Republican}} data-sort-value="50.9" | ]<br />50.9% R | |||
|- | |||
! ] | |||
| align=center|30 | |||
| {{Shading PVI|R|3}} | |||
| {{Party shading/Republican}} data-sort-value="51.2" | 51.2% R | |||
| {{Party shading/Republican}} data-sort-value="3.36" | 3.36% | |||
<!--IE--> | {{USRaceRating|Lean|R}} | |||
<!--Cook--> | {{USRaceRating|Likely|R}} | |||
<!--CNalysis-->| {{USRaceRating|Likely|R}} | |||
<!--Sabato--> | {{USRaceRating|Likely|R}} | |||
<!--CNN--> | {{USRaceRating|Lean|R}} | |||
<!--DDHQ--> | {{USRaceRating|Likely|R}} | |||
<!--538--> | {{USRaceRating|Likely|R}} | |||
<!--TheEcon--> | {{USRaceRating|Likely|R}} | |||
<!--YouGov--> | {{USRaceRating|Lean|R}} | |||
| {{Party shading/Republican}} data-sort-value="56.1" | ]<br />56.1% R | |||
|- | |||
! ] | |||
| align=center|40 | |||
| {{Shading PVI|R|5}} | |||
| {{Party shading/Republican}} data-sort-value="52.1" | 52.1% R | |||
| {{Party shading/Republican}} data-sort-value="5.58" | 5.58% | |||
<!--IE--> | {{USRaceRating|Likely|R}} | |||
<!--Cook--> | {{USRaceRating|Likely|R}} | |||
<!--CNalysis-->| {{USRaceRating|Lean|R}} | |||
<!--Sabato--> | {{USRaceRating|Likely|R}} | |||
<!--CNN--> | {{USRaceRating|Solid|R}} | |||
<!--DDHQ--> | {{USRaceRating|Likely|R}} | |||
<!--538--> | {{USRaceRating|Likely|R}} | |||
<!--TheEcon--> | {{USRaceRating|Likely|R}} | |||
<!--YouGov--> | {{USRaceRating|Lean|R}} | |||
| {{Party shading/Republican}} data-sort-value="56.1" | ]<br />56.1% R | |||
|- | |||
! ]{{efn|name=ME/NE|Unlike the other 48 states and Washington, D.C., which award all of their electors to the candidate who receives the most votes in that state, Maine and Nebraska award two electors to the winner of the statewide vote and one each to the candidate who receives the most votes in each congressional district.}} | |||
| align=center|1 | |||
| {{Shading PVI|R|6}} | |||
| {{Party shading/Republican}} data-sort-value="52.3" | 52.3% R{{efn|name=Districts}} | |||
|{{Party shading/Republican}} data-sort-value="7.44" | 7.44% | |||
<!--IE--> | {{USRaceRating|Lean|R}} | |||
<!--Cook--> | {{USRaceRating|Likely|R}} | |||
<!--CNalysis-->| style="background:#f99" data-sort-value=3.5 | Very Likely R | |||
<!--Sabato--> | {{USRaceRating|Likely|R}} | |||
<!--CNN--> | {{USRaceRating|Lean|R}} | |||
<!--DDHQ--> | {{USRaceRating|Likely|R}} | |||
<!--538--> | {{USRaceRating|Likely|R}} | |||
<!--TheEcon--> | {{USRaceRating|Likely|R}} | |||
<!--YouGov--> | {{USRaceRating|Tossup}} | |||
| {{Party shading/Republican}} data-sort-value="53.7" | ]<br />53.7% R | |||
|- | |||
! ] | |||
| align=center|17 | |||
| {{Shading PVI|R|6}} | |||
| {{Party shading/Republican}} data-sort-value="53.3" | 53.3% R | |||
| {{Party shading/Republican}} data-sort-value="8.03" | 8.03% | |||
<!--IE--> | {{USRaceRating|Likely|R}} | |||
<!--Cook--> | {{USRaceRating|Solid|R}} | |||
<!--CNalysis-->| {{USRaceRating|Likely|R}} | |||
<!--Sabato--> | {{USRaceRating|Safe|R}} | |||
<!--CNN--> | {{USRaceRating|Solid|R}} | |||
<!--DDHQ--> | {{USRaceRating|Likely|R}} | |||
<!--538--> | {{USRaceRating|Likely|R}} | |||
<!--TheEcon--> | {{USRaceRating|Safe|R}} | |||
<!--YouGov--> | {{USRaceRating|Safe|R}} | |||
| {{Party shading/Republican}} data-sort-value="55.1" | ]<br />55.1% R | |||
|- | |||
! ] | |||
| align=center|6 | |||
| {{Shading PVI|R|6}} | |||
| {{Party shading/Republican}} data-sort-value="53.1" | 53.1% R | |||
| {{Party shading/Republican}} data-sort-value="8.20" | 8.20% | |||
<!--IE--> | {{USRaceRating|Tilt|R}} | |||
<!--Cook--> | {{USRaceRating|Likely|R}} | |||
<!--CNalysis-->| {{USRaceRating|Tilt|R}} | |||
<!--Sabato--> | {{USRaceRating|Likely|R}} | |||
<!--CNN--> | {{USRaceRating|Solid|R}} | |||
<!--DDHQ--> | {{USRaceRating|Likely|R}} | |||
<!--538--> | {{USRaceRating|Likely|R}} | |||
<!--TheEcon--> | {{USRaceRating|Likely|R}} | |||
<!--YouGov--> | {{USRaceRating|Safe|R}} | |||
| {{Party shading/Republican}} data-sort-value="55.7" | ]<br />55.7% R | |||
|- | |||
! ] | |||
| align=center|3 | |||
| {{Shading PVI|R|8}} | |||
| {{Party shading/Republican}} data-sort-value="52.8" | 52.8% R | |||
| {{Party shading/Republican}} data-sort-value="10.06" | 10.06% | |||
<!--IE--> | {{USRaceRating|Solid|R}} | |||
<!--Cook--> | {{USRaceRating|Solid|R}} | |||
<!--CNalysis-->| style="background:#f99" data-sort-value=3.5 | Very Likely R | |||
<!--Sabato--> | {{USRaceRating|Safe|R}} | |||
<!--CNN--> | {{USRaceRating|Solid|R}} | |||
<!--DDHQ--> | {{USRaceRating|Solid|R}} | |||
<!--538--> | {{USRaceRating|Likely|R}} | |||
<!--TheEcon--> | {{USRaceRating|Safe|R}} | |||
<!--YouGov--> |{{USRaceRating|Safe|R}} | |||
| {{Party shading/Republican}} data-sort-value="54.5" | ]<br />54.5% R | |||
|- | |||
! ]{{efn|name=ME/NE}} | |||
| align=center|1 | |||
| {{Shading PVI|R|9}} | |||
| {{Party shading/Republican}} data-sort-value="54.3" | <span class="nowrap">54.3% R{{efn|name=Districts}}</span> | |||
| {{Party shading/Republican}} data-sort-value="11.00" | 11.00% | |||
<!--IE--> | {{USRaceRating|Solid|R}} | |||
<!--Cook--> | {{USRaceRating|Solid|R}} | |||
<!--CNalysis-->| {{USRaceRating|Solid|R}} | |||
<!--Sabato--> | {{USRaceRating|Likely|R}} | |||
<!--CNN--> | {{USRaceRating|Solid|R}} | |||
<!--DDHQ--> | {{USRaceRating|Solid|R}} | |||
<!--538--> | {{USRaceRating|Solid|R}} | |||
<!--TheEcon--> | {{USRaceRating|Safe|R}} | |||
<!--YouGov--> | {{USRaceRating|Safe|R}} | |||
| {{Party shading/Republican}} data-sort-value="55.5" | ]<br />55.5% R | |||
|- | |||
! ] | |||
| align=center|6 | |||
| {{Shading PVI|R|10}} | |||
| {{Party shading/Republican}} data-sort-value="55.4" | 56.14% R | |||
| {{Party shading/Republican}} data-sort-value="13.5" | 14.63% | |||
<!--IE--> | {{USRaceRating|Solid|R}} | |||
<!--Cook--> | {{USRaceRating|Solid|R}} | |||
<!--CNalysis-->| {{USRaceRating|Very Likely|R}} | |||
<!--Sabato--> | {{USRaceRating|Safe|R}} | |||
<!--CNN--> | {{USRaceRating|Solid|R}} | |||
<!--DDHQ--> | {{USRaceRating|Solid|R}} | |||
<!--538--> | {{USRaceRating|Solid|R}} | |||
<!--TheEcon--> | {{USRaceRating|Safe|R}} | |||
<!--YouGov--> | {{USRaceRating|Safe|R}} | |||
| {{Party shading/Republican}} data-sort-value="57.2" | ]<br />57.2% R | |||
|- class="sortbottom" | |||
! colspan=5 | Overall | |||
<!--IE--> | {{Party shading/Vacant}} | D – 226<br />R – 219<br />93 tossups | |||
<!--Cook--> | {{Party shading/Vacant}} | D – 226<br />R – 219<br />93 tossups | |||
<!--CNalysis-->| {{Party shading/Democratic}} | D – 308<br />R – 230<br />0 tossups | |||
<!--Sabato--> | {{Party shading/Democratic}} | D – 276<br />R – 262<br />0 tossups | |||
<!--CNN--> | {{Party shading/Vacant}} | D – 226<br />R – 219<br />93 tossups | |||
<!--DDHQ--> | {{Party shading/Vacant}} | D – 226<br />R – 219<br />93 tossups | |||
<!--538--> | {{Party shading/Vacant}} | D – 241<br />R – 230<br />67 tossups | |||
<!--TheEcon--> | {{Party shading/Vacant}} | D – 241<br />R – 230<br />67 tossups | |||
<!--YouGov--> | {{Party shading/Vacant}} | D – 240<br />R – 218<br />80 tossups | |||
<!--Results--> | {{Party shading/Republican}} | R – 312<br />D – 226 | |||
|} | |||
== Debates == | |||
{{Main|2024 United States presidential debates}} | |||
In April 2022, the ] voted unanimously to withdraw from the ] (CPD).<ref>{{cite news |title=Republicans say they're quitting the 'biased' Commission on Presidential Debates |first=Eric |last=McDaniel |publisher=] |date=April 14, 2022|access-date=January 24, 2024 |url=https://www.npr.org/2022/04/14/1092916451/republicans-say-theyre-quitting-the-biased-commission-on-presidential-debates}}</ref> In May 2024, the Biden campaign proposed hosting two debates outside of the CPD timetable and refusing to participate in CPD-hosted debates. Biden and Trump agreed to debates on ] on June 27 and ] on September 10.<ref>{{Cite news |last1=Boak |first1=Josh |last2=Miller |first2=Zeke |last3=Colvin |first3=Jill |date=May 15, 2024 |title=Biden and Trump agree to presidential debates in June on CNN and in September on ABC |url=https://apnews.com/article/2024-election-presidential-debates-biden-trump-6b1d1dbb2ed61c7637041b23662d7da8|access-date=May 15, 2024 |publisher=]}}</ref> The Harris camp suggested that another debate could be held in October after the September 10 debate with Trump.<ref>{{Cite web |last=Bohannon |first=Molly |title=Harris Offers 2 Debates With Trump: 'The Debate About Debates Is Over' |url=https://www.forbes.com/sites/mollybohannon/2024/08/15/harris-offers-2-debates-with-trump-the-debate-about-debates-is-over/ |access-date=August 16, 2024 |work=Forbes}}</ref> On September 12, Trump announced that there would be no third presidential debate.<ref name="bbcsept12">{{Cite web|url=https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/cn9l9500vg7o|title=Trump rules out another presidential debate against Harris|publisher=BBC|last1=Debusmann Jr|first1=Bernd|date=September 12, 2024|access-date=September 13, 2024}}</ref> | |||
=== June 27 presidential debate: Biden vs. Trump === | |||
{{Main|2024 Joe Biden–Donald Trump presidential debate}} | |||
CNN hosted the first major debate of the election on June 27 in Atlanta, with 51 million viewers watching.<ref>{{Cite web |last=Gold |first=Hadas |date=June 28, 2024 |title=51.27 million viewers tuned in to CNN's presidential debate with Biden and Trump |url=https://www.cnn.com/2024/06/28/media/ratings-debate-trump-biden-cnn/index.html |access-date=July 1, 2024 |publisher=CNN}}</ref> Media outlets characterized Biden's debate performance as a "disaster". Some pundits noted that he frequently lost his train of thought and gave meandering, confused answers.<ref>{{Cite magazine |last=Shephard |first=Alex |date=June 27, 2024 |title=Ditch Biden. That Debate Performance Was a Disaster. |url=https://newrepublic.com/article/183242/joe-biden-debate-performance-disaster-trump |access-date=July 1, 2024 |magazine=The New Republic}}</ref><ref>{{cite news |date=June 27, 2024 |title='Babbling' and 'hoarse': Biden's debate performance sends Democrats into a panic |url=https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/2024-election/biden-debate-performance-democrats-panic-rcna157279 |url-status=live |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20240628025208/https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/2024-election/biden-debate-performance-democrats-panic-rcna157279 |archive-date=June 28, 2024 |access-date=June 28, 2024 |publisher=NBC News}}</ref><ref>{{cite news |date=June 27, 2024 |title=A 'disaster': Biden's shaky start in debate with Trump rattles Democrats |url=https://www.reuters.com/world/us/disaster-bidens-shaky-start-debate-with-trump-rattles-democrats-2024-06-28/ |work=Reuters|access-date=November 17, 2024}}</ref> ] and Kaleigh Rogers of ABC News' '']'' argued that, although he had won the debate on policy, Biden had failed to reassure voters that he was capable of serving as president for another four years.<ref>{{cite web |last1=Elliot G. |first1=Morris |last2=Kaleigh |first2=Rogers |date=June 27, 2024 |title=Biden's biggest weakness – his age – on full display tonight at debate: ANALYSIS |url=https://abcnews.go.com/538/bidens-biggest-weakness-age-full-display-thursday-debate-analysis/story?id=111500745 |url-status=live |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20240628035529/https://abcnews.go.com/538/bidens-biggest-weakness-age-full-display-thursday-debate-analysis/story?id=111500745 |archive-date=June 28, 2024 |publisher=ABC News}}</ref> After the debate, elected officials, party strategists, and fundraisers discussed ], including whether prominent Democrats should make a public statement asking him to step aside.<ref>{{Cite news |last1=Ryan |first1=Brad |last2=Clark |first2=Emily |last3=Macmillan |first3=Jade |last4=Thorpe |first4=Andrew |last5=Bevan |first5=Matt |date=June 27, 2024 |title=Biden stumbles as Trump deflects in 'game-changing' presidential debate—as it happened |url=https://www.abc.net.au/news/2024-06-28/us-presidential-debate-joe-biden-donald-trump-atlanta-cnn/104029404 |url-status=live |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20240628073808/https://www.abc.net.au/news/2024-06-28/us-presidential-debate-joe-biden-donald-trump-atlanta-cnn/104029404 |archive-date=June 28, 2024 |access-date=June 28, 2024 |publisher=ABC News}}</ref> In response, Biden initially stated that he would not be dropping out, and prominent Democratic politicians, including ] and ], reiterated their support for Biden following the debate.<ref>{{Cite web |date=July 5, 2024 |title=Biden dismisses age questions in interview as he tries to salvage reelection effort |url=https://apnews.com/article/president-joe-biden-campaign-wisconsin-abc-news-e4657f86f5e82b10a5fefb526bc49b08 |access-date=July 6, 2024 |publisher=Associated Press |last1=Long |first1=Colleen |last2=Kim |first2=Seung Min}}</ref><ref>{{Cite news |last=Cameron |first=Chris |date=June 28, 2024 |title=Obama Defends Biden: 'Bad Debate Nights Happen' |url=https://www.nytimes.com/2024/06/28/us/politics/obama-biden-debate.html|access-date=June 29, 2024 |work=The New York Times}}</ref><ref>{{Cite web |last=Teshome |first=Eden |date=June 28, 2024 |title=Hillary Clinton after debate: 'I'll be voting Biden' |url=https://thehill.com/homenews/campaign/4746275-hillary-clinton-after-debate-voting-biden/ |access-date=June 29, 2024 |work=The Hill}}</ref> The debate performance led to Biden ultimately ] on July 21.<ref name="NBC Timeline"/> | |||
=== September 10 presidential debate: Harris vs. Trump === | |||
{{Further|2024 United States presidential debates#September 10: Second presidential debate (ABC, Philadelphia)}} | |||
The second presidential debate was held on Tuesday, September 10, by ABC News;<ref>{{Cite web|date=September 11, 2024 |title=Presidential Debate TV Review: Kamala Harris Baits Raging Donald Trump Into His Worst Self In Face-Off|url=https://deadline.com/2024/09/presidential-debate-highlights-recap-trump-harris-1236084242/|work=Deadline Hollywood|last1=Patten |first1=Dominic |last2=Johnson |first2=Ted|access-date=November 17, 2024}}</ref> 67.1 million viewers watched it.<ref>{{cite web|url=https://deadline.com/2024/09/trump-harris-debate-ratings-1236085057/|title=ABC News' Trump-Harris Debate Draws 67.1 Million, Far More Than June's Trump-Biden Event|work=]|date=September 11, 2024|access-date=September 14, 2024|last1=Johnson|first1=Ted}}</ref> Although Trump had proposed a debate on Fox News,<ref>{{cite web |last1=Marquez |first1=Alexandra |last2=Alcindor |first2=Yamiche |title=Trump ditches upcoming ABC debate, proposes Fox News debate instead |url=https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/2024-election/trump-ditches-abc-debate-agrees-fox-news-kamala-rcna164992 |publisher=NBC News |date=August 3, 2024 |access-date=August 6, 2024}}</ref> he later accepted the debate on ABC.<ref>{{cite web |last1=Lynch |first1=James |title=Trump Confirms ABC Debate against Kamala Harris Will Move Forward |url=https://www.nationalreview.com/news/trump-confirms-abc-debate-against-kamala-harris-will-move-forward/ |website=National Review |date=August 27, 2024 |access-date= August 27, 2024}}</ref> The debate was held at the ] in Philadelphia and lasted for about 100 minutes.<ref>{{Cite web |url=https://edition.cnn.com/2024/09/08/politics/kamala-harris-donald-trump-debate/index.html |title=Harris prepares for the showdown she's long sought with Trump as he takes more informal approach |first1=Eric |last1=Bradner |first2=Jeff |last2=Zeleny |first3=Alayna |last3=Treene |first4=Arit |last4=John |date=September 8, 2024 |publisher=CNN|access-date=November 17, 2024}}</ref> ABC's debate topics included abortion, the economy, foreign policy, and immigration.<ref>{{Cite news|url=https://abcnews.go.com/Politics/harris-trump-presidential-debate-transcript/story?id=113560542|title=Read: Harris-Trump presidential debate transcript|first=Riley|last=Hoffman|publisher=ABC News|date=September 10, 2024|access-date=September 20, 2024}}</ref> Most news organizations declared Harris the winner of the debate,{{Efn|name=Winner|Most news organizations declared Harris the winner of the presidential debate.<ref>{{Cite web |last=Collinson |first=Stephen |date=September 11, 2024 |title=Analysis: Harris bests Trump in debate but there's no guarantee it will shape the election |url=https://edition.cnn.com/2024/09/11/politics/harris-trump-debate-analysis/index.html |access-date=September 11, 2024 |publisher=CNN}}</ref><ref>{{Cite web |title=Harris won the debate—and it wasn't close |url=https://www.politico.com/news/2024/09/11/harris-biden-debate-winner-takeaways-00178442|work=Politico|date=September 11, 2024|access-date=November 17, 2024}}</ref><ref>{{Cite web |last1=Goldmacher|first1=Shane|last2=Rogers|first2=Katie|title=Harris Dominates as Trump Gets Defensive: 6 Takeaways From the Debate |url=https://www.nytimes.com/2024/09/11/us/politics/trump-harris-debate-takeaways.html|work=The New York Times|date=September 11, 2024|access-date=November 17, 2024}}</ref><ref>{{Cite web |last=Anderson |first=Zac |title=Who won the debate? Harris' forceful performance rattles a defensive Trump. |url=https://www.usatoday.com/story/news/politics/elections/2024/09/10/who-won-harris-trump-presidential-debate/75148815007/ |access-date=September 11, 2024 |work=USA Today}}</ref><ref>{{Cite web |last=Griffiths |first=Brent D. |title=All the signs Trump lost the debate |url=https://www.businessinsider.com/trump-lost-debate-polls-prediction-market-reaction-taylor-swift-rematch-2024-9 |access-date=September 11, 2024|date=September 11, 2024|work=Business Insider}}</ref><ref>{{Cite web |last=Levitz |first=Eric |date=September 11, 2024 |title=Donald Trump lost the debate because he's too online |url=https://www.vox.com/politics/371345/trump-harris-debate-winner-truth-social |access-date=September 11, 2024 |work=Vox}}</ref><ref>{{Cite news |last1=Bayoumi |first1=Moustafa |last2=Brown |first2=LaTosha |last3=Davis |first3=Ben |last4=Green |first4=Lloyd |last5=Mahdawi |first5=Arwa |last6=Sunkara |first6=Bhaskar |date=September 11, 2024 |title=Who won Kamala Harris and Donald Trump's first debate? Our panel reacts |url=https://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/article/2024/sep/11/who-won-harris-trump-debate |access-date=September 11, 2024 |work=The Guardian |language=en-GB}}</ref><ref>{{Cite web |date=September 10, 2024|title='Donald Trump got destroyed': See Maddow and MSNBC panel instantly react to historic debate |url=https://www.msnbc.com/msnbc/watch/-donald-trump-got-destroyed-see-maddow-and-msnbc-panel-instantly-react-to-historic-debate-219049029612 |access-date=September 11, 2024 |website=MSNBC}}</ref><ref>{{Cite web |last=Barabak |first=Mark|date=September 11, 2024 |title=Column: Trump was Trump in his debate with Kamala Harris—which is why he came across so poorly |url=https://www.latimes.com/politics/story/2024-09-11/trump-harris-presidential-debate-analysis-barabak |access-date=September 11, 2024 |work=Los Angeles Times}}</ref>}} and polling showed voters thought Harris won the debate by what ''The Washington Post'' described as a "historically large" margin.<ref>{{cite news |last=Blake |first=Aaron |title=How resounding was Kamala Harris's debate win? Let's look at the polls. |url=https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/2024/09/11/kamala-harris-debate-performance-polls/ |newspaper=The Washington Post |date=September 11, 2024|access-date=November 17, 2024}}</ref> During the debate, Trump made numerous false assertions and extreme statements, including ] and Democrats supporting infanticide.<ref>{{Cite web |last=Ulmer |first=Alexandra |date=September 11, 2024 |title=At debate, Trump shares falsehoods about pet-eating, infanticide |url=https://www.reuters.com/world/us/debate-trump-shares-falsehoods-about-pet-eating-infanticide-2024-09-11/ |access-date=September 11, 2024 |work=Reuters}}</ref> CNN found that Trump made over 30 false claims during the debate, while Harris only made one.<ref>{{cite web|url=https://www.cnn.com/2024/09/10/politics/fact-check-debate-trump-harris/index.html |title=Fact-checking the ABC News presidential debate |<!--author=Staff writer|-->publisher=]|date=September 11, 2024 |access-date=September 27, 2024}}</ref> Republicans attributed Trump's low debate performance to their perception of biased debate moderation by ABC News because the moderators fact-checked him more than four times but did not fact-check Harris.<ref>{{Cite web|url=https://apnews.com/article/trump-harris-abc-muir-debate-80459d35f25c8fd3207c558bdb7e2339|title=As Trump and Harris spar, ABC's moderators grapple with conducting a debate in a polarized country|date=September 11, 2024|publisher=Associated Press|last1=Bauder|first1=David|access-date=September 13, 2024}}</ref><ref>{{Cite web|url=https://www.politico.com/news/2024/09/11/republicans-blame-moderators-trump-debate-performance-00178591|title=Republicans have an answer for Trump's poor debate performance |website=Politico|date=September 11, 2024|access-date=September 13, 2024|last1=Ngo|first1=Emily|last2=Leonard|first2=Kimberly|last3=Allison|first3=Natalie|last4=Piper|first4=Jessica|last5=Otterbein|first5=Holly}}</ref> | |||
=== October 1 vice presidential debate: Vance vs. Walz === | |||
{{Further|2024 United States presidential debates#October 1: Vice presidential debate (CBS, New York City)}} | |||
Vice presidential candidates ] and ] participated in a debate hosted by ] on October 1 at the ] in New York City.<ref>{{cite news |last1=Price |first1=Michelle L. |last2=Megerian |first2=Chris |last3=Colvin |first3=Jill |last4=Weissert |first4=Will |title=Walz and Vance go in depth on policy while attacking each other's running mates in VP debate |url=https://apnews.com/article/vance-walz-vice-presidential-debate-election-66ff2e5e45a8dda55b0a2242fc238fdc |publisher=Associated Press |date=October 2, 2024}}</ref><ref> ]</ref> Topics discussed during the debate included immigration, abortion, and the economy.<ref> NBC News</ref><ref> The Guardian</ref> Fact checking was primarily done online,<ref name=cbssept27>{{Cite web |last=Bauder |first=David |date=September 27, 2024 |title=CBS News says it will be up to Vance and Walz to fact-check each other in veep debate |url=https://apnews.com/article/cbs-debate-vice-president-fact-check-7a3b31c98ab092dd44915df57a359d10 |access-date=September 29, 2024 |publisher=Associated Press News |archive-date=September 28, 2024 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20240928232522/https://apnews.com/article/cbs-debate-vice-president-fact-check-7a3b31c98ab092dd44915df57a359d10 |url-status=live}}</ref> with Vance making more false and misleading claims than Walz.<ref>{{Cite web |date=October 2, 2024 |title=Fact-checking the CBS News vice presidential debate between Vance and Walz |url=https://www.cnn.com/2024/10/01/politics/fact-check-vance-walz-debate/index.html |access-date=October 26, 2024 |publisher=CNN}}</ref> Forty-three million viewers watched the debate.<ref>{{cite news |last1=Stelter |first1=Brian|title=43 million watched Walz-Vance VP debate, in significant drop from 2020 matchup |url=https://www.cnn.com/2024/10/02/media/vp-debate-ratings-vance-walz-cbs/index.html |access-date=October 5, 2024 |publisher=] |date=October 2, 2024}}</ref> Many debate watchers viewed the debate as "positive" and "civil". According to polling, both candidates polled about even among viewers who were asked who won the debate,<ref>{{Cite web |last1=Pinto |first1=Jennifer De |last2=Backus |first2=Fred |last3=Khanna |first3=Kabir |last4=Salvanto |first4=Anthony |date=October 2, 2024 |title=Who won the VP debate? Here's what debate watchers said in CBS News poll|publisher=CBS News |url=https://www.cbsnews.com/news/cbs-news-vp-debate-poll-2024/ |access-date=October 3, 2024}}</ref> while Vance was considered the winner by a majority of columnists.{{efn|Vance was declared the winner of the debate by columnists from '']'',<ref>{{Cite news |last=Douthat |first=Ross |title=Vance's Dominant Debate Performance Shows Why He's Trump's Running Mate |work=The New York Times |date=October 2, 2024 |url=https://www.nytimes.com/2024/09/25/opinion/vance-winning-debate.html |access-date=October 2, 2024 |archive-date=October 2, 2024 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20241002022305/https://www.nytimes.com/2024/09/25/opinion/vance-winning-debate.html |url-status=live}}</ref> '']'',<ref>{{Cite news |title=Who Won the Vice-Presidential Debate, Tim Walz or JD Vance? |url=https://www.wsj.com/opinion/who-won-the-vice-presidential-debate-tim-walz-or-jd-vance-5356d4e4 |last=Opinion Staff |first=WSJ |date=October 2, 2024 |work=]}}</ref> the '']'',<ref>{{Cite news |last=Jennings |first=Scott |title=Opinion: JD Vance won the debate with Tim Walz, hands down |url=https://www.latimes.com/opinion/story/2024-10-01/vice-president-debate-jd-vance-tim-walz |work=Los Angeles Times |date=October 2, 2024 |access-date=October 2, 2024 |archive-date=October 2, 2024 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20241002105239/https://www.latimes.com/opinion/story/2024-10-01/vice-president-debate-jd-vance-tim-walz |url-status=live}}</ref> '']'',<ref>{{Cite news |last=Potas |first=Dace |title=Opinion: I was wrong about Vance. VP debate shows Republicans can win because of him. |url=https://www.usatoday.com/story/opinion/columnist/2024/10/01/vance-vice-president-debate-trump-voters-republicans/75476158007/ |work=USA Today |date=October 1, 2024 |access-date=October 2, 2024 |archive-date=October 2, 2024 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20241002105240/https://www.usatoday.com/story/opinion/columnist/2024/10/01/vance-vice-president-debate-trump-voters-republicans/75476158007/ |url-status=live}}</ref> the '']'',<ref>{{Cite news|date=October 2, 2024|url-access=subscription|url=https://www.ft.com/content/b2d48244-2f1c-4b5c-9f9f-a2cae17fc4d2|archive-url=https://archive.today/20241002054345|archive-date=October 2, 2024|url-status=live|first=Edward|last=Luce|title=JD Vance won the debate, but it probably will not matter|work=Financial Times}}</ref> and '']'',<ref>{{Cite news |title=It was a very Midwestern debate. And Vance won. |url=https://www.politico.com/news/2024/10/02/vance-walz-who-won-vp-debate-roundtable-00181905 |date=October 2, 2024|work=Politico}}</ref> while Walz was declared the winner by a columnist from ].<ref>{{Cite news |title=One was smooth, the other won: Rachel Maddow and MSNBC panel react to the vice presidential debate |publisher=] |url=https://www.msnbc.com/msnbc/watch/one-was-smooth-the-other-won-rachel-maddow-and-msnbc-panel-react-to-the-vice-presidential-debate-220634181616 |url-status=live |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20241002105253/https://www.msnbc.com/msnbc/watch/one-was-smooth-the-other-won-rachel-maddow-and-msnbc-panel-react-to-the-vice-presidential-debate-220634181616 |archive-date=October 2, 2024 |access-date=October 2, 2024}}</ref>}}<!--Shorten?--> | |||
=== Minor debates and forums === | |||
{{Main|Third-party and independent candidates for the 2024 United States presidential election#Debates and forums}} | |||
Various debates and forums were held, sponsored by the ].<ref>{{Cite web |title=Free & Equal Debate History |url=https://freeandequal.org/debates/ |access-date=November 5, 2024 |work=Free and Equal}}</ref> Robert F. Kennedy Jr. organized a separate debate, taking place during the Trump–Harris event.<ref>{{cite web |date=June 27, 2024 |title=Robert Kennedy didn't make the debate stage but he answered the same questions during a rival event |url=https://apnews.com/article/kennedy-rfk-debate-campaign-trail-284054ed5b3f470fab9715938b4af87c |access-date=November 10, 2024 |website=AP News |language=en}}</ref> | |||
== Results == | |||
=== Electoral results === | |||
{{start U.S. presidential ticket box|pv_footnote=<ref name="aper"/>|ev_footnote=<ref name="aper"/>}} | |||
{{U.S. presidential ticket box row|name=]|party=]|state=]|pv=77,303,573|pv_pct=49.72%|ev=312|vp_name=]|vp_state=]}} | |||
{{U.S. presidential ticket box row|name=]|party=]|state=]|pv=75,019,257|pv_pct=48.25%|ev=226|vp_name=]|vp_state=]}} | |||
{{U.S. presidential ticket box row|name=]|party=]|state=]|pv=868,945|pv_pct=0.55%|ev=0|vp_name=]|vp_state=]}} | |||
{{U.S. presidential ticket box row|name=]|party=]|state=]|pv=757,371|pv_pct=0.49%|ev=0|vp_name=]|vp_state=]}} | |||
{{U.S. presidential ticket box row|name=]|party=]|state=]|pv=650,120|pv_pct=0.42%|ev=0|vp_name=]|vp_state=]}} | |||
{{U.S. presidential ticket box other|footnote=|pv=380,770|pv_pct=0.25%}} | |||
{{end U.S. presidential ticket box|pv=155,289,257|pv_pct=100.00%|ev=538|to_win=270}} | |||
{{#invoke:bar|box | |||
|title=Popular vote | |||
|titlebar=#ddd | |||
|width=600px | |||
|barwidth=410px | |||
|bars= | |||
{{#invoke:bar|percent|'''Trump'''|{{party color|Republican Party (US)}}|49.74}} | |||
{{#invoke:bar|percent|Harris|{{party color|Democratic Party (US)}}|48.27}} | |||
{{#invoke:bar|percent|Stein|{{party color|Green Party (US)}}|0.55}} | |||
{{#invoke:bar|percent|Kennedy|{{party color|Independent (politician)}}|0.49}} | |||
{{#invoke:bar|percent|Oliver|{{party color|Libertarian Party (US)}}|0.42}} | |||
{{#invoke:bar|percent|Others|#777777|0.54}} | |||
}} | |||
{{#invoke:bar|box | |||
|title=Electoral vote—pledged | |||
|titlebar=#ddd | |||
|width=600px | |||
|barwidth=410px | |||
|bars= | |||
{{#invoke:bar|percent|'''Trump'''|{{party color|Republican Party (US)}}|57.99}} | |||
{{#invoke:bar|percent|Harris|{{party color|Democratic Party (US)}}|42.01}} | |||
}} | |||
===Results by state=== | |||
Final reports as compiled from the certified vote totals of each state or district.<ref name="aper"/> | |||
{| class="wikitable" style="font-size:90%;line-height:1.2" | |||
|+ style=line-height:1.5|Legend | |||
|- {{Party shading/Republican}} | |||
|colspan="2"| States won by ]/] | |||
|- {{Party shading/Democratic}} | |||
|colspan="2"| States won by ]/] | |||
|- | |||
| EV || Electoral votes | |||
|- | |||
| † || At-large results (for Maine and Nebraska, which both split electoral votes) | |||
|} | |||
<div style="overflow:auto"> | |||
{| class="wikitable sortable" style="text-align:right;font-size:90%;line-height:1.2" | |||
! rowspan=2 {{verth|stp=1|State or<br />district}} | |||
! colspan="3" rowspan="1" |Trump/Vance<br />Republican | |||
! colspan="3" rowspan="1" |Harris/Walz<br />Democratic | |||
! colspan="3" rowspan="1" |Stein/Ware<br />Green | |||
! colspan="3" rowspan="1" |Kennedy/Shanahan<br />Independent | |||
! colspan="3" rowspan="1" |Oliver/Maat<br />Libertarian | |||
! colspan="3" rowspan="1" |Others | |||
! colspan="2" rowspan="1" |Margin | |||
!Margin<br />swing{{Efn|Percentage point difference in margin from the ]}} | |||
! colspan="1" rowspan="2" |Total<br />votes | |||
|- | |||
!data-sort-type="number" style="padding-left:0.2em"| Votes | |||
!data-sort-type="number"| % | |||
!data-sort-type="number" {{verth|stp=1|va=middle|{{abbr|EV|Electoral votes}}}} | |||
!data-sort-type="number" style="padding-left:0.2em"| Votes | |||
!data-sort-type="number"| % | |||
!data-sort-type="number" {{verth|stp=1|va=middle|{{abbr|EV|Electoral votes}}}} | |||
!data-sort-type="number" style="padding-left:0.2em"| Votes | |||
!data-sort-type="number"| % | |||
!data-sort-type="number" {{verth|stp=1|va=middle|{{abbr|EV|Electoral votes}}}} | |||
!data-sort-type="number" style="padding-left:0.2em"| Votes | |||
!data-sort-type="number"| % | |||
!data-sort-type="number" {{verth|stp=1|va=middle|{{abbr|EV|Electoral votes}}}} | |||
!data-sort-type="number" style="padding-left:0.2em"| Votes | |||
!data-sort-type="number"| % | |||
!data-sort-type="number" {{verth|stp=1|va=middle|{{abbr|EV|Electoral votes}}}} | |||
!data-sort-type="number" style="padding-left:0.2em"| Votes | |||
!data-sort-type="number"| % | |||
!data-sort-type="number" {{verth|stp=1|va=middle|{{abbr|EV|Electoral votes}}}} | |||
!data-sort-type="number" style="padding-left:0.2em"| Votes | |||
!data-sort-type="number"| % | |||
!data-sort-type="number"| % | |||
|- {{Party shading/Republican}} | |||
|style=text-align:center| ]<ref>{{Cite web|url=https://www.sos.alabama.gov/alabama-votes |title=Alabama Votes - Alabama Secretary of State - Final Canvass of Results for the 2024 General Election|website=sos.alabama.gov|date=November 26, 2024|access-date=December 3, 2024}}</ref> | |||
|'''1,462,616''' | |||
|'''64.6%''' | |||
|9 | |||
|772,412 | |||
|34.1% | |||
|– | |||
|4,319 | |||
|0.2% | |||
|– | |||
|12,075 | |||
|0.5% | |||
|– | |||
|4,930 | |||
|0.2% | |||
|– | |||
|8,738 | |||
|0.4% | |||
|– | |||
|690,204 | |||
|30.5% | |||
|5.01% | |||
|2,265,090 | |||
|- {{Party shading/Republican}} | |||
|style=text-align:center| ]<ref></ref> | |||
|'''184,458''' | |||
|'''54.5%''' | |||
|3 | |||
|140,026 | |||
|41.4% | |||
|– | |||
|2,342 | |||
|0.7% | |||
|– | |||
|5,670 | |||
|1.7% | |||
|– | |||
|3,040 | |||
|0.9% | |||
|– | |||
|2,641 | |||
|0.5% | |||
|– | |||
|44,432 | |||
|13.1% | |||
|3.07% | |||
|338,177 | |||
|- {{Party shading/Republican}} | |||
|style=text-align:center| ]<ref>{{Cite web|url=https://azsos.gov/elections/election-information/2024-election-info |title=2024 General Election Signed Canvass (Signed Nov 25, 2024) - pdf|date=November 22, 2024|access-date=December 3, 2024}}</ref> | |||
|'''1,770,242''' | |||
|'''52.2%''' | |||
|11 | |||
|1,582,860 | |||
|46.7% | |||
|– | |||
|18,319 | |||
|0.5% | |||
|– | |||
|– | |||
|– | |||
|– | |||
|17,898 | |||
|0.5% | |||
|– | |||
|842 | |||
|0.03% | |||
|– | |||
|187,382 | |||
|5.5% | |||
|5.84% | |||
|3,390,161 | |||
|- {{Party shading/Republican}} | |||
|style=text-align:center| ]<ref>{{cite web|url=https://results.enr.clarityelections.com/AR/122502/web.345435/#/summary |title=Official Results|website=Clarity Elections|date=November 5, 2024|access-date=November 30, 2024}}</ref> | |||
|'''759,241''' | |||
|'''64.2%''' | |||
|6 | |||
|396,905 | |||
|33.6% | |||
|– | |||
|4,275 | |||
|0.4% | |||
|– | |||
|13,255 | |||
|1.1% | |||
|– | |||
|5,715 | |||
|0.5% | |||
|– | |||
|3,285 | |||
|0.3% | |||
|– | |||
|362,336 | |||
|30.6% | |||
|3.02% | |||
|1,182,676 | |||
|- {{Party shading/Democratic}} | |||
|style=text-align:center| ]<ref>{{Cite web|url=https://www.sos.ca.gov/elections/prior-elections/statewide-election-results/general-election-nov-5-2024/statement-vote |title=General Election - Statement of Vote - Complete Statement of Vote (PDF)|website=sos.ca.gov|date=December 13, 2024|access-date=December 13, 2024}}</ref> | |||
|6,081,697 | |||
|38.3% | |||
|– | |||
|'''9,276,179''' | |||
|'''58.5%''' | |||
|54 | |||
|167,814 | |||
|1.1% | |||
|– | |||
|197,645 | |||
|1.2% | |||
|– | |||
|66,662 | |||
|0.4% | |||
|– | |||
|75,478 | |||
|0.5% | |||
|– | |||
|−3,194,482 | |||
|−20.2% | |||
|9.02% | |||
|15,865,475 | |||
|- {{Party shading/Democratic}} | |||
|style=text-align:center| ]<ref>{{Cite web|url=https://www.archives.gov/electoral-college/2024 |title=2024 Electoral College Results - Colorado pdf|date=December 6, 2024|access-date=December 22, 2024}}</ref> | |||
|1,377,441 | |||
|43.1% | |||
|– | |||
|'''1,728,159''' | |||
|'''54.1%''' | |||
|10 | |||
|17,344 | |||
|0.5% | |||
|– | |||
|35,623 | |||
|1.1% | |||
|– | |||
|21,439 | |||
|0.7% | |||
|– | |||
|12,739 | |||
|0.4% | |||
|– | |||
|−350,718 | |||
|−11.0% | |||
|2.52% | |||
|3,192,745 | |||
|- {{Party shading/Democratic}} | |||
|style=text-align:center| ]<ref>{{Cite web|url=https://ctemspublic.tgstg.net/#/home |title=Public Reporting - Connecticut Secretary of State Election Night Reporting - ELECTION CENTER - Official Results|website=ctemspublic.tgstg.net|access-date=December 5, 2024}}</ref> | |||
|736,918 | |||
|41.9% | |||
|– | |||
|'''992,053''' | |||
|'''56.4%''' | |||
|7 | |||
|14,281 | |||
|0.8% | |||
|– | |||
|8,448 | |||
|0.5% | |||
|– | |||
|6,729 | |||
|0.4% | |||
|– | |||
|581 | |||
|0.04% | |||
|– | |||
|−255,135 | |||
|−14.5% | |||
|5.56% | |||
|1,759,010 | |||
|- {{Party shading/Democratic}} | |||
|style=text-align:center| ]<ref>{{cite web|url=https://elections.delaware.gov/results/html/index.shtml?dc=report&electionId=GE2024 |title=Delaware Official Election Results|website=Department of Elections – State of Delaware|date=November 5, 2024|access-date=November 25, 2024}}</ref><ref>{{Cite web|url=https://www.archives.gov/electoral-college/2024 |title=2024 Electoral College Results - Delaware pdf|date=November 20, 2024|website=National Archives|access-date=December 26, 2024}}</ref> | |||
|214,351 | |||
|41.8% | |||
|– | |||
|'''289,758''' | |||
|'''56.5%''' | |||
|3 | |||
|914 | |||
|0.2% | |||
|– | |||
|4,636 | |||
|0.9% | |||
|– | |||
|2,038 | |||
|0.4% | |||
|– | |||
|1,215 | |||
|0.2% | |||
|– | |||
|−75,407 | |||
|−14.7% | |||
|4.27% | |||
|512,912 | |||
|- {{Party shading/Democratic}} | |||
|style=text-align:center| ]<ref>{{Cite web|title=General Election 2024 - Certified Results|url=https://electionresults.dcboe.org/election_results/2024-General-Election |access-date=December 2, 2024|website=electionresults.dcboe.org|date=December 2, 2024}}</ref> | |||
|21,076 | |||
|6.5% | |||
|– | |||
|'''294,185''' | |||
|'''90.3%''' | |||
|3 | |||
|– | |||
|– | |||
|– | |||
|2,778 | |||
|0.9% | |||
|– | |||
|– | |||
|– | |||
|– | |||
|7,830 | |||
|2.4% | |||
|– | |||
|−273,109 | |||
|−83.8% | |||
|2.94% | |||
|325,869 | |||
|- {{Party shading/Republican}} | |||
|style=text-align:center| ]<ref>{{cite web|url=https://floridaelectionwatch.gov/FederalOffices/President |title=2024 General Election - November 5, 2024 - Official Election Results|website=Florida Election Watch|date=November 5, 2024|access-date=November 25, 2024}}</ref> | |||
|'''6,110,125''' | |||
|'''56.1%''' | |||
|30 | |||
|4,683,038 | |||
|43.0% | |||
|– | |||
|43,155 | |||
|0.4% | |||
|– | |||
|– | |||
|– | |||
|– | |||
|31,972 | |||
|0.3% | |||
|– | |||
|25,462 | |||
|0.2% | |||
|– | |||
|1,427,087 | |||
|13.1% | |||
|9.74% | |||
|10,893,752 | |||
|- {{Party shading/Republican}} | |||
|style=text-align:center| ]<ref>{{Cite web|url=https://results.sos.ga.gov/results/public/Georgia/elections/2024NovGen |title=OFFICIAL RESULTS|website=results.sos.ga.gov|date=November 22, 2024|access-date=December 3, 2024}}</ref> | |||
|'''2,663,117''' | |||
|'''50.7%''' | |||
|16 | |||
|2,548,017 | |||
|48.5% | |||
|– | |||
|18,229 | |||
|0.4% | |||
|– | |||
|– | |||
|– | |||
|– | |||
|20,684 | |||
|0.4% | |||
|– | |||
|– | |||
|– | |||
|– | |||
|115,100 | |||
|2.2% | |||
|2.44% | |||
|5,250,047 | |||
|- {{Party shading/Democratic}} | |||
|style=text-align:center| ]<ref>{{Cite web|url=https://elections.hawaii.gov/election-results/ |title=Statewide Summary - Final Report|website=elections.hawaii.gov|date=November 13, 2024|access-date=November 30, 2024}}</ref> | |||
|193,661 | |||
|37.5% | |||
|– | |||
|'''313,044''' | |||
|'''60.6%''' | |||
|4 | |||
|4,387 | |||
|0.8% | |||
|– | |||
|– | |||
|– | |||
|– | |||
|2,733 | |||
|0.5% | |||
|– | |||
|2,876 | |||
|0.6% | |||
|– | |||
|−119,383 | |||
|−22.8% | |||
|6.35% | |||
|516,701 | |||
|- {{Party shading/Republican}} | |||
|style=text-align:center| ]<ref>{{Cite web|url=https://results.voteidaho.gov/presidential.html |title=Presidential Official Results|website=results.voteidaho.gov|date=November 26, 2024|access-date=December 3, 2024}}</ref> | |||
|'''605,246''' | |||
|'''66.9%''' | |||
|4 | |||
|274,972 | |||
|30.4% | |||
|– | |||
|2,973 | |||
|0.3% | |||
|– | |||
|12,812 | |||
|1.4% | |||
|– | |||
|4,462 | |||
|0.5% | |||
|– | |||
|4,347 | |||
|0.5% | |||
|– | |||
|330,274 | |||
|36.5% | |||
|5.72% | |||
|904,812 | |||
|- {{Party shading/Democratic}} | |||
|style=text-align:center| ]<ref></ref><ref>{{Cite web|url=https://www.archives.gov/electoral-college/2024 |title=2024 Electoral College Results - Illinois pdf|date=December 2, 2024|website=National Archives|access-date=December 28, 2024}}</ref> | |||
|2,449,079 | |||
|43.5% | |||
|– | |||
|'''3,062,863''' | |||
|'''54.4%''' | |||
|19 | |||
|31,023 | |||
|0.6% | |||
|– | |||
|80,426 | |||
|1.4% | |||
|– | |||
|3,510 | |||
|0.1% | |||
|– | |||
|6,409 | |||
|0.1% | |||
|– | |||
|−613,784 | |||
|−10.9% | |||
|6.09% | |||
|5,633,310 | |||
|- {{Party shading/Republican}} | |||
|style=text-align:center| ]<ref>{{Cite web|url=https://www.archives.gov/electoral-college/2024 |title=2024 Electoral College Results - Indiana pdf|date=December 10, 2024|website=National Archives|access-date=December 28, 2024}}</ref> | |||
|'''1,720,347''' | |||
|'''58.8%''' | |||
|11 | |||
|1,153,603 | |||
|39.4% | |||
|– | |||
|– | |||
|– | |||
|– | |||
|29,325 | |||
|1.0% | |||
|– | |||
|20,425 | |||
|0.7% | |||
|– | |||
|2,905 | |||
|0.1% | |||
|– | |||
|566,744 | |||
|19.4% | |||
|3.30% | |||
|2,926,605 | |||
|- {{Party shading/Republican}} | |||
|style=text-align:center| ]<ref>{{cite web|url=https://electionresults.iowa.gov/IA/122322/web.345435/#/summary |title=2024 General Election - 11/5/2024 - Official Results|website=Election Results Iowa|date=December 2, 2024|access-date=December 2, 2024}}</ref> | |||
|'''927,019''' | |||
|'''55.7%''' | |||
|6 | |||
|707,278 | |||
|42.5% | |||
|– | |||
|– | |||
|– | |||
|– | |||
|13,122 | |||
|0.8% | |||
|– | |||
|7,218 | |||
|0.4% | |||
|– | |||
|8,869 | |||
|0.5% | |||
|– | |||
|219,741 | |||
|13.2% | |||
|5.01% | |||
|1,663,506 | |||
|- {{Party shading/Republican}} | |||
|style=text-align:center| ]<ref>{{Cite web|url=https://sos.ks.gov/elections/election-results.html |title=2024 Official General Election Results - pdf|access-date=December 3, 2024}}</ref> | |||
|'''758,802''' | |||
|'''57.2%''' | |||
|6 | |||
|544,853 | |||
|41.0% | |||
|– | |||
|– | |||
|– | |||
|– | |||
|16,322 | |||
|1.2% | |||
|– | |||
|7,614 | |||
|0.6% | |||
|– | |||
|– | |||
|– | |||
|– | |||
|213,949 | |||
|16.2% | |||
|1.48% | |||
|1,327,591 | |||
|- {{Party shading/Republican}} | |||
|style=text-align:center| ]<ref>{{cite web|title=2024 Electoral College Results - Kentucky pdf|url=https://www.archives.gov/electoral-college/2024 |date=December 9, 2024|access-date=December 20, 2024}}</ref> | |||
|'''1,337,494''' | |||
|'''64.5%''' | |||
|8 | |||
|704,043 | |||
|33.9% | |||
|– | |||
|7,566 | |||
|0.4% | |||
|– | |||
|16,769 | |||
|0.8% | |||
|– | |||
|6,422 | |||
|0.3% | |||
|– | |||
|2,236 | |||
|0.1% | |||
|– | |||
|633,451 | |||
|30.5% | |||
|4.56% | |||
|2,074,530 | |||
|- {{Party shading/Republican}} | |||
|style=text-align:center| ]<ref>{{cite web|url=https://voterportal.sos.la.gov/graphical|title=Official results – Presidential Electors|website=Voter Portal Louisiana|date=November 5, 2024|access-date=November 25, 2024}}</ref> | |||
|'''1,208,505''' | |||
|'''60.2%''' | |||
|8 | |||
|766,870 | |||
|38.2% | |||
|– | |||
|7,138 | |||
|0.4% | |||
|– | |||
|6,641 | |||
|0.3% | |||
|– | |||
|6,835 | |||
|0.3% | |||
|– | |||
|10,986 | |||
|0.6% | |||
|– | |||
|441,635 | |||
|22.0% | |||
|3.40% | |||
|2,006,975 | |||
|- {{Party shading/Democratic}} | |||
|style=text-align:center class=nowrap| ] †<ref name="auto3">{{Cite web|url=https://www.maine.gov/sos/cec/elec/results/results24.html#Nonranked |title=Bureau of Corporations, Elections & Commissions, Elections and Voting, Tabulations: November 5, 2024 General Election – Non-Ranked Choice Offices - U.S. President by County/Town|website=maine.gov|access-date=December 2, 2024}}</ref><ref name="auto5">{{Cite web|url=https://www.archives.gov/electoral-college/2024 |title=2024 Electoral College Results - Maine pdf|date=December 9, 2024|website=National Archives|access-date=December 28, 2024}}</ref> | |||
|377,977 | |||
|45.5% | |||
|– | |||
|'''435,652''' | |||
|'''52.4%''' | |||
|2 | |||
|8,967 | |||
|1.1% | |||
|– | |||
|– | |||
|– | |||
|– | |||
|5,286 | |||
|0.6% | |||
|– | |||
|3,493 | |||
|0.4% | |||
|– | |||
|−57,675 | |||
|−6.9% | |||
|2.13% | |||
|831,375 | |||
|- style="background:{{Democratic Party (US)/meta/shading}};font-style:italic" | |||
|style=text-align:center| {{abbrlink|ME-1|Maine's 1st congressional district}}<ref name="auto3"/><ref name="auto5"/> | |||
|165,214 | |||
|38.1% | |||
|– | |||
|'''258,863''' | |||
|'''59.7%''' | |||
|1 | |||
|4,828 | |||
|1.1% | |||
|– | |||
|– | |||
|– | |||
|– | |||
|2,802 | |||
|0.6% | |||
|– | |||
|1,984 | |||
|0.5% | |||
|– | |||
|−93,649 | |||
|−21.6% | |||
|1.50% | |||
|433,691 | |||
|- style="background:{{Republican Party (US)/meta/shading}};font-style:italic" | |||
|style=text-align:center| {{abbrlink|ME-2|Maine's 2nd congressional district}}<ref name="auto3"/><ref name="auto5"/> | |||
