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Normal-inverse-gamma distribution

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normal-inverse-gamma
Probability density functionProbability density function of normal-inverse-gamma distribution for α = 1.0, 2.0 and 4.0, plotted in shifted and scaled coordinates.
Parameters μ {\displaystyle \mu \,} location (real)
λ > 0 {\displaystyle \lambda >0\,} (real)
α > 0 {\displaystyle \alpha >0\,} (real)
β > 0 {\displaystyle \beta >0\,} (real)
Support x ( , ) , σ 2 ( 0 , ) {\displaystyle x\in (-\infty ,\infty )\,\!,\;\sigma ^{2}\in (0,\infty )}
PDF λ 2 π σ 2 β α Γ ( α ) ( 1 σ 2 ) α + 1 exp ( 2 β + λ ( x μ ) 2 2 σ 2 ) {\displaystyle {\frac {\sqrt {\lambda }}{\sqrt {2\pi \sigma ^{2}}}}{\frac {\beta ^{\alpha }}{\Gamma (\alpha )}}\left({\frac {1}{\sigma ^{2}}}\right)^{\alpha +1}\exp \left(-{\frac {2\beta +\lambda (x-\mu )^{2}}{2\sigma ^{2}}}\right)}
Mean

E [ x ] = μ {\displaystyle \operatorname {E} =\mu }

E [ σ 2 ] = β α 1 {\displaystyle \operatorname {E} ={\frac {\beta }{\alpha -1}}} , for α > 1 {\displaystyle \alpha >1}
Mode

x = μ (univariate) , x = μ (multivariate) {\displaystyle x=\mu \;{\textrm {(univariate)}},x={\boldsymbol {\mu }}\;{\textrm {(multivariate)}}}

σ 2 = β α + 1 + 1 / 2 (univariate) , σ 2 = β α + 1 + k / 2 (multivariate) {\displaystyle \sigma ^{2}={\frac {\beta }{\alpha +1+1/2}}\;{\textrm {(univariate)}},\sigma ^{2}={\frac {\beta }{\alpha +1+k/2}}\;{\textrm {(multivariate)}}}
Variance

Var [ x ] = β ( α 1 ) λ {\displaystyle \operatorname {Var} ={\frac {\beta }{(\alpha -1)\lambda }}} , for α > 1 {\displaystyle \alpha >1}
Var [ σ 2 ] = β 2 ( α 1 ) 2 ( α 2 ) {\displaystyle \operatorname {Var} ={\frac {\beta ^{2}}{(\alpha -1)^{2}(\alpha -2)}}} , for α > 2 {\displaystyle \alpha >2}

Cov [ x , σ 2 ] = 0 {\displaystyle \operatorname {Cov} =0} , for α > 1 {\displaystyle \alpha >1}

In probability theory and statistics, the normal-inverse-gamma distribution (or Gaussian-inverse-gamma distribution) is a four-parameter family of multivariate continuous probability distributions. It is the conjugate prior of a normal distribution with unknown mean and variance.

Definition

Suppose

x σ 2 , μ , λ N ( μ , σ 2 / λ ) {\displaystyle x\mid \sigma ^{2},\mu ,\lambda \sim \mathrm {N} (\mu ,\sigma ^{2}/\lambda )\,\!}

has a normal distribution with mean μ {\displaystyle \mu } and variance σ 2 / λ {\displaystyle \sigma ^{2}/\lambda } , where

σ 2 α , β Γ 1 ( α , β ) {\displaystyle \sigma ^{2}\mid \alpha ,\beta \sim \Gamma ^{-1}(\alpha ,\beta )\!}

has an inverse-gamma distribution. Then ( x , σ 2 ) {\displaystyle (x,\sigma ^{2})} has a normal-inverse-gamma distribution, denoted as

( x , σ 2 ) N- Γ 1 ( μ , λ , α , β ) . {\displaystyle (x,\sigma ^{2})\sim {\text{N-}}\Gamma ^{-1}(\mu ,\lambda ,\alpha ,\beta )\!.}

( NIG {\displaystyle {\text{NIG}}} is also used instead of N- Γ 1 . {\displaystyle {\text{N-}}\Gamma ^{-1}.} )

The normal-inverse-Wishart distribution is a generalization of the normal-inverse-gamma distribution that is defined over multivariate random variables.

