2024 United States presidential election in New Jersey: Difference between revisions

Browse history interactively ← Previous edit Next edit →Content deleted Content addedVisual WikitextInline

Revision as of 02:28, 4 December 2024 editRhein Amacher (talk \| contribs)Extended confirmed users783 edits →By congressional district ← Previous edit		Revision as of 15:17, 2 January 2025 edit undoFrederickBarbarossa (talk \| contribs)210 editsmNo edit summaryNext edit →
(31 intermediate revisions by 22 users not shown)
Line 1:		Line 1:
	{{short description\|2024 Presidential election in the USA}}		{{short description\|2024 Presidential election in the USA}}
	{{Use mdy dates\|date=November 2024}}		{{Use mdy dates\|date=November 2024}}
	{{~~for\|related races~~\|2024 United States presidential election}}		{{main\|2024 United States presidential election}}
	{{row hover highlight}}		{{row hover highlight}}
	{{Infobox election		{{Infobox election
Line 20:		Line 20:
	\| running_mate1 = ''']'''		\| running_mate1 = ''']'''
	\| electoral_vote1 = '''14'''		\| electoral_vote1 = '''14'''
	\| popular_vote1 = '''2,~~218~~,~~076~~'''		\| popular_vote1 = '''2,220,713'''
	\| percentage1 = '''51.97%'''		\| percentage1 = '''51.97%'''
	\| image2 = File:Donald Trump official portrait (3x4a).jpg		\| image2 = File:Donald Trump official portrait (3x4a).jpg
Line 28:		Line 28:
	\| running_mate2 = ]		\| running_mate2 = ]
	\| electoral_vote2 = 0		\| electoral_vote2 = 0
	\| popular_vote2 = 1,~~966~~,~~571~~		\| popular_vote2 = 1,968,215
	\| percentage2 = 46.07%		\| percentage2 = 46.06%
	\| map_image = {{Switcher		\| map_image = {{Switcher
	\| ]		\| ]
Line 35:		Line 35:
	\| ]		\| ]
	\| Congressional district results		\| Congressional district results
	\| ]		\| ]
	\| Municipality results}}		\| Municipality results}}
	\| map_size = 405px		\| map_size = 405px
Line 45:		Line 45:
	{{legend\|#4389E3\|60–70%}}		{{legend\|#4389E3\|60–70%}}
	{{legend\|#1666CB\|70–80%}}		{{legend\|#1666CB\|70–80%}}
			{{legend\|#0654B4\|80–90%}}
	{{col-2}}		{{col-2}}
	'''Trump'''		'''Trump'''
Line 50:		Line 51:
	{{legend\|#E27F90\|50–60%}}		{{legend\|#E27F90\|50–60%}}
	{{legend\|#CC2F4A\|60–70%}}		{{legend\|#CC2F4A\|60–70%}}
			{{legend\|#D40000\|70–80%}}
			{{legend\|#AA0000\|80–90%}}
	{{col-end}}		{{col-end}}
	\| title = President		\| title = President
Line 60:		Line 63:
	The '''2024 United States presidential election in New Jersey''' took place on Tuesday, November 5, 2024, as part of the ] in which all 50 states plus the ] participated. ] voters chose electors to represent them in the ] via a popular vote. The state of New Jersey has 14 electoral votes in the Electoral College, following ] due to the ] in which the state neither gained nor lost a seat.<ref>{{Cite web\|last1=Wang \|first1=Hansi \|last2=Jin \|first2=Connie \|last3=Levitt \|first3=Zach \|title=Here's How The 1st 2020 Census Results Changed Electoral College, House Seats \|url=https://www.npr.org/2021/04/26/983082132/census-to-release-1st-results-that-shift-electoral-college-house-seats \|publisher=] \|access-date=2023-02-07 \|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20210819123145/https://www.npr.org/2021/04/26/983082132/census-to-release-1st-results-that-shift-electoral-college-house-seats \|archive-date=2021-08-19 \|date=2021-04-26 \|url-status=live}}</ref>		The '''2024 United States presidential election in New Jersey''' took place on Tuesday, November 5, 2024, as part of the ] in which all 50 states plus the ] participated. ] voters chose electors to represent them in the ] via a popular vote. The state of New Jersey has 14 electoral votes in the Electoral College, following ] due to the ] in which the state neither gained nor lost a seat.<ref>{{Cite web\|last1=Wang \|first1=Hansi \|last2=Jin \|first2=Connie \|last3=Levitt \|first3=Zach \|title=Here's How The 1st 2020 Census Results Changed Electoral College, House Seats \|url=https://www.npr.org/2021/04/26/983082132/census-to-release-1st-results-that-shift-electoral-college-house-seats \|publisher=] \|access-date=2023-02-07 \|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20210819123145/https://www.npr.org/2021/04/26/983082132/census-to-release-1st-results-that-shift-electoral-college-house-seats \|archive-date=2021-08-19 \|date=2021-04-26 \|url-status=live}}</ref>

	As a densely-populated state in the ], New Jersey has backed the ] candidate in every presidential election ~~starting~~ in ], doing so consistently by double digits starting in ]. In ], the state broke 57%–41% for Democrat ] of neighboring ]. The state was heavily favored to be carried by the Democrats by forecasters.		As a densely-populated state in the ], New Jersey has backed the ] candidate in every presidential election subsequent to ], doing so consistently by double digits starting in ]. In ], the state broke 57%–41% for Democrat ] of neighboring ]. The state was heavily favored to be carried by the Democrats by forecasters.

	New Jersey ~~has~~ ~~been~~ ~~called~~ ~~for~~ Democratic nominee ]. However, ~~Harris~~ ~~is winning~~ the state by 5.9 points, significantly smaller than Biden's 16-point win in 2020. This is the first time since the ] that the Democratic nominee won the state with a single digit margin of victory, and Republican nominee ]'s 46% vote share in New Jersey is on par with ]'s performance in ] and the closest a Republican has come to winning the state's electoral votes since ] in ]. New Jersey also had the second-largest swing to the right from the 2020 election after neighboring ], owing to poor Democratic turnout compared to ] and ].<ref>{{Cite web \|last1=Tully\|first1=Tracey\|last2=New York Times\|title=Trump's Narrow Loss in New Jersey Signals a Shift to the Right\|website=] \|date=2024-11-07\|url=https://www.nytimes.com/2024/11/07/nyregion/trump-nj-votes-election.html}}</ref> New Jersey joined most other blue and blue-leaning states such as New York, ], and ] to ~~see~~ significant rightward trends in 2024.<ref>{{Cite web \|last=Reporter \|first=Martha McHardy US News \|date=2024-11-06 \|title=America's red shift: Map shows how much each state moved toward Trump \|url=https://www.newsweek.com/kamala-harris-donald-trump-2024-election-states-1981422 \|access-date=2024-11-18 \|website=Newsweek \|language=en}}</ref>		New Jersey was won by the Democratic nominee ]. However, she won the state by 5.9 points, significantly smaller than Biden's 16-point win in 2020. This is the first time since the ] that the Democratic nominee won the state with a single digit margin of victory, and Republican nominee ]'s 46% vote share in New Jersey is on par with ]'s performance in ] and the closest a Republican has come to winning the state's electoral votes since ] in ]. New Jersey also had the second-largest swing to the right from the 2020 election after neighboring ], owing largely to poor Democratic turnout compared to ] and ].<ref>{{Cite web \|last1=Tully\|first1=Tracey\|last2=New York Times\|title=Trump's Narrow Loss in New Jersey Signals a Shift to the Right\|website=] \|date=2024-11-07\|url=https://www.nytimes.com/2024/11/07/nyregion/trump-nj-votes-election.html}}</ref> New Jersey joined most other blue and blue-leaning states such as New York, ], and ] in seeing significant rightward trends in 2024.<ref>{{Cite web \|last=Reporter \|first=Martha McHardy US News \|date=2024-11-06 \|title=America's red shift: Map shows how much each state moved toward Trump \|url=https://www.newsweek.com/kamala-harris-donald-trump-2024-election-states-1981422 \|access-date=2024-11-18 \|website=Newsweek \|language=en}}</ref>
	Trump's over 1.96 million votes is the most received by a Republican in a presidential election in the state's history, surpassing ]'s 1.93 million votes ].		Trump's over 1.96 million votes is the most received by a Republican in a presidential election in the state's history, surpassing ]'s 1.93 million votes ].

	Trump would retake ] and ], which he won in 2016 but lost to Biden in 2020. Additionally, Trump would be the first Republican to win ] since ], and ] and ] since ], while also being the first Republican presidential candidate to win a majority of the state's counties since 1992. 2024 also marked the first presidential election since 1992 in which New Jersey voted to the right of New Mexico.