|'''212,763''' | |||
|'''53.4%''' | |||
|1 | |||
|176,789 | |||
|44.4% | |||
|– | |||
|4,139 | |||
|1.0% | |||
|– | |||
|– | |||
|– | |||
|– | |||
|2,484 | |||
|0.6% | |||
|– | |||
|1,991 | |||
|0.5% | |||
|– | |||
|35,974 | |||
|9.0% | |||
|1.60% | |||
|398,166 | |||
|- {{Party shading/Democratic}} | |||
|style=text-align:center| ]<ref>{{Cite web|url=https://elections.maryland.gov/elections/2024/general_Results/gen_results_2024_1.html |title=Official 2024 Presidential General Election Results for President and Vice President of the United States|website=elections.maryland.gov|date=December 5, 2024|access-date=December 5, 2024}}</ref> | |||
|1,035,550 | |||
|34.1% | |||
|– | |||
|'''1,902,577''' | |||
|'''62.6%''' | |||
|10 | |||
|33,134 | |||
|1.1% | |||
|– | |||
|28,819 | |||
|1.0% | |||
|– | |||
|15,570 | |||
|0.5% | |||
|– | |||
|22,684 | |||
|0.7% | |||
|– | |||
|−867,027 | |||
|−28.5% | |||
|4.67% | |||
|3,038,334 | |||
|- {{Party shading/Democratic}} | |||
|style=text-align:center| ]<ref>{{Cite web|url=https://electionstats.state.ma.us/elections/view/165300/ |title=2024 President General Election|website=PD43+|access-date=December 3, 2024}}</ref><ref>{{Cite web|url=https://www.archives.gov/electoral-college/2024 |title=2024 Electoral College Results - Massachusetts pdf|date=December 4, 2024|website=National Archives|access-date=December 28, 2024}}</ref> | |||
|1,251,303 | |||
|36.0% | |||
|– | |||
|'''2,126,518''' | |||
|'''61.2%''' | |||
|11 | |||
|26,545 | |||
|0.8% | |||
|– | |||
|– | |||
|– | |||
|– | |||
|17,735 | |||
|0.5% | |||
|– | |||
|51,567 | |||
|1.5% | |||
|– | |||
|−875,215 | |||
|−25.2% | |||
|8.26% | |||
|3,473,668 | |||
|- {{Party shading/Republican}} | |||
|style=text-align:center| ]<ref>{{cite web|url=https://mvic.sos.state.mi.us/votehistory/Index?type=C&electionDate=11-5-2024 |title=2024 Michigan STATE GENERAL, OFFICIAL Election Results|website=Michigan Voter Information Center|date=November 22, 2024|access-date=November 26, 2024}}</ref> | |||
|'''2,816,636''' | |||
|'''49.7%''' | |||
|15 | |||
|2,736,533 | |||
|48.3% | |||
|– | |||
|44,607 | |||
|0.8% | |||
|– | |||
|26,785 | |||
|0.5% | |||
|– | |||
|22,440 | |||
|0.4% | |||
|– | |||
|17,185 | |||
|0.3% | |||
|– | |||
|80,103 | |||
|1.4% | |||
|4.20% | |||
|5,664,186 | |||
|- {{Party shading/Democratic}} | |||
|style=text-align:center| ]<ref>{{Cite web|title=2024 State Canvassing Board Certificate|url=https://officialdocuments.sos.state.mn.us/Files/GetDocument/145965|website=]|date=November 21, 2024|access-date=November 25, 2024}}</ref> | |||
|1,519,032 | |||
|46.7% | |||
|– | |||
|'''1,656,979''' | |||
|'''50.9%''' | |||
|10 | |||
|16,275 | |||
|0.5% | |||
|– | |||
|24,001 | |||
|0.7% | |||
|– | |||
|15,155 | |||
|0.5% | |||
|– | |||
|22,478 | |||
|0.7% | |||
|– | |||
|−137,947 | |||
|−4.2% | |||
|2.87% | |||
|3,253,920 | |||
|- {{Party shading/Republican}} | |||
|style=text-align:center| ]<ref>{{Cite web|url=https://www.sos.ms.gov/elections-voting/2024-general-election|title=OFFICIAL 2024 GENERAL ELECTION CERTIFIED RESULTS - Certification of Vote for Electors for President and Vice President - pdf|website=sos.ms.gov|date=December 2, 2024|access-date=December 4, 2024}}</ref> | |||
|'''747,744''' | |||
|'''60.9%''' | |||
|6 | |||
|466,668 | |||
|38.0% | |||
|– | |||
|1,873 | |||
|0.2% | |||
|– | |||
|5,387 | |||
|0.4% | |||
|– | |||
|2,536 | |||
|0.2% | |||
|– | |||
|3,800 | |||
|0.3% | |||
|– | |||
|281,076 | |||
|22.9% | |||
|6.34% | |||
|1,228,008 | |||
|- {{Party shading/Republican}} | |||
|style=text-align:center| ]<ref>{{cite web|url=https://enr.sos.mo.gov/ |title=State of Missouri - General Election, November 05, 2024 - Official Results|website=State of Missouri – Election Night Results|date=December 5, 2024|access-date=December 5, 2024}}</ref> | |||
|'''1,751,986''' | |||
|'''58.5%''' | |||
|10 | |||
|1,200,599 | |||
|40.1% | |||
|– | |||
|17,135 | |||
|0.6% | |||
|– | |||
|– | |||
|– | |||
|– | |||
|23,876 | |||
|0.8% | |||
|– | |||
|1,731 | |||
|0.1% | |||
|– | |||
|551,387 | |||
|18.4% | |||
|3.02% | |||
|2,995,327 | |||
|- {{Party shading/Republican}} | |||
|style=text-align:center| ]<ref>{{cite web|url=https://www.archives.gov/electoral-college/2024 |title=2024 Electoral College Results: Montana - pdf|date=November 26, 2024|access-date=December 5, 2024}}</ref> | |||
|'''352,079''' | |||
|'''58.4%''' | |||
|4 | |||
|231,906 | |||
|38.5% | |||
|– | |||
|2,878 | |||
|0.5% | |||
|– | |||
|11,825 | |||
|2.0% | |||
|– | |||
|4,275 | |||
|0.7% | |||
|– | |||
|21 | |||
|0.004% | |||
|– | |||
|120,173 | |||
|19.9% | |||
|3.56% | |||
|602,984 | |||
|- {{Party shading/Republican}} | |||
|style=text-align:center| ] †<ref name="auto1">{{Cite web|url=https://sos.nebraska.gov/elections/2024-elections |title=2024 General Election Official Results|date=December 2, 2024|website=Nebraska Secretary of State }}</ref><ref name="auto4">{{Cite web|url=https://www.archives.gov/electoral-college/2024 |title=2024 Electoral College Results|date=December 12, 2024|website=National Archives|access-date=December 12, 2024}}</ref> | |||
|'''564,816''' | |||
|'''59.3%''' | |||
|2 | |||
|369,995 | |||
|38.9% | |||
|– | |||
|2,887 | |||
|0.3% | |||
|– | |||
|– | |||
|– | |||
|– | |||
|6,399 | |||
|0.7% | |||
|– | |||
|8,085 | |||
|0.9% | |||
|– | |||
|194,821 | |||
|20.4% | |||
|1.40% | |||
|952,182 | |||
|- style="background:{{Republican Party (US)/meta/shading}};font-style:italic" | |||
|style=text-align:center| {{abbrlink|NE-1|Nebraska's 1st congressional district}}<ref name="auto1"/><ref name="auto4"/> | |||
|'''177,666''' | |||
|'''55.5%''' | |||
|1 | |||
|136,153 | |||
|42.5% | |||
|– | |||
|1,011 | |||
|0.3% | |||
|– | |||
|– | |||
|– | |||
|– | |||
|2,420 | |||
|0.8% | |||
|– | |||
|2,944 | |||
|0.9% | |||
|– | |||
|41,513 | |||
|13.0% | |||
| -1.95% | |||
|320,194 | |||
|- style="background:{{Democratic Party (US)/meta/shading}};font-style:italic" | |||
|style=text-align:center| {{abbrlink|NE-2|Nebraska's 2nd congressional district}}<ref name="auto1"/><ref name="auto4"/> | |||
|148,905 | |||
|46.7% | |||
|– | |||
|'''163,541''' | |||
|'''51.3%''' | |||
|1 | |||
|1,110 | |||
|0.4% | |||
|– | |||
|– | |||
|– | |||
|– | |||
|2,001 | |||
|0.6% | |||
|– | |||
|3,089 | |||
|1.0% | |||
|– | |||
| -14,636 | |||
| -4.6% | |||
|1.91% | |||
|318,646 | |||
|- style="background:{{Republican Party (US)/meta/shading}};font-style:italic" | |||
|style=text-align:center| {{abbrlink|NE-3|Nebraska's 3rd congressional district}}<ref name="auto1"/><ref name="auto4"/> | |||
|'''238,245''' | |||
|'''76.0%''' | |||
|1 | |||
|70,301 | |||
|22.4% | |||
|– | |||
|766 | |||
|0.3% | |||
|– | |||
|– | |||
|– | |||
|– | |||
|1,978 | |||
|0.6% | |||
|– | |||
|2,052 | |||
|0.7% | |||
|– | |||
|167,944 | |||
|53.6% | |||
|0.57% | |||
|313,342 | |||
|- {{Party shading/Republican}} | |||
|style=text-align:center| ]<ref></ref> | |||
|'''751,205''' | |||
|'''50.6%''' | |||
|6 | |||
|705,197 | |||
|47.5% | |||
|– | |||
|– | |||
|– | |||
|– | |||
|– | |||
|– | |||
|– | |||
|6,059 | |||
|0.4% | |||
|– | |||
|22,379 | |||
|1.5% | |||
|– | |||
|46,008 | |||
|3.1% | |||
|5.49% | |||
|1,484,840 | |||
|- {{Party shading/Democratic}} | |||
|style=text-align:center|<span class="nowrap">]</span><ref>{{Cite web|url=https://www.sos.nh.gov/2024-general-election-results |title=2024 General Election Results - President of the United States|access-date=December 4, 2024}}</ref> | |||
|395,523 | |||
|47.9% | |||
|– | |||
|'''418,488''' | |||
|'''50.7%''' | |||
|4 | |||
|3,680 | |||
|0.5% | |||
|– | |||
|– | |||
|– | |||
|– | |||
|4,425 | |||
|0.5% | |||
|– | |||
|4,073 | |||
|0.5% | |||
|– | |||
|−22,965 | |||
|−2.8% | |||
|4.57% | |||
|826,189 | |||
|- {{Party shading/Democratic}} | |||
|style=text-align:center| ]<ref>{{Cite web|url=https://www.nj.gov/state/elections/election-information-2024.shtml |title=Official General Election Results: U.S. President - pdf|date=December 5, 2024|access-date=December 5, 2024}}</ref> | |||
|1,968,215 | |||
|46.1% | |||
|– | |||
|'''2,220,713''' | |||
|'''52.0%''' | |||
|14 | |||
|39,041 | |||
|0.9% | |||
|– | |||
|23,479 | |||
|0.6% | |||
|– | |||
|10,500 | |||
|0.3% | |||
|– | |||
|10,777 | |||
|0.3% | |||
|– | |||
|−252,498 | |||
|−5.9% | |||
|10.03% | |||
|4,272,725 | |||
|- {{Party shading/Democratic}} | |||
|style=text-align:center| ]<ref>{{cite web|url=https://electionresults.sos.nm.gov/resultsSW.aspx?type=FED&map=CTY |title=President and Vice President of the United States|website=New Mexico Election Official Results Center|date=November 26, 2024|access-date=December 3, 2024}}</ref> | |||
|423,391 | |||
|45.9% | |||
|– | |||
|'''478,802''' | |||
|'''51.9%''' | |||
|5 | |||
|4,611 | |||
|0.5% | |||
|– | |||
|9,553 | |||
|1.0% | |||
|– | |||
|3,745 | |||
|0.4% | |||
|– | |||
|3,301 | |||
|0.4% | |||
|– | |||
|−55,411 | |||
|−6.0% | |||
|4.79% | |||
|923,403 | |||
|- {{Party shading/Democratic}} | |||
|style=text-align:center| ]<ref>{{Cite web|url=https://elections.ny.gov/election-results |title=Certified November 5, 2024 General Election Results, approved 12.09.2024|date=December 9, 2024|access-date=December 10, 2024}}</ref> | |||
|3,578,899 | |||
|43.3% | |||
|– | |||
|'''4,619,195''' | |||
|'''55.9%''' | |||
|28 | |||
|46,698 | |||
|0.6% | |||
|– | |||
|– | |||
|– | |||
|– | |||
|5,338 | |||
|0.1% | |||
|– | |||
|12,365 | |||
|0.2% | |||
|– | |||
|−1,040,296 | |||
|−12.6% | |||
|10.72% | |||
|8,262,495 | |||
|- {{Party shading/Republican}} | |||
|style=text-align:center| ]<ref>{{cite web|url=https://dl.ncsbe.gov/?prefix=State_Board_Meeting_Docs/2024-11-26/Canvass/ |title=NC - State_Composite_Abstract_Report-Contest.pdf |date=November 26, 2024|access-date=December 3, 2024}}</ref> | |||
|'''2,898,424''' | |||
|'''50.9%''' | |||
|16 | |||
|2,715,378 | |||
|47.7% | |||
|– | |||
|24,762 | |||
|0.4% | |||
|– | |||
|– | |||
|– | |||
|– | |||
|22,125 | |||
|0.4% | |||
|– | |||
|38,456 | |||
|0.7% | |||
|– | |||
|183,046 | |||
|3.2% | |||
|1.86% | |||
|5,699,145 | |||
|- {{Party shading/Republican}} | |||
|style=text-align:center| ]<ref>{{cite web|url=https://results.sos.nd.gov/ResultsSW.aspx?text=All&type=SW&map=CTY |title=Official Statewide Results President & Vice-President of the United States | |||
|website=North Dakota Election Results|date=November 5, 2024|access-date=November 25, 2024}}</ref> | |||
|'''246,505''' | |||
|'''67.0%''' | |||
|3 | |||
|112,327 | |||
|30.5% | |||
|– | |||
|– | |||
|– | |||
|– | |||
|– | |||
|– | |||
|– | |||
|6,227 | |||
|1.7% | |||
|– | |||
|3,096 | |||
|0.8% | |||
|– | |||
|134,178 | |||
|36.5% | |||
|3.11% | |||
|368,155 | |||
|- {{Party shading/Republican}} | |||
|style=text-align:center| ]<ref>{{cite web|url=https://www.ohiosos.gov/elections/election-results-and-data/2024-official-election-results/ |title=2024 Official Election Results - General Election: November 5, 2024 - President - Results by County (XLSX)|website=Ohio Secretary of State|date=November 5, 2024|access-date=December 5, 2024}}</ref> | |||
|'''3,180,116''' | |||
|'''55.1%''' | |||
|17 | |||
|2,533,699 | |||
|43.9% | |||
|– | |||
|– | |||
|– | |||
|– | |||
|– | |||
|– | |||
|– | |||
|28,200 | |||
|0.5% | |||
|– | |||
|25,773 | |||
|0.5% | |||
|– | |||
|646,417 | |||
|11.2% | |||
|3.18% | |||
|5,767,788 | |||
|- {{Party shading/Republican}} | |||
|style=text-align:center| ]<ref>{{cite web|url=https://results.okelections.gov/OKER/?elecDate=20241105 |title=OK Official Election Results|website=Oklahoma State Election Board|date=November 5, 2024|access-date=November 12, 2024}}</ref> | |||
|'''1,036,213''' | |||
|'''66.2%''' | |||
|7 | |||
|499,599 | |||
|31.9% | |||
|– | |||
|– | |||
|– | |||
|– | |||
|16,020 | |||
|1.0% | |||
|– | |||
|9,198 | |||
|0.6% | |||
|– | |||
|5,143 | |||
|0.3% | |||
|– | |||
|536,614 | |||
|34.3% | |||
|1.17% | |||
|1,566,173 | |||
|- {{Party shading/Democratic}} | |||
|style=text-align:center| ]<ref>{{Cite web|url=https://sos.oregon.gov/elections/Pages/electionhistory.aspx |title=November 5, 2024 - Official Results of November General pdf|website=Oregon Secretary of State|date= |access-date=December 13, 2024}}</ref> | |||
|919,480 | |||
|41.0% | |||
|– | |||
|'''1,240,600''' | |||
|'''55.3%''' | |||
|8 | |||
|19,099 | |||
|0.9% | |||
|– | |||
|33,733 | |||
|1.5% | |||
|– | |||
|9,061 | |||
|0.4% | |||
|– | |||
|22,520 | |||
|1.0% | |||
|– | |||
|−321,120 | |||
|−14.3% | |||
|1.79% | |||
|2,244,493 | |||
|- {{Party shading/Republican}} | |||
|style=text-align:center| ]<ref>{{Cite web|url=https://www.electionreturns.pa.gov/General/SummaryResults |title=Pennsylvania Elections - Summary Official Results|website=electionreturns.pa.gov|access-date=December 5, 2024}}</ref> | |||
|'''3,543,308''' | |||
|'''50.4%''' | |||
|19 | |||
|3,423,042 | |||
|48.7% | |||
|– | |||
|34,538 | |||
|0.5% | |||
|– | |||
|– | |||
|– | |||
|– | |||
|33,318 | |||
|0.5% | |||
|– | |||
|– | |||
|– | |||
|– | |||
|120,266 | |||
|1.7% | |||
|2.87% | |||
|7,034,206 | |||
|- {{Party shading/Democratic}} | |||
|style=text-align:center| ]<ref>{{Cite web|url=https://www.ri.gov/election/results/2024/general_election/ |title=Official Election Results|website=ri.gov|access-date=November 27, 2024}}</ref> | |||
|214,406 | |||
|41.8% | |||
|– | |||
|'''285,156''' | |||
|'''55.5%''' | |||
|4 | |||
|2,900 | |||
|0.6% | |||
|– | |||
|5,045 | |||
|1.0% | |||
|– | |||
|1,617 | |||
|0.3% | |||
|– | |||
|4,262 | |||
|0.8% | |||
|– | |||
|−70,750 | |||
|−13.7% | |||
|6.99% | |||
|513,386 | |||
|- {{Party shading/Republican}} | |||
|style=text-align:center| ]<ref>{{cite web|url=https://www.enr-scvotes.org/SC/122436/web.345435/#/summary |title=Official Results|website=Election Night Reporting SC Votes|date=November 5, 2024|access-date=November 25, 2024}}</ref> | |||
|'''1,483,747''' | |||
|'''58.2%''' | |||
|9 | |||
|1,028,452 | |||
|40.4% | |||
|– | |||
|8,117 | |||
|0.3% | |||
|– | |||
|– | |||
|– | |||
|– | |||
|12,669 | |||
|0.5% | |||
|– | |||
|15,155 | |||
|0.6% | |||
|– | |||
|455,295 | |||
|17.8% | |||
|6.19% | |||
|2,548,140 | |||
|- {{Party shading/Republican}} | |||
|style=text-align:center| ]<ref>{{cite web|url=https://sdsos.gov/elections-voting/upcoming-elections/general-information/default.aspx |title=2024 General Election State Canvass and Certificate|date=November 12, 2024|access-date=December 3, 2024}}</ref> | |||
|'''272,081''' | |||
|'''63.4%''' | |||
|3 | |||
|146,859 | |||
|34.2% | |||
|– | |||
|– | |||
|– | |||
|– | |||
|7,204 | |||
|1.7% | |||
|– | |||
|2,778 | |||
|0.7% | |||
|– | |||
|– | |||
|– | |||
|– | |||
|125,222 | |||
|29.2% | |||
|3.03% | |||
|428,922 | |||
|- {{Party shading/Republican}} | |||
|style=text-align:center| ]<ref>{{Cite web|url=https://sos.tn.gov/elections/results#2024 |title=2024 Election Results, November 5, 2024, Results by Office|access-date=December 3, 2024}}</ref> | |||
|'''1,966,865''' | |||
|'''64.2%''' | |||
|11 | |||
|1,056,265 | |||
|34.5% | |||
|– | |||
|8,967 | |||
|0.3% | |||
|– | |||
|21,535 | |||
|0.7% | |||
|– | |||
|– | |||
|– | |||
|– | |||
|10,310 | |||
|0.3% | |||
|– | |||
|910,600 | |||
|29.7% | |||
|6.51% | |||
|3,063,942 | |||
|- {{Party shading/Republican}} | |||
|style=text-align:center| ]<ref>{{cite web|url=https://results.texas-election.com/races |title=Texas Elections Division – Official Election Results|website=Texas Election Night Results|date=November 26, 2024|access-date=December 3, 2024}}</ref><ref name="auto4"/> | |||
|'''6,393,597''' | |||
|'''56.1%''' | |||
|40 | |||
|4,835,250 | |||
|42.5% | |||
|– | |||
|82,701 | |||
|0.7% | |||
|– | |||
|– | |||
|– | |||
|– | |||
|68,557 | |||
|0.6% | |||
|– | |||
|8,569 | |||
|0.1% | |||
|– | |||
|1,558,347 | |||
|13.6% | |||
|8.10% | |||
|11,388,674 | |||
|- {{Party shading/Republican}} | |||
|style=text-align:center| ]<ref>{{Cite web|url=https://vote.utah.gov/election-results-data-historical-information/ |title=2024 November General Election Statewide Canvass|date=November 25, 2024|access-date=December 3, 2024}}</ref> | |||
|'''883,818''' | |||
|'''59.4%''' | |||
|6 | |||
|562,566 | |||
|37.8% | |||
|– | |||
|8,222 | |||
|0.6% | |||
|– | |||
|– | |||
|– | |||
|– | |||
|16,902 | |||
|1.1% | |||
|– | |||
|16,502 | |||
|1.1% | |||
|– | |||
|321,252 | |||
|21.6% | |||
|1.10% | |||
|1,488,043 | |||
|- {{Party shading/Democratic}} | |||
|style=text-align:center| ]<ref>{{Cite web|url=https://electionresults.vermont.gov/#/federal|title=Vermont Election Official Results}}</ref> | |||
|119,395 | |||
|32.0% | |||
|– | |||
|'''235,791''' | |||
|'''63.2%''' | |||
|3 | |||
|– | |||
|– | |||
|– | |||
|5,905 | |||
|1.6% | |||
|– | |||
|1,828 | |||
|0.5% | |||
|– | |||
|6,503 | |||
|1.8% | |||
|– | |||
|−116,396 | |||
|−31.2% | |||
|3.90% | |||
|369,422 | |||
|- {{Party shading/Democratic}} | |||
|style=text-align:center| ]<ref>{{Cite web|url=https://enr.elections.virginia.gov/results/public/Virginia/elections/2024NovemberGeneral |title=2024 November General OFFICIAL RESULTS|website=elections.virginia.gov|date=December 2, 2024|access-date=December 2, 2024}}</ref> | |||
|2,075,085 | |||
|46.1% | |||
|– | |||
|'''2,335,395''' | |||
|'''51.8%''' | |||
|13 | |||
|34,888 | |||
|0.8% | |||
|– | |||
|– | |||
|– | |||
|– | |||
|19,814 | |||
|0.4% | |||
|– | |||
|40,759 | |||
|0.9% | |||
|– | |||
|−260,310 | |||
|−5.7% | |||
|4.33% | |||
|4,505,941 | |||
|- {{Party shading/Democratic}} | |||
|style=text-align:center| ]<ref>{{cite web|title=Official Canvass of the Returns of the General Election Held on November 5, 2024|url=https://www.sos.wa.gov/sites/default/files/2024-12/Official%20Canvass%20of%20the%20Returns%20G2024_%20Certification%2012%2004%202024.pdf |publisher=]|date=December 4, 2024|access-date=4 December 2024}}</ref> | |||
|1,530,923 | |||
|39.0% | |||
|– | |||
|'''2,245,849''' | |||
|'''57.2%''' | |||
|12 | |||
|29,754 | |||
|0.8% | |||
|– | |||
|54,868 | |||
|1.4% | |||
|– | |||
|16,428 | |||
|0.4% | |||
|– | |||
|46,421 | |||
|1.2% | |||
|– | |||
|−714,926 | |||
|−18.2% | |||
|0.98% | |||
|3,924,243 | |||
|- {{Party shading/Republican}} | |||
|style=text-align:center| ]<ref>{{Cite web|url=https://www.archives.gov/electoral-college/2024 |title=West Virginia pdf|date=December 11, 2024|access-date=December 17, 2024}}</ref> | |||
|'''533,556''' | |||
|'''70.0%''' | |||
|4 | |||
|214,309 | |||
|28.1% | |||
|– | |||
|2,531 | |||
|0.3% | |||
|– | |||
|8,947 | |||
|1.2% | |||
|– | |||
|3,047 | |||
|0.4% | |||
|– | |||
|194 | |||
|0.03% | |||
|– | |||
|319,247 | |||
|41.9% | |||
|2.94% | |||
|762,584 | |||
|- {{Party shading/Republican}} | |||
|style=text-align:center| ]<ref>{{Cite web|url=https://elections.wi.gov/election-result/2024-general-election-results |title=County by County Report_POTUS.pdf|access-date=December 1, 2024|date=November 29, 2024}}</ref> | |||
|'''1,697,626''' | |||
|'''49.6%''' | |||
|10 | |||
|1,668,229 | |||
|48.7% | |||
|– | |||
|12,275 | |||
|0.4% | |||
|– | |||
|17,740 | |||
|0.5% | |||
|– | |||
|10,511 | |||
|0.3% | |||
|– | |||
|16,537 | |||
|0.5% | |||
|– | |||
|29,397 | |||
|0.9% | |||
|1.49% | |||
|3,422,918 | |||
|- {{Party shading/Republican}} | |||
|style=text-align:center| ]<ref>{{Cite web|url=https://sos.wyo.gov/Elections/Docs/2024/2024GeneralResults.aspx |title=Wyoming Secretary of State - 2024 Official General Election Results - Statewide Candidates Summary|website=sos.wyo.gov|access-date=December 3, 2024}}</ref> | |||
|'''192,633''' | |||
|'''71.6%''' | |||
|3 | |||
|69,527 | |||
|25.8% | |||
|– | |||
|– | |||
|– | |||
|– | |||
|– | |||
|– | |||
|– | |||
|4,193 | |||
|1.6% | |||
|– | |||
|2,695 | |||
|1.0% | |||
|– | |||
|123,106 | |||
|45.8% | |||
|2.38% | |||
|269,048 | |||
|- | |||
!Total | |||
!style=padding:0|77,303,574 | |||
!style=padding:0|49.81% | |||
!style=padding:0|312 | |||
!style=padding:0|75,019,230 | |||
!style=padding:0|48.33% | |||
!style=padding:0|226 | |||
!style=padding:0|861,486 | |||
!style=padding:0|0.56% | |||
!{{right}}– | |||
!style=padding:0|756,393 | |||
!style=padding:0|0.49% | |||
!{{right}}– | |||
!style=padding:0|650,228 | |||
!style=padding:0|0.42% | |||
!{{right}}– | |||
!style=padding:0|624,343 | |||
!style=padding:0|0.40% | |||
!{{right}}– | |||
!style=padding:0|2,284,336 | |||
!style=padding:0|1.48% | |||
!style=padding:0|5.93% | |||
!style=padding:0|155,204,384 | |||
|- | |||
! | |||
!colspan="3"| Trump/Vance<br />Republican | |||
!colspan="3"| Harris/Walz<br />Democratic | |||
!colspan="3"| Stein/Ware<br />Green | |||
!colspan="3"| Kennedy/Shanahan<br />Independent | |||
!colspan="3"| Oliver/Maat<br />Libertarian | |||
!colspan="3"| Others | |||
!colspan="2"| Margin | |||
! Margin<br />swing | |||
! Total<br />votes | |||
|} | |||
</div> | |||
==== States that flipped from Democratic to Republican ==== | |||
* ] | |||
* ] | |||
* ] | |||
* ] | |||
* ] | |||
* ] | |||
===Territorial straw polls=== | |||
Non-binding ]s on the day of the Presidential general election to gauge the preference for President were held in the US territories of ] and ]. These polls, however, have no official say in the election. | |||
Winners of the territory are in '''bold'''. | |||
{| class="wikitable sortable" | |||
|+ Election results | |||
! rowspan="2" scope="col" |Territory | |||
! colspan="4" scope="col" style="border-left:3px solid darkgray;" |Winner | |||
! colspan="4" scope="col" style="border-left:3px solid darkgray;" |Runner-up | |||
! colspan="4" scope="col" style="border-left:3px solid darkgray;" |Other candidate{{efn|For purpose of this list, other candidates are defined as those who were in third place in Guam.|name=}} | |||
! rowspan="2" class="unsortable" scope="col" |{{Abbr|Ref.|Reference(s)}} | |||
|- | |||
! colspan="2" scope="col" style="border-left:3px solid darkgray;" |Candidate | |||
! data-sort-type="number" scope="col" |Votes | |||
! data-sort-type="number" scope="col" |% | |||
! colspan="2" scope="col" style="border-left:3px solid darkgray;" |Candidate | |||
! data-sort-type="number" scope="col" |Votes | |||
! data-sort-type="number" scope="col" |% | |||
! colspan="2" scope="col" style="border-left:3px solid darkgray;" |Candidate | |||
! data-sort-type="number" scope="col" |Votes | |||
! data-sort-type="number" scope="col" |% | |||
|- | |||
| ''']''' | |||
| style="text-align:left; border-left:3px solid darkgray; background-color:{{party color|Democratic Party (United States)}};" | | |||
|'''{{Sortname|Kamala|Harris}}''' {{Abbr|(D)|Democratic Party}} | |||
|13,510 | |||
|49.46 | |||
| style="text-align:left; border-left:3px solid darkgray; background-color:{{party color|Republican Party (United States)}};" | | |||
|{{Sortname|Donald|Trump}} {{Abbr|(R)|Republican Party}}{{Double-dagger|alt=national winner}} | |||
|12,624 | |||
|46.22 | |||
| style="text-align:left; border-left:3px solid darkgray; background:{{party color|Independent}};" | | |||
|{{Sortname|Robert F.|Kennedy Jr.}} {{Abbr|(I)|Independent candidate}} | |||
|938 | |||
|3.43 | |||
|<ref>{{cite web |publisher = Guam Election Commission |title=2024 GENERAL ELECTION UNOFFICIAL RESULTS SUMMARY 1.pdf |url=https://drive.google.com/file/d/1fFwUIDTrGr8F_j9DXUNzYcDkyTnLUVmm/view |website=Google Drive |access-date=5 November 2024|page=10}}</ref> | |||
|- | |||
| ''']''' | |||
| style="text-align:left; border-left:3px solid darkgray; background-color:{{party color|Democratic Party (United States)}};" | | |||
|'''{{Sortname|Kamala|Harris}}''' {{Abbr|(D)|Democratic Party}} | |||
|724,947 | |||
|63.62 | |||
| style="text-align:left; border-left:3px solid darkgray; background-color:{{party color|Republican Party (United States)}};" | | |||
|{{Sortname|Donald|Trump}} {{Abbr|(R)|Republican Party}}{{Double-dagger|alt=national winner}} | |||
|263,270 | |||
|23.10 | |||
| style="text-align:left; border-left:3px solid darkgray; background:{{party color|white}};" | | |||
|''Write in candidates'' | |||
|18,285 | |||
|1.60 | |||
|<ref>{{Cite web|title=PRESIDENT ISLAND WIDE RESULTS|url=https://elecciones2024.ceepur.org/Noche_del_Evento_120/index.html#en/default/PRESIDENTE_Resumen.xml|website=Comision Estatial de Elecciones de Puerto Rico|access-date=November 6, 2024|archive-url=https://archive.today/20241106195812/https://elecciones2024.ceepur.org/Noche_del_Evento_120/index.html%23en/default/PRESIDENTE_Resumen.xml|archive-date=November 6, 2024|url-status=live}}</ref> | |||
|} | |||
=== Close states === | |||
States where the margin of victory was under 1% (10 electoral votes; all won by Trump): | |||
# <span style="color:darkred;background:white">'''Wisconsin, 0.87% (29,397 votes) – 10 electoral votes'''</span> | |||
States where the margin of victory was between 1% and 5% (87 electoral votes; 72 won by Trump, 15 won by Harris): | |||
# <span style="color:darkred;background:white">'''Michigan, 1.41% (80,103 votes) – 15 electoral votes'''</span> | |||
# <span style="color:darkred;background:white">'''Pennsylvania, 1.71% (120,266 votes) – 19 electoral votes'''</span> (tipping-point state) | |||
# <span style="color:darkred;background:white">'''Georgia, 2.20% (115,100 votes) – 16 electoral votes'''</span> | |||
# <span style="color:darkblue;background:white">'''New Hampshire, 2.78% (22,965 votes) – 4 electoral votes'''</span> | |||
# <span style="color:darkred;background:white">'''Nevada, 3.10% (46,008 votes) – 6 electoral votes'''</span> | |||
# <span style="color:darkred;background:white">'''North Carolina, 3.21% (183,046 votes) – 16 electoral votes'''</span> | |||
# <span style="color:darkblue;background:white">'''Minnesota, 4.24% (137,947 votes) – 10 electoral votes'''</span> | |||
# <span style="color:darkblue;background:white">'''Nebraska's 2nd congressional district, 4.59% (14,636 votes) – 1 electoral vote'''</span> | |||
States/districts where the margin of victory was between 5% and 10% (46 electoral votes; 12 won by Trump, 34 by Harris): | |||
# <span style="color:darkred;background:white">'''Arizona, 5.53% (187,382 votes) – 11 electoral votes'''</span> | |||
# <span style="color:darkblue;background:white">'''Virginia, 5.78% (260,310 votes) – 13 electoral votes'''</span> | |||
# <span style="color:darkblue;background:white">'''New Jersey, 5.91% (252,498 votes) – 14 electoral votes'''</span> | |||
# <span style="color:darkblue;background:white">'''New Mexico, 6.00% (55,411 votes) – 5 electoral votes'''</span> | |||
# <span style="color:darkblue;background:white">'''Maine, 6.94% (57,514 votes) – 2 electoral votes'''</span> | |||
# <span style="color:darkred;background:white">'''Maine's 2nd congressional district, 9.03% (33,297 votes) – 1 electoral vote'''</span> | |||
<span style="color:darkred;background:white">'''Red'''</span> denotes states or congressional districts won by Republican Donald Trump; <span style="color:darkblue;background:white">'''Blue'''</span> denotes those won by Democrat Kamala Harris. | |||
=== County statistics === | |||
Counties with highest percentage of Democratic vote:<ref>{{Cite web |title=2024 Presidential Election Statistics |url=https://uselectionatlas.org/RESULTS/stats.php?year=2024&f=0&off=0&elect=0 |website=uselectionatlas.org |access-date=November 27, 2024}}</ref> | |||
# <span style="color:blue">'''] – 90.27%'''</span> | |||
# <span style="color:blue">'''] – 86.04%'''</span> | |||
# <span style="color:blue">'''] – 85.52%'''</span> | |||
# <span style="color:blue">'''] – 84.55%'''</span> | |||
# <span style="color:blue">'''] – 84.31%'''</span> | |||
Counties with highest percentage of Republican vote: | |||
# <span style="color:red">'''] – 95.90%'''</span> | |||
# <span style="color:red">'''] – 95.63%'''</span> | |||
# <span style="color:red">'''] – 95.61%'''</span> | |||
# <span style="color:red">'''] – 95.56%'''</span> | |||
# <span style="color:red">'''] – 95.55%'''</span> | |||
=== Maps === | |||
<gallery mode="packed" heights="200"> | |||
File:ElectoralCollege2024.svg|Results of ] votes won by each state and the District of Columbia.{{efn|In ] and ], electoral votes are allocated by congressional district, with two votes going to the state at-large. The insets in those states illustrate this distribution and have no geographical significance.}} | |||
File:Results by state, shaded according to winning candidate's percentage of the vote 2024.svg|Results by vote share in each state. Darker shades denote a higher vote share for the winning candidate. This map does not depict the results in Maine or Nebraska's congressional districts, which vote by congressional district and not at-large. | |||
File:ElectorScaledUS2024.svg|A discontinuous ] of state results, scaled by their Electoral College contribution. | |||
File:2024 Presidential Election by County.svg|Results by county, shaded by winner.{{efn|name="equivalent"|County equivalents are used in ] and ]. The ] has no primary subdivisions.}} | |||
File:2024 United States presidential election results map by county.svg|Results by county, shaded by winner's vote share.{{efn|name="equivalent"}} | |||
File:2024 United States presdential election results by margin of victory.svg|Results by margin of victory in each state.{{efn|In ] and ], electoral votes are allocated by congressional district, with two votes going to the state at-large. The insets in those states illustrate this distribution and have no geographical significance.}} | |||
File:U.S. Presidential Election Swing by County from 2020 to 2024.svg|Swing in county margins from 2020 to 2024 presidential election.<ref>{{Cite news |title=Presidential Election Results: Trump Wins |work=The New York Times |date=November 5, 2024 |url=https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2024/11/05/us/elections/results-president.html }}</ref> | |||
File:2020 - 2024 Presidential election trend.svg|Trend{{efn|Trend is the swing in county margins relative to the national swing in the popular vote}} in county margins from 2020 to 2024 presidential election.{{Inconsistent|date=December 2024|reason=states this is relative to both state and nation, and its unlikely to be both}}. | |||
File:2024 U.S. Presidential Election by Congressional District.svg|Results by congressional district, shaded by winner. | |||
</gallery> | |||
==Analysis of results== | |||
As of 2024, Trump was the eighth presidential nominee to win non-faithless electoral votes in at least three elections, after ], ], ], ], ], ], and ]. Nixon and Trump are the only presidential candidates to win a significant number of electoral votes in three presidential elections since term limits were enacted with the ratification of the ]; Trump is the only one of those eight that won the popular vote exactly once (Clay and Bryan never won it). Trump is also the first president since Cleveland in 1892 to win non-consecutive terms, and the only president to win non-consecutive terms since the ratification of the Twenty-second Amendment, as well as the first Republican to do so.<ref name="Wolf 2024"/> Trump is the first Republican since ] in 2004 to win the popular vote, the same year a Republican last secured a second term. Trump is the first non-incumbent Republican to have won the popular vote since ] in 1988.<ref name="hillnov6">{{Cite web |last=Jachim |first=Nick |date=November 6, 2024 |title=When was the last time the Republican Party won the popular vote?|access-date=November 29, 2024 |url=https://thehill.com/homenews/nexstar_media_wire/4976301-when-was-the-last-time-the-republican-party-won-the-popular-vote/ |website=]}}</ref><ref>{{cite news |last=Bigg |first=Matthew |date=November 6, 2024 |title=Trump Is on Track to Win the Popular Vote |url=https://www.nytimes.com/2024/11/07/us/politics/trump-popular-vote-election-2024.html |access-date=November 6, 2024 |work=]|archive-url=http://web.archive.org/web/20241111074742/https://www.nytimes.com/2024/11/07/us/politics/trump-popular-vote-election-2024.html|archive-date=November 11, 2024 |url-status=live}}</ref> Trump improved his percentage of the vote in every state and DC compared to the 2020 election; 2024 was the first presidential election since ] in which all 50 states and DC shifted to the same party.<ref>{{Cite web |last=Skelley |first=Geoffrey |title=America's swing to the right in 2024 was wide, if not always deep |url=https://abcnews.go.com/538/americas-swing-2024-wide-deep/story?id=116639076 |access-date=2024-12-11 |website=ABC News |language=en}}</ref><ref>{{cite news|last=Haddad |first=Mohammed |date=November 10, 2024 |title=US election results map 2024: How does it compare to 2020 |url=https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2024/11/10/us-election-results-map-2024-how-does-it-compare-to-2020 |access-date=November 12, 2024 |work=]}}</ref> Trump numerically performed with 49.8% of the vote, one of the smallest margins of victory since 1888, with his 1.48%<ref name="Cook">{{cite web |title=2024 National Popular Vote Tracker |url=https://www.cookpolitical.com/vote-tracker/2024/electoral-college |access-date=November 29, 2024 |publisher=]}}</ref><ref name="Kilgore 11222024">{{cite news |last=Kilgore |first=Ed |date=November 22, 2024 |title=Trump Has Lost His Popular-Vote Majority |url=https://nymag.com/intelligencer/article/election-results-show-trump-has-lost-popular-vote-majority.html |access-date=November 26, 2024 |work=]|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20241126180602/https://nymag.com/intelligencer/article/election-results-show-trump-has-lost-popular-vote-majority.html |archive-date=November 26, 2024 |url-status=live}}</ref> victory smaller than every winning president other than two: John F. Kennedy in 1960 and Richard Nixon in 1968.<ref name="Baker 11222024">{{cite news |last=Baker |first=Peter |date=November 22, 2024 |title=The 'Landslide' That Wasn't: Trump and Allies Pump Up His Narrow Victory |url=https://www.nytimes.com/2024/11/22/us/politics/trump-election-landslide.html |access-date=November 26, 2024 |work=]|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20241125222722/https://www.nytimes.com/2024/11/22/us/politics/trump-election-landslide.html |archive-date=November 25, 2024 |url-status=live}}</ref> While winning the popular vote, Trump did not win a majority of the popular vote, with his final tally roughly a half-percent smaller than Hillary Clinton's national popular-vote margin over Trump in 2016. Thus, Trump is the first Republican since Nixon in 1968 to win the popular vote with a plurality.<ref name="Kilgore 11222024"/> This was the first election since ] in which a presidential candidate won two elections with a different vice presidential candidate, as Trump replaced ] with ]. This was the third election in which the losing party failed to flip any states from the previous election, in 2012 Romney was able to flip Indiana and North Carolina despite losing. It was also the fifth election in a row in which only one party flipped states; the last time both parties flipped states was in 2004 when Kerry flipped New Hampshire, while Bush flipped Iowa and New Mexico. | |||
Around 90% of counties swung towards Trump between the 2020 and 2024 elections, encompassing both rural and urban areas,<ref name="Red Shift">{{Cite news |last1=Bloch |first1=Matthew |last2=Collins |first2=Keith |last3=Gebeloff |first3=Robert |last4=Hernandez |first4=Marco |last5=Khurana |first5=Malika |last6=Levitt |first6=Zach |date=November 6, 2024 |title=Early Results Show a Red Shift Across the U.S. |url=https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2024/11/06/us/politics/presidential-election-2024-red-shift.html |access-date=November 10, 2024 |work=The New York Times |issn=0362-4331}}</ref> and it was the first time since ] in which the losing candidate failed to flip a single county.<ref>{{cite news|url=https://www.msn.com/en-au/news/other/major-disappointment-kamala-harris-fails-to-flip-a-single-county-in-presidential-election/ar-AA1vmSNW|title='Major disappointment': Kamala Harris fails to flip a single county in presidential election|publisher=Sky News Australia|via=MSM|access-date=December 13, 2024}}</ref> All 50 states and D.C. swung towards Trump from 2020, making this the first time that they swung in the same direction since ].<ref>{{Cite web |last=Skelley |first=Geoffrey |date=December 10, 2024 |title=America's swing to the right in 2024 was wide, if not always deep |url=https://abcnews.go.com/538/americas-swing-2024-wide-deep/story?id=116639076 |access-date=2024-12-11 |website=ABC News |language=en}}</ref> While most suburban areas also swung towards Trump, notable exceptions included those with large numbers of white college-educated voters, such as the suburbs of ], ], and ]. Trump made substantial gains among Hispanic voters, most notably in ] and the ]. Even among states that voted heavily for Biden in the 2020 election, Trump's gains were significant. The states of ] and ] swung over ten points toward Trump, and Trump also gained in Harris' home state of ].<ref>{{Cite news |date=November 5, 2024 |title=Presidential Election Results: Trump Wins |url=https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2024/11/05/us/elections/results-president.html |access-date=November 10, 2024 |work=The New York Times |language=en-US |issn=0362-4331}}</ref> While there had been significant speculation prior to the election of Trump increasing his support among black voters, particularly black men,<ref>{{Cite news |last=Cohn |first=Nate |date=October 13, 2024 |title=Why Is Trump Gaining With Black and Hispanic Voters? |url=https://www.nytimes.com/2024/10/13/upshot/trump-black-hispanic-voters-harris.html |access-date=November 10, 2024 |work=The New York Times}}</ref> exit polling data showed only a marginal increase in black support for Trump (from 12% to 13%). Trump's gain was limited by the fact he lost ground among black women, only garnering 7% of their vote,<ref>{{Cite web |title=Exit poll results 2024 {{!}} CNN Politics |url=https://www.cnn.com/election/2024/exit-polls/national-results/general/president/0 |access-date=November 10, 2024 |website=CNN |language=en}}</ref> compared to 9% in 2020.<ref>{{Cite web |title=National Results 2020 President exit polls. |url=https://www.cnn.com/election/2020/exit-polls/president/national-results |access-date=November 10, 2024 |website=CNN |language=en}}</ref> While Trump made gains among young voters compared to Republicans in recent presidential elections, especially among young men,<ref name="Lange 1162024">{{cite web |last1=Lange|first1=Jason |last2=Erickson|first2=Bo|last3=Heath|first3=Brad|date=November 6, 2024|title=Trump's return to power fueled by Hispanic, working-class voter support |url=https://www.reuters.com/world/us/trumps-return-power-fueled-by-hispanic-working-class-voter-support-2024-11-06/ |website=Reuters |access-date=November 11, 2024}}</ref> exit polls found Harris still won young voters by 51 to 54 percent of voters under 30, leading Trump by 4 to 12 points.<ref>{{Cite news |last=Qiu |first=Linda |date=December 16, 2024 |title=Fact-Checking Trump's First Post-Election News Conference |url=https://www.nytimes.com/2024/12/16/us/politics/trump-news-conference-fact-check.html |access-date=December 16, 2024 |work=The New York Times |issn=0362-4331}}</ref> Democrats performed better in the downballot races,<ref>{{cite news |last=Kane |first=Paul |date=November 9, 2024 |title=Democrats did better than Harris downballot, providing glimmer of hope |url=https://www.washingtonpost.com/elections/2024/11/09/democrats-house-senate-down-ballot/ |access-date=November 16, 2024 |newspaper=The Washington Post |issn=0190-8286}}</ref><ref>{{cite web |last=Vitali |first=Ali |date=November 12, 2024 |title=New York dealt House Democrats a blow in 2022. In 2024, they made a comeback. |url=https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/2024-election/new-york-dealt-house-democrats-blow-2022-2024-made-comeback-rcna179787 |access-date=November 16, 2024 |website=NBC News }}</ref> where they kept Republican margins extremely narrow in the House of Representatives and won Senate elections in ], ], ], and ] despite Trump carrying those states.<ref>{{cite web |last=Skelley |first=Geoffrey |date=November 11, 2024 |title=How Democrats won Senate seats in states that Trump carried |url=https://abcnews.go.com/538/democrats-won-senate-seats-states-trump-carried/story?id=115733824 |access-date=November 16, 2024 |website=ABC News}}</ref><ref>{{cite news |last=Cohn |first=Nate |date=November 13, 2024 |title=On Midterms' Hints, Down-Ballot Republicans and the Race for the House |url=https://www.nytimes.com/2024/11/13/upshot/election-trump-gallego-lake.html |access-date=November 16, 2024 |work=The New York Times |issn=1553-8095}}</ref> Post-election research by the ] found that while Trump made inroads with minority voters, the Republican Party had "hardly" created a multiracial coalition, arguing that saying so was premature and that such support "could very well be a blip" based more on economic concerns.<ref>{{cite web |last=Frey |first=William H. |date=November 12, 2024 |title=Trump gained some minority voters, but the GOP is hardly a multiracial coalition |url=https://www.brookings.edu/articles/trump-gained-some-minority-voters-but-the-gop-is-hardly-a-multiracial-coalition/ |access-date=November 27, 2024 |work=Brookings Institution |archive-date=November 23, 2024 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20241123162124/https://www.brookings.edu/articles/trump-gained-some-minority-voters-but-the-gop-is-hardly-a-multiracial-coalition/ |url-status=live}}</ref> | |||
Decline in Democratic turnout also was a major contributor to Trump winning the popular vote. Comparisons to 2020 and 2024 votes cast in heavily populated Democratic urban centers showed Harris losing millions of votes. New York City cast 573,000 fewer votes for Harris than Biden, Miami-Dade County 137,000, Cook County 295,000, Los Angeles County 620,000, and Harris County 115,000. Statewide, the only states that Harris received more votes than Biden were Maine, Utah, Nevada, North Carolina, Georgia and Wisconsin. Harris lost votes in critical battlegrounds Pennsylvania, Arizona and Michigan. Trump managed to gain another 2.5 million votes, mostly coming out of urban centers, but still garnering a couple hundred to thousands in rural and ]an counties across the Midwest, Northeast, Southeast and ] regions.<ref>{{Cite news |last1=Wu |first1=Ashley |last2=Gamio |first2=Lazaro |last3=Gebeloff |first3=Robert |last4=Shao |first4=Elena |last5=Bender |first5=Michael C. |date=November 20, 2024 |title=2024 Election Voter Turnout Map: See Where Trump Gained and Harris Lost |url=https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2024/11/19/us/politics/voter-turnout-election-trump-harris.html |access-date=November 20, 2024 |work=The New York Times |language=en-US |issn=0362-4331}}</ref> | |||
Harris won 226 Electoral College votes, the worst performance for a Democratic presidential ticket since that of ] in ]. Trump won 312 electoral college votes, carrying 31 of 50 states.<ref>{{cite web |last=McFall |first=Marni Rose |date=November 6, 2024 |title=Kamala Harris On Course to Do Worse Than Hillary Clinton in Electoral College |url=https://www.newsweek.com/kamala-harris-electoral-college-result-worse-hillary-clinton-2024-election-donald-trump-1981331 |access-date=November 23, 2024 |website=Newsweek}}</ref> By winning, Trump, aged 78, is the ] ever to be elected U.S. president;<ref>{{cite web |last1=Hajela |first1=Deepti |date=November 6, 2024 |title=Trump isn't first to be second: Grover Cleveland set precedent of non-consecutive presidential terms |url=https://apnews.com/article/grover-cleveland-president-nonconsecutive-terms-7ea2c92c72911462ccb1bc2e7352fa23 |access-date=November 6, 2024 |publisher=]}}</ref> Vance, aged 40, is the first ] to be elected vice president.<ref>{{cite news |date=November 7, 2024 |title=JD Vance, first millennial Vice President-elect of US, was once a harsh critic of Donald Trump: What changed? |url=https://economictimes.indiatimes.com/news/international/world-news/jd-vance-trumps-running-mate-and-u-s-first-millennial-vice-president-elect-was-once-a-harsh-critic-of-the-gop-supremo-what-changed/articleshow/115026609.cms |access-date=November 11, 2024 |website=The Economic Times}}</ref> In addition, this was the most recent of two elections in the 21st century in which a candidate from either party won fewer than 20 states, with the other being ], where ] also won only 19 states. | |||