Characterization

Probability density function

f ( x , σ 2 μ , λ , α , β ) = λ σ 2 π β α Γ ( α ) ( 1 σ 2 ) α + 1 exp ( 2 β + λ ( x μ ) 2 2 σ 2 ) {\displaystyle f(x,\sigma ^{2}\mid \mu ,\lambda ,\alpha ,\beta )={\frac {\sqrt {\lambda }}{\sigma {\sqrt {2\pi }}}}\,{\frac {\beta ^{\alpha }}{\Gamma (\alpha )}}\,\left({\frac {1}{\sigma ^{2}}}\right)^{\alpha +1}\exp \left(-{\frac {2\beta +\lambda (x-\mu )^{2}}{2\sigma ^{2}}}\right)}

For the multivariate form where x {\displaystyle \mathbf {x} } is a k × 1 {\displaystyle k\times 1} random vector,

f ( x , σ 2 μ , V 1 , α , β ) = | V | 1 / 2 ( 2 π ) k / 2 β α Γ ( α ) ( 1 σ 2 ) α + 1 + k / 2 exp ( 2 β + ( x μ ) T V 1 ( x μ ) 2 σ 2 ) . {\displaystyle f(\mathbf {x} ,\sigma ^{2}\mid \mu ,\mathbf {V} ^{-1},\alpha ,\beta )=|\mathbf {V} |^{-1/2}{(2\pi )^{-k/2}}\,{\frac {\beta ^{\alpha }}{\Gamma (\alpha )}}\,\left({\frac {1}{\sigma ^{2}}}\right)^{\alpha +1+k/2}\exp \left(-{\frac {2\beta +(\mathbf {x} -{\boldsymbol {\mu }})^{T}\mathbf {V} ^{-1}(\mathbf {x} -{\boldsymbol {\mu }})}{2\sigma ^{2}}}\right).}

where | V | {\displaystyle |\mathbf {V} |} is the determinant of the k × k {\displaystyle k\times k} matrix V {\displaystyle \mathbf {V} } . Note how this last equation reduces to the first form if k = 1 {\displaystyle k=1} so that x , V , μ {\displaystyle \mathbf {x} ,\mathbf {V} ,{\boldsymbol {\mu }}} are scalars.

Alternative parameterization

It is also possible to let γ = 1 / λ {\displaystyle \gamma =1/\lambda } in which case the pdf becomes

f ( x , σ 2 μ , γ , α , β ) = 1 σ 2 π γ β α Γ ( α ) ( 1 σ 2 ) α + 1 exp ( 2 γ β + ( x μ ) 2 2 γ σ 2 ) {\displaystyle f(x,\sigma ^{2}\mid \mu ,\gamma ,\alpha ,\beta )={\frac {1}{\sigma {\sqrt {2\pi \gamma }}}}\,{\frac {\beta ^{\alpha }}{\Gamma (\alpha )}}\,\left({\frac {1}{\sigma ^{2}}}\right)^{\alpha +1}\exp \left(-{\frac {2\gamma \beta +(x-\mu )^{2}}{2\gamma \sigma ^{2}}}\right)}

In the multivariate form, the corresponding change would be to regard the covariance matrix V {\displaystyle \mathbf {V} } instead of its inverse V 1 {\displaystyle \mathbf {V} ^{-1}} as a parameter.

Cumulative distribution function

F ( x , σ 2 μ , λ , α , β ) = e β σ 2 ( β σ 2 ) α ( erf ( λ ( x μ ) 2 σ ) + 1 ) 2 σ 2 Γ ( α ) {\displaystyle F(x,\sigma ^{2}\mid \mu ,\lambda ,\alpha ,\beta )={\frac {e^{-{\frac {\beta }{\sigma ^{2}}}}\left({\frac {\beta }{\sigma ^{2}}}\right)^{\alpha }\left(\operatorname {erf} \left({\frac {{\sqrt {\lambda }}(x-\mu )}{{\sqrt {2}}\sigma }}\right)+1\right)}{2\sigma ^{2}\Gamma (\alpha )}}}