	With this election, and Republican ]'s strong performance in the ], some analysts believe New Jersey has transitioned from a reliable ] into a ].<ref>Friedman, Matt; Han, Daniel (November 6, 2024). . '']''. Retrieved November 9, 2024.</ref>

	==Primary elections==		==Primary elections==
Line 325:		Line 324:

	===Results===		===Results===
	{{Election box begin\|title=2024 United States presidential election in New Jersey<ref>{{Cite web\|url=https://~~decisiondeskhq~~.~~com~~/~~results~~/~~2024~~/~~General~~/~~New~~-~~Jersey~~/\|title=Official ~~List~~ ~~Candidates~~ ~~for~~ ~~President~~ ~~For GENERAL ELECTION 11/05/2024 Election~~\|author=]\|date=2024-08-30\|access-date=2024-09-02\|website=nj.gov}}</ref>}}		{{Election box begin\|title=2024 United States presidential election in New Jersey<ref>{{Cite web\|url=https://www.nj.gov/state/elections/assets/pdf/election-results/2024/2024-official-general-results-president.pdf\|title=Official General Election Results: U.S. President\|author=]\|date=2024-12-05\|access-date=2024-12-16\|website=nj.gov}}</ref>}}
	{{Election box winning candidate with party link\|party=Democratic Party (United States)\|candidate=]<br/>]\|votes=2,~~212~~,~~479~~\|percentage=51.91%\|change=-5.43%}}		{{Election box winning candidate with party link\|party=Democratic Party (United States)\|candidate=]<br/>]\|votes=2,220,713\|percentage=51.97%\|change=-5.37%}}
	{{Election box candidate with party link\|party=Republican Party (United States)\|candidate=]<br/>]\|votes=1,~~963~~,~~242~~\|percentage=46.06%\|change=+4.66%}}		{{Election box candidate with party link\|party=Republican Party (United States)\|candidate=]<br/>]\|votes=1,968,215\|percentage=46.06%\|change=+4.66%}}
	{{Election box candidate with party link\|party=Green Party (United States)\|candidate=]<br/>]\|votes=42,~~090~~\|percentage=0.99%\|change=+0.68%}}		{{Election box candidate with party link\|party=Green Party (United States)\|candidate=]<br/>]\|votes=39,041\|percentage=0.91%\|change=+0.60%}}
	{{Election box candidate with party link\|party=Independent\|candidate={{ubl\|] ''(withdrawn)''\|] ''(withdrawn)''}}\|votes=23,~~395~~\|percentage=0.55%\|change=N/A}}		{{Election box candidate with party link\|party=Independent\|candidate={{ubl\|] ''(withdrawn)''\|] ''(withdrawn)''}}\|votes=23,479\|percentage=0.55%\|change=N/A}}
	{{Election box candidate with party link\|party=Libertarian Party (United States)\|candidate=]<br/>]\|votes=10,~~478~~\|percentage=0.25%\|change=-0.45%}}		{{Election box candidate with party link\|party=Libertarian Party (United States)\|candidate=]<br/>]\|votes=10,500\|percentage=0.25%\|change=-0.45%}}
	{{Election box candidate with party link\|party=Party for Socialism and Liberation\|candidate=]<br/>]\|votes=5,~~081~~\|percentage=0.12%\|change=+0.06%}}		{{Election box candidate with party link\|party=Party for Socialism and Liberation\|candidate=]<br/>]\|votes=5,105\|percentage=0.12%\|change=+0.06%}}
	{{Election box candidate with party link\|party=Constitution Party (United States)\|candidate=]<br/>]\|votes=3,~~005~~\|percentage=0.07%\|change=+0.01%}}		{{Election box candidate with party link\|party=Constitution Party (United States)\|candidate=]<br/>]\|votes=3,024\|percentage=0.07%\|change=+0.01%}}
	{{Election box candidate with party link\|party=Socialist Workers Party (United States)\|candidate=]<br/>Margaret Trowe{{#tag:ref\|Replaced by Dennis Richter.<ref name="t423">{{Cite web\|title=Dennis Richter, SWP candidate for vice president – The Militant \| website=The Militant – A socialist newsweekly published in the interests of working people \| date=2024-05-04 \| url=https://themilitant.com/2024/05/04/dennis-richter-swp-candidate-for-vice-president/ \| access-date=2024-09-23}}</ref>\|group=lower-alpha}}\|votes=1,~~364~~\|percentage=0.03%\|change=N/A}}		{{Election box candidate with party link\|party=Socialist Equality Party (United States)\|candidate=]<br/>]\|votes=1,371\|percentage=0.03%\|change=N/A}}
			{{Election box candidate with party link\|party=Socialist Workers Party (United States)\|candidate=]<br/>Margaret Trowe{{#tag:ref\|Replaced by Dennis Richter.<ref name="t423">{{Cite web \|title=Dennis Richter, SWP candidate for vice president – The Militant \|website=The Militant – A socialist newsweekly published in the interests of working people \|date=2024-05-04 \|url=https://themilitant.com/2024/05/04/dennis-richter-swp-candidate-for-vice-president/ \|access-date=2024-09-23}}</ref>\|group=lower-alpha}}\|votes=1,277\|percentage=0.03%\|change=N/A}}
	{{Election box ~~candidate with party link\|party=Socialist Equality Party (United States)\|candidate=]<br/>]~~\|votes=1,~~355~~\|percentage=0~~.03~~%\|change=~~N/A~~}}		{{Election box total\|votes=4,272,725\|percentage=100.0%\|change=}}
	{{Election box total\|votes=4,262,489\|percentage=100.0%\|change=}}
	{{Election box hold with party link no swing\|winner=Democratic Party (United States)}}		{{Election box hold with party link no swing\|winner=Democratic Party (United States)}}
	{{Election box end}}		{{Election box end}}

	====By congressional district====
	Harris won 8 of 12 congressional districts, with the remaining four going to Trump, including one that elected a Democrat.<ref>{{cite web \| url=https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1ZHx5E0-5vuXxcZShBgsAl_vwAntkkanGqYQp0owNjoQ/edit?gid=0#gid=0 \| title=2024 Pres by CD }}</ref>{{User-generated inline\|date=November 2024\|certain=yes}}
	{\|class=wikitable
	! District
	! Harris
	! Trump
	! Representative
	\|- align=center
	! {{party shading/Democratic}}\|{{ushr\|New Jersey\|1\|1st}}
	\|'''58.61%'''
	\|39.88%
	\| {{party shading/Democratic}}\|]
	\|- align=center
	! {{party shading/Republican}}\|{{ushr\|New Jersey\|2\|2nd}}
	\|42.96%
	\|'''55.60%'''
	\| {{party shading/Republican}}\|]
	\|- align=center
	! rowspan=2 {{party shading/Democratic}}\|{{ushr\|New Jersey\|3\|3rd}}
	\| rowspan=2\|'''53.36%'''
	\| rowspan=2\|45.00%
	\| {{party shading/Democratic}}\|] (])
	\|- align=center
	\| {{party shading/Democratic}}\|] (])
	\|- align=center
	! {{party shading/Republican}}\|{{ushr\|New Jersey\|4\|4th}}
	\|34.26%
	\|'''64.37%'''
	\| {{party shading/Republican}}\|]
	\|- align=center
	! {{party shading/Democratic}}\|{{ushr\|New Jersey\|5\|5th}}
	\|'''49.80%'''
	\|48.29%
	\| {{party shading/Democratic}}\|]
	\|- align=center
	! {{party shading/Democratic}}\|{{ushr\|New Jersey\|6\|6th}}
	\|'''51.95%'''
	\|45.53%
	\| {{party shading/Democratic}}\|]
	\|- align=center
	! {{party shading/Republican}}\|{{ushr\|New Jersey\|7\|7th}}
	\|48.45%
	\|'''49.63%'''
	\| {{party shading/Republican}}\|]
	\|- align=center
	! {{party shading/Democratic}}\|{{ushr\|New Jersey\|8\|8th}}
	\|'''61%'''
	\|37%
	\| {{party shading/Democratic}}\|]
	\|- align=center
	! {{party shading/Republican}}\|{{ushr\|New Jersey\|9\|9th}}
	\|48.02%
	\|'''49.16%'''
	\| {{party shading/Democratic}}\|]
	\|- align=center
	! {{party shading/Democratic}}\|{{ushr\|New Jersey\|10\|10th}}
	\|'''74.52%'''
	\|23.75%
	\| {{party shading/Democratic}}\|]
	\|- align=center
	! {{party shading/Democratic}}\|{{ushr\|New Jersey\|11\|11th}}
	\|'''53.34%'''
	\|44.62%
	\| {{party shading/Democratic}}\|]
	\|- align=center
	! {{party shading/Democratic}}\|{{ushr\|New Jersey\|12\|12th}}
	\|'''60.57%'''
	\|36.70%
	\| {{party shading/Democratic}}\|]
	\|- align=center
	\|}