== Voter demographics == | |||
=== Exit poll === | |||
{| class="wikitable mw-collapsible sortable" style="font-size:90%; line-height:1.2" | |||
|+ <span class="nowrap">2024 presidential election exit poll</span><ref name="auto2"/> | |||
|- | |||
! Demographic subgroup | |||
! {{party shading/Republican}} |Trump | |||
! {{party shading/Democratic}} |Harris | |||
! % of<br />total vote | |||
|- | |||
! colspan="4" |Ideology | |||
|- | |||
| Liberals | |||
| style="text-align:right; background:#fff3f3;" | 7 | |||
| style="text-align:right; background:#b0ceff;" | 91 | |||
| style="text-align:right;" | 23 | |||
|- | |||
| Moderates | |||
| style="text-align:right; background:#fff3f3;" | 40 | |||
| style="text-align:right; background:#b0ceff;" | 58 | |||
| style="text-align:right;" | 42 | |||
|- | |||
| Conservatives | |||
| style="text-align:right; background:#ffb6b6;" | 90 | |||
| style="text-align:right; background:#f0f0ff;" | 9 | |||
| style="text-align:right;" | 35 | |||
|- | |||
! colspan="4" |Party | |||
|- | |||
| ] | |||
| style="text-align:right; background:#fff3f3;" | 4 | |||
| style="text-align:right; background:#b0ceff;" | 95 | |||
| style="text-align:right;" | 31 | |||
|- | |||
| ] | |||
| style="text-align:right; background:#ffb6b6;" | 94 | |||
| style="text-align:right; background:#f0f0ff;" | 5 | |||
| style="text-align:right;" | 35 | |||
|- | |||
| Independents | |||
| style="text-align:right; background:#fff3f3;" | 46 | |||
| style="text-align:right; background:#b0ceff;" | 49 | |||
| style="text-align:right;" | 34 | |||
|- | |||
! colspan="4" | Gender | |||
|- | |||
| Men | |||
| style="text-align:right; background:#ffb6b6;" | 55 | |||
| style="text-align:right; background:#f0f0ff;" | 43 | |||
| style="text-align:right;" | 47 | |||
|- | |||
| Women | |||
| style="text-align:right; background:#fff3f3;" | 45 | |||
| style="text-align:right; background:#b0ceff;" | 53 | |||
| style="text-align:right;" | 53 | |||
|- | |||
! colspan="4" | Marital status | |||
|- | |||
| Married | |||
| style="text-align:right; background:#ffb6b6;" | 56 | |||
| style="text-align:right; background:#f0f0ff;" | 42 | |||
| style="text-align:right;" | 54 | |||
|- | |||
| Unmarried | |||
| style="text-align:right; background:#fff3f3;" | 42 | |||
| style="text-align:right; background:#b0ceff;" | 55 | |||
| style="text-align:right;" | 46 | |||
|- | |||
! colspan="4" |Gender by marital status | |||
|- | |||
| Married men | |||
| style="text-align:right; background:#ffb6b6;" | 60 | |||
| style="text-align:right; background:#f0f0ff;" | 38 | |||
| style="text-align:right;" | 28 | |||
|- | |||
| Married women | |||
| style="text-align:right; background:#ffb6b6;" | 52 | |||
| style="text-align:right; background:#f0f0ff;" | 47 | |||
| style="text-align:right;" | 26 | |||
|- | |||
| Unmarried men | |||
| style="text-align:right;background:#fff3f3"| 48 | |||
| style="text-align:right;background:#f0f0ff"| 48 | |||
| style="text-align:right;" | 19 | |||
|- | |||
| Unmarried women | |||
| style="text-align:right; background:#fff3f3;" | 38 | |||
| style="text-align:right; background:#b0ceff;" | 61 | |||
| style="text-align:right;" | 26 | |||
|- | |||
! colspan="4" | Race/ethnicity | |||
|- | |||
| White | |||
| style="text-align:right; background:#ffb6b6;" | 57 | |||
| style="text-align:right; background:#f0f0ff;" | 42 | |||
| style="text-align:right;" | 71 | |||
|- | |||
| Black | |||
| style="text-align:right; background:#fff3f3;" | 13 | |||
| style="text-align:right; background:#b0ceff;" | 86 | |||
| style="text-align:right;" | 11 | |||
|- | |||
| Latino | |||
| style="text-align:right; background:#fff3f3;" | 46 | |||
| style="text-align:right; background:#b0ceff;" | 51 | |||
| style="text-align:right;" | 11 | |||
|- | |||
| Asian | |||
| style="text-align:right; background:#fff3f3;" | 40 | |||
| style="text-align:right; background:#b0ceff;" | 55 | |||
| style="text-align:right;" | 3 | |||
|- | |||
| Native American/American Indian | |||
| style="text-align:right; background:#ffb6b6;" | 68 | |||
| style="text-align:right; background:#f0f0ff;" | 31 | |||
| style="text-align:right;" | 1 | |||
|- | |||
| Other | |||
| style="text-align:right; background:#ffb6b6;" | 52 | |||
| style="text-align:right; background:#f0f0ff;" | 44 | |||
| style="text-align:right;" | 2 | |||
|- | |||
! colspan="4" | Gender by race/ethnicity | |||
|- | |||
| White men | |||
| style="text-align:right; background:#ffb6b6;" | 60 | |||
| style="text-align:right; background:#f0f0ff;" | 38 | |||
| style="text-align:right;" | 34 | |||
|- | |||
| White women | |||
| style="text-align:right; background:#ffb6b6;" | 53 | |||
| style="text-align:right; background:#f0f0ff;" | 46 | |||
| style="text-align:right;" | 37 | |||
|- | |||
| Black men | |||
| style="text-align:right; background:#fff3f3;" | 21 | |||
| style="text-align:right; background:#b0ceff;" | 77 | |||
| style="text-align:right;" | 5 | |||
|- | |||
| Black women | |||
| style="text-align:right; background:#fff3f3;" | 7 | |||
| style="text-align:right; background:#b0ceff;" | 92 | |||
| style="text-align:right;" | 7 | |||
|- | |||
| Latino men | |||
| style="text-align:right; background:#ffb6b6;" | 54 | |||
| style="text-align:right; background:#f0f0ff;" | 44 | |||
| style="text-align:right;" | 6 | |||
|- | |||
| Latina women | |||
| style="text-align:right; background:#fff3f3;" | 39 | |||
| style="text-align:right; background:#b0ceff;" | 58 | |||
| style="text-align:right;" | 6 | |||
|- | |||
| Other | |||
| style="text-align:right; background:#fff3f3;" | 47 | |||
| style="text-align:right; background:#b0ceff;" | 49 | |||
| style="text-align:right;" | 6 | |||
|- | |||
!colspan="4"| Religion | |||
|- | |||
| ]/Other ] | |||
|style="text-align:right;background:#ffb6b6"| 63 | |||
|style="text-align:right;background:#f0f0ff"| 36 | |||
|style="text-align:right"| 43 | |||
|- | |||
| ] | |||
|style="text-align:right;background:#ffb6b6"| 59 | |||
|style="text-align:right;background:#f0f0ff"| 39 | |||
|style="text-align:right"| 21 | |||
|- | |||
| ] | |||
|style="text-align:right;background:#fff3f3"| 22 | |||
|style="text-align:right;background:#b0ceff"| 78 | |||
|style="text-align:right"| 2 | |||
|- | |||
| Other religion | |||
|style="text-align:right;background:#fff3f3"| 34 | |||
|style="text-align:right;background:#b0ceff"| 61 | |||
|style="text-align:right"| 10 | |||
|- | |||
| ] | |||
|style="text-align:right;background:#fff3f3"| 27 | |||
|style="text-align:right;background:#b0ceff"| 71 | |||
|style="text-align:right"| 24 | |||
|- | |||
!colspan="4"| Religion by race | |||
|- | |||
| White Protestant | |||
|style="text-align:right;background:#ffb6b6"| 72 | |||
|style="text-align:right;background:#f0f0ff"| 26 | |||
|style="text-align:right"| 31 | |||
|- | |||
| White Catholic | |||
|style="text-align:right;background:#ffb6b6"| 63 | |||
|style="text-align:right;background:#f0f0ff"| 35 | |||
|style="text-align:right"| 15 | |||
|- | |||
| White Jewish | |||
|style="text-align:right;background:#fff3f3"| 20 | |||
|style="text-align:right;background:#b0ceff"| 79 | |||
|style="text-align:right"| 2 | |||
|- | |||
| White other religion | |||
|style="text-align:right;background:#fff3f3"| 42 | |||
|style="text-align:right;background:#b0ceff"| 55 | |||
|style="text-align:right"| 5 | |||
|- | |||
| White no religious affiliation | |||
|style="text-align:right;background:#fff3f3"| 26 | |||
|style="text-align:right;background:#b0ceff"| 71 | |||
|style="text-align:right"| 17 | |||
|- | |||
! colspan="4" | White evangelical or born again Christian | |||
|- | |||
| Yes | |||
| style="text-align:right; background:#ffb6b6;" | 82 | |||
| style="text-align:right; background:#f0f0ff;" | 17 | |||
| style="text-align:right;" | 23 | |||
|- | |||
| No | |||
| style="text-align:right; background:#fff3f3;" | 40 | |||
| style="text-align:right; background:#b0ceff;" | 58 | |||
| style="text-align:right;" | 77 | |||
|- | |||
! colspan="4" | ] | |||
|- | |||
| 18–24 years old | |||
| style="text-align:right; background:#fff3f3;" | 43 | |||
| style="text-align:right; background:#b0ceff;" | 54 | |||
| style="text-align:right;" | 8 | |||
|- | |||
| 25–29 years old | |||
| style="text-align:right; background:#fff3f3;" | 45 | |||
| style="text-align:right; background:#b0ceff;" | 53 | |||
| style="text-align:right;" | 5 | |||
|- | |||
| 30–39 years old | |||
| style="text-align:right; background:#fff3f3;" | 45 | |||
| style="text-align:right; background:#b0ceff;" | 51 | |||
| style="text-align:right;" | 15 | |||
|- | |||
| 40–49 years old | |||
| style="text-align:right;background:#fff3f3" | 49 | |||
| style="text-align:right;background:#f0f0ff" | 49 | |||
| style="text-align:right;" | 15 | |||
|- | |||
| 50–64 years old | |||
| style="text-align:right; background:#ffb6b6;" | 56 | |||
| style="text-align:right; background:#f0f0ff;" | 43 | |||
| style="text-align:right;" | 27 | |||
|- | |||
| 65 and older | |||
| style="text-align:right; background:#ffb6b6;" | 50 | |||
| style="text-align:right; background:#f0f0ff;" | 49 | |||
| style="text-align:right;" | 28 | |||
|- | |||
! colspan="4" | Age by gender | |||
|- | |||
| Men 18–29 years old | |||
| style="text-align:right; background:#ffb6b6;" | 49 | |||
| style="text-align:right; background:#f0f0ff;" | 48 | |||
| style="text-align:right;" | 7 | |||
|- | |||
| Men 30–44 years old | |||
| style="text-align:right; background:#ffb6b6;" | 52 | |||
| style="text-align:right; background:#f0f0ff;" | 45 | |||
| style="text-align:right;" | 11 | |||
|- | |||
| Men 45–64 years old | |||
| style="text-align:right; background:#ffb6b6;" | 59 | |||
| style="text-align:right; background:#f0f0ff;" | 39 | |||
| style="text-align:right;" | 16 | |||
|- | |||
| Men 65 and older | |||
| style="text-align:right; background:#ffb6b6;" | 56 | |||
| style="text-align:right; background:#f0f0ff;" | 43 | |||
| style="text-align:right;" | 12 | |||
|- | |||
| Women 18–29 years old | |||
| style="text-align:right; background:#fff3f3;" | 38 | |||
| style="text-align:right; background:#b0ceff;" | 61 | |||
| style="text-align:right;" | 7 | |||
|- | |||
| Women 30–44 years old | |||
| style="text-align:right; background:#fff3f3;" | 41 | |||
| style="text-align:right; background:#b0ceff;" | 56 | |||
| style="text-align:right;" | 12 | |||
|- | |||
| Women 45–64 years old | |||
| style="text-align:right; background:#ffb6b6;" | 50 | |||
| style="text-align:right; background:#f0f0ff;" | 49 | |||
| style="text-align:right;" | 19 | |||
|- | |||
| Women 65 years and older | |||
| style="text-align:right; background:#fff3f3;" | 46 | |||
| style="text-align:right; background:#b0ceff;" | 53 | |||
| style="text-align:right;" | 16 | |||
|- | |||
! colspan="4" | Age by race | |||
|- | |||
| White 18–29 years old | |||
| style="text-align:right; background:#fff3f3;" | 49 | |||
| style="text-align:right; background:#f0f0ff;" | 49 | |||
| style="text-align:right;" | 8 | |||
|- | |||
| White 30–44 years old | |||
| style="text-align:right; background:#ffb6b6;" | 54 | |||
| style="text-align:right; background:#f0f0ff;" | 44 | |||
| style="text-align:right;" | 15 | |||
|- | |||
| White 45–64 years old | |||
| style="text-align:right; background:#ffb6b6;" | 61 | |||
| style="text-align:right; background:#f0f0ff;" | 37 | |||
| style="text-align:right;" | 25 | |||
|- | |||
| White 65 and older | |||
| style="text-align:right; background:#ffb6b6;" | 56 | |||
| style="text-align:right; background:#f0f0ff;" | 43 | |||
| style="text-align:right;" | 23 | |||
|- | |||
| Black 18–29 years old | |||
| style="text-align:right; background:#fff3f3;" | 16 | |||
| style="text-align:right; background:#b0ceff;" | 83 | |||
| style="text-align:right;" | 2 | |||
|- | |||
| Black 30–44 years old | |||
| style="text-align:right; background:#fff3f3;" | 15 | |||
| style="text-align:right; background:#b0ceff;" | 83 | |||
| style="text-align:right;" | 3 | |||
|- | |||
| Black 45–64 years old | |||
| style="text-align:right; background:#fff3f3;" | 14 | |||
| style="text-align:right; background:#b0ceff;" | 84 | |||
| style="text-align:right;" | 4 | |||
|- | |||
| Black 65 and older | |||
| style="text-align:right; background:#fff3f3;" | 6 | |||
| style="text-align:right; background:#b0ceff;" | 93 | |||
| style="text-align:right;" | 3 | |||
|- | |||
| Latino 18–29 years old | |||
| style="text-align:right; background:#fff3f3;" | 45 | |||
| style="text-align:right; background:#b0ceff;" | 51 | |||
| style="text-align:right;" | 2 | |||
|- | |||
| Latino 30–44 years old | |||
| style="text-align:right; background:#fff3f3;" | 45 | |||
| style="text-align:right; background:#b0ceff;" | 52 | |||
| style="text-align:right;" | 3 | |||
|- | |||
| Latino 45–64 years old | |||
| style="text-align:right; background:#fff3f3;" | 48 | |||
| style="text-align:right; background:#b0ceff;" | 51 | |||
| style="text-align:right;" | 4 | |||
|- | |||
| Latino 65 and older | |||
| style="text-align:right; background:#fff3f3;" | 41 | |||
| style="text-align:right; background:#b0ceff;" | 58 | |||
| style="text-align:right;" | 2 | |||
|- | |||
| Others | |||
| style="text-align:right; background:#fff3f3;" | 47 | |||
| style="text-align:right; background:#b0ceff;" | 49 | |||
| style="text-align:right;" | 6 | |||
|- | |||
! colspan="4" |Sexual orientation | |||
|- | |||
| LGBT | |||
| style="text-align:right; background:#fff3f3;" | 12 | |||
| style="text-align:right; background:#b0ceff;" | 86 | |||
| style="text-align:right;" | 8 | |||
|- | |||
| Non-LGBT | |||
| style="text-align:right; background:#ffb6b6;" | 53 | |||
| style="text-align:right; background:#f0f0ff;" | 45 | |||
| style="text-align:right;" | 92 | |||
|- | |||
! colspan="4" |First time voter | |||
|- | |||
| Yes | |||
| style="text-align:right; background:#ffb6b6;" | 55 | |||
| style="text-align:right; background:#f0f0ff;" | 44 | |||
| style="text-align:right;" | 8 | |||
|- | |||
| No | |||
| style="text-align:right; background:#fff3f3;" | 49 | |||
| style="text-align:right; background:#f0f0ff;" | 49 | |||
| style="text-align:right;" | 92 | |||
|- | |||
! colspan="4" |Education | |||
|- | |||
| High school or less | |||
| style="text-align:right; background:#ffb6b6;" | 62 | |||
| style="text-align:right; background:#f0f0ff;" | 36 | |||
| style="text-align:right;" | 15 | |||
|- | |||
| Some college education | |||
| style="text-align:right; background:#ffb6b6;" | 51 | |||
| style="text-align:right; background:#f0f0ff;" | 47 | |||
| style="text-align:right;" | 26 | |||
|- | |||
| ] | |||
| style="text-align:right; background:#ffb6b6" | 57 | |||
| style="text-align:right; background:#f0f0ff" | 41 | |||
| style="text-align:right;" | 16 | |||
|- | |||
| Bachelor's degree | |||
| style="text-align:right; background:#fff3f3;" | 45 | |||
| style="text-align:right; background:#b0ceff;" | 53 | |||
| style="text-align:right;" | 24 | |||
|- | |||
| Postgraduate degree | |||
| style="text-align:right; background:#fff3f3;" | 38 | |||
| style="text-align:right; background:#b0ceff;" | 59 | |||
| style="text-align:right;" | 19 | |||
|- | |||
! colspan="4" |Education by race | |||
|- | |||
| White college graduates | |||
| style="text-align:right; background:#fff3f3;" | 45 | |||
| style="text-align:right; background:#b0ceff;" | 53 | |||
| style="text-align:right;" | 33 | |||
|- | |||
| White no college degree | |||
| style="text-align:right; background:#ffb6b6;" | 66 | |||
| style="text-align:right; background:#f0f0ff;" | 32 | |||
| style="text-align:right;" | 38 | |||
|- | |||
| Non-White college graduates | |||
| style="text-align:right; background:#fff3f3;" | 32 | |||
| style="text-align:right; background:#b0ceff;" | 65 | |||
| style="text-align:right;" | 10 | |||
|- | |||
| Non-White no college degree | |||
| style="text-align:right; background:#fff3f3;" | 34 | |||
| style="text-align:right; background:#b0ceff;" | 64 | |||
| style="text-align:right;" | 18 | |||
|- | |||
! colspan="4" |Education by race/gender | |||
|- | |||
| White women with college degrees | |||
| style="text-align:right; background:#fff3f3;" | 41 | |||
| style="text-align:right; background:#b0ceff;" | 58 | |||
| style="text-align:right;" | 17 | |||
|- | |||
| White women without college degrees | |||
| style="text-align:right; background:#ffb6b6;" | 63 | |||
| style="text-align:right; background:#f0f0ff;" | 35 | |||
| style="text-align:right;" | 20 | |||
|- | |||
| White men with college degrees | |||
| style="text-align:right; background:#ffb6b6;" | 50 | |||
| style="text-align:right; background:#f0f0ff;" | 48 | |||
| style="text-align:right;" | 16 | |||
|- | |||
| White men without college degrees | |||
| style="text-align:right; background:#ffb6b6;" | 69 | |||
| style="text-align:right; background:#f0f0ff;" | 29 | |||
| style="text-align:right;" | 18 | |||
|- | |||
| Non-White | |||
| style="text-align:right; background:#fff3f3;" | 33 | |||
| style="text-align:right; background:#b0ceff;" | 64 | |||
| style="text-align:right;" | 29 | |||
|- | |||
! colspan="4" |Income | |||
|- | |||
| Under $30,000 | |||
| style="text-align:right; background:#fff3f3;" | 46 | |||
| style="text-align:right; background:#b0ceff;" | 50 | |||
| style="text-align:right;" | 11 | |||
|- | |||
| $30,000–49,999 | |||
| style="text-align:right; background:#ffb6b6;" | 52 | |||
| style="text-align:right; background:#f0f0ff;" | 46 | |||
| style="text-align:right;" | 16 | |||
|- | |||
| $50,000–99,999 | |||
| style="text-align:right; background:#ffb6b6;" | 52 | |||
| style="text-align:right; background:#f0f0ff;" | 46 | |||
| style="text-align:right;" | 32 | |||
|- | |||
| $100,000–199,999 | |||
| style="text-align:right; background:#fff3f3;" | 46 | |||
| style="text-align:right; background:#b0ceff;" | 51 | |||
| style="text-align:right;" | 28 | |||
|- | |||
| Over $200,000 | |||
| style="text-align:right; background:#fff3f3;" | 46 | |||
| style="text-align:right; background:#b0ceff;" | 52 | |||
| style="text-align:right;" | 13 | |||
|- | |||
! colspan="4" | Union households | |||
|- | |||
| Yes | |||
| style="text-align:right; background:#fff3f3;" | 45 | |||
| style="text-align:right; background:#b0ceff;" | 53 | |||
| style="text-align:right;" | 19 | |||
|- | |||
| No | |||
| style="text-align:right; background:#ffb6b6;" | 51 | |||
| style="text-align:right; background:#f0f0ff;" | 47 | |||
| style="text-align:right;" | 81 | |||
|- | |||
! colspan="4" | Military service | |||
|- | |||
| Veterans | |||
| style="text-align:right; background:#ffb6b6;" | 65 | |||
| style="text-align:right; background:#f0f0ff;" | 34 | |||
| style="text-align:right;" | 13 | |||
|- | |||
| Non-veterans | |||
| style="text-align:right; background:#fff3f3;" | 48 | |||
| style="text-align:right; background:#b0ceff;" | 50 | |||
| style="text-align:right;" | 87 | |||
|- | |||
! colspan="4" | Region | |||
|- | |||
| ] | |||
| style="text-align:right; background:#fff3f3;" | 44 | |||
| style="text-align:right; background:#b0ceff;" | 54 | |||
| style="text-align:right;" | 20 | |||
|- | |||
| ] | |||
| style="text-align:right; background:#ffb6b6;" | 52 | |||
| style="text-align:right; background:#f0f0ff;" | 46 | |||
| style="text-align:right;" | 22 | |||
|- | |||
| ] | |||
| style="text-align:right; background:#ffb6b6;" | 56 | |||
| style="text-align:right; background:#f0f0ff;" | 43 | |||
| style="text-align:right;" | 35 | |||
|- | |||
| ] | |||
| style="text-align:right; background:#fff3f3;" | 43 | |||
| style="text-align:right; background:#b0ceff;" | 54 | |||
| style="text-align:right;" | 22 | |||
|- | |||
! colspan="4" | Area type | |||
|- | |||
| Urban | |||
| style="text-align:right; background:#fff3f3;" | 38 | |||
| style="text-align:right; background:#b0ceff;" | 60 | |||
| style="text-align:right;" | 29 | |||
|- | |||
| Suburban | |||
| style="text-align:right; background:#ffb6b6;" | 51 | |||
| style="text-align:right; background:#f0f0ff;" | 47 | |||
| style="text-align:right;" | 52 | |||
|- | |||
| Rural | |||
| style="text-align:right; background:#ffb6b6;" | 64 | |||
| style="text-align:right; background:#f0f0ff;" | 34 | |||
| style="text-align:right;" | 19 | |||
|- | |||
! colspan="4" | White suburban voters by gender | |||
|- | |||
| White suburban women | |||
| style="text-align:right; background:#ffb6b6;" | 53 | |||
| style="text-align:right; background:#f0f0ff;" | 46 | |||
| style="text-align:right;" | 20 | |||
|- | |||
| White suburban men | |||
| style="text-align:right; background:#ffb6b6;" | 62 | |||
| style="text-align:right; background:#f0f0ff;" | 36 | |||
| style="text-align:right;" | 18 | |||
|- | |||
| Other voters | |||
| style="text-align:right; background:#fff3f3;" | 45 | |||
| style="text-align:right; background:#b0ceff;" | 52 | |||
| style="text-align:right;" | 62 | |||
|- | |||
|} | |||
===Polling accuracy=== | |||
After the 2020 misses, pollsters took steps to avoid similar errors.<ref>{{cite news |last=Cohn |first=Nate |date=October 6, 2024 |title=How One Polling Decision Is Leading to Two Distinct Stories of the Election |url=https://www.nytimes.com/2024/10/06/upshot/polling-methods-election.html |access-date=November 16, 2024 |work=The New York Times}}</ref><ref>{{cite news |last=Cohn |first=Nate |date=October 22, 2024 |title=Two Theories for Why the Polls Failed in 2020, and What It Means for 2024 |url=https://www.nytimes.com/2024/10/22/upshot/polling-errors-2024-election.html |access-date=November 16, 2024 |work=The New York Times}}</ref> Despite this, national polls underestimated Trump a third time,<ref>{{cite web |last=Sherman |first=Natalie |date=November 7, 2024 |title=Did the US election polls fail? |url=https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/cj4ve004llxo |access-date=November 16, 2024 |website=BBC News}}</ref> albeit by less than in 2016 and 2020,<ref>{{cite news |date=November 7, 2024 |title=Opinion polls underestimated Donald Trump again |url=https://www.economist.com/united-states/2024/11/07/opinion-polls-underestimated-donald-trump-again |access-date=November 9, 2024 |newspaper=The Economist |issn=0013-0613}}</ref> and within the realm of a ];<ref name="Morris 2024">{{cite web |last=Morris |first=G. Elliot |date=November 8, 2024 |title=2024 polls were accurate but still underestimated Trump |url=https://abcnews.go.com/538/2024-polls-accurate-underestimated-trump/story?id=115652118 |access-date=November 16, 2024 |website=ABC News}}</ref><ref name="Warren 2024">{{cite web |last=Warren |first=J. D. |date=November 13, 2024 |title=Were the 2024 election polls wrong? UCR expert weighs in <!--| UCR News | UC Riverside--> |url=https://news.ucr.edu/articles/2024/11/13/were-2024-election-polls-wrong-ucr-expert-weighs |access-date=November 16, 2024 |website=UCR News}}</ref> most polls going into the election showed essentially a tie, "within the poll's margin of error",<ref>{{cite web |last=Schwartz |first=Doug |date=October 23, 2024 |title=Why the margin of error matters more than ever in reading 2024 election polls – a pollster with 30 years of experience explains |url=https://theconversation.com/why-the-margin-of-error-matters-more-than-ever-in-reading-2024-election-polls-a-pollster-with-30-years-of-experience-explains-240633 |access-date=November 16, 2024 |website=The Conversation}}</ref> and thus both Harris and Trump were a normal polling error away from the win, although this did not preclude either Harris or Trump achieving a sweep of the battleground states.<ref>{{cite news |last=Bronner |first=Lenny |date=November 3, 2024 |title=The election is uncertain, but it might not be close |url=https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/2024/11/03/polls-kamala-harris-donald-trump-polling-error/ |access-date=November 16, 2024 |newspaper=The Washington Post}}</ref><ref>{{cite news |last=Rogers |first=Kaleigh |date=November 4, 2024 |title=The Polls Are Close. The Results Might Not Be. |url=https://www.nytimes.com/2024/11/04/us/elections/harris-trump-polls-states.html |access-date=November 16, 2024 |work=The New York Times}}</ref> In every swing state, Trump outperformed his final polling numbers by around 3%, which is in line with a normal margin of error.<ref>{{cite web |last=Montanaro |first=Domenico |date=November 13, 2024 |title=The polls underestimated Trump's support — again. Here's why |url=https://www.npr.org/2024/11/12/nx-s1-5188445/2024-election-polls-trump-kamala-harris |access-date=November 16, 2024 |website=NPR}}</ref> In 2016, the national polls were fairly accurate but Trump overperforming the polls in Michigan, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin led to his Electoral College victory. In 2020, polls overestimated Biden's margin over Trump by about 4% in competitive states.<ref>{{cite web |last=Morris |first=G. Elliott |date=October 30, 2024 |title=Trump and Harris are both a normal polling error away from a blowout |url=https://abcnews.go.com/538/trump-harris-normal-polling-error-blowout/story?id=115283593 |access-date=November 16, 2024 |website=ABC News}}</ref> In 2024, compared to 2020, the margin of error in swing states was less, and high-quality national polls were more accurate.<ref name="Warren 2024"/> There was also much discussion about the Electoral College bias, and the margin Harris had to achieve over Trump nationally to win in the Electoral College, which was lower than in 2020;<ref>{{cite news |last=Bronner |first=Lenny |date=August 9, 2024 |title=Harris may need less of popular vote to win electoral college |url=https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/2024/08/09/harris-popular-vote-electoral-college/ |access-date=November 16, 2024 |work=The New York Times}}</ref><ref>{{cite news |last=Blake |first=Aaron |date=October 17, 2024 |title=The GOP's shrinking electoral college edge |url=https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/2024/10/17/campaign-moment/ |access-date=November 16, 2024 |newspaper=The Washington Post}}</ref> in 2016 and 2020, the Electoral College bias in favor of Republicans was 2.9% and 3.8%, and according to late September 2024 polls it had been reduced to 0.7%,<ref>{{cite news |last=Cohn |first=Nate |date=September 25, 2024 |title=Republicans' Electoral College Edge, Once Seen as Ironclad, Looks to Be Fading |url=https://www.nytimes.com/2024/09/25/upshot/trump-electoral-college-harris.html |access-date=November 16, 2024 |work=The New York Times}}</ref> with the unlikely but not impossible outcome of Harris losing the national vote but winning the Electoral College.<ref>{{cite news |last=Cohn |first=Nate |date=October 22, 2024 |title=Could Trump Win the Popular Vote but Lose the Electoral College? |url=https://www.nytimes.com/2024/10/25/upshot/poll-trump-harris-election.html |access-date=November 16, 2024 |work=The New York Times}}</ref> | |||
As polling generally does not underestimate a party three cycles in a row, several pundits and media outlets had suggested that Harris was being underestimated by polls,<ref>{{cite web |date=October 31, 2024 |title=Is the US election polling underestimating Kamala Harris and Democrats in key states? Here's what a data reporter is warning |url=https://economictimes.indiatimes.com/news/international/us/is-the-us-election-polling-underestimating-kamala-harris-and-democrats-in-key-states-heres-what-a-data-reporter-is-warning/articleshow/114797120.cms |website=The Economic Times|access-date=November 16, 2024 }}</ref> and discussed the possibility of "shy Harris voters",<ref>{{cite web |last=Brown |first=Justin |date=November 1, 2024 |title=Why the Polls Might Be Wrong — in Kamala Harris' Favor |url=https://www.politico.com/news/magazine/2024/11/01/shy-kamala-harris-voters-polling-00186653 |access-date=November 16, 2024 |website=Politico}}</ref><ref>{{cite news |last=Hesse |first=Monica |date=November 4, 2024 |title=Marriage and the shy Harris voter |url=https://www.washingtonpost.com/style/power/2024/11/04/women-voting-harris-secretly/ |access-date=November 16, 2024 |newspaper=The Washington Post}}</ref><ref>{{cite news |last=Zitner |first=Aaron |date=November 4, 2024 |title='Shy Harris Voters' and Other 2024 Polling Wild Cards |url=https://www.wsj.com/politics/elections/shy-harris-voters-and-other-2024-polling-wild-cards-add3e4fd |access-date=November 16, 2024 |work=The Wall Street Journal}}</ref> referencing the ].<ref>{{cite news |last=Silver |first=Nate |date=October 23, 2024 |title=Here's What My Gut Says About the Election. But Don't Trust Anyone's Gut, Even Mine |url=https://www.nytimes.com/2024/10/23/opinion/election-polls-results-trump-harris.html |access-date=November 17, 2024 |work=The New York Times |issn=0362-4331}}</ref> The results of the ] had also lent more legitimacy to this theory as predictions of a ] had evaporated on election day, with some accusing Republicans of "flooding the zone" with pollsters biased in their favor,<ref>{{cite web |last=Gans |first=Jared |date=October 19, 2024 |title=GOP-leaning polls trigger questions about accuracy |url=https://thehill.com/homenews/campaign/4941955-gop-leaning-polls-trigger-questions-about-accuracy/ |access-date=November 16, 2024 |website=The Hill }}</ref> although this did not seem to affect ]s.<ref>{{cite web |last=McKown-Dawson |first=Eli |date=October 16, 2024|title=Are Republican pollsters 'flooding the zone?' |url=https://www.natesilver.net/p/are-republican-pollsters-flooding |access-date=November 16, 2024 |website=Silver Bulletin }}</ref><ref>{{cite web |last1=Jain |first1=Lakshya |last2=Chen |first2=Ethan |date=October 29, 2024 |title=Are GOP-Leaning Pollsters Biasing The Averages? (No.) |url=https://split-ticket.org/2024/10/29/are-gop-leaning-pollsters-biasing-the-averages/ |access-date=November 16, 2024 |website=Split Ticket }}</ref> | |||
Polling averages were more accurate in swing states but vastly underestimated Trump's strength in both safe red and blue states,<ref name="Morris 2024"/> which helped to reduce the Electoral College bias.<ref>{{cite web |last=Silver |first=Nate |date=November 12, 2024|title=It's 2004 all over again |url=https://www.natesilver.net/p/its-2004-all-over-again |access-date=November 17, 2024 |website=Silver Bulletin }}</ref> Florida and Texas were both projected to go for Trump by about 7%; he won them by about 13%.<ref name="Morris 2024"/> Pollster ] released a poll in Iowa that had Harris winning the state by 3%,<ref>{{cite web |last=Pfannenstiel |first=Brianne | date=November 2, 2024 |title=Iowa Poll: Kamala Harris leapfrogs Donald Trump to take lead near Election Day. Here's how |url=https://www.desmoinesregister.com/story/news/politics/iowa-poll/2024/11/02/iowa-poll-kamala-harris-leads-donald-trump-2024-presidential-race/75354033007/ |access-date=November 9, 2024 |website=The Des Moines Register }}</ref> only for Trump to take the state by 13%.<ref name="Morris 2024"/> On the other hand, New Jersey was projected to be a safe state for Harris but most news stations waited until 90% of the vote was in before calling it for Harris, as she was only leading by 5%.<ref>{{cite web |last=Friedman |first=Matt |date=November 6, 2024 |title=New Jersey's rightward shift |url=https://www.politico.com/newsletters/new-jersey-playbook/2024/11/06/new-jerseys-rightward-shift-00187683 |access-date=November 9, 2024 |website=Politico}}</ref><ref>{{cite web |last=Johnson |first=Brent |date=November 7, 2024 |title=Is N.J. turning red? What Trump's leap in Jersey support means for Democratic stronghold. |url=https://www.nj.com/politics/2024/11/long-a-democratic-stronghold-is-nj-turning-red.html |access-date=November 17, 2024 |website=NJ.com}}</ref> Historian ] incorrectly predicted a Harris win using ] system.<ref>{{cite web |last=Mastrangelo |first=Dominick |date=November 6, 2024 |title=Allan Lichtman takes shot at Nate Silver after Donald Trump victory |url=https://thehill.com/homenews/media/4976949-allan-lichtman-nate-silver-feud/ |access-date=November 10, 2024 |website=The Hill }}</ref> | |||
==Aftermath== | |||
=== Election night === | |||
] report on Trump's victory]] | |||
], ], and Miklós Szánthó]] | |||
] was the first TV network to call the race for Trump, using data from ], making the projection at 1:22{{nbsp}}a.m. EST on November 6.<ref>{{Cite web |last=Battaglio |first=Stephen |date=November 6, 2024 |title=NewsNation is first TV network to call presidential race for Trump thanks to Decision Desk HQ |url=https://www.latimes.com/entertainment-arts/business/story/2024-11-06/how-the-networks-covered-election-night |access-date=November 7, 2024 |website=] |language=en-US}}</ref> ], which also used Decision Desk HQ, quickly followed in calling the election for Trump. ] projected Trump as the winner at 1:47{{nbsp}}a.m., while ABC, the ], CBS, CNN, and NBC all called the race around 5{{nbsp}}a.m.<ref>{{Cite web |last=Bauder |first=David |url=https://apnews.com/article/election-media-coverage-trump-harris-87900329cb4a3400c021bde149011ef5 |title=Unexpectedly, news outlets wind up having a relatively traditional election night experience |date=November 6, 2024 |access-date=November 6, 2024 |publisher=] }}</ref> In a convention center in ], he was greeted with cheers by supporters, chanting, "]" when Fox News declared him the winner. Trump claimed victory in a speech to his supporters, where he was joined on stage by his family and his running mate, ], saying: "America has given us an unprecedented and powerful mandate." Harris did not speak to her supporters, who had gathered at ], her ]. Her campaign co-chair, ], briefly addressed the crowd, saying Harris would speak publicly on Wednesday.<ref>{{Cite web |title=Trump claims victory after Fox News projects he has won US presidency |url=https://www.reuters.com/world/us/trump-vs-harris-us-voters-head-polls-turbulent-campaign-concludes-2024-11-05/ |last1=Holland |first1=Steve |last2=Bose |first2=Nandita |last3=Kelly |first3=Stephanie |last4=Ax |first4=Joseph |date=November 6, 2024 |work=] |access-date=November 6, 2024}}</ref> A few hours later, other media outlets also projected Trump as the 47th president of the United States, with the Associated Press describing it as an "extraordinary comeback for a former president".<ref name="apnov5"/> | |||
=== Reactions === | |||
Crisis services for the LGBTQ+ community saw a sharp increase in usage during the election week. ]'s crisis lines saw a 125% increase since around midnight on election night according to a statement by CEO Jaymes Black on November 6, and followed an about 200% increase in election related conversations that had been seen between November 3–4. By November 8, it was reported that the organization saw an overall increase by 700%. The ] also reported that 56% of their users reported as LGBTQ+ on election day.<ref>{{Cite web |last=Cross |first=Greta |date=November 7, 2024 |title=LGBTQ+ hotlines experience influx in crisis calls amid 2024 presidential election |url=https://www.usatoday.com/story/life/health-wellness/2024/11/07/lgbtq-hotlines-crisis-center-presidential-election/76092268007/ |access-date=November 9, 2024 |website=USA Today |language=en-US}}</ref><ref>{{Cite web |date=November 8, 2024 |title=LGBTQ+ youth calls to mental health crisis line spiked by 700 percent after Election Day |url=https://www.pbs.org/newshour/politics/lgbtq-youth-calls-to-mental-health-crisis-line-spiked-by-700-percent-after-election-day |access-date=November 9, 2024 |website=PBS News |language=en-us}}</ref> | |||
Google search trends after Trump was announced as the winner also saw spikes in specific searches, with the term "tariff" and "Trump's tariff plan" showing an increase by 1,650% since the election. A similar search of "who pays tariffs" saw an increase of 350%.<ref>{{Cite web |last=Noack |first=Georgina |date=November 11, 2024 |title=The big question Americans are Googling after electing Trump |url=https://thenightly.com.au/politics/us-politics/what-is-a-tariff-google-searches-for-term-tariff-spike-after-donald-trump-elected-as-president-c-16712054 |access-date=November 11, 2024 |website=The Nightly |language=en}}</ref> Other google search trend spikes were seen with "How to change my vote" spiking the morning of November 5 specifically in Iowa, Idaho, Kansas, Nebraska and Alabama.<ref>{{Cite web |last=Finch |first=Kenzie |date=November 11, 2024 |title=Searches for 'How to change my vote' spike morning of Election Day |url=https://www.wavy.com/news/national/searches-for-how-to-change-my-vote-spike-morning-of-election-day/ |access-date=November 14, 2024 |website=WAVY.com |language=en-US}}</ref> Moving to other countries from the United States also saw a surge in searches after the election with an overall 1,514% increase in Google searches overall. The highest increase was seen in searches about moving to New Zealand, Germany, and the Netherlands, which respectively saw increases of 7,600%, 4,200%, and 3,233%.<ref>{{Cite web |last=Hari |first=Ravi |date=November 9, 2024 |title=Trump's 2024 win sparks 1,500% spike in Google Searches for leaving the US — Find out which countries are the top picks |url=https://www.livemint.com/news/us-news/trumps-2024-win-sparks-1-500-spike-in-google-searches-for-leaving-the-us-find-out-which-countries-are-the-top-picks-11731158993516.html |access-date=November 14, 2024 |website=Mint}}</ref> A company that assists wealthy Americans in securing foreign citizenship saw a 200× jump in inquiries.<ref>{{cite news |newspaper=] |title=If you're wealthy and anti-Trump, fleeing the US may be an option. But you'll have to get in line. |last=Miller|first=Kara |date=November 8, 2024 |url=https://www.bostonglobe.com/2024/11/08/business/wealthy-americans-move-trump-election/}}</ref> | |||
==== Political ==== | |||
] | |||
Democrats had split reactions to the loss, with differing views on why Harris lost the election. Vermont Senator ] criticized the Democratic campaign afterward, saying the party "abandoned ] people" and found that "the working class has abandoned them". He further blamed "big money" and "well-paid ]" for the loss, and argued against sending billions of dollars in military aid to Israel.<ref>{{cite web |title=Bernie Sanders blasts Democratic Party following Kamala Harris loss |date=November 6, 2024 |last1=Pecorin |first1=Allison |last2=Deliso |first2=Meredith |url=https://abcnews.go.com/Politics/bernie-sanders-response-presidential-election/story?id=115582079 |access-date=November 7, 2024 |publisher=ABC News }}</ref> While expressing respect for Sanders and his views, former House speaker ] disagreed with the claim that the "Democratic Party has abandoned the working-class families", instead blaming the party's loss on Biden's late exit and the lack of an open Democratic primary. ''The New York Times'' reported Pelosi felt cultural issues were more to blame for the party's losses among working-class voters.<ref>{{cite web |last=Peller |first=Lauren |date=November 8, 2024 |title=Pelosi blames Harris' loss on Biden's late exit and no open Democratic primary |url=https://abcnews.go.com/Politics/pelosi-blames-harris-loss-bidens-late-exit-open/story?id=115652125 |access-date=November 9, 2024 |publisher=ABC News}}</ref> | |||
] chair ] dismissed Sanders' criticism as "straight-up BS".<ref>{{Cite news |last=Pengelly |first=Martin |date=November 7, 2024 |title='Straight-up BS': Democratic chair attacks Bernie Sanders' election critique |url=https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/2024/nov/07/bernie-sanders-democrats-election |access-date=November 10, 2024 |work=The Guardian |issn=0261-3077}}</ref><ref>{{Cite web |last=Writer |first=Aila Slisco |date=November 7, 2024 |title=DNC chair rips Bernie Sanders' election comment: "Straight up BS" |url=https://www.newsweek.com/dnc-chair-rips-bernie-sanders-election-comment-straight-bs-1982458 |access-date=November 10, 2024 |website=Newsweek |language=en}}</ref> Sanders also wrote an article in '']'', in which he offered a list of "working class priorities" that Democrats should fight for. In it, he acknowledged some positive changes achieved by Biden but said that they were "almost never discussed within the context of a grossly unfair economy that continues to fail ordinary Americans" and did not address the anger of the working class.<ref>{{cite web |last=Sanders |first=Bernie |date=November 11, 2024 |title=Democrats must choose: The elites or the working class |url=https://www.bostonglobe.com/2024/11/10/opinion/democratic-party-working-class-bernie-sanders/ |archive-url=https://archive.today/20241111035546/https://www.bostonglobe.com/2024/11/10/opinion/democratic-party-working-class-bernie-sanders/ |archive-date=November 11, 2024 |access-date=November 11, 2024 |website=The Boston Globe}}</ref> | |||
Senator ] (D-CT) believed that the Democrats could not connect to a large amount of voters, and should embrace ] going forward.<ref>{{Cite web|url=https://thehill.com/homenews/state-watch/4983135-murphy-on-democrats-losses-our-tent-is-too-small/|title=Murphy on Democrats' losses: 'Our tent is too small'|website=The Hill|date=November 10, 2024}}</ref><ref>{{Cite web|url=https://thehill.com/homenews/campaign/5004624-murphy-democrats-populism-election/|title=Chris Murphy argues Democrats need to embrace populism|website=The Hill|date=November 22, 2024}}</ref> Representative ] (D-NY), who represents ], said he wasn't surprised by Harris' loss. Torres attributed Trump's victory to public discontent over inflation and immigration, and believed that Harris ran an effective campaign, but could not overcome the difficult electoral environment.<ref>{{Cite web|url=https://www.theatlantic.com/politics/archive/2024/11/democrats-lost-voters-ritchie-torres/680599/|title=The Cumulative Toll of Democrats' Delusion|first1=Michael|last1=Powell|website=The Atlantic|access-date=November 15, 2024|date=November 9, 2024}}</ref> | |||
] (right) and President-elect ] (left) meet in the ] of the ] as part of the presidential transition.]] | |||
Representative ], who was the first sitting Democrat in Congress to openly call for President Joe Biden to withdraw from the presidential election after the first presidential debate, stated, "I only regret I didn't do it earlier. I think it's unfortunate that he took three weeks to decide. I believe that the only person in our caucus who doesn't share some responsibility for the outcome is ], who came out early. I accept responsibility as well that there's more that we could have done."<ref>{{cite news |last1=Schnell |first1=Mychael |last2=Lillis |first2=Mike |title=Shellshocked Dems return to Capitol to reckon with drubbing |url=https://thehill.com/homenews/campaign/4987568-shellshocked-dems-return-to-capitol-to-reckon-with-drubbing/ |work=The Hill |access-date=9 December 2024 |date=12 November 2024}}</ref> | |||
Former Republican president ], who had declined to endorse either candidate, offered his congratulations to Trump and said that what he defined as a "strong turnout" in the election was a "sign of the health of our republic and the strength of our democratic institutions".<ref>{{cite news |last1=Martinez |first1=Xavier |date=November 6, 2024 |title=George W. Bush Congratulates Trump |url=https://www.wsj.com/livecoverage/trump-harris-election-day-results-2024/card/george-w-bush-congratulates-trump-dsNdvaWbdbDC5mo7RjhT |work=] |access-date=November 6, 2024}}</ref> Former president ] and his wife ] released a statement admitting their "profound disagreements with the Republican ticket on a whole host of issues", and lauded Harris and Walz's efforts yet emphasized "recognizing that our point of view won't always win out, and being willing to accept the peaceful transfer of power" concerning the incoming Trump administration.<ref>{{cite news |last=Harvey |first=Josie |date=November 7, 2024 |title=Barack And Michelle Obama React To Trump's Victory |url=https://www.huffingtonpost.co.uk/entry/barack-and-michelle-obama-react-to-trumps-victory_uk_672cb42ee4b01cfbdad3f8d6 |work=] |access-date=November 8, 2024}}</ref> On November 6, the day after Trump's victory, Harris publicly conceded her loss.<ref name="reutersnov7">{{Cite news |last1=Bose |first1=Nandita |last2=Mason |first2=Jeff |date=November 7, 2024 |title=Kamala Harris concedes election to Trump but vows to fight on |url=https://www.reuters.com/world/us/kamala-harris-concedes-election-vows-fight-2024-11-06/ |access-date=November 7, 2024 |work=]}}</ref> | |||
==== International reactions ==== | |||