Properties

Marginal distributions

Given ( x , σ 2 ) N- Γ 1 ( μ , λ , α , β ) . {\displaystyle (x,\sigma ^{2})\sim {\text{N-}}\Gamma ^{-1}(\mu ,\lambda ,\alpha ,\beta )\!.} as above, σ 2 {\displaystyle \sigma ^{2}} by itself follows an inverse gamma distribution:

σ 2 Γ 1 ( α , β ) {\displaystyle \sigma ^{2}\sim \Gamma ^{-1}(\alpha ,\beta )\!}

while α λ β ( x μ ) {\displaystyle {\sqrt {\frac {\alpha \lambda }{\beta }}}(x-\mu )} follows a t distribution with 2 α {\displaystyle 2\alpha } degrees of freedom.

Proof for λ = 1 {\displaystyle \lambda =1}

For λ = 1 {\displaystyle \lambda =1} probability density function is

f ( x , σ 2 μ , α , β ) = 1 σ 2 π β α Γ ( α ) ( 1 σ 2 ) α + 1 exp ( 2 β + ( x μ ) 2 2 σ 2 ) {\displaystyle f(x,\sigma ^{2}\mid \mu ,\alpha ,\beta )={\frac {1}{\sigma {\sqrt {2\pi }}}}\,{\frac {\beta ^{\alpha }}{\Gamma (\alpha )}}\,\left({\frac {1}{\sigma ^{2}}}\right)^{\alpha +1}\exp \left(-{\frac {2\beta +(x-\mu )^{2}}{2\sigma ^{2}}}\right)}

Marginal distribution over x {\displaystyle x} is

f ( x μ , α , β ) = 0 d σ 2 f ( x , σ 2 μ , α , β ) = 1 2 π β α Γ ( α ) 0 d σ 2 ( 1 σ 2 ) α + 1 / 2 + 1 exp ( 2 β + ( x μ ) 2 2 σ 2 ) {\displaystyle {\begin{aligned}f(x\mid \mu ,\alpha ,\beta )&=\int _{0}^{\infty }d\sigma ^{2}f(x,\sigma ^{2}\mid \mu ,\alpha ,\beta )\\&={\frac {1}{\sqrt {2\pi }}}\,{\frac {\beta ^{\alpha }}{\Gamma (\alpha )}}\int _{0}^{\infty }d\sigma ^{2}\left({\frac {1}{\sigma ^{2}}}\right)^{\alpha +1/2+1}\exp \left(-{\frac {2\beta +(x-\mu )^{2}}{2\sigma ^{2}}}\right)\end{aligned}}}

Except for normalization factor, expression under the integral coincides with Inverse-gamma distribution

Γ 1 ( x ; a , b ) = b a Γ ( a ) e b / x x a + 1 , {\displaystyle \Gamma ^{-1}(x;a,b)={\frac {b^{a}}{\Gamma (a)}}{\frac {e^{-b/x}}{{x}^{a+1}}},}

with x = σ 2 {\displaystyle x=\sigma ^{2}} , a = α + 1 / 2 {\displaystyle a=\alpha +1/2} , b = 2 β + ( x μ ) 2 2 {\displaystyle b={\frac {2\beta +(x-\mu )^{2}}{2}}} .

Since 0 d x Γ 1 ( x ; a , b ) = 1 , 0 d x x ( a + 1 ) e b / x = Γ ( a ) b a {\displaystyle \int _{0}^{\infty }dx\Gamma ^{-1}(x;a,b)=1,\quad \int _{0}^{\infty }dxx^{-(a+1)}e^{-b/x}=\Gamma (a)b^{-a}} , and

0 d σ 2 ( 1 σ 2 ) α + 1 / 2 + 1 exp ( 2 β + ( x μ ) 2 2 σ 2 ) = Γ ( α + 1 / 2 ) ( 2 β + ( x μ ) 2 2 ) ( α + 1 / 2 ) {\displaystyle \int _{0}^{\infty }d\sigma ^{2}\left({\frac {1}{\sigma ^{2}}}\right)^{\alpha +1/2+1}\exp \left(-{\frac {2\beta +(x-\mu )^{2}}{2\sigma ^{2}}}\right)=\Gamma (\alpha +1/2)\left({\frac {2\beta +(x-\mu )^{2}}{2}}\right)^{-(\alpha +1/2)}}