	====By county====		====By county====
Line 432:		Line 359:
	\|-		\|-
	! style="text-align:center;" rowspan="2"\| County		! style="text-align:center;" rowspan="2"\| County
	! style="text-align:center;" colspan="2"\| Donald Trump<br />Republican
	! style="text-align:center;" colspan="2"\| Kamala Harris<br />Democratic		! style="text-align:center;" colspan="2"\| Kamala Harris<br />Democratic
			! style="text-align:center;" colspan="2"\| Donald Trump<br />Republican
	! style="text-align:center;" colspan="2"\| Various candidates<br />Other parties		! style="text-align:center;" colspan="2"\| Various candidates<br />Other parties
	! style="text-align:center;" colspan="2"\| Margin		! style="text-align:center;" colspan="2"\| Margin
	! style="text-align:center;" rowspan="2"\| Total ~~votes cast~~		! style="text-align:center;" rowspan="2"\| Total
	\|-		\|-
	! style="text-align:center;" data-sort-type="number"\| #		! style="text-align:center;" data-sort-type="number"\| #
Line 447:		Line 374:
	! style="text-align:center;" data-sort-type="number"\| %		! style="text-align:center;" data-sort-type="number"\| %
	\|- style="text-align:center;"		\|- style="text-align:center;"
	\| {{party shading/Republican}}\| ]		\| {{party shading/Republican}}\| ]
	\| {{party shading/~~Republican~~}}\| 65,~~611~~		\| {{party shading/Democratic}}\| 61,879
	\| {{party shading/~~Republican~~}}\| 50.65%		\| {{party shading/Democratic}}\| 47.52%
	\| {{party shading/~~Democratic~~}}\| 61,~~438~~		\| {{party shading/Republican}}\| 65,817
	\| {{party shading/~~Democratic~~}}\| 47.42%		\| {{party shading/Republican}}\| 50.55%
	\| {{party shading/Others}}\| 2,~~500~~		\| {{party shading/Others}}\| 2,513
	\| {{party shading/Others}}\| 1.93%		\| {{party shading/Others}}\| 1.93%
	\| {{party shading/Republican}}\| 4,~~173~~		\| {{party shading/Republican}}\| -3,938
	\| {{party shading/Republican}}\| 3.23%		\| {{party shading/Republican}}\| -3.03%
	\| {{party shading/Republican}}\| ~~129~~,~~549~~		\| {{party shading/Republican}}\| 130,209
	\|- style="text-align:center;"		\|- style="text-align:center;"
	\| {{party shading/Democratic}}\| ]		\| {{party shading/Democratic}}\| ]
	\| {{party shading/Republican}}\| 217,096
	\| {{party shading/Republican}}\| 47.12%
	\| {{party shading/Democratic}}\| 232,660		\| {{party shading/Democratic}}\| 232,660
	\| {{party shading/Democratic}}\| 50.50%		\| {{party shading/Democratic}}\| 50.50%
	\| {{party shading/~~Others~~}}\| 10,~~965~~		\| {{party shading/Republican}}\| 217,096
			\| {{party shading/Republican}}\| 47.12%
			\| {{party shading/Others}}\| 10,929
	\| {{party shading/Others}}\| 2.38%		\| {{party shading/Others}}\| 2.38%
	\| {{party shading/Democratic}}\| 15,564		\| {{party shading/Democratic}}\| 15,564
	\| {{party shading/Democratic}}\| 3.38%		\| {{party shading/Democratic}}\| 3.38%
	\| {{party shading/Democratic}}\| 460,~~721~~		\| {{party shading/Democratic}}\| 460,685
	\|- style="text-align:center;"		\|- style="text-align:center;"
	\| {{party shading/Democratic}}\| ]		\| {{party shading/Democratic}}\| ]
	\| {{party shading/Republican}}\| 94,116
	\| {{party shading/Republican}}\| 40.89%
	\| {{party shading/Democratic}}\| 132,275		\| {{party shading/Democratic}}\| 132,275
	\| {{party shading/Democratic}}\| 57.47%		\| {{party shading/Democratic}}\| 57.47%
			\| {{party shading/Republican}}\| 94,116
			\| {{party shading/Republican}}\| 40.89%
	\| {{party shading/Others}}\| 3,792		\| {{party shading/Others}}\| 3,792
	\| {{party shading/Others}}\| 1.65%		\| {{party shading/Others}}\| 1.64%
	\| {{party shading/Democratic}}\| 38,159		\| {{party shading/Democratic}}\| 38,159
	\| {{party shading/Democratic}}\| 16.58%		\| {{party shading/Democratic}}\| 16.58%
	\| {{party shading/Democratic}}\| 230,183		\| {{party shading/Democratic}}\| 230,183
	\|- style="text-align:center;"		\|- style="text-align:center;"
	\| {{party shading/Democratic}}\| ]		\| {{party shading/Democratic}}\| ]
			\| {{party shading/Democratic}}\| 155,522
			\| {{party shading/Democratic}}\| 62.76%
	\| {{party shading/Republican}}\| 87,767		\| {{party shading/Republican}}\| 87,767
	\| {{party shading/Republican}}\| 35.42%		\| {{party shading/Republican}}\| 35.42%
	\| {{party shading/Democratic}}\| 155,522
	\| {{party shading/Democratic}}\| 62.76%
	\| {{party shading/Others}}\| 4,497		\| {{party shading/Others}}\| 4,497
	\| {{party shading/Others}}\| 1.81%		\| {{party shading/Others}}\| 1.82%
	\| {{party shading/Democratic}}\| 67,755		\| {{party shading/Democratic}}\| 67,755
	\| {{party shading/Democratic}}\| 27.34%		\| {{party shading/Democratic}}\| 27.34%
	\| {{party shading/Democratic}}\| 247,786		\| {{party shading/Democratic}}\| 247,786
	\|- style="text-align:center;"		\|- style="text-align:center;"
	\| {{party shading/Republican}}\| ]		\| {{party shading/Republican}}\| ]
	\| {{party shading/Republican}}\| 32,151
	\| {{party shading/Republican}}\| 58.68%
	\| {{party shading/Democratic}}\| 21,648		\| {{party shading/Democratic}}\| 21,648
	\| {{party shading/Democratic}}\| 39.51%		\| {{party shading/Democratic}}\| 39.51%
			\| {{party shading/Republican}}\| 32,151
			\| {{party shading/Republican}}\| 58.68%
	\| {{party shading/Others}}\| 987		\| {{party shading/Others}}\| 987
	\| {{party shading/Others}}\| 1.80%		\| {{party shading/Others}}\| 1.81%
	\| {{party shading/Republican}}\| 10,503		\| {{party shading/Republican}}\| -10,503
	\| {{party shading/Republican}}\| 19.17%		\| {{party shading/Republican}}\| -19.17%
	\| {{party shading/Republican}}\| 54,786		\| {{party shading/Republican}}\| 54,786
	\|- style="text-align:center;"		\|- style="text-align:center;"
	\| {{party shading/Republican}}\| ]		\| {{party shading/Republican}}\| ]
	\| {{party shading/Republican}}\| 28,675
	\| {{party shading/Republican}}\| 51.25%
	\| {{party shading/Democratic}}\| 26,577		\| {{party shading/Democratic}}\| 26,577
	\| {{party shading/Democratic}}\| 47.50%		\| {{party shading/Democratic}}\| 47.50%
			\| {{party shading/Republican}}\| 28,675
			\| {{party shading/Republican}}\| 51.25%
	\| {{party shading/Others}}\| 700		\| {{party shading/Others}}\| 700
	\| {{party shading/Others}}\| 1.25%		\| {{party shading/Others}}\| 1.25%
	\| {{party shading/Republican}}\| 2,098		\| {{party shading/Republican}}\| -2,098
	\| {{party shading/Republican}}\| 3.75%		\| {{party shading/Republican}}\| -3.75%
	\| {{party shading/Republican}}\| 55,952		\| {{party shading/Republican}}\| 55,952
	\|- style="text-align:center;"		\|- style="text-align:center;"
	\| {{party shading/Democratic}}\| ]		\| {{party shading/Democratic}}\| ]
	\| {{party shading/Republican}}\| 83,908
	\| {{party shading/Republican}}\| 26.78%
	\| {{party shading/Democratic}}\| 224,596		\| {{party shading/Democratic}}\| 224,596
	\| {{party shading/Democratic}}\| 71.69%		\| {{party shading/Democratic}}\| 71.69%
			\| {{party shading/Republican}}\| 83,908
			\| {{party shading/Republican}}\| 26.78%
	\| {{party shading/Others}}\| 4,779		\| {{party shading/Others}}\| 4,779
	\| {{party shading/Others}}\| 1.53%		\| {{party shading/Others}}\| 1.53%
	\| {{party shading/Democratic}}\| 140,688		\| {{party shading/Democratic}}\| 140,688
	\| {{party shading/Democratic}}\| 41.91%		\| {{party shading/Democratic}}\| 44.91%
	\| {{party shading/Democratic}}\| ~~331~~,283		\| {{party shading/Democratic}}\| 313,283
	\|- style="text-align:center;"		\|- style="text-align:center;"
	\| {{party shading/Republican}}\| ]		\| {{party shading/Republican}}\| ]
			\| {{party shading/Democratic}}\| 78,708
			\| {{party shading/Democratic}}\| 47.63%
	\| {{party shading/Republican}}\| 83,326		\| {{party shading/Republican}}\| 83,326
	\| {{party shading/Republican}}\| 50.42%		\| {{party shading/Republican}}\| 50.42%
	\| {{party shading/Democratic}}\| 78,708
	\| {{party shading/Democratic}}\| 47.63%
	\| {{party shading/Others}}\| 3,229		\| {{party shading/Others}}\| 3,229
	\| {{party shading/Others}}\| 1.95%		\| {{party shading/Others}}\| 1.95%
	\| {{party shading/Republican}}\| 4,618		\| {{party shading/Republican}}\| -4,618
	\| {{party shading/Republican}}\| 2.79%		\| {{party shading/Republican}}\| -2.79%
	\| {{party shading/Republican}}\| 165,263		\| {{party shading/Republican}}\| 165,263
	\|- style="text-align:center;"		\|- style="text-align:center;"
	\| {{party shading/Democratic}}\| ]		\| {{party shading/Democratic}}\| ]
			\| {{party shading/Democratic}}\| 144,765
			\| {{party shading/Democratic}}\| 62.34%
	\| {{party shading/Republican}}\| 79,913		\| {{party shading/Republican}}\| 79,913
	\| {{party shading/Republican}}\| 34.41%		\| {{party shading/Republican}}\| 34.41%
	\| {{party shading/Democratic}}\| 144,765
	\| {{party shading/Democratic}}\| 62.34%
	\| {{party shading/Others}}\| 7,554		\| {{party shading/Others}}\| 7,554
	\| {{party shading/Others}}\| 3.25%		\| {{party shading/Others}}\| 3.25%
Line 546:		Line 473:
	\| {{party shading/Democratic}}\| 232,232		\| {{party shading/Democratic}}\| 232,232
	\|- style="text-align:center;"		\|- style="text-align:center;"
	\| {{party shading/Republican}}\| ]		\| {{party shading/Republican}}\| ]
			\| {{party shading/Democratic}}\| 36,995
			\| {{party shading/Democratic}}\| 45.52%
	\| {{party shading/Republican}}\| 42,391		\| {{party shading/Republican}}\| 42,391
	\| {{party shading/Republican}}\| 52.16%		\| {{party shading/Republican}}\| 52.16%
	\| {{party shading/Democratic}}\| 36,995
	\| {{party shading/Democratic}}\| 45.52%
	\| {{party shading/Others}}\| 1,885		\| {{party shading/Others}}\| 1,885
	\| {{party shading/Others}}\| 2.32%		\| {{party shading/Others}}\| 2.32%
	\| {{party shading/Republican}}\| 5,396		\| {{party shading/Republican}}\| -5,396
	\| {{party shading/Republican}}\| 6.64%		\| {{party shading/Republican}}\| -6.64%
	\| {{party shading/Republican}}\| 81,271		\| {{party shading/Republican}}\| 81,271
	\|- style="text-align:center;"		\|- style="text-align:center;"