Several reactions from governments, individuals, organizations, and multi-nation institutions around the world emerged for the re-election of Trump with, generally, most world governments congratulating Trump on his victory in the election. | |||
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===== Africa ===== | |||
Various leaders in Africa congratulated Trump, including ] ],<ref>{{Cite web |title=President of the Republic congratulates US President Donald Trump on election |url=https://pmnewyork.mfa.gov.dz/en/news-and-press-releases/president-of-the-republic-congratulates-us-president-donald-trump-on-election |access-date=November 9, 2024 |website=Permanent Mission of Algeria to the UN - New York}}</ref> ] ],<ref>{{Cite news |date=November 7, 2024 |title=PR congratulates Trump and believes that common line of action will be maintained |url=https://www.verangola.net/va/en/112024/Politics/42165/PR-congratulates-Trump-and-believes-that-common-line-of-action-will-be-maintained.htm |work=Ver Angola |access-date=November 16, 2024}}</ref> ] ]<ref>{{cite tweet |author=Bénin Diplomatie |user=BeninDiplomatie |number=1854178484353929534 |date=November 6, 2024 |title=🇧🇯🇺🇸 Congratulations to President-elect @realDonaldTrump and Vice President-elect @JDVance on their election victory. The Government of the Republic of Benin looks forward to deepening our partnership with the United States, fostering collaboration, and promoting global prosperity. |access-date=November 17, 2024}}</ref> ] ],<ref>{{Cite tweet |number=1854213802125889897 |user=duma_boko |title=Congratulations to President Donald Trump and the American people. As Botswana's newly elected President, I look forward to continuing our strong bilateral relations. #BotswanaUSA |first=Gideon Boko |last=Duma}}</ref> ] ],<ref>{{Cite tweet |number=1854106434859913709 |user=GeneralNeva |title=I extend my heartfelt congratulations to President-elect Donald Trump ( @realDonaldTrump ) on your historic election victory and convey my wishes for success as you lead America forward with purpose and conviction. I look forward to further strengthen the Burundi-USA cooperation |first=Ndayishimiye |last=SE Evariste}}</ref> ] ],<ref>{{Cite news |date=November 10, 2024 |title=Biya congratulates US President-elect, Donald Trump |url=https://theguardianpostcameroon.com/post/4739/fr/biya-congratulates-us-president-elect-donald-trump |work=The Guardian Post |access-date=November 16, 2024}}</ref> ] ],<ref>{{Cite tweet |number=1854221383317717452 |user=UlissesCorreiaa |title=Congratulations to President Donald Trump on being elected as the 47th President of the United States. 🇺🇸 As Prime Minister of Cape Verde, I look forward to continuing our work together to strengthen the historic ties between our nations. 🇨🇻🤝🇺🇸 |first=e Silva |last=Ulisses Correia}}</ref> ] ],<ref name="jeuneafrique">{{Cite news |date=November 6, 2024 |title=La victoire de Trump vue par les dirigeants africains: félicitations et realpolitik |url=https://www.jeuneafrique.com/1627880/politique/la-victoire-de-trump-vue-par-les-dirigeants-africains-felicitations-et-realpolitik/ |work=] |access-date=November 17, 2024 |lang=fr}}</ref> ] ],<ref name="jeuneafrique" /> ] ],<ref name="jeuneafrique" /> ] ]<ref>{{cite news |date=November 6, 2024 |title=President El-Sisi congratulates Trump on winning US presidential election |url=https://english.ahram.org.eg/NewsContent/1/1234/534835/Egypt/Foreign-Affairs/President-ElSisi-congratulates-Trump-on-winning-US.aspx |access-date=November 8, 2024 |website=]}}</ref> ] ],<ref>{{Cite news |date=November 7, 2024 |title=Eswatini Congratulates President-Elect Trump on Groundbreaking Victory |url=https://swazidailynews.com/2024/11/07/eswatini-congratulates-president-elect-trump-on-groundbreaking-victory/ |work=Eswatini Daily News |access-date=November 17, 2024}}</ref> ] ],<ref>{{Cite news |date=November 6, 2024 |title=PM Abiy Ahmed congratulates Donald Trump on election victory |url=https://www.fanabc.com/english/pm-abiy-ahmed-congratulates-donald-trump-on-election-victory/ |access-date=November 9, 2024 |work=]}}</ref> ] ],<ref>{{Cite news |date=November 8, 2024 |title=Barrow congratulates Donald Trump on US election victory |url=https://gambiana.com/barrow-congratulates-donald-trump-on-us-election-victory/ |work=Gambiana |access-date=November 16, 2024}}</ref> ] ],<ref>{{Cite news |date=November 7, 2024 |title=President Akufo-Addo congratulates Donald Trump on his win as US President |url=https://www.ghanaweb.com/GhanaHomePage/NewsArchive/President-Akufo-Addo-congratulates-Donald-Trump-on-his-win-as-US-President-1959062 |access-date=November 9, 2024 |work=]}}</ref> ] ],<ref name="jeuneafrique" /> ] ],<ref name="jeuneafrique" /> ] ],<ref>{{Cite news |date=November 6, 2024 |title=Ruto congratulates Trump on poll victory |url=https://www.the-star.co.ke/news/2024-11-06-ruto-congratulates-trump-on-poll-victory#google_vignette |access-date=November 8, 2024 |work=]}}</ref> ] ],<ref>{{cite tweet |author=Lesotho Tribune |user=LesothoTribune |number=1854431956592668973 |date=November 7, 2024 |title=Lesotho's Prime Minister @MatekaneSam message to President Elect Donald J. Trump |access-date=November 21, 2024}}</ref> ] ],<ref>{{Cite web |date=November 6, 2024 |title=President Boakai Congratulates U.S. Pres. Elect Donald J. Trump |url=https://www.mofa.gov.lr/media/press-releases/president-boakai-congratulates-us-pres-elect-donald-j-trump |website=mofa.gov.lr |access-date=November 17, 2024}}</ref> ] ]<ref name=":1">{{cite web|url=https://trtafrika.com/world/trumps-win-african-leaders-optimistic-of-cordial-us-relations-18229149|title=Trump's win: African leaders optimistic of cordial US relations|first=Brian|last=Okoth|newspaper=TRT Afrika|date=November 6, 2024|access-date=November 15, 2024}}</ref> ] ],<ref>{{Cite news |date=November 7, 2024 |title=Lazarus Chakwera, Peter Mutharika congratulate Donald Trump |url=https://times.mw/lazarus-chakwera-peter-mutharika-congratulate-donald-trump/ |work=] |access-date=November 16, 2024}}</ref> ] ],<ref>{{Cite news |date=November 6, 2024 |title=President of Republic Congratulates US President-Elect |url=https://ami.mr/en/archives/20569 |access-date=November 9, 2024 |work=]}}</ref> ] ],<ref>{{Cite web |date=November 7, 2024 |title=HM the King Congratulates Trump on His election as US President |url=https://www.maroc.ma/en/royal-activities/hm-king-congratulates-trump-his-election-us-president |access-date=November 8, 2024 |website=Maroc.ma}}</ref> ] ],<ref>{{Cite news |date=November 7, 2024 |title=Mozambique: Nyusi congratulates Trump on US election win |url=https://clubofmozambique.com/news/mozambique-nyusi-congratulates-trump-on-us-election-win-270278/ |access-date=November 11, 2024 |work=Club of Mozambique}}</ref> ] ],<ref>{{cite web|url=https://www.nbcnews.na/node/108253?fbclid=IwZXh0bgNhZW0CMTAAAR1OuQlLcDHxmHETZV2un1CCPD23dN6IJlTDyXu9khoyKlo72WoIaWIWcEw_aem_VW_FePMfodSjLpl6CdzJmw|title=President Mbumba Pledges Stronger US Partnership|newspaper=Namibian Broadcasting Corporation|first=Blanche|last=Goreses|access-date=November 15, 2024}}</ref> ] ],<ref>{{Cite news |date=November 6, 2024 |title=Tinubu Congratulates U.S. President-elect Trump |url=https://nannews.ng/2024/11/06/tinubu-congratulates-u-s-president-elect-trump/ |access-date=November 8, 2024 |work=News Agency of Nigeria}}</ref> ] ],<ref>{{Cite news |date=November 6, 2024 |title=Perezida Kagame yashimiye Trump watorewe kuyobora Amerika |url=https://www.rba.co.rw/post/Perezida-Kagame-yashimiye-Trump-watorewe-kuyobora-Amerika |access-date=November 9, 2024 |work=Rwanda Broadcasting Agency |lang=rw}}</ref> ] ]<ref name="jeuneafrique" /> ] ]<ref>{{Cite news |date=November 10, 2024 |title=Seychelles' President congratulates US President-elect Donald Trump on election victor |url=http://www.seychellesnewsagency.com/articles/21509/Seychelles%27+President+congratulates+US+President-elect+Donald+Trump+on+election+victory |work=] |access-date=November 16, 2024}}</ref> ] ],<ref name="SierraLeoneReaction">{{Cite news |date=November 7, 2024 |title=President Bio congratulates President-elect Donald Trump |url=https://ayvnews.com/president-bio-congratulates-president-elect-donald-trump/ |work=AYV Media Empire |access-date=November 16, 2024}}</ref> ] ]<ref>{{Cite news |date=November 6, 2024 |title=President Hassan Sheikh Congratulates U.S. President-Elect Donald Trump on Historic Victory |url=https://sonna.so/en/president-hassan-sheikh-congratulates-u-s-president-elect-donald-trump-on-historic-victory/ |work=Somali National News Agency |access-date=November 16, 2024}}</ref> ] ],<ref>{{Cite news |date=November 6, 2024 |title=Ramaphosa congratulates Donald Trump, talks about bilateral ties |url=https://www.timeslive.co.za/politics/2024-11-06-ramaphosa-congratulates-donald-trump-talks-about-bilateral-ties/ |access-date=November 8, 2024 |work=TimesLIVE}}</ref> Chairman of the ] of Sudan ]<ref>{{Cite news |date=November 6, 2024 |title=Sudanese government congratulates Trump |url=https://www.panapress.com/index.php/business/rss/rss/www.panapress.org/www.panapress.com/Sudanese-government-congratulate-a_630773123-lang2.html |work=] |access-date=November 17, 2024}}</ref> ] ],<ref>{{Cite news |date=November 7, 2024 |title=Tanzania's President, world leaders congratulate Trump |url=https://dailynews.co.tz/tanzanias-president-world-leaders-congratulate-trump/ |access-date=November 8, 2024 |work=]}}</ref> ] ],<ref>{{cite web|url=https://www.republicoftogo.com/toutes-les-rubriques/diplomatie/faure-gnassingbe-felicite-donald-trump|title=Faure Gnassingbé félicite Donald Trump|newspaper=République Togolaise|lang=fr|date=November 6, 2024|access-date=November 15, 2024}}</ref> ] ],<ref>{{Cite news |date=November 8, 2024 |title=Your victory true reflection of majority, Museveni tells Trump |url=https://www.newvision.co.ug/category/news/your-victory-true-reflection-of-majority-muse-NV_199277 |access-date=November 9, 2024 |work=]}}</ref> ] ],<ref>{{Cite news |date=November 6, 2024 |title=HH congratulates Trump – Zambia |url=https://diggers.news/local/2024/11/06/hh-congratulates-trump/ |work=Zambia: News Diggers! |access-date=November 16, 2024}}</ref> and ] ].<ref>{{Cite news |date=November 6, 2024 |title=President Mnangagwa congratulates Trump |url=https://www.herald.co.zw/president-mnangagwa-congratulates-trump/ |access-date=November 9, 2024 |work=]}}</ref> | |||
Of note,{{clarify|date=November 2024|reason=Better wording needed. Basically, this is a message specifically beyond just congrats}} President Bio expressed hope that Trump's win would strengthen the partnership between Sierra Leone and the US along with promoting common interests in economic prosperity, sustainable development, bolstering democratic institutions, and world peace.<ref name="SierraLeoneReaction" />{{Better source needed|date=November 2024|reason=Is there anything else that isn't a tweet?? SA?}} | |||
===== Asia ===== | |||
Various leaders in Asia congratulated Trump, including ] ],<ref>{{Cite news |date=November 6, 2024 |title=Prof Yunus-led interim govt congratulates Trump on US presidential win |url=https://www.dhakatribune.com/bangladesh/364403/prof-yunus-led-interim-govt-congratulates-trump-on |access-date=November 9, 2024 |work=]}}</ref> ] ],<ref>{{Cite news |date=November 7, 2024 |title=Message of Congratulations to the President-Elect of the United States of America on the Victory in the Recent Presidential Elections |url=https://www.mfa.gov.bn/Lists/Press%20Room/news.aspx?ID=1168&ContentTypeId=0x01040055E31CAE71A9C144B21BBB007363093500B667C4949BC69D4394F4AC8FA016E767 |access-date=November 9, 2024 |work=Ministry of Foreign Affairs of Brunei Darussalam}}</ref> ] ],<ref>{{Cite web |date=November 7, 2024 |title=In victory message to Trump, Xi hopes China, US can find a way to get along |url=https://www.scmp.com/news/china/diplomacy/article/3285526/chinas-xi-congratulates-president-elect-donald-trump-us-election-victory |access-date=November 7, 2024 |website=South China Morning Post |language=en}}</ref><ref name=":0">{{Cite web |last=Reals |first=Tucker |date=November 6, 2024 |title=Foreign leaders and governments react as Trump wins 2024 U.S. presidential election |url=https://www.cbsnews.com/news/donald-trump-us-election-2024-results-foreign-leaders-react-wars-ukraine-russia-israel/ |access-date=November 6, 2024 |website=CBS News}}</ref> ] ],<ref>{{Cite web |date=November 6, 2024 |title=PM Modi dials Trump, congratulates US president-elect on 'spectacular victory' |url=https://www.firstpost.com/india/pm-modi-dials-trump-congratulates-us-president-elect-on-spectacular-victory-13832832.html |access-date=November 6, 2024 |website=firstpost.com |language=en}}</ref> ] ],<ref>{{Cite web |last1=Ulya |first1=Fika Nurul |last2=Rastika |first2=Icha |date=November 6, 2024 |title=Prabowo Ucapkan Selamat ke Donald Trump, Harap Bisa Kerja Sama Erat |trans-title=Prabowo Congratulates Donald Trump, Hopes for Close Cooperation |url=https://nasional.kompas.com/read/2024/11/07/05191881/prabowo-ucapkan-selamat-ke-donald-trump-harap-bisa-kerja-sama-erat |access-date=November 7, 2024 |website=KOMPAS.com |language=id}}</ref> ] ],<ref>{{Cite web |last= |first= |date=November 6, 2024 |title=Iraq PM Congratulates Trump, Says Wants To Boost US Ties |url=https://www.barrons.com/news/iraq-pm-congratulates-trump-says-wants-to-boost-us-ties-6c038e5b |access-date=November 6, 2024 |website=]}}</ref> ] ],<ref name=":2" /> ] ],<ref>{{Cite web |date=November 6, 2024 |title=Congratulatory Letter from Prime Minister Ishiba to President-elect Trump of the United States of America |url=https://www.mofa.go.jp/na/na1/us/pageite_000001_00629.html |url-status=live |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20241125064105/https://www.mofa.go.jp/na/na1/us/pageite_000001_00629.html |archive-date=November 25, 2024 |access-date=November 25, 2024 |website=Ministry of Foreign Affairs of Japan}}</ref> ] ],<ref>{{Cite news |date=November 7, 2024 |title=King, in phone call, congratulates Trump on election win |url=https://www.jordantimes.com/news/local/king-phone-call-congratulates-trump-election-win |access-date=November 8, 2024 |work=]}}</ref> ] ],<ref>{{Cite web |last=Seilkhanov |first=Adlet |date=November 6, 2024 |title=President Tokayev congratulates Donald Trump on election win |url=https://en.inform.kz/news/president-tokayev-congratulates-donald-trump-on-election-win-378178/ |access-date=November 6, 2024 |website=]}}</ref> ] Sheikh ],<ref>{{Cite web |date=November 6, 2024 |title=Kuwait Amir congratulates US President-elect |url=https://www.da.gov.kw/en/news/1169-06_11_2024/ |access-date=November 9, 2024 |website=da.gov.kw}}</ref> ] ],<ref>{{Cite news |date=November 6, 2024 |title=Mikati congratulates Trump, renews call for ceasefire |url=https://nna-leb.gov.lb/en/politics/736447/mikati-congratulates-trump-renews-call-for-ceasefi |access-date=November 9, 2024 |work=]}}</ref> ] ],<ref>{{Cite web |date=November 6, 2024 |title=Anwar congratulates Trump on 'remarkable political comeback' |url=https://www.thestar.com.my/news/nation/2024/11/06/anwar-congratulates-trump-for-039remarkable-political-comeback039 |access-date=November 6, 2024 |website=www.thestar.com.my}}</ref> ] ],<ref>{{Cite news |last=Osmanagic |first=Ameera |date=November 6, 2024 |title=President Muizzu congratulates US President-elect Donald Trump |url=https://edition.mv/arbitration_bill/37295 |access-date=November 9, 2024 |work=]}}</ref> ] ],<ref>{{Cite tweet |number=1854098566706545133 |user=UKhurelsukh |title=Congratulations to President-Elect @realDonaldTrump with being re-elected as the 47th President of the United States. I look forward to working closely with you to further deepen the Strategic Third Neighbor Partnership between Mongolia and the United States based on shared values and common interests. |first=ХҮРЭЛСҮХ |last=Ухнаагийн}}</ref> ] ],<ref>{{Cite news |date=November 7, 2024 |title=Prime Minister Oli congratulates Trump on winning US presidential election |url=https://kathmandupost.com/national/2024/11/07/prime-minister-oli-congratulates-trump-on-winning-us-presidential-election |access-date=November 9, 2024 |work=]}}</ref> ] ],<ref>{{Cite tweet |number=1854079880218222857 |user=CMShehbaz |title=Congratulations to President-elect Donald Trump on his historic victory for a second term! I look forward to working closely with the incoming Administration to further strengthen and broaden the Pakistan-U.S. partnership. |first=Shehbaz |last=Sharif}}</ref> ] ],<ref>{{cite web | url=https://www.jpost.com/breaking-news/article-827869 | title=PA President Mahmoud Abbas extends congratulations to Trump | date=November 6, 2024 }}</ref> ] ]<ref>{{cite web |date=November 6, 2024 |title=Trump acknowledged Marcos' congratulatory SMS — PH envoy |url=https://www.gmanetwork.com/news/topstories/nation/926256/trump-acknowledged-marcos-congratulatory-sms-ph-envoy/story/}}</ref><ref name="FRRDPBBMCongratulateTrump">{{cite news |last=G. Llemit |first=Ralph Lawrence |title=FPRRD, BBM congratulate Trump |url=https://www.sunstar.com.ph/davao/fprrd-bbm-congratulate-trump |access-date=November 16, 2024 |work=] |date=November 8, 2024}}</ref> ] ],<ref>{{Cite news |date=November 6, 2024 |title=The Custodian of the Two Holy Mosques Congratulates Donald Trump on Winning US Presidential Election |url=https://www.spa.gov.sa/en/N2202136 |access-date=November 8, 2024 |work=Saudi Press Agency}}</ref> ] ],<ref>{{cite web |date=November 6, 2024 |title=PMO {{!}} Congratulatory letters from PM Lawrence Wong to US President-Elect Donald Trump and Vice President-Elect JD Vance |url=https://www.pmo.gov.sg/Newsroom/Congratulatory-Letters-from-PM-Lawrence-Wong-to-US-President-Elect-Donald-Trump |access-date=November 7, 2024 |website=Prime Minister's Office Singapore |language=en}}</ref> ] ],<ref>{{cite web |title=South Korean president congratulates Trump for winning White House race |date=November 6, 2024 |url=https://koreajoongangdaily.joins.com/news/2024-11-06/national/diplomacy/Seoul-promises-perfect-cooperation-as-Trump-projected-to-win-White-House-race/2172083}}</ref> ] ],<ref>{{cite web |title=President Dissanayake congratulates Trump, eyes stronger ties |url=https://www.adaderana.lk/news/103218/president-dissanayake-congratulates-trump-eyes-stronger-ties |access-date=November 7, 2024 |website=Ada Derana}}</ref> ] ],<ref>{{cite web |title=Foreign leaders and governments react as Trump wins 2024 U.S. Presidential election |url=https://www.cbsnews.com/news/donald-trump-us-election-2024-results-foreign-leaders-react-wars-ukraine-russia-israel/ |website=]|date=November 7, 2024 }}</ref> ] ], ] ], ] ],<ref>{{Cite news |date=November 6, 2024 |title=UAE President congratulates Trump on election win |url=https://www.dubaieye1038.com/news/local/uae-president-congratulates-trump-on-election-win/ |access-date=November 8, 2024 |work=Dubai Eye 103.8}}</ref> ] ],<ref>{{Cite web |last= |first= |date=November 7, 2024 |title=President of Uzbekistan congratulates Donald Trump on U.S. presidential victory |url=https://daryo.uz/en/2024/11/07/president-of-uzbekistan-congratulates-donald-trump-on-us-presidential-victory |access-date=November 9, 2024 |website=Daryo.uz |language=en}}</ref> ] ],<ref>{{Cite web |title=Vietnamese leaders congratulate Donald Trump on election victory |url=https://vietnamnews.vn/politics-laws/1666498/vietnamese-leaders-congratulate-donald-trump-on-election-victory.html |access-date=November 7, 2024 |website=vietnamnews.vn |language=en}}</ref> and Chairman of the ] of Yemen ].<ref>{{Cite web |date=November 6, 2024 |title=President Al-Alimi Congratulates President Trump on His Victory in U.S. Presidential Elections |url=https://presidentalalimi.net/en/news835.html |website=presidentalalimi.net |access-date=November 16, 2024}}</ref> | |||
{{^|What to keep... Notable reactions were: In Afghanistan, the ] government's foreign ministry voiced hope that "the incoming U.S. administration will adopt a pragmatic approach to ensure tangible advancement in bilateral relations, allowing both nations to open a new chapter of relations grounded in mutual engagement."<ref>{{Cite web |date=November 7, 2024 |title=Taliban Hopes For "a New Chapter Of Relations" With US After Trump Election Victory |url=https://ifpnews.com/taliban-new-chapter-relations-us-trump-election-victory/ |access-date=November 8, 2024 |website=Iran Front Page}}</ref> Spokesperson of the Iranian government ] stated that, "Our policies are steady and don't change based on individuals. We made the necessary predictions before and there will not be change in people's livelihoods."<ref>{{Cite web |last= |first= |date=November 6, 2024 |title=Iran plays down importance of US election, voices readiness forconfrontationpeace |url=https://www.reuters.com/world/tehran-plays-down-importance-us-election-trump-claims-victory-2024-11-06/ |access-date=November 6, 2024 |website=]}}</ref> >] ] expressed his satisfaction with the advancements made in their collaboration across various sectors, including trade, defense, education, and people-to-people exchanges, which have established the basis of their bilateral relations. He mentioned his anticipation of closely collaborating with Trump to strengthen their highly regarded partnership on both bilateral and multilateral fronts, particularly through their efforts in the ]-U.S. Comprehensive Strategic Partnership and the ].<ref>{{Cite news |date=November 7, 2024 |title=Message of Congratulations to the President-Elect of the United States of America on the Victory in the Recent Presidential Elections |url=https://www.mfa.gov.bn/Lists/Press%20Room/news.aspx?ID=1168&ContentTypeId=0x01040055E31CAE71A9C144B21BBB007363093500B667C4949BC69D4394F4AC8FA016E767 |access-date=November 9, 2024 |work=Ministry of Foreign Affairs of Brunei Darussalam}}</ref> ] ] held a private call with Trump where they reportedly discussed ways to attack Iran.<ref name=":2" /> ] ] wrote a congratulatory letter to Trump. He also expressed that he would like to work closely together to further strengthen the Japan-U.S. Alliance, which is a top priority of his administration, and to realize a Free and Open Indo-Pacific. ] ] expressing confidence in advancing ] on security, nuclear non-proliferation, and investment.<ref>{{Cite web |last=Seilkhanov |first=Adlet |date=November 6, 2024 |title=President Tokayev congratulates Donald Trump on election win |url=https://en.inform.kz/news/president-tokayev-congratulates-donald-trump-on-election-win-378178/ |access-date=November 6, 2024 |website=]}}</ref> ] ] expressing optimism for renewed Malaysia-America collaboration.<ref>{{Cite web |date=November 6, 2024 |title=Anwar congratulates Trump on 'remarkable political comeback' |url= https://www.thestar.com.my/news/nation/2024/11/06/anwar-congratulates-trump-for-039remarkable-political-comeback039 |access-date=November 6, 2024 |website=www.thestar.com.my}}</ref> ] ] expressed his hopes that the election results would deepen their collaboration, resolve their shared issues, and contribute to the advancement of world peace and prosperity.<ref>{{Cite news |last=Osmanagic |first=Ameera |date=November 6, 2024 |title=President Muizzu congratulates US President-elect Donald Trump |url=https://edition.mv/arbitration_bill/37295 |access-date=November 9, 2024 |work=]}}</ref> ] ] added "We will remain steadfast in our commitment to peace, and we are confident that the United States will support, under your leadership, the legitimate aspirations of the Palestinian people."<ref>{{cite web | url=https://www.jpost.com/breaking-news/article-827869 | title=PA President Mahmoud Abbas extends congratulations to Trump | date=November 6, 2024 }}</ref> ] ] issued a statement that he is looking forward on collaborating with President-elect Trump on a wide range of issues that will yield mutual benefits on the ], while Marcos' cousin and ] ] also lauded Trump's electoral victory and saying that Trump's reelection as the US president will bring renewed opportunities in deepening the trade and investment ties between the Philippines and the US.<ref>{{cite web |date=November 6, 2024 |title=Trump acknowledged Marcos' congratulatory SMS — PH envoy |url= https://www.gmanetwork.com/news/topstories/nation/926256/trump-acknowledged-marcos-congratulatory-sms-ph-envoy/story/}}</ref><ref name="FRRDPBBMCongratulateTrump">{{cite news |last=G. Llemit |first=Ralph Lawrence |title=FPRRD, BBM congratulate Trump |url=https://www.sunstar.com.ph/davao/fprrd-bbm-congratulate-trump |access-date=November 16, 2024 |work=] |date=November 8, 2024}}</ref> Former president and chairman of the ] ] also made congratulatory remarks, expressing the importance of ] and wishing Trump health, happiness, and success in his leadership.<ref>{{Cite web |date=November 6, 2024 |title=Turkmenistan Congratulates Donald Trump on His Election as US President |url=https://turkmenportal.com/en/blog/84456/turkmenistan-congratulates-donald-trump-on-his-election-as-us-president |access-date=November 8, 2024 |website=Turkmenportal}}</ref> ] ] emphasizing the mutual respect and strengthened ties between the two countries and the United States' consistent commitment to supporting Uzbekistan's sovereignty and its ongoing reforms.<ref>{{Cite web |last= |first= |date=November 7, 2024 |title=President of Uzbekistan congratulates Donald Trump on U.S. presidential victory |url=https://daryo.uz/en/2024/11/07/president-of-uzbekistan-congratulates-donald-trump-on-us-presidential-victory |access-date=November 9, 2024 |website=Daryo.uz |language=en}}</ref>}} | |||
Of note, former President of Indonesia ] expressed optimism that Trump would be able to move the US towards stability and growth while highlighting the long-standing partnership between Indonesia and the US.<ref>{{Cite web |last=Hutajulu |first=Matius Alfons |title=Jokowi Ucapkan Selamat ke Donald Trump, Singgung Persahabatan RI-AS |trans-title=Jokowi Congratulates Donald Trump, Mentions RI-AS Friendship |url=https://news.detik.com/berita/d-7626488/jokowi-ucapkan-selamat-ke-donald-trump-singgung-persahabatan-ri-as |access-date=November 7, 2024 |website=detiknews |language=id-ID}}</ref> ] politicians in the Netanyahu cabinet also lauded Trump excessively. ] ] said "Yesssss, God bless Trump".<ref name=":2" /> ] ] stated that Trump's reelection as the US president will bring renewed opportunities in deepening the trade and investment ties between the Philippines and the US.<ref>{{cite web |date=November 6, 2024 |title=Trump acknowledged Marcos' congratulatory SMS — PH envoy |url=https://www.gmanetwork.com/news/topstories/nation/926256/trump-acknowledged-marcos-congratulatory-sms-ph-envoy/story/}}</ref><ref name="FRRDPBBMCongratulateTrump">{{cite news |last=G. Llemit |first=Ralph Lawrence |title=FPRRD, BBM congratulate Trump |url=https://www.sunstar.com.ph/davao/fprrd-bbm-congratulate-trump |access-date=November 16, 2024 |work=] |date=November 8, 2024}}</ref> ] ] hoped that Trump would succeed in his pursuits and that the welcoming American people would continue to advance and prosper.<ref>{{Cite news |date=November 6, 2024 |title=HRH the Crown Prince Congratulates Donald Trump on Winning US Presidential Election |url=https://www.spa.gov.sa/en/N2202140 |access-date=November 8, 2024 |work=Saudi Press Agency}}</ref> | |||
===== Europe ===== | |||
Various leaders in Europe congratulated Trump, including ] ],<ref>{{Cite tweet |number=1854066188608815323 |user=karlnehammer |title=Congratulations to @realDonaldTrump on the election victory. The United States is an important strategic partner for Austria. We look forward to further expanding and strengthening our transatlantic relations to successfully address global challenges together. |first=Nehammer |last=Karl}}</ref> ] ], ] ],<ref>{{Cite news |date=November 6, 2024 |title=Caretaker PM Glavchev Congratulates Donald Trump on Victory, Highlights Strong Bulgaria-US Partnership |url=https://www.bta.bg/en/news/bulgaria/776052-caretaker-pm-glavchev-congratulates-donald-trump-on-victory-highlights-strong |access-date=November 8, 2024 |work=]}}</ref> ] ],<ref>{{Cite news |date=November 7, 2024 |title=Prime Minister congratulates Trump on election win |url=https://glashrvatske.hrt.hr/en/politics/prime-minister-congratulates-trump-on-election-win-11846649 |access-date=November 9, 2024 |work=The Voice of Croatia}}</ref> ] ],<ref name="CzechRepublicResponse">{{Cite news |date=November 6, 2024 |title=Czech PM Fiala congratulates Donald Trump on victory |url=https://english.radio.cz/czech-pm-fiala-congratulates-donald-trump-victory-8833777 |access-date=November 8, 2024 |work=Radio Prague International}}</ref> ] ],<ref>{{cite web |title=PM Frederiksen: "Now we must strengthen defense cooperation with Trump" |date=November 6, 2024 |url=https://cphpost.dk/2024-11-06/news/politics/danish-politicians-reaction-to-trumps-victory/}}</ref> ] ],<ref>{{cite web |title=Finnish politicians give mixed reaction to Trump win, call for more European responsibility |date=November 6, 2024 |url=https://yle.fi/a/74-20122706}}</ref> ] ],<ref>{{Cite web |last= |first= |date=November 6, 2024 |title=Macron resalta a Trump la "importancia de contar con Europa" para los retos mundiales |trans-title=Macron stresses to Trump the "importance of counting on Europe" for global challenges |url=https://www.swissinfo.ch/spa/macron-resalta-a-trump-la-%22importancia-de-contar-con-europa%22-para-los-retos-mundiales/88015022 |access-date=November 6, 2024 |website=SWI swissinfo.ch |language=es-ES}}</ref> ] ],<ref>{{Cite web |date=November 6, 2024 |title=Federal Chancellor Scholz congratulates Trump on winning the election |url=https://www.deutschland.de/en/news/federal-chancellor-scholz-congratulates-trump-on-winning-the-election |access-date=November 6, 2024 |website=www.deutschland.de |language=en}}</ref> ] ],<ref>{{Cite news |date=November 7, 2024 |title=Greece's PM Congratulates Trump on Election Victory |url=https://www.tovima.com/politics/greeces-pm-congratulates-trump-on-election-victory/ |access-date=November 8, 2024 |work=]}}</ref> ] ],<ref name=":0" /> ] ],<ref>{{Cite news |date=November 6, 2024 |title=Taoiseach and Tánaiste congratulate Trump on his victory while Bacik describes result as a 'disaster' |url=https://www.irishtimes.com/world/us/2024/11/06/taoiseach-and-tanaiste-congratulate-trump-on-his-victory-while-bacik-describes-result-as-a-disaster/ |access-date=November 8, 2024 |newspaper=The Irish Times}}</ref> ] ]<ref name="ItalyReaction">{{Cite web |last= |date=November 6, 2024 |title=How the Italian gov't reacted to Trump's victory |url=https://decode39.com/9668/how-the-italian-government-reacted-to-trump-s-victory/ |access-date=November 6, 2024 |website=Decode39}}</ref> ] ],<ref>{{Cite news |date=November 6, 2024 |title=PM Luc Frieden congratulates 'the future President of the United States, President Trump' |url=https://today.rtl.lu/news/luxembourg/a/2248042.html |access-date=November 8, 2024 |work=RTL Today}}</ref> ] ],<ref>{{Cite news |date=November 6, 2024 |title=Schoof, Wilders and Rutte congratulate Trump on election victory |url=https://www.dutchnews.nl/2024/11/schoof-wilders-and-rutte-congratulate-trump-on-election-victory/ |access-date=November 8, 2024 |work=DutchNews.nl}}</ref> ] ],<ref>{{Cite web |date=November 6, 2024 |title=Prime Minister Støre congratulates Donald Trump |url=https://www.regjeringen.no/en/aktuelt/prime-minister-store-congratulates-donald-trump/id3072965/ |access-date=November 8, 2024 |website=Regjeringen.no}}</ref> ] ],<ref>{{Cite tweet |number=1854099489596071949 |user=donaldtusk |title=Congratulations to @realDonaldTrump on winning the election. I look forward to our cooperation for the good of the American and Polish nations🇵🇱🇺🇸 |first=Tusk |last=Donald}}</ref> ] ],<ref>{{Cite web|url=https://www.theportugalnews.com/news/2024-11-06/president-congratulates-trump/93369|title=President congratulates Trump|website=www.theportugalnews.com}}</ref> ] ],<ref>{{Cite news |date=November 6, 2024 |title=PM Ciolacu congratulates Donald Trump on victory in U.S. elections: Looking forward to a fruitful collaboration |url=https://www.agerpres.ro/english/2024/11/06/pm-ciolacu-congratulates-donald-trump-on-victory-in-u-s-elections-looking-forward-to-a-fruitful-collaboration--1382517 |access-date=November 8, 2024 |work=]}}</ref> ] ],<ref>{{Cite AV media |url=https://edition.cnn.com/2024/11/07/world/video/putin-trump-presidential-election-win-kremlin-digvid |title=Putin congratulates Trump on winning presidency |date=November 7, 2024 |publisher=CNN |access-date=November 7, 2024 |via=edition.cnn.com}}</ref> ] ],<ref>{{Cite news |date=November 7, 2024 |title=Slovak President congratulates Trump on election win |url=https://enrsi.rtvs.sk/articles/news/382457/slovak-president-congratulates-trump-on-election-win |access-date=November 9, 2024 |work=]}}</ref> ] ],<ref>{{Cite web|url=https://www.barrons.com/news/spain-pm-congratulates-trump-vows-to-work-on-transatlantic-ties-5c9b0361|title=Spain PM Congratulates Trump, Vows To Work On Transatlantic Ties|first=AFP-Agence France|last=Presse|website=www.barrons.com}}</ref> ] ],<ref name="SwedenReaction">{{Cite web|url=https://www.thelocal.se/20241106/swedish-prime-minister-ulf-kristersson-congratulates-trump-on-election-win|title=Swedish Prime Minister Ulf Kristersson congratulates Trump on election win}}</ref> ] ],<ref>{{Cite news |date=November 6, 2024 |title=Swiss president congratulates Donald Trump on election victory |url=https://www.swissinfo.ch/eng/foreign-affairs/swiss-president-congratulates-donald-trump-on-his-election-victory/88009404 |access-date=November 8, 2024 |work=SWI Swissinfo.ch}}</ref> ] ],<ref name=":0" /> and ] ].<ref>{{Cite web |title=Keir Starmer congratulates Donald Trump in first call after US election |url=https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/cz0m9d2dng1o |access-date= |website=] |language=en-GB}}</ref> | |||
Of note, the Head of the Committee on International Affairs in ]'s ] ] expressed hope that Trump's victory could result in a more constructive solution for the handling and eventual conclusion of the ] against what he referred to as ] funding and resistance against Russia since 2014.<ref name=":0" /> Prime Minister Kristersson of Sweden expressed concern regarding Trump's Ukraine policy<ref name="SwedenReaction" /> while Spain's ] ] called Trump's victory "bad news for everyone who understands politics as the tool to improves our lives, not to intoxicate them with hate and misinformation."<ref name="ES">{{cite tweet |number=1854145158532464845 |user=Yolanda_Diaz_ |title=La victoria de Trump es una mala noticia para toda la ciudadanía que entiende la política como la herramienta que mejora nuestras vidas, no que la intoxica de odio y desinformación. No nos quedaremos de brazos cruzados: Europa necesita asegurar urgentemente una voz propia y un lugar autónomo en el mundo. Esperanza significa defender y expandir las políticas transformadoras, que dan seguridad y certeza a la gente en un mundo cada vez más frágil. |date=November 6, 2024 |language=es |trans-title=Trump's victory is bad news for all citizens who understand politics as a tool that improves our lives, not one that poisons them with hate and misinformation. We will not sit idly by: Europe urgently needs to secure its own voice and an autonomous place in the world. Hope means defending and expanding transformative policies that give people security and certainty in an increasingly fragile world.}}</ref> Foreign Minister ] of the Czech Republic expects Trump to put pressure on Europe to assume more responsibility for its own defense.<ref name="CzechRepublicResponse" /> {{^|Include? ] ] of the ] expressed to reporters following the elections, "Certainly, we wish the best. As he begins his term, we hope he is granted great wisdom, as this is the key virtue of leaders according to the Bible."<ref>{{Cite news |date=November 7, 2024 |title=Cardinal Parolin offers best wishes to Trump on election victory |url=https://www.vaticannews.va/en/vatican-city/news/2024-11/cardinal-parolin-congratulates-trump-on-election-victory.html |access-date=November 9, 2024 |work=]}}</ref> Ireland.<ref>{{Cite news |date=November 6, 2024 |title=Taoiseach and Tánaiste congratulate Trump on his victory while Bacik describes result as a 'disaster' |url=https://www.irishtimes.com/world/us/2024/11/06/taoiseach-and-tanaiste-congratulate-trump-on-his-victory-while-bacik-describes-result-as-a-disaster/ |access-date=November 8, 2024 |newspaper=The Irish Times}}</ref> Antonio Tajani, ], Tariffs<ref name="ItalyResponse" />}} | |||
===== North America ===== | |||
Various leaders in North America congratulated Trump, including ] ],<ref>{{Cite news |date=November 6, 2024 |title=PM Davis congratulates President-Elect Trump on win |url=https://ewnews.com/pm-davis-congratulates-president-elect-trump-on-win/ |work=Eyewitness News |access-date=November 16, 2024}}</ref> ] ],<ref>{{Cite news |date=November 6, 2024 |title=PM Mottley extends congratulations to US President-elect Trump |url=https://www.cbc.bb/news/local-news/pm-mottley-extends-congratulations-to-us-president-elect-trump/ |access-date=November 9, 2024 |work=]}}</ref> ] ], <ref>{{Cite news |date=November 13, 2024 |title=P.M. Briceño Weighs in on Trump Mass Deportation Policy |url=https://edition.channel5belize.com/p-m-briceno-weighs-in-on-trump-mass-deportation-policy/ |work=] |access-date=November 16, 2024}}</ref> ] ],<ref>{{Cite web |date=November 6, 2024 |title='Let's be calm': Canada's cabinet ministers reflect on Donald Trump's election win |url=https://www.stalbertgazette.com/local-news/justin-trudeau-congratulates-donald-trump-on-his-us-presidential-win-9767198 |access-date=November 6, 2024 |website=St. Albert Gazette}}</ref> ] ],<ref>{{Cite news |date=November 6, 2024 |title=Chaves felicita a Trump por su victoria y asegura cooperación, pese a temores previos de su ministro de Comex |url=https://delfino.cr/2024/11/chaves-felicita-a-trump-por-su-victoria-y-asegura-cooperacion-pese-a-temores-previos-de-su-ministro-de-comex |work=Delfino.cr |access-date=November 17, 2024 |lang=es}}</ref> ] ],<ref>{{Cite news |date=November 6, 2024 |title=President Abinader congratulates Donald Trump on electoral victory |url=https://dominicantoday.com/dr/local/2024/11/06/president-abinader-congratulates-donald-trump-on-electoral-victory/ |work=] |access-date=November 9, 2024}}</ref> ] ],<ref>{{Cite tweet |number=1854049854818853021 |user=nayibbukele |title=Congratulations to the President-Elect of the United States of America, @realDonaldTrump 🇺🇸 May God bless and guide you. |first=Bukele |last=Nayib}}</ref> ] ],<ref name="mercopress">{{Cite news |date=November 6, 2024 |title=World leaders congratulate Trump on his win - still not Harris |url=https://en.mercopress.com/2024/11/06/world-leaders-congratulate-trump-on-his-win-still-not-harris |work=MercoPress |access-date=November 16, 2024}}</ref> President of Haiti's ] ],<ref name="Haiti Libre">{{cite web |title=Élection de Trump, messages de félicitations |url=https://www.haitilibre.com/article-43585-haiti-actualite-zapping.html |access-date=November 7, 2024 |website=Haiti Libre}}</ref> ] ],<ref>{{Cite news |date=November 6, 2024 |title=Holness, Golding congratulate Trump on victory in US presidential election |url=https://jamaica-gleaner.com/article/news/20241106/holness-golding-congratulate-trump-victory-us-presidential-election |access-date=November 9, 2024 |work=]}}</ref> ] ],<ref>{{Cite web |last=Huitron |first=Por Ale |date=November 6, 2024 |title=Sheinbaum felicita a Trump por su triunfo en las elecciones de EEUU: "Nuestro reconocimiento al pueblo estadounidense" |trans-title=Sheinbaum congratulates Trump on his victory in the US elections: "Our recognition to the American people" |url=https://www.infobae.com/mexico/2024/11/06/sheinbaum-felicita-a-trump-por-su-triunfo-en-las-elecciones-de-eeuu-nuestro-reconocimiento-al-pueblo-estadounidense/ |access-date=November 6, 2024 |website=infobae |language=es-ES}}</ref> ] ],<ref>{{Cite news |date=November 6, 2024 |title=Mulino felicita a Trump por su victoria en las elecciones presidenciales de Estados Unidos |url=https://www.prensa.com/politica/mulino-felicita-a-trump-por-su-victoria-en-las-elecciones-presidenciales-de-estados-unidos/ |work=] |access-date=November 17, 2024 |lang=es}}</ref> ] ], <ref>{{Cite news |date=November 6, 2024 |title=Pierre Congratulates Trump |url=https://stluciatimes.com/166934/2024/11/pierre-congratulates-trump/ |work=St. Lucia Times |access-date=November 16, 2024}}</ref> and ] ].<ref>{{Cite news |date=November 7, 2024 |title=Rowley writes US President-elect after victory, wants to deepen ties |url=https://www.guardian.co.tt/news/rowley-writes-us-presidentelect-after-victory-wants-to-deepen-ties-6.2.2154873.0b94476935 |access-date=November 9, 2024 |work=]}}</ref> | |||
===== Oceania ===== | |||
Various leaders in Oceania congratulated Trump, including ] ], Australian ] ], former prime ministers of Australia ] and ],{{^|{{CN}} or <ref name="AustraliaResponse" /> Not sure which yet.}}] ],<ref name="FijiResponse">{{Cite news |date=November 7, 2024 |title=Rabuka congratulates Trump, eyes deeper bilateral ties |url=https://www.fbcnews.com.fj/news/rabuka-congratulates-trump-eyes-deeper-bilateral-ties/ |access-date=November 9, 2024 |work=]}}</ref> ] ],<ref>{{Cite web |date=November 7, 2024 |title=Prime Minister congratulates Donald J. Trump on election win |url=https://www.beehive.govt.nz/release/prime-minister-congratulates-donald-j-trump-election-win |access-date=November 8, 2024 |website=Beehive.govt.nz}}</ref> ] ],<ref>{{Cite news |date=November 7, 2024 |title=Marape congratulates US president-elect Donald Trump |url=https://www.thenational.com.pg/marape-congratulates-us-president-elect-donald-trump/ |access-date=November 9, 2024 |work=]}}</ref> ] ],<ref name="SolomonIslandsResponse">{{Cite web |date=November 7, 2024 |title=Prime Minister Jeremiah Manele Congratulates Donald J. Trump on His Election Victory to Become the 47th President of the United States of America |url=https://solomons.gov.sb/prime-minister-jeremiah-manele-mp-congratulates-donald-j-trump-on-his-election-victory-to-become-the-47th-president-of-the-united-states-of-america/ |website=Solomon Islands Government |access-date=November 16, 2024}}</ref> and ] ].<ref>{{cite news |date=November 7, 2024 |title=Pacific leaders congratulate President-elect Trump, pledge to strengthen U.S.-Pacific ties |url=https://islandsbusiness.com/news-break/pacific-leaders-congratulate-president-trump/ |access-date=November 9, 2024 |work=Islands Business}}</ref> | |||
Of note,{{Copy edit inline|for=Better wording needed. Basically, this is any message specifically beyond just congrats|date=November 2024}} Prime Minister Rabuka hoped that Fiji and the US would continue working toward common goals including advancing economic growth and peace in the Pacific and beyond, and expressed optimism that peace, unity, progress, and prosperity will be delivered to all Americans and the international world during Trump's term.<ref name="FijiResponse" /> Prime Minister Manele said that the Solomon Islands' have the same goal of a world that is prosperous and peaceful, particularly in the Pacific Islands and expressed hope to build a stronger and more expansive partnership Between the Solomon Islands and the US.<ref name="SolomonIslandsResponse" /> Conversely ] leader ] referred to the election as "a bad day for America, a bad day for Australia, and a bad day for the world".<ref name="AustraliaResponse">{{Cite web |date=November 6, 2024 |title=Donald Trump and Australia's economy - Politics with Charles Croucher |url=https://www.abc.net.au/listen/programs/radionational-breakfast/politics-with-charles-croucher/104571254 |access-date=November 6, 2024 |website=ABC listen}}</ref> | |||
===== South America ===== | |||