Substituting this expression and factoring dependence on x {\displaystyle x} ,

f ( x μ , α , β ) x ( 1 + ( x μ ) 2 2 β ) ( α + 1 / 2 ) . {\displaystyle f(x\mid \mu ,\alpha ,\beta )\propto _{x}\left(1+{\frac {(x-\mu )^{2}}{2\beta }}\right)^{-(\alpha +1/2)}.}

Shape of generalized Student's t-distribution is

t ( x | ν , μ ^ , σ ^ 2 ) x ( 1 + 1 ν ( x μ ^ ) 2 σ ^ 2 ) ( ν + 1 ) / 2 {\displaystyle t(x|\nu ,{\hat {\mu }},{\hat {\sigma }}^{2})\propto _{x}\left(1+{\frac {1}{\nu }}{\frac {(x-{\hat {\mu }})^{2}}{{\hat {\sigma }}^{2}}}\right)^{-(\nu +1)/2}} .

Marginal distribution f ( x μ , α , β ) {\displaystyle f(x\mid \mu ,\alpha ,\beta )} follows t-distribution with 2 α {\displaystyle 2\alpha } degrees of freedom

f ( x μ , α , β ) = t ( x | ν = 2 α , μ ^ = μ , σ ^ 2 = β / α ) {\displaystyle f(x\mid \mu ,\alpha ,\beta )=t(x|\nu =2\alpha ,{\hat {\mu }}=\mu ,{\hat {\sigma }}^{2}=\beta /\alpha )} .

In the multivariate case, the marginal distribution of x {\displaystyle \mathbf {x} } is a multivariate t distribution:

x t 2 α ( μ , β α V ) {\displaystyle \mathbf {x} \sim t_{2\alpha }({\boldsymbol {\mu }},{\frac {\beta }{\alpha }}\mathbf {V} )\!}

Summation

Scaling

Suppose

( x , σ 2 ) N- Γ 1 ( μ , λ , α , β ) . {\displaystyle (x,\sigma ^{2})\sim {\text{N-}}\Gamma ^{-1}(\mu ,\lambda ,\alpha ,\beta )\!.}

Then for c > 0 {\displaystyle c>0} ,

( c x , c σ 2 ) N- Γ 1 ( c μ , λ / c , α , c β ) . {\displaystyle (cx,c\sigma ^{2})\sim {\text{N-}}\Gamma ^{-1}(c\mu ,\lambda /c,\alpha ,c\beta )\!.}

Proof: To prove this let ( x , σ 2 ) N- Γ 1 ( μ , λ , α , β ) {\displaystyle (x,\sigma ^{2})\sim {\text{N-}}\Gamma ^{-1}(\mu ,\lambda ,\alpha ,\beta )} and fix c > 0 {\displaystyle c>0} . Defining Y = ( Y 1 , Y 2 ) = ( c x , c σ 2 ) {\displaystyle Y=(Y_{1},Y_{2})=(cx,c\sigma ^{2})} , observe that the PDF of the random variable Y {\displaystyle Y} evaluated at ( y 1 , y 2 ) {\displaystyle (y_{1},y_{2})} is given by 1 / c 2 {\displaystyle 1/c^{2}} times the PDF of a N- Γ 1 ( μ , λ , α , β ) {\displaystyle {\text{N-}}\Gamma ^{-1}(\mu ,\lambda ,\alpha ,\beta )} random variable evaluated at ( y 1 / c , y 2 / c ) {\displaystyle (y_{1}/c,y_{2}/c)} . Hence the PDF of Y {\displaystyle Y} evaluated at ( y 1 , y 2 ) {\displaystyle (y_{1},y_{2})} is given by : f Y ( y 1 , y 2 ) = 1 c 2 λ 2 π y 2 / c β α Γ ( α ) ( 1 y 2 / c ) α + 1 exp ( 2 β + λ ( y 1 / c μ ) 2 2 y 2 / c ) = λ / c 2 π y 2 ( c β ) α Γ ( α ) ( 1 y 2 ) α + 1 exp ( 2 c β + ( λ / c ) ( y 1 c μ ) 2 2 y 2 ) . {\displaystyle f_{Y}(y_{1},y_{2})={\frac {1}{c^{2}}}{\frac {\sqrt {\lambda }}{\sqrt {2\pi y_{2}/c}}}\,{\frac {\beta ^{\alpha }}{\Gamma (\alpha )}}\,\left({\frac {1}{y_{2}/c}}\right)^{\alpha +1}\exp \left(-{\frac {2\beta +\lambda (y_{1}/c-\mu )^{2}}{2y_{2}/c}}\right)={\frac {\sqrt {\lambda /c}}{\sqrt {2\pi y_{2}}}}\,{\frac {(c\beta )^{\alpha }}{\Gamma (\alpha )}}\,\left({\frac {1}{y_{2}}}\right)^{\alpha +1}\exp \left(-{\frac {2c\beta +(\lambda /c)\,(y_{1}-c\mu )^{2}}{2y_{2}}}\right).\!}