	\| {{party shading/Democratic}}\| ]		\| {{party shading/Democratic}}\| ]
	\| {{party shading/Republican}}\| 52,274
	\| {{party shading/Republican}}\| 31.92%
	\| {{party shading/Democratic}}\| 107,558		\| {{party shading/Democratic}}\| 107,558
	\| {{party shading/Democratic}}\| 65.67%		\| {{party shading/Democratic}}\| 65.67%
			\| {{party shading/Republican}}\| 52,274
			\| {{party shading/Republican}}\| 31.92%
	\| {{party shading/Others}}\| 3,947		\| {{party shading/Others}}\| 3,947
	\| {{party shading/Others}}\| 2.41%		\| {{party shading/Others}}\| 2.41%
	\| {{party shading/Democratic}}\| 55,284		\| {{party shading/Democratic}}\| 55,284
	\| {{party shading/Democratic}}\| 31.91%		\| {{party shading/Democratic}}\| 33.75%
	\| {{party shading/Democratic}}\| 163,~~748~~		\| {{party shading/Democratic}}\| 163,779
	\|- style="text-align:center;"		\|- style="text-align:center;"
	\| {{party shading/Democratic}}\| ]		\| {{party shading/Democratic}}\| ]
	\| {{party shading/Republican}}\| 162,459
	\| {{party shading/Republican}}\| 44.37%
	\| {{party shading/Democratic}}\| 191,802		\| {{party shading/Democratic}}\| 191,802
	\| {{party shading/Democratic}}\| 52.39%		\| {{party shading/Democratic}}\| 52.31%
	\| {{party shading/~~Others~~}}\| 11,~~873~~		\| {{party shading/Republican}}\| 162,459
	\| {{party shading/~~Others~~}}\| 3.24%		\| {{party shading/Republican}}\| 44.31%
			\| {{party shading/Others}}\| 12,378
			\| {{party shading/Others}}\| 3.38%
	\| {{party shading/Democratic}}\| 29,343		\| {{party shading/Democratic}}\| 29,343
	\| {{party shading/Democratic}}\| 8.01%		\| {{party shading/Democratic}}\| 8.00%
	\| {{party shading/Democratic}}\| 366,~~134~~		\| {{party shading/Democratic}}\| 366,639
	\|- style="text-align:center;"		\|- style="text-align:center;"
	\| {{party shading/Republican}}\| ]		\| {{party shading/Republican}}\| ]
	\| {{party shading/Republican}}\| 197,409
	\| {{party shading/Republican}}\| 54.59%
	\| {{party shading/Democratic}}\| 156,382		\| {{party shading/Democratic}}\| 156,382
	\| {{party shading/Democratic}}\| 43.25%		\| {{party shading/Democratic}}\| 43.25%
			\| {{party shading/Republican}}\| 197,409
			\| {{party shading/Republican}}\| 54.59%
	\| {{party shading/Others}}\| 7,805		\| {{party shading/Others}}\| 7,805
	\| {{party shading/Others}}\| 2.16%		\| {{party shading/Others}}\| 2.16%
	\| {{party shading/Republican}}\| 41,027		\| {{party shading/Republican}}\| -41,027
	\| {{party shading/Republican}}\| 11.35%		\| {{party shading/Republican}}\| -11.34%
	\| {{party shading/Republican}}\| 361,596		\| {{party shading/Republican}}\| 361,596
	\|- style="text-align:center;"		\|- style="text-align:center;"
	\| {{party shading/Republican}}\| ]		\| {{party shading/Republican}}\| ]
			\| {{party shading/Democratic}}\| 135,672
			\| {{party shading/Democratic}}\| 47.43%
	\| {{party shading/Republican}}\| 143,439		\| {{party shading/Republican}}\| 143,439
	\| {{party shading/Republican}}\| 50.39%		\| {{party shading/Republican}}\| 50.14%
	\| {{party shading/Democratic}}\| 135,672
	\| {{party shading/Democratic}}\| 47.66%
	\| {{party shading/Others}}\| 6,955		\| {{party shading/Others}}\| 6,955
	\| {{party shading/Others}}\| 2.43%		\| {{party shading/Others}}\| 2.43%
	\| {{party shading/Republican}}\| 5,~~555~~		\| {{party shading/Republican}}\| -7,767
	\| {{party shading/Republican}}\| 2.75%		\| {{party shading/Republican}}\| -2.71%
	\| {{party shading/Republican}}\| 286,066		\| {{party shading/Republican}}\| 286,066
	\|- style="text-align:center;"		\|- style="text-align:center;"
	\| {{party shading/Republican}}\| ]		\| {{party shading/Republican}}\| ]
	\| {{party shading/Republican}}\| 227,232
	\| {{party shading/Republican}}\| 67.40%
	\| {{party shading/Democratic}}\| 105,789		\| {{party shading/Democratic}}\| 105,789
	\| {{party shading/Democratic}}\| 31.38%		\| {{party shading/Democratic}}\| 31.30%
	\| {{party shading/~~Others~~}}\| 4,~~114~~		\| {{party shading/Republican}}\| 227,232
	\| {{party shading/~~Others~~}}\| 1.22%		\| {{party shading/Republican}}\| 67.22%
	\| {{party shading/~~Republican~~}}\| ~~121~~,~~443~~		\| {{party shading/Others}}\| 5,014
	\| {{party shading/~~Republican~~}}\| 35.93%		\| {{party shading/Others}}\| 1.48%
			\| {{party shading/Republican}}\| -121,443
			\| {{party shading/Republican}}\| -35.92%
	\| {{party shading/Republican}}\| 338,035		\| {{party shading/Republican}}\| 338,035
	\|- style="text-align:center;"		\|- style="text-align:center;"
	\| {{party shading/Republican}}\| ]		\| {{party shading/Republican}}\| ]
	\| {{party shading/~~Republican~~}}\| ~~100~~,~~955~~		\| {{party shading/Democratic}}\| 95,156
	\| {{party shading/~~Republican~~}}\| 49.23%		\| {{party shading/Democratic}}\| 46.79%
	\| {{party shading/~~Democratic~~}}\| 95,~~155~~		\| {{party shading/Republican}}\| 100,954
	\| {{party shading/~~Democratic~~}}\| 46.40%		\| {{party shading/Republican}}\| 49.65%
	\| {{party shading/Others}}\| 8,~~953~~		\| {{party shading/Others}}\| 7,241
	\| {{party shading/Others}}\| 4.37%		\| {{party shading/Others}}\| 3.56%
	\| {{party shading/Republican}}\| 5,~~800~~		\| {{party shading/Republican}}\| -5,798
	\| {{party shading/Republican}}\| 2.85%		\| {{party shading/Republican}}\| -2.86%
	\| {{party shading/Republican}}\| 203,351		\| {{party shading/Republican}}\| 203,351
	\|- style="text-align:center;"		\|- style="text-align:center;"
	\| {{party shading/Republican}}\| ]		\| {{party shading/Republican}}\| ]
	\| {{party shading/~~Republican~~}}\| 18,~~227~~		\| {{party shading/Democratic}}\| 12,275
	\| {{party shading/~~Republican~~}}\| 58.71%		\| {{party shading/Democratic}}\| 39.49%
	\| {{party shading/~~Democratic~~}}\| 12,~~236~~		\| {{party shading/Republican}}\| 18,229
	\| {{party shading/~~Democratic~~}}\| 39.42%		\| {{party shading/Republican}}\| 58.64%
	\| {{party shading/Others}}\| 581		\| {{party shading/Others}}\| 581
	\| {{party shading/Others}}\| 1.87%		\| {{party shading/Others}}\| 1.87%
	\| {{party shading/Republican}}\| 5,~~991~~		\| {{party shading/Republican}}\| -5,954
	\| {{party shading/Republican}}\| 19.30%		\| {{party shading/Republican}}\| -19.15%
	\| {{party shading/Republican}}\| 31,~~044~~		\| {{party shading/Republican}}\| 31,085
	\|- style="text-align:center;"		\|- style="text-align:center;"
	\| {{party shading/Democratic}}\| ]		\| {{party shading/Democratic}}\| ]
	\| {{party shading/Republican}}\| 74,101
	\| {{party shading/Republican}}\| 41.55%
	\| {{party shading/Democratic}}\| 98,790		\| {{party shading/Democratic}}\| 98,790
	\| {{party shading/Democratic}}\| 55.39%		\| {{party shading/Democratic}}\| 55.39%
			\| {{party shading/Republican}}\| 74,101
			\| {{party shading/Republican}}\| 41.55%
	\| {{party shading/Others}}\| 5,452		\| {{party shading/Others}}\| 5,452
	\| {{party shading/Others}}\| 3.06%		\| {{party shading/Others}}\| 3.06%
Line 645:		Line 572:
	\| {{party shading/Democratic}}\| 178,343		\| {{party shading/Democratic}}\| 178,343
	\|- style="text-align:center;"		\|- style="text-align:center;"
	\| {{party shading/Republican}}\| ]		\| {{party shading/Republican}}\| ]
	\| {{party shading/~~Republican~~}}\| 52,~~121~~		\| {{party shading/Democratic}}\| 31,019
	\| {{party shading/~~Republican~~}}\| 61.39%		\| {{party shading/Democratic}}\| 36.53%
	\| {{party shading/~~Democratic~~}}\| 31,~~008~~		\| {{party shading/Republican}}\| 52,123
	\| {{party shading/~~Democratic~~}}\| 36.52%		\| {{party shading/Republican}}\| 61.38%
	\| {{party shading/Others}}\| 1,775		\| {{party shading/Others}}\| 1,775
	\| {{party shading/Others}}\| 2.09%		\| {{party shading/Others}}\| 2.09%
	\| {{party shading/Republican}}\| 21,~~113~~		\| {{party shading/Republican}}\| -21,104
	\| {{party shading/Republican}}\| 24.87%		\| {{party shading/Republican}}\| -24.85%
	\| {{party shading/Republican}}\| 84,~~904~~		\| {{party shading/Republican}}\| 84,917
	\|- style="text-align:center;"		\|- style="text-align:center;"
	\| {{party shading/Democratic}}\| ]		\| {{party shading/Democratic}}\| ]
	\| {{party shading/Republican}}\| 89,063
	\| {{party shading/Republican}}\| 36.81%
	\| {{party shading/Democratic}}\| 147,327		\| {{party shading/Democratic}}\| 147,327
	\| {{party shading/Democratic}}\| 60.90%		\| {{party shading/Democratic}}\| 60.90%
			\| {{party shading/Republican}}\| 89,063
			\| {{party shading/Republican}}\| 36.81%
	\| {{party shading/Others}}\| 5,533		\| {{party shading/Others}}\| 5,533
	\| {{party shading/Others}}\| 2.29%		\| {{party shading/Others}}\| 2.29%
	\| {{party shading/Democratic}}\| 58,264		\| {{party shading/Democratic}}\| 58,264
	\| {{party shading/Democratic}}\| 24.08%		\| {{party shading/Democratic}}\| 24.09%
	\| {{party shading/Democratic}}\| 241,923		\| {{party shading/Democratic}}\| 241,923
	\|- style="text-align:center;"		\|- style="text-align:center;"
	\| {{party shading/Republican}}\| ]		\| {{party shading/Republican}}\| ]
	\| {{party shading/Republican}}\| 35,772
	\| {{party shading/Republican}}\| 59.27%
	\| {{party shading/Democratic}}\| 23,318		\| {{party shading/Democratic}}\| 23,318
	\| {{party shading/Democratic}}\| 38.63%		\| {{party shading/Democratic}}\| 38.63%
			\| {{party shading/Republican}}\| 35,772
			\| {{party shading/Republican}}\| 59.27%
	\| {{party shading/Others}}\| 1,266		\| {{party shading/Others}}\| 1,266
	\| {{party shading/Others}}\| 2.10%		\| {{party shading/Others}}\| 2.10%
	\| {{party shading/Republican}}\| 12,454		\| {{party shading/Republican}}\| -12,454
	\| {{party shading/Republican}}\| 20.63%		\| {{party shading/Republican}}\| -20.64%
	\| {{party shading/Republican}}\| 60,356		\| {{party shading/Republican}}\| 60,356
	\|-		\|-
	!Totals!!1,~~968~~,~~006~~!!45.65%!!2,~~220~~,~~221~~!!51.50%!! !! !!~~{{party shading/Democratic}}\|~~252,~~215~~!!~~{{party shading/Democratic}}\|~~5.85%!!4,~~311~~,~~523~~		!Totals!!2,220,713!!51.79%!!1,968,215!!45.90%!!98,812!!2.31%!!252,498!!5.89%!!4,287,740
	\|}		\|}