Various leaders in South America congratulated Trump, including ] ],<ref>{{cite web |title=Milei congratulates Trump for 'formidable election victory' over Harris |url=https://www.batimes.com.ar/news/argentina/milei-congratulates-trump-for-formidable-election-victory-over-harris.phtml |website=Buenos Aires Times}}</ref> ] ],<ref>{{Cite web |last=Marshall |first=Euan |date=November 6, 2024 |title=Lula congratulates Trump, calls for "dialogue" |url=https://brazilian.report/liveblog/politics-insider/2024/11/06/lula-congratulates-trump/ |access-date=November 7, 2024 |website=The Brazilian Report |language=en-US}}</ref> ] ],<ref>{{Cite news |date=November 7, 2024 |title=Chile's President Gabriel Boric congratulates U.S. president-elect Donald Trump |url=https://www.24horas.cl/english/news/chile-president-gabriel-boric-congratulates-us-president-elect-donald-trump |work=24horas.cl |access-date=November 8, 2024}}</ref> ] ],<ref>{{Cite news |date=November 6, 2024 |title=Reactions in Colombia to Donald Trump's Presidential Victory |url=https://colombiaone.com/2024/11/06/colombia-reactions-trump-victory/ |work=Colombia One |access-date=November 16, 2024}}</ref> ] ],<ref>{{Cite news |date=November 6, 2024 |title=El presidente Daniel Noboa felicita a Donald Trump: 'El futuro luce prometedor para el continente' |url=https://www.primicias.ec/politica/presidente-daniel-noboa-felicita-donald-trump-elecciones-estados-unidos-82711/ |work=Primicias |access-date=November 9, 2024 |lang=es}}</ref> ] ],<ref>{{Cite news |date=November 7, 2024 |title=Pres. Ali congratulates Trump on historic reelection |url=https://www.kaieteurnewsonline.com/2024/11/07/pres-ali-congratulates-trump-on-historic-reelection/ |work=] |access-date=November 9, 2024}}</ref> ] ],<ref>{{Cite news |date=November 6, 2024 |title=Peru: President Boluarte congratulates Donald Trump for victory in U.S. elections |url=https://andina.pe/agencia/noticia-peru-president-boluarte-congratulates-donald-trump-for-victory-in-us-elections-1006642.aspx |work=] |access-date=November 8, 2024}}</ref> ] ],<ref>{{Cite news |date=November 6, 2024 |title=President Santokhi feliciteert Donald Trump met overwinning Amerikaanse verkiezingen |url=https://www.gfcnieuws.com/president-santokhi-feliciteert-donald-trump-met-overwinning-amerikaanse-verkiezingen/ |work=GFC Nieuws |access-date=November 23, 2024 |lang=nl}}</ref> and ] ]<ref>{{Cite web |title=Venezuela's Maduro says Trump re-election "new start" |url=https://www.reuters.com/world/americas/venezuela-govt-congratulates-trump-election-victory-2024-11-06/ |access-date=November 9, 2024 |website=reuters.com |language=en}}</ref> | |||
===== International organizations ===== | |||
The ], Mark Rutte, offered congratulations to Trump, hoping that his victory would maintain the strength of the defensive alliance with "peace through strength".<ref name=":0" /> The ] ] and others{{Like whom?|date=November 2024}} sent their congratulations to Trump with Von der Leyen said that the EU and the United States are "more than allies" and encouraged for a "strong transatlantic relationship".<ref>{{Cite web |last1=Sánchez |first1=Gabriela |last2=Ortiz |first2=Alberto |last3=Baroja |first3=Andrea García |last4=Cicardi |first4=Francesca |last5=d'Oultremont |first5=Maria |last6=Pereda |first6=Cristina F. |last7=Órfão |first7=Alberto |last8=Azcoiti |first8=Javier Biosca |date=November 5, 2024 |title=Von der Leyen felicita a Trump: "La UE y EEUU son más que aliados" |trans-title=Von der Leyen congratulates Trump: "The EU and the US are more than just allies" |url=https://www.eldiario.es/internacional/ultima-hora-elecciones-estados-unidos-directo_6_11792281_1110672.html |access-date=November 6, 2024 |website=elDiario.es |language=es}}</ref> Metsola emphasized "Europe's readiness to cooperate in tackling the many global challenges ahead",<ref>{{Cite web |last=Galea |first=Charlene |date=November 6, 2024 |title='Europe Is Ready': EP President Roberta Metsola Congratulates Trump On His Projected Win |url=https://lovinmalta.com/news/news-politics/europe-is-ready-ep-president-roberta-metsola-congratulates-trump-on-his-projected-win/ |access-date=November 6, 2024 |website=Lovin Malta}}</ref> while Michel called for "continuing our constructive cooperation."<ref>{{Cite web |date=November 6, 2024 |title=European leaders congratulate Trump on projected victory in US presidential race |url=https://www.aa.com.tr/en/2024-us-presidential-election/european-leaders-congratulate-trump-on-projected-victory-in-us-presidential-race/3386001 |access-date=November 6, 2024 |website=Anadolu Agency}}</ref>{{BSN}} | |||
--> | |||
==== Financial ==== | |||
Wall Street's main indexes reported record highs on the day after election night, with the ] up 3.57%, the ] up 2.53%, and ] up 2.95%.<ref name="rdowandstuff">{{cite web |last1=Pauline Mattackal |first1=Lisa |last2=Biswas |first2=Ankika |title=Wall Street hits record high as Trump returns as US president |url=https://www.reuters.com/markets/us/sp-500-futures-soar-record-high-after-trump-claims-victory-2024-11-06/ |work=Reuters |access-date=November 6, 2024 |date=November 6, 2024 }}</ref> ], a prominent Trump supporter and the CEO of ], saw a nearly $20 billion increase in his fortune following a post-election surge in the company's stock by 12% to a high of $288 per share.<ref>{{cite web |last=Roush |first=Ty |title=Tesla Shares Jump And Elon Musk Becomes Nearly $20 Billion Richer With Trump Victory |url=https://www.forbes.com/sites/tylerroush/2024/11/06/tesla-shares-hit-record-soaring-12-and-elon-musk-becomes-15-billion-richer-with-trump-victory/ |work=] |date=November 6, 2024 |access-date=November 7, 2024 }}</ref> On the Friday after, November 8, Tesla's shares surged more than 6%, bringing the company's market cap to $1 trillion.<ref name="CNBC Tesla">{{cite news |last=Palmer |first=Annie |date=November 8, 2024 |title=Tesla hits $1 trillion market cap as stock rallies after Trump win |url=https://www.cnbc.com/2024/11/08/tesla-hits-1-trillion-market-cap-as-stock-rallies-after-trump-win.html |publisher=] |access-date=November 8, 2024}}</ref> Its growth started from $807.1 billion through Tuesday's close, rallying a total of 27% during election week. By Friday, the stock was up about 26% year to date.<ref name="CNBC Tesla" /> | |||
==== "Stolen election" conspiracy theories ==== | |||
Following Trump's victory, some Harris supporters on ] shared ] conspiracy theories, claiming that millions of ballots were "left uncounted" and there being something "not right" with the election. Such posts falsely claiming Trump "stole" the election peaked at noon the day after at 94,000 posts per hour, with many receiving amplification and gaining over a million views each. According to ], the CEO of the media rating system ], the phrase "Trump cheated" received 92,100 mentions on the platform from midnight until the Wednesday morning after.<ref name="Wired Nov7">{{cite magazine |last=Gilbert |first=David |date=November 7, 2024 |title=Election Denial Conspiracy Theories Are Exploding on X. This Time They're Coming From the Left |url=https://www.wired.com/story/election-denial-conspiracy-theories-x-left-blueanon/ |access-date=November 7, 2024 |magazine=] |publisher=]}}</ref> Besides the claims from Harris' supporters, some Trump supporters baselessly claimed the disparity between other years, the 2020 election, and a then-incomplete 2024 voting total indicated voter fraud in the 2020 election.<ref name="APEDENIALNOV" /><ref name="ABC AU fraud claims"/> | |||
One major "basis" these false claims were founded upon was a claim that Biden won 20 million more votes in his prior election bid than Harris had in hers, at the time.<ref name="APEDENIALNOV">{{cite web |last=Goldin |first=Melissa |date=November 7, 2024 |title=Fact Focus: A multimillion vote gap between 2020 and 2024 fuels false election narratives |url=https://apnews.com/article/fact-check-20-million-missing-votes-election-2024-5c92a9b2530232fc8ac80968a1362518 |website=] |access-date=November 7, 2024 }}</ref><ref name="ABC AU fraud claims">{{cite web |last1=Martino |first1=Matt |last2=Workman |first2=Michael |last3=Carter |first3=Lucy |date=November 7, 2024 |title=Following the US election result, new fronts for false election fraud claims have opened online |url=https://www.abc.net.au/news/2024-11-08/democrat-election-conspiracy-theories/104573550 |website=] |access-date=November 7, 2024}}</ref> American journalist and conspiracy theorist ] commented on ]: "I'm beginning to believe our election was ]."<ref name="Czopek 2024">{{cite news |last=Czopek |first=Madison |date=November 9, 2024 |title=Fact Check: Did 20 million Democratic votes 'disappear' in the US election?|url=https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2024/11/9/fact-check-did-20-million-democratic-votes-disappear|access-date=November 11, 2024 |publisher=] }}</ref> At the time these fallacies were disseminated, votes were still being counted in many states.<ref name="Wired Nov7" /><ref name="KGW8">{{cite web |last=Winter |first=Emery |date=November 6, 2024 |title=No, there are not nearly 20 million 'unaccounted for votes|url=https://www.kgw.com/article/news/verify/elections-verify/unaccounted-2024-votes-20-million-18-million-fact-check/536-4a6cb71e-fb8d-4616-a848-f22c53ccf3b2 |website=] |access-date=November 7, 2024 }}</ref> An estimate around the time using the Associated Press vote percentage total found that 16.2 million votes across twenty states and D.C. had yet to be counted. Statistical analysis of voting asserted that despite continued counting, the projections were already set and new ballots would not sway the outcomes of any of the states and D.C.<ref name="KGW8" /> The ] director ] refuted the false claims, and wrote in a statement that there was "no evidence of any malicious activity that had a material impact on the security or integrity of our election infrastructure".<ref name="Wired Nov7" /><ref name="Czopek 2024" /> Another false claim alleges Musk used the satellite internet constellation ] to change the results of the election. ] Chip Trowbridge of voting system manufacturer Clear Ballot dismissed the claim and added no machine used to scan voting ballots have any network connection whatsoever.<ref name="Whisnant 2024">{{cite magazine |last=Whisnant |first=Gabe |date=November 10, 2024 |title=Left-Wing 'Starlink' Election Conspiracy Theory Spreads Online|url=https://www.newsweek.com/starlink-musk-trump-election-conspiracy-theory-spreads-online-1983444|access-date=November 11, 2024 |magazine=] }}</ref> | |||
==== Text message harassment ==== | |||
Numerous Black Americans across multiple states reported receiving ] the day after the election. Some of the texts referenced the incoming Trump administration but the sender remained unknown as of November 10, 2024.<ref>{{cite web |last1=Alexander|first1=Ayanna|last2=Swenson|first2=Ali|last3=Fields|first3=Gary|date=November 10, 2024 |title=Racist text messages referencing slavery raise alarms in multiple states and prompt investigations |url=https://apnews.com/article/text-messages-slavery-racism-black-americans-fbi-708973521d2974bec7514b8622877290 |access-date=November 12, 2024 |website=AP News}}</ref> Days later, several Hispanic and LGBTQIA students also reported receiving similar harassment through text message and email.<ref>{{cite web|first=Ashley|last=Fields|date=November 16, 2024 |title=FBI investigates offensive messages targeting Hispanic, LGBTQ people|url=https://thehill.com/blogs/blog-briefing-room/news/4993942-fbi-investigates-offensive-messages-targeting-hispanic-lgbtq-people/|access-date=November 16, 2024 |website=The Hill}}</ref> | |||
== Media analysis == | |||
=== Harris' loss === | |||
Harris' loss to Trump received substantial media analysis, ranging from years of inflation and an earlier ], to the global incumbency backlash, to Biden's exit seen as too late in the race, and the lack of an open primary, with Democrats and others arguing about what went wrong and how the party should move forward.<ref>{{Cite web|url=https://www.nytimes.com/2024/11/07/us/politics/democrats-kamala-harris.html|title=Devastated Democrats Play the Blame Game, and Stare at a Dark Future|website=The New York Times|first1=Reid J.|last1=Epstein|first2=Lisa|last2=Lerer|first3=Nicholas|last3=Nehamas|date=November 7, 2024|access-date=November 7, 2024}}</ref><ref>{{Cite web|url=https://www.vox.com/2024-elections/383897/harris-lost-debate-why-trump-won|title=The debate over why Harris lost is in full swing. Here's a guide.|access-date=November 15, 2024|date=November 11, 2024|first1=Andrew|last1=Prokop|website=Vox|quote=Was she a weak candidate? Was it Joe Biden's fault? Did Trump have unexpected strength? Or was it a global trend?}}</ref> | |||
====Electoral environment==== | |||
According to exit polls, voters disapproved of Biden's performance 59-39%, and disapproved of how things were going in the United States 73-25%. Also, voters judged the economy negatively 68-32%,<ref name="Economy Sucks"/> and said that inflation had caused them hardship 75-24%.<ref name="auto2"/> A ] poll conducted from November 6–7, 2024 found that if Biden had been the Democratic nominee, Trump would have won the popular vote 49-42%.<ref>{{Cite web|url=https://d3nkl3psvxxpe9.cloudfront.net/documents/econTabReport_KJi77QW.pdf#page=68|date=November 8, 2024|access-date=November 15, 2024|website=YouGov|title=40. Trial Heat - Biden v Trump}}</ref> Nonpartisan election forecasters, including ''The Cook Political Report'' and ''Sabato's Crystal Ball'', stated before the election that Biden was almost certain to lose if he had been the Democratic nominee.<ref>{{Cite web|url=https://www.cookpolitical.com/analysis/national/national-politics/six-states-move-toward-trump-electoral-college-ratings|title=Six States Move Toward Trump in Electoral College Ratings|date=July 9, 2024|website=The Cook Political Report|first1=Amy|last1=Walter|access-date=November 15, 2024}}</ref><ref>{{Cite web|url=https://centerforpolitics.org/crystalball/if-biden-stays-a-glimpse-into-a-grim-electoral-future-for-democrats/|title=If Biden Stays: A Glimpse into a Grim Electoral Future for Democrats|date=July 18, 2024|access-date=November 15, 2024|website=Sabato's Crystal Ball|first1=Kyle|last1=Kondik|first2=J. Miles|last2=Coleman|quote=One cannot just automatically assume a replacement candidate, most likely Vice President Kamala Harris, would do better than Biden. But Democrats may be quickly reaching the point where a roll of the dice is advisable.}}</ref> | |||
Almost every incumbent party worldwide facing election in 2024 lost vote share, including in ], ], ], the ], and ].<ref>{{cite web|url=https://apnews.com/article/global-elections-2024-incumbents-defeated-c80fbd4e667de86fe08aac025b333f95|title=The 'super year' of elections has been super bad for incumbents as voters punish them in droves|work=AP News|date=November 17, 2024|access-date=November 20, 2024}}</ref><ref>{{Cite web|url=https://www.axios.com/2024/06/06/world-elections-anti-incumbent-leaders-backlash|title=Voters everywhere rage against the incumbents|first1=Zachary|last1=Basu|first2=Dave|last2=Lawler|date=June 6, 2024|access-date=November 15, 2024|website=Axios}}</ref> Among democracies, over 80 percent saw the incumbent party lose support compared to the last election.<ref>{{Cite web|url=https://abcnews.go.com/538/democrats-incumbent-parties-lost-elections-world/story?id=115972068|title=Democrats aren't alone — incumbent parties have lost elections all around the world|website=ABC News|first1=Cooper|last1=Burton|date=November 18, 2024|access-date=November 20, 2024}}</ref> This is the first time this has ever happened since 1905 (when data was first recorded) and the first time in the ], as ] began in 1894.<ref>{{cite news |last=Burn-Murdoch |first=John |date=November 7, 2024 |title=Democrats join 2024's graveyard of incumbents |url=https://www.ft.com/content/e8ac09ea-c300-4249-af7d-109003afb893 |access-date=November 8, 2024 |work=Financial Times|quote=The incumbents in every single one of the 10 major countries that have been tracked by the ParlGov global research project and held national elections in 2024 were given a kicking by voters. This is the first time this has ever happened in almost 120 years of records. ... That different politicians, different parties, different policies and different rhetoric deployed in different countries have all met similar fortunes suggests that a large part of Tuesday's American result was locked in regardless of the messenger or the message. The wide variety of places and people who swung towards Trump also suggests an outcome that was more inevitable than contingent.}}</ref><ref>{{Cite news |last=Burn-Murdoch |first=John |date=2024-12-29 |title=What the 'year of democracy' taught us, in 6 charts | |||
|url=https://www.ft.com/content/350ba985-bb07-4aa3-aa5e-38eda7c525dd |access-date=2024-12-30 |work=Financial Times|quote=The billions who voted in 2024 sent an angry message to incumbents, and warmed to populists on left and right. ... The incumbent in every one of the 12 developed western countries that held national elections in 2024 lost vote share at the polls, the first time this has ever happened in almost 120 years of modern democracy. In Asia, even the hegemonic governments of India and Japan were not spared the ill wind.}}</ref> All 50 states and the District of Columbia shifted rightward compared to 2020. Trump's gains in nearly all geographic areas and among nearly every demographic group provides strong evidence of anti-incumbent backlash.<ref>{{Cite web|url=https://goodauthority.org/news/where-to-start-to-explain-trumps-win/|title=Where to start to explain Trump's win|first1=John|last1=Sides|website=Good Authority|date=November 6, 2024|access-date=November 15, 2024}}</ref><ref>{{cite web|url=https://www.vox.com/2024-elections/383208/donald-trump-victory-kamala-harris-global-trend-incumbents|title=The global trend that pushed Donald Trump to victory|website=Vox|first1=Zack|last1=Beauchamp|date=November 6, 2024|quote=Incumbents everywhere are doing poorly. America just proved it's not exceptional.}}</ref> The shifts toward Trump were much less in the swing states where both campaigns focused compared to safe states. The two states with the largest shifts toward Trump, New York and New Jersey, were both won by Harris.<ref>{{Cite web|title=The left's comforting myth about why Harris lost|url=https://www.vox.com/politics/385394/why-kamala-harris-lost-2024-democrats-moderation|quote=Harris actually did better where both she and Trump held campaign rallies and aired TV advertisements than she did in the rest of the country. Thus, if Harris's problem was her moderate messaging, it is odd that she won a higher share of the vote in the places that were more exposed to that messaging, despite the fact that such areas were also inundated by pro-Trump ads.|date=November 15, 2024|access-date=November 15, 2024|first1=Eric|last1=Levitz}}</ref> | |||
Statistician and election analyst ] argued beforehand that the national electoral environment was difficult for Democrats to begin with,<ref>{{Cite web|url=https://www.natesilver.net/p/24-reasons-that-trump-could-win|title=24 reasons that Trump won|quote=We don't lack in explanations for why he returned to the White House. ... One of my pet peeves is with the idea that this is Kamala Harris's election to lose. I could articulate some critiques of her campaign, but if you study the factors that have historically determined elections, you'll see that she's battling difficult circumstances.|date=October 20, 2024|website=Silver Bulletin|first1=Nate|last1=Silver|access-date=November 15, 2024}}</ref> a sentiment also shared by ''The New York Times'' political analyst ].<ref>{{Cite web|url=https://www.nytimes.com/2024/11/02/upshot/democrats-trump-election.html|title=Why Are Democrats Having Such a Hard Time Beating Trump?|quote=The national political environment just isn’t as conducive to a Harris victory as many might imagine.|first1=Nate|last1=Cohn|date=November 2, 2024|access-date=November 15, 2024|website=The New York Times}}</ref> After the election, Silver felt that Harris was a ] candidate who did much better than Biden would have, but was unable to separate herself from Biden's record and was negatively perceived by swing voters due to her previous positions.<ref name="replacement-level">{{Cite web|quote=Trump's win is mostly Biden's fault, not hers. Still, she was a mediocre candidate in a year when Democrats needed a strong one.|url=https://www.natesilver.net/p/kamala-harris-was-a-replacement-level|title=Kamala Harris was a replacement-level candidate|access-date=November 15, 2024|date=November 15, 2024|first1=Nate|last1=Silver|website=Silver Bulletin}}</ref> After the election, Silver believed Biden would have lost the popular vote by 6 to 8 points, likely losing New Hampshire, Minnesota, Virginia, New Mexico, Nebraska's 2nd congressional district, and possibly even New Jersey.<ref name="replacement-level"/> Silver's final forecast gave the advantage (i.e. greater than 50% odds of winning) to the eventual winner in 48 out of the 50 states, as well as the District of Columbia and all congressional districts awarding electoral votes. Only Trump's victories in Michigan and Wisconsin did not occur in the majority of Silver's final simulations.<ref>{{cite web |last1=Silver |first1=Nate |title=The model exactly predicted the most likely election map |url=https://www.natesilver.net/p/the-model-exactly-predicted-the-most |website=Silver Bulletin |access-date=7 November 2024}}</ref> ], editor of the nonpartisan ''The Cook Political Report'', also argued that the electoral environment was inherently difficult for Harris, because the top issue for voters was inflation during the Biden-Harris administration, for which Trump was viewed more favorably.<ref>{{Cite web|url=https://www.cookpolitical.com/analysis/national/national-politics/democrats-solution-winning-2028-wont-come-over-analyzing-2024?check_logged_in=1|title=Democrats' Solution For Winning in 2028 Won't Come From Over-Analyzing 2024 Results|date=December 11, 2024|first1=Amy|last1=Walter|website=The Cook Political Report|access-date=December 11, 2024}}</ref> | |||
] of '']'', who spoke with members of ], argued that the extent of Biden's unpopularity and public discontent with the economy proved too much for Harris to overcome. Brownstein compared the election to similar past elections, including the ], when the unpopular incumbent ] and Vice President ] lost to ], and the ], when incumbent ] lost to ] due to ] and the ]. Members of Harris' campaign stated after the election that their internal polling showed Harris either behind or tied with Trump, and they did not believe that Harris was the favorite to win the election.<ref>{{Cite web|url=https://www.theatlantic.com/politics/archive/2024/12/harris-team-election/680844/|title=Why They Lost|date=December 2, 2024|website=The Atlantic|first1=Ronald|last1=Brownstein|access-date=December 4, 2024|quote=The Harris-campaign leadership believes that the Democrats narrowed the gap on Trump that Biden left—but not by enough.}}</ref> | |||
====Analyst assessments==== | |||
] | |||
'']''{{'}}s ] wrote that the most pressing issues that decided Harris' defeat were matters Biden had been perceived as a failure at by the American public; these included the fact that, as part of the global ], inflation went up by 20% and ] had not adjusted to match, and the state of the ]. Sopel said that by "embracing the Biden agenda, was simply tying herself to his unpopularity".<ref>{{cite news |last=Sopel |first=Jon |date=November 6, 2024 |title=Kamala's catastrophe: How it all went so badly wrong |url=https://www.independent.co.uk/voices/kamala-harris-why-lose-donald-trump-b2642997.html |work=] |issn=1741-9743 |access-date=November 7, 2024}}</ref> In a '']'' piece, Henry M. J. Tonks tied the result to the party's prioritization of ] workers and suburbs over working class, ] voters. He argued the shift away from working-class voters had been occurring since the late 1960s in response to the ] and the growth of the ].<ref>{{Cite web |last=Tonks |first=Henry M. J. |title=The Democratic Party Realignment That Empowered Trump |url=https://time.com/7173651/democratic-party-alignment-history/ |magazine=]|date=November 7, 2024|access-date=November 7, 2024}}</ref> Of the electoral jurisdictions that Harris won, 19 states, DC, and Nebraska's second congressional district, all except New Mexico had above-average educational attainment.<ref>{{Cite web|url=https://unherd.com/newsroom/is-obama-the-reason-democrats-are-now-underdogs/|title=Is Obama the reason Democrats are now 'underdogs'?|first1=Michael|last1=Cuenco|quote=Consider that when Obama last ran, the Midwest was still known as an impenetrable Blue Wall, while Florida and Ohio were still purple states. When Bill Clinton gave his acceptance speech in 1996, the Democrats were competitive throughout large swathes of the South. During that period, they had gone on to win not just Clinton's Arkansas and Al Gore's Tennessee, but states such as Kentucky and Louisiana too. The story of the last three decades has been one of political success for Democrats, ... yet it is also one of narrowing political constituencies and pyrrhic victories, as the party attracted college-educated professionals at the expense of the non-college-educated majority. ... These are precisely the voters that Harris must win back. But how did the Democrats lose them in the first place?|date=August 21, 2024|access-date=November 7, 2024}}</ref> | |||
]'s Edward-Isaac Dovere felt that some problems, such as the problems with her staff, could have been solved, but other problems such as her ties with Biden could not have been solved. Dovere mused that had Biden stepped down earlier, the Democratic Party might have had the time to launch a proper primary campaign. He also mused that Walz was chosen because he could not "outshine" her, and that this reflected her "newfound confidence and her long-standing insecurity".<ref>{{cite web |last=Dovere |first=Edward-Isaac |date=November 6, 2024 |title=Where Harris' campaign went wrong |url=https://www.cnn.com/2024/11/06/politics/harris-campaign-went-wrong/index.html |access-date=November 7, 2024 |publisher=CNN}}</ref> '']'' cited surveys showing "broad negative sentiment" about the economy, and Harris being "relentlessly hammered" by Trump during campaigns about this. ''The Economic Times'' cited ] professor Carl Tobias's appraisal of Trump's stance on immigration winning over Harris', and mentioned how Trump had increased his support from Hispanics, especially near the Mexican–American border and in areas impacted by recent immigration.<ref name="went wrong">{{cite web |date=November 6, 2024 |title=What went wrong for Kamala Harris? |url=https://economictimes.indiatimes.com/news/international/global-trends/us-presidential-election-results-what-went-wrong-for-kamala-harris/articleshow/115041640.cms |access-date=November 7, 2024 |work=The Economic Times |issn=0013-0389}}</ref> Harris campaigning at multiple events with former Republican representative ] has been suggested as a contributing factor as to why she lost.<ref>{{Cite magazine|url=https://www.thenation.com/article/politics/liz-cheney-electoral-fiasco-kamala-harris/|title=Liz Cheney Was an Electoral Fiasco for Kamala Harris|magazine=The Nation|date=November 12, 2024}}</ref><ref>{{Cite magazine|url=https://newrepublic.com/post/188237/democrats-warned-kamala-harris-campaign-liz-cheney|title=Democrats Say Kamala Harris Ignored Their Dire Warnings on Liz Cheney|magazine=The New Republic|date=November 8, 2024}}</ref><ref>{{Cite news|url=https://www.startribune.com/rep-ilhan-omar-says-harris-walz-tapping-liz-cheney-was-huge-misstep/601187033|title=Rep. Ilhan Omar says Harris-Walz tapping Liz Cheney was 'huge misstep'|newspaper=Minnesota Star Tribune|date=November 26, 2024}}</ref> | |||
'']''{{'}}s Noah Bierman felt Harris could not overcome being the "turn the page" candidate, and cited former president ]'s lead strategist ], who said: "If you're the vice president of an administration people want to fire, you're way behind the eight-ball to start." Bierman wrote that besides criminal context, Trump "never followed a script, scoffed at the rules and spoke directly to the economic and cultural anxieties of the country".<ref>{{cite news |last=Bierman |first=Noah |date=November 6, 2024 |title=What went wrong for Harris: Trying to 'turn the page' while still in office |url=https://www.latimes.com/politics/story/2024-11-06/2024-election-what-went-wrong-for-kamala-harris |access-date=November 7, 2024 |work=Los Angeles Times |issn=2165-1736}}</ref> In '']'', Timothy Shenk argued that Democrats failed to articulate a vision for the future other than being against Trump and did not lean into a message of ] that polled best with swing voters but also that the election looked more like a rejection of Biden than the embrace of Trump.<ref>{{Cite news |last=Shenk |first=Timothy |date=November 8, 2024 |title=Opinion: It's Time to Resist the Resistance |work=The New York Times |url=https://www.nytimes.com/2024/11/08/opinion/democrats-resistance-trump.html |access-date=November 9, 2024 |archive-date=November 9, 2024 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20241109010305/https://www.nytimes.com/2024/11/08/opinion/democrats-resistance-trump.html |url-status=live |issn=0362-4331}}</ref> In another ''The New York Times'' article, ] analyzed exit polls showing Trump's gains among Non-White and young voters, suggesting Trump's populist message resonated with many voters previously considered part of the Democratic Party's base.<ref>{{Cite web|url=https://www.nytimes.com/2024/11/25/upshot/democrats-trump-working-class.html|title=How Democrats Lost Their Base and their Message|quote=Donald Trump's populist pitch bumped Democrats off their traditional place in American politics.|website=The New York Times|first1=Nate|last1=Cohn|date=November 25, 2024|access-date=November 25, 2024}}</ref> ], who served as Biden's first ], suggested that Harris focusing on ] was not a winning strategy.<ref>{{Cite web|url=https://thehill.com/homenews/campaign/4981367-jen-psaki-democratic-party-focus/|title=Psaki: Democrats paid too much attention to anti-Trump GOP|website=The Hill|date=November 8, 2024}}</ref> | |||
Charlie Cook, founder of the nonpartisan ''The Cook Political Report'', said that swing voters broke in favor of Trump due to anger over inflation associated with the Biden-Harris administration, causing Trump to sweep the swing states. However, Democrats did better in down-ballot races, meaning Trump did not have a strong ].<ref>{{Cite web|url=https://www.cookpolitical.com/analysis/national/national-politics/more-ripple-wave|title=More a Ripple Than a Wave|first1=Charlie|last1=Cook|date=November 14, 2024|access-date=November 14, 2024|website=The Cook Political Report}}</ref> '']''{{'}}s ] argued that the Democratic Party's success in the ], when Trump was not on the ballot, had led them to underestimate Trump's support. Democrats also performed better than Harris in down-ballot races, suggesting voters likely assigned their blame over the economy on the Biden-Harris administration rather than the Democratic Party at-large.<ref>{{Cite web|url=https://www.theatlantic.com/politics/archive/2024/11/democrats-2022-error-message/680661/|title=The Democrats' 2022 Error Message|first1=Ronald|last1=Brownstein|website=The Atlantic|quote=Swing-state success in the last midterms gave the party false optimism about 2024.|date=November 14, 2024|access-date=November 14, 2024}}</ref> | |||
The ]'s Courtney Subramanian said Harris "couldn't shake the anti-Biden sentiment that permeated much of the electorate", that she "failed to deliver a convincing argument about why she should lead the country", did not state a strategy to combat economic frustrations, and failed to address widespread concerns over immigration.<ref>{{cite web |last=Subramanian |first=Courtney |title=Why Kamala Harris lost: A flawed candidate or doomed campaign? |url=https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/cjr4l5j2v9do |publisher=BBC |access-date=November 7, 2024}}</ref> '']''{{'}}s Nicole Narea highlighted inflation outpacing wages in certain industries, rising ], and rising ] and falling savings as key economic indicators that Democrats "may have missed".<ref>{{cite web |last=Narea |first=Nicole |date=November 7, 2024 |title=Why Democrats couldn't sell a strong economy, in 3 charts |url=https://www.vox.com/2024-elections/383397/economy-inflation-2024-election-democrats-trump |access-date=November 7, 2024 |website=Vox }}</ref> In another ''Vox'' article, Andrew Prokop argued Harris suffered from a worldwide backlash to incumbents over inflation, as well as her struggles unifying the party over Gaza, failing to be a change candidate, and her difficulty in defending or abandoning positions she took during her ].<ref>{{cite web |last=Prokop |first=Andrew |date=November 6, 2024 |title=Why Kamala Harris lost |url=https://www.vox.com/2024-elections/382945/kamala-harris-lost-donald-trump-why |access-date=November 7, 2024 |website=Vox }}</ref> She suspended her campaign in December 2019, never giving her the experience of running in a nationwide election as a candidate.<ref>{{cite web |last=Paz |first=Christian |date=July 10, 2024 |title=What happened the last time Kamala Harris ran for president |url=https://www.vox.com/2024-elections/359620/kamala-harris-2020-president-campaign-2024-failure-lesson |access-date=November 17, 2024 |website=Vox }}</ref> | |||
=== Trump's victory === | |||
Although the economy had recovered by many conventional metrics, wages increased, and inflation was in check, and border crossings had also declined significantly, Trump was ultimately able to successfully convince voters through his promises of fixing the economy and block the flow of immigrants at the border.<ref name="Peoples & Barrow 2024"/> According to exit polls, voters whose top issues were the economy and immigration largely voted for Trump.<ref name="Economy Sucks">{{Cite web|url=https://www.ft.com/content/b0a60325-4c93-49a0-8dc6-817f0d8281fc|title=This was an election on the US economy. And for many Americans, the economy sucks|date=November 8, 2024|website=The Financial Times|access-date=November 8, 2024|first1=Tej|last1=Parikh}}</ref> According to exit polls, Trump won voters making between $30,000 and $100,000, while Harris won voters making less than $30,000 or more than $100,000, though the margins among all income groups were in the single digits.<ref name="auto2"/> | |||
''Time''{{'}}s Eric Cortellessa wrote that the thesis of Trump's campaign boiled down to the simple slogan "Max out the men and hold the women", meaning emphasizing the economy and immigration, which Trump did "relentlessly". Cortellessa also mentioned Trump's minimization of his numerous controversies, and push-offs of criminal trials via "a combination of friendly judges and legal postponements" to after the election. He said Trump's "advanced age and increasingly incoherent trail rhetoric" were taken by voters in stride, and that "much of the country read Trump's legal woes as part of a larger corrupt conspiracy to deny him, and them, power".<ref>{{cite web |last=Cortellessa |first=Eric |date=November 6, 2024 |title=How Trump Won |url=https://time.com/7172052/how-donald-trump-won-2024/ |magazine=] |issn=0040-781X |access-date=November 8, 2024}}</ref> ] wrote that "Americans have continued to chafe at higher than pre-pandemic prices and the lack of affordable housing", and that much of the voter placed the blame "squarely" on the Biden administration. NPR said demographics played an important role, with ] voters going up as a share of the electorate from 67% to 71% and Trump winning 46% of ], and mentioned polling's "continued underestimation of Trump's support nationally and in the key swing states".<ref>{{cite web |last=Montanaro |first=Domenico |date=November 8, 2024 |title=Why Trump won — 9 takeaways from the 2024 election |url=https://www.npr.org/2024/11/08/g-s1-33274/2024-election-how-trump-won-takeaways |publisher=] |access-date=November 8, 2024}}</ref> | |||
''The New York Times'' headlined how " made one essential bet: that his grievances would become the ]s of the MAGA movement, and then the G.O.P., and then more than half the country. It paid off." ''The New York Times'' said that Trump's several setbacks actually benefited ] and approval, as "] became a best-selling shirt. His criminal conviction inspired $100 million in donations in one day. The ] after a failed assassination attempt became the symbol of what supporters saw as a campaign of destiny."<ref>{{cite news |last1=Goldmacher |first1=Shane |last2=Haberman |first2=Maggie |last3=Swan |first3=Jonathan |title=How Trump Won, and How Harris Lost |url=https://www.nytimes.com/2024/11/07/us/politics/trump-win-election-harris.html |work=] |date=November 7, 2024 |issn=1553-8095 |access-date=November 8, 2024}}</ref> | |||
] cited a Democratic strategist's appraisal of many men's concerns over feeling like "they're being left behind, that society doesn't have a place for them", and that this was a major factor in that demographic's role to return Trump to power. The network said his approval among non-college-educated and middle-income voters, Latinos generally and Latino men specifically, made strides in his promise to assemble a multiracial working-class coalition of supporters.<ref name="NBC how it went down">{{cite news |last1=Seitz-Wald |first1=Alex |last2=Gomez |first2=Henry J. |last3=Korecki |first3=Natasha |date=November 7, 2024 |url=https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/2024-election/how-trump-won-harris-lost-2024-election-rcna178840 |title=How Trump won — and how Harris lost — the 2024 election |publisher=] |access-date=November 8, 2024}}</ref> Trump increased his support from Hispanics, especially near the Mexican–American border and in areas impacted by recent immigration.<ref name="went wrong"/> | |||
Several observers pointed to shifting habits in how Americans consume media and a growing lack of trust in and influence of mainstream news outlets.<ref>{{cite news |last1=Roig-Franzia |first1=Manuel |last2=Izadi |first2=Elahe |last3=Scribner |first3=Herb |date=November 8, 2024 |title=As Trump joined the podcast revolution, legacy media got left out |newspaper=The Washington Post |url=https://www.washingtonpost.com/style/media/2024/11/08/podcasts-joe-rogan-trump/ |access-date=November 9, 2024 |archive-date=November 9, 2024 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20241109031605/https://www.washingtonpost.com/style/media/2024/11/08/podcasts-joe-rogan-trump/ |url-status=live |issn=0190-8286 }}</ref><ref>{{Cite news |last1=Simonetti |first1=Isabella |last2=Steele |first2=Anne |date=November 8, 2024 |title=Trump's Win Cemented It: New Media Is Leaving the Old Guard Behind |work=The Wall Street Journal |url=https://www.wsj.com/business/media/new-media-social-media-presidential-election-591b0644 |access-date=November 9, 2024 |issn=0099-9660 }}</ref> Trump embraced alternative media through podcasts and online streamers such as ], ], ], and the ]. ''The New York Times'' reported that such avenues "presented a way for Mr. Trump to sidestep more confrontational interviews with professional journalists, where he might face tough questions, fact-checks and detailed policy debates. The influencers he met with rarely challenged Mr. Trump, and often lavished him with praise."<ref>{{Cite news |last1=Grynbaum |first1=Michael M. |last2=Koblin |first2=John |date=November 7, 2024 |title=A Master of the Media Evolved Yet Again in 2024 |work=The New York Times |url=https://www.nytimes.com/2024/11/07/business/media/trump-media-strategy-podcasts.html |access-date=November 9, 2024 |archive-date=November 7, 2024 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20241107113522/https://www.nytimes.com/2024/11/07/business/media/trump-media-strategy-podcasts.html |url-status=live |issn=0362-4331}}</ref> Observers also highlighted Trump's courting of the "]",<ref>{{Cite news |last=Wendling |first=Mike |date=October 12, 2024 |title='He's just a bro': Trump's attempts to woo the 'manosphere' |work=BBC News |url=https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/cj9j43890k7o |access-date=November 9, 2024 |archive-date=November 9, 2024 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20241109032936/https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/cj9j43890k7o |url-status=live }}</ref> a collection of what ''The Guardian'' described as "male ]ers, influencers and public figures" that "marketed themselves as ] pundits who evaded the bounds of political classification".<ref>{{cite news |last=Haskins |first=Caroline |date=November 7, 2024 |title=Rogan, Musk and an emboldened manosphere salute Trump's win: 'Let that sink in' |work=The Guardian |url=https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/2024/nov/07/joe-rogan-elon-musk-heterodoxy-trump-win-reaction |access-date=November 9, 2024 |archive-date=November 8, 2024 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20241108021749/https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/2024/nov/07/joe-rogan-elon-musk-heterodoxy-trump-win-reaction |url-status=live}}</ref> Post-election research showed that nearly 40% of young voters got their news from social media influencers, and despite claims of conservative ], a majority of influencers leaned right.<ref>{{Cite news |last=Reilly |first=Liam |date=November 18, 2024 |title=Nearly 40% of young Americans get their news from influencers. Many of them lean to the right, study finds |work=CNN |url=https://www.cnn.com/2024/11/18/media/news-influencers-social-media-conservative-study/index.html |access-date=November 21, 2024 |archive-date=November 20, 2024 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20241120025122/https://www.cnn.com/2024/11/18/media/news-influencers-social-media-conservative-study/index.html |url-status=live }}</ref> ''The New York Times'' reported that Trump's super PAC had joined a long list of presidential campaigns that made a "technological leap or innovation" while targeting key voters. ''The Times'' highlighted the use of ] of individual undecided voters on ] that allowed it to save money, while Harris largely targeted ads on streaming platforms by geography. It reported the Trump team's findings that the undecided electorate was younger, black, and Hispanic, and that such voters largely used streaming media over traditional broadcast television.<ref>{{Cite news |last=Goldmacher |first=Shane |date=December 5, 2024 |title=How Trump Targeted Undecided Voters Without Breaking the Bank |work=The New York Times |url=https://www.nytimes.com/2024/12/05/us/politics/trump-streaming-ads-strategy.html |issn=0362-4331 }}</ref> | |||
==See also== | |||
{{#invoke:Portal|portal|2020s|Politics|United States}} | |||
* ] | |||
** ] | |||
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==Notes== | |||
<templatestyles src="Reflist/styles.css" /><div class="reflist reflist-lower-alpha"><references group="lower-alpha" /></div> | |||
==References== | ==References== | ||
{{reflist |
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== External links == | |||
* {{cite web |url=https://misinfodashboard.newslit.org |title=Misinformation Dashboard: Election 2024. A tool tracking the topics and tactics of 2024 election misinformation |publication-date=2024 |publisher=] |access-date=September 30, 2024}} | |||
* {{Cite web |last=Dovere |first=Edward-Isaac |title=Where Harris' campaign went wrong |url=https://edition.cnn.com/2024/11/06/politics/harris-campaign-went-wrong/index.html |access-date=November 7, 2024 |date=November 6, 2024|publisher=]}} | |||
* {{cite episode|title=The Choice 2024: Harris vs. Trump|series=Frontline|series-link=Frontline (American TV program)|network=]|station=]|date=September 24, 2024|season=43|number=2|url=https://www.pbs.org/wgbh/frontline/documentary/the-choice-2024-harris-vs-trump/|access-date=November 28, 2024}} | |||
* {{cite episode|title=The VP Choice: Vance vs. Walz|series=Frontline|network=PBS|station=WGBH|date=October 8, 2024|season=43|number=3|url=https://www.pbs.org/wgbh/frontline/documentary/the-vp-choice-vance-walz/|access-date=November 28, 2024}} | |||
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Latest revision as of 17:14, 8 January 2025
For related races, see 2024 United States elections.
