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Revision as of 01:13, 6 September 2024 editElection Bro (talk | contribs)Extended confirmed users1,579 edits →Polling← Previous edit Revision as of 17:58, 6 September 2024 edit undo159.250.17.61 (talk) →PollingTags: Mobile edit Mobile web editNext edit →
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|- |-
| |
|through September 5, 2024 |through September 6, 2024
|September 5, 2024 |September 6, 2024
| {{party shading/Democratic}} |'''46.4%''' | {{party shading/Democratic}} |'''46.6%'''
|45.9% |46.1%
|7.7% |7.3%
| {{party shading/Democratic}} |'''Harris +0.5%''' | {{party shading/Democratic}} |'''Harris +0.5%'''
|- |-
| |
|through September 5, 2024 |through September 6, 2024
|September 5, 2024 |September 6, 2024
| {{party shading/Democratic}} |'''48.0%''' | {{party shading/Democratic}} |'''48.2%'''
|47.5% |48.0%
|4.5% |3.8%
| {{party shading/Democratic}} |'''Harris +0.5%''' | {{party shading/Democratic}} |'''Harris +0.2%'''
|- |-
| |
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|- |-
| colspan="3" |'''Average''' | colspan="3" |'''Average'''
| {{party shading/Democratic}} |'''47.8%''' | {{party shading/Democratic}} |'''47.9%'''
|47.35% |47.45%
|4.85% |4.65%
| {{party shading/Democratic}} |'''Harris +0.45%''' | {{party shading/Democratic}} |'''Harris +0.45%'''
|} |}

Revision as of 17:58, 6 September 2024

Main article: 2024 United States presidential election
2024 United States presidential election in Georgia
← 2020 November 5, 2024 2028 →
 
Nominee Kamala Harris Donald Trump
Party Democratic Republican
Home state California Florida
Running mate Tim Walz JD Vance
Incumbent President

Joe Biden
Democratic



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Mayoral elections

The 2024 United States presidential election in Georgia is scheduled to take place on Tuesday, November 5, 2024, as part of the 2024 United States elections in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia will participate. Georgia voters will choose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote. The state of Georgia has 16 electoral votes in the Electoral College, following reapportionment due to the 2020 United States census in which it neither gained nor lost a seat. Georgia is considered to be a crucial swing state in 2024.

Despite being located in the conservative Bible Belt and Deep South regions, Georgia has become competitive since the start of the 2020s and is considered a purple to slightly red state in the election, after having been a moderately red state in the late 2000s going through the 2010s. The last Republican presidential candidate to win Georgia by double digits, and the only one to win the state more than once, was fellow Southerner George W. Bush. This leftward shift is mainly attributed to the rapid population growth that the progressive and diverse Atlanta metro, which holds much of the state's population, has experienced in the 21st century, including an influx of African Americans, Asian Americans, Latinos and progressive Whites. In 2020, Joe Biden very narrowly carried the state by 0.23%, making Georgia the closest state that election and making Biden the first Democrat since Southerner Bill Clinton in 1992 to win the state's electoral votes, and the first non-Southern Democrat to do so since John F. Kennedy in 1960.

Incumbent Democratic President Joe Biden initially ran for re-election and became the party's presumptive nominee. However, following what was widely viewed as a poor performance in the June 2024 presidential debate and amid increasing age and health concerns from within his party, he withdrew from the race on July 21 and endorsed Vice President Kamala Harris, who launched her presidential campaign the same day. Biden's withdrawal from the race makes him the first eligible president not to stand for re-election since Lyndon B. Johnson in 1968.

Former President and Republican nominee Donald Trump is running for re-election to a second non-consecutive term after losing in 2020. Independent candidate Robert F. Kennedy Jr. gathered the required signatures to qualify for the ballot, as he announced in late February.

If the Democratic presidential candidate wins the state, it will be the first time since favorite son Jimmy Carter in 1980 that the Democrats have carried the state in two consecutive presidential elections. This race is considered to be a tossup due to the nearly even political lean in recent federal elections (despite a slight GOP lean at the state level). However, Kamala Harris has narrowed or eliminated Trump's lead since becoming the Democrats' presumptive nominee, with most polls within the margin of error.

Primary elections

Democratic primary

Main article: 2024 Georgia Democratic presidential primary

The Georgia Democratic primary was held on March 12, 2024.