			====Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican====

			* ] (largest municipality: ])
			* ] (largest municipality: ])
			* ] (largest municipality: ])
			* ] (largest municipality: ])
			* ] (largest municipality: ])

			====By congressional district====
			Harris won 8 of 12 congressional districts, with the remaining four going to Trump, including one that elected a Democrat.<ref>{{cite web \| url=https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1ZHx5E0-5vuXxcZShBgsAl_vwAntkkanGqYQp0owNjoQ/edit?gid=0#gid=0 \| title=2024 Pres by CD }}</ref>{{User-generated inline\|date=November 2024\|certain=yes}}
			{\|class=wikitable
			! District
			! Harris
			! Trump
			! Representative
			\|- align=center
			! {{party shading/Democratic}}\|{{ushr\|New Jersey\|1\|1st}}
			\|'''58.61%'''
			\|39.88%
			\| {{party shading/Democratic}}\|]
			\|- align=center
			! {{party shading/Republican}}\|{{ushr\|New Jersey\|2\|2nd}}
			\|42.96%
			\|'''55.60%'''
			\| {{party shading/Republican}}\|]
			\|- align=center
			! rowspan=2 {{party shading/Democratic}}\|{{ushr\|New Jersey\|3\|3rd}}
			\| rowspan=2\|'''53.36%'''
			\| rowspan=2\|45.00%
			\| {{party shading/Democratic}}\|] (])
			\|- align=center
			\| {{party shading/Democratic}}\|] (])
			\|- align=center
			! {{party shading/Republican}}\|{{ushr\|New Jersey\|4\|4th}}
			\|34.26%
			\|'''64.37%'''
			\| {{party shading/Republican}}\|]
			\|- align=center
			! {{party shading/Democratic}}\|{{ushr\|New Jersey\|5\|5th}}
			\|'''49.80%'''
			\|48.29%
			\| {{party shading/Democratic}}\|]
			\|- align=center
			! {{party shading/Democratic}}\|{{ushr\|New Jersey\|6\|6th}}
			\|'''51.95%'''
			\|45.53%
			\| {{party shading/Democratic}}\|]
			\|- align=center
			! {{party shading/Republican}}\|{{ushr\|New Jersey\|7\|7th}}
			\|48.45%
			\|'''49.63%'''
			\| {{party shading/Republican}}\|]
			\|- align=center
			! {{party shading/Democratic}}\|{{ushr\|New Jersey\|8\|8th}}
			\|'''60.83%'''
			\|36.35%
			\| {{party shading/Democratic}}\|]
			\|- align=center
			! {{party shading/Republican}}\|{{ushr\|New Jersey\|9\|9th}}
			\|48.02%
			\|'''49.16%'''
			\| {{party shading/Democratic}}\|]
			\|- align=center
			! {{party shading/Democratic}}\|{{ushr\|New Jersey\|10\|10th}}
			\|'''74.52%'''
			\|23.75%
			\| {{party shading/Democratic}}\|]
			\|- align=center
			! {{party shading/Democratic}}\|{{ushr\|New Jersey\|11\|11th}}
			\|'''53.34%'''
			\|44.62%
			\| {{party shading/Democratic}}\|]
			\|- align=center
			! {{party shading/Democratic}}\|{{ushr\|New Jersey\|12\|12th}}
			\|'''60.57%'''
			\|36.70%
			\| {{party shading/Democratic}}\|]
			\|- align=center
			\|}

			== Analysis ==
			Trump retook ] and ], which he won in 2016 but lost to Biden in 2020. Additionally, Trump would be the first Republican to win ] since ], and ] and ] since ], while also being the first Republican presidential candidate to win a majority of the state's counties since 1992. 2024 also marked the first presidential election since 1992 in which New Jersey voted to the right of New Mexico.