This article may be too long to read and navigate comfortably. Consider splitting content into sub-articles, condensing it, or adding subheadings. Please discuss this issue on the article's talk page. (December 2024) |
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538 members of the Electoral College 270 electoral votes needed to win | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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Presidential election results map. Red denotes states won by Trump/Vance and blue denotes those won by Harris/Walz. Numbers indicate electoral votes cast by each state and the District of Columbia. | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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Presidential elections were held in the United States on November 5, 2024. The Republican Party's ticket—Donald Trump, who was the 45th president of the United States from 2017 to 2021, and JD Vance, the junior U.S. senator from Ohio—defeated the Democratic Party's ticket—Kamala Harris, the incumbent vice president, and Tim Walz, the governor of Minnesota. Trump and Vance are scheduled to be inaugurated as the 47th president and the 50th vice president on January 20, 2025.
The incumbent president, Joe Biden of the Democratic Party, initially ran for re-election as the party's presumptive nominee, facing little opposition and easily defeating Representative Dean Phillips during the Democratic primaries; however, what was broadly considered a poor debate performance in June 2024 intensified concerns about his age and health, and led to calls within his party for him to leave the race. After initially declining to do so, Biden withdrew on July 21, becoming the first eligible incumbent president to withdraw since Lyndon B. Johnson in 1968. Biden endorsed Harris, who was voted the party's nominee by the delegates on August 5, 2024. Harris selected Walz as her running mate.
Trump, who lost in 2020 to Biden, ran for re-election again. He was nominated during the 2024 Republican National Convention along with his running mate, Vance, after winning the Republican primaries by easily defeating former Governor Nikki Haley. The Trump campaign was noted for making many false and misleading statements, including the claim that the 2020 election was stolen from Trump, engaging in anti-immigrant fearmongering, and promoting conspiracy theories. Trump's political movement was described by several historians and former Trump administration officials as authoritarian, featuring parallels to fascism, and using dehumanizing rhetoric toward his political opponents.
According to polls, the most important issues for voters were the economy, healthcare, democracy, foreign policy (notably U.S. support for Israel and for Ukraine), illegal immigration, abortion, and climate change. Education and LGBTQ rights were also prominent issues in the campaign. Polled voters consistently cited the economy as the most important issue in the election.
Trump achieved victory in the Electoral College, winning 312 electoral votes to Harris' 226. Trump won every swing state in addition to holding on to all of the states that he won in 2020. Trump won the national popular vote with a plurality of 49.9%, making him the first Republican to do so since George W. Bush in 2004 but with what was the third smallest margin of victory since 1888. Relative to the 2020 election, he improved his vote share among working class voters, particularly among young men, those without college degrees, and Hispanic voters. Trump became the first president since Grover Cleveland in 1892 to be elected to non-consecutive terms.
Background
Procedure
Main article: United States presidential election § ProcedureArticle Two of the Constitution of United States states that for a person to serve as president, the individual must be a natural-born citizen of the United States, be at least 35 years of age, and have been a United States resident for at least 14 years. The Twenty-second Amendment forbids any person from being elected president more than twice. Major party candidates seek the nomination through a series of primary elections that select the delegates who choose the candidate at the party's national convention. Each party's national convention chooses a vice presidential running mate to form that party's ticket. The nominee for president usually picks the running mate, who is then ratified by the delegates at the party's convention. If no candidate wins a majority of their party's delegates' votes, or (in this election) a party's presumptive nominee drops out of the race between the primaries and the convention, a brokered convention may be held: the delegates are then "released" and are free to switch their allegiance to a different candidate.
The general election in November is an indirect election, in which voters cast ballots for a slate of members of the Electoral College; these electors then directly elect the president and vice president. Election offices are dealing with increased workloads and public scrutiny. Officials in many states have sought additional funding to hire more personnel, improve security, and extend training. Numerous election offices are dealing with an increase in retirements and are overwhelmed with public records requests, owing in part to the electoral mistrust planted by former President Trump's loss in the 2020 election.
Trump is the first president in American history to be impeached twice, and the first to run again after impeachment. Trump was first impeached by the Democratic-controlled House of Representatives in December 2019 for "abuse of power and obstruction of Congress" due to his attempts to pressure Ukraine to investigate Joe Biden and his son, Hunter, by withholding military aid. Trump's second impeachment by the House occurred on January 13, 2021, for "incitement of insurrection" owing to his role in the January 6 United States Capitol attack. As Trump was acquitted by the Senate in both cases, he was not barred from seeking reelection to the presidency in 2024.
This is the first presidential election to occur after the reapportionment of votes in the Electoral College following the 2020 United States census and redistricting cycle.
Swing states
Further information: Red states and blue states and Swing stateMost states are not electorally competitive and are usually certain to vote for a particular party. Because of the winner-take-all selection of electors used by 48 states and Washington DC, this means that a limited number of swing states—competitive states that do not clearly lean towards one party over the other—are vital to winning the presidency. The U.S. states considered as such change over time. The seven swing states in the 2024 election were the Rust Belt states of Wisconsin, Michigan, and Pennsylvania, as well as the Sun Belt states of Arizona, Georgia, Nevada, and North Carolina. Trump secured victory in all seven states. The three Midwestern swing states had historically been part of the "blue wall" ever since Bill Clinton's win in 1992, but broke for Trump in 2016, when he had previously faced a female Democratic candidate, Hillary Clinton.
Election interference
Main article: Election interference Further information: Republican efforts to restrict voting following the 2020 presidential election, Attempts to overturn the 2020 United States presidential election, and January 6 United States Capitol attackSeveral state courts and officials, including the Colorado Supreme Court, a state Circuit Court in Illinois, and the Secretary of State of Maine, ruled that Trump was ineligible to hold office under Section 3 of the Fourteenth Amendment to the United States Constitution for his role in the January 6 Capitol attack, and thus attempted to disqualify him from appearing on the ballot. These attempts were unsuccessful, and on March 4, 2024, the U.S. Supreme Court unanimously ruled in Trump v. Anderson that states cannot determine eligibility for a national election under Section 3, and only Congress has the authority to disqualify candidates, or to pass legislation that allows courts to do so.
Donald Trump's false claims of interference
Further information: Big lie § Donald Trump's false claims of a stolen election, Election denial movement in the United States, and Republican Party efforts to disrupt the 2024 United States presidential electionTrump made false claims of voter fraud in the 2020 presidential election, and continued denying the election results. Election security experts warned that officials who deny the legitimacy of the 2020 presidential election may attempt to impede the voting process, or refuse to certify the 2024 results. In July 2024, The New York Times reported that "the Republican Party and its conservative allies are engaged in an unprecedented legal campaign targeting the American voting system", by restricting voting for partisan advantage ahead of Election Day and preparing to mount "legally dubious" challenges against the certification process if Trump were to lose.
In the lead up to the 2024 election, the Republican Party made false claims of massive "noncitizen voting" by immigrants in an attempt to delegitimize the election in the event of a Trump defeat. The claims were made as part of larger Republican Party efforts to disrupt the 2024 election and election denial movement. Trump continued spreading his "big lie" of a stolen election and predicted without evidence that the 2024 election would be rigged against him. Trump also falsely accused Biden of "weaponizing" the Justice Department to target him in relation to his criminal trials. Trump and several Republicans stated they would not accept the results of the 2024 election if they believe they are "unfair".
Trump's previous comments suggesting he can "terminate" the Constitution to reverse his election loss, his claim that he would only be a dictator on "day one" of his presidency and not after, his promise to use the Justice Department to go after his political enemies, his plan to use the Insurrection Act of 1807 to deploy the military for law enforcement in primarily Democratic cities and states, attempts to overturn the 2020 United States presidential election, continued Republican efforts to restrict voting following the 2020 presidential election, Trump's baseless predictions of voter fraud in the 2024 election, and Trump's public embrace and celebration of the January 6 United States Capitol attack, raised concerns over the state of democracy in the United States. Trump's political operation said that it planned to deploy more than 100,000 attorneys and volunteers to polling places across battleground states, with an "election integrity hotline" for poll watchers and voters to report alleged voting irregularities.
Interference by foreign nations
Main article: Foreign interference in the 2024 United States electionsBefore the election, U.S. officials and former officials stated that foreign interference in the 2024 election was likely. Three major factors cited were "America's deepening domestic political crises, the collapse of controversial attempts to control political speech on social media, and the rise of generative AI". China, Russia, and Iran were identified as mounting influence operations and attempts to interfere with the 2024 election. U.S. intelligence officials described the efforts as part of broader efforts by authoritarian nations to use the internet to erode support for democracy.
China
Further information: Chinese interference in the 2024 United States electionsChina was identified as interfering with the 2024 election through propaganda and disinformation campaigns linked to its Spamouflage operation. U.S. intelligence agencies described the effort as not targeting any particular candidate but focusing on issues important to the Chinese government, such as Taiwan, and "undermining confidence in elections, voting, and the U.S. in general". As early as April 1, 2024, The New York Times reported that the Chinese government had created fake pro-Trump accounts on social media "promoting conspiracy theories, stoking domestic divisions and attacking President Biden ahead of the election in November".
Russia
Further information: Russian interference in the 2024 United States electionsAccording to disinformation experts and intelligence agencies, Russia spread disinformation ahead of the 2024 election to damage Biden and Democrats, boost candidates supporting isolationism, and undercut support for Ukraine aid and NATO. On September 4, 2024, the United States publicly accused Russia of interfering in the 2024 election and announced several steps to combat Russian influence including sanctions, indictments, and seizing of web domains used to spread propaganda and disinformation. U.S. intelligence agencies assessed that Russia preferred Trump to win the election, viewing him as more critical of American support for Ukraine.
Iran
Further information: Iranian interference in the 2024 United States electionsIran was identified as interfering with the 2024 presidential election through front companies connected to the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps and hacking attempts against the Trump, Biden, and Harris campaigns starting as early as May 2024. Iran launched propaganda and disinformation campaigns through fake news websites and accounts on social media to tip the election against former president Trump. The New York Times stated the efforts were an attempt at "sowing internal discord and discrediting the democratic system in the United States more broadly in the eyes of the world".
Germany
Serpil Midyatli, the deputy federal chairwoman of the Social Democratic Party of Germany (SPD), the leading party of the federal government, traveled to the USA before the elections, to campaign for Kamala Harris, according to her own statement. In addition to Midyatli, several members of the Bundestag (Felix Döring, Sanae Abdi and Reem Alabali-Radovan as well as the Rhineland-Palatinate State Secretary Daniel Stich (all SPD)) traveled to the USA. The trip took place from October 20 to 25 and was organized by the Friedrich Ebert Foundation, which is linked to the SPD. A few days after the election, when Trump's election victory was inevitable, Midyatli spokesman then claimed "that Ms. Midyatli did not actively participate in the election campaign for any candidate."
Voter roll purges
Further information: Republican efforts to restrict voting following the 2020 presidential electionMultiple Republican-led administrations removed voters from their state's voter rolls in the lead up to the election, which critics argued violates the National Voter Registration Act. In July 2024, 160,000 inactive or infrequent voters were removed from Ohio's voter rolls. The Ohio chapters of Common Cause and the League of Women Voters threatened lawsuits against the state over the purge.
In August 2024, Governor Glenn Youngkin of Virginia signed an executive order removing 6,303 voters suspected of being non-citizens from Virginia's voter rolls. In October 2024, the U.S. Department of Justice sued the Virginia Board of Elections and Virginia commissioner of elections over the voter purge, alleging that it violated the National Voter Registration Act. The suit also found a number of alleged non-citizens purged were actually citizens. District judge Patricia Tolliver Giles ruled that the removal was illegal, ordering the state to stop purging voter rolls and to restore the voter registration of more than 1,600 voters who had been removed. The 4th Circuit Court of Appeals then upheld the order. The administration filed an emergency appeal to the U.S. Supreme Court, which sided with Virginia in a 6–3 decision along ideological lines, allowing the state to continue purging voter rolls.
In August 2024, Alabama Secretary of State Wes Allen announced a process for purging 3,251 registered Alabama voters and referred them to the state attorney general's office for criminal prosecution. In September 2024, the Department of Justice sued Alabama for violating the National Voter Registration Act. In October 2024, district judge Anna Manasco ruled in favor of the Department of Justice, ordering the state to restore the voter registrations. Alabama secretary of state's chief of staff Clay Helms testified that 2,000 of the purged voters were legally registered citizens.
Criminal trials and indictments against Donald Trump
Main article: Indictments against Donald Trump Further information: Federal prosecution of Donald Trump (election obstruction case), Georgia election racketeering prosecution, Federal prosecution of Donald Trump (classified documents case), Prosecution of Donald Trump in New York, and Personal and business legal affairs of Donald TrumpTrump was found liable in civil proceedings for both sexual abuse and defamation in 2023 and defamation in 2024, while also being criminally convicted of 34 felonies related to falsifying business records, expected to be an issue during the campaign. As of December 2023, he had four criminal indictments totaling 86 felony counts and there are other lawsuits against Trump. On May 30, 2024, Trump was found guilty by a jury of all 34 felony counts in The People of the State of New York v. Donald J. Trump over falsifying business records for hush money payments to pornographic film star Stormy Daniels, to ensure her silence about a sexual encounter between them, to influence the 2016 presidential election. This made Trump the first former U.S. president to be convicted of a crime in American history. Trump and many Republicans have made numerous false and misleading statements regarding Trump's criminal trials, including false claims that they are "rigged" or "election interference" orchestrated by Biden and the Democratic Party, of which there is no evidence.
Trump faces an additional 52 felony counts: 4 counts in United States of America v. Donald J. Trump for his alleged role in attempting to overturn the 2020 United States presidential election and involvement in the January 6 United States Capitol attack; 8 counts in The State of Georgia v. Donald J. Trump, et al. for his alleged attempts to overturn the results of the 2020 United States presidential election in Georgia; and 40 counts in United States of America v. Donald J. Trump, Waltine Nauta, and Carlos De Oliveira relating to his hoarding of classified documents and alleged obstruction of efforts to retrieve them. In addition to his indictments, Trump was found liable on May 9, 2023, by an anonymous jury, in E. Jean Carroll v. Donald J. Trump for sexual abuse/rape, and ordered to pay a total of $88.3 million combined for damages and defamation. In September 2023, Trump was found guilty of financial fraud in New York v. Trump and ordered to pay a $457 million judgement that he appealed.
According to an April 2024 Reuters/Ipsos poll, the percentage of registered voters who found Trump's charges somewhat to very serious in the federal elections case was 74%, 72% in the Georgia case, 69% in the classified documents case, and 64% in the New York hush money case. Nearly a quarter of Republican voters said they would not vote for Trump if found guilty of a felony by a jury. Following his hush money conviction, 15% of likely Republican voters and 49% of independents stated they wanted Trump to drop out, and 54% of registered voters approved of the jury's decision. Polling also found 56% of Republicans who were unchanged by the verdict, and 35% of Republicans and 18% of independents who stated they were more likely to vote for Trump.
Trump was noted for attempting to delay his trials until after the November election. On January 20, 2025, Trump could order a new attorney general to dismiss the federal charges he is facing, prevent the state charges from taking effect through a variety of methods, and issue a presidential self-pardon. On July 1, 2024, the Supreme Court delivered its 6–3 decision in Trump v. United States, along ideological lines, ruling that Trump had absolute immunity for acts he committed as president within his core constitutional purview, at least presumptive immunity for official acts within the outer perimeter of his official responsibility, and no immunity for unofficial acts. Thus, Trump's sentencing date for his convictions in New York was delayed from July to September 2024, and then to November 26, and the trial dates in Trump's other cases would likely also be delayed to review the applicability of the Supreme Court's decision.
Age and health concerns
Joe Biden
Main article: Age and health concerns about Joe BidenFormer president Trump, lawmakers, and mass media raised concerns about President Biden's age, including his cognitive state, during and after the 2020 United States presidential election. These concerns increased after a poor performance by Biden during a debate against Trump in the 2024 presidential election, which led a number of commentators and some Democratic lawmakers to call for Biden to drop out of the 2024 presidential race. In July 2024, Biden withdrew his candidacy while stating that he would continue serving as president until the conclusion of his term. According to a February 2024 poll, Biden's age and health were major or moderate concerns for 86% of voters generally, up from 76% earlier in 2020. According to another 2024 poll, most of those who voted for Biden in 2020 believed he was too old to be an effective president; The New York Times noted that these concerns "cut across generations, gender, race and education".
Donald Trump
Main article: Age and health concerns about Donald TrumpIn the summer before the election, polling showed at least half of Americans thought that Trump, who is 78 years old, was too old to serve a second term, with 80% unsure he would be able to finish out a second term. Numerous public figures, media sources, and mental health professionals speculated that Trump may have some form of dementia, which runs in his family. Experts for the science publication STAT who analyzed changes in Trump's speeches between 2015 and 2024 noted shorter sentences, more tangents, more repetition, and more confusion of words and phrases. Doctors suggested it could just be due to changes in mood or it could indicate the beginning of Alzheimer's. The sharp rise in all-or-nothing thinking is also linked to cognitive decline. The New York Times reported that Trump's 2024 speeches had grown "darker, harsher, longer, angrier, less focused, more profane and increasingly fixated on the past", and that experts considered this increase in tangential speech and behavioral disinhibition as a possible consequence of advancing age and cognitive decline. Trump was also criticized for his lack of transparency around his medical records and health.
Political violence and threats
Main article: Political violence in the 2024 United States presidential election See also: Donald Trump 2024 presidential campaign § Violent and dehumanizing statementsSeveral scholars, lawmakers, intelligence agencies, and the members of the public expressed concerns about political violence surrounding the 2024 election. The fears came amidst increasing threats and acts of physical violence targeting public officials and election workers at all levels of government. Trump was identified as a key figure in increasing political violence in the United States both for and against him. Political violence was at its highest since the 1970s, and the most recent violence came from right-wing assailants. Trump increasingly embraced far-right extremism, conspiracy theories such as Q-Anon, and far-right militia movements to a greater extent than any modern American president. Trump also espoused dehumanizing, combative, and violent rhetoric, and promised retribution against his political enemies. Trump played down but refused to rule out violence following the 2024 election, stating "it depends". Trump also suggested using the military against "the enemy from within" on Election Day that he described as "radical left lunatics", Democratic politicians, and those opposed to his candidacy.
Assassination attempts
On July 13, 2024, Trump survived an assassination attempt while addressing a campaign rally near Butler, Pennsylvania. Trump was shot and wounded on his right ear by Thomas Matthew Crooks, a 20-year-old man from Bethel Park, Pennsylvania, who fired eight rounds with an AR-15–style rifle from the roof of a building located approximately 400 feet (120 metres) from the stage; the shots killed audience member Corey Comperatore and critically injured two other audience members. Seconds later, Crooks was shot and killed by the U.S. Secret Service's counter-sniper team. The motive and cause of the assassination attempt are still under investigation by authorities. On September 11, 2024, a bipartisan Senate report identified tech issues and other preventable mistakes by the Secret Service during the event. On September 15, 2024, Trump survived a separate assassination attempt at Trump International Golf Club in West Palm Beach, Florida. The suspect did not fire his weapon, and no deaths or injuries were reported. The suspect, Ryan Wesley Routh, is in custody.
Violence towards election workers
Since the 2020 election and continuing into the 2024 election, the election denial movement prompted thousands of death threats directed at election workers, officials, and their families, with some receiving letters laced with fentanyl. As of March 2024, the Department of Justice's Election Threats Task Force had charged 20 people with threat-related crimes. In September 2024, suspicious packages were sent to state election officials in several states, which resulted in evacuations. The inclusion of white powder in most of the packages mirrored the 2001 anthrax attacks; the substance in Oklahoma packages was identified as flour. Threats led some election workers to resign, and affected recruitment of temporary poll workers. In locations where funds were available, efforts to protect election workers involved active shooter training, provision of first aid kits and Narcan, bulletproof vests, bulletproof glass, metal detectors, armed guards, police snipers, drones.
Violence towards voters
On October 30, 2024, an 18-year-old man in Jacksonville, Florida, was arrested for aggravated assault and improper exhibition of a dangerous weapon after brandishing a machete at two women outside an early voting center. He along with seven other teenagers, allegedly approached and antagonized members of the opposing political party as they were demonstrating. Neither the teenager's nor the women's political parties were disclosed, although later posts by the Duval Democratic Party described the teenager's party as a "group of young men carrying Trump flags". On November 1, 2024, a voter wearing a "Let's Go Brandon" hat was reportedly struck by a poll worker after a verbal altercation over his hat at an Orangeburg County, South Carolina, polling location. Although it is illegal to wear anything supporting a candidate whose name is on the ballot, wearing a general political message is permitted by South Carolina law. Also on November 1, a man in Bath, New York, was arrested for assaulting someone in a supermarket for wearing a Trump hat.
Arson of ballot boxes
In late October 2024, multiple fires were reported at ballot drop boxes in Portland, Oregon, and Vancouver, Washington. The fires damaged hundreds of ballots, requiring election officials to identify and offer new ballots to those affected by the fires. Prior to the fires, the Federal Bureau of Investigation and the Department of Homeland Security had issued a bulletin raising concerns that "election-related grievances" could motivate domestic extremist activity and that ballot drop boxes could potentially be "attractive targets". In Phoenix, Arizona, a fire was started in a mail collection box, destroying some ballots and other mail. A suspect was arrested and claimed that the fire was unrelated to the election.
Nominations
Republican Party
Main articles: 2024 Republican Party presidential primaries and 2024 Republican Party presidential candidatesTrump, the then-incumbent president, was defeated by Biden in the 2020 election and was not term-limited to run again in 2024, making him the fifth ex-president to seek a second non-consecutive term. Trump filed and announced his candidacy a week following the 2022 midterm elections. Trump was considered an early frontrunner for the Republican presidential nomination. He had announced in March 2022 that his former vice president Mike Pence would not be his running mate.
Trump faced opposition in the primaries. Florida Governor Ron DeSantis was initially viewed as the main challenger to Trump for the Republican nomination, having raised more campaign funds in the first half of 2022 and posting more favorable polling numbers than Trump by the end of 2022. On May 24, 2023, DeSantis announced his candidacy on Twitter in an online conversation with Twitter CEO Elon Musk. At the end of July 2023, FiveThirtyEight's national polling average of the Republican primaries had Trump at 52 percent, and DeSantis at 15.
Following the Iowa caucuses, in which Trump posted a landslide victory, DeSantis and businessman Vivek Ramaswamy dropped out of the race and endorsed Trump, leaving the former president and Nikki Haley, the former South Carolina governor who served in Trump's cabinet, as the only remaining major candidates. Trump continued to win all four early voting contests while Haley's campaign struggled to gain momentum. On March 6, 2024, the day after winning only one primary out of fifteen on Super Tuesday, Haley suspended her campaign. On March 12, 2024, Trump officially became the presumptive Republican presidential nominee. Trump was injured in an assassination attempt on July 13, 2024, when a bullet grazed his ear. This was the first time a president or major party presidential candidate was injured in an assassination attempt since Ronald Reagan in 1981. On July 15, 2024, the first day of the Republican National Convention, Trump officially announced that Senator JD Vance of Ohio would be his running mate. On July 18, 2024, for the third consecutive time, Trump accepted the nomination from the Republican National Convention to become the Republican presidential nominee.
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Democratic Party
Main articles: 2024 Democratic Party presidential primaries and 2024 Democratic Party presidential candidatesOn April 25, 2023, President Biden officially announced his bid for re-election, confirming that Vice President Harris would remain his running mate.
Concerns about Biden's age were prominent, given that he was the oldest person to assume the office at age 78, which would make him 82 at the end of his first term and 86 at the end of a potential second term. An April 2023 poll indicated that 70 percent of Americans, including 51 percent of Democrats, believed Biden should not seek a second term, with nearly half citing his age as the reason. Biden's approval rating stood at 41 percent, with 55 percent disapproving. Speculation also arose that Biden might face a primary challenge from the Democratic Party's progressive faction; however, after Democrats outperformed expectations in the 2022 midterm elections, many believed Biden's chances of securing the party's nomination had increased. On July 28, 2022, Representative Dean Phillips became the first incumbent Democratic member of Congress to say President Biden should not run for re-election and called for "generational change" pointing to Biden's age.
Despite a handful of primary challengers, including Robert F. Kennedy Jr., Marianne Williamson, Jason Palmer, and Phillips, Biden easily became the presumptive nominee of the party on March 12, 2024. Jason Palmer, who won the American Samoa caucuses, became the first candidate to win a contested primary against an incumbent president since Ted Kennedy in 1980; however, he suspended his campaign on May 15, 2024, endorsing Biden. Biden also faced significant opposition from uncommitted voters and the Uncommitted National Movement in their protest vote movement against Biden due to his support for Israel during the Israel–Hamas war, which collectively won 36 delegates.
Following a widely panned debate performance against Trump on June 27, 2024, Biden withdrew from the race on July 21, endorsing Kamala Harris as his successor. Harris quickly announced her campaign and secured enough delegate endorsements by July 22 to become the presumptive nominee. Biden's withdrawal made him the first eligible incumbent president since Lyndon B. Johnson in 1968 not to seek re-election, and the first to withdraw after securing enough delegates to win the nomination. Harris is the first nominee who did not participate in the presidential primaries since Vice President Hubert Humphrey, also in 1968, and the first since the modern Democratic Party primary procedure was created in 1972 (prior to which most states did not hold primary elections).
Harris secured enough delegates to be the party's presumptive nominee on August 5. She selected Minnesota Governor Tim Walz as her running mate the following day, and accepted the party's nomination on August 22.
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Campaign issues
Campaign themes
See also: Kamala Harris 2024 presidential campaign § Platform, Donald Trump 2024 presidential campaign § Platform, and 2024 United States elections § IssuesHarris campaign
Harris framed her campaign as "a choice between freedom and chaos" and based it around the ideals of "freedom" and "the future". The Harris campaign sought to highlight her experience as an attorney general and a prosecutor to "prosecute the case" against Trump by pointing out his 34 felony convictions and the impacts of the overturning of Roe v. Wade. Harris ran as a moderate Democrat who moved towards the center on several policy positions since her 2019 primary run, embracing many of Biden's domestic policy stances. Harris focused her economic proposals on the cost of groceries, housing and healthcare. She also focused on the middle class, and small businesses.
Trump campaign
See also: Trumpism and Rhetoric of Donald TrumpA central campaign theme for Trump's second presidential bid was "retribution". Trump framed the 2024 election as "the final battle", and openly promised to leverage the power of the presidency for political reprisals. Trump heavily ran on immigration as a central campaign focus. Trump's campaign focused on dark and apocalyptic rhetoric about the state of the country and predicting doom if he did not win. The Associated Press stated that "Trump's rallies take on the symbols, rhetoric and agenda of Christian nationalism." During his 2024 presidential campaign, Trump made numerous false and misleading statements. The large number of lies and false statements have been attributed to Trump's rhetorical style described as using the "big lie" and firehose of falsehood propaganda technique. Trump also made many personal attacks against Harris, several of which were sexual in nature, were characterized as racist and misogynistic, and were considered a further breach of political norms. Trump's harsher rhetoric against his political enemies has been described by historians, scholars, commentators and former generals as populist, authoritarian, fascist, and unlike anything a political candidate has ever said in American history.
Abortion
Main article: Abortion in the United StatesAbortion access was a key topic during the campaign. This was the first presidential election to be held in the aftermath of the 2022 Dobbs v. Jackson Women's Health Organization decision, in which the Supreme Court overturned Roe v. Wade, leaving abortion law entirely to the states, including bans on abortion. The three justices appointed by former president Trump—Amy Coney Barrett, Brett Kavanaugh, and Neil Gorsuch—all voted to overturn the federal right to an abortion in Dobbs. By April 2023, most Republican-controlled states had passed near-total bans on abortion, rendering it largely illegal throughout much of the southern United States. According to the Kaiser Family Foundation, there are 15 states with de jure early-stage bans on abortion without exceptions for rape or incest.
Abortion was on the ballot in up to ten states in 2024, including the swing states of Arizona and Nevada. Some pundits argued abortion-rights referenda could help Harris in November. Democrats predominantly advocate for abortion access as a right, while Republicans generally favor significantly restricting the legality of abortion. Since becoming the presumptive nominee, Harris indicated her support for passing legislation which would restore the federal abortion right protections previously guaranteed by Roe. She argued Trump would let his anti-abortion allies implement Project 2025 proposals to restrict abortion and contraception throughout the United States.
Trump claimed credit for overturning Roe but criticized Republicans pushing for total abortion bans. Trump said he would leave the issue of abortion for the states to decide but would allow red states to monitor women's pregnancies and prosecute them if they have an abortion. In his home state of Florida, Trump announced he would vote "No" on Amendment 4, an abortion rights referendum, preserving the six-week ban. The announcement came one day after he initially criticized the six-week ban for being "too short" and said he would vote to lengthen it. Trump repeated a false claim that Democrats support abortions after birth and "executing" babies.
Border security and immigration
Main articles: Mexico–United States border crisis and Border security in the United States Further information: Kamala Harris 2024 presidential campaign § Immigration, and Donald Trump 2024 presidential campaign § ImmigrationBorder security and immigration were among the top issues concerning potential voters in the election. Polling showed that most Americans want to reduce immigration, and that a substantial minority of white Republicans were concerned about White demographic decline. In 2023 and early 2024, a surge of migrants entering through the border with Mexico occurred. By June 2024, illegal crossings reached a three-year low following four consecutive monthly drops, which senior officials attributed to increased enforcement between the United States and Mexico, the weather, and Biden's executive order (A Proclamation on Securing the Border) increasing asylum restrictions.
Harris promised to fight for "strong border security" coupled with an earned pathway to citizenship. Harris highlighted her work in combating transnational gangs, drug cartels, and human traffickers while attorney general. As vice president, Harris announced in 2023 that she pledged of US$950 million from private companies into Central American communities to address the causes of mass migration, such as poverty. Harris stated she believes the immigration system is "broken" and needs to be fixed, and she said most Americans believe this. Harris also advocated for stricter asylum rules than President Biden. Harris supported increasing the number of U.S. Border Patrol agents and accused Trump of being unserious on border security. As vice president, Harris also supported a bipartisan bill that would have funded additional border agents and closed the border if too crowded; the bill was rejected by Trump. Trump called on House and Senate Republicans to kill the bill arguing it would hurt his and Republican's reelection campaigns and deny them the ability to run on immigration as a campaign issue. Harris criticized Trump for his opposition to the bill on the campaign trail, and promised to sign the bill into law as president.
Trump stated that if he were elected, he would increase deportations, send the U.S. military to the border, expand U.S. Immigration and Customs Enforcement detentions through workplace raids, deputize local law enforcement to handle border security, increase U.S. Customs and Border Patrol funding, as well as finish building the wall on the southern border. Trump has said he will deport both legal and illegal immigrants. The New York Times reported that Trump was considering "an extreme expansion of his first-term crackdown on immigration", such as "preparing to round up undocumented people already in the United States on a vast scale and detain them in sprawling camps while they wait to be expelled". Trump stated his intention to deport 11 million people through the construction of detention camps and deploy the military, relying on presidential wartime powers under the 18th-century Alien Enemies Act. Trump made false claims of a "migrant crime wave" that are not supported by data, and provided no evidence to back up his claims.
In regards to his anti-immigrant nativism, Trump's tone grew harsher from his previous time as president, and used fearmongering, racial stereotypes, and more dehumanizing rhetoric when referring to illegal immigrants. Trump repeatedly called some immigrants subhuman, stating they are "not human", "not people", and "animals", who will "rape, pillage, thieve, plunder and kill" American citizens, that they are "stone-cold killers", "monsters", "vile animals", "savages", and "predators" that will "walk into your kitchen, they'll cut your throat", and "grab young girls and slice them up right in front of their parents". Other rhetoric includes false statements that foreign leaders are deliberately emptying insane asylums to send "prisoners, murderers, drug dealers, mental patients, terrorists" across the southern border as migrants, that they are "building an army" of "fighting age" men to attack Americans "from within", and are the "enemy from within" who are ruining the "fabric" of the country. Since fall 2023, Trump claimed that immigrants are "poisoning the blood of our country", which drew comparisons to racial hygiene rhetoric used by White supremacists and Adolf Hitler. In the 20 rallies since Trump's debate with Harris, Politico found his rhetoric, especially around immigrants, getting darker, citing experts who found it strongly echoed authoritarian and Nazi ideology, including claims that immigrants are genetically predisposed to commit crimes and have "bad genes". Trump's comments came as part of violent, dehumanizing rhetoric Trump had increasingly used during his campaign.
Climate change
Main article: Climate change in the United States Further information: Kamala Harris 2024 presidential campaign § Climate change and energy; and Donald Trump 2024 presidential campaign § Energy, environment, and climate change See also: Environmental policy of the first Donald Trump administration, Climate change denial, and Inflation Reduction ActClimate change and energy policy played a role in the 2024 presidential campaign. In 2023, the United States saw a record in crude oil production with over 13.2 million barrels of crude per day, beating the 13 million barrels per day produced at the peak of Trump's presidency. The United States also dealt with supply shocks caused by the 2021–2024 global energy crisis due to the COVID-19 pandemic and Russian invasion of Ukraine. An advocate for environmental justice to address the impact of climate change on lower-income areas and people of color, Harris supported Biden's climate legislation. In 2022, Harris helped pass the Inflation Reduction Act, the largest investment in addressing climate change and clean energy in American history, putting the United States on track to meet emissions reduction targets by 50–52% below 2005 levels by 2030. Harris' campaign stated that she would not support a ban on fracking.
Trump ridiculed the idea of man-made climate change, and repeatedly referred to his energy policy under the mantra "drill, baby, drill". Trump said he would increase oil drilling on public lands and offer tax breaks to oil, gas, and coal producers, and stated his goal for the United States to have the lowest cost of electricity and energy of any country in the world. Trump also promised to roll back electric vehicle initiatives, proposed once again the United States withdrawal from the Paris Agreement, and rescind several environmental regulations. Trump stated his intention to roll back parts of the Inflation Reduction Act. The implementation of Trump's plans would add around 4 billion tons of carbon dioxide to the atmosphere by 2030, also having effects on the international level. If the policies do not change further, it would add 15 billion tons by 2040 and 27 billion by 2050. Although the exact calculation is difficult, researchers stated: "Regardless of the precise impact, a second Trump term that successfully dismantles Biden's climate legacy would likely end any global hopes of keeping global warming below 1.5C."
Democracy
Main articles: Attempts to overturn the 2020 United States presidential election, Democratic backsliding in the United States, and Election denial movement in the United States See also: Donald Trump 2024 presidential campaign § Authoritarian and antidemocratic statements, Donald Trump and fascism, Indictments against Donald Trump, and Project 2025 The election was the first presidential election following Trump's attempts to overturn the 2020 election and the January 6 United States Capitol attack. It also came amidst Trump's federal indictment for attempting to overturn the 2020 election and involvement in the attack and racketeering charges for attempting to overturn Biden's victory in Georgia.Polling before the election indicated profound dissatisfaction with the state of American democracy. According to an October 25 ABC/Ipsos poll, 49% of Americans saw Trump as a fascist, described as "a political extremist who seeks to act as a dictator, disregards individual rights and threatens or uses force against their opponents". Meanwhile, only 22% saw Harris as a fascist by this definition. Some Republicans were concerned that Trump's former impeachment and four criminal indictments were attempts to influence the election and keep him from office; however, there is no evidence that Trump's criminal trials were "election interference" orchestrated by Biden and the Democratic Party, and Trump also continued to repeat false claims that the 2020 election was rigged and stolen from him.
Trump's 2024 presidential campaign was criticized by legal experts, historians, and political scientists for making increasingly dehumanizing, violent, and authoritarian statements,which some believe the Trump campaign was intentionally leaning into. Trump's platform calls for the vast expansion of presidential powers and the executive branch over every part of the federal government. Trump called for stripping employment protections for thousands of career civil service employees (a provision known as Schedule F appointment that had been adopted by Trump at the end of 2020) and replacing them with political loyalists if deemed an "obstacle to his agenda" within federal agencies, the United States Intelligence Community, State Department, and Department of Defense. Trump repeatedly stated his intention to have the Justice Department investigate and arrest his domestic political rivals, judges, prosecutors, and witnesses involved in his criminal trials. Calling the January 6, 2021, Capitol attack a "day of love", Trump promised to pardon those charged for their involvement and called them "hostages" and "great, great patriots". Trump played down but did not rule out violence after the 2024 election if he were not to win, stating "it depends".
A large number of scholars, historians, commentators, former Trump officials and generals described Trump as a fascist. Trump said his political opponents are a greater threat to the United States than countries such as Russia, China, and North Korea, and urged deploying the military on American soil to fight "the enemy from within", which he describes as "radical left lunatics" and Democratic politicians such as Adam Schiff. Trump repeatedly voiced support for outlawing political dissent and criticism he considers misleading or challenges his claims to power. Trump previously tried to prosecute his political rivals and would have fewer checks on his power in a second term.
Project 2025 is a proposed plan by the Heritage Foundation to centralize power into the U.S. executive branch for conservative policies to be enacted without input from the judicial branch, legislative branch, or local government. The plan received some support from the Republican Party. The document was written in part by former members of the Trump administration, such as Russell Vought and John McEntee, while Trump stated he is unfamiliar with parts of the plan.
Harris was tasked by Biden with protecting democracy through voting rights legislation through her work on the For the People Act. Harris supported efforts to defend election workers and counter Republican efforts to restrict voting following the 2020 presidential election. Harris also stated her support to pass the Freedom to Vote Act and John Lewis Rights Voting Rights Advancement Act if elected.
Economic issues
Main article: Economy of the United States Further information: Kamala Harris 2024 presidential campaign § Economy, Donald Trump 2024 presidential campaign § Economy and trade, and U.S. federal government response to the COVID-19 pandemicVoters consistently cited the economy as their top issue in the 2024 election. Following the COVID-19 pandemic, a global surge in inflation ensued that raised prices on many goods, although the U.S. inflation rate had declined significantly during 2023 and 2024. The New York Times reported that both candidates "embraced a vision of a powerful federal government, using its muscle to intervene in markets in pursuit of a stronger and more prosperous economy". The Wall Street Journal reported that economists found Trump's proposed policies created a greater risk of stoking inflation and generating higher budget deficits, relative to the Harris plan. Twenty-three Nobel Prize-winning economists signed a letter characterizing the Harris economic plan as "vastly superior" to the Trump plan. Trump's designated government efficiency leader Elon Musk said in October that he expected Trump's plan would involve more than $2 trillion in federal spending cuts and would cause "some temporary hardship." Harris ran on a pro-union platform. She promoted the passage of the Infrastructure Investment and Jobs Act, funding for small business, and previously supported an act as senator to provide a $6,000 tax credit for middle and low-income families. Harris promised to address price gouging, bring down costs, ban hidden fees and late charges from financial institutions, limit "unfair" rent increases and cap prescription drug costs, which she said would "lower costs and save many middle-class families thousands of dollars a year".
The New York Times described Harris' economic policy as embracing "the idea that the federal government must act aggressively to foster competition and correct distortions in private markets". Harris proposed raising taxes on corporations and high-earners to fund services for the lower and middle classes and reduce the deficit. Harris stated she supported increasing the top tier capital gains tax rate to 28%, up from 20% and lower than Biden's proposed 39.6%. Harris stated her support for a Billionaire Minimum Income Tax, increasing the tax on stock buybacks to 4%, and a ten-fold tax reduction for small business ranging from $5,000 to $50,000 in relief. Harris also supported efforts to create a tax on unrealized gains for those with more than a $100 million in net worth if they do not pay a minimum 25% tax rate on their income inclusive of unrealized gains so long as 80% of said wealth is in tradeable assets. The plan would impact a small percentage of the wealthy in the United States, and Axios reported most tech founders and investors would be spared. Harris also announced support for restoring the corporate tax rate to 28% among several other tax proposals to raise taxes and close loopholes for corporations and the wealthy that would bring in $5 trillion in additional revenue over 10 years. Harris proposed tax breaks to companies delivering economic benefit, such as manufacturing technologies that mitigate climate change and building affordable housing, and proposed a ban on corporate price gouging to "help the food industry become more competitive". Harris also expressed support for student debt relief, and said she supported raising the minimum wage.