The right hand expression is the PDF for a N- Γ 1 ( c μ , λ / c , α , c β ) {\displaystyle {\text{N-}}\Gamma ^{-1}(c\mu ,\lambda /c,\alpha ,c\beta )} random variable evaluated at ( y 1 , y 2 ) {\displaystyle (y_{1},y_{2})} , which completes the proof.

Exponential family

Normal-inverse-gamma distributions form an exponential family with natural parameters θ 1 = λ 2 {\displaystyle \textstyle \theta _{1}={\frac {-\lambda }{2}}} , θ 2 = λ μ {\displaystyle \textstyle \theta _{2}=\lambda \mu } , θ 3 = α {\displaystyle \textstyle \theta _{3}=\alpha } , and θ 4 = β + λ μ 2 2 {\displaystyle \textstyle \theta _{4}=-\beta +{\frac {-\lambda \mu ^{2}}{2}}} and sufficient statistics T 1 = x 2 σ 2 {\displaystyle \textstyle T_{1}={\frac {x^{2}}{\sigma ^{2}}}} , T 2 = x σ 2 {\displaystyle \textstyle T_{2}={\frac {x}{\sigma ^{2}}}} , T 3 = log ( 1 σ 2 ) {\displaystyle \textstyle T_{3}=\log {\big (}{\frac {1}{\sigma ^{2}}}{\big )}} , and T 4 = 1 σ 2 {\displaystyle \textstyle T_{4}={\frac {1}{\sigma ^{2}}}} .

Information entropy

Kullback–Leibler divergence

Measures difference between two distributions.

Maximum likelihood estimation

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Posterior distribution of the parameters

See the articles on normal-gamma distribution and conjugate prior.

Interpretation of the parameters

See the articles on normal-gamma distribution and conjugate prior.

Generating normal-inverse-gamma random variates

Generation of random variates is straightforward:

  1. Sample σ 2 {\displaystyle \sigma ^{2}} from an inverse gamma distribution with parameters α {\displaystyle \alpha } and β {\displaystyle \beta }
  2. Sample x {\displaystyle x} from a normal distribution with mean μ {\displaystyle \mu } and variance σ 2 / λ {\displaystyle \sigma ^{2}/\lambda }

Related distributions

  • The normal-gamma distribution is the same distribution parameterized by precision rather than variance
  • A generalization of this distribution which allows for a multivariate mean and a completely unknown positive-definite covariance matrix σ 2 V {\displaystyle \sigma ^{2}\mathbf {V} } (whereas in the multivariate inverse-gamma distribution the covariance matrix is regarded as known up to the scale factor σ 2 {\displaystyle \sigma ^{2}} ) is the normal-inverse-Wishart distribution

See also

References

  1. Ramírez-Hassan, Andrés. 4.2 Conjugate prior to exponential family | Introduction to Bayesian Econometrics.
  • Denison, David G. T.; Holmes, Christopher C.; Mallick, Bani K.; Smith, Adrian F. M. (2002) Bayesian Methods for Nonlinear Classification and Regression, Wiley. ISBN 0471490369
  • Koch, Karl-Rudolf (2007) Introduction to Bayesian Statistics (2nd Edition), Springer. ISBN 354072723X
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