Georgia Democratic primary, March 12, 2024
Candidate Votes Percentage Actual delegate count
Bound Unbound Total
Joe Biden (incumbent) 272,363 93.1% 108
Marianne Williamson 8,569 2.9%
Dean Phillips (withdrawn) 5,205 1.8%
Blank ballots 6,429 2.2%
Overvotes 2 <0.1%
Total: 292,568 100.00% 108 16 124


Republican primary

Main article: 2024 Georgia Republican presidential primary

The Georgia Republican primary was held on March 12, 2024.

Georgia Republican primary, March 12, 2024
Candidate Votes Percentage Actual delegate count
Bound Unbound Total
Donald Trump 497,594 84.49% 59 0 59
Nikki Haley (withdrawn) 77,902 13.23% 0 0 0
Ron DeSantis (withdrawn) 7,457 1.27% 0 0 0
Chris Christie (withdrawn) 2,054 0.35% 0 0 0
Tim Scott (withdrawn) 1,398 0.24% 0 0 0
Vivek Ramaswamy (withdrawn) 1,244 0.21% 0 0 0
Asa Hutchinson (withdrawn) 383 0.07% 0 0 0
Ryan Binkley (withdrawn) 377 0.06% 0 0 0
David Stuckenberg 243 0.04% 0 0 0
Doug Burgum (withdrawn) 161 0.03% 0 0 0
Perry Johnson (withdrawn) 134 0.02% 0 0 0
Total: 588,947 100.00% 59 0 59

General election

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report Tossup August 27, 2024
Sabato's Crystal Ball Tossup August 20, 2024
Decision Desk HQ/The Hill Tossup August 26, 2024
CNN Tossup August 27, 2024
The Economist Tossup August 27, 2024
538 Tossup August 27, 2024
RCP Tossup August 27, 2024
CNalysis Tossup August 27, 2024
Inside Elections Tossup May 8, 2024

Voting rule changes

See also: Elections in Georgia (U.S. state)

On July 29, 2024 the state added another way to cancel a voter's registration through an online portal, which has drawn criticism from groups like Fair Fight Action worried that it would be abused.

In August 2024, the Georgia State Elections Board enacted two new rules that could deputize local election officials more discretion on whether they certify the election, contrary to state and national precedent. The Democratic party has filed a lawsuit to stop the new rules from taking effect.

According to a September 2024 New York Times newsletter, Georgia seems the most likely state to overturn election results on unfounded claims of fraud in 2024 due to recent changes in who oversees elections.

Ballot access

See also: Cornel West 2024 presidential campaign § Support from Republicans

After an administrative law judge disqualified Claudia De la Cruz and Cornel West from the ballot due to their electors not registering in their own name, Georgia Secretary of State Brad Raffensperger overruled the judge on August 29, 2024. Republicans have been working to get West and De la Cruz on the ballot, while Democrats have been working to keep them off. If the ruling is upheld, it would be the first time since 1946 with more than 4 candidates on the ballot.