In response to the housing crisis in the United States, Harris said she would increase home construction to reduce housing costs, arguing that it negatively impacts the economy and hurts working-class families. Harris proposed directing $40 billion to construction companies to build starter homes, and promised to send $25,000 in down-payment assistance to every first time home buyer. Harris said she would urge Congress to enforce fair housing laws and pass a bill to bar property owners from using services that "coordinate" rents through the passage of the Preventing the Algorithmic Facilitation of Rental Housing Cartels Act, and also call on Congress to pass the Stop Predatory Investing Act by removing tax benefits to Wall Street firms that buy up large numbers of single-family homes. Trump proposed further individual and corporate tax cuts beyond the 2017 Tax Cuts and Jobs Act. Trump argued that keeping taxes low for the wealthy increases job creation, and that these policies coupled with a crackdown in illegal immigration and reduction in inflation would help the middle class. Trump said he would reduce regulation of business through the creation of an efficiency commission led by Musk, along with reducing environmental regulation. By October 2024, Musk was Trump's second-largest individual campaign donor. Trump said deporting millions of immigrants would bring housing prices down, although most economists argue it could raise prices by removing construction workers who use less real estate. Trump and Harris support not taxing tips for at least hospitality and service workers. Trump suggested that he would abolish the federal income tax and replace it with tariffs. In June 2024, Trump discussed the idea of eliminating the income tax in a private meeting with Republican politicians. In October 2024, Trump suggested that he would scrap the income tax if he wins, pointing out that tariffs were the main sources of revenue in the 19th century.
Trump's stated trade policy involves the United States decoupling from the global economy and having the country become more self-contained and exerting its power through individual trade dealings. This would be attempted largely through a universal baseline tariff, set from 10% to 20% on all imports, with increased penalties if trade partners manipulate their currency or engage in unfair trade practices. Trump called for 100% tariffs on cars made outside the United States and a minimum 60% tariff on Chinese goods. Trump stated his plans to urge Congress to pass a Trump Reciprocal Trade Act to bestow presidential authority to impose a reciprocal tariff on any country that imposed one on the United States. The Washington Post reported in January 2024 that Trump was preparing for a massive trade war. Trump's trade policies were described as protectionist, neo-mercantilist, or autarkist, and increasing inflation became a more common critique of Trump's economic plans. In June 2024, 16 Nobel Prize in Economics laureates signed an open letter arguing that Trump's fiscal and trade policies coupled with efforts to limit the Federal Reserve's independence would reignite inflation in the United States. Moody's, as well as most economists surveyed by The Wall Street Journal in July 2024, predicted that inflation would be worse under Trump than Biden, a result due in part to tariffs, a crack down on illegal immigration, and larger deficits. Trump incorrectly insisted foreign exporters pay tariffs imposed by the U.S. government; American importers pay tariffs on goods upon arrival at U.S. ports, meaning tariffs are taxes that raise prices for imported products Americans buy. One non-partisan analysis estimated the proposed tariffs would cost $1,700 per year for the average household. The China–United States trade war Trump initiated in 2018 by imposing tariffs on China was widely characterized as a failure for the United States by the end of Trump's presidency. The Committee for a Responsible Federal Budget found that Trump's plans would grow the national debt at roughly twice the rate of Harris' plan, while the Institute on Taxation and Economic Policy found Trump's plan would only benefit the top 5% of earners.
Education
Main article: Education in the United States Further information: Donald Trump 2024 presidential campaign § Education, 2020s controversies around critical race theory, and Parental rights movementTrump pledged to terminate the U.S. Department of Education, claiming it has been infiltrated by "radical zealots and Marxists". At the American Federation of Teachers national convention, Harris attacked recent efforts to ban books in school libraries. She also previously called for raising teachers' wages.
Healthcare issues
Further information: Kamala Harris 2024 presidential campaign § Healthcare, and Donald Trump 2024 presidential campaign § Healthcare and social servicesUnlike previous elections, healthcare reform played a much more minor role in the 2024 presidential election. Harris stated that she no longer supported a single-payer healthcare system as she had in 2020. Instead, she said she intended to protect and expand items legislated during the Obama and Biden administrations. She said she would "maintain and grow" the Affordable Care Act, while Trump said that he would replace it with his own healthcare plan. Harris also supported limiting yearly out-of-pocket drug costs for seniors, and expanding the $35 cap on insulin for seniors on Medicare to younger individuals in the program as well. Generally, both candidates supported using the government to rein in prescription drug costs. Trump suggested he was open to cutting entitlement programs, such as Social Security and Medicare, part of an effort to " waste" as described by his campaign. During his first term, several budget proposals did suggest cuts to the programs. Additionally, Vance and Speaker of the House Mike Johnson suggested cuts to the ACA, including around pre-existing conditions, were part of Trump's plan. After Robert F. Kennedy Jr. dropped out of the race and endorsed Trump, Kennedy advocated for his "Make America Healthy Again" agenda, pledging to combat the upward trend in chronic disease patients, with Trump saying Kennedy would "go wild" regarding policy on food and medicines.
Foreign policy
Further information: Donald Trump 2024 presidential campaign § Foreign policy, and Kamala Harris 2024 presidential campaign § Foreign policyThe Russian invasion of Ukraine, the Israel–Hamas war, and Chinese expansionism were some of the main foreign policy issues of the election. Harris signaled she would generally follow Biden's foreign policy on NATO and Ukraine, supporting both in the aftermath of the Russian invasion. A supporter of the two-state solution to the Israeli-Palestinian conflict, Harris was expected to continue Biden's approach; she was seen as tougher on Israel and more sympathetic to Palestinians than Biden or Trump. Harris advocated for "de-risking" from China, a policy that encourages reducing Western economic dependence on China. Harris was expected to continue deepening American alliances in Asia and the Pacific with the intention of curbing China's rising power both economically and militarily.
Trump's 2024 campaign promoted an isolationist foreign policy based on "America First". Trump said that America's allies "treat us actually worse than our so-called enemies", and added: "We protect them and then they screw us on trade." He also vowed to impose tariffs on trade partners; economists said this could spark trade wars. He promised to "fundamentally reevaluate" NATO, shifting the country's defense spending from Europe towards Asia. Although NATO members are obliged to defend any other member who is attacked, Trump said he would encourage Russia to "do whatever the hell they want" to NATO allies that did not spend enough on defense. NATO Secretary-General Jens Stoltenberg responded: "Any suggestion that allies will not defend each other undermines all of our security." Trump vowed that even before he was inaugurated, he would negotiate an end to the Russo-Ukrainian War in one day, He promised to quickly cut the amount of military and financial aid to Ukraine, and make Europeans reimburse the United States the cost of rebuilding its old stockpiles; however, most of the money for Ukraine actually goes to American factories that make weapons and military equipment. Trump previously said he might recognize Russia's illegal annexation of Crimea, and suggested the 2022 invasion could have been prevented by Ukraine giving up parts of its own country to Russia. Trump was seen as more pro-Israel and less sympathetic to Palestine than Biden or Harris. Trump promised a tougher stance against China, and at the same time questioned whether the United States should defend Taiwan. Trump suggested withdrawing troops from South Korea if it does not pay more to support American troops there.
Israel–Hamas war views
Further information: Israel–Hamas war protest vote movements and Israel–Hamas war protests in the United StatesPolling indicated that the majority of voters support a ceasefire and American mediation in the Israel–Hamas war. According to a YouGov poll in March 2024, 52% of Americans supported stopping weapons shipments to Israel, coming largely from Americans who voted for Biden in 2020 (62% support) and people who did not vote in 2020 (60%). Republicans opposed halting weapons shipments by 25 points. Republicans generally supported arms to Israel, while Democrats were divided on the issue.
Harris was expected to largely continue Biden's approach to the Israeli–Palestinian conflict, although she is seen as tougher on Israel and more sympathetic to Palestinians than Biden or Trump. Following the 2023 Hamas-led attack on Israel, Harris at first supported Israel's offensive, saying "the threat Hamas poses to the people of Israel must be eliminated". Since then, she criticized Israel's actions and the Gaza humanitarian crisis. In March 2024, Harris opposed Israel's invasion of Rafah, called for an immediate ceasefire in Gaza, and called the situation in Gaza a "humanitarian catastrophe". Harris supported continued aid to Israel and Palestine but insisted that Israel should agree to a ceasefire and hostage deal and both sides should move towards a two-state solution. In the Democratic primaries, the Uncommitted National Movement led a protest campaign against Biden over the war, calling for a ceasefire and arms embargo on Israel. It received over 700,000 votes and 36 delegates. Harris was seen as more sympathetic to Palestinians, and she and her campaign interacted more with Arab-American and Uncommitted leaders; however, Harris refused to halt weapons shipments to Israel or shift policy much from Biden, saying Israel has a right to defend itself. By October, Uncommitted encouraged its members to vote for Harris.
During his first term as president, Trump brought in more pro-Israel policies than any president before. He presented himself as a stronger defender of Israel, and was seen as less sympathetic to Palestine than Biden or Harris. Trump is expected to continue arming Israel, likely with "no strings attached" for humanitarian concerns. He voiced strong support for Israel's war on Hamas and Gaza, saying that Israel must "finish the problem". Trump told donors he would "crush" pro-Palestinian protests, deport non-citizen protesters, and "set the movement back 25 or 30 years". Trump said he would ban Gaza residents from entering the United States. At times, he was critical of Israel's war in Gaza, saying Israel should "get it over with ... get back to peace and stop killing people".
LGBTQ rights
Main articles: LGBTQ rights in the United States and Transgender rights in the United States Further information: Kamala Harris 2024 presidential campaign § LGBTQ rights, Donald Trump 2024 presidential campaign § LGBTQ rights and civil rights, and 2020s anti-LGBTQ movement in the United StatesIn the 2020s, conservative politicians in state legislatures introduced a growing number of bills that restrict the rights of LGBTQ people, especially transgender people. A strong supporter of LGBTQ people's rights, Harris denounced legislative attacks on transgender rights in states across the country. Trump promised to roll back policies regarding transgender individuals. Trump stated he would rescind Biden's Title IX protections "on day one" for transgender students using bathrooms, locker rooms, and pronouns that align with their gender identities. Trump stated he would enact a federal law that would recognize only two genders and claimed that being transgender is a concept only recently manufactured by "the radical left". Trump pledged "severe consequences" for teachers who "suggest to a child that they could be trapped in the wrong body". Trump previously withdrew Title IX provisions that allowed transgender youth to have access to the bathrooms of their choice, and he attempted to roll-back several transgender-related policies in the Affordable Care Act. Trump repeated a false claim that children undergo transgender surgery while at school, without parental knowledge or consent.
Exit poll
Response category | Trump | Harris | % of total vote |
---|---|---|---|
Biden job approval | |||
Strongly disapprove | 94 | 4 | 45 |
Somewhat disapprove | 42 | 54 | 14 |
Somewhat approve | 4 | 95 | 24 |
Strongly approve | 1 | 98 | 15 |
Feeling about the way things are going in U.S. | |||
Angry | 73 | 26 | 31 |
Dissatisfied | 55 | 42 | 42 |
Satisfied | 16 | 83 | 19 |
Enthusiastic | 9 | 91 | 6 |
America's best days are | |||
In the future | 40 | 58 | 61 |
In the past | 67 | 31 | 34 |
Quality of candidate that mattered most | |||
Has ability to lead | 66 | 33 | 30 |
Can bring needed change | 74 | 24 | 28 |
Has good judgment | 15 | 83 | 20 |
Cares about people like me | 25 | 72 | 18 |
Vote for president mainly | |||
For your candidate | 55 | 44 | 73 |
Against their opponent | 36 | 60 | 24 |
Candidate viewed as too extreme | |||
Trump is too extreme | 2 | 97 | 45 |
Harris is too extreme | 99 | 1 | 39 |
Both Harris and Trump are too extreme | 67 | 22 | 8 |
Neither Harris or Trump is too extreme | 67 | 27 | 4 |
Decided on presidential vote | |||
Before September | 51 | 49 | 80 |
In September | 46 | 52 | 6 |
In October | 42 | 49 | 5 |
In last week | 56 | 42 | 3 |
In last few days | 47 | 42 | 3 |
Issue regarded as most important | |||
Democracy | 18 | 80 | 34 |
Economy | 81 | 18 | 32 |
Abortion | 24 | 76 | 14 |
Immigration | 89 | 9 | 12 |
Foreign policy | 56 | 39 | 4 |
Democracy threatened in the United States | |||
Democracy in U.S. very threatened | 52 | 47 | 39 |
Democracy in U.S. somewhat threatened | 48 | 50 | 34 |
Democracy in U.S. somewhat secure | 47 | 50 | 17 |
Democracy in U.S. very secure | 54 | 44 | 8 |
Confident election being conducted fairly and accurately | |||
Very confident | 13 | 84 | 35 |
Somewhat confident | 59 | 39 | 32 |
Not very confident | 82 | 16 | 21 |
Not at all confident | 80 | 18 | 10 |
Concerned about violence as result of election | |||
Yes | 42 | 56 | 70 |
No | 69 | 29 | 28 |
Condition of the nation's economy | |||
Poor | 88 | 10 | 33 |
Not so good | 52 | 46 | 35 |
Good | 7 | 92 | 27 |
Excellent | 11 | 89 | 5 |
Family's financial situation today | |||
Worse than four years ago | 82 | 16 | 47 |
About the same | 27 | 71 | 29 |
Better than four years ago | 14 | 83 | 24 |
Inflation caused family hardship within past year | |||
Severe hardship | 76 | 23 | 22 |
Moderate hardship | 52 | 46 | 53 |
No hardship | 21 | 78 | 24 |
Candidate trusted more to handle the economy | |||
Trump | 93 | 5 | 53 |
Harris | 1 | 98 | 46 |
Abortion should be | |||
Legal in all cases | 9 | 88 | 33 |
Legal in most cases | 49 | 49 | 33 |
Illegal in most cases | 92 | 7 | 25 |
Illegal in all cases | 88 | 11 | 5 |
Candidate trusted more to handle abortion | |||
Trump | 96 | 2 | 46 |
Harris | 5 | 93 | 49 |
Opinion of Supreme Court | |||
Approve | 85 | 14 | 36 |
Disapprove | 27 | 72 | 59 |
Most undocumented immigrants in the U.S. should be | |||
Offered chance at legal status | 22 | 76 | 56 |
Deported | 87 | 11 | 40 |
Candidate trusted more to handle immigration | |||
Trump | 91 | 7 | 53 |
Harris | 1 | 97 | 44 |
U.S. support for Israel is | |||
Too strong | 30 | 67 | 31 |
About right | 39 | 60 | 30 |
Not strong enough | 82 | 18 | 31 |
Candidate trusted more to handle crime and safety | |||
Trump | 95 | 4 | 52 |
Harris | 1 | 98 | 47 |
Candidate trusted more to handle a crisis | |||
Trump | 95 | 3 | 51 |
Harris | 1 | 97 | 47 |
Third-party and independent candidates
Main article: Third-party and independent candidates for the 2024 United States presidential electionA number of independent candidates announced presidential runs, most notably Robert F. Kennedy Jr. and Cornel West. Several third parties, including the Libertarian Party, the Green Party, the Party for Socialism and Liberation, the Constitution Party, and the American Solidarity Party also announced presidential nominees. Kennedy dropped out of the race in August 2024, although he remained on the ballot in many states. The No Labels organization abandoned its efforts to run a centrist candidate in April 2024.
With majority ballot access
Libertarian Party
Main articles: 2024 Libertarian Party presidential primaries and Chase Oliver 2024 presidential campaignChase Oliver was chosen by the Libertarian Party as its presidential nominee on May 26, 2024, at the 2024 Libertarian National Convention. Oliver was the party's nominee in the 2022 United States Senate election in Georgia. Oliver achieved ballot access in 47 states, and was eligible to receive write-in votes in the District of Columbia, Illinois, New York, and Tennessee.
2024 Libertarian Party ticket | |
---|---|
Chase Oliver | Mike ter Maat |
for President | for Vice President |
Sales account executive from Georgia |
Economist from Virginia |
Green Party
| ||
---|---|---|
Massachusetts campaigns Presidential campaigns Political party affiliations |
||
The party's nominee in 2012 and 2016, Stein is a physician and a former member of the Lexington Town Meeting. On August 16, Stein selected academic Butch Ware as her running mate. Stein achieved ballot access in 38 states, and was eligible to receive write-in votes in seven states. She was not eligible to receive write-in votes in the remaining states or the District of Columbia.
2024 Green Party ticket | |
---|---|
Jill Stein | Butch Ware |
for President | for Vice President |
Physician from Massachusetts |
Academic from California |
With partial ballot access
These third-party candidates had ballot access in some states, but not enough to get 270 votes needed to win the presidency, without running a write-in campaign.
- American Solidarity Party: Peter Sonski, Connecticut school board member
- Approval Voting Party: Blake Huber, activist and nominee for president in 2020
- Constitution Party: Randall Terry, anti-abortion activist and perennial candidate
- Independent American Party: Joel Skousen, survivalist and consultant
- Natural Law Party: Robert F. Kennedy Jr., environmental lawyer, anti-vaccine activist, and conspiracy theorist, the party's nominee in addition to his run as an independent before he withdrew from the race ahead of the election but was not removed from ballots
- Prohibition Party: Michael Wood, businessman
- Party for Socialism and Liberation: Claudia De la Cruz, political activist
- Socialist Equality Party: Joseph Kishore, writer and SEP nominee in 2020
- Socialist Workers Party: Rachele Fruit, hotel worker and trade unionist
- Socialist Party USA: Bill Stodden, nonprofit executive
Independent candidates
The following notable individual(s) ran independently for president.
- Cornel West, academic, anti-war activist, and public intellectual, previously a People's Party and Green Party primaries candidate, who launched an independent campaign
Withdrawn candidates
The following notable individual(s) announced and then suspended their campaigns before the election:
- Robert F. Kennedy Jr., environmental lawyer, anti-vaccine activist, and conspiracy theorist, 2024 Democratic presidential candidate and 2024 independent presidential candidate (endorsed Trump)
Timeline
Main article: Timeline of the 2024 United States presidential electionOpinion polling and forecasts
Opinion polling aggregation
Main article: Nationwide opinion polling for the 2024 United States presidential election See also: Statewide opinion polling for the 2024 United States presidential electionHarris and Trump
LOESS graph of the opinion polling between Harris and Trump taken during 2024. The dashed line is when Harris became the presumptive Democratic nominee. LOESS graph of the opinion polling between Harris and Trump since the 2020 U.S. presidential election. The dashed lines are when both candidates became the presumptive nominees for their respective parties.Source of poll aggregation |
Dates administered |
Dates updated |
Kamala Harris Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Others/ Undecided |
Margin |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
270toWin | through November 4, 2024 | November 5, 2024 | 48.4% | 47.2% | 4.4% | Harris +1.2% |
538 | through November 4, 2024 | November 5, 2024 | 48.0% | 46.8% | 5.2% | Harris +1.2% |
Cook Political Report | through November 4, 2024 | November 5, 2024 | 48.7% | 47.8% | 3.5% | Harris +0.9% |
Decision Desk HQ/The Hill | through November 5, 2024 | November 5, 2024 | 48.4% | 48.4% | 3.2% | Tie |
Silver Bulletin | through November 4, 2024 | November 5, 2024 | 48.6% | 47.6% | 3.8% | Harris +1.0% |
Real Clear Politics | through November 5, 2024 | November 5, 2024 | 48.7% | 48.6% | 2.7% | Harris +0.1% |
Average | 48.5% | 47.7% | 3.8% | Harris +0.8% | ||
2024 Results | 48.3% | 49.8% | 1.9% | Trump +1.5% |
Harris vs. Trump vs. Kennedy Jr. vs. Stein vs. Oliver vs. West
Source of poll aggregation |
Dates administered |
Dates updated |
Kamala Harris Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Robert F. Kennedy Jr. Independent |
Jill Stein Green |
Chase Oliver Libertarian |
Cornel West Independent |
Others/ Undecided |
Margin |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Race to the WH | through November 3, 2024 | November 4, 2024 | 47.8% | 47.1% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 1.5% | Harris +0.7% |
270toWin | through November 4, 2024 | November 4, 2024 | 47.5% | 46.9% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 2.1% | Harris +0.6% |
Average | 47.7% | 47.0% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 1.7% | Harris +0.7% |
Electoral College forecasts
Elections analysts and political pundits issue probabilistic forecasts of the composition of the Electoral College. These forecasts use a variety of factors to estimate the likelihood of each candidate winning the Electoral College electors for that state. Most election predictors use the following ratings:
- "tossup": no advantage
- "tilt" (used by some predictors): advantage that is not quite as strong as "lean"
- "lean" or "leans": slight advantage
- "likely": significant, but surmountable, advantage
- "very likely" (used by some predictors): massive advantage that is stronger than "likely"
- "safe" or "solid": near-certain chance of victory
Below is a list of states considered by one or more forecast to be competitive; states that are deemed to be "safe" or "solid" by forecasters The Cook Political Report, Sabato's Crystal Ball, Inside Elections, CNalysis, Decision Desk HQ, and YouGov are omitted for brevity.
State | EVs | PVI |
2020 result |
2020 margin |
IE Nov 3 |
Cook Nov 4 |
CNalysis Nov 4 |
Sabato Nov 4 |
CNN Oct 8 |
DDHQ Nov 5 |
538 Nov 5 |
Economist Nov 5 |
YouGov Nov 1 |
2024 Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Colorado | 10 | D+4 | 55.4% D | 13.50% | Solid D | Solid D | Solid D | Safe D | Lean D | Likely D | Solid D | Safe D | Safe D | Harris 54.4% D |
New Mexico | 5 | D+3 | 54.3% D | 10.79% | Solid D | Likely D | Very Likely D | Likely D | Lean D | Likely D | Likely D | Likely D | Safe D | Harris 51.9% D |
Virginia | 13 | D+3 | 54.1% D | 10.11% | Likely D | Likely D | Solid D | Likely D | Lean D | Likely D | Likely D | Likely D | Safe D | Harris 51.8% D |
Maine | 2 | D+2 | 53.1% D | 9.07% | Likely D | Likely D | Solid D | Likely D | Solid D | Safe D | Likely D | Likely D | Safe D | Harris 52.4% D |
New Hampshire | 4 | D+1 | 52.7% D | 7.35% | Lean D | Likely D | Solid D | Likely D | Lean D | Likely D | Likely D | Likely D | Safe D | Harris 50.7% D |
Minnesota | 10 | D+1 | 52.4% D | 7.11% | Lean D | Likely D | Solid D | Likely D | Lean D | Lean D | Likely D | Likely D | Likely D | Harris 50.9% D |
NE–02 | 1 | EVEN | 52.0% D | 6.50% | Lean D | Likely D | Solid D | Likely D | Lean D | Likely D | Likely D | Likely D | Tossup | Harris 51.3% D |
Michigan | 15 | R+1 | 50.6% D | 2.78% | Tossup | Tossup | Likely D | Lean D | Tossup | Tossup | Lean D | Lean D | Lean D | Trump 49.7% R (flip) |
Nevada | 6 | R+1 | 50.1% D | 2.39% | Tossup | Tossup | Tilt D | Lean D | Tossup | Tossup | Tossup | Tossup | Tossup | Trump 50.7% R (flip) |
Pennsylvania | 19 | R+2 | 50.0% D | 1.16% | Tossup | Tossup | Lean D | Lean D | Tossup | Tossup | Tossup | Tossup | Tossup | Trump 50.4% R (flip) |
Wisconsin | 10 | R+2 | 49.5% D | 0.63% | Tossup | Tossup | Lean D | Lean D | Tossup | Tossup | Tossup | Tossup | Tossup | Trump 49.6% R (flip) |
Arizona | 11 | R+2 | 49.4% D | 0.31% | Tossup | Tossup | Tilt R (flip) | Lean R (flip) | Tossup | Tossup | Lean R (flip) | Lean R (flip) | Tossup | Trump 52.1% R (flip) |
Georgia | 16 | R+3 | 49.5% D | 0.24% | Tossup | Tossup | Likely D | Lean R (flip) | Tossup | Tossup | Tossup | Tossup | Tossup | Trump 50.7% R (flip) |
North Carolina | 16 | R+3 | 49.9% R | 1.35% | Tossup | Tossup | Tilt D (flip) | Lean R | Tossup | Tossup | Tossup | Tossup | Tossup | Trump 50.9% R |
Florida | 30 | R+3 | 51.2% R | 3.36% | Lean R | Likely R | Likely R | Likely R | Lean R | Likely R | Likely R | Likely R | Lean R | Trump 56.1% R |
Texas | 40 | R+5 | 52.1% R | 5.58% | Likely R | Likely R | Lean R | Likely R | Solid R | Likely R | Likely R | Likely R | Lean R | Trump 56.1% R |
ME–02 | 1 | R+6 | 52.3% R | 7.44% | Lean R | Likely R | Very Likely R | Likely R | Lean R | Likely R | Likely R | Likely R | Tossup | Trump 53.7% R |
Ohio | 17 | R+6 | 53.3% R | 8.03% | Likely R | Solid R | Likely R | Safe R | Solid R | Likely R | Likely R | Safe R | Safe R | Trump 55.1% R |
Iowa | 6 | R+6 | 53.1% R | 8.20% | Tilt R | Likely R | Tilt R | Likely R | Solid R | Likely R | Likely R | Likely R | Safe R | Trump 55.7% R |
Alaska | 3 | R+8 | 52.8% R | 10.06% | Solid R | Solid R | Very Likely R | Safe R | Solid R | Solid R | Likely R | Safe R | Safe R | Trump 54.5% R |
NE–01 | 1 | R+9 | 54.3% R | 11.00% | Solid R | Solid R | Solid R | Likely R | Solid R | Solid R | Solid R | Safe R | Safe R | Trump 55.5% R |
Kansas | 6 | R+10 | 56.14% R | 14.63% | Solid R | Solid R | Very Likely R | Safe R | Solid R | Solid R | Solid R | Safe R | Safe R | Trump 57.2% R |
Overall | D – 226 R – 219 93 tossups |
D – 226 R – 219 93 tossups |
D – 308 R – 230 0 tossups |
D – 276 R – 262 0 tossups |
D – 226 R – 219 93 tossups |
D – 226 R – 219 93 tossups |
D – 241 R – 230 67 tossups |
D – 241 R – 230 67 tossups |
D – 240 R – 218 80 tossups |
R – 312 D – 226 |
Debates
Main article: 2024 United States presidential debatesIn April 2022, the Republican National Committee voted unanimously to withdraw from the Commission on Presidential Debates (CPD). In May 2024, the Biden campaign proposed hosting two debates outside of the CPD timetable and refusing to participate in CPD-hosted debates. Biden and Trump agreed to debates on CNN on June 27 and ABC News on September 10. The Harris camp suggested that another debate could be held in October after the September 10 debate with Trump. On September 12, Trump announced that there would be no third presidential debate.
June 27 presidential debate: Biden vs. Trump
Main article: 2024 Joe Biden–Donald Trump presidential debateCNN hosted the first major debate of the election on June 27 in Atlanta, with 51 million viewers watching. Media outlets characterized Biden's debate performance as a "disaster". Some pundits noted that he frequently lost his train of thought and gave meandering, confused answers. G. Elliott Morris and Kaleigh Rogers of ABC News' 538 argued that, although he had won the debate on policy, Biden had failed to reassure voters that he was capable of serving as president for another four years. After the debate, elected officials, party strategists, and fundraisers discussed replacing Biden as the party's candidate, including whether prominent Democrats should make a public statement asking him to step aside. In response, Biden initially stated that he would not be dropping out, and prominent Democratic politicians, including Barack Obama and Hillary Clinton, reiterated their support for Biden following the debate. The debate performance led to Biden ultimately withdrawing his bid for re-election on July 21.
September 10 presidential debate: Harris vs. Trump
Further information: 2024 United States presidential debates § September 10: Second presidential debate (ABC, Philadelphia)The second presidential debate was held on Tuesday, September 10, by ABC News; 67.1 million viewers watched it. Although Trump had proposed a debate on Fox News, he later accepted the debate on ABC. The debate was held at the National Constitution Center in Philadelphia and lasted for about 100 minutes. ABC's debate topics included abortion, the economy, foreign policy, and immigration. Most news organizations declared Harris the winner of the debate, and polling showed voters thought Harris won the debate by what The Washington Post described as a "historically large" margin. During the debate, Trump made numerous false assertions and extreme statements, including false claims about immigrants eating pets and Democrats supporting infanticide. CNN found that Trump made over 30 false claims during the debate, while Harris only made one. Republicans attributed Trump's low debate performance to their perception of biased debate moderation by ABC News because the moderators fact-checked him more than four times but did not fact-check Harris.
October 1 vice presidential debate: Vance vs. Walz
Further information: 2024 United States presidential debates § October 1: Vice presidential debate (CBS, New York City)Vice presidential candidates JD Vance and Tim Walz participated in a debate hosted by CBS News on October 1 at the CBS Broadcast Center in New York City. Topics discussed during the debate included immigration, abortion, and the economy. Fact checking was primarily done online, with Vance making more false and misleading claims than Walz. Forty-three million viewers watched the debate. Many debate watchers viewed the debate as "positive" and "civil". According to polling, both candidates polled about even among viewers who were asked who won the debate, while Vance was considered the winner by a majority of columnists.
Minor debates and forums
Main article: Third-party and independent candidates for the 2024 United States presidential election § Debates and forumsVarious debates and forums were held, sponsored by the Free & Equal Elections Foundation. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. organized a separate debate, taking place during the Trump–Harris event.
Results
Electoral results
Presidential candidate | Party | Home state | Popular vote | Electoral vote |
Running mate | |||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Count | Percentage | Vice-presidential candidate | Home state | Electoral vote | ||||
Donald Trump | Republican | Florida | 77,303,573 | 49.72% | 312 | JD Vance | Ohio | 312 |
Kamala Harris | Democratic | California | 75,019,257 | 48.25% | 226 | Tim Walz | Minnesota | 226 |
Jill Stein | Green | Massachusetts | 868,945 | 0.55% | 0 | Butch Ware | California | 0 |
Robert F. Kennedy Jr. | Independent | California | 757,371 | 0.49% | 0 | Nicole Shanahan | California | 0 |
Chase Oliver | Libertarian | Georgia | 650,120 | 0.42% | 0 | Mike ter Maat | Virginia | 0 |
Other | 380,770 | 0.25% | — | Other | — | |||
Total | 155,289,257 | 100% | 538 | 538 | ||||
Needed to win | 270 | 270 |
Trump | | 49.74% | ||
Harris | | 48.27% | ||
Stein | | 0.55% | ||
Kennedy | | 0.49% | ||
Oliver | | 0.42% | ||
Others | | 0.54% |
Trump | | 57.99% | ||
Harris | | 42.01% |
Results by state
Final reports as compiled from the certified vote totals of each state or district.
States won by Trump/Vance | |
States won by Harris/Walz | |
EV | Electoral votes |
† | At-large results (for Maine and Nebraska, which both split electoral votes) |
State or district |
Trump/Vance Republican |
Harris/Walz Democratic |
Stein/Ware Green |
Kennedy/Shanahan Independent |
Oliver/Maat Libertarian |
Others | Margin | Margin swing |
Total votes | |||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Votes | % | EV | Votes | % | EV | Votes | % | EV | Votes | % | EV | Votes | % | EV | Votes | % | EV | Votes | % | % | ||
Alabama | 1,462,616 | 64.6% | 9 | 772,412 | 34.1% | – | 4,319 | 0.2% | – | 12,075 | 0.5% | – | 4,930 | 0.2% | – | 8,738 | 0.4% | – | 690,204 | 30.5% | 5.01% | 2,265,090 |
Alaska | 184,458 | 54.5% | 3 | 140,026 | 41.4% | – | 2,342 | 0.7% | – | 5,670 | 1.7% | – | 3,040 | 0.9% | – | 2,641 | 0.5% | – | 44,432 | 13.1% | 3.07% | 338,177 |
Arizona | 1,770,242 | 52.2% | 11 | 1,582,860 | 46.7% | – | 18,319 | 0.5% | – | – | – | – | 17,898 | 0.5% | – | 842 | 0.03% | – | 187,382 | 5.5% | 5.84% | 3,390,161 |
Arkansas | 759,241 | 64.2% | 6 | 396,905 | 33.6% | – | 4,275 | 0.4% | – | 13,255 | 1.1% | – | 5,715 | 0.5% | – | 3,285 | 0.3% | – | 362,336 | 30.6% | 3.02% | 1,182,676 |
California | 6,081,697 | 38.3% | – | 9,276,179 | 58.5% | 54 | 167,814 | 1.1% | – | 197,645 | 1.2% | – | 66,662 | 0.4% | – | 75,478 | 0.5% | – | −3,194,482 | −20.2% | 9.02% | 15,865,475 |
Colorado | 1,377,441 | 43.1% | – | 1,728,159 | 54.1% | 10 | 17,344 | 0.5% | – | 35,623 | 1.1% | – | 21,439 | 0.7% | – | 12,739 | 0.4% | – | −350,718 | −11.0% | 2.52% | 3,192,745 |
Connecticut | 736,918 | 41.9% | – | 992,053 | 56.4% | 7 | 14,281 | 0.8% | – | 8,448 | 0.5% | – | 6,729 | 0.4% | – | 581 | 0.04% | – | −255,135 | −14.5% | 5.56% | 1,759,010 |
Delaware | 214,351 | 41.8% | – | 289,758 | 56.5% | 3 | 914 | 0.2% | – | 4,636 | 0.9% | – | 2,038 | 0.4% | – | 1,215 | 0.2% | – | −75,407 | −14.7% | 4.27% | 512,912 |
District of Columbia | 21,076 | 6.5% | – | 294,185 | 90.3% | 3 | – | – | – | 2,778 | 0.9% | – | – | – | – | 7,830 | 2.4% | – | −273,109 | −83.8% | 2.94% | 325,869 |
Florida | 6,110,125 | 56.1% | 30 | 4,683,038 | 43.0% | – | 43,155 | 0.4% | – | – | – | – | 31,972 | 0.3% | – | 25,462 | 0.2% | – | 1,427,087 | 13.1% | 9.74% | 10,893,752 |
Georgia | 2,663,117 | 50.7% | 16 | 2,548,017 | 48.5% | – | 18,229 | 0.4% | – | – | – | – | 20,684 | 0.4% | – | – | – | – | 115,100 | 2.2% | 2.44% | 5,250,047 |
Hawaii | 193,661 | 37.5% | – | 313,044 | 60.6% | 4 | 4,387 | 0.8% | – | – | – | – | 2,733 | 0.5% | – | 2,876 | 0.6% | – | −119,383 | −22.8% | 6.35% | 516,701 |
Idaho | 605,246 | 66.9% | 4 | 274,972 | 30.4% | – | 2,973 | 0.3% | – | 12,812 | 1.4% | – | 4,462 | 0.5% | – | 4,347 | 0.5% | – | 330,274 | 36.5% | 5.72% | 904,812 |
Illinois | 2,449,079 | 43.5% | – | 3,062,863 | 54.4% | 19 | 31,023 | 0.6% | – | 80,426 | 1.4% | – | 3,510 | 0.1% | – | 6,409 | 0.1% | – | −613,784 | −10.9% | 6.09% | 5,633,310 |
Indiana | 1,720,347 | 58.8% | 11 | 1,153,603 | 39.4% | – | – | – | – | 29,325 | 1.0% | – | 20,425 | 0.7% | – | 2,905 | 0.1% | – | 566,744 | 19.4% | 3.30% | 2,926,605 |
Iowa | 927,019 | 55.7% | 6 | 707,278 | 42.5% | – | – | – | – | 13,122 | 0.8% | – | 7,218 | 0.4% | – | 8,869 | 0.5% | – | 219,741 | 13.2% | 5.01% | 1,663,506 |
Kansas | 758,802 | 57.2% | 6 | 544,853 | 41.0% | – | – | – | – | 16,322 | 1.2% | – | 7,614 | 0.6% | – | – | – | – | 213,949 | 16.2% | 1.48% | 1,327,591 |
Kentucky | 1,337,494 | 64.5% | 8 | 704,043 | 33.9% | – | 7,566 | 0.4% | – | 16,769 | 0.8% | – | 6,422 | 0.3% | – | 2,236 | 0.1% | – | 633,451 | 30.5% | 4.56% | 2,074,530 |
Louisiana | 1,208,505 | 60.2% | 8 | 766,870 | 38.2% | – | 7,138 | 0.4% | – | 6,641 | 0.3% | – | 6,835 | 0.3% | – | 10,986 | 0.6% | – | 441,635 | 22.0% | 3.40% | 2,006,975 |
Maine † | 377,977 | 45.5% | – | 435,652 | 52.4% | 2 | 8,967 | 1.1% | – | – | – | – | 5,286 | 0.6% | – | 3,493 | 0.4% | – | −57,675 | −6.9% | 2.13% | 831,375 |
ME-1Tooltip Maine's 1st congressional district | 165,214 | 38.1% | – | 258,863 | 59.7% | 1 | 4,828 | 1.1% | – | – | – | – | 2,802 | 0.6% | – | 1,984 | 0.5% | – | −93,649 | −21.6% | 1.50% | 433,691 |
ME-2Tooltip Maine's 2nd congressional district | 212,763 | 53.4% | 1 | 176,789 | 44.4% | – | 4,139 | 1.0% | – | – | – | – | 2,484 | 0.6% | – | 1,991 | 0.5% | – | 35,974 | 9.0% | 1.60% | 398,166 |
Maryland | 1,035,550 | 34.1% | – | 1,902,577 | 62.6% | 10 | 33,134 | 1.1% | – | 28,819 | 1.0% | – | 15,570 | 0.5% | – | 22,684 | 0.7% | – | −867,027 | −28.5% | 4.67% | 3,038,334 |
Massachusetts | 1,251,303 | 36.0% | – | 2,126,518 | 61.2% | 11 | 26,545 | 0.8% | – | – | – | – | 17,735 | 0.5% | – | 51,567 | 1.5% | – | −875,215 | −25.2% | 8.26% | 3,473,668 |
Michigan | 2,816,636 | 49.7% | 15 | 2,736,533 | 48.3% | – | 44,607 | 0.8% | – | 26,785 | 0.5% | – | 22,440 | 0.4% | – | 17,185 | 0.3% | – | 80,103 | 1.4% | 4.20% | 5,664,186 |
Minnesota | 1,519,032 | 46.7% | – | 1,656,979 | 50.9% | 10 | 16,275 | 0.5% | – | 24,001 | 0.7% | – | 15,155 | 0.5% | – | 22,478 | 0.7% | – | −137,947 | −4.2% | 2.87% | 3,253,920 |
Mississippi | 747,744 | 60.9% | 6 | 466,668 | 38.0% | – | 1,873 | 0.2% | – | 5,387 | 0.4% | – | 2,536 | 0.2% | – | 3,800 | 0.3% | – | 281,076 | 22.9% | 6.34% | 1,228,008 |
Missouri | 1,751,986 | 58.5% | 10 | 1,200,599 | 40.1% | – | 17,135 | 0.6% | – | – | – | – | 23,876 | 0.8% | – | 1,731 | 0.1% | – | 551,387 | 18.4% | 3.02% | 2,995,327 |
Montana | 352,079 | 58.4% | 4 | 231,906 | 38.5% | – | 2,878 | 0.5% | – | 11,825 | 2.0% | – | 4,275 | 0.7% | – | 21 | 0.004% | – | 120,173 | 19.9% | 3.56% | 602,984 |
Nebraska † | 564,816 | 59.3% | 2 | 369,995 | 38.9% | – | 2,887 | 0.3% | – | – | – | – | 6,399 | 0.7% | – | 8,085 | 0.9% | – | 194,821 | 20.4% | 1.40% | 952,182 |
NE-1Tooltip Nebraska's 1st congressional district | 177,666 | 55.5% | 1 | 136,153 | 42.5% | – | 1,011 | 0.3% | – | – | – | – | 2,420 | 0.8% | – | 2,944 | 0.9% | – | 41,513 | 13.0% | -1.95% | 320,194 |
NE-2Tooltip Nebraska's 2nd congressional district | 148,905 | 46.7% | – | 163,541 | 51.3% | 1 | 1,110 | 0.4% | – | – | – | – | 2,001 | 0.6% | – | 3,089 | 1.0% | – | -14,636 | -4.6% | 1.91% | 318,646 |
NE-3Tooltip Nebraska's 3rd congressional district | 238,245 | 76.0% | 1 | 70,301 | 22.4% | – | 766 | 0.3% | – | – | – | – | 1,978 | 0.6% | – | 2,052 | 0.7% | – | 167,944 | 53.6% | 0.57% | 313,342 |
Nevada | 751,205 | 50.6% | 6 | 705,197 | 47.5% | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 6,059 | 0.4% | – | 22,379 | 1.5% | – | 46,008 | 3.1% | 5.49% | 1,484,840 |
New Hampshire | 395,523 | 47.9% | – | 418,488 | 50.7% | 4 | 3,680 | 0.5% | – | – | – | – | 4,425 | 0.5% | – | 4,073 | 0.5% | – | −22,965 | −2.8% | 4.57% | 826,189 |
New Jersey | 1,968,215 | 46.1% | – | 2,220,713 | 52.0% | 14 | 39,041 | 0.9% | – | 23,479 | 0.6% | – | 10,500 | 0.3% | – | 10,777 | 0.3% | – | −252,498 | −5.9% | 10.03% | 4,272,725 |
New Mexico | 423,391 | 45.9% | – | 478,802 | 51.9% | 5 | 4,611 | 0.5% | – | 9,553 | 1.0% | – | 3,745 | 0.4% | – | 3,301 | 0.4% | – | −55,411 | −6.0% | 4.79% | 923,403 |
New York | 3,578,899 | 43.3% | – | 4,619,195 | 55.9% | 28 | 46,698 | 0.6% | – | – | – | – | 5,338 | 0.1% | – | 12,365 | 0.2% | – | −1,040,296 | −12.6% | 10.72% | 8,262,495 |
North Carolina | 2,898,424 | 50.9% | 16 | 2,715,378 | 47.7% | – | 24,762 | 0.4% | – | – | – | – | 22,125 | 0.4% | – | 38,456 | 0.7% | – | 183,046 | 3.2% | 1.86% | 5,699,145 |
North Dakota | 246,505 | 67.0% | 3 | 112,327 | 30.5% | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 6,227 | 1.7% | – | 3,096 | 0.8% | – | 134,178 | 36.5% | 3.11% | 368,155 |
Ohio | 3,180,116 | 55.1% | 17 | 2,533,699 | 43.9% | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 28,200 | 0.5% | – | 25,773 | 0.5% | – | 646,417 | 11.2% | 3.18% | 5,767,788 |
Oklahoma | 1,036,213 | 66.2% | 7 | 499,599 | 31.9% | – | – | – | – | 16,020 | 1.0% | – | 9,198 | 0.6% | – | 5,143 | 0.3% | – | 536,614 | 34.3% | 1.17% | 1,566,173 |
Oregon | 919,480 | 41.0% | – | 1,240,600 | 55.3% | 8 | 19,099 | 0.9% | – | 33,733 | 1.5% | – | 9,061 | 0.4% | – | 22,520 | 1.0% | – | −321,120 | −14.3% | 1.79% | 2,244,493 |
Pennsylvania | 3,543,308 | 50.4% | 19 | 3,423,042 | 48.7% | – | 34,538 | 0.5% | – | – | – | – | 33,318 | 0.5% | – | – | – | – | 120,266 | 1.7% | 2.87% | 7,034,206 |
Rhode Island | 214,406 | 41.8% | – | 285,156 | 55.5% | 4 | 2,900 | 0.6% | – | 5,045 | 1.0% | – | 1,617 | 0.3% | – | 4,262 | 0.8% | – | −70,750 | −13.7% | 6.99% | 513,386 |
South Carolina | 1,483,747 | 58.2% | 9 | 1,028,452 | 40.4% | – | 8,117 | 0.3% | – | – | – | – | 12,669 | 0.5% | – | 15,155 | 0.6% | – | 455,295 | 17.8% | 6.19% | 2,548,140 |
South Dakota | 272,081 | 63.4% | 3 | 146,859 | 34.2% | – | – | – | – | 7,204 | 1.7% | – | 2,778 | 0.7% | – | – | – | – | 125,222 | 29.2% | 3.03% | 428,922 |
Tennessee | 1,966,865 | 64.2% | 11 | 1,056,265 | 34.5% | – | 8,967 | 0.3% | – | 21,535 | 0.7% | – | – | – | – | 10,310 | 0.3% | – | 910,600 | 29.7% | 6.51% | 3,063,942 |
Texas | 6,393,597 | 56.1% | 40 | 4,835,250 | 42.5% | – | 82,701 | 0.7% | – | – | – | – | 68,557 | 0.6% | – | 8,569 | 0.1% | – | 1,558,347 | 13.6% | 8.10% | 11,388,674 |
Utah | 883,818 | 59.4% | 6 | 562,566 | 37.8% | – | 8,222 | 0.6% | – | – | – | – | 16,902 | 1.1% | – | 16,502 | 1.1% | – | 321,252 | 21.6% | 1.10% | 1,488,043 |
Vermont | 119,395 | 32.0% | – | 235,791 | 63.2% | 3 | – | – | – | 5,905 | 1.6% | – | 1,828 | 0.5% | – | 6,503 | 1.8% | – | −116,396 | −31.2% | 3.90% | 369,422 |
Virginia | 2,075,085 | 46.1% | – | 2,335,395 | 51.8% | 13 | 34,888 | 0.8% | – | – | – | – | 19,814 | 0.4% | – | 40,759 | 0.9% | – | −260,310 | −5.7% | 4.33% | 4,505,941 |
Washington | 1,530,923 | 39.0% | – | 2,245,849 | 57.2% | 12 | 29,754 | 0.8% | – | 54,868 | 1.4% | – | 16,428 | 0.4% | – | 46,421 | 1.2% | – | −714,926 | −18.2% | 0.98% | 3,924,243 |
West Virginia | 533,556 | 70.0% | 4 | 214,309 | 28.1% | – | 2,531 | 0.3% | – | 8,947 | 1.2% | – | 3,047 | 0.4% | – | 194 | 0.03% | – | 319,247 | 41.9% | 2.94% | 762,584 |
Wisconsin | 1,697,626 | 49.6% | 10 | 1,668,229 | 48.7% | – | 12,275 | 0.4% | – | 17,740 | 0.5% | – | 10,511 | 0.3% | – | 16,537 | 0.5% | – | 29,397 | 0.9% | 1.49% | 3,422,918 |
Wyoming | 192,633 | 71.6% | 3 | 69,527 | 25.8% | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 4,193 | 1.6% | – | 2,695 | 1.0% | – | 123,106 | 45.8% | 2.38% | 269,048 |
Total | 77,303,574 | 49.81% | 312 | 75,019,230 | 48.33% | 226 | 861,486 | 0.56% | – | 756,393 | 0.49% | – | 650,228 | 0.42% | – | 624,343 | 0.40% | – | 2,284,336 | 1.48% | 5.93% | 155,204,384 |
Trump/Vance Republican |
Harris/Walz Democratic |
Stein/Ware Green |
Kennedy/Shanahan Independent |
Oliver/Maat Libertarian |
Others | Margin | Margin swing |
Total votes |
States that flipped from Democratic to Republican
Territorial straw polls
Non-binding straw polls on the day of the Presidential general election to gauge the preference for President were held in the US territories of Guam and Puerto Rico. These polls, however, have no official say in the election.