			With this election, and Republican ]'s strong performance in the ], some analysts believe New Jersey has transitioned from a reliable ] into a potential ].<ref>Friedman, Matt; Han, Daniel (November 6, 2024). . '']''. Retrieved November 9, 2024.</ref> The concurrent Senate race also lends this theory some legitimacy, as Kim was polling 20 points ahead of Bashaw in aggregates, but only won by 9.4%, a smaller margin than Menendez received in 2018 at 11.2%.

	==See also==		==See also==

Revision as of 15:17, 2 January 2025

2024 Presidential election in the USA

Main article: 2024 United States presidential election

2024 United States presidential election in New Jersey

← 2020

November 5, 2024

2028 →


Nominee	Kamala Harris	Donald Trump
Party	Democratic	Republican
Home state	California	Florida
Running mate	Tim Walz	JD Vance
Projected electoral vote	14	0
Popular vote	2,220,713	1,968,215
Percentage	51.97%	46.06%

County results

Congressional district results

Municipality results

Harris

40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90%

Trump

40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90%

President before election

Joe Biden
Democratic

Elected President

Donald Trump
Republican

Elections in New Jersey

Federal government

U.S. President
1788-89 1792 1796 1800 1804 1808 1812 1816 1820 1824 1828 1832 1836 1840 1844 1848 1852 1856 1860 1864 1868 1872 1876 1880 1884 1888 1892 1896 1900 1904 1908 1912 1916 1920 1924 1928 1932 1936 1940 1944 1948 1952 1956 1960 1964 1968 1972 1976 1980 1984 1988 1992 1996 2000 2004 Dem 2008 Rep Dem 2012 2016 Dem 2020 Dem 2024 Dem Rep
U.S. Senate
1788 1790 1790 (sp) 1792 1796 1796 (sp) 1798 1799 (sp) 1801 (sp) 1803 (sp) 1804 1808 1809 1809 (sp) 1810 1815 1816 (sp) 1817 1820 1823 1823 (sp) 1826 1826 (sp) 1829 1829 (sp) 1833 1835 1839 1840 1845 1846 1851 1853 (sp) 1857 1858 1863 (sp) 1864 1866 (sp) 1867 (sp) 1869 1875 1877 1881 1883 1886 1889 1893 1895 1899 1901 1902 (sp) 1905 1907 1911 1913 1916 1918 1918 (sp) 1922 1924 1928 1930 1930 (sp) 1932 (sp) 1934 1936 1938 (sp) 1940 1942 1944 (sp) 1948 1954 1958 1960 1964 1966 1970 1972 1976 1978 1982 1984 1988 1990 1994 1996 2000 2002 2006 2008 2012 2013 (sp) 2014 2018 2020 2024 2026
U.S. House of Representatives
1789 1791 1792 1794 1795 (sp AL) 1797 1798 1800 1803 1804 1806 1808 (sp AL) 1808 1810 (sp AL) 1810 1814 (sp 3rd) 1813 1814 1816 1818 1820 1821 (sp AL) 1822 1824 1826 1828 1828 (sp AL) 1830 1832 1834 1836 1836 1838 1840 1842 1844 1846 1850 1852 1854 1856 1858 1860 1862 1864 1866 1868 1870 1872 1874 1876 1878 1880 1882 1884 1886 1888 1890 1892 1894 1896 1898 1900 1902 1904 1906 1908 1910 1912 1913 (sp 6th) 1914 1916 1920 1924 1926 1928 1932 1934 1936 1938 1940 1942 1944 1948 1950 1951 (sp 9th) 1952 1954 1956 1958 1960 1968 1972 1980 1984 1988 1988 (sp 3rd) 1990 1990 (sp 1st) 1992 1994 1996 1998 2000 2002 2006 2006 (5th) 2006 (12th) 2008 2010 2012 2012 (sp 10th) 2014 2016 2018 2020 2022 2024 2024 (sp 10th) 2026

State government

General elections
2009 2010 2015 2017 2019 2021 2023 2025
Gubernatorial elections
1843 1844 1847 1850 1853 1856 1859 1862 1865 1868 1871 1874 1877 1880 1883 1886 1889 1892 1895 1898 1901 1904 1907 1910 1913 1916 1919 1922 1925 1928 1931 1934 1937 1940 1943 1946 1949 1953 1957 1961 1965 1969 1973 1977 1981 1985 1989 1993 1997 2001 2005 2009 2013 2017 2021 2025
Senate elections
1873 ... 1957 1959 1961 1963 1965 1967 1971 1973 1977 1981 1983 1987 1991 1993 1997 2001 2003 2007 2011 2013 2017 2021 2023
General Assembly elections
1985 1987 1989 1991 ... 2015 2017 2019 2021 2023 2025

Newark

Mayoral elections
1970 ... 2002 2006 2010 2014 2018 2022

Jersey City

Mayoral elections
2001 2004 2005 2009 2013 2017 2021 2025

Hoboken

Mayoral elections
2005 2017 2021

Atlantic City

Mayoral elections
2017 2021

The 2024 United States presidential election in New Jersey took place on Tuesday, November 5, 2024, as part of the 2024 United States elections in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia participated. New Jersey voters chose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote. The state of New Jersey has 14 electoral votes in the Electoral College, following reapportionment due to the 2020 United States census in which the state neither gained nor lost a seat.

As a densely-populated state in the Northeast, New Jersey has backed the Democratic candidate in every presidential election subsequent to 1988, doing so consistently by double digits starting in 2008. In 2020, the state broke 57%–41% for Democrat Joe Biden of neighboring Delaware. The state was heavily favored to be carried by the Democrats by forecasters.

New Jersey was won by the Democratic nominee Kamala Harris. However, she won the state by 5.9 points, significantly smaller than Biden's 16-point win in 2020. This is the first time since the 2004 presidential election that the Democratic nominee won the state with a single digit margin of victory, and Republican nominee Donald Trump's 46% vote share in New Jersey is on par with George W. Bush's performance in 2004 and the closest a Republican has come to winning the state's electoral votes since George H. W. Bush in 1992. New Jersey also had the second-largest swing to the right from the 2020 election after neighboring New York, owing largely to poor Democratic turnout compared to 2020 and 2016. New Jersey joined most other blue and blue-leaning states such as New York, California, and Illinois in seeing significant rightward trends in 2024. Trump's over 1.96 million votes is the most received by a Republican in a presidential election in the state's history, surpassing Ronald Reagan's 1.93 million votes from 1984.

Primary elections

Democratic primary

Main article: 2024 New Jersey Democratic presidential primary

The New Jersey Democratic primary was held on June 4, 2024, alongside primaries in the District of Columbia, Montana, New Mexico, and South Dakota.

New Jersey Democratic primary, June 4, 2024
Candidate	Votes	Percentage	Actual delegate count
Candidate	Votes	Percentage	Pledged	Unpledged	Total
Joe Biden (incumbent)	458,281	88.2%	124
Uncommitted	46,988	9.1%	2
Terrisa Bukovinac	14,179	2.7%
Write-in votes	1,269	0.2%
Total:	520,717	100.0%	126	20	146

Republican primary

Main article: 2024 New Jersey Republican presidential primary

The New Jersey Republican primary was held on June 4, 2024, alongside primaries in the District of Columbia, Montana, New Mexico, and South Dakota.

New Jersey Republican primary, June 4, 2024
Candidate	Votes	Percentage	Actual delegate count
Candidate	Votes	Percentage	Bound	Unbound	Total
Donald Trump	294,658	96.7%	12	0	12
Write-in votes	9,915	3.3%	0	0	0
Total:	304,573	100.00%	12	0	12

General election

Predictions

Source	Ranking	As of
Cook Political Report	Solid D	November 1, 2024
Inside Elections	Solid D	October 31, 2024
Sabato's Crystal Ball	Safe D	September 25, 2024
Decision Desk HQ/The Hill	Safe D	August 26, 2024
CNalysis	Solid D	December 30, 2023
CNN	Solid D	January 14, 2024
The Economist	Safe D	October 27, 2024
538	Solid D	October 21, 2024
NBC News	Safe D	October 6, 2024

Polling

Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size	Margin of error	Kamala Harris Democratic	Donald Trump Republican	Other / Undecided
Research Co.	November 2–3, 2024	450 (LV)	± 4.6%	57%	40%	3%
Rutgers-Eagleton	October 15–22, 2024	451 (RV)	–	55%	35%	10%
Rutgers-Eagleton	October 15–22, 2024	478 (RV)	–	51%	37%	12%
ActiVote	October 2–28, 2024	400 (LV)	± 4.9%	57%	43%	–
Cygnal (R)	October 23–24, 2024	600 (LV)	± 4.0%	52%	40%	8%
ActiVote	September 4 – October 2, 2024	400 (LV)	± 4.9%	56%	44%	–

Hypothetical polling with Joe Biden and Donald Trump

Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size	Margin of error	Joe Biden Democratic	Donald Trump Republican	Other / Undecided
United 2024 (R)	July 1–2, 2024	477 (RV)	± 4.5%	41%	43%	16%
John Zogby Strategies	April 13–21, 2024	530 (LV)	–	51%	42%	7%
Emerson College	March 26–29, 2024	1,000 (RV)	± 3.0%	46%	39%	15%

Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size	Margin of error	Joe Biden Democratic	Donald Trump Republican	Robert F. Kennedy Jr. Independent	Cornel West Independent	Jill Stein Green	Other / Undecided
United 2024 (R)	July 1–2, 2024	477 (RV)	± 4.5%	43%	43%	8%	—	3%	3%
Emerson College	March 26–29, 2024	1,000 (RV)	± 3.0%	41%	36%	8%	1%	1%	13%

Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr.