Polling

Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump

Aggregate polls

Source of poll
aggregation 		Dates
administered 		Dates
updated 		Kamala
Harris
Democratic 		Donald
Trump
Republican 		Undecided
 Margin
RealClearPolitics July 22 – September 4, 2024 September 4, 2024 48.3% 48.2% 3.5% Harris +0.1%
270ToWin July 30 – September 5, 2024 September 5, 2024 46.8% 46.8% 6.4% Tie
538 through September 6, 2024 September 6, 2024 46.6% 46.1% 7.3% Harris +0.5%
Silver Bulletin through September 6, 2024 September 6, 2024 48.2% 48.0% 3.8% Harris +0.2%
The Hill/DDHQ through September 2, 2024 September 2, 2024 49.2% 48.8% 2.0% Harris +0.4%
RacetotheWH through September 5, 2024 September 5, 2024 48.2% 48.0% 3.8% Harris +0.2%
Average 47.9% 47.45% 4.65% Harris +0.45%
Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size 		Margin
of error 		Kamala
Harris
Democratic 		Donald
Trump
Republican 		Other /
Undecided
Patriot Polling September 1–3, 2024 814 (RV) – 48% 49% 3%
InsiderAdvantage (R) August 29–31, 2024 800 (LV) ± 3.7% 48% 48% 4%
Emerson College August 25–28, 2024 800 (LV) ± 3.4% 49% 48% 3%
800 (LV) ± 3.4% 50% 49% 1%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult August 23–26, 2024 737 (LV) ± 4.0% 50% 47% 3%
801 (RV) ± 3.0% 49% 47% 4%
Fox News August 23–26, 2024 1,014 (RV) ± 3.0% 50% 48% 2%
Spry Strategies (R) August 14–20, 2024 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 49% 49% 2%
Focaldata August 6–16, 2024 651 (LV) ± 3.8% 48% 52% –
New York Times/Siena College August 9–14, 2024 661 (RV) ± 4.4% 44% 51% 5%
661 (LV) ± 4.4% 46% 50% 4%
Cook Political Report/BSG (R)/GS Strategy Group (D) July 26 – August 8, 2024 405 (LV) – 48% 48% 4%
Fabrizio Ward (R)/Impact Research (D) July 24–31, 2024 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 48% 48% 4%
Trafalgar Group (R)/InsiderAdvantage (R) July 29–30, 2024 – (LV) ± 3.5% 47% 49% 4%
Public Policy Polling (D) July 29–30, 2024 662 (RV) ± 3.8% 48% 47% 5%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult July 24–28, 2024 799 (RV) ± 3.0% 47% 47% 5%
SoCal Strategies (R) July 25–26, 2024 505 (RV) ± 4.4% 46% 50% 4%
Emerson College July 22–23, 2024 800 (RV) ± 3.4% 46% 48% 6%
800 (RV) ± 3.4% 49% 51% –
Landmark Communications July 22, 2024 400 (LV) ± 5.0% 47% 48% 5%
July 21, 2024 Harris declares her candidacy.
University of Georgia School of Public and International Affairs July 9–18, 2024 1,000 (LV) ± 3.1% 46% 51% 3%
InsiderAdvantage (R) July 15–16, 2024 800 (LV) ± 4.1% 37% 47% 16%
Mainstreet Research/Florida Atlantic University July 12–15, 2024 640 (RV) ± 3.6% 42% 46% 12%
549 (LV) ± 3.6% 43% 49% 8%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult May 7–13, 2024 795 (RV) ± 3.0% 41% 49% 10%
Emerson College February 14–16, 2024 1,000 (RV) ± 3.0% 41% 51% 8%
New York Times/Siena College October 22 – November 3, 2023 629 (RV) ± 4.5% 44% 45% 11%
629 (LV) ± 4.5% 44% 47% 9%

Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein vs. Chase Oliver

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size 		Margin
of error 		Kamala
Harris
Democratic 		Donald
Trump
Republican 		Cornel
West
Independent 		Jill
Stein
Green 		Chase
Oliver
Libertarian 		Other /
Undecided
CNN/SSRS August 23–29, 2024 617 (LV) ± 4.7% 48% 47% 1% 1% 1% 2%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies August 25–28, 2024 699 (LV) – 42% 44% – 1% 0% 13%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult August 23–26, 2024 737 (LV) ± 4.0% 48% 46% – 1% 3% 2%
801 (RV) ± 3.0% 47% 46% – 1% 4% 2%
Fox News August 23–26, 2024 1,014 (RV) ± 3.0% 48% 46% 1% 2% 2% 1%
Hypothetical polling with Robert F. Kennedy Jr.

Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein vs. Chase Oliver

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size 		Margin
of error 		Kamala
Harris
Democratic 		Donald
Trump
Republican 		Robert
Kennedy Jr
Independent 		Cornel
West
Independent 		Jill
Stein
Green 		Chase
Oliver
Libertarian 		Other /
Undecided
August 23, 2024 Kennedy suspends his campaign.
Spry Strategies (R) August 14–20, 2024 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 47% 48% 2% – 1% – 2%
Focaldata August 6–16, 2024 651 (LV) ± 3.8% 45% 49% 2% – 0% 0% 4%
651 (RV) ± 3.8% 46% 47% 3% – 0% 0% 4%
651 (A) ± 3.8% 46% 47% 3% – 0% 0% 4%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies August 12–15, 2024 692 (LV) – 46% 46% 2% – 0% 0% 6%
New York Times/Siena College August 9–14, 2024 661 (RV) ± 4.4% 41% 47% 5% 0% 1% 2% 5%
661 (LV) ± 4.4% 44% 47% 4% 0% 1% 1% 3%
Cook Political Report/BSG (R)/GS Strategy Group (D) July 26–August 8, 2024 405 (LV) – 46% 46% 4% 1% 1% – 2%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies July 31–August 3, 2024 1,128 (LV) – 44% 46% 3% – 1% 0% 6%
Fabrizio Ward (R)/Impact Research (D) July 24–31, 2024 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 44% 46% 4% 2% 1% 0% 3%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult July 24–28, 2024 799 (RV) ± 3.0% 45% 45% 4% – 0% 4% 2%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies July 22–24, 2024 1,180 (LV) – 42% 47% 3% – 1% 0% 7%
Emerson College July 22–23, 2024 800 (RV) ± 3.4% 43% 46% 4% 1% 1% 0% 5%
Landmark Communications July 22, 2024 400 (LV) ± 5.0% 44% 46% 4% 1% 0% 0% 5%

Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr.

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size 		Margin
of error 		Kamala
Harris
Democratic 		Donald
Trump
Republican 		Robert
Kennedy Jr
Independent 		Other /
Undecided
August 23, 2024 Kennedy suspends his campaign.
Mainstreet Research/Florida Atlantic University July 12–15, 2024 640 (RV) ± 3.6% 37% 46% 8% 9%
549 (LV) ± 3.6% 38% 49% 6% 7%
Hypothetical polling with Joe Biden and Donald Trump

Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size 		Margin
of error 		Joe
Biden
Democratic 		Donald
Trump
Republican 		Other /
Undecided
July 21, 2024 Biden withdraws from the race.
University of Georgia School of Public and International Affairs July 9–18, 2024 1,000 (LV) ± 3.1% 45% 48% 7%
Emerson College July 15–16, 2024 1,000 (RV) ± 3.0% 41% 47% 12%
InsiderAdvantage (R) July 15–16, 2024 800 (LV) ± 4.1% 44% 47% 9%
Mainstreet Research/Florida Atlantic University July 12–15, 2024 981 (LV) ± 3.9% 43% 49% 8%
Rasmussen Reports (R) July 5–12, 2024 1,015 (LV) ± 3.0% 43% 48% 9%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult July 1–5, 2024 790 (RV) ± 3.0% 46% 47% 7%
Emerson College June 30 – July 2, 2024 1,000 (RV) ± 3.0% 42% 47% 11%
Emerson College June 13–18, 2024 1,000 (RV) ± 3.0% 41% 45% 14%
1,000 (RV) ± 3.0% 48% 52% –
Quinnipiac University May 30 – June 3, 2024 1,203 (RV) ± 2.8% 44% 49% 7%
Prime Group May 9–16, 2024 470 (RV) – 49% 51% –
Bloomberg/Morning Consult May 7–13, 2024 795 (RV) ± 3.0% 44% 47% 9%
Cook Political Report/BSG (R)/GS Strategy Group (D) May 6–13, 2024 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 44% 47% 9%
New York Times/Siena College April 28 – May 9, 2024 604 (RV) ± 4.6% 39% 49% 12%
604 (LV) ± 4.6% 41% 50% 9%
North Star Opinion Research May 1–5, 2024 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 39% 49% 12%
Emerson College April 25–29, 2024 1,000 (RV) ± 3.0% 44% 47% 9%
1,000 (RV) ± 3.0% 49% 51% –
Fox News April 11–16, 2024 1,128 (RV) ± 3.0% 45% 51% 4%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult April 8–15, 2024 802 (RV) ± 3.0% 43% 49% 8%
Wall Street Journal March 17–24, 2024 600 (RV) ± 4.0% 43% 44% 13%
Echelon Insights March 12–19, 2024 400 (LV) ± 5.7% 42% 52% 6%
Marist College March 11–14, 2024 1,177 (RV) ± 3.7% 47% 51% 2%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult March 8–12, 2024 788 (RV) ± 3.0% 42% 49% 9%
CBS News/YouGov March 4–11, 2024 1,133 (RV) ± 3.9% 48% 51% 1%
Emerson College March 5–7, 2024 1,000 (RV) ± 3.0% 42% 46% 12%
1,000 (RV) ± 3.0% 48% 52% –
Bloomberg/Morning Consult February 12–20, 2024 800 (RV) ± 3.0% 43% 49% 8%
Emerson College February 14–16, 2024 1,000 (RV) ± 3.0% 42% 48% 10%
Fox News January 26–30, 2024 1,119 (RV) ± 3.0% 43% 51% 6%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult January 16–21, 2024 798 (RV) ± 3.0% 41% 49% 10%
Atlanta Journal-Constitution January 3–11, 2024 1,007 (RV) ± 3.1% 37% 45% 18%
CNN/SSRS November 30 – December 7, 2023 1,068 (RV) ± 3.3% 44% 49% 7%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult November 27 – December 6, 2023 801 (RV) ± 3.0% 43% 49% 8%
J.L. Partners November 27 – December 1, 2023 550 (LV) ± 4.2% 44% 46% 10%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult October 30 – November 7, 2023 803 (RV) ± 3.0% 41% 48% 11%
Emerson College October 30 – November 4, 2023 1,000 (RV) ± 3.0% 40% 47% 14%
University of Georgia School of Public and International Affairs October 30 – November 3, 2023 1,002 (LV) ± 3.1% 44% 45% 11%
New York Times/Siena College October 22 – November 3, 2023 629 (RV) ± 4.5% 43% 49% 8%
Zogby Analytics October 9–12, 2023 628 (LV) ± 3.9% 49% 51% –
Bloomberg/Morning Consult October 5–10, 2023 801 (RV) ± 3.0% 43% 48% 9%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies October 7–9, 2023 761 (LV) – 40% 43% 17%
Rasmussen Reports (R) September 8–11, 2023 1,061 (LV) ± 3.0% 38% 47% 15%
Prime Group June 14–28, 2023 500 (RV) – 48% 52% –
500 (RV) – 36% 45% 19%
Cygnal (R) June 5–7, 2023 600 (LV) ± 4% 41% 42% 17%
Public Opinion Strategies (R) May 15–17, 2023 500 (RV) ± 4.4% 44% 43% 13%
Public Opinion Strategies (R) April 25–27, 2023 500 (RV) ± 4.4% 44% 43% 13%
Emerson College November 28–30, 2022 888 (LV) ± 3.2% 44% 43% 13%
University of Massachusetts Lowell November 18–28, 2022 1,300 (LV) ± 3.2% 47% 43% 7%
Targoz Market Research November 2–6, 2022 579 (LV) ± 4.0% 43% 52% 5%
Emerson College October 28–31, 2022 1,000 (LV) ± 3.0% 44% 47% 9%
Rasmussen Reports (R) October 23–24, 2022 1,053 (LV) ± 3.0% 39% 47% 14%
Emerson College October 6–7, 2022 1,000 (LV) ± 3.0% 43% 45% 12%
Echelon Insights August 31 – September 7, 2022 751 (LV) ± 4.4% 47% 45% 8%
Emerson College August 28–29, 2022 600 (LV) ± 3.9% 46% 51% 3%
PEM Management Corporation (R) July 22–24, 2022 300 (LV) ± 5.7% 40% 48% 12%
East Carolina University June 6–9, 2022 868 (RV) ± 3.9% 40% 47% 13%
Blueprint Polling (D) March 2–8, 2022 662 (V) ± 3.9% 36% 50% 14%
Fabrizio, Lee & Associates (R) November 11–16, 2021 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 45% 48% 7%

Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size 		Margin
of error 		Joe
Biden
Democratic 		Donald
Trump
Republican 		Robert
Kennedy Jr
Independent 		Cornel
West
Independent 		Jill
Stein
Green 		Other /
Undecided
July 21, 2024 Biden withdraws from the race.
Emerson College July 15–16, 2024 1,000 (RV) ± 3.0% 39% 44% 6% 2% 1% 8%
Rasmussen Reports (R) July 5–12, 2024 1,015 (LV) ± 3.0% 39% 44% 10% 1% 0% 6%
YouGov July 4–12, 2024 1,000 (RV) ± 3.6% 40% 44% 5% 1% 1% 14%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult July 1–5, 2024 790 (RV) ± 3.0% 42% 44% 7% 1% 0% 6%
Emerson College June 13–18, 2024 1,000 (RV) ± 3.0% 37% 45% 6% 1% 1% 10%
Quinnipiac University May 30 – June 3, 2024 1,203 (RV) ± 2.8% 37% 43% 8% 3% 2% 7%
Prime Group May 9–16, 2024 470 (RV) – 41% 42% 11% 5% 1% –
Bloomberg/Morning Consult May 7–13, 2024 795 (RV) ± 3.0% 39% 44% 8% 1% 1% 7%
Cook Political Report/BSG (R)/GS Strategy Group (D) May 6–13, 2024 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 38% 42% 10% 2% 1% 7%
New York Times/Siena College April 28 – May 9, 2024 604 (RV) ± 4.6% 31% 39% 9% 0% 1% 20%
604 (LV) ± 4.6% 34% 42% 8% 0% 0% 16%
Emerson College April 25–29, 2024 1,000 (RV) ± 3.0% 39% 45% 5% 2% 2% 8%
Fox News April 11–16, 2024 1,128 (RV) ± 3.0% 39% 46% 7% 1% 2% 5%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult April 8–15, 2024 802 (RV) ± 3.0% 40% 45% 7% 1% 1% 6%
Wall Street Journal March 17–24, 2024 600 (RV) ± 4.0% 35% 38% 8% 2% 1% 16%
Emerson College March 5–7, 2024 1,000 (RV) ± 3.0% 37% 44% 5% 2% 1% 11%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult March 8–12, 2024 788 (RV) ± 3.0% 38% 45% 7% 2% 0% 8%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult February 12–20, 2024 800 (RV) ± 3.0% 38% 45% 6% 1% 1% 9%
Emerson College February 14–16, 2024 1,000 (RV) ± 3.0% 36% 45% 6% 1% 1% 11%
Fox News January 26–30, 2024 1,119 (RV) ± 3.0% 37% 45% 8% 3% 1% 6%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult January 16–21, 2024 798 (RV) ± 3.0% 37% 44% 8% 1% 1% 11%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult November 27 – December 6, 2023 801 (RV) ± 3.0% 37% 44% 6% 2% 1% 10%
J.L. Partners/Daily Mail November 27 – December 1, 2023 550 (LV) ± 4.2% 41% 45% 2% 1% 0% 10%

Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr.

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size 		Margin
of error 		Joe
Biden
Democratic 		Donald
Trump
Republican 		Robert
Kennedy Jr
Independent 		Other /
Undecided
July 21, 2024 Biden withdraws from the race.
P2 Insights June 11–20, 2024 650 (LV) ± 3.8% 35% 45% 6% 14%
University of Georgia School of Public and International Affairs June 11–20, 2024 1,000 (LV) ± 3.1% 38% 43% 9% 10%
North Star Opinion Research May 1–5, 2024 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 33% 41% 13% 13%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies May 2–4, 2024 610 (LV) – 38% 43% 5% 14%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies March 14–17, 2024 760 (LV) – 41% 44% 6% 9%
Marist College March 11–14, 2024 1,177 (RV) ± 3.7% 40% 45% 14% 1%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies December 28–30, 2023 953 (LV) – 34% 42% 8% 16%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies November 27–29, 2023 746 (LV) – 35% 45% 7% 14%
New York Times/Siena College October 22 – November 3, 2023 629 (LV) ± 4.5% 29% 36% 24% 1%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies October 7–9, 2023 761 (LV) – 38% 41% 8% 13%

Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Cornel West

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size 		Margin
of error 		Joe
Biden
Democratic 		Donald
Trump
Republican 		Robert
Kennedy Jr
Independent 		Cornel
West
Independent 		Other /
Undecided
July 21, 2024 Biden withdraws from the race.
CNN/SSRS November 30 – December 7, 2023 1068 (RV) ± 3.3% 34% 42% 15% 6% 4%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult October 30 – November 7, 2023 803 (RV) ± 3.0% 34% 43% 10% 1% 12%
Zogby Analytics October 9–12, 2023 628 (LV) ± 3.9% 36% 44% 15% 5% –
Hypothetical polling with other candidates

Joe Biden vs. Nikki Haley

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size 		Margin
of error 		Joe
Biden
Democratic 		Nikki
Haley
Republican 		Other /
Undecided
CNN/SSRS November 30 – December 7, 2023 1,068 (RV) ± 3.3% 43% 49% 8%
University of Georgia School of Public and International Affairs October 30 – November 3, 2023 1,002 (LV) ± 3.1% 41% 43% 16%
New York Times/Siena College October 22 – November 3, 2023 629 (RV) ± 4.5% 40% 45% 15%

Joe Biden vs. Nikki Haley vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr.