Winners of the territory are in bold.
Territory | Winner | Runner-up | Other candidate | Ref. | |||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Candidate | Votes | % | Candidate | Votes | % | Candidate | Votes | % | |||||
Guam | Kamala Harris (D) | 13,510 | 49.46 | Donald Trump (R)‡ | 12,624 | 46.22 | Robert F. Kennedy Jr. (I) | 938 | 3.43 | ||||
Puerto Rico | Kamala Harris (D) | 724,947 | 63.62 | Donald Trump (R)‡ | 263,270 | 23.10 | Write in candidates | 18,285 | 1.60 |
Close states
States where the margin of victory was under 1% (10 electoral votes; all won by Trump):
- Wisconsin, 0.87% (29,397 votes) – 10 electoral votes
States where the margin of victory was between 1% and 5% (87 electoral votes; 72 won by Trump, 15 won by Harris):
- Michigan, 1.41% (80,103 votes) – 15 electoral votes
- Pennsylvania, 1.71% (120,266 votes) – 19 electoral votes (tipping-point state)
- Georgia, 2.20% (115,100 votes) – 16 electoral votes
- New Hampshire, 2.78% (22,965 votes) – 4 electoral votes
- Nevada, 3.10% (46,008 votes) – 6 electoral votes
- North Carolina, 3.21% (183,046 votes) – 16 electoral votes
- Minnesota, 4.24% (137,947 votes) – 10 electoral votes
- Nebraska's 2nd congressional district, 4.59% (14,636 votes) – 1 electoral vote
States/districts where the margin of victory was between 5% and 10% (46 electoral votes; 12 won by Trump, 34 by Harris):
- Arizona, 5.53% (187,382 votes) – 11 electoral votes
- Virginia, 5.78% (260,310 votes) – 13 electoral votes
- New Jersey, 5.91% (252,498 votes) – 14 electoral votes
- New Mexico, 6.00% (55,411 votes) – 5 electoral votes
- Maine, 6.94% (57,514 votes) – 2 electoral votes
- Maine's 2nd congressional district, 9.03% (33,297 votes) – 1 electoral vote
Red denotes states or congressional districts won by Republican Donald Trump; Blue denotes those won by Democrat Kamala Harris.
County statistics
Counties with highest percentage of Democratic vote:
- Washington, D.C. – 90.27%
- Prince George's County, Maryland – 86.04%
- Petersburg, Virginia – 85.52%
- Baltimore, Maryland – 84.55%
- Clayton County, Georgia – 84.31%
Counties with highest percentage of Republican vote:
- Grant County, Nebraska – 95.90%
- Roberts County, Texas – 95.63%
- Borden County, Texas – 95.61%
- King County, Texas – 95.56%
- Hayes County, Nebraska – 95.55%
Maps
- Results of Electoral College votes won by each state and the District of Columbia.
- Results by vote share in each state. Darker shades denote a higher vote share for the winning candidate. This map does not depict the results in Maine or Nebraska's congressional districts, which vote by congressional district and not at-large.
- A discontinuous cartogram of state results, scaled by their Electoral College contribution.
- Results by county, shaded by winner.
- Results by county, shaded by winner's vote share.
- Results by margin of victory in each state.
- Swing in county margins from 2020 to 2024 presidential election.
- Trend in county margins from 2020 to 2024 presidential election..
- Results by congressional district, shaded by winner.
Analysis of results
As of 2024, Trump was the eighth presidential nominee to win non-faithless electoral votes in at least three elections, after Thomas Jefferson, Henry Clay, Andrew Jackson, Grover Cleveland, William Jennings Bryan, Franklin D. Roosevelt, and Richard Nixon. Nixon and Trump are the only presidential candidates to win a significant number of electoral votes in three presidential elections since term limits were enacted with the ratification of the Twenty-second Amendment; Trump is the only one of those eight that won the popular vote exactly once (Clay and Bryan never won it). Trump is also the first president since Cleveland in 1892 to win non-consecutive terms, and the only president to win non-consecutive terms since the ratification of the Twenty-second Amendment, as well as the first Republican to do so. Trump is the first Republican since George W. Bush in 2004 to win the popular vote, the same year a Republican last secured a second term. Trump is the first non-incumbent Republican to have won the popular vote since George H. W. Bush in 1988. Trump improved his percentage of the vote in every state and DC compared to the 2020 election; 2024 was the first presidential election since 1976 in which all 50 states and DC shifted to the same party. Trump numerically performed with 49.8% of the vote, one of the smallest margins of victory since 1888, with his 1.48% victory smaller than every winning president other than two: John F. Kennedy in 1960 and Richard Nixon in 1968. While winning the popular vote, Trump did not win a majority of the popular vote, with his final tally roughly a half-percent smaller than Hillary Clinton's national popular-vote margin over Trump in 2016. Thus, Trump is the first Republican since Nixon in 1968 to win the popular vote with a plurality. This was the first election since 1944 in which a presidential candidate won two elections with a different vice presidential candidate, as Trump replaced Mike Pence with JD Vance. This was the third election in which the losing party failed to flip any states from the previous election, in 2012 Romney was able to flip Indiana and North Carolina despite losing. It was also the fifth election in a row in which only one party flipped states; the last time both parties flipped states was in 2004 when Kerry flipped New Hampshire, while Bush flipped Iowa and New Mexico.
Around 90% of counties swung towards Trump between the 2020 and 2024 elections, encompassing both rural and urban areas, and it was the first time since 1932 in which the losing candidate failed to flip a single county. All 50 states and D.C. swung towards Trump from 2020, making this the first time that they swung in the same direction since 1976. While most suburban areas also swung towards Trump, notable exceptions included those with large numbers of white college-educated voters, such as the suburbs of Atlanta, Indianapolis, and Milwaukee. Trump made substantial gains among Hispanic voters, most notably in South Florida and the Rio Grande Valley. Even among states that voted heavily for Biden in the 2020 election, Trump's gains were significant. The states of New York and New Jersey swung over ten points toward Trump, and Trump also gained in Harris' home state of California. While there had been significant speculation prior to the election of Trump increasing his support among black voters, particularly black men, exit polling data showed only a marginal increase in black support for Trump (from 12% to 13%). Trump's gain was limited by the fact he lost ground among black women, only garnering 7% of their vote, compared to 9% in 2020. While Trump made gains among young voters compared to Republicans in recent presidential elections, especially among young men, exit polls found Harris still won young voters by 51 to 54 percent of voters under 30, leading Trump by 4 to 12 points. Democrats performed better in the downballot races, where they kept Republican margins extremely narrow in the House of Representatives and won Senate elections in Arizona, Michigan, Nevada, and Wisconsin despite Trump carrying those states. Post-election research by the Brookings Institution found that while Trump made inroads with minority voters, the Republican Party had "hardly" created a multiracial coalition, arguing that saying so was premature and that such support "could very well be a blip" based more on economic concerns.
Decline in Democratic turnout also was a major contributor to Trump winning the popular vote. Comparisons to 2020 and 2024 votes cast in heavily populated Democratic urban centers showed Harris losing millions of votes. New York City cast 573,000 fewer votes for Harris than Biden, Miami-Dade County 137,000, Cook County 295,000, Los Angeles County 620,000, and Harris County 115,000. Statewide, the only states that Harris received more votes than Biden were Maine, Utah, Nevada, North Carolina, Georgia and Wisconsin. Harris lost votes in critical battlegrounds Pennsylvania, Arizona and Michigan. Trump managed to gain another 2.5 million votes, mostly coming out of urban centers, but still garnering a couple hundred to thousands in rural and exurban counties across the Midwest, Northeast, Southeast and Mountain regions.
Harris won 226 Electoral College votes, the worst performance for a Democratic presidential ticket since that of Michael Dukakis in 1988. Trump won 312 electoral college votes, carrying 31 of 50 states. By winning, Trump, aged 78, is the oldest person ever to be elected U.S. president; Vance, aged 40, is the first Millennial to be elected vice president. In addition, this was the most recent of two elections in the 21st century in which a candidate from either party won fewer than 20 states, with the other being 2004, where John Kerry also won only 19 states.
Voter demographics
Exit poll
Demographic subgroup | Trump | Harris | % of total vote |
---|---|---|---|
Ideology | |||
Liberals | 7 | 91 | 23 |
Moderates | 40 | 58 | 42 |
Conservatives | 90 | 9 | 35 |
Party | |||
Democrats | 4 | 95 | 31 |
Republicans | 94 | 5 | 35 |
Independents | 46 | 49 | 34 |
Gender | |||
Men | 55 | 43 | 47 |
Women | 45 | 53 | 53 |
Marital status | |||
Married | 56 | 42 | 54 |
Unmarried | 42 | 55 | 46 |
Gender by marital status | |||
Married men | 60 | 38 | 28 |
Married women | 52 | 47 | 26 |
Unmarried men | 48 | 48 | 19 |
Unmarried women | 38 | 61 | 26 |
Race/ethnicity | |||
White | 57 | 42 | 71 |
Black | 13 | 86 | 11 |
Latino | 46 | 51 | 11 |
Asian | 40 | 55 | 3 |
Native American/American Indian | 68 | 31 | 1 |
Other | 52 | 44 | 2 |
Gender by race/ethnicity | |||
White men | 60 | 38 | 34 |
White women | 53 | 46 | 37 |
Black men | 21 | 77 | 5 |
Black women | 7 | 92 | 7 |
Latino men | 54 | 44 | 6 |
Latina women | 39 | 58 | 6 |
Other | 47 | 49 | 6 |
Religion | |||
Protestant/Other Christian | 63 | 36 | 43 |
Catholic | 59 | 39 | 21 |
Jewish | 22 | 78 | 2 |
Other religion | 34 | 61 | 10 |
No religious affiliation | 27 | 71 | 24 |
Religion by race | |||
White Protestant | 72 | 26 | 31 |
White Catholic | 63 | 35 | 15 |
White Jewish | 20 | 79 | 2 |
White other religion | 42 | 55 | 5 |
White no religious affiliation | 26 | 71 | 17 |
White evangelical or born again Christian | |||
Yes | 82 | 17 | 23 |
No | 40 | 58 | 77 |
Age | |||
18–24 years old | 43 | 54 | 8 |
25–29 years old | 45 | 53 | 5 |
30–39 years old | 45 | 51 | 15 |
40–49 years old | 49 | 49 | 15 |
50–64 years old | 56 | 43 | 27 |
65 and older | 50 | 49 | 28 |
Age by gender | |||
Men 18–29 years old | 49 | 48 | 7 |
Men 30–44 years old | 52 | 45 | 11 |
Men 45–64 years old | 59 | 39 | 16 |
Men 65 and older | 56 | 43 | 12 |
Women 18–29 years old | 38 | 61 | 7 |
Women 30–44 years old | 41 | 56 | 12 |
Women 45–64 years old | 50 | 49 | 19 |
Women 65 years and older | 46 | 53 | 16 |
Age by race | |||
White 18–29 years old | 49 | 49 | 8 |
White 30–44 years old | 54 | 44 | 15 |
White 45–64 years old | 61 | 37 | 25 |
White 65 and older | 56 | 43 | 23 |
Black 18–29 years old | 16 | 83 | 2 |
Black 30–44 years old | 15 | 83 | 3 |
Black 45–64 years old | 14 | 84 | 4 |
Black 65 and older | 6 | 93 | 3 |
Latino 18–29 years old | 45 | 51 | 2 |
Latino 30–44 years old | 45 | 52 | 3 |
Latino 45–64 years old | 48 | 51 | 4 |
Latino 65 and older | 41 | 58 | 2 |
Others | 47 | 49 | 6 |
Sexual orientation | |||
LGBT | 12 | 86 | 8 |
Non-LGBT | 53 | 45 | 92 |
First time voter | |||
Yes | 55 | 44 | 8 |
No | 49 | 49 | 92 |
Education | |||
High school or less | 62 | 36 | 15 |
Some college education | 51 | 47 | 26 |
Associate degree | 57 | 41 | 16 |
Bachelor's degree | 45 | 53 | 24 |
Postgraduate degree | 38 | 59 | 19 |
Education by race | |||
White college graduates | 45 | 53 | 33 |
White no college degree | 66 | 32 | 38 |
Non-White college graduates | 32 | 65 | 10 |
Non-White no college degree | 34 | 64 | 18 |
Education by race/gender | |||
White women with college degrees | 41 | 58 | 17 |
White women without college degrees | 63 | 35 | 20 |
White men with college degrees | 50 | 48 | 16 |
White men without college degrees | 69 | 29 | 18 |
Non-White | 33 | 64 | 29 |
Income | |||
Under $30,000 | 46 | 50 | 11 |
$30,000–49,999 | 52 | 46 | 16 |
$50,000–99,999 | 52 | 46 | 32 |
$100,000–199,999 | 46 | 51 | 28 |
Over $200,000 | 46 | 52 | 13 |
Union households | |||
Yes | 45 | 53 | 19 |
No | 51 | 47 | 81 |
Military service | |||
Veterans | 65 | 34 | 13 |
Non-veterans | 48 | 50 | 87 |
Region | |||
East | 44 | 54 | 20 |
Midwest | 52 | 46 | 22 |
South | 56 | 43 | 35 |
West | 43 | 54 | 22 |
Area type | |||
Urban | 38 | 60 | 29 |
Suburban | 51 | 47 | 52 |
Rural | 64 | 34 | 19 |
White suburban voters by gender | |||
White suburban women | 53 | 46 | 20 |
White suburban men | 62 | 36 | 18 |
Other voters | 45 | 52 | 62 |
Polling accuracy
After the 2020 misses, pollsters took steps to avoid similar errors. Despite this, national polls underestimated Trump a third time, albeit by less than in 2016 and 2020, and within the realm of a normal polling error; most polls going into the election showed essentially a tie, "within the poll's margin of error", and thus both Harris and Trump were a normal polling error away from the win, although this did not preclude either Harris or Trump achieving a sweep of the battleground states. In every swing state, Trump outperformed his final polling numbers by around 3%, which is in line with a normal margin of error. In 2016, the national polls were fairly accurate but Trump overperforming the polls in Michigan, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin led to his Electoral College victory. In 2020, polls overestimated Biden's margin over Trump by about 4% in competitive states. In 2024, compared to 2020, the margin of error in swing states was less, and high-quality national polls were more accurate. There was also much discussion about the Electoral College bias, and the margin Harris had to achieve over Trump nationally to win in the Electoral College, which was lower than in 2020; in 2016 and 2020, the Electoral College bias in favor of Republicans was 2.9% and 3.8%, and according to late September 2024 polls it had been reduced to 0.7%, with the unlikely but not impossible outcome of Harris losing the national vote but winning the Electoral College.
As polling generally does not underestimate a party three cycles in a row, several pundits and media outlets had suggested that Harris was being underestimated by polls, and discussed the possibility of "shy Harris voters", referencing the shy Tory factor. The results of the 2022 midterms had also lent more legitimacy to this theory as predictions of a red wave election had evaporated on election day, with some accusing Republicans of "flooding the zone" with pollsters biased in their favor, although this did not seem to affect polling aggregators.
Polling averages were more accurate in swing states but vastly underestimated Trump's strength in both safe red and blue states, which helped to reduce the Electoral College bias. Florida and Texas were both projected to go for Trump by about 7%; he won them by about 13%. Pollster Ann Selzer released a poll in Iowa that had Harris winning the state by 3%, only for Trump to take the state by 13%. On the other hand, New Jersey was projected to be a safe state for Harris but most news stations waited until 90% of the vote was in before calling it for Harris, as she was only leading by 5%. Historian Allan Lichtman incorrectly predicted a Harris win using The Keys to the White House system.
Aftermath
Election night
NewsNation was the first TV network to call the race for Trump, using data from Decision Desk HQ, making the projection at 1:22 a.m. EST on November 6. Newsmax, which also used Decision Desk HQ, quickly followed in calling the election for Trump. Fox News projected Trump as the winner at 1:47 a.m., while ABC, the Associated Press, CBS, CNN, and NBC all called the race around 5 a.m. In a convention center in West Palm Beach, Florida, he was greeted with cheers by supporters, chanting, "USA! USA! USA!" when Fox News declared him the winner. Trump claimed victory in a speech to his supporters, where he was joined on stage by his family and his running mate, JD Vance, saying: "America has given us an unprecedented and powerful mandate." Harris did not speak to her supporters, who had gathered at Howard University, her alma mater. Her campaign co-chair, Cedric Richmond, briefly addressed the crowd, saying Harris would speak publicly on Wednesday. A few hours later, other media outlets also projected Trump as the 47th president of the United States, with the Associated Press describing it as an "extraordinary comeback for a former president".
Reactions
Crisis services for the LGBTQ+ community saw a sharp increase in usage during the election week. The Trevor Project's crisis lines saw a 125% increase since around midnight on election night according to a statement by CEO Jaymes Black on November 6, and followed an about 200% increase in election related conversations that had been seen between November 3–4. By November 8, it was reported that the organization saw an overall increase by 700%. The Crisis Text Line also reported that 56% of their users reported as LGBTQ+ on election day.
Google search trends after Trump was announced as the winner also saw spikes in specific searches, with the term "tariff" and "Trump's tariff plan" showing an increase by 1,650% since the election. A similar search of "who pays tariffs" saw an increase of 350%. Other google search trend spikes were seen with "How to change my vote" spiking the morning of November 5 specifically in Iowa, Idaho, Kansas, Nebraska and Alabama. Moving to other countries from the United States also saw a surge in searches after the election with an overall 1,514% increase in Google searches overall. The highest increase was seen in searches about moving to New Zealand, Germany, and the Netherlands, which respectively saw increases of 7,600%, 4,200%, and 3,233%. A company that assists wealthy Americans in securing foreign citizenship saw a 200× jump in inquiries.
Political
Democrats had split reactions to the loss, with differing views on why Harris lost the election. Vermont Senator Bernie Sanders criticized the Democratic campaign afterward, saying the party "abandoned working class people" and found that "the working class has abandoned them". He further blamed "big money" and "well-paid consultants" for the loss, and argued against sending billions of dollars in military aid to Israel. While expressing respect for Sanders and his views, former House speaker Nancy Pelosi disagreed with the claim that the "Democratic Party has abandoned the working-class families", instead blaming the party's loss on Biden's late exit and the lack of an open Democratic primary. The New York Times reported Pelosi felt cultural issues were more to blame for the party's losses among working-class voters.
Democratic National Committee chair Jaime Harrison dismissed Sanders' criticism as "straight-up BS". Sanders also wrote an article in The Boston Globe, in which he offered a list of "working class priorities" that Democrats should fight for. In it, he acknowledged some positive changes achieved by Biden but said that they were "almost never discussed within the context of a grossly unfair economy that continues to fail ordinary Americans" and did not address the anger of the working class.
Senator Chris Murphy (D-CT) believed that the Democrats could not connect to a large amount of voters, and should embrace populism going forward. Representative Ritchie Torres (D-NY), who represents the Bronx, said he wasn't surprised by Harris' loss. Torres attributed Trump's victory to public discontent over inflation and immigration, and believed that Harris ran an effective campaign, but could not overcome the difficult electoral environment.
Representative Lloyd Doggett, who was the first sitting Democrat in Congress to openly call for President Joe Biden to withdraw from the presidential election after the first presidential debate, stated, "I only regret I didn't do it earlier. I think it's unfortunate that he took three weeks to decide. I believe that the only person in our caucus who doesn't share some responsibility for the outcome is Dean Phillips, who came out early. I accept responsibility as well that there's more that we could have done."
Former Republican president George W. Bush, who had declined to endorse either candidate, offered his congratulations to Trump and said that what he defined as a "strong turnout" in the election was a "sign of the health of our republic and the strength of our democratic institutions". Former president Barack Obama and his wife Michelle released a statement admitting their "profound disagreements with the Republican ticket on a whole host of issues", and lauded Harris and Walz's efforts yet emphasized "recognizing that our point of view won't always win out, and being willing to accept the peaceful transfer of power" concerning the incoming Trump administration. On November 6, the day after Trump's victory, Harris publicly conceded her loss.
International reactions
Several reactions from governments, individuals, organizations, and multi-nation institutions around the world emerged for the re-election of Trump with, generally, most world governments congratulating Trump on his victory in the election.
Financial
Wall Street's main indexes reported record highs on the day after election night, with the Dow Jones Industrial Average up 3.57%, the S&P 500 up 2.53%, and Nasdaq up 2.95%. Elon Musk, a prominent Trump supporter and the CEO of Tesla, saw a nearly $20 billion increase in his fortune following a post-election surge in the company's stock by 12% to a high of $288 per share. On the Friday after, November 8, Tesla's shares surged more than 6%, bringing the company's market cap to $1 trillion. Its growth started from $807.1 billion through Tuesday's close, rallying a total of 27% during election week. By Friday, the stock was up about 26% year to date.
"Stolen election" conspiracy theories
Following Trump's victory, some Harris supporters on X shared election denial conspiracy theories, claiming that millions of ballots were "left uncounted" and there being something "not right" with the election. Such posts falsely claiming Trump "stole" the election peaked at noon the day after at 94,000 posts per hour, with many receiving amplification and gaining over a million views each. According to Gordon Crovitz, the CEO of the media rating system NewsGuard, the phrase "Trump cheated" received 92,100 mentions on the platform from midnight until the Wednesday morning after. Besides the claims from Harris' supporters, some Trump supporters baselessly claimed the disparity between other years, the 2020 election, and a then-incomplete 2024 voting total indicated voter fraud in the 2020 election.
One major "basis" these false claims were founded upon was a claim that Biden won 20 million more votes in his prior election bid than Harris had in hers, at the time. American journalist and conspiracy theorist Wayne Madsen commented on Threads: "I'm beginning to believe our election was massively hacked just like happened a few weeks ago in the Republic of Georgia." At the time these fallacies were disseminated, votes were still being counted in many states. An estimate around the time using the Associated Press vote percentage total found that 16.2 million votes across twenty states and D.C. had yet to be counted. Statistical analysis of voting asserted that despite continued counting, the projections were already set and new ballots would not sway the outcomes of any of the states and D.C. The Cybersecurity and Infrastructure Security Agency director Jen Easterly refuted the false claims, and wrote in a statement that there was "no evidence of any malicious activity that had a material impact on the security or integrity of our election infrastructure". Another false claim alleges Musk used the satellite internet constellation Starlink to change the results of the election. Chief technology officer Chip Trowbridge of voting system manufacturer Clear Ballot dismissed the claim and added no machine used to scan voting ballots have any network connection whatsoever.
Text message harassment
Numerous Black Americans across multiple states reported receiving threatening, racist text messages the day after the election. Some of the texts referenced the incoming Trump administration but the sender remained unknown as of November 10, 2024. Days later, several Hispanic and LGBTQIA students also reported receiving similar harassment through text message and email.
Media analysis
Harris' loss
Harris' loss to Trump received substantial media analysis, ranging from years of inflation and an earlier immigration crisis, to the global incumbency backlash, to Biden's exit seen as too late in the race, and the lack of an open primary, with Democrats and others arguing about what went wrong and how the party should move forward.
Electoral environment
According to exit polls, voters disapproved of Biden's performance 59-39%, and disapproved of how things were going in the United States 73-25%. Also, voters judged the economy negatively 68-32%, and said that inflation had caused them hardship 75-24%. A YouGov poll conducted from November 6–7, 2024 found that if Biden had been the Democratic nominee, Trump would have won the popular vote 49-42%. Nonpartisan election forecasters, including The Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball, stated before the election that Biden was almost certain to lose if he had been the Democratic nominee.
Almost every incumbent party worldwide facing election in 2024 lost vote share, including in South Africa, India, France, the United Kingdom, and Japan. Among democracies, over 80 percent saw the incumbent party lose support compared to the last election. This is the first time this has ever happened since 1905 (when data was first recorded) and the first time in the history of democracy, as universal suffrage began in 1894. All 50 states and the District of Columbia shifted rightward compared to 2020. Trump's gains in nearly all geographic areas and among nearly every demographic group provides strong evidence of anti-incumbent backlash. The shifts toward Trump were much less in the swing states where both campaigns focused compared to safe states. The two states with the largest shifts toward Trump, New York and New Jersey, were both won by Harris.
Statistician and election analyst Nate Silver argued beforehand that the national electoral environment was difficult for Democrats to begin with, a sentiment also shared by The New York Times political analyst Nate Cohn. After the election, Silver felt that Harris was a replacement-level candidate who did much better than Biden would have, but was unable to separate herself from Biden's record and was negatively perceived by swing voters due to her previous positions. After the election, Silver believed Biden would have lost the popular vote by 6 to 8 points, likely losing New Hampshire, Minnesota, Virginia, New Mexico, Nebraska's 2nd congressional district, and possibly even New Jersey. Silver's final forecast gave the advantage (i.e. greater than 50% odds of winning) to the eventual winner in 48 out of the 50 states, as well as the District of Columbia and all congressional districts awarding electoral votes. Only Trump's victories in Michigan and Wisconsin did not occur in the majority of Silver's final simulations. Amy Walter, editor of the nonpartisan The Cook Political Report, also argued that the electoral environment was inherently difficult for Harris, because the top issue for voters was inflation during the Biden-Harris administration, for which Trump was viewed more favorably.
Ronald Brownstein of The Atlantic, who spoke with members of Harris' campaign, argued that the extent of Biden's unpopularity and public discontent with the economy proved too much for Harris to overcome. Brownstein compared the election to similar past elections, including the 1968 election, when the unpopular incumbent Lyndon B. Johnson withdrew and Vice President Hubert Humphrey lost to Richard Nixon, and the 1980 presidential election, when incumbent Jimmy Carter lost to Ronald Reagan due to stagflation and the 1970s energy crisis. Members of Harris' campaign stated after the election that their internal polling showed Harris either behind or tied with Trump, and they did not believe that Harris was the favorite to win the election.
Analyst assessments
The Independent's Jon Sopel wrote that the most pressing issues that decided Harris' defeat were matters Biden had been perceived as a failure at by the American public; these included the fact that, as part of the global 2021–2023 inflation surge, inflation went up by 20% and real wages had not adjusted to match, and the state of the Mexico–United States border. Sopel said that by "embracing the Biden agenda, was simply tying herself to his unpopularity". In a Time piece, Henry M. J. Tonks tied the result to the party's prioritization of professional class workers and suburbs over working class, blue-collar voters. He argued the shift away from working-class voters had been occurring since the late 1960s in response to the Vietnam War and the growth of the tech industry. Of the electoral jurisdictions that Harris won, 19 states, DC, and Nebraska's second congressional district, all except New Mexico had above-average educational attainment.
CNN's Edward-Isaac Dovere felt that some problems, such as the problems with her staff, could have been solved, but other problems such as her ties with Biden could not have been solved. Dovere mused that had Biden stepped down earlier, the Democratic Party might have had the time to launch a proper primary campaign. He also mused that Walz was chosen because he could not "outshine" her, and that this reflected her "newfound confidence and her long-standing insecurity". The Economic Times cited surveys showing "broad negative sentiment" about the economy, and Harris being "relentlessly hammered" by Trump during campaigns about this. The Economic Times cited University of Richmond School of Law professor Carl Tobias's appraisal of Trump's stance on immigration winning over Harris', and mentioned how Trump had increased his support from Hispanics, especially near the Mexican–American border and in areas impacted by recent immigration. Harris campaigning at multiple events with former Republican representative Liz Cheney has been suggested as a contributing factor as to why she lost.
Los Angeles Times's Noah Bierman felt Harris could not overcome being the "turn the page" candidate, and cited former president Barack Obama's lead strategist David Axelrod, who said: "If you're the vice president of an administration people want to fire, you're way behind the eight-ball to start." Bierman wrote that besides criminal context, Trump "never followed a script, scoffed at the rules and spoke directly to the economic and cultural anxieties of the country". In The New York Times, Timothy Shenk argued that Democrats failed to articulate a vision for the future other than being against Trump and did not lean into a message of economic populism that polled best with swing voters but also that the election looked more like a rejection of Biden than the embrace of Trump. In another The New York Times article, Nate Cohn analyzed exit polls showing Trump's gains among Non-White and young voters, suggesting Trump's populist message resonated with many voters previously considered part of the Democratic Party's base. Jen Psaki, who served as Biden's first press secretary, suggested that Harris focusing on Anti-Trump Republicans was not a winning strategy.
Charlie Cook, founder of the nonpartisan The Cook Political Report, said that swing voters broke in favor of Trump due to anger over inflation associated with the Biden-Harris administration, causing Trump to sweep the swing states. However, Democrats did better in down-ballot races, meaning Trump did not have a strong coattail effect. The Atlantic's Ronald Brownstein argued that the Democratic Party's success in the 2022 midterm elections, when Trump was not on the ballot, had led them to underestimate Trump's support. Democrats also performed better than Harris in down-ballot races, suggesting voters likely assigned their blame over the economy on the Biden-Harris administration rather than the Democratic Party at-large.
The BBC's Courtney Subramanian said Harris "couldn't shake the anti-Biden sentiment that permeated much of the electorate", that she "failed to deliver a convincing argument about why she should lead the country", did not state a strategy to combat economic frustrations, and failed to address widespread concerns over immigration. Vox's Nicole Narea highlighted inflation outpacing wages in certain industries, rising unemployment, and rising consumer debt and falling savings as key economic indicators that Democrats "may have missed". In another Vox article, Andrew Prokop argued Harris suffered from a worldwide backlash to incumbents over inflation, as well as her struggles unifying the party over Gaza, failing to be a change candidate, and her difficulty in defending or abandoning positions she took during her 2020 presidential run. She suspended her campaign in December 2019, never giving her the experience of running in a nationwide election as a candidate.
Trump's victory
Although the economy had recovered by many conventional metrics, wages increased, and inflation was in check, and border crossings had also declined significantly, Trump was ultimately able to successfully convince voters through his promises of fixing the economy and block the flow of immigrants at the border. According to exit polls, voters whose top issues were the economy and immigration largely voted for Trump. According to exit polls, Trump won voters making between $30,000 and $100,000, while Harris won voters making less than $30,000 or more than $100,000, though the margins among all income groups were in the single digits.
Time's Eric Cortellessa wrote that the thesis of Trump's campaign boiled down to the simple slogan "Max out the men and hold the women", meaning emphasizing the economy and immigration, which Trump did "relentlessly". Cortellessa also mentioned Trump's minimization of his numerous controversies, and push-offs of criminal trials via "a combination of friendly judges and legal postponements" to after the election. He said Trump's "advanced age and increasingly incoherent trail rhetoric" were taken by voters in stride, and that "much of the country read Trump's legal woes as part of a larger corrupt conspiracy to deny him, and them, power". NPR wrote that "Americans have continued to chafe at higher than pre-pandemic prices and the lack of affordable housing", and that much of the voter placed the blame "squarely" on the Biden administration. NPR said demographics played an important role, with White voters going up as a share of the electorate from 67% to 71% and Trump winning 46% of Latinos, and mentioned polling's "continued underestimation of Trump's support nationally and in the key swing states".
The New York Times headlined how " made one essential bet: that his grievances would become the grievances of the MAGA movement, and then the G.O.P., and then more than half the country. It paid off." The New York Times said that Trump's several setbacks actually benefited his public image and approval, as "his mug shot became a best-selling shirt. His criminal conviction inspired $100 million in donations in one day. The images of him bleeding after a failed assassination attempt became the symbol of what supporters saw as a campaign of destiny."
NBC cited a Democratic strategist's appraisal of many men's concerns over feeling like "they're being left behind, that society doesn't have a place for them", and that this was a major factor in that demographic's role to return Trump to power. The network said his approval among non-college-educated and middle-income voters, Latinos generally and Latino men specifically, made strides in his promise to assemble a multiracial working-class coalition of supporters. Trump increased his support from Hispanics, especially near the Mexican–American border and in areas impacted by recent immigration.
Several observers pointed to shifting habits in how Americans consume media and a growing lack of trust in and influence of mainstream news outlets. Trump embraced alternative media through podcasts and online streamers such as Joe Rogan, Adin Ross, Theo Von, and the Nelk Boys. The New York Times reported that such avenues "presented a way for Mr. Trump to sidestep more confrontational interviews with professional journalists, where he might face tough questions, fact-checks and detailed policy debates. The influencers he met with rarely challenged Mr. Trump, and often lavished him with praise." Observers also highlighted Trump's courting of the "manosphere", a collection of what The Guardian described as "male podcasters, influencers and public figures" that "marketed themselves as free-thinking pundits who evaded the bounds of political classification". Post-election research showed that nearly 40% of young voters got their news from social media influencers, and despite claims of conservative censorship, a majority of influencers leaned right. The New York Times reported that Trump's super PAC had joined a long list of presidential campaigns that made a "technological leap or innovation" while targeting key voters. The Times highlighted the use of targeted advertising of individual undecided voters on streaming video platforms that allowed it to save money, while Harris largely targeted ads on streaming platforms by geography. It reported the Trump team's findings that the undecided electorate was younger, black, and Hispanic, and that such voters largely used streaming media over traditional broadcast television.
See also
- 2024 United States elections
- Timeline of the 2024 United States presidential election
- Republican Party efforts to disrupt the 2024 United States presidential election
Notes
- ^ The majority of voters voted early before November 5 in person or by mail, with the earliest state starting on September 11.
- ^ Attributed to multiple references:
- ^ Attributed to multiple references:
- ^ Attributed to multiple references:
- Attributed to multiple references:
- New York Penal Law defines rape as vaginal penetration by the penis, which Carroll stated perhaps entered only "halfway".
- A state law passed in late January 2024 expanded the state's legal definition of rape to include nonconsensual vaginal, anal, and oral contact, effective non-retroactively beginning in September 2024.
- ^ Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.
- Kennedy dropped out of the race in August 2024, although he remained on the ballot in most states.
- States rated safe by all other forecasts but FiveThirtyEight and The Economist are omitted. The FiveThirtyEight forecast and The Economist each rate only a handful of states as "safe".
- ^ Unlike the other 48 states and Washington, D.C., which award all of their electors to the candidate who receives the most votes in that state, Maine and Nebraska award two electors to the winner of the statewide vote and one each to the candidate who receives the most votes in each congressional district.
- ^ The boundaries of Maine and Nebraska's congressional districts have since changed because of redistricting.
- Most news organizations declared Harris the winner of the presidential debate.
- Vance was declared the winner of the debate by columnists from The New York Times, The Wall Street Journal, the Los Angeles Times, USA Today, the Financial Times, and Politico, while Walz was declared the winner by a columnist from MSNBC.
- Percentage point difference in margin from the 2020 election
- For purpose of this list, other candidates are defined as those who were in third place in Guam.
- In Maine and Nebraska, electoral votes are allocated by congressional district, with two votes going to the state at-large. The insets in those states illustrate this distribution and have no geographical significance.
- ^ County equivalents are used in Alaska and Louisiana. The District of Columbia has no primary subdivisions.
- In Maine and Nebraska, electoral votes are allocated by congressional district, with two votes going to the state at-large. The insets in those states illustrate this distribution and have no geographical significance.
- Trend is the swing in county margins relative to the national swing in the popular vote
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Was she a weak candidate? Was it Joe Biden's fault? Did Trump have unexpected strength? Or was it a global trend?
- ^ Parikh, Tej (November 8, 2024). "This was an election on the US economy. And for many Americans, the economy sucks". The Financial Times. Retrieved November 8, 2024.
- "40. Trial Heat - Biden v Trump" (PDF). YouGov. November 8, 2024. Retrieved November 15, 2024.
- Walter, Amy (July 9, 2024). "Six States Move Toward Trump in Electoral College Ratings". The Cook Political Report. Retrieved November 15, 2024.
- Kondik, Kyle; Coleman, J. Miles (July 18, 2024). "If Biden Stays: A Glimpse into a Grim Electoral Future for Democrats". Sabato's Crystal Ball. Retrieved November 15, 2024.
One cannot just automatically assume a replacement candidate, most likely Vice President Kamala Harris, would do better than Biden. But Democrats may be quickly reaching the point where a roll of the dice is advisable.
- "The 'super year' of elections has been super bad for incumbents as voters punish them in droves". AP News. November 17, 2024. Retrieved November 20, 2024.
- Basu, Zachary; Lawler, Dave (June 6, 2024). "Voters everywhere rage against the incumbents". Axios. Retrieved November 15, 2024.
- Burton, Cooper (November 18, 2024). "Democrats aren't alone — incumbent parties have lost elections all around the world". ABC News. Retrieved November 20, 2024.
- Burn-Murdoch, John (November 7, 2024). "Democrats join 2024's graveyard of incumbents". Financial Times. Retrieved November 8, 2024.
The incumbents in every single one of the 10 major countries that have been tracked by the ParlGov global research project and held national elections in 2024 were given a kicking by voters. This is the first time this has ever happened in almost 120 years of records. ... That different politicians, different parties, different policies and different rhetoric deployed in different countries have all met similar fortunes suggests that a large part of Tuesday's American result was locked in regardless of the messenger or the message. The wide variety of places and people who swung towards Trump also suggests an outcome that was more inevitable than contingent.
- Burn-Murdoch, John (December 29, 2024). "What the 'year of democracy' taught us, in 6 charts". Financial Times. Retrieved December 30, 2024.
The billions who voted in 2024 sent an angry message to incumbents, and warmed to populists on left and right. ... The incumbent in every one of the 12 developed western countries that held national elections in 2024 lost vote share at the polls, the first time this has ever happened in almost 120 years of modern democracy. In Asia, even the hegemonic governments of India and Japan were not spared the ill wind.
- Sides, John (November 6, 2024). "Where to start to explain Trump's win". Good Authority. Retrieved November 15, 2024.
- Beauchamp, Zack (November 6, 2024). "The global trend that pushed Donald Trump to victory". Vox.
Incumbents everywhere are doing poorly. America just proved it's not exceptional.
- Levitz, Eric (November 15, 2024). "The left's comforting myth about why Harris lost". Retrieved November 15, 2024.
Harris actually did better where both she and Trump held campaign rallies and aired TV advertisements than she did in the rest of the country. Thus, if Harris's problem was her moderate messaging, it is odd that she won a higher share of the vote in the places that were more exposed to that messaging, despite the fact that such areas were also inundated by pro-Trump ads.
- Silver, Nate (October 20, 2024). "24 reasons that Trump won". Silver Bulletin. Retrieved November 15, 2024.
We don't lack in explanations for why he returned to the White House. ... One of my pet peeves is with the idea that this is Kamala Harris's election to lose. I could articulate some critiques of her campaign, but if you study the factors that have historically determined elections, you'll see that she's battling difficult circumstances.
- Cohn, Nate (November 2, 2024). "Why Are Democrats Having Such a Hard Time Beating Trump?". The New York Times. Retrieved November 15, 2024.
The national political environment just isn't as conducive to a Harris victory as many might imagine.
- ^ Silver, Nate (November 15, 2024). "Kamala Harris was a replacement-level candidate". Silver Bulletin. Retrieved November 15, 2024.
Trump's win is mostly Biden's fault, not hers. Still, she was a mediocre candidate in a year when Democrats needed a strong one.
- Silver, Nate. "The model exactly predicted the most likely election map". Silver Bulletin. Retrieved November 7, 2024.
- Walter, Amy (December 11, 2024). "Democrats' Solution For Winning in 2028 Won't Come From Over-Analyzing 2024 Results". The Cook Political Report. Retrieved December 11, 2024.
- Brownstein, Ronald (December 2, 2024). "Why They Lost". The Atlantic. Retrieved December 4, 2024.
The Harris-campaign leadership believes that the Democrats narrowed the gap on Trump that Biden left—but not by enough.
- "EDUCATIONAL ATTAINMENT". U.S. Census Bureau. Archived from the original on September 19, 2022. Retrieved September 18, 2022.
- Sopel, Jon (November 6, 2024). "Kamala's catastrophe: How it all went so badly wrong". The Independent. ISSN 1741-9743. Retrieved November 7, 2024.
- Tonks, Henry M. J. (November 7, 2024). "The Democratic Party Realignment That Empowered Trump". Time. Retrieved November 7, 2024.
- Cuenco, Michael (August 21, 2024). "Is Obama the reason Democrats are now 'underdogs'?". Retrieved November 7, 2024.
Consider that when Obama last ran, the Midwest was still known as an impenetrable Blue Wall, while Florida and Ohio were still purple states. When Bill Clinton gave his acceptance speech in 1996, the Democrats were competitive throughout large swathes of the South. During that period, they had gone on to win not just Clinton's Arkansas and Al Gore's Tennessee, but states such as Kentucky and Louisiana too. The story of the last three decades has been one of political success for Democrats, ... yet it is also one of narrowing political constituencies and pyrrhic victories, as the party attracted college-educated professionals at the expense of the non-college-educated majority. ... These are precisely the voters that Harris must win back. But how did the Democrats lose them in the first place?
- Dovere, Edward-Isaac (November 6, 2024). "Where Harris' campaign went wrong". CNN. Retrieved November 7, 2024.
- ^ "What went wrong for Kamala Harris?". The Economic Times. November 6, 2024. ISSN 0013-0389. Retrieved November 7, 2024.
- "Liz Cheney Was an Electoral Fiasco for Kamala Harris". The Nation. November 12, 2024.
- "Democrats Say Kamala Harris Ignored Their Dire Warnings on Liz Cheney". The New Republic. November 8, 2024.
- "Rep. Ilhan Omar says Harris-Walz tapping Liz Cheney was 'huge misstep'". Minnesota Star Tribune. November 26, 2024.
- Bierman, Noah (November 6, 2024). "What went wrong for Harris: Trying to 'turn the page' while still in office". Los Angeles Times. ISSN 2165-1736. Retrieved November 7, 2024.
- Shenk, Timothy (November 8, 2024). "Opinion: It's Time to Resist the Resistance". The New York Times. ISSN 0362-4331. Archived from the original on November 9, 2024. Retrieved November 9, 2024.
- Cohn, Nate (November 25, 2024). "How Democrats Lost Their Base and their Message". The New York Times. Retrieved November 25, 2024.
Donald Trump's populist pitch bumped Democrats off their traditional place in American politics.
- "Psaki: Democrats paid too much attention to anti-Trump GOP". The Hill. November 8, 2024.
- Cook, Charlie (November 14, 2024). "More a Ripple Than a Wave". The Cook Political Report. Retrieved November 14, 2024.
- Brownstein, Ronald (November 14, 2024). "The Democrats' 2022 Error Message". The Atlantic. Retrieved November 14, 2024.
Swing-state success in the last midterms gave the party false optimism about 2024.
- Subramanian, Courtney. "Why Kamala Harris lost: A flawed candidate or doomed campaign?". BBC. Retrieved November 7, 2024.
- Narea, Nicole (November 7, 2024). "Why Democrats couldn't sell a strong economy, in 3 charts". Vox. Retrieved November 7, 2024.
- Prokop, Andrew (November 6, 2024). "Why Kamala Harris lost". Vox. Retrieved November 7, 2024.
- Paz, Christian (July 10, 2024). "What happened the last time Kamala Harris ran for president". Vox. Retrieved November 17, 2024.
- Cortellessa, Eric (November 6, 2024). "How Trump Won". Time. ISSN 0040-781X. Retrieved November 8, 2024.
- Montanaro, Domenico (November 8, 2024). "Why Trump won — 9 takeaways from the 2024 election". NPR. Retrieved November 8, 2024.
- Goldmacher, Shane; Haberman, Maggie; Swan, Jonathan (November 7, 2024). "How Trump Won, and How Harris Lost". The New York Times. ISSN 1553-8095. Retrieved November 8, 2024.
- Seitz-Wald, Alex; Gomez, Henry J.; Korecki, Natasha (November 7, 2024). "How Trump won — and how Harris lost — the 2024 election". NBC News. Retrieved November 8, 2024.
- Roig-Franzia, Manuel; Izadi, Elahe; Scribner, Herb (November 8, 2024). "As Trump joined the podcast revolution, legacy media got left out". The Washington Post. ISSN 0190-8286. Archived from the original on November 9, 2024. Retrieved November 9, 2024.
- Simonetti, Isabella; Steele, Anne (November 8, 2024). "Trump's Win Cemented It: New Media Is Leaving the Old Guard Behind". The Wall Street Journal. ISSN 0099-9660. Retrieved November 9, 2024.
- Grynbaum, Michael M.; Koblin, John (November 7, 2024). "A Master of the Media Evolved Yet Again in 2024". The New York Times. ISSN 0362-4331. Archived from the original on November 7, 2024. Retrieved November 9, 2024.
- Wendling, Mike (October 12, 2024). "'He's just a bro': Trump's attempts to woo the 'manosphere'". BBC News. Archived from the original on November 9, 2024. Retrieved November 9, 2024.
- Haskins, Caroline (November 7, 2024). "Rogan, Musk and an emboldened manosphere salute Trump's win: 'Let that sink in'". The Guardian. Archived from the original on November 8, 2024. Retrieved November 9, 2024.
- Reilly, Liam (November 18, 2024). "Nearly 40% of young Americans get their news from influencers. Many of them lean to the right, study finds". CNN. Archived from the original on November 20, 2024. Retrieved November 21, 2024.
- Goldmacher, Shane (December 5, 2024). "How Trump Targeted Undecided Voters Without Breaking the Bank". The New York Times. ISSN 0362-4331.
External links
- "Misinformation Dashboard: Election 2024. A tool tracking the topics and tactics of 2024 election misinformation". News Literacy Project. 2024. Retrieved September 30, 2024.
- Dovere, Edward-Isaac (November 6, 2024). "Where Harris' campaign went wrong". CNN. Retrieved November 7, 2024.
- "The Choice 2024: Harris vs. Trump". Frontline. Season 43. Episode 2. September 24, 2024. PBS. WGBH. Retrieved November 28, 2024.
- "The VP Choice: Vance vs. Walz". Frontline. Season 43. Episode 3. October 8, 2024. PBS. WGBH. Retrieved November 28, 2024.
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