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size	Margin of error	Joe Biden Democratic	Donald Trump Republican	Robert F. Kennedy Jr. Independent	Other / Undecided
co/efficient (R)	June 26–27, 2024	810 (LV)	± 3.4%	40%	41%	7%	12%

Hypothetical polling with other candidates

Joe Biden vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr.

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size	Margin of error	Joe Biden Democratic	Robert F. Kennedy Jr. Independent	Other / Undecided
John Zogby Strategies	April 13–21, 2024	530 (LV)	–	48%	41%	11%

Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Donald Trump

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size	Margin of error	Robert F. Kennedy Jr. Independent	Donald Trump Republican	Other / Undecided
John Zogby Strategies	April 13–21, 2024	530 (LV)	–	42%	40%	18%

Results

2024 United States presidential election in New Jersey
Party		Candidate	Votes	%	±%
	Democratic	Kamala Harris Tim Walz	2,220,713	51.97%	−5.37%
	Republican	Donald Trump JD Vance	1,968,215	46.06%	+4.66%
	Green	Jill Stein Butch Ware	39,041	0.91%	+0.60%
	Independent	Robert F. Kennedy Jr. (withdrawn) Nicole Shanahan (withdrawn)	23,479	0.55%	N/A
	Libertarian	Chase Oliver Mike ter Maat	10,500	0.25%	−0.45%
	Socialism and Liberation	Claudia De la Cruz Karina Garcia	5,105	0.12%	+0.06%
	Constitution	Randall Terry Stephen Broden	3,024	0.07%	+0.01%
	Socialist Equality	Joseph Kishore Jerome White	1,371	0.03%	N/A
	Socialist Workers	Rachele Fruit Margaret Trowe	1,277	0.03%	N/A
Total votes			4,272,725	100.0%
	Democratic hold

By county

Swing by county
Legend

Republican — +0-2.5%
Republican — +2.5-5%
Republican — +5-7.5%
Republican — +7.5-10%
Republican — +10-12.5%
Republican — +12.5-15%
Republican — +>15%

County flips
Legend

Democratic
Hold
Republican
Hold Gain from Democratic

County	Kamala Harris Democratic		Donald Trump Republican		Various candidates Other parties		Margin		Total
County	#	%	#	%	#	%	#	%	Total
Atlantic	61,879	47.52%	65,817	50.55%	2,513	1.93%	-3,938	-3.03%	130,209
Bergen	232,660	50.50%	217,096	47.12%	10,929	2.38%	15,564	3.38%	460,685
Burlington	132,275	57.47%	94,116	40.89%	3,792	1.64%	38,159	16.58%	230,183
Camden	155,522	62.76%	87,767	35.42%	4,497	1.82%	67,755	27.34%	247,786
Cape May	21,648	39.51%	32,151	58.68%	987	1.81%	-10,503	-19.17%	54,786
Cumberland	26,577	47.50%	28,675	51.25%	700	1.25%	-2,098	-3.75%	55,952
Essex	224,596	71.69%	83,908	26.78%	4,779	1.53%	140,688	44.91%	313,283
Gloucester	78,708	47.63%	83,326	50.42%	3,229	1.95%	-4,618	-2.79%	165,263
Hudson	144,765	62.34%	79,913	34.41%	7,554	3.25%	64,852	27.93%	232,232
Hunterdon	36,995	45.52%	42,391	52.16%	1,885	2.32%	-5,396	-6.64%	81,271
Mercer	107,558	65.67%	52,274	31.92%	3,947	2.41%	55,284	33.75%	163,779
Middlesex	191,802	52.31%	162,459	44.31%	12,378	3.38%	29,343	8.00%	366,639
Monmouth	156,382	43.25%	197,409	54.59%	7,805	2.16%	-41,027	-11.34%	361,596
Morris	135,672	47.43%	143,439	50.14%	6,955	2.43%	-7,767	-2.71%	286,066
Ocean	105,789	31.30%	227,232	67.22%	5,014	1.48%	-121,443	-35.92%	338,035
Passaic	95,156	46.79%	100,954	49.65%	7,241	3.56%	-5,798	-2.86%	203,351
Salem	12,275	39.49%	18,229	58.64%	581	1.87%	-5,954	-19.15%	31,085
Somerset	98,790	55.39%	74,101	41.55%	5,452	3.06%	24,689	13.84%	178,343
Sussex	31,019	36.53%	52,123	61.38%	1,775	2.09%	-21,104	-24.85%	84,917
Union	147,327	60.90%	89,063	36.81%	5,533	2.29%	58,264	24.09%	241,923
Warren	23,318	38.63%	35,772	59.27%	1,266	2.10%	-12,454	-20.64%	60,356
Totals	2,220,713	51.79%	1,968,215	45.90%	98,812	2.31%	252,498	5.89%	4,287,740

Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican

Atlantic (largest municipality: Egg Harbor Township)
Cumberland (largest municipality: Vineland)
Gloucester (largest municipality: Washington Township)
Morris (largest municipality: Parsippany)
Passaic (largest municipality: Paterson)

By congressional district

Harris won 8 of 12 congressional districts, with the remaining four going to Trump, including one that elected a Democrat.

District	Harris	Trump	Representative
1st	58.61%	39.88%	Donald Norcross
2nd	42.96%	55.60%	Jeff Van Drew
3rd	53.36%	45.00%	Andy Kim (118th Congress)
3rd	53.36%	45.00%	Herb Conaway (119th Congress)
4th	34.26%	64.37%	Chris Smith
5th	49.80%	48.29%	Josh Gottheimer
6th	51.95%	45.53%	Frank Pallone Jr.
7th	48.45%	49.63%	Tom Kean Jr.
8th	60.83%	36.35%	Rob Menendez
9th	48.02%	49.16%	Nellie Pou
10th	74.52%	23.75%	LaMonica McIver
11th	53.34%	44.62%	Mikie Sherrill
12th	60.57%	36.70%	Bonnie Watson Coleman

Analysis

Trump retook Gloucester County and Morris County, which he won in 2016 but lost to Biden in 2020. Additionally, Trump would be the first Republican to win Passaic County since 1992, and Atlantic County and Cumberland County since 1988, while also being the first Republican presidential candidate to win a majority of the state's counties since 1992. 2024 also marked the first presidential election since 1992 in which New Jersey voted to the right of New Mexico.

With this election, and Republican Jack Ciattarelli's strong performance in the 2021 gubernatorial election, some analysts believe New Jersey has transitioned from a reliable blue state into a potential swing state. The concurrent Senate race also lends this theory some legitimacy, as Kim was polling 20 points ahead of Bashaw in aggregates, but only won by 9.4%, a smaller margin than Menendez received in 2018 at 11.2%.

Notes

^ Key:
A – all adults
RV – registered voters
LV – likely voters
V – unclear
"Neither/Someone else" with 6%
With each candidate's party affiliation excluded
"Neither/Someone else" with 7%
"A third-party candidate" with 4%
Grouped with "Other Third Party Candidate"
Replaced by Dennis Richter.

Partisan clients

^ Poll conducted for Kennedy's campaign

References

Wang, Hansi; Jin, Connie; Levitt, Zach (April 26, 2021). "Here's How The 1st 2020 Census Results Changed Electoral College, House Seats". NPR. Archived from the original on August 19, 2021. Retrieved February 7, 2023.
Tully, Tracey; New York Times (November 7, 2024). "Trump's Narrow Loss in New Jersey Signals a Shift to the Right". The New York Times.
Reporter, Martha McHardy US News (November 6, 2024). "America's red shift: Map shows how much each state moved toward Trump". Newsweek. Retrieved November 18, 2024.
"New Jersey Presidential Election Results 2024". NBC News. Retrieved June 4, 2024.
"New Jersey Presidential Election Results 2024". NBC News. Retrieved June 4, 2024.
"2024 CPR Electoral College Ratings". cookpolitical.com. Cook Political Report. December 19, 2023. Retrieved January 11, 2024.
"Presidential Ratings". insideelections.com. Inside Elections. April 26, 2023. Retrieved January 11, 2024.
"2024 Electoral College ratings". centerforpolitics.org. University of Virginia Center for Politics. June 29, 2023. Retrieved January 11, 2024.
"2024 presidential predictions". elections2024.thehill.com/. The Hill. December 14, 2023. Retrieved August 26, 2024.
"2024 Presidential Forecast". projects.cnalysis.com/. CNalysis. December 30, 2023. Retrieved January 11, 2024.
"Electoral College map 2024: Road to 270". CNN. Retrieved January 14, 2024.
"Trump v Biden: The Economist's presidential election prediction model". The Economist. Retrieved November 2, 2024.
Morris, G. Elliott (June 11, 2024). "2024 Election Forecast". FiveThirtyEight. Retrieved October 24, 2024.
"Presidential Election Preview 2024". NBC News.
Canseco, Mario (November 4, 2024). "Battleground States Remain Closely Contested in U.S. Race". Research Co.
"New Jersey Voters Are "True Blue" to Democrats, But Loyalty Fades and Uncertainty Rises in the Absence of Partisanship Down Ballot" (PDF). Rutgers-Eagleton. October 30, 2024.
Allis, Victor (October 29, 2024). "Harris Leads in New Jersey". ActiVote.
Shucard, Ryan (October 26, 2024). "New Jersey Statewide Poll: Harris Underperforms Compared to Past Democratic Nominees". Cygnal. Archived from the original on October 29, 2024. Retrieved October 27, 2024.
Allis, Victor (October 3, 2024). "Harris leads by double digits in New Jersey". ActiVote. Retrieved October 3, 2024.
^ Wildstein, David (July 3, 2024). "GOP super PAC poll in N.J. shows Biden vs. Trump, Kim vs. Bashaw statistically tied". New Jersey Globe.
^ "Biden Is the Real Spoiler, Kennedy Only Candidate Who Can Beat Trump". Kennedy24. May 1, 2024.
^ Mumford, Camille (April 2, 2024). "New Jersey 2024 Poll: Majority of Democrats Support Kim for U.S. Senate Nomination". Emerson Polling.
"New Jersey U.S. Senate 2024 - General Election". co/efficient. June 27, 2024.
Secretary of State of New Jersey (December 5, 2024). "Official General Election Results: U.S. President" (PDF). nj.gov. Retrieved December 16, 2024.
"Dennis Richter, SWP candidate for vice president – The Militant". The Militant – A socialist newsweekly published in the interests of working people. May 4, 2024. Retrieved September 23, 2024.
"2024 Pres by CD".
Friedman, Matt; Han, Daniel (November 6, 2024). New Jersey might be a swing state now. Politico. Retrieved November 9, 2024.