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size 		Margin
of error 		Joe
Biden
Democratic 		Nikki
Haley
Republican 		Robert
Kennedy Jr
Independent 		Other Undecided
Redfield & Wilton Strategies November 27–29, 2023 746 (LV) – 35% 27% 17% 5% 15%

Joe Biden vs. Ron DeSantis

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size 		Margin
of error 		Joe
Biden
Democratic 		Ron
DeSantis
Republican 		Other /
Undecided
CNN/SSRS November 30 – December 7, 2023 1,068 (RV) ± 3.3% 48% 45% 7%
University of Georgia School of Public and International Affairs October 30 – November 3, 2023 1,002 (LV) ± 3.1% 43% 42% 15%
New York Times/Siena College October 22 – November 3, 2023 629 (RV) ± 4.5% 44% 45% 11%
Public Opinion Strategies (R) May 15–17, 2023 500 (RV) ± 4.4% 42% 45% –
Public Opinion Strategies (R) April 25–27, 2023 500 (RV) ± 4.4% 42% 47% 11%
Emerson College November 28–30, 2022 888 (LV) ± 3.2% 43% 47% 10%
University of Massachusetts Lowell November 18–28, 2022 1,300 (LV) ± 3.2% 46% 47% 7%
Echelon Insights August 31 – September 7, 2022 751 (LV) ± 4.4% 47% 42% 11%

Joe Biden vs. Ron DeSantis vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr.

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size 		Margin
of error 		Joe
Biden
Democratic 		Ron
DeSantis
Republican 		Robert
Kennedy Jr
Independent 		Other Undecided
Redfield & Wilton Strategies November 27–29, 2023 746 (LV) – 36% 34% 14% 4% 12%

Joe Biden vs. Mike Pence

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size 		Margin
of error 		Joe
Biden
Democratic 		Mike
Pence
Republican 		Other /
Undecided
Public Opinion Strategies (R) May 15–17, 2023 500 (RV) ± 4.4% 44% 43% –

Joe Biden vs. generic Republican

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size 		Margin
of error 		Joe
Biden
Democratic 		Generic
Republican 		Undecided
Cygnal (R) June 5–7, 2023 600 (LV) ± 4% 38% 48% 14%

Gavin Newsom vs. Donald Trump

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size 		Margin
of error 		Gavin
Newsom
Democratic 		Donald
Trump
Republican 		Other /
Undecided
Emerson College February 14–16, 2024 1,000 (RV) ± 3.0% 32% 51% 17%

See also

Notes

  1. Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.
  2. ^ Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear
  3. "Another candidate" with 2%
  4. "Someone else" with 1%
  5. ^ With voters who lean towards a given candidate
  6. "Someone else" with 1%
  7. ^ Poll conducted for WAGA-TV
  8. No Labels candidate
  9. Chase Oliver (L) with 3%
  10. Lars Mapstead (L) with 1%
  11. Lars Mapstead (L) with 2%
  12. "Someone else" with 10%
  13. Chase Oliver (L) with 1%

Partisan clients

  1. ^ Poll sponsored by the American Principles Project
  2. ^ Poll commissioned by AARP
  3. Poll conducted for Progress Action Fund, which supports Democratic candidates
  4. Poll sponsored by On Point Politics
  5. ^ Poll sponsored by The Atlanta Journal-Constitution
  6. ^ Poll sponsored by Democrats for the Next Generation PAC
  7. ^ Poll sponsored by The Heartland Institute
  8. ^ Poll sponsored by Citizens to Save Our Republic PAC, which opposes Trump
  9. ^ Poll sponsored by League of American Workers
  10. Poll sponsored by The Heritage Foundation
  11. Poll sponsored by Citizens to Save Our Republic PAC
  12. ^ Poll sponsored by Hardworking Americans PAC
  13. Poll conducted for the John Bolton Super PAC
  14. Poll sponsored by Trump's campaign
  15. Poll conducted for The Times, Stanford University, Arizona State University, and Yale University
  16. Poll sponsored by Building America's Future, which supports Republican candidates

References

  1. Wang, Hansi; Jin, Connie; Levitt, Zach (April 26, 2021). "Here's How The 1st 2020 Census Results Changed Electoral College, House Seats". NPR. Archived from the original on August 19, 2021. Retrieved August 20, 2021.
  2. Gellman, Barton (July 29, 2022). "How Six States Could Overturn the 2024 Election". The Atlantic. Retrieved August 6, 2022.
  3. Kinery, Emma (April 25, 2023). "Biden launches 2024 reelection campaign, promising to fulfill economic policy vision". CNBC. Archived from the original on April 25, 2023. Retrieved April 25, 2023.
  4. "Harris says she'll 'earn' nomination as Biden steps aside". The Washington Post. Retrieved July 21, 2024.
  5. Orr, Gabby (November 16, 2022). "Former President Donald Trump announces a White House bid for 2024". CNN.com. Retrieved October 8, 2023.
  6. Pellish, Aaron (February 27, 2024). "Super PAC supporting RFK Jr. says it has gathered enough signatures to put him on ballot in Arizona, Georgia | CNN Politics". CNN. Retrieved February 27, 2024.
  7. "Georgia Democratic Delegation 2024". www.thegreenpapers.com. Retrieved May 5, 2023.
  8. "2024 PRES PREF PRIMARY ELECTION". Varun's Live Election Maps. Retrieved March 12, 2024.
  9. "Georgia Republican Delegation 2024". www.thegreenpapers.com. Retrieved May 5, 2023.
  10. "Georgia Presidential Primary". The AP. Retrieved April 5, 2024.
  11. "2024 CPR Electoral College Ratings". Cook Political Report.
  12. "2024 Electoral College ratings". Sabato's Crystal Ball.
  13. "2024 presidential predictions". The Hill.
  14. "Electoral College map 2024: Road to 270". CNN.
  15. "Trump v Harris: The Economist's presidential election prediction model". The Economist.
  16. Morris, G. Elliott (June 11, 2024). "2024 Election Forecast". FiveThirtyEight.
  17. "2024 RCP Electoral College Map". RealClearPolitics.
  18. "2024 Presidential Forecast". CNalysis.
  19. "Presidential Ratings". Inside Elections.
  20. Clark, Doug Bock (August 3, 2024). "Marjorie Taylor Greene's and Brad Raffensperger's Voter Registrations Targeted in Georgia's New Online Portal". ProPublica. Retrieved August 29, 2024.
  21. Millhiser, Ian (August 28, 2024). "Georgia's MAGA elections board is laying the groundwork for an actual stolen election". Vox. Retrieved August 29, 2024.
  22. Clark, Doug Bock (August 27, 2024). "Officials Voted Down a Controversial Georgia Election Rule, Saying It Violated the Law. Then a Similar Version Passed". ProPublica. Retrieved August 29, 2024.
  23. "The Coming Election Battles". New York Times. September 5, 2024. But the likeliest source of trouble at the moment is Georgia, which embodies Republicans' two-pronged approach: They've set up new hurdles to voting and a process to stall — or even outright avoid — certifying the results if Trump loses.
  24. ^ Amy, Jeff (August 29, 2024). "Georgia puts Cornel West, Jill Stein and Claudia De la Cruz on the state's presidential ballots". AP News. Retrieved August 30, 2024.
  25. "Trump and Harris in dead heat". Patriot Polling. September 5, 2024.
  26. "Georgia: Harris and Trump Tied at 48%; (Rounded Numbers Below Tabs)". InsiderAdvantage. August 31, 2024.
  27. "August 2024 Swing State Polls: Toss-up Presidential Election in Swing States". Emerson Polling. August 29, 2024.
  28. ^ Korte, Gregory (August 29, 2024). "Harris Edges Trump in Key States, With Sun Belt Now Up for Grabs". Bloomberg.
  29. ^ Balara, Victoria; Blanton, Dana (August 28, 2024). "Fox News Poll: Harris closes gap with Trump in Sun Belt states". Fox News.
  30. ^ "New APP Polling: Trump Leads in 3 of 5 Swing States, Voters Reject Democrats' Cultural Extremism". American Principles Project. August 29, 2024.
  31. ^ Chalfant, Morgan; Sarlin, Benjy (August 19, 2024). "Harris leads Trump in five of seven battlegrounds: poll". Semafor.
  32. ^ "Toplines: August 2024 Times/Siena Poll of Registered Voters in Georgia". The New York Times. August 17, 2024 – via NYTimes.com.
  33. ^ Walter, Amy (August 14, 2024). "The Fight To Redefine the 2024 Race for President". Cook Political Report.
  34. Agiesta, Jennifer; Edwards-Levy, Ariel; Wu, Edward (September 4, 2024). "CNN polls across six battlegrounds find Georgia and Pennsylvania are key toss-ups". CNN.
  35. "Latest US Swing States Voting Intention (25 – 28 August 2024)". Redfield & Wilton Strategies. August 30, 2024.
  36. "Latest US Swing States Voting Intention (12 – 15 August 2024)". August 19, 2024.
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