v t e (2023 ←) 2024 United States elections (→ 2025)
U.S. President	Alabama Alaska Arizona Arkansas California Colorado Connecticut Delaware District of Columbia Florida Georgia Hawaii Idaho Illinois Indiana Iowa Kansas Kentucky Louisiana Maine Maryland Massachusetts Michigan Minnesota Mississippi Missouri Montana Nebraska Nevada New Hampshire New Jersey New Mexico New York North Carolina North Dakota Ohio Oklahoma Oregon Pennsylvania Rhode Island South Carolina South Dakota Tennessee Texas Utah Vermont Virginia Washington West Virginia Wisconsin Wyoming Straw polls Guam Puerto Rico
U.S. Senate	Arizona California Connecticut Delaware Florida Hawaii Indiana Maine Maryland Massachusetts Michigan Minnesota Mississippi Missouri Montana Nebraska Nebraska (special) Nevada New Jersey New Mexico New York North Dakota Ohio Pennsylvania Rhode Island Tennessee Texas Utah Vermont Virginia Washington West Virginia Wisconsin Wyoming
U.S. House (election ratings)	Alabama Alaska American Samoa Arizona Arkansas California 16th 20th sp 30th 45th 47th Colorado 4th sp Connecticut Delaware District of Columbia Florida Georgia Guam Hawaii Idaho Illinois Indiana Iowa Kansas Kentucky Louisiana Maine Maryland 6th Massachusetts Michigan Minnesota Mississippi Missouri Montana Nebraska Nevada New Hampshire New Jersey 10th sp New Mexico New York 3rd sp 26th sp North Carolina North Dakota Northern Mariana Islands Ohio 6th sp Oklahoma Oregon Pennsylvania Puerto Rico Rhode Island South Carolina South Dakota Tennessee Texas 18th sp Utah Vermont Virginia U.S. Virgin Islands Washington West Virginia Wisconsin 8th sp Wyoming
Governors	American Samoa Delaware Lt. Gov Indiana Missouri Lt. Gov Montana New Hampshire North Carolina Lt. Gov North Dakota Puerto Rico Utah Vermont Lt. Gov Washington Lt. Gov West Virginia
Attorneys general	Indiana Missouri Montana North Carolina Oregon Pennsylvania Utah Vermont Washington West Virginia
Secretaries of state	Missouri Montana North Carolina Oregon Vermont Washington West Virginia
State treasurers	Arkansas (special) Missouri North Carolina North Dakota Oregon Pennsylvania Utah Vermont Washington West Virginia
Judicial	Alabama Supreme Court Civil Appeals Criminal Appeals Arkansas Arizona Georgia Guam Kentucky Michigan Minnesota North Carolina Ohio Oklahoma Tennessee Texas Washington West Virginia Wyoming
Other statewide elections	Alabama Board of Education Public Service Commission Arizona Corporation Commission Delaware Insurance Commissioner Georgia Judicial Montana Auditor Superintendent New Hampshire Executive Council North Carolina Council of State North Dakota Auditor Insurance Commissioner Superintendent Public Service Commissioner Oklahoma Corporation Commissioner Pennsylvania Auditor General Texas Railroad Commissioner Utah Auditor Vermont Auditor Washington Auditor Land Commissioner Insurance Commissioner Superintendent West Virginia Auditor Agriculture Commissioner
State legislative	Alaska House Senate Arizona House Senate Arkansas House Senate California Assembly Senate Colorado House Senate Connecticut House Senate Delaware House Senate Florida House Senate Georgia House Senate Hawaii House Senate Idaho House Senate Illinois House Senate Indiana House Senate Iowa House Senate Kansas House Senate Kentucky House Senate Maine House Senate Massachusetts House Senate Michigan House Minnesota House Missouri House Senate Montana House Senate Nebraska Nevada Assembly Senate New Hampshire House Senate New Mexico House Senate New York Assembly Senate North Carolina House Senate North Dakota House Senate Ohio House Senate Oklahoma House Senate Oregon House Senate Pennsylvania House Senate Puerto Rico House Senate Rhode Island House Senate South Carolina House Senate South Dakota House Senate Tennessee House Senate Texas House Senate Utah House Senate Vermont House Senate Washington House Senate West Virginia House Senate Wisconsin Assembly Senate Wyoming House Senate Special elections
Mayors	Alexandria, VA Anchorage, AK Austin, TX Bakersfield, CA Baltimore, MD Baton Rouge, LA Bridgeport, CT Burlington, VT Cheyenne, WY El Paso, TX Fayetteville, AR Fort Lauderdale, FL Fresno, CA Grand Rapids, MI Honolulu, HI Huntington, WV Huntsville, AL Irvine, CA Las Vegas, NV Lubbock, TX Mesa, AZ Miami-Dade County, FL Milwaukee, WI Phoenix, AZ Portland, OR Pueblo, CO Raleigh, NC Richmond, VA Riverside, CA Sacramento, CA Salt Lake County, UT San Diego, CA San Francisco, CA San Jose, CA Stockton, CA Tulsa, OK Virginia Beach, VA Wilmington, DE
Local	Alameda County, CA (recall) Chicago, IL Lee County, AL Los Angeles, CA Los Angeles County, CA Maricopa County, AZ Board of Supervisors New Castle County, DE Multnomah County, OR Orange County, CA Portland, OR City Auditor City Council San Diego, CA San Francisco, CA Board of Supervisors District Attorney San Mateo County, CA Tulsa, OK Washington, D.C.
States and territories	Alabama Alaska American Samoa Arizona Arkansas California Colorado Connecticut Delaware Florida Georgia Guam Hawaii Idaho Illinois Indiana Iowa Kansas Kentucky Louisiana Maine Maryland Massachusetts Michigan Minnesota Mississippi Missouri Montana Nebraska Nevada New Hampshire New Jersey New Mexico New York North Carolina North Dakota Northern Mariana Islands Ohio Oklahoma Oregon Pennsylvania Puerto Rico Rhode Island South Carolina South Dakota Tennessee Texas U.S. Virgin Islands Utah Vermont Virginia Washington Washington, D.C. West Virginia Wisconsin Wyoming
Ballot measures	Alabama Amendment 1 Alaska Ballot Measure 2 Arizona Proposition 139 California Proposition 1 Proposition 2 Proposition 3 Proposition 4 Proposition 5 Proposition 6 Proposition 32 Proposition 33 Proposition 34 Proposition 35 Proposition 36 Colorado Amendment 79 Amendment 80 Amendment I Amendment J Proposition 127 Proposition 128 Proposition 129 Proposition 131 District of Columbia Initiative 83 Florida Amendment 3 Amendment 4 Hawaii Amendment 1 Idaho open primary initiative Kentucky Amendment 2 Maine Question 5 Maryland Question 1 Missouri Amendment 3 Montana Initiative 128 Nebraska Initiative 434 Initiative 439 Nevada Question 6 New York Proposal 1 Ohio Issue 1 Oregon Measure 115 Measure 116 Measure 117 Measure 118 Measure 119 Puerto Rico Status South Dakota Amendment E Amendment G Amendment H Wyoming Amendment A

v t e State and district results of the 2024 United States presidential election
Alabama Alaska Arizona Arkansas California Colorado Connecticut Delaware District of Columbia Florida Georgia Hawaii Idaho Illinois Indiana Iowa Kansas Kentucky Louisiana Maine Maryland Massachusetts Michigan Minnesota Mississippi Missouri Montana Nebraska Nevada New Hampshire New Jersey New Mexico New York North Carolina North Dakota Ohio Oklahoma Oregon Pennsylvania Rhode Island South Carolina South Dakota Tennessee Texas Utah Vermont Virginia Washington West Virginia Wisconsin Wyoming Straw polls Guam Puerto Rico

Categories: